I always thought, how does the type of people that are invested in gme change with time? dont, the longer this takes, more and more shares are in the hands of really patient and calculated (convinced) people? and would these people not keep buying? I am steadily buying each month, I cant be the only one.
If you knew the day and the hour the thief would come. Would you not go and get prepared? Look and be prepared even when bears attack, so you are not caught off gaurd and feel defeated. Whether you agree with it or not Richard is at least being level headed and preparing anyone to be aware. And dont kid yourself, there are many thieves in this finicial ststem. So be as cunning as serpants and love like doves. Thank you Richard for being you, your hardwork and dedication. Providing when others are taking. You are more patient then I!
Have you all noticed the sudden hype on SS saying that the Japanese rate change might be a catalyst to send GME up? I don't get why people think this when this already happened once back in the summer and GME tanked. We just came off two hype dates, and they are already pushing a third.
The only catalysts that matter now are RKs calendar, and what is in his BOX?! Then there is RC or LC buys, M&A, margin calls, and Trump wildcard. All that matters now is patience.
The more and more you look at GME, the more this whole ordeal looks like a fragile house of cards. Just one stray move and it falls flat... They always seem to have a way out of their tangled mess until they don't. Trying to figure it out is fun, but all I know for sure is they keep this game a complicated mess for a reason. The devil is hidden in the detail somewhere! Thank you as always, Richard. God bless.
Here's to hoping we don't have to wait to March/April to see those fireworks. Just seems odd that Kitty memes (3) times in December/Jan 1st and now we have to wait another 2-3 months. But, I suppose it's already been 84 years since the last squeeze before the buy button was shut off, so why not a couple more months, eh? lol. As always, thanks RN for sharing. Cheers!
well april is earnings of course IV always drops to lowest level IV before earnings about 1 month then they buy it up in anticipation to earnings the cycle repeats. the q is we know iv is dropping hard and fast 25 level is 30-40 IV for 1 week ahead and 2 weeks ahead is 50 IV monthly 60 iv. it was at these levels before around last time. 30 iv was the target for may 69 price. 40 IV was the most recent run to 33-34. do they want to drop IV to that low again? 27 was 50 26 may be 40 now as time goes on. i'll be honest I called the max pain on this one and posted it here. not going to 25 last week at all too much work and not much difference yall looking at the max pain the ai reads on the surface level. use your own brain 1000 contracts makes no difference to them 28 was the more likely max pain with 3000 contracts and 30000 contracts for 30. max pain for the next month at least is about 28-30. but we need to see where people rolled their contracts.
Love the stars and swaps hypothesis. Data fits it well and I love data. Stars will be lowpoints until they become rocket stages because of a catalyst hitting at the right time. May never happen or may happen very fast if a smart cat and their friends timed things right. Who knows - I don't - but I am hopeful 🔥💥🍻
Given the new administration I'm wondering if GameStop may announce/release their web3/blockchain/NFT plans. If price goes up as well as people seeing the stock as a true long term compounding investment (plus excitement over new technology) it could double whammy the swap date alongside interest rates. Now that Trump is in office I'm keeping my eyes and ears open for an imminent announcement. Especially given their new IR/PR hire which makes it seem like they're about to start going on the offense now that they have the green light to do so.
Do you think that the market already priced in the BOJ interest rate increase? It looked like the day the BOJ announced the rate increase is when we saw the 10% drop off with no news.
Love watching your content. I hope you are able to find time to read the giant 4 part DD. It helps to explain why Japan raising their rates would cause the unwinding of swaps. Would be cool to see your view point against it
@ In the first part. You actually have to extrapolate the DD a bit to get there but with his explanation of certain SWAPS going from a positive premium to negative because of interest rates, which the Japan carry trade enables this negative rate to actually make short positions a net positive return for the time being. But that has been coming to an end with them raising rates
Morning Richard, is it something to note that the July cycle 24 from 30ish to 17ish... weren't they diluting, which could've been the primary capacity to push the share price that low? And now, the company has taken a temporary pause on dilutions... otherwise, great observations just wondering if you think price could still get as violently negative without dilution
FYI I called the max pain decently last week it was 27-28 not 25 because 3000 contract difference with strike 28 25 was like 1000 and would be made up in one day pretty easily. next few weeks and month would be about 28 as well. but will need to see where the regards buy in at. I will say no movement instead and if they push gme down to 25 next week then a huge rebound is going to happen. that is another 10% if SSR is activated definitely go buy the dip is warranted. I sold puts last week with a break even at 25.1 when IV was higher for further out contracts. just in case. 25 level with regards rolling contracts
Hi Richard. Great video! How that you decide to make price predictions? I’ve seen that in your latest videos. As for me … No one can guess the madness of the people. All the best for you and your family.
