Developing Encirclement, Trading Land For Time - NATO vs Soviet Tactics - Ukraine Map Update News
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 4 ต.ค. 2024
- G'day Legends, I hope you're doing well,
Today we talk about the Russia's offensive and look at the war map updates.
If you're new here thanks for coming across, I served in the Australian Infantry from 2014-2021, With specialist qualifications in Heavy Weapons/Anti-Armour, Combat First Aid, With a tour to Afghanistan as a crew commander of a Armoured Mobility Vehicle.
Upon my Return I was unexpectedly diagnosed with a Incurable and Inoperable Brain tumour that is slowly killing me. I was also awarded the Queens Order of Australia Medal (OAM) hence the post nominals after my name. Then Being medically separated from the Army I flew to Ukraine in 2022 for 6.5months and now make content full time. I really appreciate you being here Thank You
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Hey legends, *I know people who have served will see gaps/problems/issues in the rear movement I showed, This is not for you haha, I just was trying to show have elements maintain support in rear movement, If you want to know in forwards.. reverse the video ;)
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The zelensky...
Yellow bastard from,
Sin City Movie.....😂🤣👍
Dude for godsake please be wary of the time of updates. Suriyak updates later than deep state, so there isnt a discrepancy in many cases in information. Its just that Suriyak will make the same adjustments after Deep State.
Trading land for time? so you mean losing.
Why not just say losing?
Willie how much Ukraine as$ u going to kiss today, Russia is CRUSHING UKRAINE, u didn't report on Russia economy UPGRADE TO HIGH. PUTIN DONT MIND CONTINUING TO BULLDOZE UKRAINE. LOL. ITS OVAAAA
Oh, Willy, Willy, Willy, Willy. You mean well but you are an idiot (no offence meant).
What makes you think that Russia has higher losses than Ukraine? 80%+ losses come from high caliber. Only a fraction from the gunfight.
Compare the analogs:
Quantity of Russian 152mm vs. Ukrainian 155/152mm.
Quality of Russian Lancet vs. Ukrainian switchblade.
Russian FABs vs. Ukrainian JDAMs.
Aviation.
Russian missiles can pinpoint strike anything in Ukraine at will. Ukraine might strike something in Russia with a lucky shot for tictoc.
In which of those Ukraine outperform Russia?
Stop listening to those MODs and think tanks that already told you all the lies about Iraq and Afghanistan
Ukraine is heavily outnumbered in artillery, aviation, drones, and cruise missiles, plus Ukrainian strike capabilities are less far reaching and not as powerful and Ukraine is pulling anyone and everyone off the streets and sending them to the front lines with little training while Ukrainian units are constantly being semi encircled and Ukraine has less losses? This makes no sense. People forget Ukrainian NATO trained brigade got clapped during their great spring counter offensive. Westerners blindly alway claim Ukraine is taking less losses but can never justify how it’s possible when you are outgunned, outraged, outnumbered and out maneuvered.
In their eyes the "westerners" don't have to justify anything. They are exceptional, chosen and masters of the universe ffs!
Yeah, Willy is going full brain fart here.
But hey! At least they're winning and holding ground on the media front! 💪
Yap yap yap yap yap
@@AleksaAdzic thats not true, you need to stop smoking
Trading land for time awaiting wonder weapons to appear and change everything. Sounds like a winning tactic to me ;)
That’s the spirit!
Sounds like the Germans in 1944
There is no trade of land for time, there's only attrition that's running it's course. It will get faster and faster. Channels like this, equivalent to moderate controlled opposition in politics, are just sugarcoating it so it's easier to swallow if it sounds like winning.
There are no wonder weapon's
@@Dimension37 No Germans, Fashist. Nato is the same. But I'm very sad because beautiful European countries. They economically destroyed, just because they came in naFo, and became USA puppets. Europe, don't let that Fashist destroyed again. We must be smart. We don't need nuclear war, we must fight for our economy and live free. We don't put the naFo and Fild Marshal of IV Reiih, USA, provoke a nuclear war
'Russia has much higher losses'...this makes no sense whatsoever. When Ukraine are outgunned by artillery 7 to 1, when they have nothing to counter the FAB's with which absolutely devastating, and most injuries are caused by these standoff weapons, how is it actually possible for Ukraine to cause higher numbers of casualties?
Xaxaxa this gay no brain:)))
ah the legend is surpassed by his belief and obsession with ukraines he has since the short view
Willy is just an Australian grunt with some minor brain damage - don't tell me you are expecting any kind of Napoleon-esque battle analysis from him? 😂
lol Ukraine has a much higher death toll. Also, Russia looks after its Troops, you need to stop reading Fake News.
@@00REEEEESure you were in Russian army 😂😂😂
Russia has a 7 to 1 advantage in artillery, so Ukraine has 5-7 times higher losses. However, Willy thinks (with what?) that Russian losses are "more likely" higher! Comedy is getting better and better.
And that doesn't even factor in the hundreds of FABs....
Exactly my thoughts
Hard for Ukraine to have loses as there are fewer and fewer soldiers to lose
Yeah because you people have no clue what it takes to assault a prepared position, artillery, FABs whatever. Stop being clueless.
What do you mean by "you people"🧐@@ДушманКакдела
"Russia easily has more losses than Ukraine."
Where are you reading this?
They're retreating because they're getting smashed with fabs and artillery. It's not strategic, it's survival.
Willy got this info from his "reliable" sources in Ukro Army.
They confirm the fact that Russians can sustain losses.
That is why they have lost 500 000 dead while Ukrainians only - 31000.
@@StiftikBoliovich Zelensky is criminal for his decisions. His disregard for human life is very clear. People saying Russia is using "meat wave" tactics... where is the evidence? We are seeing fab and missile strikes take out 20, 30, 50 Ukrainian men at a time. This is even admitted by Ukrainian soldiers.
Why would Russia have higher losses???
1) Russia has a 5 to 1 Artillery advantage
2) Russia has a 25 to 1 Arial supremacy.
3) Russia has an infinity to 1 Guided Arial Bombing advantage. (up to FAB3000)
4) Iskander vs ATACMS Russia has a 20 to 1 advantage.
