China's Grand Strategy: 1. Develop a strong dynamic economy and a strong dynamic society. Learn from the Soviet Union's internal collapse. 2. Build strong trade relationships with ASEAN. Increase ASEAN's dependence on China. Neutralise the US containment policy. 3. Belt and Road Initiative.
Quantum Therapy Love Is Love Love is love is love is love. Many people get hung up on finding a name for what they’re experiencing whether it’s Soul Mates or Twin Flames or Husband and Wife or any other description. I have some advice for you-be careful you don’t get so focused on labeling what you’re experiencing that you forget to enjoy the actual experience! If you’re happy, if they’re happy, if you’re enjoying being together, it doesn’t matter what you call it! If you go around worrying about what kind of connection it is, you’re only putting fear and complicated emotions and energy into it. Enjoy the feeling of love-it doesn’t have to have a name other than that. Love is love is love is love. XOXO The Universe
China is like Songoku: he needs time for training before they become Supersaiyan (2049). Vegeta (Russia), Piccolo (Iran), and a bunch of others: Krillin (Syria), Yamcha (Cuba), Tenshinhan (Venezuela)... should withstand those battles for Songoku. Frieza is clearly the US. Zarbon is Japan. Dodoria is SK. Ginyu is Japan. 😆
That's why there have been debates between the Way of the King and the Way of the Hegemon in China since ancient times, with the result that the Way of the King has always won.
@RohankrishnaBObviously, you haven’t noticed the professor said that Chinas show greatest respect for American power, and US gov has realized it’s time to stop china, meaning that US also respected the power of China. What you said now is not like the US gov did.
Professor Ma Kai made a very good point that if America wants to be great again, it must reconstruct and build society. But in the so-called democratic system of the United States and Western countries, power is always connected with capital. Capital has long penetrated into every aspect of the country and influences all national policies. In China, capital will never override the government, and the government can shape social consensus completely according to its own wishes.
Definitely not. This guy just tries to sell his books.. What he is saying is also what Singapore’s leaders all say because they all share the same talented team of analysts that shares this information with them. If you notice, most of the leaders say the same things
❤America calls it "Liberation" instead of "Invasion". That was what US call it in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Yemen, Somalia and the list goes on... Why the double standard? Confused... Please enlighten. Genuine question... Instances of the United States "liberated" or overthrowing, or attempting to overthrow, a foreign government since the Second World War. (* indicates successful ouster of a government) China 1949 to early 1960s Albania 1949-53 East Germany 1950s Iran 1953 * Guatemala 1954 * Costa Rica mid-1950s Syria 1956-7 Egypt 1957 Indonesia 1957-8 British Guiana 1953-64 * Iraq 1963 * North Vietnam 1945-73 Cambodia 1955-70 * Laos 1958 *, 1959 *, 1960 * Ecuador 1960-63 * Congo 1960 * France 1965 Brazil 1962-64 * Dominican Republic 1963 * Cuba 1959 to present Bolivia 1964 * Indonesia 1965 * Ghana 1966 * Chile 1964-73 * Greece 1967 * Costa Rica 1970-71 Bolivia 1971 * Australia 1973-75 * Angola 1975, 1980s Zaire 1975 Portugal 1974-76 * Jamaica 1976-80 * Seychelles 1979-81 Chad 1981-82 * Grenada 1983 * South Yemen 1982-84 Suriname 1982-84 Fiji 1987 * Libya 1980s Nicaragua 1981-90 * Panama 1989 * Bulgaria 1990 * Albania 1991 * Iraq 1991 Afghanistan 1980s * Somalia 1993 Yugoslavia 1999-2000 * Ecuador 2000 * Afghanistan 2001 * Venezuela 2002 * Iraq 2003 * Haiti 2004 * Somalia 2007 to present Honduras 2009 * Libya 2011 * Syria 2012 Ukraine 2014 * 2014 - 2022 - 9 countries yet to verify. Pakistan 2022 * Haiti 2022 * Niger 2023
Americans do not use the word "liberation" to refer to international events in our everyday language (It sounds quite socialist). Liberation was used in Europe in terms of being freed from the Nazis, esp for the Jews. The Soviet Union and the PRC used the word "liberation" frequently in the context of freeing their own people from "class suppression." You might want to perform a sanity check of your list since no nation in the world, US or otherwise, could have the wherewithal to finance these international events.
No, the Americans don't want to stop China. We want Trump to work with China because we need them, as much as they need us. Trump is a business man and understands this concept.
The Chinese innovates all the time..from block printing to printing money, gun powder...to fireworks to rockets, from small canals to large canals that transport small ships, diversion of water from south to the northern dry land..etc
Not entirely true. The US noticed China could become a challenger at least 15-20 years ago and the US has been trying to develop a strategy to contain China ever since. The problem is China is very difficult to compete with, and the US needs China too in more ways than the media tells you. The US elevated the competition in 2018 without a clear strategy because it found no simple strategy that worked before will work on China, so the current strategy is basically trying everything, so it looked like no strategy at all.
America's problems are not without strategy, and America's political elites are still smart enough to see the problem. However, the U.S. system makes it impossible for the U.S. to do long-term strategy, and the strategic goals change with the change of leaders.
@@zhenyuxia7665 Yes but in early 2000, US try to contain China but 911 happens. In 2008 US tried to contain China but subprime crisis happens and US need China help.
What if this Singaporean prof insight , widom,character were chip into the mind and head of all americans now and future presidents ,policy makers..as well as all western Countries leaders..the world will be a greater ,peaceful and prosperous world to live in for All!!
It seems that you may have misunderstood that Professor Mahbubani is from Singapore not from China but I do agree that China needs such talented strategic thinker like professor Mahbubani. He is a very rare talent indeed, a strategic thinker, a talented writer, a talented public speaker and a talented teacher.