The Bank of Canada rate is below the Fed, (faster cuts, trying to get back to 2%), but, was cut too fast, (at the prompting by Canadian banks and corporations), so, now, the Canadian dollar is at a low against the U.S. dollar. The Canadian news is jammed with discussions about tariffs and trade with the United States. This won't matter on your charts; however, my investment in GameStop (US$) is up about 7% this year, entirely due to the exchange rate. And, unless the Fed's interest rate falls at least 1%, that low Canadian dollar isn't likely to change any time soon.
Right there with you Canadian brother! The stock is going down which ( I get it, no one wants to see) but from a Canadian perspective it means a world of savings. We have to work 30% harder to buy into GS. I'm looking at BCE and T.TO and thinking hmmmm, 12% and 8% dividend, Telus bouncing off of the 200 MDA from 19.50.... or more GS?!?!?! Mooooorrrreeee GME!!! Les Goooo! Turn around story's are so much better!
Trump couldn't even name a single verse or book in the Bible. It's all virtue signaling, smoke and mirrors. Trump is not a Christian man. Beware of false prophets...
Happy Monday buddy! How did your prismatic evolutions pull go? I managed to get my hands on a single ETB, hoping to get more soon. I’m fully hooked lol
@ oh man, you’ve got some great restraint lol. Yes, I’d say so! A couple of Eevee Ex cards and some other cool trainer cards - love the art on some of these. This was my first ETB but certainly won’t be my last!
I think it's that believing in God is good for you and is the foundation of your relationship. God wants to have a relationship with you. How can that happen if you don't believe at a minimum? It's kinda like telling your kid they need to listen to you because you know it's good for them.
You tell your kids to listen to you because of your experience in life and "wisdom" from the things you have seen and done. You have probably already done what they want to do and know the likely outcome. It is not just because.
The job of humans is to make their lives an act of worship , and strive to "find" God. That is for mankind's benefit, not for God. God is self sufficient, above all needs and weakness one would associate with being a created thing.
Well respectfully Richard said if the channel brings no joy, or in general if the discussions are getting too much, then it is better to abstain from watching and tune out the noise. At the end of the day we need to be real with ourselves about price action and driving forces without succumbing to confirmation bias.
Im glad he is being Bear aware , it helps me not get trapped into thinking everything is gonna go up and allows me to formulate timelinne for my own finances to make more calculated purchases. If your only in for the moon lift off then sure. Just go buy 100 shares and find all the hype you can find to get all buckled up. But the real treasure is a turn around company that if you were aware and made timely buys because of information you had, that will be the real winner! A ticket to the moon is awsome, but the more I get involved with this stock i realize just how big the market is and what abilities it has on its end to "Literally move" the market. And my little pewee shares aren't going to get in the way.
Happy Monday RN!!
Very cautiously optimistic heading into this week!
Have a great day!
200% volume already today at the german market from average - and we have 6 more hours to go 8) thats gooooooood
Did I miss something. It said 730 for shares today verse the normal 6,500 daily
@@mikeajuana check tradgate ;) 43.000 right now
@@mikeajuanaDid you mean versus?
@@d3wdman567if that helps you understand it better sure. I mean what I say and say what I mean
@@csgoM1LLERreally thanks for the update
Good Morning and may God Bless you all.
I always thought, how does the type of people that are invested in gme change with time? dont, the longer this takes, more and more shares are in the hands of really patient and calculated (convinced) people? and would these people not keep buying? I am steadily buying each month, I cant be the only one.
If you knew the day and the hour the thief would come.
Would you not go and get prepared?
Look and be prepared even when bears attack, so you are not caught off gaurd and feel defeated.
Whether you agree with it or not Richard is at least being level headed and preparing anyone to be aware.
And dont kid yourself, there are many thieves in this finicial ststem. So be as cunning as serpants and love like doves.
Thank you Richard for being you, your hardwork and dedication. Providing when others are taking. You are more patient then I!
Have you all noticed the sudden hype on SS saying that the Japanese rate change might be a catalyst to send GME up? I don't get why people think this when this already happened once back in the summer and GME tanked. We just came off two hype dates, and they are already pushing a third.
The only catalysts that matter now are RKs calendar, and what is in his BOX?! Then there is RC or LC buys, M&A, margin calls, and Trump wildcard. All that matters now is patience.
That feeling when your comment gets shown on screen.