5) Air defense Russia has 10 to 1 advantage.
6) As even Tucker Carlson noted, Russia has a 100 million population advantage.
How doen this work out for Ukraine.
Your first mistake is believing anything Fucker Carlson says 😂
Cuz rUsSiA
Ya know ;)
Because field marshal Willy says so 😂
10 to 1 in artillery
Zuma loves you.
At this Time in History , Yes NATO are the baddies!
Alwaty was. Yugoslavia, Lybia..etc
The west is aways the bad guys, people from Global South aways knew that.
Always were. Only intense brainwashing in the West makes people believe the opposite.
Your F EN right they are. It's disgusting.
since 1990s for sure
If Ukraine took land from Russia those same accounts wouldn't be saying trading land for time but rather saying its a Russian rout.
Yes, Russia has much more of everything that causes huge losses. More artillery, more ammo, more missiles, more drones, more planes more plan-bombs and more precision plan-bombs. When UAF pack into a fortified high-rise building Russia drops one bomb and destroys the entire building.
Russia litterly traded land for time when they retreated from Kharkiv in preparation of the Surovikin line. What are you talking about?
@@airon89toyota Wasn't that what he said?
When Russia left Kharkiv and the most obvious Kherson (since it was a hard position to be defended without heavy losses) everyone gloated that the russians were being routed.
Why are you's even debating what it is that bad faith trolls do or say ?
None of that stuff matters a jot.
The cope in this episode is next level. I love this channel. Russians have taken first part of Chasiv Yar. There are geo located videos. Military Summary has so much more information. Willy just cope waffles, but it's funny.
I am always stunned when Willy makes mention of obvious greate losses of Russia. What is so obvious that shows one side with a ten to one advantage in ammunition and artillery. Especially when the American officer in charge of Bakhut said that 80% of his dead and wounded had not even seen a Russian soldier before being hit. What makes him think it obvious that 60 yo soldiers and conscripts ripped off street sidewalks and sent to the frontlines with little or no training and equipment will outfight battle hardened extremely well equipped and with heaps of ammo are going to achieve. Willy do you still think that Russians are using shovels. Tell us about the Fab 3000s and Fab 1500s and 500s and 250s that you mentioned as having devastating effect and how that devastating effect does not harm old and inexperienced Ukrainians. Tell us about the Ukrainian divisions that are now battalions and how Ukrainianbattalions and divisions have been decommissioned because of lack of reinforcements. How do you reconcile that with the 300,000 Russians held in reserve behind the lines... is it all just more Russian PR. Tell us about the Russian forces that have all been reinforced in recent months and how they are succumbing to the weakened Ukrainian kids and pops who have to run away because of lack of ammo or will to support a corrupt nazi regime. When you say the Russians are obviously losing greater numbers you display what is known as cognitive dissonance. If you think or act in opposition to your belief system, tension builds and you become distressed. That distress is called dissonance. I can see that you have started a little bit to accept that Ukraine is losing but cut the crap that Russia is obviously losing more troops. That belief will just make you very sick... stay well legend.
Willy is a leftist propagandist as all journalists are these days
Where are you getting this information? 10 to 1? That's nonsense.
Where did you get the information that Russia has much more losses than Ukraine?
Party said so- Willy will not question the party.
Out of his a$$
Your daddy said so.
@@М.Столић he got it off Zelenski 🤣 he's embarrassing 🇦🇺
From a Cracker-Jacks box! Or was it a fortune cookie?
100 year partnership. 😂😂😂. 100 year ball and chain. 100 yr obligation. 100 yr long excuse to enter the country in foreign wars, and to blame any economic woes on. Wonder if Britain will exist in 100 yrs…
Word on the street has it that mother Russia is quite angry with old blighty. And George Galloway predicts that Starmer will take blighty into war within 6 months of becoming prime minister. So your question should be whether they make it to 2025, all things considered
One day people like Willie will realize their responsibility in the losses of hundreds of thousands of ukranian lifes by cheering for the loosing "Team".
It's not a game, it's war and russia doesn't play.
I absolutely agree that the online war cheerleaders have absolutely played a role in maintaining support for the war. I didn’t watch Willy until recently but he at least has been more honest, even if totally biased. I would assume his audience would prefer the war end rather than the u.s. continue to purchase and bribe mass murder and that would be a result of his work. This is to say I’m not entirely sure Willy deserves condemnation, at least for his recent work.
@@jessiejb4684 I agree, and I don't condamn willie as a person who does something he emotionally truely believes in(I watch him since his very first video on this conflict when he traveled to ukraine dedicating his "few time left" after his cancer diagnosis to spread awareness for the suffering of the people) and he has my respect as a person who sticks to his believes, but as the saying goes: The road to hell is paved with good intentions.
So basically the new cope is that UA army is not collapsing, they are just trading land for time. Got it.🤭
Yep, you heard straight from Willie's mouf. No way he would feed us msm, na to propaganda.
This is how war works. You would have to be a retard to try to hold at all cost a frontline. We learned from the Germans that that is an awful strategy that only ends up getting the brave killed when the cowards and smart people fall back to better positions.
And again, WHY are Russia's losses much higher? Literally - for what reason are Russia's losses higher? How exactly does Ukraine compensate for Russia's superiority in artillery, aviation and Ukraine's lack of superiority in drones? Due to which factors are Russia's losses higher?
Because of reasons :))) And because Willy says so :)))
cuz.... cuz...
Because it keeps the donors happy
I always say the simple thing. Ukraine is having the non-stop mobilization catching people at streets while the Russian army is fully or almost fully volunteer. How on earth Russia is loosing more in this case? Those believers are risen on the tales about Russian human waves because this was the only explanation for the West how Russia could defeat Hitler and Napoleon. And they cannot see it differently. Russia is losing more because it's Russia.
i hate utube, im writing 10 lines of an absolutely innocent comment and it deletes it because my social credit is low. bitches
Its a RETREAT Willy , Just say it mate .
Nooo. field Marshall Willie says @1:10
He can’t, otherwise TH-cam would censor him
I'm sorry, but this "Land for Time" is a wildly bad take. There are exactly 5 countries on the planet that have the territory to implement this strategy, and only 3 of those countries have the actual resources to do it. The five are, Australia, Canada, China, Russia, and the USA. Australia and Canada do not have the resources to actually do it, be it manpower, or materiel.
