Will Higher Rates Break The Economy? (Ep. 110)

With interest rates climbing to historic highs, is the economy teetering on the brink-or are opportunities waiting in the wings?
This week on Facts vs. Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, assess the far-reaching effects of rising rates on the economy and markets.
Ryan and Sonu examine how these trends reshape investment opportunities, from skyrocketing mortgage rates-eroding housing affordability-to sector rotations in the S&P 500. They reveal why inflation might be cooling faster than official data suggests, the surprising resilience of consumer strength, and whether the Fed’s cautious “wait-and-see” approach hints at a future policy shift.
Tune in as the duo also explores market dynamics, uncovers the lessons of the 1995 Greenspan era, and discusses how high productivity could provide a unique opportunity for rate cuts without economic stagnation!
Key Highlights:
Interest Rate Dynamics: Higher mortgage rates (7-8%) squeeze affordability, but construction jobs remain surprisingly steady
Sector Performance: Financials, energy, and industrials shine as tech and healthcare face setbacks
Inflation Trends: Real-time data suggests cooling inflation and calming food and grocery prices
Fed’s Position: Powell’s cautious “wait-and-see” strategy faces criticism for focusing on outdated inflation metrics
Geopolitical Risks: A strong dollar and global conflicts pressure markets, making diversification essential
Productivity Gains: High productivity offers hope for wage growth without spiking inflation
Investment Outlook: Stay diversified and monitor high-growth tech and renewable energy opportunities
And much more!
Resources:
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Connect with Ryan Detrick:
LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick - / ryandetrick
X: Ryan Detrick - / ryandetrick
Connect with Sonu Varghese:
LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese - / sonu-varghese-phd
X: Sonu Varghese - / sonusvarghese
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