Correction: What's stated is the converse of the Condorcet Criterion. Oops - Stating conditionals can be tricky! For more details, see: www.reddit.com/r/math/comments/6hh9sb/voting_systems_and_the_condorcet_paradox_infinite/diyft53/
@ 6:44 - It is INCORRECT to claim in such an example: "We have all the possible information about each individual's preferences". No information was given about the strength or polarity of preferences. Three people who chose the exact same ranking might for example consist of one voter who was almost equally AGAINST ALL OPTIONS BUT ONE and not actually for any of the options at all, plus another voter who was almost equally IN FAVOR OF ALL OPTIONS, plus another voter who was STRONGLY AGAINST TWO OPTIONS, and WEAKLY AGAINST ANOTHER TWO OPTIONS, but STRONGLY IN FAVOR OF THE REMAINING OPTION. There are ways of collecting such additional information. For example, the voter could be allowed to vote using a point system where they could give as many points as they choose in opposition to or in support of any candidate, with their total absolute number of points given either way being considered 100% of their vote, and the points cast for or against each candidate (or color in this case) converted to a percentage of their total vote for the purposes of counting. This is one version of what's called a weighted net approval system, and counting the total votes in such a system is very straight-forward. For example, you could count the percentages in favor of each candidate for a total number of in-favor votes or "provotes" and then count the percentages in opposition to each candidate for a total number of in-opposition votes or "antivotes" and then simply subtract to the total antivotes from the total provotes for a total net vote count for each option on the ballot. The highest net vote count would be the winner. A tie would only happen if the group was actually tied in their references and the results would never include a cyclic ranking.
You bring up some good points. There are also practical considerations - for instance, the more complicated the ballot, the more likely the ballot will not reflect the voter's preference due to voter error. Plus, a voter's preferences fluctuate, particularly in relative strength of candidates, less so in absolute ranking. So we do have to accept some limitations on the amount of information we can really get out of voters. Let's give them the benefit of the doubt and say the simplifying assumption was actively made here to call this a good approximation of "all the possible information about each individual's preferences" - emphasis on "possible" - but for the sake of getting to the point, that was left to others, like yourself, to highlight :)
@@DonaldKronos Good point. A 5 star ballot for example would show all the same preference info, but also level of support. It allows a very nuanced level of information without being overwhelming or confusing. We had STAR Voting tested for representative accurate results and included variations of STAR with a 0-3 star ballot, 0-5 stars, and 0-10 stars. 0-5 was expressive enough to get best in class results, and got basically the same results as 0-10. Plus it's in the sweet spot for cognitive load.
At 6:31 you made a mistake. G: (18*4)= 72 B: (12*4)+(14*3)+(11*1)= 101 P: (10*4)+(11*3)+(34*1)= 107 R: (9*4)+(18*3)+(18*1)= 108 O: (6*4)+(12*3)+(37*1)= 97 Red still wins but not by that large of a margin.
Note that in real cases of a two-round run-off voters can usually change their vote in the second round. (Even if the candidate they placed first in round 1 went through to the second round, they can vote for his competitor.) For strategic voters, this can make a difference.
Yes, simplifying assumptions were used, I would argue the best voting system a) does not induce strategic voting b) no true minority (pP/p) within an area where this is true. I would love to add a third, but I fear a paradox c every true minority in an area gets some representation in that area From the popular systems of ccp greys series, it seems is IRV with with [100/(n +1) +1]% as the threshold is the only one that satisfies A and B, but it does not satisfy C and I fear no finite representative algorithm will. Having two separate elections bring in strategic voting. You only want you candidate to barely make 2nd (makes ng the other part assume a sure win, deincentivising voting. Then in the second election everyone comes in thinking every vote counts. I consider a the most important criterion It's already a mess trying to figure out where a representative stands on an issue. It's all tribalism and rhetoric, if you add in wondering how everyone else might vote. Well, this is why I don't vote on America. Too complicated, I admit I haven't spent the time needed to know if I'm helping a faud. Besides, Thier practically the same party. (Let's fight about unborn babies and if people can possess certain weapons, and how a few people get in; but we all agree the military is worth more than education, that inflation is necessary, that politically incorrect thoughts should be silenced, the territories can't succeed ........ WHEN WE DONT.)
Yay! I can finally comment on one of these videos with something topical! :D The Condorcet paradox also really highlights the importance of agenda setting in the study of social choice. Imagine having three people (A B C) with the following ranking on 3 choices (X Y Z) : A B C --------- X Z Y Y X Z Z Y X Now, as described in the video, look at what options are better than the others: X>Y Y>Z Z>X It's obvious that this order creates a cycle (as seen in the video). The group preferences are not transitive despite individuals having transitive preferences. But what's not as obvious is that you can make the outcome *whatever you want* based on how you pair the options in a single elimination set-up. Want X to win? Have Y go against Z then have X go against Y. Want Y to win? Have Z go against X and then have Y go against Z. Want Z to win? Have X go against Y then have Z go against X. In short, when you have cycling and institutional structures demand pairwise consideration, the order with which you address the options will determine the winner. The person who has the ability to determine the order has an immense amount of power, then. This is super important in studying legislators and other institutions as, often, they force issues to be considered one on one. So this creates a number of counter-intuitive strategies like the introduction of "killer amendments." Definitely looking forward to Arrow!
I was literally, LITERALLY thinking about this problem the moment that I turned on the video. I've been thinking about it for a while, particularly in relation to sorting algorithms.
Thank you Hoarder. The ballots at 1:30 are correct and the ballots at 1:20 were labeled incorrectly. At 1:20 the top ballot should read 1 Green, 2 Blue and 3 Purple and the bottom ballot should read 2 Green, 3 Blue and 1 Purple. We'll also add this note to the description.
Yey! I'm very excited for next video. Since CGP Grey started my interest in voting systems I've been wanting to know more about the properties of different voting systems. I hope that video will have a fun challange to work on
Yay! Voting systems! I wanted to know more about them since Grey's videos, (And I now I know more, because of my research, but now, this video and the next too). This was an introductory video, let's see if the next is more in depth!
I love voting systems! Great to see you do videos on this topic! I gotta say though, that plurality vote and 2-round runoff are just shortcuts, so it's not surprising that they can misrepresent the group preference.
6:47 - "We have all the possible information about each individual's preferences." No we don't!! "We know exactly which colors they like more than other colors." Yes, we know that, but we don't know *by how much* they prefer each color over others!! Suppose the ballot were on a rating-system basis - each person's vote for each candidate could be anything from, say, 0 to 100. Would that make the result, if not completely independent of the scoring method, at least somewhat less dependent on it?
That's called range voting (or score voting). The underlying assumption behind this method is that preference or utility is a cardinal measure and not ordinal like in the methods shown in the video, which is debatable. Another assumption is the interpersonal comparison of utility, which again is a big assumption.
What makes FPTP (or any other system, it's just broadly regarded as the worst) seem equivalent to the others by this metric is that there's no relation between the colors. Someone who votes blue can vote red just as well as they vote purple (if we assume purple is a mix of red and blue policies). When we draw the analogy to actual voting that's obviously not an accurate model anymore. The extreme left doesn't vote extreme right second choice as much as they vote moderate left and viceversa. So something like FPTP is arguably not inferior for populations with excessive ideological inconsistency. But I love the idea of scoring systems because it would allow for inter-policy expressions in voting. Which I feel the need for in my proportional government. But it's all moot in the places with the least representative systems already and the topic isn't even brought up elsewhere.
@@noneofyourbusiness6269 How does range voting compare utility interpersonally? It just compares the utility of a choice relative to that same person's other choices. Say a 100 rating for me is life or death, and a 100 for you is mild preference. That fact is irrelevant. All the system does is find out how much more I want one choice over another. It doesn't try to compare one voter's level of investment to another's. However, one of the obvious problems with this system is that it incentivizes lying about one's actual preferences. For example, if I really want to vote A: 100, B: 20, C: 0, but I'm afraid A can't win and I really don't want C to win, then the way I might end up voting is A: 100, B: 100, C: 0, or similar. So yeah it might help but it doesn't solve all the problems.
Didn't tipping point math make a video on this. Btw you are my favorite channel and you have inspired me to really get into math. You make math so simple that I can understand all of your videos and I am only 9 years old. Thank you.
Thank you for taking time to talk about this super important and widely unknown topic, but I really miss Approval voting in this list. It's way simpler than all the systems you presented, except maybe for majority and plurality, and it has very nice properties to provide contrast with the other systems. People are also used to it -- it's the "likes" system in Facebook or Twitter, or alternatively, voting by raising hands.
Or any other rating method. Condorcet published his results in 1785, and Arrow got the Nobel Prize in 1972. The video should mention something from this century.
I don't think I've been this excited about a video since your first higher dimensional sphere video. Voting systems is something I have a small passion for as well.
Schulze and ranked pairs are the two best voting methods that we know of right now. All others are mathematically more vulnerable to failures due to strategic voting.
I'm going to have to watch this video one more time, but I gotta say it's very relevant, as some countries are thinking of adopting a ranked ballot system.
Relevant to some, yes. However, a little bit of information can be dangerous. In the USA, it is not wise to put the following idea at the top of people's minds: "ranked choice voting systems have flaws". Of course they do, but they have fewer flaws compared to first past the post systems.
The kinds of examples used to illustrate differences in tallying ranked choice ballots happen very rarely. Yes, these issues should be discussed and balanced, but these factors not be cause for concern among most members of the public.
Does expanding from a single winner to a proportional system eliminate some of the issues with selecting a winner that satisfies the Condorcet criterion? Does it complicate the problem if you introduce a proportional system instead of a single winner? What did Condorcet have to say about proportional systems for deciding voting results?
PR was just starting to be invented at the end of Condorcet's life. "In February 1793, the Marquis de Condorcet led the drafting of the Girondist constitution which proposed a limited voting scheme with proportional aspects." He died in prison a year later.
