👉 Get Steve Merril's Picks: wt.buzz/sm 🏈 Live NFL Odds: wt.buzz/nfl-odds 📺 Rest of NFL Week 3 Videos: wt.buzz/2024nfl3 🏈 More Free NFL Picks: www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/NFL 🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for NFL Week 3? Let us know in the comments below 👇
Thanks. I'm betting on a lot of these 0-2 teams this week - Jaguars, Titans, Broncos, Panthers, Colts, Giants. And somehow over in the Chargers/Steelers.
I DID THE SAME..TOOK A 3 Team Dog PARLAY WITH James Madison U, Giants, Broncos JMU hit like I knew they would they legit are a top 10 school but the public won't recognize there works..they will this year NCCAF will put respect on JMU name. As for my last two leg dogs....I picked them because of the 0-2 records and considering these teams last week score, nobody would dare play them this week. So I personally believe Browns and Buccs loose to kill most parlays for the Day 😂 Who knows? NFL personal for me STILL TOO EARLY TO BET...I wait til Week 5 to start betting what I feel is for real. GL everyone
@@datlam706 so did my Michigan money line bet, Carolina money line bet and my Jamar chase to score 2 tds at +900. Swung and missed badly on Jacksonville. Won 13 units this week….keep listening to TH-cam people for your plays
Great stuff as always. I think your NE/NYJ video was a fade the public play so don't forget to count that one. Carolina's switch to Dalton was needed. I think Young can be something in this league but there's no point in keeping him out there and taking Ls. Have to think that it's starting to get into his head. At the same time, I don't know when the Minshew bubble will burst. So I'm going to play somewhat safe and tease both the Raiders and Bucs down to ML.
This whole week looks tuff to me. Chicago Under is an auto play for me just because I'm a fan, and that offense is a dumpster fire. Meanwhile, the Defense is legit top tier. I just don't see 43 points in that game unless the Bears D starts scoring.
Love your show and only have one issue. Not my Commanders. Been a Skins fan since early 70's and its been very painful to stick with them. 😂 Good luck everyone lets go!!!
I’m staying away from Raiders, I’ve been saying they need to start Dalton all season. Will see how this one plays out, maybe even place a small small bet on Panthers moneyline, for fun… thanks for the video Steve
Imma Trend Bettor this week, Steve.. I was burned hard on FSU past 3 weeks. Didn’t bet em this week and they win and cover.. Kansas St. killed me this week. So all in on 0-2 Ravens ML vs Dallas. 🚀 Can’t wait for the Cowboys to win with a last second FG, this week.
I usually agree wuth the FTP but I kind of like the Packers, especially if you can get +3.5 in a low scoring game. I think Tenn is pretty bad; people say "if Levis didn't do ______, they would be 2-0." Ok, but Levis DID ______. Anyway, good stuff as always Steve. Btw, last week in the early games, I parlayed 6 teams, it went 5-1; the loss, Carolina, and I actually liked them lol. I bet the games solo too so it's fine but it hurt.
I don’t know I don’t see them beating Pittsburgh on the road. Add defence is still legit. It’s gonna be a low scoring game. I take the under, but I just don’t see it.
Great info. Steve. Got Jax earlier this week at +6. Trying to re-coup what I lost last year on Trevor Lawrence. He needs a new haircut/style. Looks like a high school sophomore with a pageboy back in my day. Hated his look since Clemson. Thought he would have grown up By now.
Big on TEN this week so glad to see public on other side. Buying low on them. QB mistakes cost them 2 games otherwise team looks solid. Even a pedestrian performance from him should get the job done as GB wont be able to run at will here like they did last week.
Something seems wrong why is Tampa only -6 vs Denver this looks like a trap depends on what side of Trap the public fall for I think I will take Denver 🤔
I agree with Broncos, Panthers, Jaguars, Steelers but if I had to play a side in Packers/Titans it would be the Packers. Just because with Jordan Love the lookahead line was Packers -3.5, does a backup quarterback who has very likely developed and made improvements to his game since he last started replacing Jordan Love warrant a 6.5 point move to the spread? I don't think so, I think Malik Willis is currently a much better quarterback than the market thinks he is. I would also add that I actually think the Packers have a better chance of winning if they start Willis than if they start love due to Willis being healthy and Love likely being limited at least in some capacity but really he's probably not ready to come back. My plan for this game was to wait for confirmation on who is starting and bet the Packers if Willis plays at more favorable odds and bet on the Titans if Love plays. The Packers being so public is my only hesitation.
