How To Predict Where YOUR Real Estate Market Will Be in 12 Months
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 11 ก.ย. 2024
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Ken McErloy talk about the critical factors that drive real estate markets, with a focus on population trends, migration patterns, and the lessons learned from past economic disruptions.
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8:35 10 years of low housing supply
13:35 Home ownership rate vs rental rate
15:00 Predictions
Keep in mind that during the 80’s people were encouraged to save due to the interest rates. Right now there’s very little incentive to save because those who are saving are watching those who are reckless taking it in. I’ve been trying to save for a home and it’s been discouraging to watch prices continue to not budge because there’s people willing to get into a mortgage where they’re paying 40% of their income. It’s insane.
The housing market poses difficulties due to uncertainties about the Federal Reserve's ability to curb inflation and reduce borrowing costs without adversely affecting demand for assets like homes and automobiles.
I suggest you offset your real estate and get into stocks, A recession as bad as it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you’re careful and it can also create volatility giving great short-time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advice but get buying, cash isn’t king at all at this time!
You are right! I've diversified my 450K portfolio across various market with the aid of an investment coach, I have been able to generate a little bit above $830k in net profit across high dividend yield stocks, ETF and bonds.
@@mariaguerrero08Mind if I ask you to point at how to reach this particular person assisting you? Seems you've figured it all out unlike the rest of us.
*Gertrude Margaret Quinto* is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
I just turned 40 and am forced to rent. If you're only on one income it's almost impossible to purchase a house right now.
What state are you in?
Househack
@@mrmomo305 Florida.
@@natejess-personalfinancetr2861 I was going to do that but only half the duplex is for sale. I think the guy on the other side is house hacking.
It depends on what your income is.
This, blew my mind. So much good stuff, presented in a way that I could understand. Thank you, again, Ken.
A lot of people under 40 yrs old are moving back in with mom and dad.
Hello Master Ken, nice to meet you. I hope you are doing very well. My best wishes to you. I hope you are having an extraordinary day, Thank you for all the support you always give me
One thing that doesn’t make sense to me about the housing shortage. If the shortage was building for 10 years, why were prices stable until the 2020? Just a coincidence that it became government policy to print print print then push cheap mortgage loans like heroin dealers?
People and companies didn't invest in real estate back then. Interest rates were very high for decades, which made it a less attractive investment. People saw homes as homes and not as investments. That started to change in the 2000s.
The production of new homes stopped descreasing supply, low rates, and money printing …
We used to live in Richland. Hubby still works at Hanford from home.
Incredible value. Thank you Ken.
Shout out from Kennewick, WA
Thanks Ken ….. really, thanks for turning my head in the right direction
that jacket tho 🔥🔥
Ken, Is this a "National" prediction? I am in Florida and I believe we have peaked and are on the downslide in values. You seem very optimistic to me, myself, having gone thru the last late great unpleasantness of 2010.
Another informative and well illustrated video. Thank you!
100 percent accurate. Nothing is 100% accurate
Great charts - thanks for sharing!
How urgent is it to sell an asset in Seattle?
Misleading title... never says how to predict migration to an area
Thank you.
Look up where the jobs are going and look up where the people are moving to and that'll show you where your Market will be
That will also show you where all the competition is.
Beware of second home markets
@@clairekeller4303 why
Yep, this. The easiest thing to do is look for Billion dollar corporate projects
Golden info. TY!
Many of the red dot areas , in the Northeast, are highly populated with colleges and universities. Upon completing their degrees, of course hundreds of thousands of degree holders will be moving away. Is this information taken into consideration?
And “hundreds of thousands” of new students will arrive, taking their place 😂
If your info and years of experience are so accurate, why are you about to lose one of your apartment complexes along with all your investors money?
Evidence? Link?
People don’t really know what happened to Detroit. That’s the problem
Unions made American cars uncompetitive
@@michellerahnBingo
Yes we do. Read what this guy just said. Corrupt unions made American cars uncompetitive throughout the 70s and 80s and Japanese cars took over the market. Detroit was built on American cars. Anyone should have seen it coming.
Simple, white flight. Chicago is next
@@_JimmyBeGood Unchecked Subsidized (GOV) Low Income Housing
Wow Ken you look sharp! I hope you're really enjoying your successful life! Never covet another mans wealth. Upanishads
Be careful though. A ton of people "moved" to Arizona from Seattle during the pandemic. They're all second homes. Second home markets crash the hardest when everyone loses their jobs.
Why are the 2nd homes?
@@jasoncrandall It's not really the case, but he's basically saying that these people aren't actually living there.
Why not just invest into reits? Theirs no overhead and if you're saying real estate is easy to follow because of the lags. Then investing into reits seem more attractive, especially when i might need less equity to start with and no headaches to get things fix. By law, investors get paid up to 90% of the profits.
They're not always successful. My father lost money on a REIT in 2023.
REITs are invested across different types of real estate sub markets- some may do well some may be imploding.
@RicondaRacing you lose money and you make money. It's part of the game, but I'm sure your father doesn't understand how to properly evaluate volatility accordingly. Most people lose money because they don't understand the real quantitative analysis that goes into building a proper portfolio.. while managing that risk. When you understand how important your portfolio is and if assets are too correlated or not inside the portfolio, not only can you lower your risk while still maintaining high returns. We can also understand the standard deviation within the portfolio!!
@@rawcircokingif REITs drop in price significantly, I’d consider buying ones that don’t include office space
THE REAL ESTATE MARKET SMELLS
I thought he was going to say jobs not people.
If inflation continues to re-accelerate, don't you think they will be forced to increase interest rates? It's not like they have the option to just stand back and watch it increase and hope it comes back down. They indicated they will act not just if it does not re-accelerate but if it does not demonstrate, it is actively on the way down to 2%, so the likelihood of an interest rate hike seems very significant. There's nothing to naturally bring inflation down at this point unless the labor market implodes.......currently I've been engaged in active trading, which is generally safer, allowing investors to weather market volatility and also managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 24Bitcoin....I'm especially grateful to Francine Duguay, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
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Let's be very clear about one thing. The "market" has been massively wrong on what the Fed should do with the funds rate for at least 2.5 years now. In early 2022 before the Fed even started hiking, the market was already forecasting rate cuts to happen by end of 2022. The market at the start of 2024 had 7 rate cuts for 2024. Laughable to suggest the Fed is the one that has been getting this wrong. It has proven out that they were right to start hiking in early 2022, aggressively ramp up that funds rate, and then keep it at the terminal rate until now. Also, the Fed on numerous occasions has stated that a recession will likely occur as a result of this hiking cycle. The market consensus has been no or soft landing, which is another thing they will be massively wrong on...........I've been engaged in active trading and managed to grow a nest egg of around 140k to a decent 539k....I'm especially grateful to Francine Duguay, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.
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Mass deportation would like a word
Get out of all real estate, these people will learn that all real estate moves globally and starts with bursts. It bursted badly!
No way. Housing is an essential human need. Depending on your location and Market it is highly likely your real estate in the next 10 to 30 years is going to be worth more money because of inflation and supply and demand
No way. Housing is an essential human need. Depending on your location and Market it is highly likely your real estate in the next 10 to 30 years is going to be worth more money because of inflation and supply and demand
@@johnnyb33good21if you happen to live somewhere where populations are still rising for now and they’re not building enough, sure
Ken, you aren't black, what's with that outfit.
WOW !!!! You own 2 BLLION IN ASSETS ???? LOL !!!!! Are you sure ???? or does the bank really own the 2 BILLION IN ASSETS ???? LOL !!!!!