Tonight, I want to start by asking, with the upcoming U.S. election, do we expect to see any real potential changes in U.S. policy towards China before the end of this year? Is it a national policy or a policy related to the president himself? I will give you a very contradictory answer. On the one hand, the election results may not change anything; on the other hand, it may change everything. Because it is obvious that even today, the well-known fact is that the United States is a deeply divided society, unable to reach a consensus on anything, except for one thing they all agree on, which is that it is time to stop China. So no matter who the president is, the task of stopping China will continue, and this policy has deeply ingrained itself in the U.S. political system and society. But at the same time, why do I say it may change everything? Because if Trump is re-elected, he may take extreme measures against China, which will greatly change the situation. We must be prepared for all possibilities, as small countries like the UAE or Singapore have already realized that, whether we like it or not, we are now witnessing the largest and most far-reaching competition between two major powers in history. This competition will shake the entire world, affecting the lives of all of us, which is why we need to have this dialogue here, it is very timely. Regarding the future of U.S.-China relations, a key question is whether the United States has a clear strategy to deal with China's rise. Makaisuo pointed out that although the United States has initiated this competition, the goal is not clear. Is it to overthrow the Chinese Communist Party? Or is it just to contain and isolate China? These questions have never been clearly answered. For China, their goal is clear, they hope to surpass the United States economically and become the global number one. In addition, Makaisuo also mentioned how China is responding to U.S. containment policies through initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative and establishing free trade agreements in Asia. He believes that China has systematically formulated a grand strategy to address challenges from the United States and ensure the diversification and stable growth of its economy. Finally, Makaisuo emphasized the wide-ranging impact of the competition between China and the United States on the global stage, especially in terms of economy, military, and soft power. He believes that the next decade will be an acceleration period for the competition between China and the United States, which will be one of the greatest performances in human history. This interview delves into the complex and crucial relationship between China and the United States, providing important insights into the changing global political and economic landscape.
One thing you have to understand is that China doesn't really want to overtake the US, either economically or militarily. It's just that China's population of 1.4 billion is so huge that China will inevitably overtake the US in every way as long as it continues to grow, and that's determined by physical reality, not by China's subjective will.
"How can you expect me to learn the knowledge required when I am with you, the people? Surely, I do need advice from a trustworthy source. Why would I suffer the humiliation when he knew his privacy had been compromised and his recommendation panel was manipulated if I can get advice from you? It is not my shame. It is your shame. It is your shame that I also need to suffer all of these. And now or later I need to find practical ways to compensate for his loss and his bloody family issues. I am not doing this for myself. I am doing this for you, for the people. Hopefully, I will no longer need to do that from now on. He is way too expensive!"
Strangely enough, the Chinese do not believe in God and are free of the doctrine of original sin. But the Chinese have emphasized since ancient times that arrogance is man's own worst enemy. Weakness and stupidity are not the obstacles to survival, arrogance is the
For weaker party, they must have a strategy or they will be in deep trouble. What is the strategy of Taiwan? OI only see a stupid one which is to just to lean on USA
I think it’s really complicated to people of Taiwan. They definitely wanna find a way out but they do not have the power of it, especially with leaders like Cai or Lai.
The plan is to say something the voters would like to hear and to stay in office. An example would be the tariffs the were put on Chinese imports brought in lots of money for the government without saying the money is not China's money but it's American's money.
How to counter China? Be okay with working for low wages,be okay with front loading first with potential for low to next to zero gains in order to build strong relationships
Only corrupted politician are afraid of USA. USA : marcos you want your father corrupted billion in USA bank? Marcos : oh yes SIR. USA : You know what to do in south China sea 😂😂😂😂😂
China's population base is 1.4 billion, and biologically there's no need to worry about this aspect; China's demographic problem is just an offensive issue manipulated by the West.
I think a very fundamental issue was not mentioned or discussed by Professor Mahbubani is that American's capitalism, once the most efficient economic system, is no longer as competitive against China's hybrid capitalism+socialism system. American government can not have a long term strategy (more than 8 years) because of its election cycle. Each new administration nullifies the efforts of the previous one. Therefore, while both Republican and Democratic parties want to stop China, they don't have consistent approaches over time because Americans are deeply divided. On the other hand, Chinese are quite united in facing their challenges and Chinese don't have the desire to bully other countries. This contest is like between an old world champion doing boxing with a young contender who actually just want to survive. The time is on the youth side, obviously.
There is a saying in Chinese philosophy that the more powerful a force is the more careful it should be used, and that the most powerful weapons come at a price, such as the power of the American media that you mentioned. A powerful media can influence not only its opponents but also itself. Because of this right now the American elites are being misled by the American media, so they don't understand the world well enough to make sound decisions and judgments.
Agree but iust not sure who is old and mature and who is yong and new. To me, USA is young and new and have seen nothing in terms of nation building when seen side by side China.
I am a Singaporean. I agree with almost all of Kishore's points. One exception is when he said "USA is solving lots of problems in the world" (this I disagree) while China has enough domestic problems that it doesn't want to meddle in other countries (this part I agree). USA, with its USD funding its military and NGOs,and monopolizing trade transactions, has all along been stirring troubles throughout the world, while using moral highground of "values" as its cover.
Though I am a Chinese witnessing all the wars started by the US in the recent decades, I still agree that historically the US has made contribution to the world peace more than the wars. The super power of the US makes the world changing from chaos to order. The order is not good enough. The world police is more like mafia. However, even the worst order is better than no order. Even the order is also a tool for the US to contain the rising of China, it is still better than a completely chaotic environment for China to survive and grow. Now China is challenging the US to update the world order to a more equal one. The contribution of the US is still necessary to be memorized.
US has many factions both doing good and shit (more so) around the world. i only disagree with his assessment of biden over trump. Nice guy doesnt mean better president. Can argue that under trump there was 0 wars.. which do we prefer?
Countries can have strategies, visions, wants & determinations; but who succeeds ? China is the only one that consistently achieved their goals. The Chinese leaders are incredible !!
It's not that China's leaders are incredible, it's that China's system and culture can accomplish such things as China's Five-Year Plans, where every five years a plan is formulated for the next five years, and the plan covers all aspects of the country's development. The plan is then implemented according to the plan, and even if the leader steps down, the next one must implement the plan. China has been formulating and implementing five-year plans since 1953, and its 14th five-year plan was formulated in 2021. In addition, there are two concepts in Chinese culture, one is that success is not necessary for me, and the other is that success is in the present generation and benefits are in the future. Culturally successful Chinese people care more about their reputation in history because Chinese history continues and the merits and demerits of leaders are recorded forever in history. So Chinese leaders generally don't care about how much fame and fortune they will gain while they are alive, they are more concerned about their record in Chinese history
@@qipaguancha Leaders are only as good or as bad as the people they leader. Chinese people must be a good nation to produce good leaders. At the opposite end, look at the Americans.