The idea that Ukraine can do this effectively, is just pants on head stupid. It expresses a fundamental misunderstanding of how you win wars. Let's talk about Clausewitz on this. To win a war, Clausewitz says, you need to defeat the enemy center of gravity.
The center of gravity is an abstract idea that defines a nations ability to wage war. When we consider that, MOST countries that are geographically limited, have a CoG that is their military. Why is it the military? The military acts as a gate keeper to the industrial and population centers. If you lose those centers, you can't wage conventional war. So, if your military is defeated, your population and industrial centers are occupied rapidly, before you can recover. In big countries, like Russia, the USA and China, the population and industry is spread out over such a massive distance, that you CAN effectively trade land for time. The loss of one industrial/population center isn't a decisive blow for those countries.
Ukraine is not one of those countries. They have neither the population, nor the geographical size to trade land for time. If Ukraine is actually trying to apply a strategy like this, it's a miracle they've managed to hold on as long as they have. Testament to the people doing the fighting I figure, and not so much the dip-shits directing the war from their bunkers.
In 1941, the USSR had industrial centers in Ukraine, Leningrad and Moscow. By a strange coincidence, it was there that the Germans were rushing. And in 1941 there was no exchange of "land for time." On the contrary, Stalin sacrificed the Red Army for the sake of time, ordering to delay the German offensive at all costs. At the same time, half of the Red Army was in Ukraine, despite the fact that the main forces of the Wehrmacht were marching towards Moscow.
As a result, the Germans were stopped in Ukraine until 1942, having managed to evacuate industry, the defense of Leningrad managed to prevent the Germans from transferring the troops of the Army North group to Moscow and Ukraine (at the same time preserving the production of weapons in the besieged city), and only in the center the Germans managed to break through to Moscow itself.
@@mercb3ast Brazil could probably do it as well, it’s really big.
But what if you see it thru a NATO or EU lens, and see all members as one big country? Ukraine suddenly becomes a lot bigger and richer
@@Br1chtBrazil is huge but most of it is inhospitable Amazon jungle
@@andrewscott8892 "Amazonia" is just a part of Brasil and people live there.
Ukraine aint fighting the Soviet union , Your talking about modern Russia who have been studying NATO's tactics and they adapted they're own tactics to fight ISIS in Syria , And they adapted to defeat the NATO backed forces in Georgia and Chechnia which is why they have so much modern weaponry still in development and field testing , The Russians are a lot more advanced than they where when I was training to fight them , I wouldn't pin your hopes on Ukraine winning this one , It'll go nuclear before Russia lose,
The map has been going one direction for over a year....so have the casualties.....so have the lies and propaganda......Willy will come around when reality is no longer deniable.
@@doctordetroit4339Not if he is getting paid to push propaganda.
NATO got no tactics beside carpet bombing third world countries and still losing on the ground.
What modern weapons? Russia is literally fielding T55 tanks.
@@dieselphiend Tanks are almost useless as with drones
Not sure how he can still hold to the assumption that Russian losses are greater than Ukraine's when all the 'real evidence' shows the opposite. Most of the rest of his 'analysis' in giving Ukraine any chance of winning rests on this. He doesn't seem dishonest like most Ukraine supporters so , perhaps, to give up that assumption is to give up hope and that's a very very hard thing to do.
he is dishonest which is why he does not speak the truth otherwise hw will he earn money ?
Come on guys, give him a break. Already everyone's bashing him a Russian agent. He really can't say more truth, he lives in west.😅 It's a bad idea ..
@@dr.mortem6050 💀 who i poisened then imprisoned a political rival starting with n again?
@@robo__cop8154 most of his comments are literally pro russ
@@toppedtop5787 it's really easy to get cancelled and not get ads , sponsors for video if you are labelled pro Russian. He don't want that. So he literally won't say the whole truth. Willy is pro Ukranian but if he says the truth NAFOs label him pro Russian.
Okay, he don't talk about the killing of Russian prisoners of war by foreigners fighting for Ukraine, the dude is clearly biased.
That's because Willy has Mates in Chosen Company.
@@MicMc539
(((Chosen))) company
As reported in NYT yesterday for those who did not read it.
Russia having the fire power and manpower advantages are the one having more losses? Doesn’t make sense, Willy.
He just makes shit up knowing people will believe everything he says because they believe in the cocaine comedian.
But those things arent mutaully exclusive
Absolutely!!
Totally !
It's a tradeoff: People for strategic important land control.
.
Pay attention! As part of the Australian defence, Willy participated in the LOST war in Afghanistan. Now, he will teach the rest of the world about Soviet doctrine! Fair dinkum!
Shhhhhhhh
the defender always has less casualties
Only "westerm' country I know of that actually did persecute their war criminals, with their elite forces having had a toxic culture. Light sentences imo. But still the only one I know of that have, instead of covering it up and go after those exposing it.
@NtelosCity are you kidding me? I guess all those countries the US invaded had less losses than the "coalition" that invaded....
@@NtelosCityIraq had less casualties in the US invasion?? The Soviets had less casualties in operation Barbarossa??? The Mongols took more casualties than all the territories they invaded and conquered??? The Japanese took more casualties than the Chinese in the 1930's???? Some of the biggest conflicts disprove your theory at face value buddy and there are many more examples of this being the case
Trading Land For Time
Or in other words: Losing slowly
Bleeding out.
Keeping in mind Ukraine has always been particularly reluctant to cede ground regardless of it's importance. This is just bluffing with a terrible hand.
You must want them to lose. What else are they to trade?
What would you do if you were Ukraine?
Russia can't have more losses, simply because Ukraine is running out of men. Ukraine OFFICIALLY had 5 rounds of drafts, each of them between 200k and 400k. So, at least 1-1.5 million troops.
That ON TOP of 700k troops Ukraine had on February 24th, 2022.
And those troops, only until recently, were fully armed and trained. In other words, IF Ukraine have NOW issues with drafting, after having over 2 MILLION troops, then Russia's losses (according to YOU), would be at least 1 million.
