This video takes a balanced approach to AI, but it's mostly hype and speculation, not actionable advice for developers. Here's the real deal: AI can automate basic coding tasks; it's NOT replacing coders anytime soon. True value lies in devs who understand AI's strengths/weaknesses and can leverage it as a tool. The focus should be on: 1) Mastering core coding skills, so you're irreplaceable regardless of AI tech. 2) Learning how AI works (LLMs, etc.) to integrate it smartly into your work. 3) Developing problem-solving, communication, and adaptability - these "human" skills are what AI lacks and what employers will always need.
> it's NOT replacing coders anytime soon Agree. Not in the nearest 5 years at least. Considering that the rate of progress in AI field is exponential and very very fast, probably no one nowadays can predict what will be after this time period, say 2030. Maybe by that time there'll be AI solutions that would generate whole projects end-to-end and be able to incrementally develop new features in them based on the customer requirements, who knows. Companies would definitely have incentives to replace progammers with AI as soon as it becomes possible, though, as programmers are very expensive labor.
Coders will be lucky to make it into 2026. Those that are left will undoubtedly be gone by 2028. I didn't say this to argue. I just want someone reading this in the year 2028 to know that we aren't all goof balls that have no idea what's about to hit us.
😂😂the 3 skillsets you mentioned that exactly what AI does…, not sure why AI won’t take jobs. In fact people working in coding industry will be the very first category to be replaced by AI
Biggest issue of the past year at my company (its a huge corp), a bunch of YOLO devs who start most sentences with "bro", just pulling random code assuming its always right, then days, weeks, or more, later, bugs arise that AI can't fix because you have to dig to find them. I would advise any new dev to really learn what you are doing. I've noticed that there is less appetite to hire (although this could be economic conditions as well). You have to do something to set yourself apart somehow. No, I'm not talking about being a leetcode champion, learn how software development actually works.Value communication just as much as your tech skills.
@@limitless1692 And that is because of LLM chatbots, or just maybe the fact that interest rates made debt very expensive so everyone from your individual households to large corps are cutting costs. All the reckless government and individual spending during covid is just catching up with everyone. That is why it's hard to get hired right now.
Agree with the entire video! A Software Developer is truly so much more than just coding. Just like with the boom of Big Data few years back, the database related roles pivoted into something like a Data Engineer, Data Warehouse Engineer, etc. it looks like a similar pattern with AI - we will be seeing this subtle change in Software Dev roles as well with AI. Instead of "replace", I would use "embrace" as a development aid to define AI.
ai will replace you when it gets better than the average person. ai will create more jobs but it won't be enough to offset the jobs replaced. better to focus on what won't be affected.
It depends on employer who might want to venture into no workers work environment. I worked for a large cooperation over 10 years ago. One of the upper management actually told me that they can implement a type of automation to remove 40% of their workforce. But they decided not to do it at that time. In the future, if businesses begin to start a cut throat competition then massive employment cut is not entirely impossible.
As someone that has studied in dept, bachelors specialization, I’d say the minute ai can reason, understand the world around it that’s when you should kind of contemplate how to move. Research currently on going in things like Sora and the most important research is JEPA by Meta. Those two projects have the potential to completely turn things upside down. For everyone. So as a developer myself, the future is for those that are experts in a domain or field. That’s why it’s important to understand your stuff
We need to accept AI will reduce the required number of developers to complete a system. Reduce not eliminate. This is the time to go hard in learning tools and languages used in enterprise. You must be able to decide which AI output from different LLM gives the best solution. Like today, many are willing to pay professional photographers even if everyone has a camera in their phone. My point is any specilized skill will have value. Soft skills will no longer be good to have but need to have. Your ability to communicate to stakeholders and end users with patience and emphaty will determine your future.
True, and this will wipe out most of us devs on the spectrum as no one will any longer tolerate our, er, quirks. I'm near retirement anyway, so you poor young whippersnappers trying to stay relevant in a world of super-intelligent machines can knock yourselves out. I'd suggest a better use of your time than learning coding or advanced tools is learning to politically organize so you can lobby for a transition to a post-labor, post-scarcity economy that isn't owned and run by and for a claque of ruthless oligarchs. Failing that, you'll end up having holes drilled into your heads in a doomed bid to compete with A(G/S)I.
By saying "Reduce not eliminate" this totally depends on which end you are on! You might be the one who gets to stay or the one to get "eliminated"! If you are the latter, then the worry that AI will replace your job holds true! But I totally agree with the rest of your comment! it's time to learn how to use these tools
If you speak to professional photographers you will see that it is a mug's game. Most people don't want to pay (or pay for everything they want) because they kind of feel they could just do it themselves with their iPhone.
