I have no clue how one rotface fits inside another rotface. But how that other rotface has another rotface inside it is a question that philosophers will never be able to understand.
I just did the math, there are 104 legendaries in standard that rotface can summon, so the chance that a rotface spawns a rotface that spawns a rotface that spawns a rotface is 1 in 1124864, or just about 0.0001%.
Attelino I counted 100, I think you counted golden ones twice or something, having 100 would make the math easier but you also have to account for the legendaries that weren't rotface so it isn't .0001.
that's the odds of it happening within 4 triggers. if you start to take into account triggers that don't spawn a rotface it'd take a super computer to calculate the odds
Ahehehem: The distribution of number of Rotfaces summoned by Rotface is binomial, with P(Rotface) being 1/105 (Or so I am told by the comments - even if its wrong its close enough to be negligible). 7 Legendaries were summoned by Rotfaces, with 3 of those legendaries being Rotfaces, not counting the Rotface played from hand. Thus, the probability of this event by Binomial model is: (7C3)(1/105)^3(104/105)^4 Simplifying, this gives a probability of 0.00290988%, unless I've fucked my calculations. > end stats rant
This isn't quite right, because the first Rotface needs to summon a second Rotface before dying, and in this game it only survived damage twice. The numerator in your calculation includes situations where 2 non-Rotface legendaries are summoned in the first two hits and then later damage summons other Rotfaces, which would not have been possible in this game. The distribution is unfortunately more complicated.
Daniel Studenmund I suppose you are correct. I'm therefore solving the somewhat simpler issue of "Given 7 Rotface Summons, what is the likelihood that exactly 3 are Rotface." Come to think, it would be more useful to answer the question "What is the likelihood of three _or more_ Rotfaces." The matter of "Summoning 4 or more total Rotfaces from one original Rotface" is more interesting. I'll give that some thought.
All those years of practice with patron, now come in handy while figuring out how to maximize rotface value. 3:35 - Should have bumped with rotface and Valkyr before attacking with razor - + 1injured leg on board , + 1 injured ghoul = +2 draws with Battle Rage 7 crystals remaining - Trade in your 2/1 ghoul Play whirlwind + 2 legendaries from 2 rotfaces, + 1 ghoul - Valkyr is 1/1. Trade her in 5 crystals remain Play razor + 2 Legendaries 1 crystal left over Missed value: 4 legendaries, 2 cards, developed razor, 6 mana unspent
Vitor Dias Yeah I was wondering why I felt such an affinity for this deck, and then I remembered Kibler was playing dragon decks while I was playing with patrons lol
everything was happening so fast that it's easy to get confused. obviously it's easier to go back after the fact and look at it paused and see the correct play, but that's because you have no time restraint.
wew lad I see what you're saying, and I don't mean to brag, but for me and many other players who got hundreds of hours with patron, we didn't need to pause the video, we got used to making these lines in real time, even while roping and queing attacks mid-Hey Everyone-ing.
Vitor Dias In summary: ears ringing, jaw fractured, three ribs cracked, four broken, diaphragm hemorrhaging. Physical recovery time: six weeks. Full psychological recovery time: six months. Capacity to spit on back of head: neutralized.
So, there are 123 legendaries in standard. Therefore the odds of getting Rotface on the first damage of Rotface are the same as the odds of getting any particular legendary, 1/123. Getting the same legendary 4 times out of 6 is just (1/123)^6, as these events are independent and don't influence the outcome of the next. This is about 2.89x10^-13, or 2.89x10^-11%. Of course, getting 4 Rotfaces, a Mukla, and an Onyxia is just as likely as any other particular sequence of 6 legendaries, as counter intuitive as that may seem, because each time the event happens, every single legendary has the same probability of being summoned, 1/123.
Technically it's (1/105)^4 * (104/105)^2. That's the probability of getting the same thing 4 times and then the other 2 times getting something different. That (104/105)^2 is pretty close to 1 though so it isn't that large of a shift.
This video -> Lovely soothing music plays while a stitched together abomination gets cut apart revealing more abominations that were inside him the whole time.
Okay. To break this down for every one that first Rotface must of technically had 3 Rotfaces, a Mukla,whatever prince that was, and to top it all off, it had Y'shaarj.
I *LOVE* it. Your opponent's mind was racing the same way it does when there's 16/25 players alive in a raid encounter. *"FUCK FUCK. WE CAN STILL BEAT THIS BOSS, WE CAN TURN IT AROUND! STAY OUT OF THE FIRES, STOP ACCIDENTALLY SPAWNING ADDS! OH MY GOD.. WIPE IT.."*
I've only had rotface once, off of a discover effect, and it had a similar thing happen. I suspect it might be bugged, or intentionally skewed to favor rotface higher than any other legendary.
