How To Make $1,000 A Month Betting Props 2022 | Easy Sports Betting Strategy
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 ก.ย. 2024
- app.prizepicks...
PrizePicks 100% MATCH Up to $100 - CODE: RICK
In this video, I layout a simple strategy to bet on props. It doesn’t take any skill or knowledge and you can make $1,000/month.
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Lots of plays today!
Dylan Bundy o3.5 Ks was sitting there at -170 on DK but also available to play in Prize Picks
Also o0.5 runs, first inning was a qualified pick -145, that also cashed.
I divided up this method into two parlay groups today
White Sox v Guardians u0.5 runs 1st inning (-150)
Orioles v Athletics u0.5 runs 1st inning (-150)
Reds v Padres u0.5 runs 1st inning (-145)
Luis Garcia HOU o4.5 Ks (-155)
FvVleet u3.5 made threes
Maxey u3.5 assists
Will Barton o4.5 rebounds
Alex Cobb o4.5 Ks
Any chance you can share the spreadsheet as a template?
If you hit 3/4 you get 30% profit but if you hit 4/4 you get 3x ? How is that better than just putting all units on a 4 leg flex? please help me understand
Rick you gotta keep this quite, Prize Picks not legal in my state yet!
Hey Rick, I like the strategy but I think there’s better EV betting the flex play for the 4 pick and 3 pick combos, with the 2 picks bet individually. Pays out more on the 3 pick wins for the same total bet, which is the bulk of the winning outcomes.
Hey do you know the number would be for this strategy instead of $97
I used your play and it hit let’s gooo
Another pick of your just hit
Castillo over ks
Does anyone know if flex play would be more profitable??
Is it a_ odd win or +odd win
Okay so are you saying put every probability
I like the thought process on this - we should have kept this just between me and you lol. I knew that there was an edge to be had on PrizePicks, but was too busy to develop a system. Thank you for doing some leg work for us.
I joined the squad hope you did too
MLB fan here. White Sox Rays went over with 4 runs. Angels Rangers went over with 1 run. RIP
This is a silly comment for a lot of reasons. Obviously because I informed you that you would lose half the time. The other part is that I filmed it a few days ago, not when it was released. Both MLB ones hit that day, both NHL ones lost. So you’re right and you’re wrong. RIP
@T Speez RIP! 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣⚰️☠️
the lines may be weak but the payouts in many cases are ridiculously low. Think you will find out as time goes on this is not going to be the gold mine you think it is.
So if you lose 10 of these in a row, you’ll have lost $11,000 (10x$1,100=$11,000) and therefore you’ll need to hit all 4 props three times in a row (3x$3700=$11,100) to break even? Good luck with that.
Especially when by your math, roughly 55% of the time we will lose anyways. Tough scene
You’re twice as likely to win all four, three times in a row than you are to lose ten in a row. And you don’t have to do it the way I laid out. You can find what works for you.
@@RickRunGood fair point. I did enjoy the video and do appreciate all of your content. Thanks for all of your hard work, Rick!
Bankroll management is important. You shouldn't be wagering more than 2% at absolute max
What is the cutoff for the odds number you are using? Like are you not going worse than -135? If it’s -120 are you not using that one?
5 and 6 flex plays are going to be the most worth it
“You wanna get even freakier?” 🤣🤣🤣🤣
Awesome video keep up the good work
Solid, I like the way you are thinking.
At the expense of looking like a moron. So -140 I'd better than +110. Because I just made all these stupid ass prop bets and chose the positive side of draft kings today. I am fuckon terrible at this. I've lost 400 dollars in two days. Hence me seeking out these videos.
So you do the 2 team parlay on DK for $ 100 and win $ 287. Dont you get also get back the $ 100 you bet ? On Prize Picks, you make a $ 100 2 pick wager and win $ 300, but you dont get back the bet amount. So your account shows $ 300 in it, where your DK account shows $ 387. Do I have that wrong ?
Prizepicks just withdrew from canada :😔
So when you say break them up you mean do a 2 leg with 1 and 2 2 leg with 3 and 4?
Me and my friend love looking for lines that are off from site to site, so this is going to be a lot of fun for us to try out and see what works best for us! Thanks for this video. I think people don't realize that if you want, you can choose to be extremely selective until you find a line that is way off, and that might be the way to go. Are you allowed to do singles of props on the site?
Any updates?
Not on PrizePicks. It must be at least two from different teams.
PrizePicks 5 or 6 leg are the best to play as they are like -120 each
Underdog 3 leg are the best as they are -122 and 3 leg obviously has lower variance
With the strategy work with up to 5/6 picks
How can someone compare fs to a players prop
Can you play in Kentucky?
Subscribed
No more flex play I’m pretty sure
Hey Rick, one problem with the math on your example scenario is that you didn’t factor in Draft Kings sports books juice. So for example one of the 1st inning run total was over 1/2 a run -145 but the under 1/2 was only +110. So the true line is right in the middle of -145 and +110 or about -127. So that’s the number your %’s should be based on not the -145. And if you ran the math there I’m guessing your $1100 bet example is pretty close to break even. IMO to have any significant edge you better be finding things listed on Draft Kings at -150 minimum or higher with no other handicapping information.
Super valid point, the breakeven “true” odds you need are closer to -135 or so. Definitely worth searching for -150 or better.
This is an excellent point Craig. To take it a step further, because the payouts are different for the 2X, 3X and 4X Power Plays, the breakeven percentage will also be different. You need to win 33% of bets to break even on 2X PPs, 20% on 3X PPs, and 10% on 4X PPs. So for individual bets that make up these plays you need -135 (2X PPs), -141 (3X PPs), and -129 (4X PPs) or better to be a true +EV arb opportunity. Surprisingly the 4X plays hold the best value and in Rick's example within the video, 3X plays should probably just be avoided all together.
@@tonys5833 You’re spot on great analysis by you!
@@tonys5833 is he using every scenario and still making money? Sorry im having trouble understanding what he is trying to explain
@@tonys5833why would you want the odds to be less favored when adding more legs? doesn't that just lower it's chance of winning?
I just hit again on underdog using your picks
This was awesome! You two were great!😀 Thanks for the information as always!
Is this better than a Martingale system?
1 Major flaw with this. -145 does not mean the true Prob of event occurring is 59.18%. that -145 still has the vig in it. You are taking 1-59.18% to get to Prob of event not occurring. What you did here was just remove all the vig from the Prob of event not occurring. Instead of proportionally removing it from both sides. All this to say you Prob of events occurring is too high and therefore you EV is for sure is inflated and possibly negative here in this situation. Not sure by how much...didn't wanna do the math.
If you readjust for vig and still have positive EV, great work.
The vig is being proportionately removed from both sides. Also now takes into account lines that don’t match. Often times in your favor.
last week i saw him washing wind shields for nickels and dimes
Why didn’t you say hello?!
@@RickRunGood I dont talk to losers n con men I laugh at them. And by the way if you could really win you would have to be an idiot to want people on your plays
Do you think prize picks will adjust or no ???
Eventually they will have to. But until then… we roll.
@@RickRunGood hope they don’t !! 🤩🤩
Great system thanks
I hit again using your picks on PrizePicks and underdog