@@qipaguancha china's mandate of heaven is philosophy and cultural based, not politics. all other empires and civilisations rose and fell due to excessive politicking and lack of cultural cohesiveness.
All past great Empires came & went. Each average shelf life is about 250 years. Each of their fiat currency, shelf life is about 100 years. America is moving close to these 2 thresholds. But for China is still the China a few thousands years ago, and will still be into the far future, always developing, innovating & progressing - and its economical power & influence are getting wider, stronger and wealthier moving forward.
This is indeed a very constructive dialogue where Prof Kishore has made profound and insightful comments. The moderator was professional in asking unbiased and objective topics of importance. We need more of this.
Have been listening to Kishore Ji for a month now, more than 100 hrs of his interview and perspective and more I listen to him, I just feel lucky and gratitude to TH-cam that I came across this humble, suave, astute and exceptional think tank strategist, May God give you a long and healthy life🙏
@@zhuzhu-sf7ry although per capita in the US is way higher, it gets decimated by the high cost of living, food,rent etc. i would argue that in china u have more purchasing power to buy and afford things than u do in the US with a higher per capita income
American had met their match, the real rival: China! Hegenomy American may have strategies to counteract China but China had their own strategies. Look at the effect of Petrodollar vs the BRICS on global economy…..
Soft power is especially the culture difference, one is with a long history, people collectively focused culture, the other is with short and young culture, America has always won, they don't know and don't want to know how it is to be oppressed, individuality is written everywhere in all policies. Sacrifice is definitely not considered.
Do you know If a strong China and a Chinese business style US business will go bankrupt soon. You want US to stop fear that is not possible. Have you go business with China before?
一个自称小国的新加坡有这样世界性战略家，不可思议，中国有这样的战略家吗？中国需要学的东西太多了，低调做人🎉
？想一想百年未有之大变局是哪一年提出的
@@qipaguancha 这种老母猪式的大话，没有深层次逻辑论点的东西，适合小学没毕业的去洗脑!
所以同样的话，中国说出来就不是战略判断咯，你就说自己反中就完了，扯尼玛逻辑深层次，就你这母猪才能生出来的玩意儿装尼玛的人呢。自己傻X就别说话，非要说两句屁话显得自己智商不够20是吧？你丫破处只能靠自家女性直系亲属吧？回家查一下你爹妈是不是亲兄妹。
又ㄧ個1450🐸的網蛆
@@qipaguancha 这种没脑子的东西何必回它，这就好像东大现在就是球场上的球星，结果一个路人跑来说这个球评讲话好流弊，比场上的球星还会玩。它就是个脑子错乱的东西。
China's Grand Strategy:
1. Develop a strong dynamic economy and a strong dynamic society. Learn from the Soviet Union's internal collapse.
2. Build strong trade relationships with ASEAN. Increase ASEAN's dependence on China. Neutralise the US containment policy.
3. Belt and Road Initiative.
and the only contra strategy from USA is by making propaganda and fake news in media like youtube towords China
Quantum Therapy Love Is Love
Love is love is love is love.
Many people get hung up on finding a name for what they’re experiencing whether it’s Soul Mates or Twin Flames or Husband and Wife or any other description.
I have some advice for you-be careful you don’t get so focused on labeling what you’re experiencing that you forget to enjoy the actual experience! If you’re happy, if they’re happy, if you’re enjoying being together, it doesn’t matter what you call it!
If you go around worrying about what kind of connection it is, you’re only putting fear and complicated emotions and energy into it.
Enjoy the feeling of love-it doesn’t have to have a name other than that. Love is love is love is love.
XOXO
The Universe
China is like Songoku: he needs time for training before they become Supersaiyan (2049). Vegeta (Russia), Piccolo (Iran), and a bunch of others: Krillin (Syria), Yamcha (Cuba), Tenshinhan (Venezuela)... should withstand those battles for Songoku. Frieza is clearly the US. Zarbon is Japan. Dodoria is SK. Ginyu is Japan. 😆
Good plan. How does ASEAN feel about being dependent on China? Prepared to give up their EEZ in SCS
这个提问者提的问题非常好和有思想，马凯硕是位太了解中国领导人大战略的外国人
你说错了，他是站在东南亚视角看问题而已，世界大多西方人，包括一些非西方精英，他们都是欧美大学毕业，自然而然从西方角度看中国，举个例子，中国军舰一出港口就说威胁世界，美国军舰到中国家门口巡逻叫航行自由，你见过西方国家指出这种不公平吗，马凯硕直言不讳的说出来
The fact is bully never has any reasonable goal or grand strategy to compete with his opponents. Bully only has a grand ego.
That's why there have been debates between the Way of the King and the Way of the Hegemon in China since ancient times, with the result that the Way of the King has always won.
@@qipaguancha补充一下：中国历史上一直是王道、霸道杂用之，遇到乱世，危机或动荡时，只能用霸道，安定下来后再用王道，或当与对手有技术代差的优势，也用王道。西汉的宣帝曾很清晰阐明此点。总体来说，用王道时多，霸道时少。且只宣传王道，反对霸道，前提是具有使用霸道的能力。
@@qipaguancha The way of the king and Queen is a fact of nature, from the bees hive to the herd of the ox.
中华文明博大精深，几千年文明岂是一帮海盗所能比的，几千年都是世界第一，美国就是一毛头小子太嫩了，这才多少年就走下坡路了，有什么资格说教中国
老共不停的 bully 菲律賓和台灣。
Professor KISHORE is As To Date
AMONG THE BEST GEO POLITICAL ANALYST AND MINDS our world is Knowing
Cheers from Mauritius 🇲🇺
These are the people that are truly needed for a true world peace mastermind alliance
更加佩服马凯硕教授了！
是的，老先生的表达能力真是超强！
对中美的了解更精准
？难道不应该更佩服土共中央政治局那一帮老怪物们吗？那一帮才是真正的扫地僧，牛逼毁了好吧
@@aday5312 加拿大的达尔豪斯大学
全球排名#350位，而且不是博士这样
的人别说院长，在美国连教授都当不上。
最可吹嘘的是“联合国安全理事会主席”
我去查了一下是联合国安理会15个成员国
轮流当的每期一个月，每年就有12个这样
的主席！当然新加坡是个小国，可能要2-30
年才轮到进安理会，当一个月主席也光荣！
@RohankrishnaBObviously, you haven’t noticed the professor said that Chinas show greatest respect for American power, and US gov has realized it’s time to stop china, meaning that US also respected the power of China. What you said now is not like the US gov did.