The left side of equations at 6:34 is wrong; if it were right the red sum is 108 and the orange sum is 97. Looking back at the ballots shown earlier before all the scoring methods, I see Orange is 6*4 + 12*3 + 37*2 = 134. Red is 9*4 + 18*3 + 18*2 + 10*1 = 136, so while the totals came out right.
Why are cardinal voting systems NEVER mentioned in popular presentations of the issue? The idea that we should be ranking candidates is arguably THE issue with the voting systems we use so far. It's exactly why all of them show poor representation, polarization and oppressive use of political force: because they are all based on the idea of "the one candidate I want", not "which candidates I can support". Cardinal voting systems, where candidates are RATED, suffer none of these issues, and the criticisms are all based on silly epistemological arguments, superficial strategic voting concerns that are even worse in other systems, or completely superficial projections of what people will do under such a system which go against all current data on the matter. For example, score-runoff (a variant of plain score, where the most favored of the top two rated candidates wins) has shown to be the best among all of these proposed systems under election simulations, and under some pretty reasonable criteria of what these systems should do. It neatly addresses the three main criticisms against score voting: strategic voting, no majority rule and unknown candidate risks. The point is: we live in a society. Elections shouldn't be about "having it your way", but about "having a say". Any voting system based on an order of preferences will break that principle, because no matter how you set it up, at any step your full support will be completely concentrated on a single candidate. The rest of your opinion is never taken into account fully and simultaneously in conjunction with everyone else's full opinion. That is the major flaw here.
Score voting has strategic voting incentives that reduce it to simple approval voting. That said, there are good arguments to be made for approval voting (including, to jump the gun on the next video, that being a series of boolean choices, it circumvents Arrow's Impossibility Theorem).
I'm guessing the examples were picked so they can show off 4 different results that don't match the condorcet criteria. I'm pretty sure there's issues with cardinal voting too, though I can't remember ATM. I think it encourages strategic voting (which is a big problem for a lot of systems, but is worse in this case). I think you'd have a hard time getting people to correctly and fairly rate each of their preferences. I'm fairly certain most people I know would rank their first choice 10 and everyone else 0 (considering the lethargic attitude towards politics with the only real motivation for many people being fear of the "terrorists on the other side of the aisle". I guess it would at least stop the spoiler effect, which is great. But good luck convincing anyone to do it. I grew up in rural PA and I know many people that consider the electoral collage god's gift of wisdom passed on by the founders (as if they were profits of God), to protect America from the evil liberal city-dwelling terrorists. These people are also kings of double standard though, so if it ever manages to elect a democrat when a conservative won the popular vote you can be bet they'll be ready to change it. So basically that's what we'd have to wait for, and that would probably never happen the way politics are split atm.
You are talking about the majority judgment, right ? I totally agree with you, but i guess many peoples don't know about it. It seems to be quite recent.
josh white, it doesn't matter, there will be people doing that and there will be people scoring what they think is resonable, if we want a democratic election, why not make the election more democratic itself.
Josh White: How much of those fears you are talking about are a byproduct of the current voting system? You seem to be thinking just because politics is highly polarized (particularly in the US), that people are ideologically highly polarized in nature. Actually, your statement is even stronger than that: that ideological leaning is ALWAYS highly and irrationally polarized. Every single study about political ideology has shown there's a very huge ideological spread in populations. The choice system is what encourages the polarization, not the other way around. I mean, let's use the US as an example: what does gun rights, climate change, economic regulation, tax rates on the wealthy, and gay marriage have intrinsically in common with one another? Pretty much nothing. But strong polarizing instances in all those things are currently bundled together under the highly polarized Democrat/Republican divide. Does any of that make any sense to you? A proper voting system would allow room for these political positions to be decoupled, as they should be, which naturally changes the entire relationship people have with the voting process and politics. That's the importance of a truly representative voting system: it must be able to reflect this multi-dimensional nature of political ideology to the highest degree available, and how the general population deal with it. (Ranked systems are not really appropriate for this task, and it's not difficult to understand why when you consider what exactly the ballots represent in such systems.) Put a better representative voting system in place and in a decade or two you'll have highly polarizing candidates and platforms struggling with winning, as the system cannot favor that strategy anymore. This means candidates who better represent the interests of the population, in general, will be more likely to win, which is what we all implicitly seem to assume that representative governments are all about. Right now, we have systems that are basically forcing voters into saying "it's my turn to rule over everyone I disagree with", instead of "this is how much I care about these issues". Can you understand how problematic that is and how it has led to the issues we face today? The heart of this difference is at the ballot system, not even the voting system level. Also, this whole issue is WAY beyond electoral college and US politics. Don't mix the challenges faced by voting systems and representative governments with the distorted and highly irrational political and cultural landscape of the United States. Keep the eye on the ball.
6:48 - You do *not* have all possible information about each individual's preferences when you only use order of ranking. You are missing any absolute measure of a person's like/dislike of the candidate. If there is only one candidate I feel strongly in favor of and don't care about the rest, I cannot represent that here. Range/score voting is a much more straightforward way of avoiding these paradoxes.
That's what I was thinking. Perhaps use borda count only the numeric values aren't determined by rank order but by deliberate placement on a spectrum of support-oppose.
You would probably like range voting. In range voting, voters give a score to each candidate and the candidate with the highest average score wins. Unfortunately, range voting is likely vulnerable to tactical voting. It has not been tried on a large scale before so we can't know for sure how voters would behave but we do know that the incentives to underscore or overscore competitive candidates, lying about your true preferences, are high. A good solution to this is something called Range Runoff Voting, also known as STAR voting. In STAR, voters give a score to each candidate like in range. The two candidates with the highest average scores go onto another round. Out of those two, the candidate which has a higher score on more ballots wins. This disincentivizes tactical voting. This system has also not been tried on a large scale either so we don't know how it would perform. Also, although I can't speak to this, I remember reading somewhere that STAR and range voting are really good at better at producing condorcet winners than even condorcet systems themselves because of how condorcet systems effect voter behavior.
Peter de Blanc and Marcello Hershoff invented what they called Hay Voting, which has the unusual property that any voter's best strategy is always to vote sincerely. I had some small involvement with it after they invented it, theorizing about Multi-stage Hay Voting. Hay Voting gets around Arrow's Impossibility Theorem by using randomness to select a voter, basically voiding the "no randomness" and "no dictator" clauses. It also had the problem that there was a small but real chance that a candidate that nobody liked would be elected. I was able to eliminate the second problem and ameliorate the first with Multi-stage Hay Voting, but I was never entirely satisfied with it.
In Czechia we've got a project called Demokracie 21, which is based on the rule that every voter has 3 votes for and 1 against. Right now there's an ongoing online experiment simulating the election of the the next president using this system :) The adventage of this project is that you eliminate extreme choices that arise in Plurality and Two-Round Runoff (choices that divide the nation, like Trump vs Hillary) while not requiring a full list of candidates.
The solution is simple. Use any Condorcet method. If there is a cycle of top preferences, use sortition to choose between them, because any of them is as good as any of the others (according to the electorate's ranked preferences) so it doesn't matter.
It's worth noting that one can't simply take sincere preferences and generate Plurality ballots naively. Voter strategy results in differences between sincere preferences, discussed preferences, and how one actually votes in various systems (I prefer X, but I vote Y). Take a look at Duvuger's Law for an example of how Plurality distorts voter expression in successive elections.
Hi Fourzin, Space Time is taking the week off to prep for the big Quantum Field Theory series. Thanks for your patience. -Rusty Ward, Producer of Infinite Series and Space Time
Oh my god!!! you replied! this is literally the best notification I have received from TH-cam 😊... your show is awesome! both you and spacetime are my two favorite channels...Oh I see it is ok. I bet it is gonna be awesome...keep the epic work!!!
The infographic at 5:39 is a bit confusing. The whole time you've been adding up votes from eliminated candidates and all of a sudden, the winner gets all votes in the election (55) instead of supposed majority (21+16 = 37).
It's really interesting when simple problems don't have obvious answers. In my lab we use a number of decision making methods such as Analytical Hierarchy Process and Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution to make system design decisions in multi dimensional spaces (e.g., is it better to have a faster but more expensive airplane or a cheaper but slower airplane?) and things get even weirder. Imagine you're electing someone to be your cook and driver. How are you going to balance tasty food against road safety? Ho are you even ranking and measuring them in the first place? It gets very messy.
I'm surprised you did not mention my favorite, and one of the most mathematical, voting system - Primal Voting. Each voter casts a ballot selecting only their top choice. The votes are tallied and each candidates vote count is factored. The candidate whose vote count results in the largest number of prime factors is the winner. If there is a tie amongst two or more candidates, they fight to the death and the survivor is the winner.
@ 6:44 - It is INCORRECT to claim in such an example: "We have all the possible information about each individual's preferences". No information was given about the strength or polarity of preferences. Three people who chose the exact same ranking might for example consist of one voter who was almost equally AGAINST ALL OPTIONS BUT ONE and not actually for any of the options at all, plus another voter who was almost equally IN FAVOR OF ALL OPTIONS, plus another voter who was STRONGLY AGAINST TWO OPTIONS, and WEAKLY AGAINST ANOTHER TWO OPTIONS, but STRONGLY IN FAVOR OF THE REMAINING OPTION. There are ways of collecting such additional information. For example, the voter could be allowed to vote using a point system where they could give as many points as they choose in opposition to or in support of any candidate, with their total absolute number of points given either way being considered 100% of their vote, and the points cast for or against each candidate (or color in this case) converted to a percentage of their total vote for the purposes of counting. This is one version of what's called a weighted net approval system, and counting the total votes in such a system is very straight-forward. For example, you could count the percentages in favor of each candidate for a total number of in-favor votes or "provotes" and then count the percentages in opposition to each candidate for a total number of in-opposition votes or "antivotes" and then simply subtract to the total antivotes from the total provotes for a total net vote count for each option on the ballot. The highest net vote count would be the winner. A tie would only happen if the group was actually tied in their references and the results would never include a cyclic ranking.
