@@ScreentubeR my take is that CNs above 30000 are at some good risk, despite of the hole increase, but the hole increase is still lower that the increase of number of valid cases compared to dv2023, so I guess bulletin might get to 32-25k, but not all of them will be called for the interview. One more thing is that there are a lot of people from Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan with 4+ derivatives eating up visas like there is no tomorrow
I scrolled through many comments to come back to your comment because I was intrigued what you thought after I posted my EU video last night. I see your assessment is about the same as mine, just a little lower. Well done.
Solid explanation, good news, thanks! 🎉 Reassured for AF41k (never was really in doubt). Now, next prediction to be had is the timeline i guess. Not sure, but i think we talked about a way to sort of project how the Visa Bulletin should evolve? yeah, i understand misbehaving embassies mess the numbers up but what about seeing what march’s bulletin looks like and have a go at wild guesses? haha
Tha.k you simon and god bless u 4 what u ar doing 4 us . B/c u make it clear everything really who we ar going to blame is NVC or us embassy or our gov't relation to US who may dump a chance of these resource poor Ethiopian youngsters . Try your best Thank u sir,
Well I am considering a few indicators pointing to a good performance in Africa this year. Nairobi has played the game so badly for the past couple of yrs accounting for a great regional fall but it is not just near good this time. It is excellent to cover the flaw. We consider that though Egypt is slow, it may push before the second part of the program considering its load Moroco is well and Cameroon is doing pretty well with Yaounde moving ahead of last year at this time. I think the few bad performing countries will not be as bad as Nairobi has been. We may have to consider these assertions though they appear seemingly vague to watch out for something positive in the AF region
You beeen a bit 96%correct about your projections 😅so those of us below 60k African(NAIROBI)let's drink 🍸 cold water 💧 😉 😜 and wait for miracles to happen 😉
*** There are 25342 cases before and 7800 after you in the AF region. That yields approximately 42077 people before and 12951 after you.**** hello happy for your video you can interpret my rank for me please do I have a chance of receiving the invitation from kcc
Hi I applied in AF but currently study in North America till EOY, case number AF65K. I requested for a consulate change but received a negative response. Based on my case number, 1. Should I push this agenda further with local consulate again? 2. Do I have a better chance of receiving interview date in another continent? 2. Other family members in my application still in my host country, if they agreed to change interview location what does this mean for them?
By North America, do you mean Canada?? Or the USA?? The process is different in the USA. 1. You should have focused on changing your home address. That would have ensured your change of embassy. 2. It's not about continents... 3. There are some options. They would either travel to your interview, or try and get a second interview for them (risky) or once you are scheduled you could then ask to transfer your case to an embassy where all of you can interview together.
With these assumptions eventhough you said it's not accurate, i perceives cases in the range of Af73k aren't going to be interview. What's your intakes?
Hello Brit Simon please after filling the ds 260 form, do I have to do anything again before my case will move from ( at NVC to transit and to ready for the interview)
Hi Simon i applied as someone who was attending some courses but in my ds260 I included my high school diploma, what should I present during interview because they told me those courses are not my high level of education
Simon, for Africa 56k in Casablanca, I think is fairely safe..right now for Casablanca : bulttin is 25k interviews under 22k and total interviews until late februry 756. What do you think ?
I am also from Morocco my case number is 55k I think this year will reach the 60k or I wish to be better than the last year because they stopped at 47k in Morocco and that was depressing for a lot of morocans
In your prvious video especially just after the release of first CEAC data you concluded that DV 2024 is doing pretty well in the global scale and Africa. Have you considered this point in concluding that the case number 60k ie beginning to be at risk?
You might’ve misunderstood what “doing good” means (or maybe i’m the one misunderstanding your comment) It’s not linked to high case numbers getting a chance, it’s the opposite. The better a region is doing, the less likely high CNs are gonna get a shot. The region “doing good” means the lower case numbers aren’t jeopardized by embassies’s behaviours, as it should be. High case numbers need to hope for the region to do bad.