@@michaelnurse9089same happened with translating. Most companies dont care about the quality of their localization so they take the cheapest hack available
The insights shared are valuable, yet they hover on the brink of an automation-driven shift where the demand for human labor dramatically decreases. Imagining an economy grappling with 20% unemployment is daunting, and my estimate of 80% could spell disaster. As the horizon of job automation looms-possibly within 1 to 5 years-it prompts a critical examination of which economies will adapt, prosper, or collapse without conventional employment structures. Despite the stigma around "socialism" for many, alternatives like Universal Basic Income (UBI) seem unavoidable if automation eradicates up to 80% of current jobs. The question isn't whether AI and robotics will displace a vast number of jobs-that seems inevitable given their self-sufficient operation and scalability. Unlike the Industrial Revolution, which augmented human labor with machine assistance, today's technological advances aim for autonomy, challenging us to envision new roles beyond the reach of AI and robotic capabilities.
They been saying this since the 70s we will always need developers so don’t stop learning. Keep going, better yet. Learn development even better. Good luck.
One point that I'm not sure I agree with is AI's impact on Tech jobs, indeed we do more than write code, but with AI, the number of employees you'll need to do the coding part might be considerably less than it is today. Also I'm not sure that trust in AI will take so long to be established, considering the rate it's growing at. How much time do we have until trust is established? 5 years?
The way I see it is tech that speeds up programming will continuing to grow but so will the problems that need solving or new inventions. So in order to solve the complex problems, we will need all the help we can get.
9:13 "When you live in those big towers you often forget about all the world that's not as big as you are". I said somewhere that that man is divorced from reality.
One point I’d wish you would address is that while AI won’t replace all software engineers, it might replace 20-30% of them. My company is already experimenting with this by seeing how productive engineers are with AI tools so they can hire less engineers. If 30% less engineers are needed, that is catastrophic for the job market. Think it’s hard to get a job now? It can get much worse.
but if everyone is using ai tools no company will have competition advantage. It's like with IDEs. Ide like intellij idea really helps develop code and everyone uses them. But it does not reduce demand for devs.
Lets say it can replace 20-30% of them, because with the other 70-80% it can be done the same amount of work. It means that AI enhance productivity, it wouldnt mean that, if companies remain the 100% of the workers, now they can absorb more work, that due to time limitation werent possible before? or bigger projects, that werent logistically possible before? Maybe AI just let the industry reach the next level on amount and size of projects, what could even mean more jobs... Or maybe not.. but, does it make sanse, right?
Bro, a whole generation of programmers is about to retire and there aren't enough Devs in milennials and Gen Z. The population has decreased and the population of Devs is even smaller. Not needing 20% of your Devs will only end up fitting the actual population of Devs
If you won't pay for it, it won't be produced. And sporting events will always be happy to take your money no matter how poor you are by using the magic of supply and demand.
No one. Walmart and sports team will be hit as hard. But the big investors will be owning different stocks by that time. The rich don't pay, so it seems so far.
@@Icedanon yeah no demand no production, which adds to the problem of unemployment. You might say that people will specialize in other domains and in this case I'm not so sure about it.
9:00 and this is why at age 45, I am getting back into programming. I need to learn C++ well enough to make a custom game engine. Unreal would normally work, but it does not support (I don't think) what I am trying to pull off with my idea. And with AI assisting me along the way, together GPT and I can build something worthwhile as a team !
Its weird you're basing your decision to learn one of the most difficult software development disciplines to build a game engine because you THINK unreal doesn't support a feature you want.... like you do realize these game engines are extensible right? And you could just write a module on top of them that do what you want?
Sorry for being maybe too sincere, but this sounds like a total nonsense. Building game engine is extremely difficult task even if you are a expert level programmer. And it is close to impossible if you are a beginner. And AI will not help you with that very much. Such a code will be a big piece of mess with probably thousands of bugs and with poor performance, especially if your chose difficult language such as C++. So... good luck with that.
Someone who mods Unreal Engine, it certainly is an engine capable of more than you think. People made MMO's, simulation software, various types of games, and even construction companies can use it. It's very versatile and you should try it instead of making an engine which is heavily complex and almost as difficult as making a large game.
To be honest though: 1. Software engineers are not the only ones getting replaced: I. HR II. C suite executives III. Secretaries IV. Supervisors V. Accountants VI. Laywers VII. Judges VIII. Doctors All of them can and will be replaced by AI because these jobs have the most bloated salaries. 2. They tried replacing fastfood workers and cashiers and that hasn't worked. They still needed people to manage the machines. 3. Quite frankly, with the birth rates as low as they are, they are simply aren't enough people in thr labor market let alone engineers for a 20% reduction in programmers to have an impact on us
I understand that the rising cost of inflation has resulted in an increasing number of job losses as companies are unable to pay wages due to significant interest. The competition between LLM providers using the best marketing strategies has started, and who knows what will come out of it? Since I work as a developer, I do more than just code. AI tools will only speed up my work, but none of the current options are flawless. Frameworks, libraries, and other tools have made my job easier with improved productivity. There's no doubt that implementing new AI tools will present more challenges and require a wider range of skills.
I love to hear you talk, Travis, it's always so informative and you are so personable, putting on a cap makes you look young too. Keep up the good work.
I use it instead of google, for example, how to setup an express server, or why doesnt this code suddenly not work after an update. For "real" code, meaning your own huge web of custom business logic, it can do next to nothing, expect provide some useful autocompletions.
I am currently 16 years old and i am thinking to major in ai and robotics but by the time i graduate i think all jobs will be automated by ai. What can I do?