In score voting, there is no limit on the total points you give. In Kronos' system, ballots would be reweighted so the total points is effectively always the same (100%).
If you feel that in order to best beat your least favorite candidate, you're best off to support your second favorite as strongly as possible, then it is to your advantage to vote that way. This will be the case when your favorite is perceived to be in 3rd place (or further back). I made a ONE MINUTE video (today) that shows 2 examples of flaws in the instant-runoff method. The video also has a list of objectives for a voting system. "Ranked Voting Explained in 1 minute (Ranked-Choice/ Preferential Voting)" th-cam.com/video/uVOBk8p9N08/w-d-xo.html
Just calculate the average Rank: Add up (Number of Votes)*Preference Rank for each Color and divide it by the Number of Ballots. For Example: Green: 18x1 + 12x5 + 10x5 + 9x5 + 4x5 + 2x5 =203 => Average Rank is: 203/55 = 3,69 Calculate the same for all other Colors and you get this (hopefully without calculation errors ;-): Green: 3,69 Blue : 3,16 Purple: 3,05 Red : 2,53 Orange: 2,02 So the Winner is: Orange just like the Condorcet Winner. QED
What does the digraph of 7:40 in the video look like? Where G, B, P, O & R are nodes, and winning defines the direction of an edge. Then perhaps cull the objectively useless nodes like green and possibly leave the associated edges to exist on the graph but float free at one end. How does this graph look with real voting data? Edit: My graph culling approach yields: 1st: Orange 2nd: Red 3rd: Purple 4th: Blue 5th: Green It's like nice simple Borda but with Orange that looks like it should win anyway in first place :) Also, it doesn't seem as if the graph needs the free floating edges.
I've been tossing around an idea for a similar voting system to the Borda count, except instead of assigning a point value directly relative to the ranking of the vote (c-n, where c is the number of candidates and n is the ranking given), you use an exponential system that avoids consecutive integers altogether but still remains close enough so that the numbers don't get way too big to conceptualize or explode off into runaways -- powers of 3: 3^(c-n); or even powers of thirds: (1/3)^(c-n) What I found after plugging in the same test ballots from the video above is that green wins that election but with an order unique to the other listed methods in the video: Green (1495, or ~18.46) Red (1407, or ~17.37) Blue (1401, or ~17.30) Purple (1209, or ~14.93) Orange (1143, or ~14.11) How does this method fair for the Condorcet Criterion?
The Condorcet criterion made me think: What if everyone stated Orange as their second option? Should Orange win then? Also, you could make an Inverse Instant Runoff system, where the person that is ranked least the most, gets eliminated first and so on. Thinking about it: The possibilities are endless. I always was a fan of the Instant Runoff vote and the Two-Round Runoff (which is essentially a slimmed down version of Instant Runoff, requiring less effort) but probably, there is no ultimate voting system.
1. Yes Orange should win then. 2. Inverse Instant Runoff is called Coombs method. 3. Correct that there is no ultimate voting system, but some are better than others. You can measure their goodness using Social Utility Efficiency, Condorcet Efficiency, etc.
So are you going to spit out the same solution CGP Grey said, or is some other system objectively mathematically superior. It's weird having to qualify the 'mathematically' qualifier with an 'objectively' qualifier
There's an error in the description! On the 5th paragraph, it says Previous Episode Pantographs and the It Kinda just cuts off and doesn't finish the title. It's okay, we all make mistakes at times, Still love the content! :)
UK Lib Dems have claimed fairly recently to be Orange at 7:40. Either way is this supported by the available data? Bearing in mind that UK voting is currently just a choice of 1 favourite.
How about adding NONE OF THE ABOVE to the ranking? If NOTA wins, then NONE of the candidates can be elected, and the process starts over with a new field of candidates. Note that in ranked choice, NOTA might not win on the first round, but could be the "winner" on second or third or lower rounds.
Please make a video about range and approval voting. There's a lot to say about voting system's mathematical properties (especially concerning how vulnerable each of them is to interference) and these systems are the best I've ever seen.
I think it's fairly favorable. For one, maximally strategic Approval is effectively a Condorcet method, and since Approval isn't limited just to preference order, but also incorporates strength of preference, with more honesty it elect a better-than-Condorcet winner, if they exist For a proof sketch of Strategic Approval being a Condorcet method, imagine a case where an election has a would-be Condorcet winner C, but the election is held with Approval and the winner is A instead Because C was the Condorcet winner, this means they were preferred to A by a majority, which means for A to win either, some of those who preferred C must have either approved of both A and C, or neither, which is not perfect strategy. If they had used perfect strategy, they would have approved of C but not A, and A could not have won
A group of 31 people are trying to figure out what ranked voting system they should use. Six different voting systems are suggested: Plurality, anti-plurality (whoever has the least number of last place votes wins), Top 2 Runoff, Instant Runoff, Borda Count, and Copeland (the winner is whoever has the most paired wins minus paired losses; this is perhaps the simplest Condorcet method out there). They decide to hold an election with ranked ballots, and here are the ballots cast: 4 ballots: Plurality > Borda > Anti-plurality > Top 2 Runoff > Instant Runoff > Copeland 3 ballots: Plurality > Borda > Anti-plurality > Top 2 Runoff > Copeland > Instant Runoff 1 ballot: Plurality > Borda > Copeland > Top 2 Runoff > Instant Runoff > Anti-plurality 5 ballots: Plurality > Copeland > Borda > Anti-plurality > Instant Runoff > Top 2 Runoff 2 ballots: Plurality > Top 2 Runoff > Anti-plurality > Copeland > Instant Runoff > Borda 6 ballots: Top 2 Runoff > Copeland > Instant Runoff > Borda > Anti-plurality > Plurality 4 ballots: Copeland > Instant Runoff > Borda > Anti-plurality > Top 2 Runoff > Plurality 3 ballots: Instant Runoff > Borda > Anti-plurality > Copeland > Top 2 Runoff > Plurality 2 ballots: Borda > Instant Runoff > Anti-plurality > Copeland > Top 2 Runoff > Plurality 1 ballot: Anti-plurality > Instant Runoff > Copeland > Borda > Top 2 Runoff > Plurality In order to get a fair result, the people decide to figure out the election winner using each of the 6 systems they voted on. But when they do this, they notice something interesting. Plurality wins under the plurality method. Anti-plurality wins under the anti-plurality method. Top 2 Runoff wins under the Top 2 Runoff method. In fact, every single voting system wins the election under itself! Frustrated, the 31 people decide to abandon ranked ballots altogether and switch to range voting. Then they live happily ever after. The End.
If people in a group created ballots containing the names of the others in their desired order in order to determine a leader we could use something like the page-rank algorithm. First we assign a score for each one, then redistribute the points in a way that votes from people with higher scores count more. Could this work/make sense?
I've always wanted CGP Grey to go more in depth into the mathematics of voting, so this is like a dream come true. My only complaint is the lack of jungle animals.
There is also problem with representation of the preferences. With rank preferences we assuming that difference between option are equal that not always is the case. E.g someone may prefer blue slightly more than green, but both prefer much more than red. In these case, I think, is better to store for each option rank value from 0 to 1 (or from -1 to 1 ) . In that case the easiest option would be to choose option with highest sum of ranks.
Exactly! While I don’t quite understand the second part of your comment, I completely agree that the speaker in this video is wrong when saying they have “all possible information”. I advocate for the fractional voting system, even though it is quite obscure. Essentially, the way it works is that each individual is given one vote, but they can split that vote between candidates in amounts they choose. For example, they can give sixty percent of their vote to one candidate, thirty percent to another, and ten percent to another. This system allows for people to quantitatively represent the amount they support each candidate, while ensuring that each vote still has equality, the lack of which is a major problem in the similar score voting system. In that system, if a candidate scores five out of ten points in total, the ballot of someone who tallied them a five will not change the final result at all, making it essentially worthless, whereas someone who gave that candidate a zero or a ten will have more influence on the outcome. Therefore, I advocate for a fractional voting system, which I think is the best.
6:45 "We have all the possible information about each individual's preferences" Not quite, you have their ordered preferences but you don't have their strength of preferences. Score Voting and to a lesser extent Approval Voting can take these into account. They also pass Arrow's Impossibility Theorem, as later admitted by Arrow himself. At that time he also said he thought Score with "three of four classes" was probably best. (electology.org podcast)
@Skyval Ream: No, they fail the spirit of Arrow's theorem, which is what really matters. The reason is that you can't expect every voter to be non-strategic when their best strategy is extremely obvious. For example, suppose Trump would narrowly win a 3-candidate Approval election, with Clinton a close second and Sanders third. Suppose some voters prefer 'Sanders over Clinton over Trump' and would vote "approval" of Sanders and "disapproval" of Trump and Clinton. But now suppose Sanders doesn't compete (because he doesn't want to be a spoiler). The obvious strategy when only two candidates (Clinton & Trump) compete is to approve the candidate you prefer more and disapprove the candidate you prefer less. Thus some strategically minded voters who prefer Sanders will approve Clinton and disapprove Trump when Sanders doesn't run. This lets Clinton win when Sanders doesn't run. This shows a failure of Arrow's consistency criterion: "If X finishes ahead of Y given some set of candidates that includes both, then Y must not finish ahead of X given another set of candidates that includes both." All voting methods that are even slightly democratic fail this criterion. With Range Voting (sometimes called Score voting) the obviously best strategy when only Clinton and Trump compete is to give one of them the maximum score and the other the minimum score, and it too fails the criterion. The reason Arrow's theorem has an ordinality criterion is because if the voting method uses info about voters' strengths of preferences to affect the outcome, it gives voters a strong incentive to exaggerate the strengths of their preferences, which can leads to eliciting less information rather than more information about voters' preferences. Also, many voters aren't strategically sophisticated and have a tendency to rate compromise choices worse than they really are, which would tend to defeat the best compromises and lead to (or maintain) polarization. Dropping the ordinality criterion is unwise.
