Decoding India's Geopolitics by Neelkanth Mishra Part 2
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 11 มิ.ย. 2024
- In the second episode of our series with Neelkanth Mishra, Chief Economist - Axis Bank and Head of Global Research - Axis Capital, we delve into India's position in global geopolitics, reflecting on the recent G20 hosted by the country. Neelkanth shares insights on diplomatic milestones achieved, including consensus on contentious issues and the expansion of membership.
The discussion revolves around the Fourth Turn Theory, highlighting the unique challenges of the current geopolitical landscape. As the decline of American power and the rise of new players like China and India unfold, Neelkanth explores how to prepare for the impending changes.
Join us as we recap these significant insights and explore the role India can play in the evolving geopolitical scenarios on the horizon.
Chapters:
00:00:00 - 00:00:58 Coming up!
00:00:58 - 00:01:11 Opening theme
00:01:11 - 00:02:21 Mukesh talks about India’s increasing prominence in the global economic landscape
00:02:21 - 00:28:10 USA and China: What made them go from friends to foe?
00:28:10 - 00:34:51 What role does India play in the USA-China dynamic?
00:34:51 - 00:41:37 Unravelling China and India's geopolitical ties and roles in the intricate game of global politics
00:41:37 - 00:52:03 Neelkanth provides a comprehensive analysis of the strategy and execution required behind the China Plus One approach
00:52:03 - 00:58:50 Can India be a global manufacturing powerhouse, leveraging China Plus One?
00:58:50 - 01:14:38 Neelkanth highlights the global impact of war, stressing need for India's strategic participation in world affairs while safeguarding national interests
01:14:38 - 01:21:13 Neelkanth emphasizes G20's greater relevance for India in addressing global issues and the need for more such inclusive forums
01:21:13 - 01:27:15 Neelkanth delves into the rationale behind countries forming alliances to address shared challenges or counter specific nations
01:27:15 - 01:33:33 How can India balance carbon emission reduction with fostering economic growth?
01:33:33 - 01:38:06 Is India's engagement with economically smaller neighbors crucial for regional political influence?
01:38:06 - 01:40:32 Mukesh and Neelkanth discuss the importance for Indians to take more interest in the global affairs and the world economy
Resources
The Fourth Turn: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strauss...
Semiconductor Industry in Taiwan: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Semicon...
U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan in August 2022 to support its democracy, but China opposed the visit and conducted military drills around the island: carnegieendowment.org/2022/08...
Plaza Accord: www.investopedia.com/terms/p/...
www.firstpost.com/explainers/...
QUAD: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quadril...
AUKUS: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AUKUS
One China Policy: www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-c...
BRICS: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BRICS
SAARC: mfasia.org/mfa_programs/advoc...
NAFTA: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_A...
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Neelkanth is a wonderful and patient explainer.
Loss of India in 1962 had a major and long lasting geopolitical loss of India.
After 1950 capture of Tibet and threat to 5 fingers pushed countries like Nepal seek India for it's security, Indian army were giving full security to Nepal but after 1962 ,Nepal realised that if India can not protect itself how come us. Nepal changed it's policy to balancing two major power with tilt towards major powers ( china).
Neelkanth is a One-Man Global
Think Tank!
Prof. Prasanna Tantri would be an amazing guest. Would love to see him in this podcast.
really Neelkanth himeslf is an encyclopedia
Great conversation !
Obviously no doubt in it, during ancient days the Knowledge is traveled from BHARAT (India🇮🇳)
Excellent Analysis!
Very nice discussion intricacy of the world economics explained
Quality of discussions are on a different level as compared to the podcasts done by kids like beerbiceps
Bahut bahut Badhai aap dono ko ek acchha program prastut karane ke liye. Prayas karana hai.
was waiting for this. / also , can we have prof Bharat Karnad next
Hope you enjoy the episode! Our team will explore the possibility of having Professor Bharat Karnad as a guest on SparX. Thank you for your suggestion.
Loving this series...101 on geo politics ...thank you SparX !
While it is good hear the conversation, it also needs to get into why so many things are still so wrong in Indian economy
- Why is there still so much corruption and very little action to deal with it.
- Rule of law is still a problem. Where are judicial reforms. When will people stop fearing the police?
- Why are so many of our cities among the most polluted in the world. Not to mention the absolute bad planning, water management etc.
- why can’t the SEZ model be fully adopted
- How can India develop global brands.
- We talk about skills. Manufacturing needs hands on working with equipment which our educational institutions lack.
And so many more things to fix before we can truly achieve long term growth.
