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The Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio & M1 Pie
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one of the most underrated youtube channels in the entire space. Well done Rob.
Thank you Rob. I've followed Paul for years. He does great work with his foundation and always keeps the best interest of the investor first. I've implemented his portfolio approach for years but the reality is for me, it is too burdensome to manage with all the slicing and dicing that Paul recommends. The new fintech platforms surely could ease the administrative overhead of his approach.
Thank you for this review. I am a big Paul Merriman fan. I don’t have all of his recommendations, but the ones I have incorporated have done exceptional.
Keep up the good work, Rob. I try not to miss any of your videos.
I understand having three or four funds, but portfolios with this many funds is just confusing and not needed very unnecessary and I also think owning the physical Goldspot fund instead of treasuries is better
Thank you Rob for being so darn good at explaining this sometimes complicated stuff so smooth and easy.
Hi Rob, You deliver the investment goods AND have that fabulous mixture of dry humor fun…great job, learning lots from your channel🎉🎉🎉
Please review the 7Twelve portfolio in the future. Thanks.
Rob, another great video. You talk in here about returns during times that don't jive with your portfolio, and sticking it out. What if you don't have 50 years? which portfolio holds the most promise over the next 10 years for someone in their 60's?
Rob, I got into Merriman and their buy & hold portfolio in 2008 so started in a hole but stuck with them for 12 years. I switched into their trend wise program in 2014 to 2019 and got out because of poor performance. They averaged about a plus 2% per year over that period. I felt that was horrible and I am sorry I stayed with them that long. I’ve done much better on my own using mostly ETF’s. I’m getting performance now around 9-10%+, having about 50% in MMF and 50% in equities. I’m glad I got away from his old company, Merriman-Berkman Next (back in 2008). Tim G.
I like Paul Merriman. A nice fellow for sure.
This year I added VIOO as my small cap. It is still in the M* Tic tac toe board. Morningstar is my main source of portfolio evaluation. I have the premium account paid for by T Rowe Price (actually me due to their higher fees), but I like TRP. About 1% in in ARKK. Just enough for a taste but not enough to get drunk on. :)
I enjoy your channel, Rob.
Thank you Rob for the great content! I've subscribed to your channel and love it actually, esp the tools you use to analyze portfolios.
Here's my portfolio in a taxable account. I'm being charged 0.75% for management fees on this actively managed portfolio, although I'm learning it's way better to go with passive investment using index funds.
Total value of the portfolio is 70K, I'm 40 and shooting to retire at 55.
I'd appreciate if you'd analyze my portfolio.
Thank you
Symbol % Of Account
VOO 36.45%
IEFA 25.85%
IWR 8.63%
IEMG 8.25%
MUB 8.21%
Cash & Cash Investments 5.69%
HYG 3.93%
SCHH 2.98%
I’m thinking about VTI, VXUS, BND, QQQ, and maybe VNQ . It can be confusing I’m still trying to learn
Hey Rob here's a topic for you to consider please. What advantages, angle, or "edge" does an individual investor possibly have vs. algos, hedge funds, institutions, et. al. in asset management/markets? Given your buy-and-hold passive approach, I'm not sure that you believe there are any such advantages, but I'd be curious to know your educated opinion on this. Also, what is the best forum (Twitter, FB, YT, ?) to ask these types of questions to you?
Thumbs up. Thanks.
What’s your take on a portfolio with 75% VTI and 25% BLV. I should comment that I know in the short term the long bond will go down because of increasing interest rates but I’m thinking long-term 20 to 30 years horizon is that I’ll make more money with the long bonds. I did a back test with portfolio visualizer and it seems like this had the same or better protection against bear markets as short term bonds and intermediate, reducing volatility, but yet almost the same return as 100% stocks. it even beat 100% VTI during the "lost decade" in 2000 to 2010. Thus with a long horizon I think BLV taking a hit in the short term with inevitable increases in interest rates, in the span of a couple or three decades would be a winner. what do you think?