马教授最后说了句关键话。透顶一块布应该听懂。你们不要被任何人收买。也就是尽量不选边站。保持中立和当一个旁观者。尤其是中东。
中国也不希望人家选边 那很容易招致仇怨
他说的是无聊 翻译错了 bored 说的意思是你们不会无聊 因为会见证人类历史上最有意思的SHOW
形势比人强。美国毫无原则地偏袒以色列已让中立选项成为不可能。
他翻译错了
請搞清楚，中國是努力讓自己發展進步，沒有主動挑戰美國，是美國不濟，嫉妒中國發展而已，中國在歷史上世界第一很久，很多人不懂
Proud of you Prof, greetings from Melbourne Australia
I am in China now as a tourist and can tell you it's a better country than my home country USA.
What city are you playing in? Maybe I can recommend you good food, I'm familiar with many cities in China.
Professor Ma Kai made a very good point that if America wants to be great again, it must reconstruct and build society. But in the so-called democratic system of the United States and Western countries, power is always connected with capital. Capital has long penetrated into every aspect of the country and influences all national policies. In China, capital will never override the government, and the government can shape social consensus completely according to its own wishes.
马云之流撑死混个政协，去大会堂提点意见，想进中南海？那是嫌命长了。而在美国就可以影响政策。
Beside the great dearly departed LKY this man has the greatest mind.
Definitely not. This guy just tries to sell his books.. What he is saying is also what Singapore’s leaders all say because they all share the same talented team of analysts that shares this information with them. If you notice, most of the leaders say the same things
新加坡国家这么小，但真的是人才辈出。那么多的大国都想听听新加坡的意见。
世界出了一个中国，我称这是一个现象概念，而西方愿意听又有能力解释中国成功的国家不多，新加坡算一个。
Small and rich. They have the second highest per capita gdp (ppp).
西方能听但是不会改hahaha
But their state midia CNA , basically a western meida.😂
anti-china
@@qipaguancha 不是不會 是改不了 只有繼續裝 才不會傷心 原來一些都是假的
❤America calls it "Liberation" instead of "Invasion". That was what US call it in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Yemen, Somalia and the list goes on... Why the double standard? Confused... Please enlighten. Genuine question...
Instances of the United States "liberated" or overthrowing, or attempting to overthrow, a foreign government since the Second World War. (* indicates successful ouster of a government)
China 1949 to early 1960s
Albania 1949-53
East Germany 1950s
Iran 1953 *
Guatemala 1954 *
Costa Rica mid-1950s
Syria 1956-7
Egypt 1957
Indonesia 1957-8
British Guiana 1953-64 *
Iraq 1963 *
North Vietnam 1945-73
Cambodia 1955-70 *
Laos 1958 *, 1959 *, 1960 *
Ecuador 1960-63 *
Congo 1960 *
France 1965
Brazil 1962-64 *
Dominican Republic 1963 *
Cuba 1959 to present
Bolivia 1964 *
Indonesia 1965 *
Ghana 1966 *
Chile 1964-73 *
Greece 1967 *
Costa Rica 1970-71
Bolivia 1971 *
Australia 1973-75 *
Angola 1975, 1980s
Zaire 1975
Portugal 1974-76 *
Jamaica 1976-80 *
Seychelles 1979-81
Chad 1981-82 *
Grenada 1983 *
South Yemen 1982-84
Suriname 1982-84
Fiji 1987 *
Libya 1980s
Nicaragua 1981-90 *
Panama 1989 *
Bulgaria 1990 *
Albania 1991 *
Iraq 1991
Afghanistan 1980s *
Somalia 1993
Yugoslavia 1999-2000 *
Ecuador 2000 *
Afghanistan 2001 *
Venezuela 2002 *
Iraq 2003 *
Haiti 2004 *
Somalia 2007 to present
Honduras 2009 *
Libya 2011 *
Syria 2012
Ukraine 2014 *
2014 - 2022 - 9 countries yet to verify.
Pakistan 2022 *
Haiti 2022 *
Niger 2023
Americans do not use the word "liberation" to refer to international events in our everyday language (It sounds quite socialist). Liberation was used in Europe in terms of being freed from the Nazis, esp for the Jews. The Soviet Union and the PRC used the word "liberation" frequently in the context of freeing their own people from "class suppression." You might want to perform a sanity check of your list since no nation in the world, US or otherwise, could have the wherewithal to finance these international events.
今天中國的成就，並不是全部由既定策略做成，策畧提供了大方向，堆砌起基礎，其他的便由人民自我發揮，中國短短幾十年翻弱為强，其中一個重要原因是 ：只要提供一個穩定和有誘因的環境，聰明和勤奮的中國人就會創出一片天，中國政府恰好就在這期間提供了前者，美國想阻止或延後中國崛起，唯一辦法就是和中國直接戰爭，破壞中國稳定的環境，但她不敢，因無必勝把握，只會两敗俱傷，戰後復原的速度必輸中國，最後還是輸，而且輸掉霸權，所以美國的策略是誘使中國武統台灣，之後發動制裁，聰明的中國人怎會上當，所以台灣那班台獨自High和想維持現狀，繼續歌舞昇平的人，還有一段日子可過，先不用怕。
说白了高速发展的基础之一是群众的组织能力，但是群众组织能力能发展经济也能搞阶级革命和武装斗争，所以西方各国一直系统性的瓦解群众的组织能力。
@@qipaguancha 西方國家最欠缺亦是最擔心的就是其他國家國民的凝聚力，如果其他國家內部唔團结，隔三差五的選舉制度是他們最希望見到的，不斷地去重複又重複一個爭詏，一個決定，而沒有一個統一的去解決問題的決心和延續的策略，這也是他們難以解決的死癥。。
@@TakLau-t5w 毕竟枪反抗强权属于神话，毕竟枪打不过F16和坦克，但是民众组织能力反抗强权可是现实。
發動制裁啥意思？就是經濟制裁，踢出swift系統？能源制裁，糧食制裁？
@@jackchen600 以上都有，说白了就是俄罗斯套餐中国也来一套呗，但凡制裁对俄罗斯有用，也不至于乌克兰成现在这个样子
The greatest wealth of the world is it's COMMON DIVERSITY, a diversity that peacefully benefits and secures everyone without exclusion
Excellent interview, very insightful and visionary.