You think all jobs will be automated by AI in 5 or 6 years? That is… certainly optimistic. Well, if there is only one job left in an AI-automated economy, it will be as an AI engineer.
It is hard to keep up with how quickly things are moving in the space. OpenAI keeps filing for patents and everyone is trying to catch up and release their own mind blowing stuff.
I like this video. I believe it. We as software engineers will evolve to something else that will require software engineers. We may not be coding but we will still be needed.
There is no We. There is I or You. If I get the job, you will not get it. Or if you get the job first, I will not get it. When there are over 10,000 job application for a 1 software engineer job within a few hours, then this is the end.
Sure, there will be jobs that won't dissapear and even new ones created, but by definition using automation means there will be less labour force required/less jobs vs new ones created in that specific sector. Don't get fooled by all the euphemisms used, the whole point of automation is to replace (fully or partially) human labour with robots/AI. Unless you are a top % elite SWE, in a few years you're probably next in line to be automated out of jobs, just like it is happening to graphical artists already.
No it's not happening to graphic artists. My company got rid off all of our photographers for an AI. It's now only a few months and they are begging them to come back.
You need one developer at the moment for some jobs, the easier it gets the more likely, you will just need one person regardless of skill. Just compare 3D modeling 50 years ago to now, it's way easier now, you can do it with an object and your camera phone
I think the future will be multiple languages for different purposes each generated by a set of rules defined by the company. Sure coding will be automated but we have to learn to implement other sciences too to build a tech company and always remember we the people run the country not AI. Regulation will limit the use of ai one day for sure so keep learning guys. Be limitless
Travis, it is easy to dispense with "other" occupations that are mundane and that nobody wants to do (your judgment call). That is what the majority of the media is saying about Software Development. You say,"Being a Software Developer is way more than writing code...(like dealing with people-related issues)." You are making the AI industry's point. Why didn't you just say "We have a lot of work to do attending meetings and taking PTO". Really bad arguments. You could have made much more valid points but didn't. This is part of the problem for Devs. This is the problem when IT people think they are engineers.
all nice and good, but stay realistic: with AI a dev can pump out way more work then without. In the future 2Devs will be able to create the same output in 1 week like 10 devs doing now in 3 weeks. Its about productivity and that will happen in EVERY Sector. Dev jobs are payed good because there arent enough around. Supply and demand its that simple. It will not replace you, but it will reduce the need for you, and then even good devs wont be making the amount of money they do now.
why ppl always talk about this? did ppl understand wtf is programing? even if there is AI replacing software job, we still need coders. the definition of software engineer is basically you create an interface to turn hardware into programable device, or device you can set/input some instruction. if everything is supercomputer everything is programmable, dumb.
Somewhat amusingly, AI is neither artificial or intelligent. The reason those old folks, that you choose to make fun of to be cool with your younger audience, say that AI will never take their job, is because they are correct. They understand how complex software is. They understand there are more ways write 100 lines of code, than there are atoms in the universe. The amount of computer hardware, and the amount of electricity required, to replicate the number of neurons and interconnects in one flawed human brain, is mind boggling. Sure, AI is a useful tool and will put many people out of a job. But it won't be innovative any time soon. Never stop working hard and learning, and you'll always be able to get paid to cut code. 🤓
At least you made an arguement. More than most that take your position do. However, I think the idea of how much more complex our brain is than ai and the ai won't be able to do what we can because of that, is wrong. Our brains evolved in a complex world and have so much more to do than an ai. Our brains have to navigate a living being with all its processes through time and space. An ai has the unique ability to be hyperspecialized and thus can crunch through data and produce a result without the need to know of the existance of time and space. Or without the need of 99% of the processes that our brain is actually doing. Coding is but a small part of what our brains can do. The ai can hyper focus on this area, becoming a much better coder than you, while not needing all your extra brain complexity for the task at hand. Yeah, your brain is impressive, but it has a lot of overhead that an ai can bypass. Negating the need for such complexity in taking your job.
You don't need to replicate human brain, it's insanely inefficient. You only need to train AI to do it's job, it doesn't need to bother itself with trying to keep lungs and heart working by using neural pathways that should've been deprecated 500 million years ago. It doesn't need emotions, long-forgotten childhood memories, ability to pay taxes or knowledge on how to walk straight. It just needs to do it's job, which greatly reduces amount of neurons needed. Current AI models already have billions of parameters in them, and they already can both write code, reason on how it works, test it and improve it. And with latest AI chips, models possible for training have basically increased 30x in size. And sure, 100 lines of code have a lot of possible states. But AI isn't a bruteforcing tool. It's already been couple years, since AI became world champion at GO, which can't be bruteforced at all.
@Icedanon On the other hand, understanding the real word might be our main source of intelligence and edge over AI. They have already fed them almost all the text data on the internet, and the result was GPT4 with some trillion parameters. They will need much more than just text.
@Leonhart_93 I'm not on the cutting edge, but im pretty sure they have their ways of getting the data they need. I think more than an information problem, we are going to have a power problem in getting ai to the point where it can navigate the world like a human. These things already take a crazy amount of power. I can't imagine how much energy something like an autonomous agi robot would take.