Hey Steve, I’m trying to purchase one of your packages but your website won’t let me update my information. There’s no button to save my information after I edit it. Can you help please?
Steve I’m a little confused. Are we fading the public dogs? So we would bet: Pittsburgh, titans ? And for the first few ones, you said we got to pick the spots where we fade the public for broncos vs buccaneers, but then you gave an example of broncos not being a good choice?
Steve, I've watched a few of your "fade the public" videos and I don't see you actually mentioning the record of fading the public. Would you mind posting how well that does for the past few seasons. Much appreciated
Sorry, but I wouldn't touch Denver and Nix after the first 2 weeks. Bucs look like one of the better teams in the league. Have a hard time seeing Denver doing much of anything on the road. I also think LAC will cover over PIT with or w/o Herbert. Harbaugh will out coach Tomlin
You ran your model a thousand times on the Tennessee game with Oklahoma. You better start working on that machine. Oklahoma was your pick. We won and covered. That was a big game probably the most watched game so far this year. I am sure you had most of your picks correct.
His model also had Michigan winning outright so he went 1-1 on the two biggest games yesterday. Michigan was + money so you actually came out on top if you took both teams ML on straight bets
Great work, Steve, Thank you. I'm a big contrarian player and the first game that jumped out to me was to fade Tampa. I've got to take the Panthers yet again, they ma win outright. Just my common man handicap would tell you that the Cardinals will be winning at home. All the Best-
@stevemerril3086 Really Steve?! That's a thing?! Um, yeah. Anywhoz, apprec the Best Bets n Fade the Cheezers handicaping insight vids! Great tools, of course, for weighing against foundation handicaping on our own! Especially after you've run dry consecutive weeks!!! Double up time!!! 😆 lol
@@stevemerril3086 MLB about 50-50 this yr again, i found that focusing on higher totals would have been about 57%. So next year should be OK maybe. Might just use next spring to go count cards and travel a bit. Had fun on a couple trips this year. NCAAF 3-1 start, Oct+ will be for totals. NFL waiting for Oct+ fot totals. Waiting for NBA, using a new method to judge a potential in game mean reversion, back tests 59%+ the L3 yrs. Small margin of error number on the sample size also, so pretty pleased with that. Went through BTC data (again) looking how dip buying does on halvening years... So been staying busy, hope you and the fam are doing great!! Keep killing it on the picks.
👉 Get Steve Merril's Picks: wt.buzz/sm
🏈 Live NFL Odds: wt.buzz/nfl-odds
📺 Rest of NFL Week 3 Videos: wt.buzz/2024nfl3
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🤷♂ What is your BEST BET for NFL Week 3? Let us know in the comments below 👇
Smash that LIKE 👍 button!
Good luck everyone, thanks for watching! 👍🏈💲
So are you saying to fade the public on the Tampa game?
@@datlam706 bro did you watch the video"? LOL
@@datlam706 it means bet Denver
@@EddieMushforLife I did but I didn’t catch what he said with all the betting jargon
I really appreciate your info Steve!
Thanks. I'm betting on a lot of these 0-2 teams this week - Jaguars, Titans, Broncos, Panthers, Colts, Giants. And somehow over in the Chargers/Steelers.
Sounds like a parlay, champ.
Like titans, colts and pit
I DID THE SAME..TOOK A 3 Team Dog PARLAY WITH James Madison U, Giants, Broncos
JMU hit like I knew they would they legit are a top 10 school but the public won't recognize there works..they will this year NCCAF will put respect on JMU name. As for my last two leg dogs....I picked them because of the 0-2 records and considering these teams last week score, nobody would dare play them this week. So I personally believe Browns and Buccs loose to kill most parlays for the Day 😂 Who knows? NFL personal for me STILL TOO EARLY TO BET...I wait til Week 5 to start betting what I feel is for real. GL everyone
They all look good except for the Colts
@@IAMEYI0 chance Denver wins
Not sure why people doubt you man. Good stuff. I've learned a lot.
Thank you, I appreciate that!
Jags +5.5, Titans -2.5 and sprinkle jags Moneyline. lets get it
This aged well lol
@@datlam706 so did my Michigan money line bet, Carolina money line bet and my Jamar chase to score 2 tds at +900. Swung and missed badly on Jacksonville. Won 13 units this week….keep listening to TH-cam people for your plays
you are fade material bro
@@Lambiscon4906 like your chic
Great stuff as always.
