In '22 the Bills as a 3pt fav beat the Ravens @home 23-20. This time the Ravens are @home again but now they're the 2.5pt fav. Hmmm, all I remember is that in last years playoffs the Ravens were the #1 seed, Buffalo was #2 and KC snuck in there as the #3 seed and beat 'em both so they didn't get to play each other, Hmmm, I'm going with the Ravens in another must win game. They looked unbeatable the way they played against Dallas and Henry (who I remember scored 3 TDs against Buffalo when with TNN) will only reinforce their chances. Gimmie the Ravens for a 31-14 win !
@@doofy2469 I didn't say he scored those the last time Tnn played the Bills. he did it in '21 @home, Tnn won 34-31. The fact is he did it and that's what matters. He did it once and he can do it again and he's @home
@@rudybetta21 was the only time he's rushed for more than 80 yards in 5 meetings with the Bills. Sure he can do it again, but statistically it's not probable.
@@doofy2469 I know this might be hard for you to grasp but the key to my comment and the game that he scored those 3 TDs in was the fact that he was @HOME in TNN and now he's @his NEW HOME in Baltimore ! Players tend to play better in front of their HOME crowd.
Have been a big fan of the BLV for the last 2 years. I’ve got some feedback here. Personally I skip tf out of the outlier sections in the picks vids. They seem overboard because you give such a good explanation on your opinions. By the time we get to the outlier portion I’m ready to move on to the next game. But that’s my opinion and I always gronk spike the like button(fellow pats fan)
Yea I think I would have to agree. Most of the time I just skip the outlier section because where I live I can’t even bet the moneyline or the spread plus I just wanna know why the team will win and why a team will cover.
When the money is 90% on one team, that means there is a slighter better than even chance that team won't cover in my opinion. Why? Because the casinos need the other team to win and they feel okay about their odds. If they didn't feel okay about their odds they would have moved the line to line 7.5 to get the money to even up. It doesn't mean the Cowboys won't cover, but it probably means its like 55% chance Giants cover and 45% Cowboys covered because the casinos usually are more knowledgeable than the public and while they will have games they lose money on, they bat better than 50%.
@@TheBottomLineView It was clear that's what you meant. At 34:30 you said bears win, then at 34:37 you said maybe bears win and rams cover, but you switched it up at 34:57. Easily understandable when you're doing an hour and a half monologue.
Do all these "revenge" games really mean something? Just because the Packers released Aaron Jones after 7 seasons, and the Packers signed him to a 1 year deal, is it really revenge? He was declining in Green Bay, being injured for many games, and Green Bay decided to move on. It's only just a business, and the same with Andy Dalton this week. Just because he used to play with the Bengals, what does that mean? With so many players changing teams on a yearly basis, these players realize that it's a business, and money talks in sports. The players go to whoever is willing to pay them more money. And if you're going to base games on "revenge", wouldn't the Eagles/Bucs game qualify for that, since Tampa whooped the Eagles in the NFC Wild Card game last season?
Yes they do.... alot of pride and ego in the NFL. Look at Henry vs. Dallas last week... jones used to tear apart dallas just because he loved them as a kid ... revenge is a thing in the NFL. Buffalo had lost 3 in a row to the jags... they had it put away by halftime
"The Bills are looking like the best team in the league" Yea, well, they have been September champs several times, and it's got them where exactly. Since the Bills are getting blown out by the Ravens tonight, maybe, just maybe they are not "the best team in the NFL" even at this point. You might have to go with the Vikings this week, right.
"Every team will lose this season" Power rankings - even you admit it's about more than just their record this season, after all you had/have teams with losing records relatively highly ranked. But "the best team in the NFL" getting blown out in a game they really needed/wanted to win? >The Bills looked good for a couple of weeks. They are and were not "the best team in the NFL" And, BTW, neither are the Vikings. . "Every team" Yep, it's more about how you finish, and which team over the past six years has tended to finish better than any other.
Hey Mitch, did you really believe in the Jets? You yourself said that you are an "idiot" for doing so, and now it's confirmed. Not that you're you an idiot, since you are a very knowledgeable handicapper, but that you actually believed in this Jets team, who have a terrible coach, a 40 year old QB, and just are a losing organization.
