Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Levels Continue to Spike Upwards Breaking All Records by a Country Mile Not only are atmospheric levels of CO2 rising, but the rise is accelerating and blowing away all previous records. NOT GOOD... Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. Scripps Institute of Oceanography: The Keeling Curve keelingcurve.ucsd.edu/ The Keeling Curve: Wikipedia en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keeling_Curve Scripps Institute web site: scripps.ucsd.edu/ Keeling Curve blog on new record rate of CO2 rise: 3.58 ppm for calendar year 2024 versus 2023 keelingcurve.ucsd.edu/2025/01/17/new-record-for-annual-increase-in-keeling-curve-readings/ Keeling Curve blog on new record rate of CO2 rise: 4.7 ppm for March 2024 versus March 2023 Largest Year-Over-Year Gain in Keeling Curve Set in March keelingcurve.ucsd.edu/2024/05/08/largest-year-over-year-gain-in-keeling-curve-set-in-march/ U.K. Meteorological Office: Mauna Loa carbon dioxide forecast for 2025 www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/long-range/forecasts/co2-forecast-for-2025 U.K. Meteorological Office: Mauna Loa carbon dioxide forecast for 2025 www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/long-range/forecasts/co2-forecast-for-2024 Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Thank you again, Paul, for a very relevant, be it also disturbing video. Yes, I follow the NOAA Mauna Loa data closely. And I would like to draw your attention to a closely related and potentially alarming issue; In the Keeling curve, of course, you see the annual 'summer dip' in CO2, because of the growing season in the northern hemisphere. Well, I may be a bit premature, but my impression (from measuring annual (monthly) maximums to minimums) is that these summer dips have become, and are becoming, shallower in recent years. Is this possibly a sign that the ecosystems of the earth are becoming increasingly damaged and decreasingly capable of absorbing CO2?
The sooner humanity goes extinct is the sooner the earth’s biosphere, troposphere and stratospheric ozone can recover. Hopefully, within 5-10 million years after we’re gone there’ll be no relevant trace of our civilization and impact.
Yes, they need to keep reporting. This is not humanity's first close brush with extinction. When the on-going civilization collapse reaches a low enough level there will be a narrow period where major societal changes and adaptations can take place, which might allow for a small margin of humanity to squeak through in a near-extinction rather than an full extinction. They, and any potential future survivors, will need this information. A full extinction we don't have to worry about because it will take care of itself and us.
@@kimwelch4652 What is civilisation? It is an energy dissipation interval like a bushfire. When energy runs downhill to entropy a bushfire dies out, because energy isn't actually used but utilised for work on its way down the energy slope. Civilisation only occurs when pre-existing energy and resource are met. That is the kindling. After a period of exponential "growth" (read - increasing energy flow downhill) fuel available decreases along with that civilisation/bushfire. Your reply reads like an Ernst Becker terror management theory (fear of death) in regard to our own mortality, personal, civilisational and species, using one of Elizabeth Kubler-Ross's 5 stages of grief (at losing our way of life) called bargaining. The 5 stages are denial, anger, sadness, bargaining and acceptance. The level of hope and cope is strong in your reply. In truth humanity's rubber band has stretched beyond breaking point. It will snap back and that will be as awful as it is as natural as night follows day. Our relationship with the biosphere from we emerged and imagined ourselves to be above and separate from is akin to that of a organism host and a cancer from which it grew from to destroy, destroying itself in the process.
@@piotrwojdelko1150I made my own crude calculation recently, based on realistic (or even rather optimistic) expectations with regard to global CO2 emissions: I assumed that CO2 emissions would keep rising up to 2030 and then gradually decline to reach net zero in 2050. That may be too optimistic. But even then, the atmosphere reaches 500 ppm in 2050. Bear in mind, that this is only CO2, not including methane or any other GHG, for which a considerable 'CO2 equivalent' must also be calculated. And it also does not take into account any feedback-loops, such as thawing permafrost, an ice-free Arctic ocean, or the feared clouds-feedbackloop. Breathing, btw, will be no problem: 1000 ppm, or even 2000 ppm poses no serious problem for breathing or health.