For evebody trying to do the math, here you go Few points first: 1. He needed 5 procs to get 4th rotface (Overall he got 7) 2. There are 104 legendary minions in standard right now (i might be wrong on this one, but it does not really matter, just change number a bit if there are more/less legendaries 3. Even tho he got 4 rotfaces, he only got 3 from procs (Getting rotface after playing rotface is 100% chance :-D) This brings us to the math (if I'm not wrong) (5 ncr 3) * (1 / 104)^3 * (103/104)^2 = 0.000872% making it roughly once in a 114.681 tries If we would take into account all 7 procs he got in game with 3 rotfaces it would be very similliar (7 ncr 3) * (1/104)^3 * (103/104)^4 = 0.0311% making it roughly once in 321 tries I haven't seen these numbers anywhere in comments, so I may be wrong, so feel free to correct me if that's the case.
Rotface was my first not death card legendary from this expansion and he is by far the funnest despite every1 saying he was trash even his animations are awesome!
Haha! I tried a deck like this out only not as well thought out or put together.. i used the animated berserkers to cast minions like rotface and the valkyrie.. for automatic value when dropped in the board.. dropped the whirlwinds.. but i saw myself focusing too much on damaging my own stuff and my opponents were able to still build a board.. but i had a rotface that i got to proc about 4-5 times that went crazy.. there is potential with a tempo/mid enrage type of warrior i think... good game!
I have no clue how one rotface fits inside another rotface. But how that other rotface has another rotface inside it is a question that philosophers will never be able to understand.
The Penguin did it
kadachi16 the second rotface has 2 in it
They used Grim Patrons to construct Rotface obviously.
You dare question the genius of Professor Putricide?!
Mitosis.
I just did the math, there are 104 legendaries in standard that rotface can summon, so the chance that a rotface spawns a rotface that spawns a rotface that spawns a rotface is 1 in 1124864, or just about 0.0001%.
Attelino I counted 100, I think you counted golden ones twice or something, having 100 would make the math easier but you also have to account for the legendaries that weren't rotface so it isn't .0001.
You also forgot that we had multiple triggers.
[[not in character]] but wouldn't it be (1/105)^4, or 0.000000822702475%?
that's the odds of it happening within 4 triggers. if you start to take into account triggers that don't spawn a rotface it'd take a super computer to calculate the odds
Attelino except this is hearthstone, so the actual odds are 50/50
When I trigger rotface: 2/2 Edwin vanqueef
feels bad man...
aspiring meme lord When I trigger rotface 1/1 shifter zerus
aspiring meme lord I've gotten patches 3 different times
nat the darkfisher
You know whats better than the Brotherhood though? BEING IN CHARGE NOW!!
Rotface: Rotting legendaries for you
Best feel when rotface gets you confessor in wild to spice them memes up.
Ultra Saur I got tirion and the lich king from rotface, THE DREAM
Ahehehem:
The distribution of number of Rotfaces summoned by Rotface is binomial, with P(Rotface) being 1/105 (Or so I am told by the comments - even if its wrong its close enough to be negligible).
7 Legendaries were summoned by Rotfaces, with 3 of those legendaries being Rotfaces, not counting the Rotface played from hand. Thus, the probability of this event by Binomial model is: (7C3)(1/105)^3(104/105)^4
Simplifying, this gives a probability of 0.00290988%, unless I've fucked my calculations.
> end stats rant
TheEvilFishAssassin thank you someone who actually understands statistics.
Sim Tard Sure. The exact fraction is... well, horrifying. But the approximate is 1/34,366
Ayy the math is exactly right. With the power invested in me by my B+ in intro stats, I award you with a like.
This isn't quite right, because the first Rotface needs to summon a second Rotface before dying, and in this game it only survived damage twice. The numerator in your calculation includes situations where 2 non-Rotface legendaries are summoned in the first two hits and then later damage summons other Rotfaces, which would not have been possible in this game. The distribution is unfortunately more complicated.
Daniel Studenmund I suppose you are correct. I'm therefore solving the somewhat simpler issue of "Given 7 Rotface Summons, what is the likelihood that exactly 3 are Rotface." Come to think, it would be more useful to answer the question "What is the likelihood of three _or more_ Rotfaces."
The matter of "Summoning 4 or more total Rotfaces from one original Rotface" is more interesting. I'll give that some thought.
I could've sworn patron rotated out of standard
_"No One has ever done that, no One has ever done that in the history of __-Dota-__ Hearthstone"_
Everyone knows if you cut a small piece off your Rotface, you can grow a new Rotface. That's just science.
All those years of practice with patron, now come in handy while figuring out how to maximize rotface value.