@@Icedanon It is absolutely an infromation problem too. If they have fed the AIs all the human generated data that is on the interenet, then where will they get more? That's why OpenAI made a contract to train on the data on Reddit, it's the most fundamental part. And it probably will barely improve it at this point.
why is it that all developers are in denial, its always the "its not good code" argument. No, it is. I've had Claude write me full on complex applications in 10s of minutes. This is denial
Jump in, both feet. Now. If you need to, 'do it again' aka: go back to school. C, C++, Python and electronics. asap. it's moving like a bolt of lighting.
Coping so hard 😂😂😂 Talking about programs that just got released being not good enough... give it 3 more years and you can code everything with the right prompt
Dramamond is way too often a distraction to the game more so than a contributing player. Hence the Warriors are stuck at the bottom battling for last place. The fact that so many diehard fans don't realize this is the reason why they are where they are and will remain as the world moves on. Positive consistency creates a winning feedback loop.
@@AS-if5jg because it was their main reason, to replace juniors, and now the work of a junior or a monkey coder can be done by chatGPT from a middle position for an extra in their salary
Just don’t have kids unless you have good finance and investments already. World population is exploding. No one is talking about that. We just look at 🇺🇸 and see empty streets and malls and get fooled. Most of the jobs will also be outsourced.
@@ncpeaksean4278 more kids without financial freedom is a sin to bring a child in this world. With less jobs, more competition for even less job it’s not a good life. Lifestyle will deteriorate a lot. At least kids in this current world and economics is not for faint hearted. Unless people are confident or want to gamble with kids future.
As long as food production keeps pace with population which is shrinking, don't pay attention to the doomsayers. Back in the '30s and '40s 30% of Americans were on farms.The fact that today only 2% are on farms doesn't mean that civilization collapsed. Oh! how narrow-minded we are when we don't look at history and realize that change is always there and yet we survive, getting morbidly obese and thrive. For the most part, all people need are bread and circuses ( and maybe education?) . There is more than enough food on most Americans bellies to last them 6 months, hence the popularity of Ozempic. The circuses and " book learning" are digitally delivered, with an unlimited supply fed by digitally duplicated inventory. Now with AI, the entertainment is soon to be generated in infinite iterations. As if everything created over the past few thousands of years across cultures, planet wide is not enough for individual, overweight earthlings to consume? It's all about management. There is no shortage of anything in reality except for the realization that we need common sense and rational organisation.
@@hitmusicworldwide actually the agriculture example proves our point about the upcoming automation in the programming sector, one man with a tractor can do the job of 50 with sickles
Do not learn how to code. It is a waste of time The market is oversaturated; AI will take our jobs; Corporations outsource jobs to India/Rusia/China; It is a nightmare; Are there coding jobs out there? Yes. But when 1 open job position has 10,000 applications within a few hours... you re-evaluate!
This video takes a balanced approach to AI, but it's mostly hype and speculation, not actionable advice for developers. Here's the real deal: AI can automate basic coding tasks; it's NOT replacing coders anytime soon. True value lies in devs who understand AI's strengths/weaknesses and can leverage it as a tool. The focus should be on: 1) Mastering core coding skills, so you're irreplaceable regardless of AI tech. 2) Learning how AI works (LLMs, etc.) to integrate it smartly into your work. 3) Developing problem-solving, communication, and adaptability - these "human" skills are what AI lacks and what employers will always need.
> it's NOT replacing coders anytime soon
Agree. Not in the nearest 5 years at least. Considering that the rate of progress in AI field is exponential and very very fast, probably no one nowadays can predict what will be after this time period, say 2030. Maybe by that time there'll be AI solutions that would generate whole projects end-to-end and be able to incrementally develop new features in them based on the customer requirements, who knows. Companies would definitely have incentives to replace progammers with AI as soon as it becomes possible, though, as programmers are very expensive labor.
@@ildar5184what companies should start to think is more in replace useless mid and high management. Tons of money thrown to the bin
You're practically repeating what he said while positioning it as some kind of action plan
Coders will be lucky to make it into 2026. Those that are left will undoubtedly be gone by 2028. I didn't say this to argue. I just want someone reading this in the year 2028 to know that we aren't all goof balls that have no idea what's about to hit us.
😂😂the 3 skillsets you mentioned that exactly what AI does…, not sure why AI won’t take jobs. In fact people working in coding industry will be the very first category to be replaced by AI
Biggest issue of the past year at my company (its a huge corp), a bunch of YOLO devs who start most sentences with "bro", just pulling random code assuming its always right, then days, weeks, or more, later, bugs arise that AI can't fix because you have to dig to find them. I would advise any new dev to really learn what you are doing. I've noticed that there is less appetite to hire (although this could be economic conditions as well). You have to do something to set yourself apart somehow. No, I'm not talking about being a leetcode champion, learn how software development actually works.Value communication just as much as your tech skills.
Should be an easy problem to solve since they telegraph themselves with their bro-iness.