@@rabitrouh high CN may still come out in embassies that are doing good. That will give them the chances. I don't see disadvantage in good bahaviour. Africa did not get all it's cap last year. It has started up well and will be fighting to reach it's cap this year as well. If you read critically you will realize that those who are reporting what we feel are high case numbers here are in good good behaviour embassies
There are 28048 cases before and 5094 after you in the AF region. (That yields approximately 46570 people before and 8458 after you.) What is meant by the sentence in parentheses? Is it a global classification or specific to the African region only?
@@moulayeeby2923 They have made the precision. There are........before and .....after you in the Africa Region. You have 28048 cases before you but considering that a case has an average derivative rate of 2 people, they have approximated that you have 46570 people before you in the Africa Region. So they would have gone through 28048 cases and interviewed approximately 46570 people before arriving at your case. That's it
I pray and hope so. I submitted my ds 260 on the 8 of MAY because my parents realized my case number was high. This is a life changing opportunity and it means a lot to us
No, I can't say 61K is safe in Cameroon. That number has "some" risk, but not as much risk as a case number like 71K in Cameroon, which in turn has less risk than 81K in Cameroon - see what I mean. Risk is on black/white. It's gradual.
Hi Simon! I have a question When you check your Region AF in CEAC and you find let's say 20k cases before you.. is that mean all the region cases or only African cases ?
Once your case becomes current on the visa bulletin and your ds 260 has been processed. You might have a good chance only if Malaysia have a good embassy capacity and are not lagging behind in scheduling cases assigned to the embassy(i.e. no av queues)
Is he working for you, learn how to appreciate people effort. If is those other TH-cam that will ask you to pay can you talk to them that way and later vomit rubbish. Please let appreciate him, is the best among all
I love this guy! He talks straightforwardly without repetitions .
I smashed the like button hard! A well thought of and reasonable analysis. I dont know how else to thank you, man. You rock!
This is pure dedication, thank u Brit. Happy new yr to
Proud of you sir.watching from Nairobi Kenya
Thank you Simon,it means i have a chance am Af 42k in Cameroon
You don't have any problems. Cameroon Embassy is very fast. My sister just got her visa some days ago.
@@makiaedward3776 wow , congratulations 🎉 to her I pray for my turn to come,I just want to know if my case is current now
Thanks for everything simon ❤ we love u all in algeria , god bless u brother
Am happy to watch ands being informed every time thanks and blessed 2024
Thanks so much brit,happy new year to you and your family
I did similar analysis of EU region, however I can’t wait Simon shares his too!
What's your take on EU? Please share your thoughts.
@@ScreentubeR my take is that CNs above 30000 are at some good risk, despite of the hole increase, but the hole increase is still lower that the increase of number of valid cases compared to dv2023, so I guess bulletin might get to 32-25k, but not all of them will be called for the interview. One more thing is that there are a lot of people from Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan with 4+ derivatives eating up visas like there is no tomorrow
I scrolled through many comments to come back to your comment because I was intrigued what you thought after I posted my EU video last night. I see your assessment is about the same as mine, just a little lower. Well done.
God bless you, Simon
Thank you for you always updating us. May God bless you❤❤❤
Solid explanation, good news, thanks! 🎉
Reassured for AF41k (never was really in doubt). Now, next prediction to be had is the timeline i guess.
Not sure, but i think we talked about a way to sort of project how the Visa Bulletin should evolve?
yeah, i understand misbehaving embassies mess the numbers up but what about seeing what march’s bulletin looks like and have a go at wild guesses? haha
Highly appreciate your effort Sir
Tha.k you simon and god bless u 4 what u ar doing 4 us . B/c u make it clear everything really who we ar going to blame is NVC or us embassy or our gov't relation to US who may dump a chance of these resource poor Ethiopian youngsters .
Try your best
Thank u sir,
Well I am considering a few indicators pointing to a good performance in Africa this year.
