Bitcoin Fair Valuation at 2024 Halving

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 11 มิ.ย. 2022
  • What will the price of #Bitcoin be at the next #Bitcoin halving in 2024? In this video we take a stroll down memory lane and discuss prior projections and where we stand today. While the price has changed a lot since these initial projections were made, and while the path taken was different, the price of #Bitcoin by the next halving still seems to be on track with original expectations.
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    Disclaimer: The information presented within this video is NOT financial advice.
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ความคิดเห็น • 457

  • @intothecryptoverse
    @intothecryptoverse  2 ปีที่แล้ว +45

    Into The Cryptoverse Premium SALE:
    intothecryptoverse.com

    • @morgan7k
      @morgan7k 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      BENYAMINN

    • @patson420
      @patson420 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@ITC_Admin u rock 🔬💪🏽

    • @T7Archive
      @T7Archive ปีที่แล้ว

      @benjamin cowen at 15:00 You were having some great thoughts, i still belive this concept today and its playing out quite well

  • @theredb15
    @theredb15 2 ปีที่แล้ว +261

    This is worlds away a better analysis of the future of Bitcoin than what PlanB had predicted last year. Ben is a legend for keeping it 100% real and honest. Thank you 🙏🏼

    • @ashtremob3341
      @ashtremob3341 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      The best by far. I’m super thankful

  • @packingbone1953
    @packingbone1953 2 ปีที่แล้ว +348

    The only reason I haven’t panicked and sold like in 2017-18 is because of guys like you Ben. Thanks for the knowledge and insight.

    • @SmHy23
      @SmHy23 2 ปีที่แล้ว +19

      Imagine panicking, let alone panic and selling

    • @slimchancejw
      @slimchancejw 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Same thanks Ben!

    • @bobbyamos2098
      @bobbyamos2098 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      That's your only reason?

    • @mushroom11g55
      @mushroom11g55 2 ปีที่แล้ว +20

      Actually if you have been listening, you should've sold so that you can buy back in during the accumulation phaze. It doesn't make sense to hold while it's in a bear market and hasn't done the accumulation phaze yet. During this phaze is when you accumulate crypto

    • @drewezell7658
      @drewezell7658 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@mushroom11g55 Phase*

  • @AdamChilll
    @AdamChilll ปีที่แล้ว +71

    I love to get back to these videos after some time. It's 7 months later and you were spot on. Great job as always Ben! Thank you!

  • @artursrikmanis
    @artursrikmanis ปีที่แล้ว +38

    this aged incredibly well

    • @t_riverrat910
      @t_riverrat910 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Yes it did.

    • @VYC7
      @VYC7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Ben is the man!

  • @marcinwoznica5668
    @marcinwoznica5668 2 ปีที่แล้ว +256

    Ben out of all the crypto channels out there, I think you’re the most educational and realistic channel on youtube. You’re entertaining to watch and you’re very good at articulating every little thing you show. You’re also realistic and don’t sugar coat anything. No stupid thumbnails with creepy faces as well like the other channels out there haha. Keep up the good work.

  • @Huyemorgen
    @Huyemorgen 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Ben, already 1 year passed. Your analysis was right: we reached sub 20's for BTC.

  • @flyingdutchman2649
    @flyingdutchman2649 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    A year later after this video, Benjamin s prediction is the most accurate I have seen.

  • @bhargavnutakki5014
    @bhargavnutakki5014 2 ปีที่แล้ว +115

    I knew BTC halves, but damn i didn't know my port would halve too

  • @EddiXP
    @EddiXP 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Looking back on this makes so much sense now.

  • @Skuddbutt
    @Skuddbutt 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Sub 20K BTC bottom and around 44,000 BTC by 2024
    Well sir its currently Dec 15th 2023 and guess what!!!!!! (you deserve an orange cookie :))

  • @sebfox2194
    @sebfox2194 2 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    It's almost unreal that Bitcoin was over $30k just 3 days ago, considering that it hit $20k today.

  • @jaynoni7355
    @jaynoni7355 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    It's 9months later and frankly, you are still on point. Thanks bro!!!

  • @hadrianos1
    @hadrianos1 7 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Unbelievable, this type of analysis usually arrive when pretty much everyone have already figured everything out, but yours is from 1 year ago!

  • @saymoremccalman4974
    @saymoremccalman4974 9 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Ben definitely knows what he's talking about. I purposely watched this video to compare where the cryptoverse stands, specifically bitcoin and his analysis is damn near spot on!