I think your NE/NYJ video was a fade the public play so don't forget to count that one.
Carolina's switch to Dalton was needed. I think Young can be something in this league but there's no point in keeping him out there and taking Ls. Have to think that it's starting to get into his head.
At the same time, I don't know when the Minshew bubble will burst. So I'm going to play somewhat safe and tease both the Raiders and Bucs down to ML.
Patriots were definitely a public dog, so that is another win, but I'm not counting it in the official results.
This whole week looks tuff to me. Chicago Under is an auto play for me just because I'm a fan, and that offense is a dumpster fire. Meanwhile, the Defense is legit top tier. I just don't see 43 points in that game unless the Bears D starts scoring.
I'm on that also . Kinda my only bet that I like . Was thinking bears too . Not sure
Love your show and only have one issue. Not my Commanders. Been a Skins fan since early 70's and its been very painful to stick with them. 😂
Good luck everyone lets go!!!
I pretty much tapped out the last 20 years, but when they changed the name, I was officially done!
I already got a win on the Jets -6 Thurs night. I've also got BAL -1 and CAR/LV U40. Wish me luck!
Patriots were a public dog Thursday, forgot to mention that in this video
I agree with you on Jacksonville Steve and Tennessee I see them getting there win this weekend .
I agree 👍
I’m staying away from Raiders, I’ve been saying they need to start Dalton all season. Will see how this one plays out, maybe even place a small small bet on Panthers moneyline, for fun… thanks for the video Steve
This will show how bad Young really is, if Dalton plays well
Ayyyyyyyyyyyyy!!!!
Saints ml, Viking ml, cardinals0ver51.5,atl ml nd over chargers
Best of luck
Hope your viewers jumped on my Houston play last week!!!!.....This Week 3, DET is the play to roll into Arz and catch the W.....Let's Go!!!
if you had to make a 3pk what would you select as your other two plays? I like LAR +7.5 and MIA +4.5
@@humblebeginner .....Love MIA....they are my Silver Pick
@@humblebeginnersorry how are lar Mia ? Please
@@johngiag2011 what?
@@humblebeginner who is Mia which team is that
Yea definitely going to be hard to play Carolina and broncos. I like the Jax play tho
Imma Trend Bettor this week, Steve.. I was burned hard on FSU past 3 weeks. Didn’t bet em this week and they win and cover.. Kansas St. killed me this week.
So all in on 0-2 Ravens ML vs Dallas. 🚀 Can’t wait for the Cowboys to win with a last second FG, this week.
Florida State was almost an impossible team to handicap this week, in my opinion
Thank you steve for all the hard work you do 👏
Thanks for tuning in!
Thanks Mike, comments like that make it worthwhile, I appreciate it!
I usually agree wuth the FTP but I kind of like the Packers, especially if you can get +3.5 in a low scoring game. I think Tenn is pretty bad; people say "if Levis didn't do ______, they would be 2-0." Ok, but Levis DID ______.
Anyway, good stuff as always Steve. Btw, last week in the early games, I parlayed 6 teams, it went 5-1; the loss, Carolina, and I actually liked them lol. I bet the games solo too so it's fine but it hurt.
I agree Paul, +3.5 is a good number
I don’t know I don’t see them beating Pittsburgh on the road. Add defence is still legit. It’s gonna be a low scoring game. I take the under, but I just don’t see it.
Great info. Steve. Got Jax earlier this week at +6. Trying to re-coup what I lost last year on
Trevor Lawrence. He needs a new haircut/style. Looks like a high school sophomore with
a pageboy back in my day. Hated his look since Clemson. Thought he would have grown up
By now.
+6 is a good line on Jax
Hey Steve, I’m ready for that year subscription. Do we get the ability to direct advice with you when we sign up like that ? I have questions
Yes, whenever you have a question feel free to ask Wesley, looking forward to having you on board.
Love these picks Steve! Thx!
Thank you for watching
Love the show! Thanks for
Thank you for watching Dave
Big on TEN this week so glad to see public on other side. Buying low on them. QB mistakes cost them 2 games otherwise team looks solid. Even a pedestrian performance from him should get the job done as GB wont be able to run at will here like they did last week.
Good luck Rob
Im confused. So is it good to bet on public dogs Packers and Chargers... Os is it bad?