American, CCP are most corrupt politicians.
These all problem there china too. Lived there and experience these problems every where . Political will is key. Govt change also should create problem
Even if some of these problems exist in China, it doesn’t make it any better for the people of India.
And maybe there is another lesson to learn from China - not to become a local goonda as soon as we start seeing money and power.
@@sudhirnayak8086i'll b honest I don't think india will surpass china in this century in economy size.But the thing is we don't need to surpass china to have good quality of life. We will still b very important to the world being third biggest econmy. But as of now we really need to improve the quality of life thats the most important thing as a citizen
Sir, you should release this as Netflix binge series, all episodes at one go.
Other suggestion if you can bookmark links of books or primary sources of these ideas
Love & Respect 🫡
I did watch the first episode fully and will watch this despite my minimal hindi knowledge. Would have been great if this was more in English.
Hi Santhosh! We've added English subtitles even for the Hinglish sections now. Hope that makes your experience of listening to the episode smoother!
Thanks :)
can you have english caption, this is interesting conversation. There is alot of interest to understand india's growth.
One podcast on book recommendations with neelkanth, please. Ask him to share his intellectual wealth with janta!
Only podcast about China relations that's neither too diplomatic nor too nationalistic
Hi Mukesh, loving these podcasts with Neelkanth. He is so incredibly balanced & informed about everything. Thanks for the uploads & waiting for the next one.
P.S. can you ask him what policy measures the Central & State govt must take to ensure a 10% GDP growth rate for the next 30 years? I'd love to have his opinion.
Love you both.❤
India will be superpower in ten years from now on, and becoming number one in terms of economic and military.
Be realistic bro... As an indian I think india wud b unable to surpass china at least in this century. But the thing is we don't need to surpass china to have a good quality of life. And good quality of life is what we want
Sir ...Superpower is just an epithet ..do think about quality of life for 75% of our citizens ...
@macreno Agree. Good and right mindset.
The point about Plaza Accords is flawed I think since many countries signed it. Japan was so affected because its assets had become overvalued, and when the Japanese banks tried to pop it, it fell apart. It's not just that the US permanently destroyed its economy, otherwise Japanese people would be up in arms today.
There were concerns in America but it doesn't have the ability to so easily dismantle a country, let alone an ally. Japan's own issues were exacerbated by the treaty.
His point about no permanent friends and enemies is still correct but I don't think Japan is the best example. Better is maybe the Taliban, where they supported them against the Soviets and then spent a trillion dollars fighting them when they a threat to American interests.
History will prove you wrong. Japan was becoming too strong for the US liking and had to be cut to size. The same is happening to Germany, it will need a miracle for Germany to recover to its former self. Forget about being an ally.
After 30 years
At 7:56 "China felt Threatened" know why because it wasn't just about split but because Leonid Breznev was so angered that he was going to nuke the heck out of china and at that moment it was actually US which came and saved China by its own deterrence 😂😂😂. And at that moment Mao almost shitted out of pants and went with US.
But I think TSMC is the reason why world care for Taiwan otherwise no one would including USA have any interest in Taiwan. So, TSMC protects Taiwan.
I don't think why china should attack and capture Taiwan, it's getting all all supplies , world already accepted Chinese sovereignty over Taiwan ( one china policy) , it's not disturbing china by anyways ( like Pakistan does with India) .
US should pay for nord stream methane leakage before lecturing others on emissions
No it cant. Next question
Still the same question to ask over again and again without doing things in materialized progress
To answer your question, the answer is an overwhelming NO!
India is ranked #124 in per capita income (PPP), worse than many African countries. What will it take to move up to say #80 and overtake Botswana? What policies will move the needle? What is the shortest time-frame to achieve this? India needs a Narasimha Rao-MMS combo as PM/FM to set some clear goals and drive radical reforms. Current combo of Modi/Sitharaman are not capable of doing what needs to be done.
We are done with congress.
Bjp is better
@@roshanramesh7960That is why they are intaking so many Congressis. What a joke!
@@arnabdas7019 haaha very funny look at the condition of congress mf then talk. We want hindu fascism .
Fuck sickularism
Jai sree ram🚩
India came to 124 from the bottom 20 in 1980s. Pull up imf records, you will find. It won't happen overnight. And Botswana is an exception in Africa. In the next 15 years we will break into the 100.
@@Aiden-cl2de Indian economy was a disaster till the balance of payments crisis of 1991 ultimately forced Narasimha Rao govt to liberalise, so I don't care about 1980s. Besides Botswana, other African countries with higher per-capital income than India are Libya, Egypt, Algeria, Tunisia, Ghana, Eswatini, Morocco, South Africa, Namibia, Gabon, Seychelles, Mauritius, Equatorial Guinea.
