I have no clue how one rotface fits inside another rotface. But how that other rotface has another rotface inside it is a question that philosophers will never be able to understand.
I just did the math, there are 104 legendaries in standard that rotface can summon, so the chance that a rotface spawns a rotface that spawns a rotface that spawns a rotface is 1 in 1124864, or just about 0.0001%.
Attelino I counted 100, I think you counted golden ones twice or something, having 100 would make the math easier but you also have to account for the legendaries that weren't rotface so it isn't .0001.
that's the odds of it happening within 4 triggers. if you start to take into account triggers that don't spawn a rotface it'd take a super computer to calculate the odds
Ahehehem: The distribution of number of Rotfaces summoned by Rotface is binomial, with P(Rotface) being 1/105 (Or so I am told by the comments - even if its wrong its close enough to be negligible). 7 Legendaries were summoned by Rotfaces, with 3 of those legendaries being Rotfaces, not counting the Rotface played from hand. Thus, the probability of this event by Binomial model is: (7C3)(1/105)^3(104/105)^4 Simplifying, this gives a probability of 0.00290988%, unless I've fucked my calculations. > end stats rant
This isn't quite right, because the first Rotface needs to summon a second Rotface before dying, and in this game it only survived damage twice. The numerator in your calculation includes situations where 2 non-Rotface legendaries are summoned in the first two hits and then later damage summons other Rotfaces, which would not have been possible in this game. The distribution is unfortunately more complicated.
Daniel Studenmund I suppose you are correct. I'm therefore solving the somewhat simpler issue of "Given 7 Rotface Summons, what is the likelihood that exactly 3 are Rotface." Come to think, it would be more useful to answer the question "What is the likelihood of three _or more_ Rotfaces." The matter of "Summoning 4 or more total Rotfaces from one original Rotface" is more interesting. I'll give that some thought.
All those years of practice with patron, now come in handy while figuring out how to maximize rotface value. 3:35 - Should have bumped with rotface and Valkyr before attacking with razor - + 1injured leg on board , + 1 injured ghoul = +2 draws with Battle Rage 7 crystals remaining - Trade in your 2/1 ghoul Play whirlwind + 2 legendaries from 2 rotfaces, + 1 ghoul - Valkyr is 1/1. Trade her in 5 crystals remain Play razor + 2 Legendaries 1 crystal left over Missed value: 4 legendaries, 2 cards, developed razor, 6 mana unspent
Vitor Dias Yeah I was wondering why I felt such an affinity for this deck, and then I remembered Kibler was playing dragon decks while I was playing with patrons lol
everything was happening so fast that it's easy to get confused. obviously it's easier to go back after the fact and look at it paused and see the correct play, but that's because you have no time restraint.
wew lad I see what you're saying, and I don't mean to brag, but for me and many other players who got hundreds of hours with patron, we didn't need to pause the video, we got used to making these lines in real time, even while roping and queing attacks mid-Hey Everyone-ing.
Vitor Dias In summary: ears ringing, jaw fractured, three ribs cracked, four broken, diaphragm hemorrhaging. Physical recovery time: six weeks. Full psychological recovery time: six months. Capacity to spit on back of head: neutralized.
So, there are 123 legendaries in standard. Therefore the odds of getting Rotface on the first damage of Rotface are the same as the odds of getting any particular legendary, 1/123. Getting the same legendary 4 times out of 6 is just (1/123)^6, as these events are independent and don't influence the outcome of the next. This is about 2.89x10^-13, or 2.89x10^-11%. Of course, getting 4 Rotfaces, a Mukla, and an Onyxia is just as likely as any other particular sequence of 6 legendaries, as counter intuitive as that may seem, because each time the event happens, every single legendary has the same probability of being summoned, 1/123.
Technically it's (1/105)^4 * (104/105)^2. That's the probability of getting the same thing 4 times and then the other 2 times getting something different. That (104/105)^2 is pretty close to 1 though so it isn't that large of a shift.