🏈Da man ,, Mitch Herbert is OUT !!!! NE QB OUT !!! 🏈Move Lines !!! U DICTATE !!!! NOT THEM !!! Wash Over Cards Kingsbury - REVENGE GAME !!! Over in That 🏈 Tease line lower !!
By your logic the Giants should have beat the Vikings in game 1 hahahaha Usually smart money is on the team that is healthier, usually deluded fans are the ones who ignore that many injuries and a hobbled qb and pick em hahaha youre bias wrecked you this week. The packers will be lucky to score 3 fgs, love will be lucky to finish the game scrambling for his life out there.
@@TheBottomLineView Im sorry no it was out of context, if I remember correctly you were justifying picking the packers. One of your points was that they wouldnt play as good on the road so I was saying with that logic we should have lost to the giants. my my dude
Gronk spike the like and let me know your picks
In '22 the Bills as a 3pt fav beat the Ravens @home 23-20. This time the Ravens are @home again but now they're the 2.5pt fav. Hmmm, all I remember is that in last years playoffs the Ravens were the #1 seed, Buffalo was #2 and KC snuck in there as the #3 seed and beat 'em both so they didn't get to play each other, Hmmm, I'm going with the Ravens in another must win game. They looked unbeatable the way they played against Dallas and Henry (who I remember scored 3 TDs against Buffalo when with TNN) will only reinforce their chances. Gimmie the Ravens for a 31-14 win !
Derrick Henry went 13-25 avg. 1.9 per carry with 1 TD when he last played Buffalo when the Titan's lost 41-7
@@doofy2469 he was on a shit team. So there's that.
@@doofy2469 I didn't say he scored those the last time Tnn played the Bills. he did it in '21 @home, Tnn won 34-31. The fact is he did it and that's what matters. He did it once and he can do it again and he's @home
@@rudybetta21 was the only time he's rushed for more than 80 yards in 5 meetings with the Bills. Sure he can do it again, but statistically it's not probable.
@@doofy2469 I know this might be hard for you to grasp but the key to my comment and the game that he scored those 3 TDs in was the fact that he was @HOME in TNN and now he's @his NEW HOME in Baltimore ! Players tend to play better in front of their HOME crowd.
Have been a big fan of the BLV for the last 2 years. I’ve got some feedback here. Personally I skip tf out of the outlier sections in the picks vids. They seem overboard because you give such a good explanation on your opinions. By the time we get to the outlier portion I’m ready to move on to the next game. But that’s my opinion and I always gronk spike the like button(fellow pats fan)
Yea I think I would have to agree. Most of the time I just skip the outlier section because where I live I can’t even bet the moneyline or the spread plus I just wanna know why the team will win and why a team will cover.
Enjoying your show from Malden, Mass my friend,
Seems to be the inept teams and the dynamic teams are swapping places when squaring off... Vegas appears to be calling the plays
When the money is 90% on one team, that means there is a slighter better than even chance that team won't cover in my opinion. Why? Because the casinos need the other team to win and they feel okay about their odds. If they didn't feel okay about their odds they would have moved the line to line 7.5 to get the money to even up. It doesn't mean the Cowboys won't cover, but it probably means its like 55% chance Giants cover and 45% Cowboys covered because the casinos usually are more knowledgeable than the public and while they will have games they lose money on, they bat better than 50%.
How are you going Rams win, Bears cover when the Bears are favored by 3?
@@jimblomquist4017 i think i went bears win rams cover no?
@@TheBottomLineView It was clear that's what you meant. At 34:30 you said bears win, then at 34:37 you said maybe bears win and rams cover, but you switched it up at 34:57. Easily understandable when you're doing an hour and a half monologue.
Vikings 34, Packers 10. Book it!
🧢
Love it!
Well, it was a win anyway.
Bengals have betrayed me twice now.
Pats and Redskins...
Dang.
Week 3 I bet on the 49ers & Bengals money line.. Thinking that was the safe play haha!!
Ahaha
Mitch u are the best & very smart
Thank u Mitch
this years Vikings are legit...Flores had more time to get his guys on defense.