@@michaelnurse9089yup. The managers who hired them need to be fired. That would solve a large part of that problem.
jamessullenriot
At this moment in time it is easyer to learn how to fly or levitate
Than get a coding job in Tech
I am not even joking!!!
@@limitless1692 And that is because of LLM chatbots, or just maybe the fact that interest rates made debt very expensive so everyone from your individual households to large corps are cutting costs. All the reckless government and individual spending during covid is just catching up with everyone. That is why it's hard to get hired right now.
Agree with the entire video! A Software Developer is truly so much more than just coding. Just like with the boom of Big Data few years back, the database related roles pivoted into something like a Data Engineer, Data Warehouse Engineer, etc. it looks like a similar pattern with AI - we will be seeing this subtle change in Software Dev roles as well with AI. Instead of "replace", I would use "embrace" as a development aid to define AI.
ai will replace you when it gets better than the average person. ai will create more jobs but it won't be enough to offset the jobs replaced.
better to focus on what won't be affected.
@@Alpacabowl98que no va a pasaaaar no estás escuchando? 😂
It depends on employer who might want to venture into no workers work environment.
I worked for a large cooperation over 10 years ago. One of the upper management actually told me that they can implement a type of automation to remove 40% of their workforce. But they decided not to do it at that time.
In the future, if businesses begin to start a cut throat competition then massive employment cut is not entirely impossible.
Travis and Mosh are the most reasonable Tech youtubers. This video is so reassuring 😊
Correct ! However, I do love me some "FireShip" and "Primeagen" as well, to round out the mix !! Also, don't forget about the Cherno !
As someone that has studied in dept, bachelors specialization, I’d say the minute ai can reason, understand the world around it that’s when you should kind of contemplate how to move. Research currently on going in things like Sora and the most important research is JEPA by Meta. Those two projects have the potential to completely turn things upside down. For everyone.
So as a developer myself, the future is for those that are experts in a domain or field. That’s why it’s important to understand your stuff
We need to accept AI will reduce the required number of developers to complete a system. Reduce not eliminate.
This is the time to go hard in learning tools and languages used in enterprise. You must be able to decide which AI output from different LLM gives the best solution. Like today, many are willing to pay professional photographers even if everyone has a camera in their phone. My point is any specilized skill will have value.
Soft skills will no longer be good to have but need to have. Your ability to communicate to stakeholders and end users with patience and emphaty will determine your future.
True, and this will wipe out most of us devs on the spectrum as no one will any longer tolerate our, er, quirks. I'm near retirement anyway, so you poor young whippersnappers trying to stay relevant in a world of super-intelligent machines can knock yourselves out. I'd suggest a better use of your time than learning coding or advanced tools is learning to politically organize so you can lobby for a transition to a post-labor, post-scarcity economy that isn't owned and run by and for a claque of ruthless oligarchs. Failing that, you'll end up having holes drilled into your heads in a doomed bid to compete with A(G/S)I.
By saying "Reduce not eliminate" this totally depends on which end you are on! You might be the one who gets to stay or the one to get "eliminated"! If you are the latter, then the worry that AI will replace your job holds true! But I totally agree with the rest of your comment! it's time to learn how to use these tools
If you speak to professional photographers you will see that it is a mug's game. Most people don't want to pay (or pay for everything they want) because they kind of feel they could just do it themselves with their iPhone.
@@michaelnurse9089 for weddings and special events you will likely hire a professional
@@michaelnurse9089same happened with translating. Most companies dont care about the quality of their localization so they take the cheapest hack available
Development is just too interesting,
I am excited.
The insights shared are valuable, yet they hover on the brink of an automation-driven shift where the demand for human labor dramatically decreases. Imagining an economy grappling with 20% unemployment is daunting, and my estimate of 80% could spell disaster.
As the horizon of job automation looms-possibly within 1 to 5 years-it prompts a critical examination of which economies will adapt, prosper, or collapse without conventional employment structures. Despite the stigma around "socialism" for many, alternatives like Universal Basic Income (UBI) seem unavoidable if automation eradicates up to 80% of current jobs. The question isn't whether AI and robotics will displace a vast number of jobs-that seems inevitable given their self-sufficient operation and scalability. Unlike the Industrial Revolution, which augmented human labor with machine assistance, today's technological advances aim for autonomy, challenging us to envision new roles beyond the reach of AI and robotic capabilities.
They been saying this since the 70s we will always need developers so don’t stop learning. Keep going, better yet. Learn development even better. Good luck.
Back then they didn't have any of this technology, not even close
Not to mention that programming productivity has been improving for decades as well. This has lead to more (not less) programming jobs.
Yeah, in the next decade AI developers will become stupidly rich. Because only developers can improve AI.
One point that I'm not sure I agree with is AI's impact on Tech jobs, indeed we do more than write code, but with AI, the number of employees you'll need to do the coding part might be considerably less than it is today.
Also I'm not sure that trust in AI will take so long to be established, considering the rate it's growing at. How much time do we have until trust is established? 5 years?
The way I see it is tech that speeds up programming will continuing to grow but so will the problems that need solving or new inventions. So in order to solve the complex problems, we will need all the help we can get.