The more and more you look at GME, the more this whole ordeal looks like a fragile house of cards. Just one stray move and it falls flat... They always seem to have a way out of their tangled mess until they don't. Trying to figure it out is fun, but all I know for sure is they keep this game a complicated mess for a reason. The devil is hidden in the detail somewhere! Thank you as always, Richard. God bless.
Good morning, Newton gang!
Morning buddy!
Legacy shorts need to be put under pressure, but RC doesnt seem to have the balls to do it. Gonna buy the dip and tap out till baby returns.
All of the ETBs! Love to see it. Have a great day, Richie!
Thanks Richard... Looking forward to the week... Cheers... ☕
Lets go rich
Here's to hoping we don't have to wait to March/April to see those fireworks. Just seems odd that Kitty memes (3) times in December/Jan 1st and now we have to wait another 2-3 months. But, I suppose it's already been 84 years since the last squeeze before the buy button was shut off, so why not a couple more months, eh? lol. As always, thanks RN for sharing. Cheers!
well april is earnings of course IV always drops to lowest level IV before earnings about 1 month then they buy it up in anticipation to earnings the cycle repeats.
the q is we know iv is dropping hard and fast 25 level is 30-40 IV for 1 week ahead and 2 weeks ahead is 50 IV monthly 60 iv.
it was at these levels before around last time. 30 iv was the target for may 69 price.
40 IV was the most recent run to 33-34.
do they want to drop IV to that low again?
27 was 50 26 may be 40 now as time goes on.
i'll be honest I called the max pain on this one and posted it here.
not going to 25 last week at all too much work and not much difference yall looking at the max pain the ai reads on the surface level. use your own brain 1000 contracts makes no difference to them 28 was the more likely max pain with 3000 contracts and 30000 contracts for 30.
max pain for the next month at least is about 28-30.
but we need to see where people rolled their contracts.
I love my daily devotional with Richard! ❤️📖 Also flag emoji today?
Bear or bull. Love your stuff Richard. Keep it up
morning richard
Good
Morning
Enthusiasts!
Love the stars and swaps hypothesis. Data fits it well and I love data.
Stars will be lowpoints until they become rocket stages because of a catalyst hitting at the right time. May never happen or may happen very fast if a smart cat and their friends timed things right. Who knows - I don't - but I am hopeful 🔥💥🍻
Good morning Richard!
Thanks for the video!
Thanks again, ‘Cool Richard’!🌹
I hope you have a terrific day off/MLK Day! Thank you for your work and excellent analysis. Cheers!
Given the new administration I'm wondering if GameStop may announce/release their web3/blockchain/NFT plans. If price goes up as well as people seeing the stock as a true long term compounding investment (plus excitement over new technology) it could double whammy the swap date alongside interest rates. Now that Trump is in office I'm keeping my eyes and ears open for an imminent announcement. Especially given their new IR/PR hire which makes it seem like they're about to start going on the offense now that they have the green light to do so.
TikTok…time to cover
Well Done
👍👍
Do you think that the market already priced in the BOJ interest rate increase? It looked like the day the BOJ announced the rate increase is when we saw the 10% drop off with no news.
Love watching your content. I hope you are able to find time to read the giant 4 part DD. It helps to explain why Japan raising their rates would cause the unwinding of swaps. Would be cool to see your view point against it
What part of the DD covers this?
@ In the first part. You actually have to extrapolate the DD a bit to get there but with his explanation of certain SWAPS going from a positive premium to negative because of interest rates, which the Japan carry trade enables this negative rate to actually make short positions a net positive return for the time being. But that has been coming to an end with them raising rates
Morning Richard, is it something to note that the July cycle 24 from 30ish to 17ish... weren't they diluting, which could've been the primary capacity to push the share price that low? And now, the company has taken a temporary pause on dilutions... otherwise, great observations just wondering if you think price could still get as violently negative without dilution
No there were no dilutions then.
Dilutions were:
May 17 to 24
June 7 to 11
Sept 11 to 23
@@RichardNewton My mistake, ty for the reply. Have a great day
FYI I called the max pain decently last week it was 27-28 not 25 because 3000 contract difference with strike 28
25 was like 1000 and would be made up in one day pretty easily.
next few weeks and month would be about 28 as well.
but will need to see where the regards buy in at.
I will say no movement instead and if they push gme down to 25 next week then a huge rebound is going to happen. that is another 10% if SSR is activated definitely go buy the dip is warranted. I sold puts last week with a break even at 25.1 when IV was higher for further out contracts. just in case.