Well, that doesn't look like they do, because Russia only drafted 300k troops, and they had at maximum, 400k troops in Ukraine.
1 million casualties, means that Russia lost ALL of their 700k troops, PLUS 300k more...plus 700k that are RIGHT NOW in Ukraine.
So, Russia lost 1 million troops, and they have 700k NOW. That is 1.7 million troops dead, wounded and currently active...but that is impossible, because Russia only called up 300k reservists. We can add 500k more volunteers, sure...but even so, that doesn't cut it.
So, Ukraine is LYING, they lost easily 7-8 times more then Russia, and Russia lost, according to every single PROPER Western researches and polls and following social media in Russia and abroad, as well as checking every single obituary in Russia...they found 57k Russian dead, potentially up to 90k, if adding some errors.
You are delusional Willy...highly delusional.
Absolutely, he has to repeat the tired line of "russia has more losses than ukraine" when ukraine has sacrified their economy and future by snatching people of all ages off the streets.Ukraine has easily 7-9 times more losses than russia and when it will crumble (its only a matter of time more precisely months) it will be due to catastrophic losses not due to their retreat. You got to know that whenever ukraine(current leadership) retreats that means they exhausted all other viable and unviable options
Yap yap yap
Russia has 300k troops in the north that have not yet entered Ukraine.
It seems he leans towards Ukraine then the realities of the battlefield
@@WorldlyBudget There is also Belarus and Wagner forces totalling over 500k
@WillyOAM, I'm one of the tiny few US Army veterans who served in a Soviet Motorized Rifle Regiment as Opfor at Ft. Irwin, CA, National Training Center just before the First Gulf War. Willy, Opfor at NTC won every FTX against US forces. Only the 101st Abn came close to beating us with their Apache gunships.
US forces trained for combat against Soviets without comms or GPS due to jamming. Do NATO forces do that today?
A-10 warthogs accounted for a large % of armor kills at NTC... and I can tell you the psychological effect is massive. The A-10 is called "Satan's Cross" by Serbs, who were targeted by it. We've all but retired the Warthog fleet, Willy.
I spent almost a decade as a US Army light Infantry NCO. If anyone thinks the US is anywhere near as lethal as it was 35yrs ago, in the First Gulf War... when we had six months to forward deploy without even harassment, let alone in combat conditions... anyone who thinks the US could beat an Army the size of Turkey today, let alone Russia, is just delusional. It's a very dangerous delusion held almost exclusively by people who've never taken artillery fire, or had a soldier die in their arms.
Russia has far more looses 😫😫 but but
1.Russia is not scavenging the earth for weopon
2. Russia has Limited Aerial supremacy
3. Ukraine is on Martial Law Yet are hunting for tank brigadier from streets
4. Russia is the one moving forward.
I have elementary knowledge of math but I also know 1+1 ain’t freaking 11
It's like you've forgotten that Ukraine has reclaimed all of its northern territories, and Kherson, and now Russia is going through 1k men per day while barely recovering 1000 yards.
You maths may be okay but your thought processes are still elementary.
Your 1 is irrelevant to the sum for example.
Think harder. Just a touch.
@@CheeseLovingGuy As if your reply contains anything of substance.
@@CheeseLovingGuy Russian soldiers ride on top of their transports.
@@CheeseLovingGuy The M2 Bradley turns them into jello.
I have tried to follow what is happening in Ukraine and the common thread is that no one has managed to predict what the Russians will do. The Russians are constantly surprising, changing tactics and coming up with new weapons and I am absolutely convinced that Ukraine will be forced to surrender completely unconditionally.
27 months and counting.
@@CheeseLovingGuy I count from 2014 so there will be a few more months.
I think Willy has become confused. He is suffering withdrawal symptoms as his whole raison d'etre collapses. He has always believed West good, Russia bad. Sorry Willy u will soon have accept reality. Its difficult but u will cope!
Sorry mate. I used to teach Soviet Doctrine to US Army officers in the 80s what the Russians are using in Ukraine is NOT soviet doctrine. I have seen instances where Ukrainian officers are rejecting NATO doctrine for the Soviet doctrine that they are familiar with. It seems that neither side is adhering to one doctrine or another. This is being displayed upon the field. I see no use of the Operational maneuver grounds that were the backbone of soviet offensive doctrine in the break through.
Also I am curious as to how you arrived at the notion that Russian losses are higher than Ukrainian. Data from the uk and inside Russia says different.
Cokainsky must be shitting his pants right now
Its very improbable that Russian loses are greater than Ukrainians.
You don't have the expertise that is needed to make such a claim
Russia had a military failure in the early stages of their invasion of Ukraine, many mistakes were made but this has shown over the years Russia’s resiliency throughout this war. The Russians are in a good position now after 2+ years of being in a bad spot, In reference to one of Willys older videos he brought up a great thought that as part of attritional warfare, things have now solidified and things can now once again go westward for the Russians. Ukraine cannot survive an attritional ground war against Russia for years to come, but Russia can continue doing what they’re doing. I was shocked at the initial military failure, but I have always said from the beginning that Russia will come back from their failure, learn from their mistakes, and achieve what they’re trying to do. This whole war is a shame that it has to happen, Slavic men are fighting Slavic men here.
Iam bit confused didn't Russia run out of ammo and fighting with shovel 2yr ago and Ukraine winning the war??
Sorry wil are U proud of Australia involvement in Afghanistan as a Australia l am ashamed of Australia involvement and my grandfather who was in Gallipoli and gased in the trenches in France a true ANZAC would be ashamed to
Used by England as cannon fodder!
Hell! I'm ashamed of our involvement in Vietnam, Malaysia, Iraq, Syria, and that we haven't won a War since 1945.
How is the Russian Air Force underperforming? This is what an Air Force looks like against a real air defense. Something NATO never had to deal with.
Willy, as a military person how can you justify saying at the same time that: Russia has mich higher losses and Russia has an advantage in manpower, artillery and air superiority? Furthermore WHY would the side that inflicts more casualties and that has been continuously mobilising theoughout two years of conflict have an urgent need in manpower vs the other side that had lost x10 the manpower being happy with the troops they have? Please explain
Sorry Willy, you just received my first thumbs down with this video, Russia taking more losses than Ukraine, yea, right. Are you being sponsored by the BBC or CN or Zelensky himself? Something changed here.