Nairobi has played the game so badly for the past couple of yrs accounting for a great regional fall but it is not just near good this time. It is excellent to cover the flaw.
We consider that though Egypt is slow, it may push before the second part of the program considering its load
Moroco is well and Cameroon is doing pretty well with Yaounde moving ahead of last year at this time. I think the few bad performing countries will not be as bad as Nairobi has been. We may have to consider these assertions though they appear seemingly vague to watch out for something positive in the AF region
What about Senegal?
@manighayuh
@@moulayeeby2923nd Guinea
Articulate, precise & on point as always 👌👍
I'm following since 2013 ,
Great job there sir! great content as always. thank you and happy new year .
Thank you so much.well done sir
Thank you very much Sir. God bless you
Always on point
Thank u Simo🎉
Thank you mr.britam
Thank you for you prediction !
Love your content 💯
Sending u a big hug for all the info
Thank you Simon
You beeen a bit 96%correct about your projections 😅so those of us below 60k African(NAIROBI)let's drink 🍸 cold water 💧 😉 😜 and wait for miracles to happen 😉
Amen..God wil see us through boss
Boss please can u give me your whatsapp number?
What’s the chances for person with Case Number AF7180 in Accra Ghana..
Has someone noticed this guy predictions are in a Godly way
Hi Mr. Simon. You always talking about African region. Please give us a even small clarification abiut Asian region.
Do you understand the word patience?
Very well explained
Mr Simon? Please what is the expectation of case 20256
Good work
OMG you are dam good. Tks
The next visa bulletin(mars) will tell us more about the high cases #hope
What should i tell to your dedication man... Hats off.
Good job
Nrb be nice
Am number AF39xxx in Nairobi, Kenya. Am I safe or when shall I be current. Thank you for your good job
Next visa bulleting
@@YasminIbrahim-k8t what do you mean? Next bulletin can not go UpTo 39000 according to the history
Hello
@majormatata3943 Here, you're again 😂😂😂....weee mzee
@@Kelvinblessings LAZIMA niwasumbue kiasi boss 🤣🤣🤣
Hi ,now i am employer .my jop BSc nure .
Hi Brit.
What's your prediction on AF47*** Nairobi?
Any hopes?
Am AF46xxx free Nairobi Kenya , I know all is possible with God. Let's have faith.
Me to am 47k let hope for the best
You should watch the video...
When do you think case#Af46xxx becomes current? Any hopes for April?
Bro did you get 2nl?
Thanks so much.my caseNo48222 but not know interview day? In Ethiopia. not give embassy message
Hi I am from Liberia and my case number is 84k thinking whether I have a chance for interviews, Sir
Simon sir can u choose a different embassy for ur interview wen filling ur ds260 form
*** There are 25342 cases before and 7800 after you in the AF region. That yields approximately 42077 people before and 12951 after you.****
hello happy for your video you can interpret my rank for me please do I have a chance of receiving the invitation from kcc
Very honest analysis thank you brit
Hi I applied in AF but currently study in North America till EOY, case number AF65K. I requested for a consulate change but received a negative response. Based on my case number,
1. Should I push this agenda further with local consulate again?
2. Do I have a better chance of receiving interview date in another continent?
2. Other family members in my application still in my host country, if they agreed to change interview location what does this mean for them?
By North America, do you mean Canada?? Or the USA?? The process is different in the USA.
1. You should have focused on changing your home address. That would have ensured your change of embassy.
2. It's not about continents...
3. There are some options. They would either travel to your interview, or try and get a second interview for them (risky) or once you are scheduled you could then ask to transfer your case to an embassy where all of you can interview together.
First one like thank u man
With these assumptions eventhough you said it's not accurate, i perceives cases in the range of Af73k aren't going to be interview. What's your intakes?
The word is "risk". Risk is not certainty.
HI Simon please do you think now 73k AF is a risk?@@BritSimon
Hi Mr.Simon My case N is 119K Africa and my interview in Kul Lumpur do i have any chance for an interview ?