Listening to this, I can't help but think similar thoughts to your S&P index investing is for losers video. Just like with any diversified investment strategy, you will never be #1 on any given timeline, but you will also never be the worst and historically this fund allocation has outperformed in the long term.
On a more macro consideration, I have the expectation the Value tilt looks good in the coming few years.
Thanks again Rob for a thorough review! Nice to see 50 years of performance but most folks will invest for at most 40 years before retirement and at that point probably can't handle that much volitility. Curious what the Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy portfolio would do with a 30-40 year variable start, similar to the Bill Bengen analysis only for the build up phase rather than draw down. Is there something special about the 50 years for this portfolio or does it show the same performance over 30-40 years with variable start years?
thanks
Great Information
Can you do a video on benefits of Ray Dalio’s all weather portfolio, and how to set it up using ETF/ index stocks?
Done and done. th-cam.com/video/G45jNggxhyU/w-d-xo.html and my article on the portfolio: robberger.com/ray-dalio-all-weather-portfolio/
Crypto 5-8% Pokemon cards 10-15% Cash 6% rest in stocks! ETFS/index funds (30-40% stocks)/ 60-70% stocks
Can you do a video on Engineered Portfolio’s Accelerating Dual Momentum strategy?
Have you done a video on Merriman’s four fund portfolio? 25% of each SP500, LCV, SCB, SCV
Massive difference over 50 years. Now I just need to live to 118.
If you have more than 25 years till retirement, just invest in ONE small cap value and that’s all you need.
What do you think about this mutual fund composition: ESGV 19.86%, VT 16.10%, SMH 13.26%, CXSE 9.85%, ARKK 8.85%, ESPO 8.19%, QQQ 8.09%, CNRG 6.73%, FTEC 6.48%
VT..yes!!
When using the Vanguard platform, which funds are recommended for international large-cap value and international small-cap value? Vanguard doesn’t seem to have their own index funds in these asset classes. Thanks. Well done.
For large cap: investor.vanguard.com/mutual-funds/profile/VTRIX. I don't believe they have a inter'l small cap value fund. You could look at PDN, but it's more of a mid-cap.
Shirom personal capital is recommending that I go higher on my us stock allocation vs my International stocks is personal capital a fairly reliable source of information?
How does the Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Portfolio MS 9-box stock style compare to a portfolio comprised of Vanguard Total Stock Market Index and Vanguard Total International Stock Index having the same proportion of US stocks to foreign stocks? I assume based upon this video that it would be tilted to value and small compared to the market.
You should ask your subscribers how they watch your vids. My guess is mostly by phone. That being said it's hard to see what your showing on spreed sheets etc. I'm also on a very large phone and zoomed. Disappointed that I can't see your great info... ty for links.
Could you get a microphone please? Hard to hear you talk. Otherwise, I think your content is very helpful! Thank you.
Rob, why not just buy in May rather than April?
Too expensive for taxable account. Will stick to 3 fund portfolio.
Link to article on your site is broken.
You should have far more subscribers.
100% AMC webull says I'm safe
What is the total expense ratio for the 10 etfs?
What if you were to have all 8 ARK ETF's in an M1 Finance pie what would be the percentage breakdown
Keven, that's an interesting question. Let me work on it.
Here's a link to an M1 portfolio with all 8 ARK Invest funds: robberger.com/go/ark/yt-cmt
I also created the portfolio in Morningstar. To my surprise, the P/E of the portfolio is 35, much lower than ARKK's 95.
Sounds scary..
The "ultimate buy and hold" has too much going on IMHO.
Jack Bogle would be laughing at the unnecessary complexity here.
Oh wow another 10 vanguard fund balanced portfolio. You mean just another copy of the Gone Fishing Portfolio.
A buy and hold forever portfolio just doesn't jive with every other video you've done on not trying to live off dividends. Anything you are buying and holding the only thing you can ever spend are dividends otherwise you aren't forever holding.