How can you believe Russia has higher casualties, they have 10 times the firepower
I did heard the Russian firepower is big but the bad news that firepower mostly is not precisely targeting the enemy positions.
@@adocuric9154 Lol, you really haven't been paying attention.
@@real_lostinthefogofwar Paying attention to what?
@@adocuric9154 To the reality of what's happening in Ukraine
For the record look at the village Hlyboke...
Ukraine have already lost two brigades there. Thats a village of like 30-60 dwellings. They are onto their third Brigade there trying to retake a few treelines.
Thats 5,000-10,000 men, now are they all KIA? No. but withdrawing two brigades in 3 weeks, means theyve lost their combat capability.
I think Gluboke means death to Banderites in Russian?
@@redbaron6322it actually means "deep"
Pretty sure that was up to 3 brigades lost combat capability by yesterday evening.
I'm biased towards Russia, but still, whole war, i don't understand the notion that russians "likely taking heavier losses"? Majority of losses are from artillery and aviation. And Russia have clear advatages in both of them, according to Ukraine, especially since active use of FABs now. Drone-wise at least doesn't seems like Ukraine have advantage, many times ukranian sources complained about russia having advantage there too.
And, why wouldn't we, if we able to outproduce shells and there were all kinda effort in develop drone production too.
Also, mobilisation effort, in Ukraine mobilisation started immediatly and never stopped. Current project about additinoal mobilisation are exactly that - additional, to constantly ongoin one. Russia did one wave and that's it. Which country has hundred of videos if people being kidnapped from the streets?
So like, outside of claims by Ukraine where it's coming from? Open source stuff about heavier equipment losses? Even if i believed they are unbiased, and accurate, and have representative statistics, still if you have a use more equipment, you gonna lose more, it's okay.
Like, remember during 2023 offensive when ukranians after losing some armor started using "advanced tactics" of moving forward on foot? Like yeah, smart, you not gonna lose armor, if you don't use it, but i doubt that positivly affect your losses numbers.
Also, apply the same logic of (PR vs tactical withdraw) to russian actions in Harkov in Kherson. Screw PR, we just withdrew from disadvantages position giving up a much land as needed. PR-wise huge hit, but military wise it made a lot of sense. I think it demostrate what approach our command uses, so like, don't you think it affect losses numbers too?
Land for time? Seems like bodies for time to me.
How do you withdraw with drones flying around?
How do you advance with drones flying all around ?
Willy must feel like he was hit by a comments FAB
What will Ukraine be trading land for time for? There is no one is coming to help them and the weapons are drying up.
You think NATO will abandon them? Why do you think that?
It's as if you want Russia to win. I think you do.
@@dieselphiend NATO has done all it can for Ukraine....NATO will NEVER put boots on the ground for Ukraine....refusal to grant them membership is an indication. Wise up, bro
@@hugoebiem85 My friend, NATO is currently moving tens of thousands of troops into Ukraine as we speak.
@@hugoebiem85 I think you want Russia to win, which means your anti-western.
May Ukraine continue to trade land for time all the way to polish border
I am not sure Poland would take anything even close to Lviv. They would actively not want Galicia, a.k.a. Banderistan. Let the poles deal with the poorhouse that is.
Maybe at that point Willy will call it a loss, instead of coping and saying it's a strategy?
When the war started - Ukr outnumbered RF forces in Ukraine
I've been having problems with my rear movements too but i'm beginning to suspect it is because im lactose intolerant
Quit sitting on the couch 17 hours a day
@@scroopynooperz9051 🤣🤣
More than half of humanity is lactose intolerant, interesting stat to check out sometime.
How do we conclude that Russia’s losses are "obviously higher"? More artillery, absolute air superiority, more trained and motivated soldiers... but still higher casualties? Yes, some would say that the casualties in the offensive are higher than in the defense, but I would say that’s not axiomatic. If you are sitting in positions for many days and you are leveled with aerial bombs and artillery and no one rushes to throw masses of infantry and vehicles to attack? Look at the prisoner-to-prisoner ratio on both sides, look at the body-to-body swap between the two sides, and then you’ll at least have a rough idea of who has the most casualties.
Spoiler alert: ratio and truth 1:5 - 1:6, but not in the way that Zelensky wants.
Russia can't have higher losses as it enjoys significant air, artillery, drone and armour superiority i.e. firepower superiority. The Ukraine clearly has no defence against Russian firepower and it goes against all emprical modern military historical evidence that the party which suffers from a significant firepower inferiority is capable of inflicting the highest losses during a war - this simply does not happen in modern warfare.
The Ukraine is losing and losing bad due to the significant differences in firepower and industrial output between the two beliggerents.
Explain 27 months and Kiev failure
@@CheeseLovingGuy The Russians inflicted 2-2,5 million casualties (KIA/WIA/MIA/POW) upon the AFU during that time frame - explain that as being a failure
@@RipperYou I cannot because you are not talking reality. When Ukraine have lost that many it is well and truly game over for them.
Soviet doctrine was not about sustaining heavy losses. Counter to popular belief, the Soviets did not just throw away human life. Machines could be wasted, but not men.
''Russia most likely have higher losses.'' Are you kidding Willy? Just look at how many people Ukraine mobilized and how many more they need to mobilize. It's not even because of the fact that Russia is bigger country, it's because Ukrainian losses, at best, are 5 times higher than Russia's losses. Firepower is huge factor in attritional warfare.
Russia has much more losses is the equivalent of saying: "Ukraine is buying Wallstreet!".
Propaganda only works when you same measure of believability to it.
Willy how in the hell is Russia losing more men with overwhelming fire power an air force, better trained, more motivation, more men. WTF
Soviet tactics: that's exactly what Sirsky does. He graduated well before 1990.
Russia has more men, more resources, more military equipment of every type and unbreakable resolution to fight
Most important, competent command prepared to make the politically difficult but right decisions.
@@maryginger4877 What? Do you mind elaborating? What's "right" about their decisions?
@@maryginger4877 You sound like a communist.