Strategy in ranked systems tends to involve explicitly misordering candidates, while strategy in Score tends to involve compression. So in this sense highly strategic Score ballot is still more honest then most minimally strategic ranked ballot. I disagree that exaggeration of strengths of preferences leads to less information than ranked ballots. Even an Approval ballot expresses some information a ranked ballot cannot. Because a strategic ballot is a function both of strengths of preference and candidate chances, the reported strength of preference are distorted by the candidate's chances of victory, but some preference strength information remains even in Approval. Ranked ballots have none.
SteuTube222 I think that has its own theorem, no need to call it the "spirit" of Arrow's Theorem: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gibbard%E2%80%93Satterthwaite_theorem
But if you check Condenser criteria system results again, you'll find out that winner is Red (not orange). The confusion is that the colors of the numbers in this do not correspond to the color they represent 7:44 , and at first glance it seems that Orange has more winnings, but this is not the case (Because, overall OvR are 134v137)
Looks like they do mess up with the colorations there, but these are already the summed-up pairwise matches. There are still a total of only 55 votes. Red lost to Orange 27 to 28.
Is there any polling data around satisfaction post-vote using different systems? Like using Borda vs Instant Runoff, what outcome makes most people satisfied with the outcome?
I think there was some French study a while ago, though I don't think they surveyed many methods. There have also been a few attempts at simulations. IIRC they don't all completely agree with each other, though there are broad patterns --- FPTP and IRV don't do so great, Borda is comically vulnerable to strategy, and Condorcet and Rating-based methods (like STAR and Score, not mentioned in this video) do well. The simulations I used to be most familiar with are the "Voter Satisfaction Efficiency" simulations by Jameson Quinn.
The idea of a voter paradox is incoherent: it is an attempt to figure out how to "agree to disagree." If we reject this contradiction, and simply accept that people disagree, all voting systems are fair.
Britain uses a "First past the post" system, where the post is 60%. the problem with that is the latest election resulted in the #1 being less than 60% (For the second time recently) which results in a "Hung parliament". After this happened the first time, and we ended up with the ConDem party(2 separate parties formed a temporary alliance to bring the total votes up to the goal), we were supposed to shift to ranked voting (Like your Method 3 here), but that didn't happen. Now we're in the same Jam again.
With two colors (choices) its still wrong to pick based at plurality voting system. 3 brothers, the choices for pet is cat and spider. Kid 1 is anarchnophobic give an score of 1 to spider and 8 to cat. Kid 2 and 3 give 10 to spider and 9 to cat. Under plurality voting (also called first past the post) spider would win and thats a bad thing. Under approval system (people give yes to candidates they like) and assuming kid 2/3 give yes to cat too, cat wins, under scoring voting spider get 7 and cat 8.66666... and cat wins. At 6:50 the video said "you have all the information about each individual preferences", at this specific example of the video you don't, it would require each score between 1 to 10 or 1 to 100, each person gave to each candidate, to have the full information. As said before, even between just two candidates plurality system (called also first past the post is bad), so this means wining all 2 candidate battles using plurality system may not exactly a desirable thing. And if plurality was desirable they would be using it and not the system they are using now. Maybe someone could invent some name for something like Condorcet winner but where the guy win each pairwise battle, using the voting system you are testing, instead of plurality.
I'm still confused. Is it like a first come first serve where if the higher vote is first than you just compare it to the next? My explanation doesn't make sense either
When I was explaining the instant runoff to someone, i thought of borda count system all by myself when he said that the most acceptable candidate should win what if the person eliminated has all 2nd preference votes. And now app
One of the flaws of your analysis is assuming Avery voter votes for every candidate. In many ranked voting systems, you vote for a limited number of candidates, rather than rank every candidate. For instance, you rank your top 3 candidates, even if there are 6 candidates. This alters the evaluation for each type, and makes it much harder to manipulate a vote using strategic voting.
This is why it is so annoying that instant runoff voting advocates call their system "rank choice voting." There are many ranking systems and IRV is the worst. Also, approval voting deserves a mention.
@@oppenheimerfaaaaaan5547 Plurality voting is the worst voting system. Plurality voting is not the worst rank choice voting system because plurality voting is not a ranking choice voting system. You don't rank candidates under plurality voting.
LOL - I worked out somewhere that if you also include voter intention (e.g. suicide vote) that with just 2 candidates you have something like over 20 combinations of meanings for all the possible outcomes.
Not only does each system have bias, but each system can be gamed with strategic voting. Therefore you will never have a "fair" system because you can never force someone to vote "honest". Probably the "fairest" system is one in which the majority of voters end up with a candidate who is at least marginally acceptable to them. Allow voters to vote either 1 or 0 on each candidate on the ballot, based upon if they feel a candidate is acceptable or not. Whoever gets the most "1"s wins.The upsides are that your "vote" is never wasted (since you have more than one vote to give), and it tends to favor moderate candidates who appeal to a broad spectrum of the electorate. It also greatly limits the ability to game the system by voting insincerely, since it is hard to find a scenario where voting against your true preference who help you.
>-- Non sequitur. It's not necessary to have honesty to have fairness. All you need is that the voters have equal power over the outcome. This is the case in systems where for each possible vote, there is another vote that will exactly balance the first vote.
Your definition of "fair" is not shared by others in this field -- that may be what is confusing you. It is well established via Arrow's Paradox that in elections with 3 or more candidates, there are no "fair" systems due to quirks of each system and the ability to engage in strategic voting. You can watch the next episode of the current series or visit the following website to learn more: skeptoid.com/episodes/4281 Basically fair (as defined by everyone but you) is defined as: 1. If every individual prefers X to Y, then the group prefers X to Y. 2. If every voter's preference of X over Y stays the same, then the group's preference of X to Y stays the same, even if other preferences change: such as Y to Z, or Z to X. 3. There can be no dictator, as Arrow called him; a single voter with the power to dictate the group's preference. Hope this helps. Agreement of terms is a must before engaging in discussion, so that everyone is on the same page.
The fundamental problem is that the information you're collecting is rankings. Rankings destroy information about *degree* of preference, and aren't comparable between voters (if I hate B slightly more than A, and you love A and hate B, our preferences will both be A>B, but they don't mean the same thing). We should be focusing on voting systems that choose the Utilitarian Winner, not the Condorcet Winner (though they will often be the same). The UW is the candidate with the highest overall approval rating, or whose platform is closest to the average voter's desired platform (in multi-dimensional opinion space).
CGPGrey just got excited.
+Austin Chesnut I was just about to mention him in the comments, but you beat me to it :)
(Edit): I just noticed that he was referenced at the end
i don't know... may not be enough jungle animals to hold his interest
I wonder if het would take the time to make more videos in his election series, it has been some time...
Maurice Downes Maybe we could coax him out with a few asterisks ✳ ✳ ✳
You mean because of the hover ad? :P
Correction: What's stated is the converse of the Condorcet Criterion. Oops - Stating conditionals can be tricky! For more details, see: www.reddit.com/r/math/comments/6hh9sb/voting_systems_and_the_condorcet_paradox_infinite/diyft53/
@ 6:44 - It is INCORRECT to claim in such an example: "We have all the possible information about each individual's preferences". No information was given about the strength or polarity of preferences. Three people who chose the exact same ranking might for example consist of one voter who was almost equally AGAINST ALL OPTIONS BUT ONE and not actually for any of the options at all, plus another voter who was almost equally IN FAVOR OF ALL OPTIONS, plus another voter who was STRONGLY AGAINST TWO OPTIONS, and WEAKLY AGAINST ANOTHER TWO OPTIONS, but STRONGLY IN FAVOR OF THE REMAINING OPTION. There are ways of collecting such additional information. For example, the voter could be allowed to vote using a point system where they could give as many points as they choose in opposition to or in support of any candidate, with their total absolute number of points given either way being considered 100% of their vote, and the points cast for or against each candidate (or color in this case) converted to a percentage of their total vote for the purposes of counting. This is one version of what's called a weighted net approval system, and counting the total votes in such a system is very straight-forward. For example, you could count the percentages in favor of each candidate for a total number of in-favor votes or "provotes" and then count the percentages in opposition to each candidate for a total number of in-opposition votes or "antivotes" and then simply subtract to the total antivotes from the total provotes for a total net vote count for each option on the ballot. The highest net vote count would be the winner. A tie would only happen if the group was actually tied in their references and the results would never include a cyclic ranking.
You bring up some good points. There are also practical considerations - for instance, the more complicated the ballot, the more likely the ballot will not reflect the voter's preference due to voter error. Plus, a voter's preferences fluctuate, particularly in relative strength of candidates, less so in absolute ranking. So we do have to accept some limitations on the amount of information we can really get out of voters. Let's give them the benefit of the doubt and say the simplifying assumption was actively made here to call this a good approximation of "all the possible information about each individual's preferences" - emphasis on "possible" - but for the sake of getting to the point, that was left to others, like yourself, to highlight :)
You should pin this comment at the top so everyone has a better chance of seeing the correction.
@@DonaldKronos Good point. A 5 star ballot for example would show all the same preference info, but also level of support. It allows a very nuanced level of information without being overwhelming or confusing.
We had STAR Voting tested for representative accurate results and included variations of STAR with a 0-3 star ballot, 0-5 stars, and 0-10 stars. 0-5 was expressive enough to get best in class results, and got basically the same results as 0-10. Plus it's in the sweet spot for cognitive load.
At 6:31 you made a mistake.
G: (18*4)= 72
B: (12*4)+(14*3)+(11*1)= 101
P: (10*4)+(11*3)+(34*1)= 107
R: (9*4)+(18*3)+(18*1)= 108
O: (6*4)+(12*3)+(37*1)= 97
Red still wins but not by that large of a margin.