3:35 - Should have bumped with rotface and Valkyr before attacking with razor - + 1injured leg on board , + 1 injured ghoul = +2 draws with Battle Rage
7 crystals remaining -
Trade in your 2/1 ghoul
Play whirlwind
+ 2 legendaries from 2 rotfaces, + 1 ghoul - Valkyr is 1/1. Trade her in
5 crystals remain
Play razor
+ 2 Legendaries
1 crystal left over
Missed value: 4 legendaries, 2 cards, developed razor, 6 mana unspent
Vitor Dias Yeah I was wondering why I felt such an affinity for this deck, and then I remembered Kibler was playing dragon decks while I was playing with patrons lol
everything was happening so fast that it's easy to get confused. obviously it's easier to go back after the fact and look at it paused and see the correct play, but that's because you have no time restraint.
wew lad I see what you're saying, and I don't mean to brag, but for me and many other players who got hundreds of hours with patron, we didn't need to pause the video, we got used to making these lines in real time, even while roping and queing attacks mid-Hey Everyone-ing.
Vitor Dias In summary: ears ringing, jaw fractured, three ribs cracked, four broken, diaphragm hemorrhaging. Physical recovery time: six weeks. Full psychological recovery time: six months. Capacity to spit on back of head: neutralized.
G Ing fuckin nice reference
Yogg Saron: I am helping.
*Cast tons of spells to benefit the enemy*
i see they buffed patron
Man Kibler has always the best beats in his Videos ! Love it
0:47 Trap hunter sounds interesting. The question is, is it gay ?
These are the questions that keep me awake at 2am
It's not gay if it has a feminine putricide.
Probably the most insane match ive ever witnessed.
For anyone wondering, those odds are about 0.0007151% after my calculations. Also, I just made that shit up.
So, there are 123 legendaries in standard. Therefore the odds of getting Rotface on the first damage of Rotface are the same as the odds of getting any particular legendary, 1/123. Getting the same legendary 4 times out of 6 is just (1/123)^6, as these events are independent and don't influence the outcome of the next.
This is about 2.89x10^-13, or 2.89x10^-11%. Of course, getting 4 Rotfaces, a Mukla, and an Onyxia is just as likely as any other particular sequence of 6 legendaries, as counter intuitive as that may seem, because each time the event happens, every single legendary has the same probability of being summoned, 1/123.
105 Legendary minions bro. The 9 Quests and Death Knights respectively cannot be summoned by Rotface.
ah, of course. I guess it's (1/105)^6 = 7.46x10^-13
[[not in character]] actually it is 0.000000822702475% = (1/105)^4
Technically it's (1/105)^4 * (104/105)^2. That's the probability of getting the same thing 4 times and then the other 2 times getting something different. That (104/105)^2 is pretty close to 1 though so it isn't that large of a shift.
LMAO that amazing music coupling during Yogg-Rotface epidemic was perfect!
This video -> Lovely soothing music plays while a stitched together abomination gets cut apart revealing more abominations that were inside him the whole time.
Brian you need to release a ringtone pack with all your most used gaming phrases like "get'em" "boom" "suuuuure"
Lol at first i was frustrated to see kibler make missplays then all logic just went out the window and nobody knew what the fuck was happening lmao
I never re-watch hearthstone games. Today was the exception.
Can we talk about how that music at the end was perfect?!?!
That's like rolling a die, getting the highest number, then have the dice explode into smaller dice that all roll the highest number.
Rotface is basically Confessor Paletress for Warriors
Okay. To break this down for every one that first Rotface must of technically had 3 Rotfaces, a Mukla,whatever prince that was, and to top it all off, it had Y'shaarj.
Brian's thumbnail face gets crazier every vid
Hearing Kibler laugh that hard made me laugh just as hard haha.
that yogg was like: dude you lost, just face it
This rotfaces are grimpatrons in disguise
Kibler going full Joker at the end. I whould too.
Background music is soo good on this vid compared to others! Loving it!
even kibbles is surprised by those developments
Kibler gets Rotface into Rotface into Rotface, I get Rotface into Milhouse and Patches.
This deck looks super fun. If only I had rotface.
My friend made a Rotface deck he called "You Spin Me Right Round." Managed to win one whole game.
The new Grim Patron. Feels Good Man
"HEY EVERYONE, GET IN HERE"
-Rotface 2017
I *LOVE* it. Your opponent's mind was racing the same way it does when there's 16/25 players alive in a raid encounter. *"FUCK FUCK. WE CAN STILL BEAT THIS BOSS, WE CAN TURN IT AROUND! STAY OUT OF THE FIRES, STOP ACCIDENTALLY SPAWNING ADDS! OH MY GOD.. WIPE IT.."*
If I'd use a rotface I'd get welcomed with a millhouse manastorm
Grim Patron is gone, but his son Rotface is here.
Rotface thought he was Grim Patron today
Wow Kibler... The odds of you getting 4 rot faces in a row is astronomical. You should play the lottery more often.
Rotface on board at 2:50
Kibler is literally the RNG king.