非常感谢中英文字幕，帮助我们更好学习英文的同时，了解实时政治。
佩服❤
4:43 马凯硕說的是 “And fortunately he gave me the permission", 而不是 “Unfortunately he ..."。
翻譯的人要看看整個句子的意思。 都給了許可，怎麼會是 Unfortunately 呢！
聰明人講競合，野蠻人講制裁！
馬凱碩説的跑步就是最好的例子，大家一起跑步，第一第二甚至後面的隊伍競爭向前才是良好有序的運動方式；第一不斷地使絆子絆倒第二甚至後面的，不會使跑步的速度更快，也不會讓跑步的隊伍走的更遠。
No, the Americans don't want to stop China. We want Trump to work with China because we need them, as much as they need us. Trump is a business man and understands this concept.
He is a true professor of his field of study. His insights are clear and his vision for what will transpire is logical. Well said 👏👏👏
Prof u knowledged Knowingly or unknowingly Xi's 做好自己 philosophy to a better society. Hope more countries can adopt the same to a peaceful world.
马生真的是了解兔子的，反观鹰🦅家，即使有这见识的人也站不到主导位置，这才是中美面临目前困境和影响将来发展走向的问题根源。
拜登就是，曾公开否定基辛格的外交策略，反观川普他却亲身去拜见基辛格向他请教。
马凯硕教授访谈都可以揭露西方媒体不报道的事实，事件。
谢谢sharing all the views, facts, background and future trending.
that's right. the husband is largely the stronger of the couple but we all know the wife, having the last say, is often the most powerful.
The Chinese innovates all the time..from block printing to printing money, gun powder...to fireworks to rockets, from small canals to large canals that transport small ships, diversion of water from south to the northern dry land..etc
Kissinger: “The biggest strategic mistake US is making in this contest with China is launching the contest without a strategy.” 4:10
Not entirely true. The US noticed China could become a challenger at least 15-20 years ago and the US has been trying to develop a strategy to contain China ever since. The problem is China is very difficult to compete with, and the US needs China too in more ways than the media tells you. The US elevated the competition in 2018 without a clear strategy because it found no simple strategy that worked before will work on China, so the current strategy is basically trying everything, so it looked like no strategy at all.
America's problems are not without strategy, and America's political elites are still smart enough to see the problem. However, the U.S. system makes it impossible for the U.S. to do long-term strategy, and the strategic goals change with the change of leaders.
@@zhenyuxia7665 Yes but in early 2000, US try to contain China but 911 happens. In 2008 US tried to contain China but subprime crisis happens and US need China help.
Ya, hv to believe in such thing called 国运🤭
@@amazingcfo 08年中國如何幫助了美國？
China was the first country established free trade agreement with ASEAN 15:50
What if this Singaporean prof insight , widom,character were chip into the mind and head of all americans now and future presidents ,policy makers..as well as all western Countries leaders..the world will be a greater ,peaceful and prosperous world to live in for All!!
太理想化了，现实残酷的多。。。
@15:20--是ASEAN(東盟)，不是ASYAN。因為這個字英文解錯了，所以中文翻譯也離了軌，令人一頭霧水。如仍可以更正的話最好還更正，幫助你的觀衆明白。
Tremendous question
What is the possibility of the decoupling by the others against the USA like what the USA and the political North against China?
支持嘉賓:中國需要你這樣的人才。趕緊回歸祖國懷抱！今後你的子孫永遠永遠世世代代居住在祖國中國的土地上，不離不弃
It seems that you may have misunderstood that Professor Mahbubani is from Singapore not from China but I do agree that China needs such talented strategic thinker like professor Mahbubani. He is a very rare talent indeed, a strategic thinker, a talented writer, a talented public speaker and a talented teacher.
哈哈哈哈，顶UP主
大约七百年前，朱元璋就采取了“高筑墙，广积粮，缓称王”的策略，最终建立了大明王朝。马凯硕作为新加坡的外交家，深谙如何作为一个小国，在中美两国之间平衡斡旋，确实很优秀。但恕我直言，想成为中美这样的大国战略家，远远不够，地理环境一定局限了他们的眼界。
平台不同，表现就会不同。
马凯硕又蠢又自信。
@@qwer-gg1cx 哪裡蠢
@@directxxxx71 没一句话是对的。典型的西方白左，愚蠢而且傲慢。傻到了极点的超级大傻瓜。
EV car is another example of their long-term plan. 5years from now you can see Chinese Ev everywhere in the world.
13:50 Kishore says, "presciently", not "presently" :)
Couple small mistakes here in translation here and there. Good job overall!!!
有些字幕和翻译错的好逗😂
AI的吧，应该
能力有限，见谅hahah
@@qipaguancha 已經很好了 看不懂的人 應該要意識到自己該提升了
一针见血
It is difficult to stop China now, having underestimated them for many years.
中国的大战略就是：
上善若水 善利万物而不争
夫唯不争 则天下莫能与之争
桃李不言 下自成蹊
广结善缘 和气生财
都是老祖宗早都告诉我们的
萬事皆有可能
治之道是懂天下人心之道、在宥天下。至道🙏治生。
Tonight, I want to start by asking, with the upcoming U.S. election, do we expect to see any real potential changes in U.S. policy towards China before the end of this year? Is it a national policy or a policy related to the president himself? I will give you a very contradictory answer. On the one hand, the election results may not change anything; on the other hand, it may change everything. Because it is obvious that even today, the well-known fact is that the United States is a deeply divided society, unable to reach a consensus on anything, except for one thing they all agree on, which is that it is time to stop China. So no matter who the president is, the task of stopping China will continue, and this policy has deeply ingrained itself in the U.S. political system and society. But at the same time, why do I say it may change everything? Because if Trump is re-elected, he may take extreme measures against China, which will greatly change the situation. We must be prepared for all possibilities, as small countries like the UAE or Singapore have already realized that, whether we like it or not, we are now witnessing the largest and most far-reaching competition between two major powers in history. This competition will shake the entire world, affecting the lives of all of us, which is why we need to have this dialogue here, it is very timely.
Regarding the future of U.S.-China relations, a key question is whether the United States has a clear strategy to deal with China's rise. Makaisuo pointed out that although the United States has initiated this competition, the goal is not clear. Is it to overthrow the Chinese Communist Party? Or is it just to contain and isolate China? These questions have never been clearly answered. For China, their goal is clear, they hope to surpass the United States economically and become the global number one.
