Market trends hint at lower prices, but this could also open doors for smart investments. Despite a possible short-term slump, remember the market's long-term potential. Downturns can be entry points for portfolio expansion. Success lies in informed decisions and strategic planning. Thanks to Loraine Souvenir’s insights, daily trade signals, and my dedication to learning, I've been increasing my daily earnings. Kudos to the journey ahead!
It's unexpected to come across her name here. She understands every beginner’s intention and fix you to a trading course that matches your capacity, she knows her stuff! Her advice has been invaluable to my trading journey. Definitely worth giving a shot!
It's truly refreshing to see a comment about Loraine Souvenir. I've also had the pleasure of working with her for several months after discovering more about her online. She has a knack for simplifying complex issues, whether it's a market surge or decline. Her approach consistently keeps you ahead of the curve. I'd call her a guru, for sure
Investing has proven to be an incredibly beneficial decision. My cryptocurrency profits continue to play a substantial role in growing my overall wealth, reducing my reliance on my salary
The beauty of her approach is her dual focus: while she aggressively pursues profit opportunities, she's equally tenacious about shielding investors from potential pitfalls. It's a balance few can achieve.
Great video. This week we have had lots of talk about rate cuts and jobs report. However I have noticed the Cleveland Fed is forecasting both July and August core PCE to increase. What are your thoughts on this?
The indicator flashes the signal not when the spread starts to be negative, but when it corrects itself back up. Then there is usually a recession in the next 6-12 months. This works becouse inverted high inverted yield curve isn't great for the economy and FED is reactive and not proactive. They start lowering rates when they see economy going to sh*t and not before. This uninverts the yield curve and flashes the signal. Which is what is happening now.. Despite this volatility, the market remains profitable.... I have managed to grow a nest egg of around 130k to a decent 632k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Francine Duguay, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
The key to financial stability is having the right investment suggestions for a diverse portfolio. Many investment failures and losses happen when you invest without proper guidance.
Amazing...Stocks go up 35% in last 9 months and drops 2% and people expect emergency rate cut from FED. 15 years of mismanagement created some hard to change Pavlovian anticipatory behavior...Wealthy (asset holders) got so much used to inflating their assets that they freak out when it goes down by 2%
Is there a strong reason to have real rates above 2.5% if one were to use PCE which is Fed’s preferred inflation gauge with PCE at2.5%? And next month we know that inflation will likely drop based on the high print from a year ago and low crude oil prices!
Joseph, from my calculations, the Fed's liabilities have an over 2% impairment due to their accumulated losses being in excess of twice their capital. When and how will this matter?
Higher highs = inflation is full speed ahead...... Stagflation is the play going forward........ All the newcomers to USA take about 2-3 years to add to consumption in a meaningful way as they form households, kids etc...... this is probably the single biggest aspect IMO I'm staying with low PE dividend paying stocks and buying more weekly.... Great report Joseph !
Joseph- Fair question in regards to the impact of migration on the economic data…. With the millions of migrants that entered the country this year, why are McDonalds sales going down?
Have you seen McDonalds prices? For that money, I'd rather go to Chipotle or Killer Burger or other shops. Texas Roadhouse, Chili's, etc. doing better than ever.
He didn't. Several people including the pilot were still on board, so he went in there to thank the pilot(s) and possibly others who had been involved (only the three people freed had left the plane yet). You are falling for and spreading deliberately seeded/harvested/amplified disinformation.
The AI trade is turning, more news about the competitive spending by the hyperscalers and wen the returns on that will start to show up on their bottom lines - INTC got clobbered Friday.
I also think the highs for the year are not yet in. This little correction affords the establishment powers-that-be an opportunity to push the market up just as people are either early voting or deciding which way to vote on election day.
Respectfully, what data do you have that shows millions of people entering the country illegally and taking jobs to dilute the unemployment rate as mentioned?
He's referring to the spread between the monthly NFP numbers and the roughly 100,000 illegal entrants every 30 days, i.e when millions of adults cross into the US, they theoretically soften the existing labor market by adding to its supply. You can think about it like if 10,000 people showed up in your town tomorrow morning, would there be enough "Now Hiring!" signs to accommodate all of them?
@@brianborse3555 what evidence is there that so many people have effectively crossed the border in the past 12 months to impact reported US tax paying jobs that require social security numbers. That’s what I’m asking.
@@brianborse3555 I definitely responded to you on this, but idk what happened to my comment. I asked, where is the evidence that these 100k illegal people per month are taking these reported jobs that require social security numbers and paid taxes? Also, to the effect that it is diluting the unemployment number. Please, I would love to read the data or evidence on this. It’s really conjecture that amounts to nothing more than a racist dog whistle.