For evebody trying to do the math, here you go Few points first: 1. He needed 5 procs to get 4th rotface (Overall he got 7) 2. There are 104 legendary minions in standard right now (i might be wrong on this one, but it does not really matter, just change number a bit if there are more/less legendaries 3. Even tho he got 4 rotfaces, he only got 3 from procs (Getting rotface after playing rotface is 100% chance :-D) This brings us to the math (if I'm not wrong) (5 ncr 3) * (1 / 104)^3 * (103/104)^2 = 0.000872% making it roughly once in a 114.681 tries If we would take into account all 7 procs he got in game with 3 rotfaces it would be very similliar (7 ncr 3) * (1/104)^3 * (103/104)^4 = 0.0311% making it roughly once in 321 tries I haven't seen these numbers anywhere in comments, so I may be wrong, so feel free to correct me if that's the case.
This video -> Lovely soothing music plays while a stitched together abomination gets cut apart revealing more abominations that were inside him the whole time.
I *LOVE* it. Your opponent's mind was racing the same way it does when there's 16/25 players alive in a raid encounter. *"FUCK FUCK. WE CAN STILL BEAT THIS BOSS, WE CAN TURN IT AROUND! STAY OUT OF THE FIRES, STOP ACCIDENTALLY SPAWNING ADDS! OH MY GOD.. WIPE IT.."*
Okay. To break this down for every one that first Rotface must of technically had 3 Rotfaces, a Mukla,whatever prince that was, and to top it all off, it had Y'shaarj.
I've only had rotface once, off of a discover effect, and it had a similar thing happen. I suspect it might be bugged, or intentionally skewed to favor rotface higher than any other legendary.
Haha! I tried a deck like this out only not as well thought out or put together.. i used the animated berserkers to cast minions like rotface and the valkyrie.. for automatic value when dropped in the board.. dropped the whirlwinds.. but i saw myself focusing too much on damaging my own stuff and my opponents were able to still build a board.. but i had a rotface that i got to proc about 4-5 times that went crazy.. there is potential with a tempo/mid enrage type of warrior i think... good game!
Rotface was my first not death card legendary from this expansion and he is by far the funnest despite every1 saying he was trash even his animations are awesome!
How good is Rotface? I got him from a random pack and I'm not sure whether he can fit into my Control Warrior or Dragon Warrior decks. Any suggestions?
NerdSpartanPerson He has a lot of value in a deck around him and other whirlwind since the turn you play him you are almost guaranteed 2 legendaries with a bloodrazor deathrattle and any of your other AoE's (new hero power, whirlwind, sleep with the fishes if it also clears the opponents board, etc.). It's a pretty good finisher for a more tempo/midrangey warrior but I wouldn't stick it into an actual control deck since your only activators are like slam and ghoul (and new hero power if you run death knight since the weapon is so amazing in a control deck).
I have no clue how one rotface fits inside another rotface. But how that other rotface has another rotface inside it is a question that philosophers will never be able to understand.
The Penguin did it
kadachi16 the second rotface has 2 in it
They used Grim Patrons to construct Rotface obviously.
You dare question the genius of Professor Putricide?!
Mitosis.
I just did the math, there are 104 legendaries in standard that rotface can summon, so the chance that a rotface spawns a rotface that spawns a rotface that spawns a rotface is 1 in 1124864, or just about 0.0001%.
Attelino I counted 100, I think you counted golden ones twice or something, having 100 would make the math easier but you also have to account for the legendaries that weren't rotface so it isn't .0001.
You also forgot that we had multiple triggers.
[[not in character]] but wouldn't it be (1/105)^4, or 0.000000822702475%?
that's the odds of it happening within 4 triggers. if you start to take into account triggers that don't spawn a rotface it'd take a super computer to calculate the odds
Attelino except this is hearthstone, so the actual odds are 50/50
When I trigger rotface: 2/2 Edwin vanqueef
feels bad man...
aspiring meme lord When I trigger rotface 1/1 shifter zerus
aspiring meme lord I've gotten patches 3 different times
nat the darkfisher
You know whats better than the Brotherhood though? BEING IN CHARGE NOW!!
Rotface: Rotting legendaries for you
Best feel when rotface gets you confessor in wild to spice them memes up.
