2025 will have a lot of volatility, portfolio manager says
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 9 ก.พ. 2025
- As the job market shows resilience, there is growing confidence in the economic outlook. The continuation of strong consumer spending and a growing economy, coupled with AI-driven productivity, suggests that interest rates at current levels should not pose a significant threat.
Mike Dickson, head of research and quantitative strategies at Horizon Investments, believes that as long as certain conditions hold, equity markets will stay stable.
"So, I think as long as we don't get a ten year over 5%, which, you know, seems like kind of a stretch at this point - we shouldn't really see any stress in equity markets just given the underlying economic data and the strength there," Dickson says.
However, a rise in the ten-year bond yield (^TNX) could signal stress in equities. On the bond side (^TYX, ^TNX, ^FVX), there are concerns about deficits and the upcoming Treasury refinancing wave.
Vishal Khanduja, senior fixed income portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley, also joins the show to point out to the refinancing issue, noting, "the Treasury market refinancing wave is one that we are definitely nauseous about." This ongoing concern could potentially create significant pressure in the bond market, highlighting the need for careful monitoring in the coming months.
To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Market Domination here.
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Why not buy a levered bond fund instead of small caps for the barbell portfolio? Seems like intermediate rates need to stabilize a little lower for those to take off unless I'm missing something
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2025 a lot of volatility. Wasn't Trump going to make the stock market explode after he came into office? Its been three weeks and its completely stalled, even down. My portfolio was booming under Biden. How are things looking now Wall Street?
Government reducing spending will pull the rug out from the economy.
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