So to be clear do you think that if the government runs perpetual and large budget deficits, which seems to me to enjoy bipartisan support, and allows large flows of immigration into the country, then we can stave off a recession indefinitely? As a thought experiment let's just say that the dems take the White House and policy initiatives remain largely the same. Would that mean a double shot of irresponsible fiscal spending and lax immigration policy will prevent any meaningful slowdown for another four years? Again I really think you put too much faith in the FED and treasurys ability to 'manage' the US economy. I think markets are going to rip one last time before even hard headed technocrats like yourself finally realize that the average consumer is weak and the economy is/has been weakening significantly for over a year now. I feel like you're going to find yourself on the wrong side of history in the not too distant future
Please do not make it so that you HAVE to talk about 3 things in every episode. You can just say what you things is important in this week without anchoring yourself to or have to find a topic so that it is 3 things. Just talk about what you think is important. Do not have to make it 3 things or something because it seems artificial.
3 topic format is good imo. It's manageable and runs about 5 mins per topic. Perhaps his subscription services does what you are looking for, so subscribe, pay and see if it's good to go ......
These weekly commentaries are extremely helpful
I second that
I am a loyal fan of your channel, really enjoy all your analysis and really appreciate your hard work
Market trends hint at lower prices, but this could also open doors for smart investments. Despite a possible short-term slump, remember the market's long-term potential. Downturns can be entry points for portfolio expansion. Success lies in informed decisions and strategic planning. Thanks to Loraine Souvenir’s insights, daily trade signals, and my dedication to learning, I've been increasing my daily earnings. Kudos to the journey ahead!
I've just looked up her full name on my browser and found her webpage without sweat, very much appreciate this
It's unexpected to come across her name here. She understands every beginner’s intention and fix you to a trading course that matches your capacity, she knows her stuff! Her advice has been invaluable to my trading journey. Definitely worth giving a shot!
It's truly refreshing to see a comment about Loraine Souvenir. I've also had the pleasure of working with her for several months after discovering more about her online. She has a knack for simplifying complex issues, whether it's a market surge or decline. Her approach consistently keeps you ahead of the curve. I'd call her a guru, for sure
Investing has proven to be an incredibly beneficial decision. My cryptocurrency profits continue to play a substantial role in growing my overall wealth, reducing my reliance on my salary
The beauty of her approach is her dual focus: while she aggressively pursues profit opportunities, she's equally tenacious about shielding investors from potential pitfalls. It's a balance few can achieve.
Thanks for pointing out the fourth branch of the US government visiting DC last week
Great video. This week we have had lots of talk about rate cuts and jobs report. However I have noticed the Cleveland Fed is forecasting both July and August core PCE to increase. What are your thoughts on this?
The indicator flashes the signal not when the spread starts to be negative, but when it corrects itself back up. Then there is usually a recession in the next 6-12 months. This works becouse inverted high inverted yield curve isn't great for the economy and FED is reactive and not proactive. They start lowering rates when they see economy going to sh*t and not before. This uninverts the yield curve and flashes the signal. Which is what is happening now.. Despite this volatility, the market remains profitable.... I have managed to grow a nest egg of around 130k to a decent 632k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Francine Duguay, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
Francine Duguay program is widely available online.
I appreciate the professionalism and dedication of the team behind Francine’s trade signal service.
Trading with an expert is the best strategy for beginners and busy investor s who have little or no time to monitor their trades.
The key to financial stability is having the right investment suggestions for a diverse portfolio. Many investment failures and losses happen when you invest without proper guidance.
It was quite challenging to understand the different trends on my own until i found out about Duguay. Trading made easy.
Was waiting for FedGuy's take after the jobs report. Very reassuring counternarrative to the panic.
Excellent and very well presented your my go to guy for weekend market analysis
Very insightful! Appreciated!
Thanx for stating the truth regarding the second thing you discussed. Bravery and honesty appreciated
Thanks, Joseph. Your grounded perspective is very helpful. Good trading.
Just found channel about a week ago - I like this guy, great job! 👏
Thanks Joseph. Your insights are appreciated.
Amazing...Stocks go up 35% in last 9 months and drops 2% and people expect emergency rate cut from FED. 15 years of mismanagement created some hard to change Pavlovian anticipatory behavior...Wealthy (asset holders) got so much used to inflating their assets that they freak out when it goes down by 2%
What are your thoughts on the USD not being a safe haven, at least compared to the AUD?
Thank you Joseph! I appreciate the time and effort you put into your videos each week.
Very useful as always. Thank you.
Thanks Joseph very informative
Love your comment. Seems you mislabeled the year in TH-cam title
so joseph in ur opinion, is there going to be a recession?
Is there a strong reason to have real rates above 2.5% if one were to use PCE which is Fed’s preferred inflation gauge with PCE at2.5%? And next month we know that inflation will likely drop based on the high print from a year ago and low crude oil prices!
My thesis hasnt changed, I still see higher for longer. As I read fed speeches, I see them very weary of cutting too soon.
Thanks JW
What about un-inverting yield curve?
Thanks for the insightful and sensible analysis
exceptional insights as always, thank you
Joseph, from my calculations, the Fed's liabilities have an over 2% impairment due to their accumulated losses being in excess of twice their capital. When and how will this matter?
Keep up the great format and show Joseph!