  • @brian8560
    @brian8560 2 ปีที่แล้ว +181

    We get girlfriends in 2024🥳🥳🥳

  • @dcalikid1
    @dcalikid1 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Love looking at old data. Well done. You are spot on 👏🏼

  • @thegoldenratio1618
    @thegoldenratio1618 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Great video Ben. Are you going to try refitting the upper logarithmic regression band from this cycles peak or are you waiting for a bottom first?

  • @darrencarter8468
    @darrencarter8468 2 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    This info is priceless. Thanks for all you do, Ben!

  • @upbeatsoundstudios660
    @upbeatsoundstudios660 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Love the videos! Knowledge is power, keep it up

  • @raymondscott4781
    @raymondscott4781 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Awesome TA mate! Reaffirmed my long term plan. So reassuring to hear you speak calmly and confidently about your TA. Cheers!

  • @rehanmunshi85
    @rehanmunshi85 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Ben is the best man in crypto
    Everyone else is fighting for #2

  • @JohnnyVonCrypto
    @JohnnyVonCrypto 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great video, as usual. Thanks, Ben! 🙏🏼

  • @mindwis3
    @mindwis3 9 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Pretty accurate, you can revisit this valuation one year on with some pride.

  • @KillaMarci
    @KillaMarci 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Ben, can you make a video on refitting the upper regression band to the most recent double top? What would it look like?

  • @motheomekoe1206
    @motheomekoe1206 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Very informative and always realistic.
    I love your perspective

  • @parothamithai9546
    @parothamithai9546 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Top tier quality content, first class Ben !

  • @rubenmorillo5738
    @rubenmorillo5738 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Awesome video Ben. The best crypto TH-cam channel by far✊

  • @ilegendx5228
    @ilegendx5228 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    After watching your other video posted in 2020 titled: "Bitcoin Fair Valuation at the Next Halving In 2024," I'm here to rewatch this one even though I watched it the first day you posted it two months ago. Informative!

  • @adamasif3089
    @adamasif3089 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Your videos are on point

  • @lorenzo410
    @lorenzo410 2 ปีที่แล้ว +45

    Times like these: macro > technicals. BTC has only seen a bullish economy. Keep that in mind.

    • @jsantan89
      @jsantan89 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Solid point.. barring the March event a couple of years ago

    • @ryanbrisco6639
      @ryanbrisco6639 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I do think there's a bit of recency bias in that statement. I would argue that the uncertainty around BTC for the vast majority of its lifetime has likely negated any correlation to a "bullish economy". From 2009-2017, BTC was "around in a bullish economy" but NO ONE knew what it was. 2018-2019 were horrible bear markets. 2020 saw a black swan event and a then sudden move up due to massive stimulus. This is where your statement actually makes sense (again, only recently was BTC more highly correlated to the stock market and the mania surrounding equities, etc.)
      I agree we don't necessarily know what BTC would do during a macro recession, but to say it has only experienced a bullish economy takes away from the consistent roadblocks it has had to deal with throughout its lifetime.

    • @lorenzo410
      @lorenzo410 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@ryanbrisco6639 I totally agree with your points, that we had some hickups along the way between 2009 until now. But you can't deny that it has never looked as bad e.g. sky high inflation, hawkish fed and highest debt to GDP ratio.

    • @ryanbrisco6639
      @ryanbrisco6639 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@lorenzo410 - absolutely - can't deny that sentiment is currently at an all time low and that we have a bumpy road ahead.

  • @MrMPodcast
    @MrMPodcast 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thanks Ben for another fantastic video 🙏🏽❤️

  • @rafaarce
    @rafaarce 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Your videos age very well. Thank you!

  • @f4zn0m97
    @f4zn0m97 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    So far so good, all analysis has been pretty accurate!👍

  • @888paul8
    @888paul8 ปีที่แล้ว

    Amazing, Ben. Thank you!

  • @80andOllo
    @80andOllo 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Will you please make an updated video like this! Ty

  • @mclucky7086
    @mclucky7086 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Brilliant synopsis. Thanks Ben.

  • @BERNARDO-dj9od
    @BERNARDO-dj9od 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Congrats!! You are the best!!! Amazing content for those who are in the market for the long run!!! Just buy and hold!

  • @fadiqawwas9888
    @fadiqawwas9888 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    one of the best Video i see so far, thanks Ben for a value info. Appreciate it.