The elusive Matryoshka Doll Rotface.
my boi rotfaic crackin open a whirlywindy one wit the boys
When you really want to play grim patron in KFT
That was a mistake not activating rot face as soon as possible.
Wow that is actually amazing. Well done RNGesus
what's the song going on in the background at the start?
*(Singing)* Sending that to Trolden, pam-por-lum-pum~
I've only had rotface once, off of a discover effect, and it had a similar thing happen. I suspect it might be bugged, or intentionally skewed to favor rotface higher than any other legendary.
See how easy it is to beat jade druid? Just get 4 rotface and you're fine!!!
There are some streamers where I turn off the sound while watching them play, but not when I watch this smart guy play :)
Rotfaceception
Lebakas Rotpocalypse
Heard you like Rotface. So we summons Rotface with your Rotface.
Whats that 4/4 legendary called, the one created at the end?
Thank you friend.
It is called useless
Actually, it has been used as an anti-aggressive tool in decks such as miracle rogue. Bad, yes, useless, no
kibler.exe has stopped responding
8 mana 4/6 Grim Patron which can also summon minions larger than itself? Count me in!
For evebody trying to do the math, here you go
Few points first:
1. He needed 5 procs to get 4th rotface (Overall he got 7)
2. There are 104 legendary minions in standard right now (i might be wrong on this one, but it does not really matter, just change number a bit if there are more/less legendaries
3. Even tho he got 4 rotfaces, he only got 3 from procs (Getting rotface after playing rotface is 100% chance :-D)
This brings us to the math (if I'm not wrong)
(5 ncr 3) * (1 / 104)^3 * (103/104)^2 = 0.000872% making it roughly once in a 114.681 tries
If we would take into account all 7 procs he got in game with 3 rotfaces it would be very similliar
(7 ncr 3) * (1/104)^3 * (103/104)^4 = 0.0311% making it roughly once in 321 tries
I haven't seen these numbers anywhere in comments, so I may be wrong, so feel free to correct me if that's the case.
Rotface
Whenever this minion survives damage summon another Rotface
patron is back better than ever baby!
After watching this video, I cant stop smiling... So this is what it feels like to be Brian
Crazy odds, unless there is some secret weighted value to Rotface spawning himself like how class cards are more probable to be discovered.
still my fav video from you kibler
WoW! This game defines value... :) Thanks for the videos, keep em coming.
How many licks does it take to get to the center of a rotsie pop?
God I wish some kind of Tempo Warrior with Rotface turns out to be viable. Doesn't look too hopeful right now, but an Ethereal can dream...
Is that a bug? The chance of that happening is like...so low
first time i see that deck, already love it
rotface the new grim patron
Rotface was my first not death card legendary from this expansion and he is by far the funnest despite every1 saying he was trash even his animations are awesome!
I am thoroughly upset this was not titled "The Rot-Pocalypse"
this just made me so happy
EVERYROT, GET IN HERE!
New patron warrior seems pretty good
Haha! I tried a deck like this out only not as well thought out or put together.. i used the animated berserkers to cast minions like rotface and the valkyrie.. for automatic value when dropped in the board.. dropped the whirlwinds.. but i saw myself focusing too much on damaging my own stuff and my opponents were able to still build a board.. but i had a rotface that i got to proc about 4-5 times that went crazy.. there is potential with a tempo/mid enrage type of warrior i think... good game!
everyface get in here
I Love you Kibler. From the Bottom of my Heart. ❤
This game triggered my PTSD.
Is that Brian ,,Don't call me Brian,, Kibler, from Kibler gaming, founded by Brian ,,Don't call me Brian,, Kibler?
That is Brian "Please don't call me Brian 'Brian Kibler' Kibler" Kibler.
Imre Eszenyi, Dude, I have this guy on the phone, who goes by the name of Ramses II, that says he wants his joke back.
Nice choice ofa background music
*Daddy makes TOYS out of YOU!*
Damn Brian thats a nice tune u got on this video :D
This guys excitement for this game is unprecedented lol. I had a literal poker face while this was happening.
The spirit of Brode was with ye
Asking the real question tho... Where dafaq did Festergut go? :S
Kage Rotface no jutsu
the background music keeps making me check to see what other thing I have open that is playing random music.
What "rotten" luck! 😂
One of the first time someone used Rotface on me, he got Baron Fucking Geddon.
I know things had an occurrence bonus in arena, but this is ridiculous.
Reminds me off murloc knight into murloc knight
this remembered me to grim patron
Robbie Rotten aproves
You made toys out of him.
You cannot put value the value of that rotface
What can i add instead of King Mosh?
Are Rotface decks the new Patron?
Patron and Rotface have the same ability just the text is a little different
Any replacement for Mosh?
Julian Reichstein deathwing :)
Brawl for lower budget.