Note that in real cases of a two-round run-off voters can usually change their vote in the second round. (Even if the candidate they placed first in round 1 went through to the second round, they can vote for his competitor.) For strategic voters, this can make a difference.
Maybe this is why two-round runoffs are more often multiparty while IRV still enforces two-party domination?
Yes, simplifying assumptions were used, I would argue the best voting system
a) does not induce strategic voting
b) no true minority (pP/p) within an area where this is true.
I would love to add a third, but I fear a paradox
c every true minority in an area gets some representation in that area
From the popular systems of ccp greys series, it seems is IRV with with [100/(n +1) +1]% as the threshold is the only one that satisfies A and B, but it does not satisfy C and I fear no finite representative algorithm will.
Having two separate elections bring in strategic voting. You only want you candidate to barely make 2nd (makes ng the other part assume a sure win, deincentivising voting. Then in the second election everyone comes in thinking every vote counts.
I consider a the most important criterion
It's already a mess trying to figure out where a representative stands on an issue. It's all tribalism and rhetoric, if you add in wondering how everyone else might vote. Well, this is why I don't vote on America. Too complicated, I admit I haven't spent the time needed to know if I'm helping a faud. Besides, Thier practically the same party. (Let's fight about unborn babies and if people can possess certain weapons, and how a few people get in; but we all agree the military is worth more than education, that inflation is necessary, that politically incorrect thoughts should be silenced, the territories can't succeed ........ WHEN WE DONT.)
Yay! I can finally comment on one of these videos with something topical! :D
The Condorcet paradox also really highlights the importance of agenda setting in the study of social choice.
Imagine having three people (A B C) with the following ranking on 3 choices (X Y Z) :
A B C
---------
X Z Y
Y X Z
Z Y X
Now, as described in the video, look at what options are better than the others:
X>Y
Y>Z
Z>X
It's obvious that this order creates a cycle (as seen in the video). The group preferences are not transitive despite individuals having transitive preferences. But what's not as obvious is that you can make the outcome *whatever you want* based on how you pair the options in a single elimination set-up.
Want X to win? Have Y go against Z then have X go against Y.
Want Y to win? Have Z go against X and then have Y go against Z.
Want Z to win? Have X go against Y then have Z go against X.
In short, when you have cycling and institutional structures demand pairwise consideration, the order with which you address the options will determine the winner. The person who has the ability to determine the order has an immense amount of power, then. This is super important in studying legislators and other institutions as, often, they force issues to be considered one on one. So this creates a number of counter-intuitive strategies like the introduction of "killer amendments."
Definitely looking forward to Arrow!
Condorcet "paradoxes" aren't a big deal, though. They're just a tie. All kinds of elections can have ties, it doesn't mean much.
I was literally, LITERALLY thinking about this problem the moment that I turned on the video. I've been thinking about it for a while, particularly in relation to sorting algorithms.
In relation to sorting algorithms? Care to explain?
The votes changed after the 1:20 mark. At the 1:30 mark it's differentent.
Thank you Hoarder. The ballots at 1:30 are correct and the ballots at 1:20 were labeled incorrectly. At 1:20 the top ballot should read 1 Green, 2 Blue and 3 Purple and the bottom ballot should read 2 Green, 3 Blue and 1 Purple. We'll also add this note to the description.
Awesome. Love the videos on this channel!
The Russians!
It's not only the bottom one that changes, so does the top one , it goes from 1 3 2 to 1 2 3
Thanks Fauxma, I've amended the explanation.
Yey! I'm very excited for next video. Since CGP Grey started my interest in voting systems I've been wanting to know more about the properties of different voting systems.
I hope that video will have a fun challange to work on
+
7:52 Orange was the condorcet winner but didn't win the popular vote
maybe the russians helped orange!
That's fake news!
@Jannes Fransen the Russians all voted for red.
Yeap ... it claims you won a game that wasn't being played, next time, read the rules and win the game being played. But joke was good nonethless
The popular vote is only as good as the voting method being used.
Yay! Voting systems! I wanted to know more about them since Grey's videos, (And I now I know more, because of my research, but now, this video and the next too). This was an introductory video, let's see if the next is more in depth!
I love you guys! The mathematics of voting systems are what got me into politics
I love voting systems! Great to see you do videos on this topic!
I gotta say though, that plurality vote and 2-round runoff are just shortcuts, so it's not surprising that they can misrepresent the group preference.
6:47 - "We have all the possible information about each individual's preferences."
No we don't!!
"We know exactly which colors they like more than other colors."
Yes, we know that, but we don't know *by how much* they prefer each color over others!!
Suppose the ballot were on a rating-system basis - each person's vote for each candidate could be anything from, say, 0 to 100.
Would that make the result, if not completely independent of the scoring method, at least somewhat less dependent on it?
That's called range voting (or score voting). The underlying assumption behind this method is that preference or utility is a cardinal measure and not ordinal like in the methods shown in the video, which is debatable. Another assumption is the interpersonal comparison of utility, which again is a big assumption.
What makes FPTP (or any other system, it's just broadly regarded as the worst) seem equivalent to the others by this metric is that there's no relation between the colors. Someone who votes blue can vote red just as well as they vote purple (if we assume purple is a mix of red and blue policies). When we draw the analogy to actual voting that's obviously not an accurate model anymore. The extreme left doesn't vote extreme right second choice as much as they vote moderate left and viceversa. So something like FPTP is arguably not inferior for populations with excessive ideological inconsistency.
But I love the idea of scoring systems because it would allow for inter-policy expressions in voting. Which I feel the need for in my proportional government. But it's all moot in the places with the least representative systems already and the topic isn't even brought up elsewhere.
@@noneofyourbusiness6269 How does range voting compare utility interpersonally? It just compares the utility of a choice relative to that same person's other choices.
Say a 100 rating for me is life or death, and a 100 for you is mild preference. That fact is irrelevant. All the system does is find out how much more I want one choice over another. It doesn't try to compare one voter's level of investment to another's.
However, one of the obvious problems with this system is that it incentivizes lying about one's actual preferences. For example, if I really want to vote A: 100, B: 20, C: 0, but I'm afraid A can't win and I really don't want C to win, then the way I might end up voting is A: 100, B: 100, C: 0, or similar.
So yeah it might help but it doesn't solve all the problems.
As Devin said, it incentivizes lying super clearly
@@DevinDTV but with the ordinal system you don’t need to lie right? So it feels like the superior of all.
STAR Voting Rocks!
Didn't tipping point math make a video on this. Btw you are my favorite channel and you have inspired me to really get into math. You make math so simple that I can understand all of your videos and I am only 9 years old. Thank you.
What about the Schulze method? I've been trying to find an explanation on that but I'm pretty sure it also ensures a Condorcet winner.
It does, it's a Condorcet method.
Thank you for taking time to talk about this super important and widely unknown topic, but I really miss Approval voting in this list. It's way simpler than all the systems you presented, except maybe for majority and plurality, and it has very nice properties to provide contrast with the other systems. People are also used to it -- it's the "likes" system in Facebook or Twitter, or alternatively, voting by raising hands.
Or any other rating method. Condorcet published his results in 1785, and Arrow got the Nobel Prize in 1972. The video should mention something from this century.
Approval probably wasn't included because it is arbitrary and different voters will have different ideas on what approve means.
I don't think I've been this excited about a video since your first higher dimensional sphere video. Voting systems is something I have a small passion for as well.
Please make more videos on this, I can't get enough of it.
This is one of my favorite topics. It is fascinating!
Was going to mention CGP Grey after seeing the title, then you linked to his series! Love his channel and podcast as well as this channel.
I don't know what the best method is but the worst is clearly plurality. Of course that's the one we use here in the UK for elections.
Cant't wait for Arrow's Theorem. I once gave a speech to fellow students about it, and I myself was amazed!
you just shattered my world
Schulze and ranked pairs are the two best voting methods that we know of right now. All others are mathematically more vulnerable to failures due to strategic voting.
People Ready to Post Results: So, who won
First Past Post: Red
Double Round: Blue
Run-off: Purple
Borda: Red
Condorcet: Orange
I'm going to have to watch this video one more time, but I gotta say it's very relevant, as some countries are thinking of adopting a ranked ballot system.
Relevant to some, yes. However, a little bit of information can be dangerous. In the USA, it is not wise to put the following idea at the top of people's minds: "ranked choice voting systems have flaws". Of course they do, but they have fewer flaws compared to first past the post systems.
The kinds of examples used to illustrate differences in tallying ranked choice ballots happen very rarely. Yes, these issues should be discussed and balanced, but these factors not be cause for concern among most members of the public.
You guys should totally do a show about the mathematics of gerrymandering and the recent court decisions in North Carolina, Wisconsin, and elsewhere.
so excited you are doing one on social choice theory!!
The Condorcet Paradox reminds me of Rock Paper Scissors. Every choice is better than one choice but worse than another choice.
That's the analogy that is used, for sure. I'm surprised she didn't say that here.
YES! VOTING! IM ODDLY EXCITED ABOUT THIS!
Does expanding from a single winner to a proportional system eliminate some of the issues with selecting a winner that satisfies the Condorcet criterion? Does it complicate the problem if you introduce a proportional system instead of a single winner? What did Condorcet have to say about proportional systems for deciding voting results?
PR was just starting to be invented at the end of Condorcet's life. "In February 1793, the Marquis de Condorcet led the drafting of the Girondist constitution which proposed a limited voting scheme with proportional aspects." He died in prison a year later.
1:52 it's already better than 2-3 other videos i watched on voting systems.
showed the cyclicity, showed the proper term of art.
The left side of equations at 6:34 is wrong; if it were right the red sum is 108 and the orange sum is 97. Looking back at the ballots shown earlier before all the scoring methods, I see Orange is 6*4 + 12*3 + 37*2 = 134. Red is 9*4 + 18*3 + 18*2 + 10*1 = 136, so while the totals came out right.