Can you time stamp the videos so we can jump to a particular game and see your analysis
Yeah! Ill do that in the future it might just take me some time
Sitting at 32-16 Straight up after 3 weeks. I will crush it!
@@georgebertozzi8267 congrats george
Here we go giants + the points fellas
🎉Steelers. Vikings Rams week 4 parlay
The NFL is Rigged... the best bet is not betting at all!
Right....This is a comedy channel like most out there. ;-)
No... it's about recognizing certain spots....and calling it
RAINING 🌧️ HERE IN NY
POSSIBLE HURRICANE AFTER EFFECTS
CHECK NY WEATHER BEFORE BETS 🏈
Sure about that Bills and Josh Allen -2.5 take 😭😭???
Do all these "revenge" games really mean something? Just because the Packers released Aaron Jones after 7 seasons, and the Packers signed him to a 1 year deal, is it really revenge? He was declining in Green Bay, being injured for many games, and Green Bay decided to move on. It's only just a business, and the same with Andy Dalton this week. Just because he used to play with the Bengals, what does that mean? With so many players changing teams on a yearly basis, these players realize that it's a business, and money talks in sports. The players go to whoever is willing to pay them more money. And if you're going to base games on "revenge", wouldn't the Eagles/Bucs game qualify for that, since Tampa whooped the Eagles in the NFC Wild Card game last season?
Yes they do.... alot of pride and ego in the NFL. Look at Henry vs. Dallas last week... jones used to tear apart dallas just because he loved them as a kid ... revenge is a thing in the NFL. Buffalo had lost 3 in a row to the jags... they had it put away by halftime
🏈Jets in Teaser !!!!
-1
Or
-2.5
"The Bills are looking like the best team in the league"
Yea, well, they have been September champs several times, and it's got them where exactly.
Since the Bills are getting blown out by the Ravens tonight, maybe, just maybe they are not "the best team in the NFL" even at this point. You might have to go with the Vikings this week, right.
@@paulc254 every team will lose this season
"Every team will lose this season"
Power rankings - even you admit it's about more than just their record this season, after all you had/have teams with losing records relatively highly ranked.
But "the best team in the NFL" getting blown out in a game they really needed/wanted to win? >The Bills looked good for a couple of weeks. They are and were not "the best team in the NFL" And, BTW, neither are the Vikings.
.
"Every team"
Yep, it's more about how you finish, and which team over the past six years has tended to finish better than any other.
YO MITCH!! SEATTLE 24-23
👀
Bills 🏈
if the Cowboys vs giants game isn’t proof the the league is rigged then idk what is.
0-3 Picking Vikings games...
@@tkuebler9561 1-2
no confidence in you with your record you are not worth the time
Hey Mitch, did you really believe in the Jets? You yourself said that you are an "idiot" for doing so, and now it's confirmed. Not that you're you an idiot, since you are a very knowledgeable handicapper, but that you actually believed in this Jets team, who have a terrible coach, a 40 year old QB, and just are a losing organization.
🏈Da man ,, Mitch
Herbert is OUT !!!!
NE QB OUT !!!
🏈Move Lines !!!
U DICTATE !!!!
NOT THEM !!!
Wash Over Cards
Kingsbury - REVENGE GAME !!!
Over in That 🏈 Tease line lower !!
Brissett is out? Since when?
Ravens win.
Vikings will blow out Green Bay.
same here betting josh allen until they lose.
😭😭😭😂😂😂
KC will win 45-7 LA not a good football team.
Wrong wrong wrong
By your logic the Giants should have beat the Vikings in game 1 hahahaha Usually smart money is on the team that is healthier, usually deluded fans are the ones who ignore that many injuries and a hobbled qb and pick em hahaha youre bias wrecked you this week. The packers will be lucky to score 3 fgs, love will be lucky to finish the game scrambling for his life out there.
What is the logic ?
@@TheBottomLineView The Vikings are gonna fail on the road.
@@purplengoldbars i picked the vikings vs the giants idk man
@@TheBottomLineView Im sorry no it was out of context, if I remember correctly you were justifying picking the packers. One of your points was that they wouldnt play as good on the road so I was saying with that logic we should have lost to the giants. my my dude