In general, you want to fade public underdogs.
I cashed in huge on Panthers and Broncos fading the public and took monday off
Something seems wrong why is Tampa only -6 vs Denver this looks like a trap depends on what side of Trap the public fall for I think I will take Denver 🤔
Tampa is mid at best and they have a lot of injuries on defense. There's no way they should be a touchdown or more favorite.
i agree with all the plays
Good luck Ziggy
I agree with Broncos, Panthers, Jaguars, Steelers but if I had to play a side in Packers/Titans it would be the Packers. Just because with Jordan Love the lookahead line was Packers -3.5, does a backup quarterback who has very likely developed and made improvements to his game since he last started replacing Jordan Love warrant a 6.5 point move to the spread? I don't think so, I think Malik Willis is currently a much better quarterback than the market thinks he is.
I would also add that I actually think the Packers have a better chance of winning if they start Willis than if they start love due to Willis being healthy and Love likely being limited at least in some capacity but really he's probably not ready to come back. My plan for this game was to wait for confirmation on who is starting and bet the Packers if Willis plays at more favorable odds and bet on the Titans if Love plays. The Packers being so public is my only hesitation.
Thanks for taking the time to comment Scott, love the details analysis, best of luck on Sunday!
Steve I couldn’t tell if broncos was a play or not. I think you were just saying Tampa bay is public but not to take Denver
I'd lean towards Denver, I would not back any of the public sides this week.
Steve time to get those “wings” tamed at the barber shop! Do you see Ray Davis getting goal line carries soon?
I thought the same thing when I watched the replay, I need a haircut!
@@stevemerril3086 lol
Personally Double LL is one of the most consistent and successful handicappers in the world.
Double R*** but yes, you are right!
Just one L, and often none 💲😉
I'm on the Seahawks and Tampa Bay.
Hey Steve, I’m trying to purchase one of your packages but your website won’t let me update my information. There’s no button to save my information after I edit it. Can you help please?
Roger, please contact WT customer support, they'll be glad to help you.
Steve I’m a little confused.
Are we fading the public dogs?
So we would bet: Pittsburgh, titans ?
And for the first few ones, you said we got to pick the spots where we fade the public for broncos vs buccaneers, but then you gave an example of broncos not being a good choice?
Yes, fading public underdogs is one of my favorite subsets
Aren't the 49ers a public play this week vs the rams?
Yeah, it sure looks that way and Tampa from what I see is taking most of public bets of all
Public is leaning towards 49ers but not anything out of the ordinary
Love your insight.
Thanks Mark
Liking the Broncos +6...Titans -3...Panthers +6....Commanders +7.5......
like your first 3 plays. Commanders, ugh, NO
Steve, I've watched a few of your "fade the public" videos and I don't see you actually mentioning the record of fading the public. Would you mind posting how well that does for the past few seasons. Much appreciated
He literally said the record in the first 10 seconds of the video
@@DJFinnesse💯👍
@@DJFinnesse He only mentioned this season
I’m on the bengals
Good luck Monday night Rick
I like Pitt if Herbert plays he finish game? If they can’t run? Gonna be a 16-15 game
Steelers run defense has been strong
Thanks Steve
Thank you for watching
Sorry, but I wouldn't touch Denver and Nix after the first 2 weeks. Bucs look like one of the better teams in the league. Have a hard time seeing Denver doing much of anything on the road. I also think LAC will cover over PIT with or w/o Herbert. Harbaugh will out coach Tomlin
How’d that work for you?
How’d that work for you?
@@mikemo-qz7fn Win some. Lose some. They can't all be winners...
Appreciate you
Thanks for watching Andrew
Great show
Thanks Dennis
Likng Jacjsonville. What about the unders in the Denver/Tampa Bay and Carolina/Las Vegas games?
I hate to be a square but I hate jags +5. I’m going to Vegas Monday and want to bet bills bungles
Saint , Chargers. Better parlay
What’s the winners
Bo nix will have his best game this week vs Bucs.
Good start so far
You should keep track of which refs are doing which games
Would be an interesting study, not something I've looked into.
True that everyone is going to play against the panthers!
Watch them fuck around a win. SMH 😂
Panthers have been a play against public two years now
@@IAMEYI you called it
@@Lambiscon4906 ty, I'm just tryna get better at just observing more, like a sniper at war 🤣...