Ultra Saur I got tirion and the lich king from rotface, THE DREAM
Ahehehem:
The distribution of number of Rotfaces summoned by Rotface is binomial, with P(Rotface) being 1/105 (Or so I am told by the comments - even if its wrong its close enough to be negligible).
7 Legendaries were summoned by Rotfaces, with 3 of those legendaries being Rotfaces, not counting the Rotface played from hand. Thus, the probability of this event by Binomial model is: (7C3)(1/105)^3(104/105)^4
Simplifying, this gives a probability of 0.00290988%, unless I've fucked my calculations.
> end stats rant
TheEvilFishAssassin thank you someone who actually understands statistics.
Sim Tard Sure. The exact fraction is... well, horrifying. But the approximate is 1/34,366
Ayy the math is exactly right. With the power invested in me by my B+ in intro stats, I award you with a like.
This isn't quite right, because the first Rotface needs to summon a second Rotface before dying, and in this game it only survived damage twice. The numerator in your calculation includes situations where 2 non-Rotface legendaries are summoned in the first two hits and then later damage summons other Rotfaces, which would not have been possible in this game. The distribution is unfortunately more complicated.
Daniel Studenmund I suppose you are correct. I'm therefore solving the somewhat simpler issue of "Given 7 Rotface Summons, what is the likelihood that exactly 3 are Rotface." Come to think, it would be more useful to answer the question "What is the likelihood of three _or more_ Rotfaces."
The matter of "Summoning 4 or more total Rotfaces from one original Rotface" is more interesting. I'll give that some thought.
All those years of practice with patron, now come in handy while figuring out how to maximize rotface value.
3:35 - Should have bumped with rotface and Valkyr before attacking with razor - + 1injured leg on board , + 1 injured ghoul = +2 draws with Battle Rage
7 crystals remaining -
Trade in your 2/1 ghoul
Play whirlwind
+ 2 legendaries from 2 rotfaces, + 1 ghoul - Valkyr is 1/1. Trade her in
5 crystals remain
Play razor
+ 2 Legendaries
1 crystal left over
Missed value: 4 legendaries, 2 cards, developed razor, 6 mana unspent
Vitor Dias Yeah I was wondering why I felt such an affinity for this deck, and then I remembered Kibler was playing dragon decks while I was playing with patrons lol
everything was happening so fast that it's easy to get confused. obviously it's easier to go back after the fact and look at it paused and see the correct play, but that's because you have no time restraint.
wew lad I see what you're saying, and I don't mean to brag, but for me and many other players who got hundreds of hours with patron, we didn't need to pause the video, we got used to making these lines in real time, even while roping and queing attacks mid-Hey Everyone-ing.
Vitor Dias In summary: ears ringing, jaw fractured, three ribs cracked, four broken, diaphragm hemorrhaging. Physical recovery time: six weeks. Full psychological recovery time: six months. Capacity to spit on back of head: neutralized.
G Ing fuckin nice reference
I could've sworn patron rotated out of standard
Everyone knows if you cut a small piece off your Rotface, you can grow a new Rotface. That's just science.
Yogg Saron: I am helping.
*Cast tons of spells to benefit the enemy*
_"No One has ever done that, no One has ever done that in the history of __-Dota-__ Hearthstone"_
For anyone wondering, those odds are about 0.0007151% after my calculations. Also, I just made that shit up.
So, there are 123 legendaries in standard. Therefore the odds of getting Rotface on the first damage of Rotface are the same as the odds of getting any particular legendary, 1/123. Getting the same legendary 4 times out of 6 is just (1/123)^6, as these events are independent and don't influence the outcome of the next.
This is about 2.89x10^-13, or 2.89x10^-11%. Of course, getting 4 Rotfaces, a Mukla, and an Onyxia is just as likely as any other particular sequence of 6 legendaries, as counter intuitive as that may seem, because each time the event happens, every single legendary has the same probability of being summoned, 1/123.