Why are cardinal voting systems NEVER mentioned in popular presentations of the issue? The idea that we should be ranking candidates is arguably THE issue with the voting systems we use so far. It's exactly why all of them show poor representation, polarization and oppressive use of political force: because they are all based on the idea of "the one candidate I want", not "which candidates I can support".
Cardinal voting systems, where candidates are RATED, suffer none of these issues, and the criticisms are all based on silly epistemological arguments, superficial strategic voting concerns that are even worse in other systems, or completely superficial projections of what people will do under such a system which go against all current data on the matter.
For example, score-runoff (a variant of plain score, where the most favored of the top two rated candidates wins) has shown to be the best among all of these proposed systems under election simulations, and under some pretty reasonable criteria of what these systems should do. It neatly addresses the three main criticisms against score voting: strategic voting, no majority rule and unknown candidate risks.
The point is: we live in a society. Elections shouldn't be about "having it your way", but about "having a say".
Any voting system based on an order of preferences will break that principle, because no matter how you set it up, at any step your full support will be completely concentrated on a single candidate. The rest of your opinion is never taken into account fully and simultaneously in conjunction with everyone else's full opinion. That is the major flaw here.
Score voting has strategic voting incentives that reduce it to simple approval voting. That said, there are good arguments to be made for approval voting (including, to jump the gun on the next video, that being a series of boolean choices, it circumvents Arrow's Impossibility Theorem).
I'm guessing the examples were picked so they can show off 4 different results that don't match the condorcet criteria. I'm pretty sure there's issues with cardinal voting too, though I can't remember ATM. I think it encourages strategic voting (which is a big problem for a lot of systems, but is worse in this case).
I think you'd have a hard time getting people to correctly and fairly rate each of their preferences. I'm fairly certain most people I know would rank their first choice 10 and everyone else 0 (considering the lethargic attitude towards politics with the only real motivation for many people being fear of the "terrorists on the other side of the aisle". I guess it would at least stop the spoiler effect, which is great. But good luck convincing anyone to do it. I grew up in rural PA and I know many people that consider the electoral collage god's gift of wisdom passed on by the founders (as if they were profits of God), to protect America from the evil liberal city-dwelling terrorists. These people are also kings of double standard though, so if it ever manages to elect a democrat when a conservative won the popular vote you can be bet they'll be ready to change it. So basically that's what we'd have to wait for, and that would probably never happen the way politics are split atm.
You are talking about the majority judgment, right ? I totally agree with you, but i guess many peoples don't know about it. It seems to be quite recent.
josh white, it doesn't matter, there will be people doing that and there will be people scoring what they think is resonable, if we want a democratic election, why not make the election more democratic itself.
Josh White: How much of those fears you are talking about are a byproduct of the current voting system? You seem to be thinking just because politics is highly polarized (particularly in the US), that people are ideologically highly polarized in nature. Actually, your statement is even stronger than that: that ideological leaning is ALWAYS highly and irrationally polarized.
Every single study about political ideology has shown there's a very huge ideological spread in populations. The choice system is what encourages the polarization, not the other way around. I mean, let's use the US as an example: what does gun rights, climate change, economic regulation, tax rates on the wealthy, and gay marriage have intrinsically in common with one another? Pretty much nothing. But strong polarizing instances in all those things are currently bundled together under the highly polarized Democrat/Republican divide. Does any of that make any sense to you?
A proper voting system would allow room for these political positions to be decoupled, as they should be, which naturally changes the entire relationship people have with the voting process and politics. That's the importance of a truly representative voting system: it must be able to reflect this multi-dimensional nature of political ideology to the highest degree available, and how the general population deal with it. (Ranked systems are not really appropriate for this task, and it's not difficult to understand why when you consider what exactly the ballots represent in such systems.)
Put a better representative voting system in place and in a decade or two you'll have highly polarizing candidates and platforms struggling with winning, as the system cannot favor that strategy anymore. This means candidates who better represent the interests of the population, in general, will be more likely to win, which is what we all implicitly seem to assume that representative governments are all about.
Right now, we have systems that are basically forcing voters into saying "it's my turn to rule over everyone I disagree with", instead of "this is how much I care about these issues". Can you understand how problematic that is and how it has led to the issues we face today? The heart of this difference is at the ballot system, not even the voting system level.
Also, this whole issue is WAY beyond electoral college and US politics. Don't mix the challenges faced by voting systems and representative governments with the distorted and highly irrational political and cultural landscape of the United States. Keep the eye on the ball.
6:48 - You do *not* have all possible information about each individual's preferences when you only use order of ranking. You are missing any absolute measure of a person's like/dislike of the candidate. If there is only one candidate I feel strongly in favor of and don't care about the rest, I cannot represent that here. Range/score voting is a much more straightforward way of avoiding these paradoxes.
@Tab hear*
That's what I was thinking. Perhaps use borda count only the numeric values aren't determined by rank order but by deliberate placement on a spectrum of support-oppose.
You would probably like range voting. In range voting, voters give a score to each candidate and the candidate with the highest average score wins.
Unfortunately, range voting is likely vulnerable to tactical voting. It has not been tried on a large scale before so we can't know for sure how voters would behave but we do know that the incentives to underscore or overscore competitive candidates, lying about your true preferences, are high.
A good solution to this is something called Range Runoff Voting, also known as STAR voting. In STAR, voters give a score to each candidate like in range. The two candidates with the highest average scores go onto another round. Out of those two, the candidate which has a higher score on more ballots wins. This disincentivizes tactical voting. This system has also not been tried on a large scale either so we don't know how it would perform.
Also, although I can't speak to this, I remember reading somewhere that STAR and range voting are really good at better at producing condorcet winners than even condorcet systems themselves because of how condorcet systems effect voter behavior.
@@ben8557 Indeed I would. Which is why I mentioned it in my last sentence ;) Will have a look at STAR
@@cogwheel42 I didn't notice you mentioned it. I was a bit tired while replying, lol
What about cardinal voting systems? Does the Condorcet paradox or the Arrow's impossibility theorem apply too?
Nope. Arrow himself admitted it.
Peter de Blanc and Marcello Hershoff invented what they called Hay Voting, which has the unusual property that any voter's best strategy is always to vote sincerely. I had some small involvement with it after they invented it, theorizing about Multi-stage Hay Voting.
Hay Voting gets around Arrow's Impossibility Theorem by using randomness to select a voter, basically voiding the "no randomness" and "no dictator" clauses. It also had the problem that there was a small but real chance that a candidate that nobody liked would be elected.
I was able to eliminate the second problem and ameliorate the first with Multi-stage Hay Voting, but I was never entirely satisfied with it.
In Czechia we've got a project called Demokracie 21, which is based on the rule that every voter has 3 votes for and 1 against. Right now there's an ongoing online experiment simulating the election of the the next president using this system :)
The adventage of this project is that you eliminate extreme choices that arise in Plurality and Two-Round Runoff (choices that divide the nation, like Trump vs Hillary) while not requiring a full list of candidates.
The solution is simple. Use any Condorcet method. If there is a cycle of top preferences, use sortition to choose between them, because any of them is as good as any of the others (according to the electorate's ranked preferences) so it doesn't matter.
I like Condorcet methods, but I think there are still problems with tactical voting.
It would be great if you could do an episode addressing the mathematics of selecting voting districts and gerrymandering.
8:06 Did anyone else notice "Borda count" turn from red to orange?
I did not notice... impressive detective work my friend.
Methods:
3:00 Plurality
3:48 Two-Round Runoff
4:44 Instant Runoff Voting
5:40 Borda Count
It's worth noting that one can't simply take sincere preferences and generate Plurality ballots naively. Voter strategy results in differences between sincere preferences, discussed preferences, and how one actually votes in various systems (I prefer X, but I vote Y). Take a look at Duvuger's Law for an example of how Plurality distorts voter expression in successive elections.
PBS Space time has not uploaded their video yet :(
Hi Fourzin, Space Time is taking the week off to prep for the big Quantum Field Theory series. Thanks for your patience. -Rusty Ward, Producer of Infinite Series and Space Time
Oh my god!!! you replied! this is literally the best notification I have received from TH-cam 😊... your show is awesome! both you and spacetime are my two favorite channels...Oh I see it is ok. I bet it is gonna be awesome...keep the epic work!!!
PBS Infinite Series i was just thinking of QFT done by spacetime,ty.
But they certainly would, very soon if not at the time of this reply.
Quantum Field Theory explained by Space Time, OMG, hype just went through the roof
at 6:30 things don't add up for red and orange, should be 108 and 97 respectively
The infographic at 5:39 is a bit confusing. The whole time you've been adding up votes from eliminated candidates and all of a sudden, the winner gets all votes in the election (55) instead of supposed majority (21+16 = 37).
This video was incredibly illuminating. I had no idea!
It's really interesting when simple problems don't have obvious answers.
In my lab we use a number of decision making methods such as Analytical Hierarchy Process and Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution to make system design decisions in multi dimensional spaces (e.g., is it better to have a faster but more expensive airplane or a cheaper but slower airplane?) and things get even weirder. Imagine you're electing someone to be your cook and driver. How are you going to balance tasty food against road safety? Ho are you even ranking and measuring them in the first place? It gets very messy.
I'm surprised you did not mention my favorite, and one of the most mathematical, voting system - Primal Voting. Each voter casts a ballot selecting only their top choice. The votes are tallied and each candidates vote count is factored. The candidate whose vote count results in the largest number of prime factors is the winner. If there is a tie amongst two or more candidates, they fight to the death and the survivor is the winner.