The Ukrainian command is not capable of a tactical retreat. For one simple reason, the head of the Ukrainian command is a peaceful man, with great distrust of his surroundings. Zaluzhny spoke about the need for tactics to save the army from unnecessary losses. Zaluzhny was accused of almost treason, removed from office and is now in Britain. Sirsky, who was put in his place, forbade even thinking about withdrawing troops from Avdiivka, which was close to the encirclement. As a result, the garrison received permission to retreat from Avdiivka after it voluntarily left its positions. The retreat of units without the cover of armored vehicles, with a small amount of ammunition, and beyond the limits of exhaustion from months of constant combat without rotation, led to heavy losses. Many in Ukraine blame the fall of the entire Avdiivka front for the fact that during the existence of Avdiivka, no one has prepared a position in case Avdiivka falls. But at the same time, these people do not think about other things. Even if you have prepared positions, they won't be able to fight on their own, without people. The fall of this section is associated with the destruction of combat-ready brigades in Avdiivka. The remaining troops of the Armed Forces of Ukraine could not contain those parts of the Russian army that fought with more trained brigades in Avdiivka. And which were defeated because of Zelensky's inability to declare a retreat. Meanwhile, Zelensky puts Zaluzhny Sirsky in place. That Sirsky, to whom the Ukrainian soldiers gave the nickname "the butcher".
That Sirsky, about whom even the people of Azov say that more Ukrainians died because of his orders than because of the actions of the Russian army. What is the reason for this choice? Due to the fact that Sirsky will not try to conduct tactical retreats. Saving the lives of some soldiers unnecessary to Zelensky, in exchange for precious Ukrainian territory.
Why does the occupation of new territories not lead to terrible losses in the Russian army? For the reason that the assault on Ukrainian positions is not carried out by tanks infantry. The assault on Ukrainian positions is carried out first by long-range artillery and aviation, with the participation of missile systems. After the middle-level artillery and mortars. After the drones. And after that, the rest is cleared by small assault groups. If the assault groups encounter resistance, the artillery processing continues.
The lack of air defense and artillery in Ukraine does not give the AFU the opportunity to resist this tactic. But the most important thing that is constantly reducing the Ukrainian army is the constant redeployment of the most trained units to traps prepared by Russia, such as Volchansk. this leads both to the destruction of these units and to breakthroughs of the front in those places from where these troops were withdrawn. The actor Zelensky is apparently completely unable to understand the consequences of such actions. He learned that the main thing is to impress people. Sirsky will not interfere with Zelensky's wishes. He remembers what happened to Zaluzhny
Yeah willie you did the training and your training ended in defeat every place you have been
Expert Field marshal Willy at your service sir 🫡🤪
@@samwilliams9352 OAM
yup
why does the west act like they do everything top notch...they lose every war
russia has higher losses ?based on what ? ukraine with lower losses needs forced mobilization and sealed borders and russia with higher losses does not need that ? who are you fooling willy ?ukraine has much higher losses just based on these 2 simple facts
100-year partnership? THIS WILL BE RROKEN. Show me one political situation that survived 100 years, it is stupid beyong believe.
Possibly all just PR, just like everything Elenski does. Gotta try to motivate the bottom-of-the-barrel troops (and some nah zees, western "volunteer" *paths) somehow.
@@bluikkso That probably sums it up. Goebbels invented PR, the americans embedded reporters - now we have thanks ti Elynski the first war where PR seems more important than battlefield tactics - and it does not work. What a surprise.... not.
Check out 200 exchange numbers, Willy. There's indeed 6 to 1 proportion, but not in Ukraine's favor.
I seriously doubt Russian losses are higher than Ukrainian ones - not even close. Not with all the non-returned ordnance dropped in Ukraine and the terrible imbalance. If Russia wanted losses, they would make an arrow offensive. I think rather the Russian losses are LOWER than the Ukrainian ones. I har something of 7:1 - that is 7 Ukrainians for every Russian. The glide bombs are brutal. Also does not help to be out of anything on the Ukraine side.
Ukraine treading land for time makes sense - but it is a dead end. There are no fortifications to fall back to and they have no material regardless of what they do. They SHOULD have done that - LONG time ago. Now, they can retrieve all the way to Lviv and hope to have a dense enough army there to make sense. And maybe by then there are some consumables and most importantly ammunition there.
Nope, they dropped it a long time ago. This is now Hitler's retreat from Moscow all over again, after the german army was burned out by the "not one step back" doctrine that cost them dearly (as did Rommel in Africa).
Willy, during the Cold War, US Doctrine as described in FM 100-5 (AirLand Battle) described "trading land for time" which was the American solution to Soviet superiority of armor and artillery. This cause problems between American commanders and their European NATO preference for Follow On Forces (FOFA) that would quickly recover the land that was given up during "tactical withdrawals". Fifty years ago when I served as a cavalry officer in Germany, I could attest to the problems we had with German officers regarding our doctrine.
I would guess that some Ukrainian officers would not like the "land for time" concept, but not all Ukrainian-born officers are fighting for Kiev. A good many Ukrainian-born officers wear the White-Blue-Red insignia out of free-choice and fight for their homeland AGAINST Kiev. This is a civil war which often pits Ukrainian against Ukrainian. Sad loss of life.
Trading land for time? so you mean losing.
Why not just say losing?
4:47 - Why would Russia have higher losses?
Because they are attacking defended positions
@@skatitajs_nr13 …with FAB bombs
Still are the invading role which has higher losses@@retrocool
@@skatitajs_nr13 so? 1 guy in a plane will win against 20 guys in a trench, 3 artillerymen will win against 20 guys in a trench, 3 guys in a tank will win against 3 guys in a trench. It doesn't matter who's attacking or defending, it's about fire power
@@skatitajs_nr13they are dropping bombs and firing artillery.
WILLY !
HAVE YOU NO SHAME?
YOU'RE MAKING US ALL LOOK STUPID AND BLIND.
WE ARE WRONG.
“This century is probably going to belong to the south. Bravo Willy that is the smartest thing I have heard you say so far.
Brother.
What makes you believe that Russia has higher losses?
