1993 Hurricane Opal struck NW panhandle of FL. It went from a tropical low to a Cat3 and made landfall in 72 hours. Literally, zero time to prepare let alone evacuate. Thanks for being more forthcoming than the NHC
@petermarshall7352 wait a minute,,, are we going to get another in my area since opal??? God, I hope not! I have solar panels on my roof, and I paid $54,000!
Reminds me of Hurricane Micheal 2018 in October. Grew over 3 days. Expected to be a cat 4 but was a 5 when hitting the panhandle. Always be prepared to pack n go.
Bleh! I love Florida, and have lived here over half my life. But I am getting Soooo Tired of dealing with watching the weather 5 months of the year, wondering if all my crap is gonna be flooded or blown away. And that doesn't count worrying over insurance rates, taxes, and the ever present heat that seems to last longer and be hotter every year. Yet here I sit. 😂 🥵🌀⛈️⛱️
@@batshtcrazy5293 I'm with you. I've lived in Louisiana off and on most of my life. There have always been hurricanes and heat and it's never been something that made we want to leave permanently. Now honestly I feel like I dread the hurricane season where before it was not as awful. Now I start to get nervous and stay nervous the whole 5 months and it's..... 😬
Anyone can find the GFS model which shows a hurricane hitting the gulf coast next Saturday. It's shown that for the last 3 days. Yesterday it was showing Florida and today it is showing Louisiana/MIssissippi. Not sure why the bald dude is acting like Accuweather should get credit for this. I knew about this 3 days ago when I looked at the GFS model. Plus the NHC has been showing an area of concern in this area on their 7 day tropical outlook for the last 2 days at least.
Thank you for being more serious about this and making this call. Most weather sources are simply waiting for this to form but as you explained, it is best to prepare now and know that it is going to form and impact the United States.
This is why long distance predictions are only made by incompetent meteorologist to try to attract people to tune in to their reports. As a person who has saw many Hurricanes in my life, one thing I know is that they are completely unpredictable! The best prediction does not have anything to do with history, it has everything too do with the weather patterns perhaps made when the hurricane is only 3 days out. Even then things can happen, and the Hurricane can move Easterly, or Westerly in minutes. I will bet that this is the first thing taught in Meteorology 101.
@@thecastle09 it is a start into being able to predict storms further out. Technology is constantly evolving and with ai who knows how far ahead we can track storms in the future. ;)
I hope it doesn't hit Houston again. We got hit by Hurricane Beryl, and we have barely begun to clean up & file insurance claims & start living again. It sucks. Our lives just froze afterwards.
You may be the only weather outfit predicting a high level of development but the National Hurricane Center is not even showing this as a Current Disturbance, it does not even rate a yellow X. What do you know that the NHC doesn’t know?
That hot water is like jet fuel to a developing system. And here we go! I just watched Tropical Tidbits to see Levi Cowan's breakdown of the models. All the elements are there for a major hurricane hitting somewhere near the Great Bend area of Florida.
Mid 80s to near 90 is cool? That's jet fuel to a developing storm. The coolest temp I could find was 81 on the Atlantic side of Florida up by Jacksonville. The Gulf is cooking right now.
@@hipmoma Search "NOAA Coastal Water Temperature Guide" and click on the "Near real-time water temperatures on a GIS map" link under the Interactive Map section for current Gulf water temps. The water IS that hot.
By all means, if you're living in the Great Bend area of Florida, PAY NO ATTENTION TO THE GIANT SPINNING THING WITH ALL THE WIND AND RAIN AND STORM SURGE NEXT THURSDAY. It's not really there. Carry on.
You're the only ones predicting this? Then you are just after the fear effect, right? Watching people rushing to the store for suppliies which they may not need. You must be proud of yourself.
If they're in the Big Bend area of Florida, they'll be thanking these guys for the additional couple days heads up by mid week. Maybe the meteorologists know what they're talking about, eh?
@@debbywoodbeck1105 Oh FFS. Where did you get your meteorology degree? Nevermind, that was rhetorical. Pay no attention, don't prepare, I'm sure you'll be just fine.
@@Supanova70 Still laughing? Yeah. Maybe pay attention to the meteorologists next time, eh? Hope you made it through ok, if you live in the area that got hit.