@ 6:44 - It is INCORRECT to claim in such an example: "We have all the possible information about each individual's preferences". No information was given about the strength or polarity of preferences. Three people who chose the exact same ranking might for example consist of one voter who was almost equally AGAINST ALL OPTIONS BUT ONE and not actually for any of the options at all, plus another voter who was almost equally IN FAVOR OF ALL OPTIONS, plus another voter who was STRONGLY AGAINST TWO OPTIONS, and WEAKLY AGAINST ANOTHER TWO OPTIONS, but STRONGLY IN FAVOR OF THE REMAINING OPTION. There are ways of collecting such additional information. For example, the voter could be allowed to vote using a point system where they could give as many points as they choose in opposition to or in support of any candidate, with their total absolute number of points given either way being considered 100% of their vote, and the points cast for or against each candidate (or color in this case) converted to a percentage of their total vote for the purposes of counting. This is one version of what's called a weighted net approval system, and counting the total votes in such a system is very straight-forward. For example, you could count the percentages in favor of each candidate for a total number of in-favor votes or "provotes" and then count the percentages in opposition to each candidate for a total number of in-opposition votes or "antivotes" and then simply subtract to the total antivotes from the total provotes for a total net vote count for each option on the ballot. The highest net vote count would be the winner. A tie would only happen if the group was actually tied in their references and the results would never include a cyclic ranking.
What about Score Voting?
I think that's what Kronos described.
In score voting, there is no limit on the total points you give. In Kronos' system, ballots would be reweighted so the total points is effectively always the same (100%).
If you feel that in order to best beat your least favorite candidate, you're best off to support your second favorite as strongly as possible, then it is to your advantage to vote that way. This will be the case when your favorite is perceived to be in 3rd place (or further back).
I made a ONE MINUTE video (today) that shows 2 examples of flaws in the instant-runoff method.
The video also has a list of objectives for a voting system.
"Ranked Voting Explained in 1 minute (Ranked-Choice/ Preferential Voting)"
th-cam.com/video/uVOBk8p9N08/w-d-xo.html
Just calculate the average Rank:
Add up (Number of Votes)*Preference Rank for each Color and divide it by the Number of Ballots. For Example:
Green:
18x1 + 12x5 + 10x5 + 9x5 + 4x5 + 2x5 =203 => Average Rank is: 203/55 = 3,69
Calculate the same for all other Colors and you get this (hopefully without calculation errors ;-):
Green: 3,69
Blue : 3,16
Purple: 3,05
Red : 2,53
Orange: 2,02
So the Winner is: Orange just like the Condorcet Winner. QED
What does the digraph of 7:40 in the video look like? Where G, B, P, O & R are nodes, and winning defines the direction of an edge.
Then perhaps cull the objectively useless nodes like green and possibly leave the associated edges to exist on the graph but float free at one end.
How does this graph look with real voting data?
Edit:
My graph culling approach yields:
1st: Orange
2nd: Red
3rd: Purple
4th: Blue
5th: Green
It's like nice simple Borda but with Orange that looks like it should win anyway in first place :)
Also, it doesn't seem as if the graph needs the free floating edges.
Anyone else notice "Condercet" at 8:03
How many people are revisiting this video after the new Veritasium dropped?
I've been tossing around an idea for a similar voting system to the Borda count, except instead of assigning a point value directly relative to the ranking of the vote (c-n, where c is the number of candidates and n is the ranking given), you use an exponential system that avoids consecutive integers altogether but still remains close enough so that the numbers don't get way too big to conceptualize or explode off into runaways -- powers of 3: 3^(c-n); or even powers of thirds: (1/3)^(c-n)
What I found after plugging in the same test ballots from the video above is that green wins that election but with an order unique to the other listed methods in the video:
Green (1495, or ~18.46)
Red (1407, or ~17.37)
Blue (1401, or ~17.30)
Purple (1209, or ~14.93)
Orange (1143, or ~14.11)
How does this method fair for the Condorcet Criterion?
Similar to Dowdall system ?
So we are having several Infinite Series videos on this subject next. If it gets somewhere, can we say that we have a convergent subserie?
What is the Schulze voting system?
Cpg grey mentioned it in his voting videos but I never really figured out what it meant with my own research.
It's a Condorcet method.
The Condorcet criterion made me think: What if everyone stated Orange as their second option? Should Orange win then?
Also, you could make an Inverse Instant Runoff system, where the person that is ranked least the most, gets eliminated first and so on. Thinking about it: The possibilities are endless. I always was a fan of the Instant Runoff vote and the Two-Round Runoff (which is essentially a slimmed down version of Instant Runoff, requiring less effort) but probably, there is no ultimate voting system.
1. Yes Orange should win then. 2. Inverse Instant Runoff is called Coombs method. 3. Correct that there is no ultimate voting system, but some are better than others. You can measure their goodness using Social Utility Efficiency, Condorcet Efficiency, etc.
So are you going to spit out the same solution CGP Grey said, or is some other system objectively mathematically superior.
It's weird having to qualify the 'mathematically' qualifier with an 'objectively' qualifier
I really miss this series.
Error at 5:40 where Purple's total is listed as 55 instead of 37
There's an error in the description! On the 5th paragraph, it says
Previous Episode
Pantographs and the
It Kinda just cuts off and doesn't finish the title.
It's okay, we all make mistakes at times, Still love the content! :)
UK Lib Dems have claimed fairly recently to be Orange at 7:40. Either way is this supported by the available data? Bearing in mind that UK voting is currently just a choice of 1 favourite.
How about adding NONE OF THE ABOVE to the ranking? If NOTA wins, then NONE of the candidates can be elected, and the process starts over with a new field of candidates. Note that in ranked choice, NOTA might not win on the first round, but could be the "winner" on second or third or lower rounds.
as a country, we use majority since a candidate has to win a majority of state electors, but the electors are chosen by the plurality in each state.
Please make a video about range and approval voting. There's a lot to say about voting system's mathematical properties (especially concerning how vulnerable each of them is to interference) and these systems are the best I've ever seen.
Can someone please tell me how well the APPROVAL VOTING system measures up with Condorcet?
I think it's fairly favorable. For one, maximally strategic Approval is effectively a Condorcet method, and since Approval isn't limited just to preference order, but also incorporates strength of preference, with more honesty it elect a better-than-Condorcet winner, if they exist
For a proof sketch of Strategic Approval being a Condorcet method, imagine a case where an election has a would-be Condorcet winner C, but the election is held with Approval and the winner is A instead
Because C was the Condorcet winner, this means they were preferred to A by a majority, which means for A to win either, some of those who preferred C must have either approved of both A and C, or neither, which is not perfect strategy. If they had used perfect strategy, they would have approved of C but not A, and A could not have won
A group of 31 people are trying to figure out what ranked voting system they should use. Six different voting systems are suggested: Plurality, anti-plurality (whoever has the least number of last place votes wins), Top 2 Runoff, Instant Runoff, Borda Count, and Copeland (the winner is whoever has the most paired wins minus paired losses; this is perhaps the simplest Condorcet method out there). They decide to hold an election with ranked ballots, and here are the ballots cast:
4 ballots: Plurality > Borda > Anti-plurality > Top 2 Runoff > Instant Runoff > Copeland
3 ballots: Plurality > Borda > Anti-plurality > Top 2 Runoff > Copeland > Instant Runoff
1 ballot: Plurality > Borda > Copeland > Top 2 Runoff > Instant Runoff > Anti-plurality
5 ballots: Plurality > Copeland > Borda > Anti-plurality > Instant Runoff > Top 2 Runoff
2 ballots: Plurality > Top 2 Runoff > Anti-plurality > Copeland > Instant Runoff > Borda
6 ballots: Top 2 Runoff > Copeland > Instant Runoff > Borda > Anti-plurality > Plurality
4 ballots: Copeland > Instant Runoff > Borda > Anti-plurality > Top 2 Runoff > Plurality
3 ballots: Instant Runoff > Borda > Anti-plurality > Copeland > Top 2 Runoff > Plurality
2 ballots: Borda > Instant Runoff > Anti-plurality > Copeland > Top 2 Runoff > Plurality
1 ballot: Anti-plurality > Instant Runoff > Copeland > Borda > Top 2 Runoff > Plurality
In order to get a fair result, the people decide to figure out the election winner using each of the 6 systems they voted on. But when they do this, they notice something interesting. Plurality wins under the plurality method. Anti-plurality wins under the anti-plurality method. Top 2 Runoff wins under the Top 2 Runoff method. In fact, every single voting system wins the election under itself!
Frustrated, the 31 people decide to abandon ranked ballots altogether and switch to range voting. Then they live happily ever after. The End.
If people in a group created ballots containing the names of the others in their desired order in order to determine a leader we could use something like the page-rank algorithm. First we assign a score for each one, then redistribute the points in a way that votes from people with higher scores count more. Could this work/make sense?
CPCGrey, Infinity Series and xkcd having the same topic? Awesome!
I've always wanted CGP Grey to go more in depth into the mathematics of voting, so this is like a dream come true. My only complaint is the lack of jungle animals.
I would just love to have a voting system where people don't just vote against who they don't like.
"Voting is complicated."
Me: "I've got it, let's vote on the best method! --Oh, wait..."
There is also problem with representation of the preferences. With rank preferences we assuming that difference between option are equal that not always is the case. E.g someone may prefer blue slightly more than green, but both prefer much more than red.
In these case, I think, is better to store for each option rank value from 0 to 1 (or from -1 to 1 ) . In that case the easiest option would be to choose option with highest sum of ranks.
Exactly! While I don’t quite understand the second part of your comment, I completely agree that the speaker in this video is wrong when saying they have “all possible information”. I advocate for the fractional voting system, even though it is quite obscure. Essentially, the way it works is that each individual is given one vote, but they can split that vote between candidates in amounts they choose. For example, they can give sixty percent of their vote to one candidate, thirty percent to another, and ten percent to another. This system allows for people to quantitatively represent the amount they support each candidate, while ensuring that each vote still has equality, the lack of which is a major problem in the similar score voting system. In that system, if a candidate scores five out of ten points in total, the ballot of someone who tallied them a five will not change the final result at all, making it essentially worthless, whereas someone who gave that candidate a zero or a ten will have more influence on the outcome. Therefore, I advocate for a fractional voting system, which I think is the best.