9:13 "When you live in those big towers you often forget about all the world that's not as big as you are". I said somewhere that that man is divorced from reality.
?
One point I’d wish you would address is that while AI won’t replace all software engineers, it might replace 20-30% of them. My company is already experimenting with this by seeing how productive engineers are with AI tools so they can hire less engineers.
If 30% less engineers are needed, that is catastrophic for the job market. Think it’s hard to get a job now? It can get much worse.
but if everyone is using ai tools no company will have competition advantage. It's like with IDEs. Ide like intellij idea really helps develop code and everyone uses them. But it does not reduce demand for devs.
Lets say it can replace 20-30% of them, because with the other 70-80% it can be done the same amount of work.
It means that AI enhance productivity, it wouldnt mean that, if companies remain the 100% of the workers, now they can absorb more work, that due to time limitation werent possible before? or bigger projects, that werent logistically possible before? Maybe AI just let the industry reach the next level on amount and size of projects, what could even mean more jobs...
Or maybe not.. but, does it make sanse, right?
Bro, a whole generation of programmers is about to retire and there aren't enough Devs in milennials and Gen Z.
The population has decreased and the population of Devs is even smaller. Not needing 20% of your Devs will only end up fitting the actual population of Devs
0:13 DID YOU NOTICE, WHEN HE SAID "WHAT'S BAD" the guy was actually looking at you ? :)))
8:13 AI will be able to do all of this sooner rather than later.
the thing here is it still reduced the number of employees needed by a company they hire prumpters instead
If AI replace most of the jobs who will buy all the plastics from Walmart or who goes to Superbowl or NBA games every night? 😂
@@marcelotobias9938”world for a very few coming” It’s already there, it’s 🇺🇸
Yes, the elites don't want even half of us around.
If you won't pay for it, it won't be produced. And sporting events will always be happy to take your money no matter how poor you are by using the magic of supply and demand.
No one. Walmart and sports team will be hit as hard. But the big investors will be owning different stocks by that time. The rich don't pay, so it seems so far.
@@Icedanon yeah no demand no production, which adds to the problem of unemployment.
You might say that people will specialize in other domains and in this case I'm not so sure about it.
9:00 and this is why at age 45, I am getting back into programming. I need to learn C++ well enough to make a custom game engine. Unreal would normally work, but it does not support (I don't think) what I am trying to pull off with my idea. And with AI assisting me along the way, together GPT and I can build something worthwhile as a team !
Its weird you're basing your decision to learn one of the most difficult software development disciplines to build a game engine because you THINK unreal doesn't support a feature you want.... like you do realize these game engines are extensible right? And you could just write a module on top of them that do what you want?
Sorry for being maybe too sincere, but this sounds like a total nonsense. Building game engine is extremely difficult task even if you are a expert level programmer. And it is close to impossible if you are a beginner. And AI will not help you with that very much. Such a code will be a big piece of mess with probably thousands of bugs and with poor performance, especially if your chose difficult language such as C++.
So... good luck with that.
Someone who mods Unreal Engine, it certainly is an engine capable of more than you think. People made MMO's, simulation software, various types of games, and even construction companies can use it. It's very versatile and you should try it instead of making an engine which is heavily complex and almost as difficult as making a large game.
Lol no
We need giys like you to stay encouraged on the long long journey of leaning coding/software engineering
Thank you, that actually helped me today.
To be honest though:
1. Software engineers are not the only ones getting replaced:
I. HR
II. C suite executives
III. Secretaries
IV. Supervisors
V. Accountants
VI. Laywers
VII. Judges
VIII. Doctors
All of them can and will be replaced by AI because these jobs have the most bloated salaries.
2. They tried replacing fastfood workers and cashiers and that hasn't worked. They still needed people to manage the machines.
3. Quite frankly, with the birth rates as low as they are, they are simply aren't enough people in thr labor market let alone engineers for a 20% reduction in programmers to have an impact on us
I understand that the rising cost of inflation has resulted in an increasing number of job losses as companies are unable to pay wages due to significant interest. The competition between LLM providers using the best marketing strategies has started, and who knows what will come out of it? Since I work as a developer, I do more than just code. AI tools will only speed up my work, but none of the current options are flawless. Frameworks, libraries, and other tools have made my job easier with improved productivity. There's no doubt that implementing new AI tools will present more challenges and require a wider range of skills.
Thank you man! What a great insight! Great content! Keep it up!
I love to hear you talk, Travis, it's always so informative and you are so personable, putting on a cap makes you look young too. Keep up the good work.
Thanks for your great arguments!
I use it instead of google, for example, how to setup an express server, or why doesnt this code suddenly not work after an update. For "real" code, meaning your own huge web of custom business logic, it can do next to nothing, expect provide some useful autocompletions.
This video takes a balance of approach of all the hype and speculation not action able
I am currently 16 years old and i am thinking to major in ai and robotics but by the time i graduate i think all jobs will be automated by ai.
What can I do?
you will maintain the legacy, or develop it more.
ill suggest reaching class 12 maths its insane and is used in robotics
learn plumbing or nursing
You think all jobs will be automated by AI in 5 or 6 years? That is… certainly optimistic.