The thing is... they're not the only source. There are several who are watching this very closely along with the National Hurricane Center. It has the potential for very rapid, intense development.
@@watchdogu.s.a.8973…incorrect about the NHC, looked them up moments ago and they do not even have this area listed as a Current Disturbance, not even a yellow X.
And here we are three days later and pretty much EVERYBODY is paying attention now. So... yeah. They gave us a few extra days warning on that gyre. Seems like maybe meteorologists might know more about the weather than Joe Schmoe in the comments, eh?
Ugh...when you say 'Florida' it's almost like saying 'CA or TX' Lol (aka *massive states) 'maybe' simply specify which PART of FL? Otherwise, sorry, feels a bit click baity. I follow a # of other way less known meteorologists & channels who DO absolutely break things down much more precisely.
Or... possibly they're meterologists who know how these gyres tend to spin up into tropical systems, and with all the jet fuel of high ocean heat content down to a greater depth than usual, coupled with low shear, and the right conditions for rapid intensification if a tropical storm WAS to form from the gyre... tells them that there's a likelihood of a major hurricane with all these elements in place. And... oh look. Now it's been named an Invest and models are showing it forming and bringing it into the Gulf. And now everyone is paying attention to it. And by Thursday lets see how sensationalistic this extra couple days of warning was, shall we?
Or... maybe they're meteorologists doing their job. Giving you a couple extra days to prepare for a coming hurricane. Because, here we are, 3 days later. Are you paying attention now?
It's just sad. It's like ghost busters.. tracking something that isn't there. But then again. the higher the "threat" of something coming, the more views they get. But i guess the weather weapons does help
Do you realize that ALL weather forecasts are about something that hasn't happened - yet. Forecast > Future. It's just sad, as you say, that so many people don't seem to the ability to comprehend that simple concept. When a tornado watch is issued... it is for something that hasn't happened but conditions are prime for it to occur. It's the same with this potential hurricane. The reason they're talking so much about this is that, based on all available data, this has the potential to not only form but to become a major... possibly even a category 5... hurricane in a very short amount of time. People won't have a lot of prep time.
@@watchdogu.s.a.8973 Big oil fanboys and smackhead anarchists constantly troll weather forecasts. A good analogy is, that as weather disasters increase due to global warming the more rats you'll see coming out of the sewers.
Well, I"m certainly glad meterologists understand their field of expertise better than you do. It's just sad you don't understand enough of what they do to think it's real. Good thing they know a bit more than you do about using computer models and data for weather prediction, or we'd be back to holding up a finger to figure out which way the wind was blowing, and whoops, big storm just wiped out the coast again. Sit down and eat your crayons and let the adults handle it. Mmkay?
Am I missing something or doesn't the map at 1:55 say that Mexico/Texas is more probable historically than Florida? Why keep saying that Florida is more probable?
1993 Hurricane Opal struck NW panhandle of FL. It went from a tropical low to a Cat3 and made landfall in 72 hours. Literally, zero time to prepare let alone evacuate. Thanks for being more forthcoming than the NHC
I remember Opal in the Atl
Ya know the people preaching bogus skyfalling are the ones who get trapped in their homes when
1995
@@dmana3172 Yeah, that is correct.
@petermarshall7352 wait a minute,,, are we going to get another in my area since opal??? God, I hope not! I have solar panels on my roof, and I paid $54,000!
Reminds me of Hurricane Micheal 2018 in October. Grew over 3 days. Expected to be a cat 4 but was a 5 when hitting the panhandle. Always be prepared to pack n go.
I can never be mad at warnings…. Thank you….
What a bold prediction. Somewhere between Louisiana and Florida. You must have a crystal ball to have come up with that.
It’s called “weather models”
If you don't like it don't watch it, then be unprepared when it hits.
I could literally send you a photo of mine....and I'd be watching MS to AL most.
I'm in Mississippi don't say that lol @r.katiekane252
@@ryancook5479 Not so much here but maybe here….waves hand across the whole gulf..