The only good thing about this is knowing that the majority of the people who deny climate change are going to live to see it destroy habitat for most or all life on earth (including humans). I expect that they’ll still be denying it even when they are starving to death in the dark, but knowing that they will suffer even more because of their denial is cathartic.
@@langdons2848 - fewer people in the US are worried about CC than in 1990. That’s pure denial in action: the more evident the change the more extreme will become the emotional rejection.
'Denial' seems more complex than catharsis alone, an idea put forward about reactions to theatrical drama by the ancient Greeks. Some current behaviours by many deniers would seem embarrasing to those with an empirical approach to reality. AI states: Limited Scientific Evidence for Catharsis: The concept of catharsis, particularly in the sense of purging emotions through aggressive actions or venting, has limited empirical support. While some studies suggest it might provide temporary relief, it doesn't necessarily lead to long-term emotional well-being and can sometimes even increase aggression. Empirical measured facts are very unpopular at present it seems with some. Humans seem more persuaded by the irrational quite often. AI : Physical Manifestations of Embarrassment: Embarrassment is often accompanied by noticeable physical reactions like blushing, sweating, increased heart rate, and a feeling of warmth in the face and neck. These are physiological responses triggered by the autonomic nervous system. Some members of the aristocracy state they no longer sweat due to psychological combat trauma. There is some evidence for this apparently, although interview testament needs medical analysis?
Good grief. Read up on the IPCC shenanigans a few years back. Might as well be Fauci crunching the numbers and scaring people. If you want to be a mental case, this is your place for endless predictions of gloom. Wise up
With Trump stoking intense competition, you might want to check these numbers in 6 months. They will be way higher. Everyone and his dog will be trying to sell something...on the cheap. Plus he has ushered in fully sanctioned gambling with these meme coins, so I may be underestimating the chaos ahead.
No they won't they went up under Trump and Biden and will keep going up china keeps polluting they won't stop because they don't care and they know it's all fake
As I’m writing this it’s -17F in northern Iowa and 37F in Kangerluussuaq Greenland. Yep, it’s late January and it’s 54 degrees warmer and above freezing in Kangerluussuaq. We’ve messed up the jet stream among other things.
These personal vlogs have a strange vibe about them. Almost like the doctors tapes in the walking dead when the virus is spreading. They get darker as time goes on. Hope he keeps going and presenting us with this important info on humanity’s collapse
4.7 rise from March 2023 to March 2024. A new record! Undeniable surge indeed. MET Office prediction off by 25%. Looks like the MET just cut-off part of the first leg of the 3-leg Bar Stool. Pass the Magic Goblet Paul and Stiff upper lip old chap. Much oblidged! Cheers and Thank You!😢
The term "spike" implies that the measure falls back. It does on a seasonal basis ..... BUT .... NOT on an annual basis. Next year it will rise by another 2.5 ppm to 4 ppm. 25 years ago, CO2 was rising about 0.5 ppm/year. Lately, it has been rising 2.5 ppm. And now, this last year -- 3.5 ppm. The rise in CO2 is accelerating. At the new rate of 4 ppm/yr, we will seen 525 ppm CO2 by 2050. BUT - since the rate is accelerating, we will see 525 ppm years before 2050.
The sad part is we haven't even begun to reduce our CO2 output yet. The amount keeps increasing at a higher and higher rate every year. We ideally need to stop emitting CO2 entirely right now but we're not even close to moving in the right direction.
thats what baffles me; we arnt even getting the low hanging fruit. people can commute as far as they want, in whatever vehicle they want, people can have as many children was they want, as big of a lawn that they want, use as much power and water as they can afford or be subsidized to afford.