105 Legendary minions bro. The 9 Quests and Death Knights respectively cannot be summoned by Rotface.
ah, of course. I guess it's (1/105)^6 = 7.46x10^-13
[[not in character]] actually it is 0.000000822702475% = (1/105)^4
Technically it's (1/105)^4 * (104/105)^2. That's the probability of getting the same thing 4 times and then the other 2 times getting something different. That (104/105)^2 is pretty close to 1 though so it isn't that large of a shift.
0:47 Trap hunter sounds interesting. The question is, is it gay ?
These are the questions that keep me awake at 2am
It's not gay if it has a feminine putricide.
LMAO that amazing music coupling during Yogg-Rotface epidemic was perfect!
Man Kibler has always the best beats in his Videos ! Love it
i see they buffed patron
Probably the most insane match ive ever witnessed.
For evebody trying to do the math, here you go
Few points first:
1. He needed 5 procs to get 4th rotface (Overall he got 7)
2. There are 104 legendary minions in standard right now (i might be wrong on this one, but it does not really matter, just change number a bit if there are more/less legendaries
3. Even tho he got 4 rotfaces, he only got 3 from procs (Getting rotface after playing rotface is 100% chance :-D)
This brings us to the math (if I'm not wrong)
(5 ncr 3) * (1 / 104)^3 * (103/104)^2 = 0.000872% making it roughly once in a 114.681 tries
If we would take into account all 7 procs he got in game with 3 rotfaces it would be very similliar
(7 ncr 3) * (1/104)^3 * (103/104)^4 = 0.0311% making it roughly once in 321 tries
I haven't seen these numbers anywhere in comments, so I may be wrong, so feel free to correct me if that's the case.
This video -> Lovely soothing music plays while a stitched together abomination gets cut apart revealing more abominations that were inside him the whole time.
Lol at first i was frustrated to see kibler make missplays then all logic just went out the window and nobody knew what the fuck was happening lmao
I *LOVE* it. Your opponent's mind was racing the same way it does when there's 16/25 players alive in a raid encounter. *"FUCK FUCK. WE CAN STILL BEAT THIS BOSS, WE CAN TURN IT AROUND! STAY OUT OF THE FIRES, STOP ACCIDENTALLY SPAWNING ADDS! OH MY GOD.. WIPE IT.."*
Brian you need to release a ringtone pack with all your most used gaming phrases like "get'em" "boom" "suuuuure"
what's the song going on in the background at the start?
I never re-watch hearthstone games. Today was the exception.
Can we talk about how that music at the end was perfect?!?!
Okay. To break this down for every one that first Rotface must of technically had 3 Rotfaces, a Mukla,whatever prince that was, and to top it all off, it had Y'shaarj.
Hearing Kibler laugh that hard made me laugh just as hard haha.
Brian's thumbnail face gets crazier every vid
Whats that 4/4 legendary called, the one created at the end?
Thank you friend.
It is called useless
Actually, it has been used as an anti-aggressive tool in decks such as miracle rogue. Bad, yes, useless, no
Background music is soo good on this vid compared to others! Loving it!
The new Grim Patron. Feels Good Man
Kibler going full Joker at the end. I whould too.
Kibler gets Rotface into Rotface into Rotface, I get Rotface into Milhouse and Patches.
This rotfaces are grimpatrons in disguise
Rotface is basically Confessor Paletress for Warriors
That's like rolling a die, getting the highest number, then have the dice explode into smaller dice that all roll the highest number.
I've only had rotface once, off of a discover effect, and it had a similar thing happen. I suspect it might be bugged, or intentionally skewed to favor rotface higher than any other legendary.
that yogg was like: dude you lost, just face it
My friend made a Rotface deck he called "You Spin Me Right Round." Managed to win one whole game.
Grim Patron is gone, but his son Rotface is here.
even kibbles is surprised by those developments
"HEY EVERYONE, GET IN HERE"
-Rotface 2017
Kibler is literally the RNG king.
Wow that is actually amazing. Well done RNGesus
The elusive Matryoshka Doll Rotface.
How many licks does it take to get to the center of a rotsie pop?
*(Singing)* Sending that to Trolden, pam-por-lum-pum~
Heard you like Rotface. So we summons Rotface with your Rotface.
This deck looks super fun. If only I had rotface.