Bleh! I love Florida, and have lived here over half my life. But I am getting Soooo Tired of dealing with watching the weather 5 months of the year, wondering if all my crap is gonna be flooded or blown away. And that doesn't count worrying over insurance rates, taxes, and the ever present heat that seems to last longer and be hotter every year. Yet here I sit. 😂 🥵🌀⛈️⛱️
@@batshtcrazy5293 I'm with you. I've lived in Louisiana off and on most of my life. There have always been hurricanes and heat and it's never been something that made we want to leave permanently. Now honestly I feel like I dread the hurricane season where before it was not as awful. Now I start to get nervous and stay nervous the whole 5 months and it's..... 😬
Meanwhile on the west coast fires on a yearly basis with enough smoke pollution to make it hazardous for other states is now common.
Anyone can find the GFS model which shows a hurricane hitting the gulf coast next Saturday. It's shown that for the last 3 days. Yesterday it was showing Florida and today it is showing Louisiana/MIssissippi. Not sure why the bald dude is acting like Accuweather should get credit for this. I knew about this 3 days ago when I looked at the GFS model. Plus the NHC has been showing an area of concern in this area on their 7 day tropical outlook for the last 2 days at least.
@@othervideos4002 I agree. I've been watching on Tropical Tidbits.
I MUST SAY, I AM IMPRESSED. You clobber every other weather forecast of this potential storm.
I'll stick with the NHC.
These guys should be ashamed to scare the public like this. Follow the NHC forecast with this system.
@@Biggerbyte What were you saying???
This seems like the same setup that flung hurricane Michael towards the Panhandle of Florida in October 2018.
I appreciate your forecast
Nothing stopping it to turn into a monster
It's going to rip roofs from houses like it's paper...
Thank you for being more serious about this and making this call. Most weather sources are simply waiting for this to form but as you explained, it is best to prepare now and know that it is going to form and impact the United States.
Thank you for your video prayers to everyone
This is why long distance predictions are only made by incompetent meteorologist to try to attract people to tune in to their reports. As a person who has saw many Hurricanes in my life, one thing I know is that they are completely unpredictable! The best prediction does not have anything to do with history, it has everything too do with the weather patterns perhaps made when the hurricane is only 3 days out. Even then things can happen, and the Hurricane can move Easterly, or Westerly in minutes. I will bet that this is the first thing taught in Meteorology 101.
"Has saw" 😂
What were you saying???
@@StayAwayRT All their mouths are shut now lmao.
@@Trahzy ong, people are so negative and eager to hate on people its sad
Thank you..Sarasota Fl here.
Need rain.. Sarasota here too..
Great job pushing that far foreward on the forecast. Everyone else says wait till its closer. Thank You ... Subscribed and liked ;)
Wrong. It’s just to scare you
@@thecastle09 it is a start into being able to predict storms further out. Technology is constantly evolving and with ai who knows how far ahead we can track storms in the future. ;)
I hope it doesn't hit Houston again. We got hit by Hurricane Beryl, and we have barely begun to clean up & file insurance claims & start living again. It sucks. Our lives just froze afterwards.
😭😭😭 There goes my Destin, FL trip for Saturday!!!
Louisiana just had a hurricane wtf 🤦♂️
I know right.
Weather warfare. Nothing natural about this.
@@johannedillworth7413Was it weather warfare in the 1800s?
Uh, yeah it's called hurricane season for a reason. Nothing new. We got hit by 4 in 6 weeks in Florida in 2004.
@@Trahzy Pop up instant Cat 5 storms right off shore like Michael are not normal. They can juice them up and evidently do. IDA was one.
Sorrow
You may be the only weather outfit predicting a high level of development but the National Hurricane Center is not even showing this as a Current Disturbance, it does not even rate a yellow X. What do you know that the NHC doesn’t know?
Look at the 7-day graphic. Understand the models take what just happened and extrapolate out 12 days.
You can see some models at tropical tidbits
NHC has been showing this since last weekend.
@@petermarshall7352 …look at the water vapor and infrared satellite loops as well as the radar, scant little there.
@koroba01 Well, looks like AccuWeather was spot on. Eat your words lol.
The knot in my stomach will subside in November, the knot in my stomach will subside in November.
here in Houston, had 2 storms hit us here and did lots of damage, still cleaning up debris
Coworker was just 10 miles off the coast of Alabama and said the water temps were 81 degrees...