Love this but also shows how crap mainstream media is in explaining these things !! 😂
WAIT UNTIL THE TWENTY-SECOND CENTURY, FOR THE TIME BEING JUST MAKE THE INDIA DREAM, OVERTAKING CHINA....OVERTAKING CHINA.....OVERTAKING CHINA....keep on dreaming of this
China's proportion of GDP is 17%+. Not 15%. But that loose talk is hardly my main problem with this interview.
An IIT guy! Vo bhi Kanpur!.
*Vo bhi Computer Science!*
*Aur vo bhi Gold Medalist*
Neelkanth is smart but he is just regurgigating news talking points. Good but not extraordinary.
Blinding Original Thinking kahan hai bhai. Comp Sc topper should blow us apart.
Sorry if I have made an inaccurate observation.
Maybe an interview with someone who has skin in the game like a CEO of a Business Services Exporting Company might be sharper?
Yes, India will be superpapapower by 2020.😅
More 30 yrs provided both GDP are equal. U cannot compare 4 trillion with 20 trillion economy. We need to make ourselves self reliance only then we can.
The greatest Indian-born economist of our times, The Right Honorable Raghuram Rajan ( Professor Emeritus par excellence at the University of Chicago), has repeatedly said that India must focus on services and NOT manufacturing.
India ahould compete with USA as China is not your competitor
China is a developing country
India is already an advanced country in G7
CHINESE TACTICS NEED TO BE ADOPTED TO OVERCOME CHINA. THEY BRIBE AND BUY WHOLESALERS IN LARGE COUNTRIES LIKE INDIA, INDONESIA, BRAZIL ETC.
modi govt focusing on innovation, tech, entrepreneurship.... not exports.....
neel shud understand this.
China's GDP is 6 times more than India. Kuch bhi bol raha hai bhai
Never 👎 first India 🇮🇳 needs to make better toilet 🚽
It would take a miracle for India NOT to fall farther behind China. Catching up to China is Mission Impossible. Surpassing China has the chance of a snowball in hell.
A master plan made public is required so everyone is working to clearly defined objectives.
India will be next super power? not in a hundreds of years. Dear Indian friend do not kidding
yourself.
Geopolitical analysts and global Economic Experts always try to compare India with China without touching on some main issues, without studying the shortcomings of democracy and Marxist ideology. India follows democracy, but China follows Marxist ideology. China could not become a Superpower despite following Marxist year ideology. People should know how to become a superpower within a short time. In 200China was able to provide cheap labour, land and electric power to companies affected by the 2008 financial crisis worldwide. So, many companies shifted their manufacturing base ( Industriel base) to China. Unfortunately, the Indian government failed to avail this golden opportunity due to the failure of people to choose a leader capable of taking the right action at the right time. But China's economy will not last long. Chinese people do not know how to spend the money judiciously. Examples 1) Attacking India and spending billions of dollars to keep lands where not even a blade of grass grows. 2) Artificial Island in the South China Sea. 3) Spending billions of dollars manufacturing Aircraft carriers. 4) Constructing an illegal artificial Island in South China. 5) Constructing ports without checking the economic viability. At the same time, India is not thinking of a military solution to retake the lost land to Pakistan (POK). "Slow and Study wins the race". So this kind of discussion is a total waste. Earlier Journalists used to write articles after studying a lot. Nowadays Journalist raise issues based on their views developed without any detailed study.
However, these irresponsible journalists cannot make out a true picture of India's relationship with hostile neighbouring countries because it requires special talent to learn war and war strategy.
Listen it’s ok you guys are speaking Hindi. However don’t put the title in English if you are going to be speaking Hindi. Put the title in Hindi so that non Hindi speakers won’t click.
Broo chill
Use CC button and get subtitles
@@akashsen471 dumbass subtitles only appear if the creator put it for the video. Just because you click CC it doesn’t automatically change to English.
@@akashsen471that does not translate Hindi
I m hearing them speak english.
And also we use English script for hindi so whats the issue with u
India can not take over china, why? India does not manufacture anything valuable to sell in world market. Just look recetly, russian refused to take payment in rupee. That is what india is right now. Even if india changes, it will take 30 to 50 years to have good manuafacturing base. By that time india's population would have grown old and useless to support manufacturing.
Good luck india.
How the hindu muslim communal environment effect India's growth story? 🤔 💭 🤔 💭