Excellent update, data is on point. thank you!
Higher highs = inflation is full speed ahead......
Stagflation is the play going forward........
All the newcomers to USA take about 2-3 years to add to consumption in a meaningful way as they form households, kids etc...... this is probably the single biggest aspect IMO
I'm staying with low PE dividend paying stocks and buying more weekly....
Great report Joseph !
Those who said there would be an "emergency cut" seemed wildly off base.
Excellent as always , thank you 🙏
too sobering... gimme that recession hysteria dopamine rush!!!
Thank you for your valuable insights! 🤩😊
Joseph. Spot on once again. Perhaps you might spend a moment on U6 rates too.
Thank you Joseph.
What is going on 😂😂 I came from holidays 😅 can't wait to watch video 🎉🎉
Joseph- Fair question in regards to the impact of migration on the economic data…. With the millions of migrants that entered the country this year, why are McDonalds sales going down?
Have you seen McDonalds prices? For that money, I'd rather go to Chipotle or Killer Burger or other shops. Texas Roadhouse, Chili's, etc. doing better than ever.
What happened to your “crash up” talking point? 😂
Super insightful!!
Thanks Joseph!!
Great report this week!
Thanks
great analysis as usual!
09:00 - Didnt Biden, walk into that empty plane for no reason? 😆
He didn't.
Several people including the pilot were still on board, so he went in there to thank the pilot(s) and possibly others who had been involved (only the three people freed had left the plane yet).
You are falling for and spreading deliberately seeded/harvested/amplified disinformation.
Thanks
Thanks Joseph👍🏻
The AI trade is turning, more news about the competitive spending by the hyperscalers and wen the returns on that will start to show up on their bottom lines - INTC got clobbered Friday.
The hyperscalers are spending big. That hasn't helped their profits but should be good for NVDA.
The bond market was wrong the whole hiking cycle. The irrationality provides great opportunity
Thanks!
Are you saying illegal migrants are counted in the labor force participation rate? That's surprising.
Legal immigration is up as well.
Higher for longer - stocks
welcome to long bear market
Don’t fight the tape!
Copium in the Friday Bls data is strong here 😂.
There is ALWAYS denial of ALL sorts whenever the stock market / economy starts to slowly turn.
aged well, buffet just dumbed 50% aapl stock and you still calling buy the dip. time to scoop up more apple shares i guess.
I also think the highs for the year are not yet in. This little correction affords the establishment powers-that-be an opportunity to push the market up just as people are either early voting or deciding which way to vote on election day.
❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
Most immigrants are illegal and don't get counted in the unemployment survey, though, right?
Illegal immigrants are counted in the official surveys
Looks like a crash Monday opening 😮
👍👍👍
Respectfully, what data do you have that shows millions of people entering the country illegally and taking jobs to dilute the unemployment rate as mentioned?
He's referring to the spread between the monthly NFP numbers and the roughly 100,000 illegal entrants every 30 days, i.e
when millions of adults cross into the US, they theoretically soften the existing labor market by adding to its supply.
You can think about it like if 10,000 people showed up in your town tomorrow morning, would there be enough "Now Hiring!" signs to accommodate all of them?
@@brianborse3555 what evidence is there that so many people have effectively crossed the border in the past 12 months to impact reported US tax paying jobs that require social security numbers. That’s what I’m asking.
@@brianborse3555 I definitely responded to you on this, but idk what happened to my comment. I asked, where is the evidence that these 100k illegal people per month are taking these reported jobs that require social security numbers and paid taxes? Also, to the effect that it is diluting the unemployment number. Please, I would love to read the data or evidence on this. It’s really conjecture that amounts to nothing more than a racist dog whistle.
So to be clear do you think that if the government runs perpetual and large budget deficits, which seems to me to enjoy bipartisan support, and allows large flows of immigration into the country, then we can stave off a recession indefinitely? As a thought experiment let's just say that the dems take the White House and policy initiatives remain largely the same. Would that mean a double shot of irresponsible fiscal spending and lax immigration policy will prevent any meaningful slowdown for another four years? Again I really think you put too much faith in the FED and treasurys ability to 'manage' the US economy. I think markets are going to rip one last time before even hard headed technocrats like yourself finally realize that the average consumer is weak and the economy is/has been weakening significantly for over a year now. I feel like you're going to find yourself on the wrong side of history in the not too distant future
First
Please do not make it so that you HAVE to talk about 3 things in every episode. You can just say what you things is important in this week without anchoring yourself to or have to find a topic so that it is 3 things. Just talk about what you think is important. Do not have to make it 3 things or something because it seems artificial.
good comment
You trying to tell him how much to talk? Go outside today. Absolute clowns on the inter webs 😂😂😂
Please don't tell him how to do his podcast. Rather, concentrate on how you should do yours.
3 topic format is good imo. It's manageable and runs about 5 mins per topic.
Perhaps his subscription services does what you are looking for, so subscribe, pay and see if it's good to go ......
Thank you Joseph.