I am Mohammed Ahmed Yeshawu .pleas help me .mr britsimon dv 2020 winer what did happen .pleas pleas help me.
What for you clear pictures and updates From your prediction
Please what is the expectation of case 2024AF 1119..k
Thanks
If you mean 111k, that is a very high number with very high risk.
@@BritSimon I mean eleven thousand one hundred around
@@BritSimon thanks bro I mean eleven thousand one hundred ninety around
Thanks again
Hello Brit Simon please after filling the ds 260 form, do I have to do anything again before my case will move from ( at NVC to transit and to ready for the interview)
No
2024AF73k from CAMEROON. Do i stand a chance
The video answers that.
I hope you got ur 2nl
Hi Simon i applied as someone who was attending some courses but in my ds260 I included my high school diploma, what should I present during interview because they told me those courses are not my high level of education
Your high school diploma will suffice
@@severinade549 ok
Hi simon.we are waiting for this analysis for asia as well .pls
Yes - I know - as I said in the video I plan one video per region.
Do you think i have chance with AF114 400 in Rwanda?
Very unlikely.
Hi sir please I want to you help me my dv case to reschedule my appointment
Dear Simon please make a video for the people of Afghanistan about 2025dv cases and do a prediction about cases and the measure of selectees please
AS region is coming.
Simon, for Africa 56k in Casablanca, I think is fairely safe..right now for Casablanca : bulttin is 25k interviews under 22k and total interviews until late februry 756. What do you think ?
The video explains my thoughts.
I did a personal analysis on Morocco. I will send it to you via gmail
I am also from Morocco my case number is 55k I think this year will reach the 60k or I wish to be better than the last year because they stopped at 47k in Morocco and that was depressing for a lot of morocans
@@GoViralWw can you send it to me ? also my case is 59k in casablanca
In your prvious video especially just after the release of first CEAC data you concluded that DV 2024 is doing pretty well in the global scale and Africa. Have you considered this point in concluding that the case number 60k ie beginning to be at risk?
You might’ve misunderstood what “doing good” means (or maybe i’m the one misunderstanding your comment)
It’s not linked to high case numbers getting a chance, it’s the opposite. The better a region is doing, the less likely high CNs are gonna get a shot.
The region “doing good” means the lower case numbers aren’t jeopardized by embassies’s behaviours, as it should be. High case numbers need to hope for the region to do bad.
@@rabitrouh high CN may still come out in embassies that are doing good. That will give them the chances. I don't see disadvantage in good bahaviour. Africa did not get all it's cap last year. It has started up well and will be fighting to reach it's cap this year as well. If you read critically you will realize that those who are reporting what we feel are high case numbers here are in good good behaviour embassies
Rabitrouh has understood better what I previously said, and the effects on embassy good/bad behavior.
@@BritSimon❤
There are 28048 cases before and 5094 after you in the AF region. (That yields approximately 46570 people before and 8458 after you.) What is meant by the sentence in parentheses? Is it a global classification or specific to the African region only?
The expression in parenthesis brings to the fore Principal applicants and derivatives. The first explanation goes only for main applicants.
@@manighayuh But this ranking is at the global level or Africa, for example, which means 46570, which is before me, and 8458
@@moulayeeby2923
They have made the precision. There are........before and .....after you in the Africa Region. You have 28048 cases before you but considering that a case has an average derivative rate of 2 people, they have approximated that you have 46570 people before you in the Africa Region. So they would have gone through 28048 cases and interviewed approximately 46570 people before arriving at your case. That's it
With this performance can you readily say AF61k is safe in Yaounde-Cameroon?
Good morning sir. I’m AF73k from Cameroon do i have a chance?
@@rtxbullyofcourse man, wait for the next visa bulletin this January
Let's wait n see
I pray and hope so. I submitted my ds 260 on the 8 of MAY because my parents realized my case number was high. This is a life changing opportunity and it means a lot to us
No, I can't say 61K is safe in Cameroon. That number has "some" risk, but not as much risk as a case number like 71K in Cameroon, which in turn has less risk than 81K in Cameroon - see what I mean. Risk is on black/white. It's gradual.