That hot water is like jet fuel to a developing system. And here we go! I just watched Tropical Tidbits to see Levi Cowan's breakdown of the models. All the elements are there for a major hurricane hitting somewhere near the Great Bend area of Florida.
I'd be most concerned in MS and AL
Jon, you are the best meteorologist. ❤
Pretty much pay attention to this, a likely issue next week in the Gulf
Seeding the clouds seems to be something done on a regular basis now!!
The “season from hell” never materialized. They are desperate for storms to form because the initial forecast fizzled.
60% chance of development
hmmm hello from Florida. Water temperatures in the Gulf are quite cool, actually, for this time of year ....
Mid 80s to near 90 is cool? That's jet fuel to a developing storm. The coolest temp I could find was 81 on the Atlantic side of Florida up by Jacksonville. The Gulf is cooking right now.
@@HughLlewellyn that's not true at all. I live 8 min from the beach. The water is not that hot.
@@hipmoma Search "NOAA Coastal Water Temperature Guide" and click on the "Near real-time water temperatures on a GIS map" link under the Interactive Map section for current Gulf water temps. The water IS that hot.
Tired
All time heat records!! 4 to 6 degrees above normal. WTF is going on in the ocean?
Oh my gosh… its going to be a CAT 7, I can tell….
Start packing now……
It's going to rip roofs from houses like it's paper...
By all means, if you're living in the Great Bend area of Florida, PAY NO ATTENTION TO THE GIANT SPINNING THING WITH ALL THE WIND AND RAIN AND STORM SURGE NEXT THURSDAY. It's not really there. Carry on.
Its Trumps fault…..
It's going to rip roofs from houses like it's paper...
Fascinating!
Send it boys!!!
You're the only ones predicting this? Then you are just after the fear effect, right? Watching people rushing to the store for suppliies which they may not need. You must be proud of yourself.
If they're in the Big Bend area of Florida, they'll be thanking these guys for the additional couple days heads up by mid week. Maybe the meteorologists know what they're talking about, eh?
@@HughLlewellyn At the most it's going to be a Cat 2. Most Florida residents ride those out. They aren't anything to worry about.
@@debbywoodbeck1105 Oh FFS. Where did you get your meteorology degree? Nevermind, that was rhetorical. Pay no attention, don't prepare, I'm sure you'll be just fine.
@debbywoodbeck1105 I must be in the wrong Florida, because we just had a Cat4 that destroyed a few coastal communities. Nice prediction, professor.
I hope wherever you are, you and yours made it through ok.
Sounds like a false prophet preaching weather instead of a false religion
Trying to get them clicks… Lol
If is a big word
The bald head guy is over doing it. Calm down sir. lol
He really wasn't... Look what it did
I have a feeling it's going to hit Georgia
It`s a nothing burger now
That "nothing burger" is starting to sizzle...
@@HughLlewellyn 😅😅😅
@@Supanova70 This comment aged poorly
@@Supanova70 Still laughing? Yeah. Maybe pay attention to the meteorologists next time, eh? Hope you made it through ok, if you live in the area that got hit.
High Risk
Lol 😂
Its hitting Mississippi
Seems like fear mongering. Maybe because the weather is not exciting enough for you two.
Look what it did, so maybe stop hating smh
They are concerned with getting views.
Sea life can't take the higher ocean tenperatures.
lol Jesus created it and he has it under control
It can't take poachers or more poisons
@@dgyoutube2405 tell that to coral reefs around the world...
Louisiana Hurricane Ida 2021 same path
Get the Honda store and trailer park thanks God....they robbed me😂😂😂😂❤
HADES KARMA
These guys are hyping this system. At one point, there was potential for a problem. As of today, this whole situation is a nothing burger.
Your "nothing burger" is starting to sizzle...
IQ = nothing for Mr. Big
@@Biggerbyte You were saying?
If you are the only source, have you considered you are wrong?
The thing is... they're not the only source. There are several who are watching this very closely along with the National Hurricane Center. It has the potential for very rapid, intense development.
@@watchdogu.s.a.8973…incorrect about the NHC, looked them up moments ago and they do not even have this area listed as a Current Disturbance, not even a yellow X.