Factors that indicate the opposite to be true:
- RF has 5-10-20x more artillery at the line of contact
- An airforce and local air superiority at nearly all times
- Rotary wing aviation that outranges all relevant ground weapons UA has
- Surovikin line and similar defensive structures for atleast 60% of the time
- More stand-off capabilities like BMs, CMs and drones
- Gen, Cavoli said earlier this year that RF has reconstituted their army and it might even be larger now
- UA is kidnapping guys off the street because of manpower shortages probably due to losses, Zelensky said that Ukraine had a 1mn strong army late summer last year.
- Mediazona puts RF KIA somewhere between 100-150k
- RF started this war with around 200k, UA military was probably 500k strong back then
It makes no sense that RF should have suffered more losses, literally unpossible. My rough estimation is that UA has suffered 8-10x more losses than RF. If you divide the official UA MOD numbers regarding RF losses by 10 you will get a realistic picture. RF MOD is much more reliable but dont believe either, atleast RF MOD are not making ridiculous claims.
Cheers.
First you say you don’t believe the kia figures provided by each mod but then as expected you say Russian losses are higher….just clarify on that one….do you have a reliable source(not uk mod) on dead figures or its just you ‘think’ Russians have more losses..
It's okay to think Russia took more loses, he must just explain why he thinks so
It's the "wishful thinking" sort of "think". No way is it possible, Ukraine has been mobilizing all the time and still is out of bodies.
Can you apply some basic logic to this sentence: Russia has much higher losses?
How can they have higher losses when they are absolutely dominating the skies, pounding the enemy with FABs?!
Then, has artillery dominance like 10x in the number of shells fired daily?!
Just these two things compared give you a good picture.
Willy am sorry to say this but how are the Russians casualties much more than Ukrainian?? Most soldiers dying this war are not in face to face combat but thru bombs and arteriliary. Russia has superiority in everything, be it bombs, aircraft etc. Except by magic there is nowhere Russia can be losing more...
Победа России. Россия одержит верх
Notice how sane the comments are before the nafo redacts come around.
Where does this idea that Soviet and later Russian army doesn't have NCOs comes from?
Willy, Russian generals are smart enough to find the best way, they are not an educated
So your picturing them as amateurs tells us actually more about quality of your analysis
Willy could you please let me know how you feel about your friends in the chosen company under the command of the 59 brigade. They are all getting charged for war crimes and they are that smart they filmed themselves doing this 😂😂
CHOSEN COMPANY ????????????
WILLIE GONE DEAF NOW !!!!!!!!!
Nazi doctrine he understands well
Mate a Russian army is a proper engine. Its not a bunch of Ukrainian forced personnel that don't wanna be there. You can't compare ukrainian brigades with proper brigades.
27 months of proper army fighting.
Kiev failure
Hmm 🤔
Trading territory for time is basically a retreat because it’s going badly.You can’t make a silk purse out of a pigs ear.
Not necessarily it makes sense if you gain combat abilities, i.e. you use the time to prepare better fortifications, you significantly reduce the length of the frontline. Russia did that at times - i.e. in the big offensive of Ukraine that took back all the empty territory.
None of that happens here in a degree that matters - so it is just PR for retreating.
Yes it does make sense if that was happening but Ukraine forces have been loosing territory for six months now because of defeat not a planned withdrawal. Now they are making the excuse that it's territory for time.
Mate do you have experience withdrawing from the Taliban 😂
Russia winning
In what way is Russia winning? Why haven't they taken Kyiv if they are so dominate? Where do you get your information from?
@@dieselphiendthey are winning because they will never be kicked out of Crimea and have slowly taken more and more land. Ukraine has burned though it’s best men already and they literally are running out of men. It’s only going to get to get worse
💯
@@diegoriveira3579 Bot.
@@diegoriveira3579 "I hope America, and the western world fails so that I can suffer." Good luck with that.
Cope on brother.
This 3:1 casualties rate is a nato doctrine, it isn't at all a reality stat.
World War doesn't meet this ratio infact it's far off it.
The ratio might have been true for USA vs militia in other counties seeking regime change but doesn't ring very true to peer armies.
Nato has never fought a country that has more firepower, or an army for that matter so to just apply these ratio senselessly is shocking
What is the reason for Russia having “much higher losses”, would you please care to explain?
Why would you assume that Russia is taking more casualties ?
It’s copium. Ukrainian sources have a tenuous relationship with the truth!
Probably the terrain - the Ukrainians have been (mostly) sensible in picking where to defend. The area they are trying to encircle from the north is very defensible at the point of the Russian advance to the south/south east due to elevations and funnels.
@@klausschwabshubris They're on the attack - it's generally true throughout history that more casualties occur on the offence
@@newcoatresurfacing5477Most corrupt country in the world
Starting to talk about land for time is just Ukrainian cope for how badly things are going on the battlefield.
I think the Russians tried to get to New York by July 4th purely for the meme.
When Israel kicks off with Lebanon, I believe there will be a push for a peace in Ukraine.
Western supplies will be prioritised for Israel, Why that is I don't know but that is how it will go.
You're being logical, Washington is delusional.
Not sure Willy is distinguishing between tactics and strategy here. He is describing tactical solutions for strategic problems.
The bottom line in this conflict is that Russia was supposed to have collapsed by now. That was what we were told, at the beginning. It was the official plan. The Ukrainian army was going to inflict damage to the Russian army while the Russian economy collapsed due to sanctions.
So, now we see the Russian economy growing. We see Europe importing more hydrocarbons from Russia in 2014 than they do from the USA. We see Russian sustaining their military operation without needing mobilization. China has effectively allied with Russia.
The NATO plan is a busted flush. The intelligence and analysis that informed NATOs grand strategic plan was clearly wrong.
Sooner or later, the reality will dawn upon a sufficient number of Ukrainians, and they will demand peace.
Trading land for time in old days was called Losing
I find it hard to believe Ruskies are taking more casualties given how big is their advantage in air bombs and artillery
its costing the west much more money to make weapons and ammo, and then also costs the west also more to transport the weapons and ammo. the west labour costs are higher, investor earnings, CEO takes from earnings all add up to making costing higher, though these elite in America making bank from these costs.
Russia has lower costs to build ammo and weapons, lower labour costs, less transport costs are just some big differences, a lot of it comes to much lower costs of living in Russia.