  • @smileystevie9662
    @smileystevie9662 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thanks, Ben, for all great analysis that you do.

  • @7sterling
    @7sterling ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Spoiler: it's a 40-50k prediction for fair value in 2024 (not top)

  • @marksalmon8516
    @marksalmon8516 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great ta, certainly the best videos I’m subscribed to

  • @rosemaryfriend
    @rosemaryfriend 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    brilliant Ben thank you.. great overview that gives me a relaxed attitude to the next 12 months

  • @MatthewMortensen1
    @MatthewMortensen1 2 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    What I take from this is have my bags packed by around q2-q3 2023.

  • @rrocketman
    @rrocketman ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Appreciate your work mate

  • @rohitjayasheel
    @rohitjayasheel 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thankyou Ben. Very well explsined.
    🙏🙏🙏

  • @Buttcoiner
    @Buttcoiner ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Crazy watching this again now how right you were! Keep up the great TA

  • @derrickpangilinan
    @derrickpangilinan 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    thanks very much for your videos, hodling is very very painful especially with the increased cost of living. Glad there is someone with a very good probability data to share out there

  • @rickr5927
    @rickr5927 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thanks yet again... I've learned to analyze what you're saying... and that saved my wallet ;-)

  • @Adendaffy
    @Adendaffy 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Pure quality. Thanks!!!

  • @BimboBamboo
    @BimboBamboo 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks Ben for your content

  • @neilmcdaniel
    @neilmcdaniel 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Great insight and data analysis, thanks for what you do

  • @alleyjoy2307
    @alleyjoy2307 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you so much Ben...

  • @muhammadilyas5193
    @muhammadilyas5193 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Man just finished watching this video 11 months after the initial upload you the best I’ve ever seen kudos 🎉

  • @michaelsmith2078
    @michaelsmith2078 ปีที่แล้ว

    Excellent video Ben. Thank You

  • @bootangy
    @bootangy 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    very insightful! ty

  • @Ungeboargh
    @Ungeboargh ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Your channel helps me navigate cryptoverse without stress

  • @ATEFRRR
    @ATEFRRR 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    You are a really really good Educator!!!!! Thanks again Benjamin 👍

  • @loveatfirsthike8248
    @loveatfirsthike8248 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I think your spot on with this. Even with the FtX situation. Perfect time to DCA in and 40k is absolutely fair for halving price!!
    Nice job. We shall see… either way we’ll be there.

  • @JoshPalerLin
    @JoshPalerLin ปีที่แล้ว

    Amazing

  • @jcd9908
    @jcd9908 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    BEAUTIFUL JOB , thx boss !!

  • @olieducationalvideos6203
    @olieducationalvideos6203 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Fantastic video. Thank you 😊

  • @markmciver1981
    @markmciver1981 ปีที่แล้ว

    Looking back on this and Ben's predictions were surprisingly accurate!

  • @krish6128
    @krish6128 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    great analysis Ben, good perspective

  • @coz74
    @coz74 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Really good video Ben. The bitcoin price cycle is hard to predict at the best of times but this video shows a very plausible and realistic probability for the bitcoin price in the future. Any chance of doing a similar video for ETH?

  • @JACk-hv7yf
    @JACk-hv7yf 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Excellent presentation! You are the leader in BTC analysis on the Tube! Kudos!

  • @emenem4225
    @emenem4225 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    This video ages really well , good job ben.

  • @winglau4622
    @winglau4622 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks Ben

  • @braydonsmiley5967
    @braydonsmiley5967 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    just rewatched this tonight, couldn’t hold any more relevancy love your videos ben keep it up always !

  • @henriettatan
    @henriettatan 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great video Ben!

  • @raastyy
    @raastyy 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Your commitment n honesty is not usual in this world , thanks for sharing without shilling or hide interest , pure and natural human being being human . Much love

  • @arnoldfranco9240
    @arnoldfranco9240 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great content! Thank you

  • @showbags7
    @showbags7 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Cheers Beno!

  • @KnowYourKarma
    @KnowYourKarma 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks great info

  • @PugOfWallSt
    @PugOfWallSt 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    thanks for the great videos dude.

  • @coreybarnes3268
    @coreybarnes3268 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Is it best to buy Bitcoin now or when the halving has happened?

  • @AfricanWifeinPakistan
    @AfricanWifeinPakistan ปีที่แล้ว +2

    The best TA on YT ❤️.