In addition, Makaisuo also mentioned how China is responding to U.S. containment policies through initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative and establishing free trade agreements in Asia. He believes that China has systematically formulated a grand strategy to address challenges from the United States and ensure the diversification and stable growth of its economy.
Finally, Makaisuo emphasized the wide-ranging impact of the competition between China and the United States on the global stage, especially in terms of economy, military, and soft power. He believes that the next decade will be an acceleration period for the competition between China and the United States, which will be one of the greatest performances in human history.
This interview delves into the complex and crucial relationship between China and the United States, providing important insights into the changing global political and economic landscape.
One thing you have to understand is that China doesn't really want to overtake the US, either economically or militarily. It's just that China's population of 1.4 billion is so huge that China will inevitably overtake the US in every way as long as it continues to grow, and that's determined by physical reality, not by China's subjective will.
@@qipaguanchaCorrect, even India one day (may be 30 to 50 years later ) will surpass US with the largest population in the world!
請教：
1、經濟第一和人的素質第一之間，可以畫上等號嗎？
2、經濟第一等於形象好嗎？& 教授喜歡中國人（包括國家領導人）在世界上的形象嗎？
微軟公司老闆回覆紀者他來中國開新創分公司是因為1萬人會有一個天才所以中國14億人口會有很多天才。
"How can you expect me to learn the knowledge required when I am with you, the people? Surely, I do need advice from a trustworthy source.
Why would I suffer the humiliation when he knew his privacy had been compromised and his recommendation panel was manipulated if I can get advice from you?
It is not my shame. It is your shame. It is your shame that I also need to suffer all of these.
And now or later I need to find practical ways to compensate for his loss and his bloody family issues.
I am not doing this for myself. I am doing this for you, for the people.
Hopefully, I will no longer need to do that from now on.
He is way too expensive!"
Arab leaders not sure where to place their bet … whether to stay with their master, Uncle Sam, or someone else.😂
This has signify they are looking for change
不指是中国每个国家都需要向好的方向发展，大家都有发展的权利凭什么美国要压制中国以及其他国家
这里说的美国包括英加澳新等英语国家，甚至包括法德意西等等欧洲国家。
The goal in actuality is to reflect the worst human nature of pride, God is the witness.
Strangely enough, the Chinese do not believe in God and are free of the doctrine of original sin. But the Chinese have emphasized since ancient times that arrogance is man's own worst enemy. Weakness and stupidity are not the obstacles to survival, arrogance is the
天祐中華！！
For weaker party, they must have a strategy or they will be in deep trouble. What is the strategy of Taiwan? OI only see a stupid one which is to just to lean on USA
I think it’s really complicated to people of Taiwan. They definitely wanna find a way out but they do not have the power of it, especially with leaders like Cai or Lai.
早點談，也許是兄弟。不談，遲早是孫子。聰明人不可能沒有，只是被權力迷了眼睛。
Protect the Philippines from Chinese aggression in WPS
The plan is to say something the voters would like to hear and to stay in office. An example would be the tariffs the were put on Chinese imports brought in lots of money for the government without saying the money is not China's money but it's American's money.
还有，多收钱进了谁的口袋…
字幕错误太多了
Is it also time for SG to reflect too? Are we outsourcing too much of our jobs too? A lot of managers roles but what abt the engineers etc?
當一個地方出現管治危機，最佳方法向外妖魔法地造一個敵人，咁就可以一致對外，繼續自己政權.
自我批评和自我改造是痛苦的
How to counter China? Be okay with working for low wages,be okay with front loading first with potential for low to next to zero gains in order to build strong relationships
Where is the talk proper. This is just Q &A ?
Only corrupted politician are afraid of USA.
USA : marcos you want your father corrupted billion in USA bank?
Marcos : oh yes SIR.
USA : You know what to do in south China sea 😂😂😂😂😂
So why doesn't the U.S. use this tactic against the ccp?hahah
幸好這馬先生 不是中國人的敵人⋯ 如果是敵人就麻煩了。 幸好他不是美國那邊的人
愚蠢自大的马凯硕，他是中国人民的敌人，非常坏的人。
中美战略竞争，由于不同的历史文化传承，也体现了不同的战略选择。
美国选择的是，军事+盟友围堵的策略。
中国选择的是，深化经济绑定+一带一路的策略。
美国战略的核心目的，是挑起与中国的战争方式，用军事手段彻底征服中国。当然，美国也许会尽量避免发动不义战争的口实，争取国际支持，但其本质就是依靠军事战争。这种策略最大的问题是，美国无法确定，发动战争后，一定会取得胜利，但也许是更大的失败，而这种代价，是美国无非承受的，所以，美国寄希望挑起一场中国与美国代理人的长期战争，但十分可惜，这个世界没有与中国体量相似的，甘愿为美国当代理人去战死的国家。有些国家和地区是代理人，但不愿意去死，只希望美国人与中国对决，他们从中渔利。总之，美国这种选择，是机会主义战略，类似赌博，也许会赢几次，但长期赌，是一定会输光的。
中国的战略，非常谨慎，当下的目的，就是求生。用各种手段，在美国的攻击下，存活下来，继续发展。这种超级大国，就是一门心思求生，谁来都很难下口，一时半会肯定是搞不动的。
美国最大的问题，是资本主义周期性危机，这玩意就是美国的罩门，明知道，就是很难堵住。中国一心防守，就等着美国危机来，然后，用全中国所有实力，砸死美国。
现在，这几乎是明牌，阳谋。中国经济几乎已经坚壁清野，挤干水分，日子很苦，但没有任何做空机会，美国现在拼耗中国，只能一点一滴的啃，费了牛劲，咬下来一丝丝，但还有一座山呢，不知道啃到猴年马月。美国人心里也明白，中国手里有一笔大钱，专门留给美国最危险的时刻，中美的态势是：美国攻势很凌厉，中国只是招架，从不轻易还手，但所有人都知道，中国兜里有个大炸弹，扔出来，平时都能炸出美国人吐血三升，但中国不急，等美国犯错时，不仅这颗炸弹，而且要典当所有家产，全换成炸弹，一起扔过去。
中国是经常遭到攻击，灰头土脸，十分狼狈。但一时半会死不了。美国人是不能犯错，看着趾高气昂，但有个大雷顶着，不一定啥时候就炸了。
这场博弈，也许很慢，才能分出结果，美国人顶着雷，就是不炸，中国也没辙。但也许很快，万一美国没玩好，雷炸了，那中国也不会看着，一定落井下石，往美国雷里死命填炸药。
兄弟，你说的这个大炸弹是三万亿外汇吗？😂 请教个问题，老美是要等到什么事情出现才降息？
老美最危险的时刻是什么时候😂
教授講的美國政府只為1%-2% 謀福利， 中國反之。 其實實體上的「中國的城牆與西方君主的城堡」就可以成分說與印證這一切。 這是整個中國統治者基於儒家思想下的權利穩固基礎！
中国内法外儒+马克思，儒家治国只能内斗，新文化运动，文化革命就是打破几千年儒家思想。
Very Arab
God, is not what Americans, love anymore.