Russia is out producing the west also from what I'm hearing from other channels.
North Korea will send troops, like i said, Ukraine is sooooo many moves behind. Im sure North Korea would prefer not too, from what i can grasp they are rather nice family orientated people and war is a very unfamiliar concept to them. North Korean troops have been to Ukraine, the ones who survived went home to train others, so when they come they will be fine to at least hold ground. What you have to understand is while Russia was in Kherson, there was an attempt to create a Kherson Militia like the DPR and LPR, but it wasn't successful and Russia had to mobilze their own troops, which lead to a bit of a collapse. Didn't help promises were made to the LPR that they could go home. But it is what it is, there has always been a path to peace and Ukraine has chosen to ignore it time and time again, so there comes a point where you forget about have a way out and you just hammer them till they submit.
What you will find very soon is Russian escalation, you have to punch people in the face, so they sit there, nose bleeding and comprehend why that happened to them. If you don't punch them in the fact they will carry on down their delusional path. This war needs to end and it needs to end soon, otherwise Ukraine will collapse and there are going to be alot of desperate people around the world who will cling to their ideology of static borders. Which in turn means we will have to bring down some very influential international powers that will leave alot of countries vulnerable, disillusioned and some even helpless. Id expect 10's of millions to die of starvation alone, let alone from conflicts that will arrise due to lack of supplies and a diplomatic international body.
But what are you suppose to do with these people? You don't just leave the leadership alive, you don't just leave their circles of power and influence intact.
If Russia are doing so great why do they even need North Korean troops ?
@@CheeseLovingGuy Because NATO keep sending in troops. The tempo has changed, casualty rates are up as Ukraine attempt to wage an attritional war. Its simply a counter measure, it serves many interests within the global community. But the problem is no one is accountable so they cling to their fantasy of a Ukrainian victory.
Which MOD are you referring to when you say 'the MOD"?
UK
Willie Knows....
No to Naziukropnato 🤗💖🇷🇺👍
@4:00 Why would you think Russia's losses are higher? There are NO reasons to think this is the case and countless to believe it is not.
Have just come in to read the comments...
People think Russia nwin againt german army by numbers. But in reality Russian were outnumber most of the time umtil the battle of kursk ended . WHat Russian did was defeat in detail
@@OSTemli The USSR did have a huge manpower advantage over the Germans during WW2. During the initial stages of Barbarossa the USSR used their endless manpower and strategic depth to stretch the German defensive lines. As the war progressed the Red army did evolve into a capable fighting force with good leadership that did eventually out maneuver the Whermacht.
Matt, this is the level of casting, we want and need to see. Keep it coming ... and beware of Netanyahu's plans.
All the Propaganda in the World can not Escape Reality
Less train for Soviet Soldiers? You kidding me right? Their the ones that are getting the most combat experience.
The Soviet's did most of the fighting and most of the winning against both German and Japanese armies in ww2.
The problem we Willy is that what he was expecting from his side (Ukraine) is very disappointing such that he changed from pro ukraine to Abit neutrol though not purely...
This was put to great effect in New Guinea on the Kokoda Track, but you leave people behind. You don't cover their retreat, they cover yours while paying the ultimate sacrifice.
And this notion of slowing the enemy down, for what? By time the Japanese got to Port Morsby, artillery had arrived and obliterated the Japanese who landed with their most elite troops and rushed into battle.
This doctrine would have been effective for a couple months, till June 2020 when Ukraine had 1million man army. They should have been on the offensive, but Russia has the artillery advantage and they refused to fight into artillery.
Likewise this relies on the enemy pushing advantage. This worked on the Kokoda Track because there was only one way forward, but with a front line so long. The Russians have all the time in the world. Its Ukraine that is running out of support because they keep lying to everyone...
What is Ukraine delaying for? There is no wonder weapon coming, but what is worse is Ukraine is sending very poorly trained troops, they pretty much have gone back to those soviet tactics, where your training in combat. But Ukraine is losing combat effectiveness over entire battalions, the ones who get captured then compromise commanders.
You wont find the solution to this war in a book. More so because you so far behind, because you want to play chess, well every-time you bring in Air Defence Missiles, well its like F16s, for the price of an F16, that could be night vision, plates, helmets and earmuffs. Getting these defensive tools for rear areas completely annihilates all combat effectiveness, and the upkeep, the manpower. There is a reason why Australia doesn't have air defence, it hardly has artillery. Its a waste of resources, just repair the damage, its cheaper.
I keep trying to tell people they are completely outmatched, your fighting a Russian army that is so much more advanced then any NATO military that has ever existed. Don't get me wrong, in terms of commanders, WW1 and WW2 had some amazing leadership, who learnt the hard way as to what was effective and what was not. But Ukraine has no leadership that is anywhere near at the level that Russia is at, you either have compromised experience from defeat after defeat from American wars, or you have Soviet Doctrine that relies on nuclear weapons, and again stepped in defeat of Afghanistan where everything they do creates massive openings for terrorists, turncoats and clandestine activity.
Its an interesting concept, but these Ukrainian citadels, its the same notion of Fire Bases from Vietnam and that doctrine is because commanders where more worried about getting high and banging local woman. Why do you think that so many commanders found grenades getting tossed in their tents?
Stop with the schemes, lets carve up this country and call it a day.
Don't know why the west is so butt hurt, they dominate Ukraine's parliament, NATO pretty much captured like 80% of an old soviet Country and lost minimal troops in the process.
What are you complaining about?
Time for what? Forget about that. There will be no trading.
Based on the level of destruction the Russians inflict on these strongholds it looks like they are advancing until the ukrainians defend a location then they bombard it till nothing is left or the Ukraine retreat. If that is the case the Russian casualties wouldn't be that high. They'd only lose guys on the initial engagement and the mop up operation.
This is a comment made before watching all the way through, I'm impatient. It depends on what ground they give up. They very well could give up the best defensive positions and be left with flat fields of flowers and tall grass. I don't know about you, but tall grass and flowers isn't much to hide behind. Then if this is the case, by the time they do get the F-16s and, ......, a new army, Russia could have basically made an impenetrable wall.