At 5:35 it says thst Purple gets 16 votes, but then 21+16=37, and it says 55.
6:45 "We have all the possible information about each individual's preferences"
Not quite, you have their ordered preferences but you don't have their strength of preferences. Score Voting and to a lesser extent Approval Voting can take these into account. They also pass Arrow's Impossibility Theorem, as later admitted by Arrow himself. At that time he also said he thought Score with "three of four classes" was probably best. (electology.org podcast)
@Skyval Ream: No, they fail the spirit of Arrow's theorem, which is what really matters. The reason is that you can't expect every voter to be non-strategic when their best strategy is extremely obvious. For example, suppose Trump would narrowly win a 3-candidate Approval election, with Clinton a close second and Sanders third. Suppose some voters prefer 'Sanders over Clinton over Trump' and would vote "approval" of Sanders and "disapproval" of Trump and Clinton. But now suppose Sanders doesn't compete (because he doesn't want to be a spoiler). The obvious strategy when only two candidates (Clinton & Trump) compete is to approve the candidate you prefer more and disapprove the candidate you prefer less. Thus some strategically minded voters who prefer Sanders will approve Clinton and disapprove Trump when Sanders doesn't run. This lets Clinton win when Sanders doesn't run. This shows a failure of Arrow's consistency criterion: "If X finishes ahead of Y given some set of candidates that includes both, then Y must not finish ahead of X given another set of candidates that includes both." All voting methods that are even slightly democratic fail this criterion. With Range Voting (sometimes called Score voting) the obviously best strategy when only Clinton and Trump compete is to give one of them the maximum score and the other the minimum score, and it too fails the criterion. The reason Arrow's theorem has an ordinality criterion is because if the voting method uses info about voters' strengths of preferences to affect the outcome, it gives voters a strong incentive to exaggerate the strengths of their preferences, which can leads to eliciting less information rather than more information about voters' preferences. Also, many voters aren't strategically sophisticated and have a tendency to rate compromise choices worse than they really are, which would tend to defeat the best compromises and lead to (or maintain) polarization. Dropping the ordinality criterion is unwise.
Strategy in ranked systems tends to involve explicitly misordering candidates, while strategy in Score tends to involve compression. So in this sense highly strategic Score ballot is still more honest then most minimally strategic ranked ballot.
I disagree that exaggeration of strengths of preferences leads to less information than ranked ballots. Even an Approval ballot expresses some information a ranked ballot cannot. Because a strategic ballot is a function both of strengths of preference and candidate chances, the reported strength of preference are distorted by the candidate's chances of victory, but some preference strength information remains even in Approval. Ranked ballots have none.
SteuTube222
I think that has its own theorem, no need to call it the "spirit" of Arrow's Theorem:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gibbard%E2%80%93Satterthwaite_theorem
But if you check Condenser criteria system results again, you'll find out that winner is Red (not orange). The confusion is that the colors of the numbers in this do not correspond to the color they represent 7:44 , and at first glance it seems that Orange has more winnings, but this is not the case (Because, overall OvR are 134v137)
Looks like they do mess up with the colorations there, but these are already the summed-up pairwise matches. There are still a total of only 55 votes. Red lost to Orange 27 to 28.
Very interesting. I watched this about a year ago.
18 April 2022
1:42pm NZST
Is there any polling data around satisfaction post-vote using different systems? Like using Borda vs Instant Runoff, what outcome makes most people satisfied with the outcome?
I think there was some French study a while ago, though I don't think they surveyed many methods. There have also been a few attempts at simulations. IIRC they don't all completely agree with each other, though there are broad patterns --- FPTP and IRV don't do so great, Borda is comically vulnerable to strategy, and Condorcet and Rating-based methods (like STAR and Score, not mentioned in this video) do well. The simulations I used to be most familiar with are the "Voter Satisfaction Efficiency" simulations by Jameson Quinn.
Vote blue!
Only I'm colourblind so I'd probably end up voting for purple.
The idea of a voter paradox is incoherent: it is an attempt to figure out how to "agree to disagree." If we reject this contradiction, and simply accept that people disagree, all voting systems are fair.
Condorcet "paradoxes" are just ties. Ties aren't a big deal.
Britain uses a "First past the post" system, where the post is 60%. the problem with that is the latest election resulted in the #1 being less than 60% (For the second time recently) which results in a "Hung parliament". After this happened the first time, and we ended up with the ConDem party(2 separate parties formed a temporary alliance to bring the total votes up to the goal), we were supposed to shift to ranked voting (Like your Method 3 here), but that didn't happen. Now we're in the same Jam again.
Hope you cover stv, or other methods for selecting multiple winners
With two colors (choices) its still wrong to pick based at plurality voting system.
3 brothers, the choices for pet is cat and spider. Kid 1 is anarchnophobic give an score of 1 to spider and 8 to cat. Kid 2 and 3 give 10 to spider and 9 to cat. Under plurality voting (also called first past the post) spider would win and thats a bad thing. Under approval system (people give yes to candidates they like) and assuming kid 2/3 give yes to cat too, cat wins, under scoring voting spider get 7 and cat 8.66666... and cat wins.
At 6:50 the video said "you have all the information about each individual preferences", at this specific example of the video you don't, it would require each score between 1 to 10 or 1 to 100, each person gave to each candidate, to have the full information.
As said before, even between just two candidates plurality system (called also first past the post is bad), so this means wining all 2 candidate battles using plurality system may not exactly a desirable thing. And if plurality was desirable they would be using it and not the system they are using now. Maybe someone could invent some name for something like Condorcet winner but where the guy win each pairwise battle, using the voting system you are testing, instead of plurality.
I'm still confused. Is it like a first come first serve where if the higher vote is first than you just compare it to the next? My explanation doesn't make sense either
Yes, this is my favourite episode so far. But if I will see the next one, my favourite will be the previous episode ;)
When I was explaining the instant runoff to someone, i thought of borda count system all by myself when he said that the most acceptable candidate should win what if the person eliminated has all 2nd preference votes. And now app
One of the flaws of your analysis is assuming Avery voter votes for every candidate. In many ranked voting systems, you vote for a limited number of candidates, rather than rank every candidate. For instance, you rank your top 3 candidates, even if there are 6 candidates. This alters the evaluation for each type, and makes it much harder to manipulate a vote using strategic voting.
Can you talk about the majority judgement please?
This is why it is so annoying that instant runoff voting advocates call their system "rank choice voting." There are many ranking systems and IRV is the worst.
Also, approval voting deserves a mention.
What are you talking about? Plurality voting is by far the worst.
@@oppenheimerfaaaaaan5547 I agree, but plurality voting isn't a rank choice voting system. I said it is the worst of the ranking voting systems.
@@oppenheimerfaaaaaan5547 Plurality voting is the worst voting system. Plurality voting is not the worst rank choice voting system because plurality voting is not a ranking choice voting system. You don't rank candidates under plurality voting.
@@Mutex50 Contingent vote and Supplementary vote are worse ranked systems than IRV (and are also used in the real world)
LOL - I worked out somewhere that if you also include voter intention (e.g. suicide vote) that with just 2 candidates you have something like over 20 combinations of meanings for all the possible outcomes.
That 'Orange' winner though. Very nice.
Why did the rankings change between 1:24 and 1:30?
everyone enter a rational number from -1 to 1 for each option and tally up sums
with integers, some call that "3-2-1-voting"
Could you please tell me how can I get the soundtrack you're using in all your videos? It's perfect for maths.
You have a rank not a weighted preference which is additional information. I happen to be a fan of score voting.
9:34 Woah, senpai noticed me!
Thank you Kelsey!
7:48 some of the numbers seem to be mis-colored. fyi.
Not only does each system have bias, but each system can be gamed with strategic voting. Therefore you will never have a "fair" system because you can never force someone to vote "honest". Probably the "fairest" system is one in which the majority of voters end up with a candidate who is at least marginally acceptable to them. Allow voters to vote either 1 or 0 on each candidate on the ballot, based upon if they feel a candidate is acceptable or not. Whoever gets the most "1"s wins.The upsides are that your "vote" is never wasted (since you have more than one vote to give), and it tends to favor moderate candidates who appeal to a broad spectrum of the electorate. It also greatly limits the ability to game the system by voting insincerely, since it is hard to find a scenario where voting against your true preference who help you.
>-- Non sequitur. It's not necessary to have honesty to have fairness. All you need is that the voters have equal power over the outcome. This is the case in systems where for each possible vote, there is another vote that will exactly balance the first vote.
Your definition of "fair" is not shared by others in this field -- that may be what is confusing you. It is well established via Arrow's Paradox that in elections with 3 or more candidates, there are no "fair" systems due to quirks of each system and the ability to engage in strategic voting. You can watch the next episode of the current series or visit the following website to learn more: skeptoid.com/episodes/4281
Basically fair (as defined by everyone but you) is defined as:
1. If every individual prefers X to Y, then the group prefers X to Y.
2. If every voter's preference of X over Y stays the same, then the group's preference of X to Y stays the same, even if other preferences change: such as Y to Z, or Z to X.
3. There can be no dictator, as Arrow called him; a single voter with the power to dictate the group's preference.
Hope this helps. Agreement of terms is a must before engaging in discussion, so that everyone is on the same page.
The fundamental problem is that the information you're collecting is rankings. Rankings destroy information about *degree* of preference, and aren't comparable between voters (if I hate B slightly more than A, and you love A and hate B, our preferences will both be A>B, but they don't mean the same thing).
We should be focusing on voting systems that choose the Utilitarian Winner, not the Condorcet Winner (though they will often be the same). The UW is the candidate with the highest overall approval rating, or whose platform is closest to the average voter's desired platform (in multi-dimensional opinion space).
UW means?
@@siebren005 UW = "Utilitarian Winner" = the candidate with the highest approval rating = the best representative of the will of the voters