Mindscape 150 | Simon DeDeo on How Explanations Work and Why They Sometimes Fail

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 29 มิ.ย. 2024
  • Patreon: / seanmcarroll
    Blog post with audio player, show notes, and transcript: www.preposterousuniverse.com/...
    You observe a phenomenon, and come up with an explanation for it. That’s true for scientists, but also for literally every person. (Why won’t my car start? I bet it’s out of gas.) But there are literally an infinite number of possible explanations for every phenomenon we observe. How do we invent ones we think are promising, and then decide between them once invented? Simon DeDeo (in collaboration with Zachary Wojtowicz) has proposed a way to connect explanatory values (“simplicity,” “fitting the data,” etc) to specific mathematical expressions in Bayesian reasoning. We talk about what makes explanations good, and how they can get out of control, leading to conspiracy theories or general crackpottery, from QAnon to flat earthers.
    Simon DeDeo received his Ph.D. in astrophysics from Princeton University. He is currently an Assistant Professor in Social and Decision Sciences at Carnegie Mellon University, and External Professor at the Santa Fe Institute.
    Mindscape Podcast playlist: • Mindscape Podcast
    #podcast #ideas #science #philosophy #culture
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ความคิดเห็น • 84

  • @StayPrimal
    @StayPrimal 3 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I'm officially making a petition to have some news about Ariel.
    Oh and thank you very much for this episode professor.

  • @spaceinyourface
    @spaceinyourface 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Very thought provoking and enjoyable. Thanks Sean.

  • @rodrigosilvanader
    @rodrigosilvanader 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    It’s so frustrating (and even funny) how quantum physics made the community “give up” on understanding and accepted predicting as the only goal of physics.
    Understanding and finding intuition behind concepts is how most brilliant ideas pop up. Removing that feature from the scope of physics is basically saying: “That’s as far as we can go, and we don’t even want to try - because we are too afraid of failing.”

    • @schmetterling4477
      @schmetterling4477 ปีที่แล้ว

      Why are you telling us that you gave up in high school science class? ;-)

  • @larsp3280
    @larsp3280 3 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Sean, this was great. I would love to hear you talk with David Deutsch. He is big on explanations and their reach.

  • @johnimusic12
    @johnimusic12 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    As a pianist since 4 years old, ive been on a lifelong journey towards "understanding" music. I've successfully internalized a robust model of the piano keyboard for visualizing musical shapes like harmonies and melodies. I also have a less robust internal model of a Time grid activates my internal model of rhythm.
    I also had absolute pitch where I can identify any pitch through the qualia of the experience.... unfortunately it appears that qualia of pitch tends to go "flat" over time, where a middle C will have the qualia of a B-flat.

    • @schmetterling4477
      @schmetterling4477 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yes, that is all great, but can you entertain me? Because that is your main function as a musician. Music is not about theory and it's not about how much you know about it. It's simply about making me happy with what you are doing. That is the real art in art.

  • @lelouchlamperouge8093
    @lelouchlamperouge8093 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    How can this amazing channel has this amount of subscribers! 👾

  • @SuperGnarley
    @SuperGnarley 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I heard David Deutch's name and I'm beyond stoked. Everyone should read his work (and so too Chiara Marletto's, his "successor" of sorts).

    • @SuperGnarley
      @SuperGnarley 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Disappointing talk though. I think he missed the point(s) of The Beginning of Infinity.

  • @DrDress
    @DrDress 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    31:43 One of those nice out-of-context quotes.

  • @daapdary
    @daapdary 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Sean, you should interview Jaap van Zweden because he's a super conductor. (of the New York Philharmonic Orchestra.)
    Ba dum tsss...

  • @kevinmorgan2818
    @kevinmorgan2818 3 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    How you identify effects your rights. If for example I were pulled over by the police in my car, the police say you are driving, and liable to driving offence laws, but I say I am travelling in my car, not driving, so I am not liable to driving laws if I am travelling, not driving. This all ties back to old laws of the land that existed before motor vehicles were invented. Since invented the means of which I can travel have changed, becoming more efficient. As for identity, a person is a choice of descriptor word used by officials in paperwork, to which if you accept the bestowed identity as a person, you enter into a contractual agreement as liable for the person in question, but if you identify as a human for example, you have human rights, which are different to a person's rights. If I am not a person, I am not the person in question, nor a person which can be subjected to the mis identifying legislation. It is a technicality, but that is enough to allow and accept authority over you, which rarely works out well for you. A mis identification means you are not who they say you are, you are who you choose to be. A good example of these things come from the traveller community. They simply know the differences, making them exempt from many laws and prosecutions/persecutions. I forget the terminology but it is fully legal and lawful. The average person just doesn't know that how they choose to identify has such strong implications. Technically speaking we are not given the opportunity to choose our identity by our government's deliberately to claim power and authority over us that enslaves us and removes our rights, essentially they manipulate the law in their favour to take advantage of us nieve, trusting, uneducated folk simply because they can, and do profit off us from birth, in ways as described by your guest.

  • @emilylowrance7930
    @emilylowrance7930 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    what you know you can't explain. its there like a splinter in your mind driving you mad - Morpheus

  • @TheMemesofDestruction
    @TheMemesofDestruction 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    16:14 - Memetic Tensor Networks ^.^

  • @_ARCATEC_
    @_ARCATEC_ 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    25:33 linguistics matrix 🤔
    Interesting idea. Thanks 💓
    1:28:50
    True I guess N isn't = to nP .
    •XN `( VP1 RF(g AE )Z

  • @lewkor1529
    @lewkor1529 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    1:21:59 Hail to Pitt!!!

  • @MrPDTaylor
    @MrPDTaylor 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Pittsburgh style is the only style worth having.

  • @IIIllllIIIIlllll
    @IIIllllIIIIlllll 3 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    He says ‘right’ far too much

  • @BetinhoSM
    @BetinhoSM 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    :)

  • @billdrumming
    @billdrumming 3 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    We need you to address the elephant in the room. UAP’s. Please have a podcast regarding the military release of the UFO, and hypotheses

    • @TheMemesofDestruction
      @TheMemesofDestruction 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I like elephants! ^.^

    • @aaron2709
      @aaron2709 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      th-cam.com/video/McVqKmUaaok/w-d-xo.html

    • @johnimusic12
      @johnimusic12 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      None of the videos of UAP demonstrate any extraordinary capabilities... I love David fravors story, but unfortunately, antidotal evidence is simply insufficient.

    • @billdrumming
      @billdrumming 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@aaron2709 I like Anton. Need to hear from a theoretical physicist

    • @billdrumming
      @billdrumming 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@aaron2709 this is 10 mo ago before the pentagon confirmed these are real, and 120 documented encounters. Also before Obama said UAP’s are real.

  • @chemquests
    @chemquests 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    For someone that studies explanations, he’s not very good at explaining his ideas.

  • @johnqpublic2718
    @johnqpublic2718 3 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Men mansplaining explanations…… full circle baby.