不可能是刻意去创造那种所谓的生产依赖，实在是天生丽质难自弃，刹车也刹不住
In coming 10 years young populations growth will be the main issue for china
China should not underestimate this issue like Japan South Korea.
China's population base is 1.4 billion, and biologically there's no need to worry about this aspect; China's demographic problem is just an offensive issue manipulated by the West.
提到美国的科技战和贸易战，相信有点智商的正常人都知道是因为贸易战，科技战才有了美国的国家安全和民主对独裁一说，而非因为美国的国家安全和民主对抗独裁才有了贸易战科技战，而且中国的体制根本也和独裁扯不上关系，只是与美国的体制不同而已。可西方长期以来就把美式民选和民主划等号，也就是不搞美式民选，不在直播前搞一些美式脱口秀，不搞那套舞台效果让大家嗨起来，那就不是自由民主国家。然后他们把少数中国人的意见就当标准了，我敢说，国内即便全体投票，大概率出的结果也不是美式那套玩法，以中国人的历史眼光去看，这就是把国家大事这种高度严谨的事当儿戏。
I think a very fundamental issue was not mentioned or discussed by Professor Mahbubani is that American's capitalism, once the most efficient economic system, is no longer as competitive against China's hybrid capitalism+socialism system. American government can not have a long term strategy (more than 8 years) because of its election cycle. Each new administration nullifies the efforts of the previous one. Therefore, while both Republican and Democratic parties want to stop China, they don't have consistent approaches over time because Americans are deeply divided. On the other hand, Chinese are quite united in facing their challenges and Chinese don't have the desire to bully other countries. This contest is like between an old world champion doing boxing with a young contender who actually just want to survive. The time is on the youth side, obviously.
千真万确👏👏👏
Besides that US fiscal policy and national debt will hobble America strength and will consigned to its decline.
There is a saying in Chinese philosophy that the more powerful a force is the more careful it should be used, and that the most powerful weapons come at a price, such as the power of the American media that you mentioned. A powerful media can influence not only its opponents but also itself. Because of this right now the American elites are being misled by the American media, so they don't understand the world well enough to make sound decisions and judgments.
Agree but iust not sure who is old and mature and who is yong and new. To me, USA is young and new and have seen nothing in terms of nation building when seen side by side China.
简单的说就是堕落了。
I am a Singaporean. I agree with almost all of Kishore's points. One exception is when he said "USA is solving lots of problems in the world" (this I disagree) while China has enough domestic problems that it doesn't want to meddle in other countries (this part I agree). USA, with its USD funding its military and NGOs,and monopolizing trade transactions, has all along been stirring troubles throughout the world, while using moral highground of "values" as its cover.
agree with U 👍
Though I am a Chinese witnessing all the wars started by the US in the recent decades, I still agree that historically the US has made contribution to the world peace more than the wars. The super power of the US makes the world changing from chaos to order. The order is not good enough. The world police is more like mafia. However, even the worst order is better than no order. Even the order is also a tool for the US to contain the rising of China, it is still better than a completely chaotic environment for China to survive and grow. Now China is challenging the US to update the world order to a more equal one. The contribution of the US is still necessary to be memorized.
101% agree
The USA has a number of good points but in the last 3 decades, the US government is more of a bully and a irrational beast..
You can disagree with me.
US has many factions both doing good and shit (more so) around the world. i only disagree with his assessment of biden over trump. Nice guy doesnt mean better president. Can argue that under trump there was 0 wars.. which do we prefer?
因為這場演講是用英語進行的，所以，我判斷底下坐著的這些白大袍們，都是受過西方教育的人，要讓他們接受中國的觀點，恐怕有些困難。但是美國在中東地區的實踐，大家都是看到了的--並沒有給中東帶來和平、穩定和發展，而是戰爭、動亂和破壞。所以他們也願意聽一聽一個印度裔的新加坡人的觀點，一個局外人、旁觀者的觀點。
能促成伊沙和解这种千年大难题的，中东谁更有影响力根本无需辩论。
新加坡的国际地缘情况就决定了他们需要大量这样的人去做各种游说，而中国是大国，需要脚踏实地干出成绩，中国不需要也没时间把主要精力都放在lip service上。
中国不断的在各个领域发展，突破，就是最大的实力！这个现实世界，嘴皮子没用！美国不会和嘴皮子厉害的人坐下来谈！
美國在那裏，那裏就有戰爭！
美有戰爭，沒有破壞美國會活不下去！
Even though they might be western educated but remember they have their own value system; so they benefit from the both sides view points.
@@yhh8427China is not faring any better with all the neighbouring countries either; something to think about.
It's always fascinating listening to the Prof, but i'd also like to commend the interviewer. He asked good questions.
Countries can have strategies, visions, wants & determinations; but who succeeds ? China is the only one that consistently achieved their goals. The Chinese leaders are incredible !!
It's not that China's leaders are incredible, it's that China's system and culture can accomplish such things as China's Five-Year Plans, where every five years a plan is formulated for the next five years, and the plan covers all aspects of the country's development. The plan is then implemented according to the plan, and even if the leader steps down, the next one must implement the plan. China has been formulating and implementing five-year plans since 1953, and its 14th five-year plan was formulated in 2021.
In addition, there are two concepts in Chinese culture, one is that success is not necessary for me, and the other is that success is in the present generation and benefits are in the future. Culturally successful Chinese people care more about their reputation in history because Chinese history continues and the merits and demerits of leaders are recorded forever in history. So Chinese leaders generally don't care about how much fame and fortune they will gain while they are alive, they are more concerned about their record in Chinese history
@@qipaguancha Leaders are only as good or as bad as the people they leader.