Rotface thought he was Grim Patron today
Rotface on board at 2:50
my boi rotfaic crackin open a whirlywindy one wit the boys
If I'd use a rotface I'd get welcomed with a millhouse manastorm
Haha! I tried a deck like this out only not as well thought out or put together.. i used the animated berserkers to cast minions like rotface and the valkyrie.. for automatic value when dropped in the board.. dropped the whirlwinds.. but i saw myself focusing too much on damaging my own stuff and my opponents were able to still build a board.. but i had a rotface that i got to proc about 4-5 times that went crazy.. there is potential with a tempo/mid enrage type of warrior i think... good game!
still my fav video from you kibler
Rotface was my first not death card legendary from this expansion and he is by far the funnest despite every1 saying he was trash even his animations are awesome!
Rotfaceception
Lebakas Rotpocalypse
What can i add instead of King Mosh?
kibler.exe has stopped responding
Rotface
Whenever this minion survives damage summon another Rotface
There are some streamers where I turn off the sound while watching them play, but not when I watch this smart guy play :)
patron is back better than ever baby!
When you really want to play grim patron in KFT
Wow Kibler... The odds of you getting 4 rot faces in a row is astronomical. You should play the lottery more often.
This guys excitement for this game is unprecedented lol. I had a literal poker face while this was happening.
After watching this video, I cant stop smiling... So this is what it feels like to be Brian
Nice choice ofa background music
everyface get in here
Can we get back to the classical music, please? One of the best things about your channel.
Crazy odds, unless there is some secret weighted value to Rotface spawning himself like how class cards are more probable to be discovered.
That was a mistake not activating rot face as soon as possible.
this just made me so happy
WoW! This game defines value... :) Thanks for the videos, keep em coming.
How good is Rotface? I got him from a random pack and I'm not sure whether he can fit into my Control Warrior or Dragon Warrior decks. Any suggestions?
NerdSpartanPerson He has a lot of value in a deck around him and other whirlwind since the turn you play him you are almost guaranteed 2 legendaries with a bloodrazor deathrattle and any of your other AoE's (new hero power, whirlwind, sleep with the fishes if it also clears the opponents board, etc.). It's a pretty good finisher for a more tempo/midrangey warrior but I wouldn't stick it into an actual control deck since your only activators are like slam and ghoul (and new hero power if you run death knight since the weapon is so amazing in a control deck).
Don't run Death Knight but I've seen quite a few Tempo Warrior decks that run Rotface. Thanks for the help!
Damn Brian thats a nice tune u got on this video :D
Kage Rotface no jutsu
God I wish some kind of Tempo Warrior with Rotface turns out to be viable. Doesn't look too hopeful right now, but an Ethereal can dream...
8 mana 4/6 Grim Patron which can also summon minions larger than itself? Count me in!
Any replacement for Mosh?
Julian Reichstein deathwing :)
Brawl for lower budget.
See how easy it is to beat jade druid? Just get 4 rotface and you're fine!!!
song name please?
Asking the real question tho... Where dafaq did Festergut go? :S
first time i see that deck, already love it
rotface the new grim patron
New patron warrior seems pretty good
Is that Brian ,,Don't call me Brian,, Kibler, from Kibler gaming, founded by Brian ,,Don't call me Brian,, Kibler?
That is Brian "Please don't call me Brian 'Brian Kibler' Kibler" Kibler.
Imre Eszenyi, Dude, I have this guy on the phone, who goes by the name of Ramses II, that says he wants his joke back.
is the garrosh death knight hero really necessar or...
The spirit of Brode was with ye
*Daddy makes TOYS out of YOU!*
Rot Patron
Is it more common to get warrior legendaries? Like with stone hill defender.
SammyJStubbs no
Kibler was great
EVERYROT, GET IN HERE!
Patron and Rotface have the same ability just the text is a little different
I am thoroughly upset this was not titled "The Rot-Pocalypse"
Is that a bug? The chance of that happening is like...so low
This game triggered my PTSD.
the background music keeps making me check to see what other thing I have open that is playing random music.
Are Rotface decks the new Patron?
It is the Rotnarök! The end of times!
What "rotten" luck! 😂