I’m taking the raiders
Thanks steve sir
Thank you for watching
I can't roll with the Bronco's or Carolina. I'll risk it lol
They are ugly dogs indeed
Panthers will rally around Andy Dolton 4 a win
You ran your model a thousand times on the Tennessee game with Oklahoma. You better start working on that machine. Oklahoma was your pick. We won and covered. That was a big game probably the most watched game so far this year. I am sure you had most of your picks correct.
His model also had Michigan winning outright so he went 1-1 on the two biggest games yesterday. Michigan was + money so you actually came out on top if you took both teams ML on straight bets
Exactly right 👍💯, but of course some people like Herb just want to focus on a negative.
Thanks ! TNF this week fade the pats...
Correct, forgot to mention in this video that the Patriots were a public dog Thursday
Damn I was hoping for a lean on the Vikings/ Texans game .. appreciate the info tho ..
week 3 let’s go ..
I like the Texans - 2.5 , should be a good game !
Ye sir .. I got them at -2 .. hopefully we right haha
Do you the college public? couldnt find it
I thought the ravens would end up on this list but I guess since it's the cowboys they are playing the public is as usual all over cowboys
I agree Abe, both are pretty public teams in general
Buffalo blows out Jacksonville Monday night!
We shall see, enjoy the games!
Taking the rams ml over san francisco at 3.1 . Taking the biggest homedog.
Best of luck
This GUY is the PUBLIC😂
No he’s not he’s fading them.. the whole world has Tampa and Las Vegas trust me
I am surprised the Bucs spread is not higher.
Especially since Tampa is so public
@@stevemerril3086 I an ATS guy working on getting into totals. Should the Eagles Saints game be one of the top overs of the week ?
Jags are super live dog I love them here
@KATZISALEGEND did you watch the video or not understand English? He said only likes to fade the public with teams that have decent offense
I like them , but dang they better play alot better this week! They should have won week 1 but the Etienne Goalline fumble really hurt .
@@datlam706 the jags are decent I guess you dont understand football
Love this show. Ty I'm grateful.
Thank you Michael
Love is doubtful I'm seeing now steve.. thoughts?
Yes looks like Willis is starting
Great work, Steve, Thank you. I'm a big contrarian player and the first game that jumped out to me was to fade Tampa. I've got to take the Panthers yet again, they ma win outright. Just my common man handicap would tell you that the Cardinals will be winning at home.
All the Best-
Good luck this Sunday Michael
Try not to lose yo a#% this week!
TENNESSEE is the PUBLIC SIDE
No it’s not. Everybody is on GB
@@Bgl-fz3csGreen Bay is definitely a public dog this week
Bills won big unfortunately, better luck next time I suppose 😬
cool Redskins mention!! way to show you’re beating the woke mind virus, Steve!
💯👍💪
"Not my Washington Commanders" 😉
Action Network is illegally billing my account. Anyone who subscribes make sure you’re not being illegally billed as well
Action network is a good place to get your info, but they have a sketchy ass subscription plan. Very illegal how they keep charging you.
What the hell does Mishew wears short shorts even mean
Google it 😂
@stevemerril3086 Really Steve?! That's a thing?! Um, yeah. Anywhoz, apprec the Best Bets n Fade the Cheezers handicaping insight vids! Great tools, of course, for weighing against foundation handicaping on our own! Especially after you've run dry consecutive weeks!!! Double up time!!! 😆 lol
He sucks asss
LFG SM!!!
Hope you've been cashing big Joey, keep me updated.
@@stevemerril3086
MLB about 50-50 this yr again, i found that focusing on higher totals would have been about 57%. So next year should be OK maybe.
Might just use next spring to go count cards and travel a bit. Had fun on a couple trips this year.
NCAAF 3-1 start, Oct+ will be for totals.
NFL waiting for Oct+ fot totals.
Waiting for NBA, using a new method to judge a potential in game mean reversion, back tests 59%+ the L3 yrs.
Small margin of error number on the sample size also, so pretty pleased with that.
Went through BTC data (again) looking how dip buying does on halvening years...
So been staying busy, hope you and the fam are doing great!!
Keep killing it on the picks.
Dalton may not last the game the Panthers O Line
Would have been interesting to see how much better Bryce Young was on the Texans, had the draft on the other way last year.
Revenge and rain Bills.
We shall see
MINCHEWS WIFE😅 IS CHEWME.
😊
Let's cash some tickets 🎟 🎉
Let's go KJ 👍💲🏈