Chinese people must be a good nation to produce good leaders.
At the opposite end, look at the Americans.
@@qipaguancha 多少個 five-year plan, 才可以搞到到處都是爛尾樓？
@@Quantum-Entangled 中國無官不貪，你以為是新加坡嗎？
@@qipaguancha china's mandate of heaven is philosophy and cultural based, not politics. all other empires and civilisations rose and fell due to excessive politicking and lack of cultural cohesiveness.
All past great Empires came & went. Each average shelf life is about 250 years. Each of their fiat currency, shelf life is about 100 years. America is moving close to these 2 thresholds.
But for China is still the China a few thousands years ago, and will still be into the far future, always developing, innovating & progressing - and its economical power & influence are getting wider, stronger and wealthier moving forward.
干货满满。
US is not against a rising country, but US is dealing with awakening of a great civilization.
u wanna bet amerikkka will not destroy india when india becomes as successful as China? amerikkka is against all rising countries. period.
目前, 美国最大的优势是美元. 没有任意发行美债的手段, 美国财政将会崩溃, 世界最优秀的人才则不会再被一个崩溃了政府财政的美国所吸引.
如果不再以美元为货币结算，我感觉美国佬会拉全世界陪葬
那么问题来了，美迟迟不降息再等一个什么事情出现才降，谢谢
美元现在就是一张纸，需要有人去捅破
@@jackchen600 好问题，哪个大神来回答下，急~~~
在等某个大经济体崩溃，美国可以收割渡过财政债务危机
This is indeed a very constructive dialogue where Prof Kishore has made profound and insightful comments.
The moderator was professional in asking unbiased and objective topics of importance.
We need more of this.
Thanks for sharing this conference. The world should know this. ❤ from Malaysia
The host is also awesome by asking very meaningful questions. Thanks for Professor Kishore's broad and insightful presentation🎉
居然看到有评论说又要世界级战略家，又要低调做人，这不就是诸葛亮吗？如果按三国当时两千万人口出一个诸葛亮，那么现在中国至少有七十个诸葛亮在后面出谋划策，但可以感觉到他们都会出一个策略，就是不要与天时地利人和的美国（曹操）正面冲突，唯有发展自身，连结欧洲（孙权），继而待天下有变，图取中原，成霸业，兴汉室
新加坡这种国家，没有战争的时候左右逢源也许是最舒服的。但是战争一起绝对会是最惨的😂
這個外交官太棒了
加拿大的达尔豪斯大学
全球排名#350位，而且不是博士这样
的人别说院长，在美国连教授都当不上。
最可吹嘘的是“联合国安全理事会主席”
我去查了一下是联合国安理会15个成员国
轮流当的每期一个月，每年就有12个这样
的主席！当然新加坡是个小国，可能要2-30
年才轮到进安理会，当一个月主席也光荣！
A wise man indeed
我在臺灣 中國人有祖先留下來的智慧再加上我們內部團結一致定能排除萬難
可息最希望中国灭亡，做最多对中国不利事情的恰恰是台湾人
@user-uy8bk4fd4t....1450醒醒吧.狗屁的領導人一個比一個爛,還想搞獨立,夢裡比較美......
we all can support with China new global economic world interest
早前看過這個訪問的全個內容，真的相當精彩，馬先生絕對是受敬重的政治學者之一，他對中國亞洲以及整個世界的瞭解有足夠的深度，很有哲理及富有思想。當國人看見外媒對國家某個事件的抹黑造謠而內心毫無波瀾，不再辯駁，不再浮躁，或者反映實力已經允許藏不住的傲嬌。自信的最新高度是無需過份去炫耀自己！有了自嘲的本錢！無關政治民生，或者正是一個對和平世界的渴求！-個百姓對穩定發展的希望！一個對社會環境的寫實！這就是真實的生活！！相信國家的發展有足夠的智慧。。。🎉🎉
加拿大达尔豪斯大学
全球排名#350位，而且不是博士这样
的人别说院长，在美国连教授都当不上。
最可吹嘘的是“联合国安全理事会主席”
我去查了一下是联合国安理会15个成员国
轮流当的每期一个月，每年就有12个这样
的主席！当然新加坡是个小国，可能要2-30
年才轮到进安理会，当一个月主席也是光荣
Have been listening to Kishore Ji for a month now, more than 100 hrs of his interview and perspective and more I listen to him, I just feel lucky and gratitude to TH-cam that I came across this humble, suave, astute and exceptional think tank strategist, May God give you a long and healthy life🙏
summary from this seminar is you must help- china to be no 1, so you will not depend with USA and USA will not bully you again and again
China is already ahead of the US
The per capita difference is far away. But this shows that there is still a lot of potential in China, because everyone wants to live a better life!
@@zhuzhu-sf7ry although per capita in the US is way higher, it gets decimated by the high cost of living, food,rent etc. i would argue that in china u have more purchasing power to buy and afford things than u do in the US with a higher per capita income
@@enceladus4900and also the wealth is concentrated in the top few % of the population
American had met their match, the real rival: China! Hegenomy American may have strategies to counteract China but China had their own strategies. Look at the effect of Petrodollar vs the BRICS on global economy…..
What a remarkably wise statement, it's rare to see such insight in today's political climate.
There are plenty of people with this opinion, just not in the West. The political elites of most developing countries have this understanding
受益匪淺，為教授點讃！👍👍👏👏
Soft power is especially the culture difference, one is with a long history, people collectively focused culture, the other is with short and young culture, America has always won, they don't know and don't want to know how it is to be oppressed, individuality is written everywhere in all policies. Sacrifice is definitely not considered.
中國人的思想其實很簡單，就是圖個國泰民安。老美就是沒辦法想通這個，他老是覺得中國人將來會像蘇聯那樣跟他爭當武林盟主，所以他惴惴不安，杞人憂天，鬱鬱寡歡，最後鬱鬱而終。老美其實是被自己打敗的。
Do you know If a strong China and a Chinese business style US business will go bankrupt soon. You want US to stop fear that is not possible. Have you go business with China before?
Except for the Soviet Union part, everything was perfect, and I can give him that. Nobody can be an expert on everything!
Another talk from Professor Kishore showcasing the depth and scope of his knowledge and the high level of his intelligence about world geopolitics.