Well, if there is only one job left in an AI-automated economy, it will be as an AI engineer.
Employee on boarding, haha, for like the next 2 years, till the only employee you need is chatgpt
It is hard to keep up with how quickly things are moving in the space. OpenAI keeps filing for patents and everyone is trying to catch up and release their own mind blowing stuff.
I like this video. I believe it. We as software engineers will evolve to something else that will require software engineers. We may not be coding but we will still be needed.
There is no We.
There is I or You.
If I get the job, you will not get it. Or if you get the job first, I will not get it.
When there are over 10,000 job application for a 1 software engineer job within a few hours, then this is the end.
Gemini is killing it in Wakanda
wait what
Good video. Just dont stop learning. I made that mistake over the past year and I regret it. Getting off my butt now.
Sure, there will be jobs that won't dissapear and even new ones created, but by definition using automation means there will be less labour force required/less jobs vs new ones created in that specific sector.
Don't get fooled by all the euphemisms used, the whole point of automation is to replace (fully or partially) human labour with robots/AI.
Unless you are a top % elite SWE, in a few years you're probably next in line to be automated out of jobs, just like it is happening to graphical artists already.
No it's not happening to graphic artists.
My company got rid off all of our photographers for an AI.
It's now only a few months and they are begging them to come back.
@@BeepBoop2221 oh yes, many graphical artists are in a lot of pain right now... you live in a bubble my dude, inform yourself
@@BeepBoop2221Glad to hear reality struck for the company. Never underestimate human ingenuity.
@@brainites I guess cherry picked examples helps keep being in denial
You need one developer at the moment for some jobs, the easier it gets the more likely, you will just need one person regardless of skill. Just compare 3D modeling 50 years ago to now, it's way easier now, you can do it with an object and your camera phone
You should look into getting a De-esser. Sonible makes a nice one that utilizes AI lol
Great video. Thank you.
I think the future will be multiple languages for different purposes each generated by a set of rules defined by the company. Sure coding will be automated but we have to learn to implement other sciences too to build a tech company and always remember we the people run the country not AI. Regulation will limit the use of ai one day for sure so keep learning guys. Be limitless
Travis, it is easy to dispense with "other" occupations that are mundane and that nobody wants to do (your judgment call). That is what the majority of the media is saying about Software Development. You say,"Being a Software Developer is way more than writing code...(like dealing with people-related issues)." You are making the AI industry's point. Why didn't you just say "We have a lot of work to do attending meetings and taking PTO". Really bad arguments. You could have made much more valid points but didn't. This is part of the problem for Devs. This is the problem when IT people think they are engineers.
What about database developers?
awesome video thanks great advice
Hi. What do I get for free at Imposter devs site please? Do you have a news letter or a forum I can participate in?
so inspiring, thank you travis
all nice and good, but stay realistic: with AI a dev can pump out way more work then without. In the future 2Devs will be able to create the same output in 1 week like 10 devs doing now in 3 weeks. Its about productivity and that will happen in EVERY Sector. Dev jobs are payed good because there arent enough around. Supply and demand its that simple. It will not replace you, but it will reduce the need for you, and then even good devs wont be making the amount of money they do now.
why ppl always talk about this? did ppl understand wtf is programing? even if there is AI replacing software job, we still need coders.
the definition of software engineer is basically you create an interface to turn hardware into programable device, or device you can set/input some instruction. if everything is supercomputer everything is programmable, dumb.
Devin feels like a scam to get venture capital money
Have you seen devika?
DALLE in 2020 felt like a scam too
Somewhat amusingly, AI is neither artificial or intelligent. The reason those old folks, that you choose to make fun of to be cool with your younger audience, say that AI will never take their job, is because they are correct. They understand how complex software is. They understand there are more ways write 100 lines of code, than there are atoms in the universe. The amount of computer hardware, and the amount of electricity required, to replicate the number of neurons and interconnects in one flawed human brain, is mind boggling. Sure, AI is a useful tool and will put many people out of a job. But it won't be innovative any time soon. Never stop working hard and learning, and you'll always be able to get paid to cut code. 🤓
At least you made an arguement. More than most that take your position do. However, I think the idea of how much more complex our brain is than ai and the ai won't be able to do what we can because of that, is wrong. Our brains evolved in a complex world and have so much more to do than an ai. Our brains have to navigate a living being with all its processes through time and space. An ai has the unique ability to be hyperspecialized and thus can crunch through data and produce a result without the need to know of the existance of time and space. Or without the need of 99% of the processes that our brain is actually doing. Coding is but a small part of what our brains can do. The ai can hyper focus on this area, becoming a much better coder than you, while not needing all your extra brain complexity for the task at hand. Yeah, your brain is impressive, but it has a lot of overhead that an ai can bypass. Negating the need for such complexity in taking your job.
You don't need to replicate human brain, it's insanely inefficient. You only need to train AI to do it's job, it doesn't need to bother itself with trying to keep lungs and heart working by using neural pathways that should've been deprecated 500 million years ago. It doesn't need emotions, long-forgotten childhood memories, ability to pay taxes or knowledge on how to walk straight. It just needs to do it's job, which greatly reduces amount of neurons needed. Current AI models already have billions of parameters in them, and they already can both write code, reason on how it works, test it and improve it. And with latest AI chips, models possible for training have basically increased 30x in size.