  • @Jose-ij9hi
    @Jose-ij9hi ปีที่แล้ว

    Great video. Thanks

  • @Jugaliitb123
    @Jugaliitb123 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    great job men.did you made later version of this ???

  • @gordonjamieson8385
    @gordonjamieson8385 2 ปีที่แล้ว +47

    Ben, your technical analysis and clear explanations are life savers and keeping people calm and avoiding the fomo and helping us make intelligent decisions. This video was outstanding.

    • @theotherguy6155
      @theotherguy6155 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Past performance doesn't equate to future results.
      Just because it's done it before, doesn't mean it will again

    • @alexandrugeorgescu5862
      @alexandrugeorgescu5862 ปีที่แล้ว

      M

    • @AVERYGOODFRIEND95
      @AVERYGOODFRIEND95 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Aged like a fine wine

  • @marcintabedzki3578
    @marcintabedzki3578 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great analysis so far 💪

  • @hpekdemir
    @hpekdemir ปีที่แล้ว +3

    As of end of Nov 2022, this video is aging pretty well :)

  • @grisdoteth
    @grisdoteth 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Looking back at this video and Damn ur goooooood

  • @mathieubernard1471
    @mathieubernard1471 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Such a great video Ben! Turns out you know your stuff pretty well!

  • @Chris-P
    @Chris-P 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hello benji, thanks

  • @graemescott4184
    @graemescott4184 ปีที่แล้ว

    I would love to see a forecast of when in the future these two regression bands merge and presumably we get more stabilisation of the volatility. I've been watching your old videos and your forecasts have been incredible, so I'd just be really curious about this. Presumably that's a point where it becomes less strategic to buy the high highs and sell the low lows as they'll be harder to predict or diagnose. Great videos, Ben!

  • @adsonlucena
    @adsonlucena 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    this is precious! greetings from Brazil

  • @johannes6760
    @johannes6760 2 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Damn this is going to be a boring 2 years of unexciting price action.

  • @WitOn4Wheelz
    @WitOn4Wheelz 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Benjamin, I've been following you as well as other bitcoin TH-camrs and you sir are the very best! You're nothing less than absolutely honest and legit analyst I've ever come across, whether it's stocks bonds or cryptocurrency. Obviously by looking through the comments I'm here I'm not alone in praising you for your honesty and your fairness. Thank you so very much for doing what you do.

    • @aquamarine0023
      @aquamarine0023 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      So agreed. Ben has been absolutely level-headed all along. Even the handful of people that I thought were also fairly level-headed, I regret listening to as they kept advocating for everything to keep going up and some promoting coins like THETA which is now in the toilet at around $1 which I've lost a bunch on. Lesson learned and I will stick with people like Ben.

  • @gfdfggghfg2965
    @gfdfggghfg2965 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks ben

  • @tdtesla
    @tdtesla 2 ปีที่แล้ว +17

    Are you coming back to DCA Ben?

    • @Finkinsify
      @Finkinsify 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@777jrg oh really, what kind of characters?

    • @ArenzanaBuhl
      @ArenzanaBuhl 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@Finkinsify Ran

  • @tudzy1068
    @tudzy1068 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thanks Ben. Awesome content! Is it just me or does the fair evaluation cycles look like Ray Dalios work on identifying cycles?? Trippy

  • @ParisFisherGolf
    @ParisFisherGolf 8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Gonna rewatch this one tonight 👊🏻👊🏻, algo reccomended this today , thanks Benjamin u da man.

    • @ParisFisherGolf
      @ParisFisherGolf 8 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Below 23k 👊🏻👊🏻

  • @jamesjamieson8008
    @jamesjamieson8008 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Brilliant video Ben! Your analysis is indispensable in these trying times.

  • @picadosinferno
    @picadosinferno ปีที่แล้ว +1

    3 months after this video and we are holding at around $20k. Looking forward to hit the bottom to buy in more. Thanks.

  • @binancebottrx8304
    @binancebottrx8304 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    thanks Benjamin for the good T.A

  • @geob1438
    @geob1438 ปีที่แล้ว

    @Benjamin Cowen Would love to see an updated version of this video considering everything going on in 2023 atm!!

  • @sebastianpeters5671
    @sebastianpeters5671 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Is it time for a update on this one? ;)

  • @andreiandrei3963
    @andreiandrei3963 ปีที่แล้ว

    Just fantastic materials to learn thx

  • @thabilesokupa
    @thabilesokupa 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Such a somber video but truthful and once you except reality it’s when you start planning accordingly