Please will you tell us the date when March visa bulletin will be out
8th to the 15th - just like every month.
Is he talking about those who applied for DV last year October? Is the result out?kindly advice
No - this is for the people who applied in October 2022, and were selected in May 2023.
Hi Brit I was informed that my case was current when I requested for my case status but I have not received any text what should I do
How did you do that
My case number is hole ,it means that I have been rejected right Sir ?
No. It means you entered the case number incorrectly.
Mrs Simon i have casenumber which is starting 20257 what can i can expected with me please answer dear greet friend
You mean you have a 2025 confirmation number?
Yes of course
Get serious 😂@@abdiqadarabdulqadirjama7623
Hi Simon! I have a question
When you check your Region AF in CEAC and you find let's say 20k cases before you.. is that mean all the region cases or only African cases ?
Just AF region.
@@BritSimon Thank you
If my number is 27 have I opportunity to meet in Cairo!?af
Good morning bro please I need a video in Liberia please
South Africa not on the list?
Yes they were. JHN.
@@BritSimon thanks Simon
28500 in Ethiopia what do you think is that ok? Tnx
Addis embassy is a problem,.
@BritSimon ya you are right
What about Rwanda
My case is 55k I from Africa but interview is Malaysia how will be
Once your case becomes current on the visa bulletin and your ds 260 has been processed. You might have a good chance only if Malaysia have a good embassy capacity and are not lagging behind in scheduling cases assigned to the embassy(i.e. no av queues)
Hi sir.. Please my case number is AF16k .pls am i going to be called for interview?
Well obviously your case number is already current - so now it depends on your embassy.
Sir please so should I wait for the interview message?
Hi simon is Af86 has a chance from Uganda.
Do you mean 86??? or do you mean 86000???
@@BritSimon it's Af00088694 in uganda that's kenya embassy .Could there be hope.
86k @@BritSimon
@@AbdoHousseinMohamedtag me when he answers you please
Do I have a chance to interview with case no Af 33k
Hi bro pls give me your wasp number
I know nothing is accurate and can't be a prediction but what would you say is low risk, medium risk, and high risk for Egypt as an except country?
I don't have specifics on Egypt.
Traffic in ea
Good morning bro please I need a video in Liberia
I won't be doing Liberia specifically - watch this AF region video.
Liberia embassy normally start dv interview from march
your fonts r so small .
Sir please post for asia and nepal too
Patience
I am pretty sure he said in his last video that no case number from Nepal is at risk@@BritSimon
How is 68k from nairobi
What the video
I don't think anybody knows this stuff more than you
1st
What of in Nairobi Kenya if my case no is 33k
Si amesema 60k n above ndio wako on risk ama kizungu inakupiga chenga?
Thanks you my kelvin
Have u been interviewed yet?@@ibrahimabdow3271
Kindly am from kenya but currently in Qatar with case number 56k ,can I transfer my case number before it's too late for me
Ningekua wewe ninge transfer hio case number ni high chances za kuwa interviewed ziko chini kabisa..Sina ubaya though im judt talking from experience
@@liznanjala976kutransfer kwa embassy ya doha ama?
Hey which studio did you take your photo at?
@@liznanjala976u mean she transfers to Nairobi embassy ama
@@liznanjala976pia mimi Niko case no 56***k from kenya
Please go straight to the point
You can always fast forward. Most of us like the detailed in-depth information Simon presents!
Wrong statement
shut up
Is he working for you, learn how to appreciate people effort. If is those other TH-cam that will ask you to pay can you talk to them that way and later vomit rubbish. Please let appreciate him, is the best among all
Oh god,,, see another wasted energy
What’s the chances for person with Case Number AF7180 in Accra Ghana..
What’s the chances for person with Case Number AF7180 in Accra Ghana..
U can change another embassy for ur interview .usa embassy at accra are not doing well u can see the stats