And sure, 100 lines of code have a lot of possible states. But AI isn't a bruteforcing tool. It's already been couple years, since AI became world champion at GO, which can't be bruteforced at all.
@Icedanon On the other hand, understanding the real word might be our main source of intelligence and edge over AI. They have already fed them almost all the text data on the internet, and the result was GPT4 with some trillion parameters. They will need much more than just text.
@Leonhart_93 I'm not on the cutting edge, but im pretty sure they have their ways of getting the data they need. I think more than an information problem, we are going to have a power problem in getting ai to the point where it can navigate the world like a human. These things already take a crazy amount of power. I can't imagine how much energy something like an autonomous agi robot would take.
@@Icedanon It is absolutely an infromation problem too. If they have fed the AIs all the human generated data that is on the interenet, then where will they get more? That's why OpenAI made a contract to train on the data on Reddit, it's the most fundamental part. And it probably will barely improve it at this point.
why is it that all developers are in denial, its always the "its not good code" argument. No, it is. I've had Claude write me full on complex applications in 10s of minutes. This is denial
“Full on complex”
Your mistakes give you a story to tell
Jump in, both feet. Now. If you need to, 'do it again' aka: go back to school. C, C++, Python and electronics. asap. it's moving like a bolt of lighting.
Whats your point? Sorry I didnt understand whats are You suggesting...
I noticed something interesting is that AI good with Python but AI models are trash with C++, looks like even AI models do not know & understand C++😆😂
Coping so hard 😂😂😂 Talking about programs that just got released being not good enough... give it 3 more years and you can code everything with the right prompt
As long as people can recognize instagrammer influencers as an ai bot we are ok. Oh wait thats getting more and more difficult. LOL...
Just invent more new industries so they can ship those offshore too.
I like the subtle jabs at Gemini
Critical Thinking!!!
Yup when Curry, Draymond retires world is ending anyway
Dramamond is way too often a distraction to the game more so than a contributing player. Hence the Warriors are stuck at the bottom battling for last place. The fact that so many diehard fans don't realize this is the reason why they are where they are and will remain as the world moves on. Positive consistency creates a winning feedback loop.
So basically we are fed. Git gud he says.
These video this inspírate in the developmed of the tecnológico of the humanity
Its just dont use A.I
Guys dont lie to you self AI will take over dev , its just about time
Travis you’re done buddy. Get your TH-cam ass in gear, saddle up Tube guy
Lol, AI will not replace Cyber Security. Especially for Analysts in Cybersec
Your video is legit. Appreciate
cybersecurity??? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHA good luck with that
We can finally send home visitors who hold H1-B visas.
Why such hate against the immigrants
@@AS-if5jg because it was their main reason, to replace juniors, and now the work of a junior or a monkey coder can be done by chatGPT from a middle position for an extra in their salary
Just don’t have kids unless you have good finance and investments already.
World population is exploding. No one is talking about that. We just look at 🇺🇸 and see empty streets and malls and get fooled. Most of the jobs will also be outsourced.
???
@@ncpeaksean4278 more kids without financial freedom is a sin to bring a child in this world.
With less jobs, more competition for even less job it’s not a good life. Lifestyle will deteriorate a lot.
At least kids in this current world and economics is not for faint hearted. Unless people are confident or want to gamble with kids future.
@@rockygroo8909 true! the future is very uncertain, unfotunately these are the times we are living today
As long as food production keeps pace with population which is shrinking, don't pay attention to the doomsayers. Back in the '30s and '40s 30% of Americans were on farms.The fact that today only 2% are on farms doesn't mean that civilization collapsed. Oh! how narrow-minded we are when we don't look at history and realize that change is always there and yet we survive, getting morbidly obese and thrive. For the most part, all people need are bread and circuses ( and maybe education?) . There is more than enough food on most Americans bellies to last them 6 months, hence the popularity of Ozempic. The circuses and " book learning" are digitally delivered, with an unlimited supply fed by digitally duplicated inventory. Now with AI, the entertainment is soon to be generated in infinite iterations. As if everything created over the past few thousands of years across cultures, planet wide is not enough for individual, overweight earthlings to consume? It's all about management. There is no shortage of anything in reality except for the realization that we need common sense and rational organisation.
@@hitmusicworldwide actually the agriculture example proves our point about the upcoming automation in the programming sector, one man with a tractor can do the job of 50 with sickles
Do not learn how to code.
It is a waste of time
The market is oversaturated; AI will take our jobs; Corporations outsource jobs to India/Rusia/China; It is a nightmare;
Are there coding jobs out there? Yes. But when 1 open job position has 10,000 applications within a few hours... you re-evaluate!
There are much dums here 😂 the AI doesnt reemplace, it help us.
This video was not necessary. Not new said.
Woww
I don't like your negativ thumbnails about a.i.. Progress in science is always a good thing!
Appreciate your inputs