They are just trying to warn…. Best to prepare than to be sorry…. Berly killed 38 because of lack of preparation
And here we are three days later and pretty much EVERYBODY is paying attention now. So... yeah. They gave us a few extra days warning on that gyre. Seems like maybe meteorologists might know more about the weather than Joe Schmoe in the comments, eh?
"The only known source." That's not an accurate statement
Yeah... that wasn't accurate AND his grammar was bad, as well.
Ugh...when you say 'Florida' it's almost like saying 'CA or TX' Lol (aka *massive states) 'maybe' simply specify which PART of FL? Otherwise, sorry, feels a bit click baity. I follow a # of other way less known meteorologists & channels who DO absolutely break things down much more precisely.
🙏🏽
Perez William Garcia Ruth Anderson Scott
Horrible coverage. Sensational crap.
Or... possibly they're meterologists who know how these gyres tend to spin up into tropical systems, and with all the jet fuel of high ocean heat content down to a greater depth than usual, coupled with low shear, and the right conditions for rapid intensification if a tropical storm WAS to form from the gyre... tells them that there's a likelihood of a major hurricane with all these elements in place. And... oh look. Now it's been named an Invest and models are showing it forming and bringing it into the Gulf. And now everyone is paying attention to it. And by Thursday lets see how sensationalistic this extra couple days of warning was, shall we?
Look what it did
Whaat 😳
It's coming to New Orleans as a cat 5 moving 5mph.....
@@davidsumrall1523 no it's not lol you don't know we're it's going stop assuming stuff
@@youngmoneysaint813 Yes Think you.
No it is not. However if your curse does come to pass I hope you don’t live out the year
@@johannedillworth7413 did I mention I live in New Orleans????
@@davidsumrall1523 Well then we both get to go to Hell this week. 😈
Reason… ratings
Ratings on TH-cam? No!
Or... maybe they're meteorologists doing their job. Giving you a couple extra days to prepare for a coming hurricane. Because, here we are, 3 days later. Are you paying attention now?
Unfortunately no rain for western Florida
It upgrades almost every day 😡😡😡 even if it’s only by 10%, and this is all while there’s still nothing there.
It's just sad. It's like ghost busters.. tracking something that isn't there. But then again. the higher the "threat" of something coming, the more views they get. But i guess the weather weapons does help
Do you realize that ALL weather forecasts are about something that hasn't happened - yet. Forecast > Future. It's just sad, as you say, that so many people don't seem to the ability to comprehend that simple concept. When a tornado watch is issued... it is for something that hasn't happened but conditions are prime for it to occur. It's the same with this potential hurricane. The reason they're talking so much about this is that, based on all available data, this has the potential to not only form but to become a major... possibly even a category 5... hurricane in a very short amount of time. People won't have a lot of prep time.
@@watchdogu.s.a.8973 Big oil fanboys and smackhead anarchists constantly troll weather forecasts. A good analogy is, that as weather disasters increase due to global warming the more rats you'll see coming out of the sewers.
Well, I"m certainly glad meterologists understand their field of expertise better than you do. It's just sad you don't understand enough of what they do to think it's real. Good thing they know a bit more than you do about using computer models and data for weather prediction, or we'd be back to holding up a finger to figure out which way the wind was blowing, and whoops, big storm just wiped out the coast again. Sit down and eat your crayons and let the adults handle it. Mmkay?
@@HughLlewellyn Awe. that's awesome for you.
Why are you the only one???
🌹💖🙏💖🌹
Cat 4 hitting Tampa, placing my bet now
U sound like u want a cat 4 to hit Florida saying u put your bet of Florida
It's very hard for a hurricane to hit Tampa Florida directly
@@youngmoneysaint813 Accuweather is predicting a major hurricane
@@roxannehudson7410 i won the bet, it was a cat 4
@@Bradimoose You were actually close lol.
✝️🧔🏻♀️🕊️😣😖😫🙏🏾 Not this again! 🌀
My local meteorologist said this morning they won't whete it's headed until sometime next week so I'll defer to him.
Hare Krishna
Hare Krishna
Krishna Krishna
Hare Hare
Hare Rama
Hare Rama
Rama Rama
Hare Hare
Am I missing something or doesn't the map at 1:55 say that Mexico/Texas is more probable historically than Florida? Why keep saying that Florida is more probable?
This guy is way too intense
Who cares time of year part of life mother nature knows