25 level with regards rolling contracts
🧡
Bomboclat
I'm not sure what you mean by the Euro doing poorly relative to the USD... Euros are worth more. Am I missing something?
finance.yahoo.com/quote/EURUSD=X/
Look at Max. I remember when it took 1.5 dollars to buy a Euro. Now it's 1.04.
good morning!
Hi Richard. Great video! How that you decide to make price predictions? I’ve seen that in your latest videos. As for me … No one can guess the madness of the people. All the best for you and your family.
Have you ever considered seeing if Ryan Cohen's tweets line up with swap events?
In particular the tweets he's made of himself with a face swaps?
MLK was a great public figure. Deserving of the accolades. The private figure just wait until they release the FBI wire taps. It’s gonna be yikes.
The Bank of Canada rate is below the Fed, (faster cuts, trying to get back to 2%), but, was cut too fast, (at the prompting by Canadian banks and corporations), so, now, the Canadian dollar is at a low against the U.S. dollar. The Canadian news is jammed with discussions about tariffs and trade with the United States. This won't matter on your charts; however, my investment in GameStop (US$) is up about 7% this year, entirely due to the exchange rate. And, unless the Fed's interest rate falls at least 1%, that low Canadian dollar isn't likely to change any time soon.
Good perspective!
Right there with you Canadian brother!
The stock is going down which ( I get it, no one wants to see) but from a Canadian perspective it means a world of savings.
We have to work 30% harder to buy into GS.
I'm looking at BCE and T.TO and thinking hmmmm, 12% and 8% dividend, Telus bouncing off of the 200 MDA from 19.50.... or more GS?!?!?!
Mooooorrrreeee GME!!! Les Goooo! Turn around story's are so much better!
First
G'morning Richard. Great video this morning. Thank you for being you.
Trump on God. "God saved me, to make America great again". Oh my.
Trump couldn't even name a single verse or book in the Bible. It's all virtue signaling, smoke and mirrors. Trump is not a Christian man.
Beware of false prophets...
Faith ✝️
Happy Monday buddy! How did your prismatic evolutions pull go? I managed to get my hands on a single ETB, hoping to get more soon. I’m fully hooked lol
Haven't opened any! Did you get anything good?
@ oh man, you’ve got some great restraint lol. Yes, I’d say so! A couple of Eevee Ex cards and some other cool trainer cards - love the art on some of these. This was my first ETB but certainly won’t be my last!
Eevee! Nice! :) That's awesome!
Good morning
Mr. Newton
Gotta (BELIEVE)
Amen 🙏🏿
good things happen to bad people and bad things happen to good people. That's God's way of showing us that we are all equal in God's eyes
Belief without empirical evidence is faith. Hebrews 11:1.
Ill bet they manage 25.51 by friday.
Yahweh did say he is a jealous God: very interesting, so maybe this has something to do with needing to believe.
I think it's that believing in God is good for you and is the foundation of your relationship. God wants to have a relationship with you. How can that happen if you don't believe at a minimum?
It's kinda like telling your kid they need to listen to you because you know it's good for them.
You tell your kids to listen to you because of your experience in life and "wisdom" from the things you have seen and done. You have probably already done what they want to do and know the likely outcome. It is not just because.
God doesn't need anything from His creation.
The job of humans is to make their lives an act of worship , and strive to "find" God. That is for mankind's benefit, not for God. God is self sufficient, above all needs and weakness one would associate with being a created thing.
:)
I can’t believe how bearish Newton is now lol no fun at all watching him lately. If anything it kills my mood for the day.
Well respectfully Richard said if the channel brings no joy, or in general if the discussions are getting too much, then it is better to abstain from watching and tune out the noise. At the end of the day we need to be real with ourselves about price action and driving forces without succumbing to confirmation bias.
i gotchu fam: gme go zoom zoom moon soon! 🚀 (does that make you feel better?)
Im glad he is being Bear aware , it helps me not get trapped into thinking everything is gonna go up and allows me to formulate timelinne for my own finances to make more calculated purchases.
If your only in for the moon lift off then sure. Just go buy 100 shares and find all the hype you can find to get all buckled up.
But the real treasure is a turn around company that if you were aware and made timely buys because of information you had, that will be the real winner!
A ticket to the moon is awsome, but the more I get involved with this stock i realize just how big the market is and what abilities it has on its end to "Literally move" the market. And my little pewee shares aren't going to get in the way.
I think the video's tone is very mature and realistic. Infinite hype is not only exhausting, it's unhelpful.
May the great courageous MLK Jr rest in power everyone should listen to the speech that marked him for death beyond Vietnam