Stop the wars and better management of our forests 🌳 greenhouses jack up the co2 to 800 to1,200 ppm for better plant growth. Co2 is plant food. Trees take in co2 and give us oxygen ( o2 ). o2 is needed to make o3 which is necessary for the ozone layer. The percentage of co2 in the atmosphere is 0.04 +-. Plant more trees . Michigan is experiencing below zero weather this year .
Suburbs need to be essentially banned and multi family buildings need to be able to accomodate larger families and be more flexible - that would fix a lot of the commuting issues. Furthermore, mixed use zoning needs to be implemented everywhere. Deliveries need to be more expensive, people's compulsive shopping for new single or zero use plastic toys and clothes need to be reigned in somehow, hybrid and online work needs to be protected as an option. Families having kids is a difficult issue - we do need a new generation of people, but it would be better if every consecutive generation was a little smaller than the previous one, to avoid economic and societal hardships that will come with rapidly aging populations, and ideally that reduction needs to be more or less equally distributed - because right now it's not. We have countries with two types of crisis - rapid decline and rapid growth, pretty much no one is having the needed 1.7-2.0 kids we need for a smooth ride.
@@bobleclair5665 - planting trees is next to useless. To reduce the CO2 levels using biomass would require all the farmland in the world to be planted with elephant grass, for that to be turned into biochar, and it would take more than a thousand years.
Okay I’ve looked at most of the comments and I don’t notice anybody mentioning the atmosphere temperature rise and fall laid over the co2 rise and fall over the last 10 million years in graphs and following where the temperature is heading to catch up with the co2. I see temperature rise is going to get worse as in exponential increases. Am I the only person to see this or am I crazy?
You’re not the only one. Hanson has mentioned the delay involved with temperatures catching up to co2 levels. I wish I could understand more about it though.
Just realistic. Temp goes up and down with CO2 CO2 is up and the temp WILL go up and with it our ability to support our civilization. This is obvious but no body including Paul, who is the best, wants to say it! So hang on it won't be pretty.
No, you're not crazy. And Paul has touched on this before: Recent research, including Witkowski et al. (2024) and Judd et al. (2023), suggests that Earth's climate sensitivity to CO₂ is higher than previously estimated, with Earth System Sensitivity (ESS) around 8-14°C per CO₂ doubling. Current CO₂ levels (~423 ppm, ~1.51× preindustrial levels) imply 4.5-9°C of eventual warming above the preindustrial baseline.
None of the 'democracies' on the planet are actually adhering to the Paris Agreement. Instead they try fascism as a solution. (Watch EU falling one by one!) Capitalism-Democracy works as long they find 'slaves' in the world to exploit. ('Globalization') "We" - as citizens ignored that for centuries.
Faster than expected, worse than expected... and now the forecasts from "respected scientists" are diverging farther and farther from observations with thinner and thinner excuses. I get pretty tired of establishment science ignoring the facts in favor of lying to us.
It's really not much difference. He pulled out of Paris Climate Accord, but that was to limit warming to 1.5 if possible, 2.0 absolute limit. So basically he's the only one who did it formally while the rest of us did it anyway.
Wither the CO2 test on Mona Loa is "Accurate" doesn't really matter. However, it needs to be "Precise". Because, with precision, it would still show CO2 levels are rising. It sound logical that El Nino would cause a faster than average rise in CO2
Paul, I haven't watched this video yet, but I'm sure it's going to be highly educational, and informative for me, because you are working hard to provide great information the whole world needs to know now! Thank you for working towards saving the world and it's really awesome
@@johnkintree763 Howdy John. I used to think the same way back when there was only 6 billion humans on Earth. I thought that if we could get all humans to realize that we were all on the same lifeboat and understand that infinite growth on a finite planet was impossible then possibly the vast majority of the population would want to live in a minimalist way to help save the other 10 million different species that we share the planet with. I think now, the only way this could happen is with alien intervention. Kind of like that movie, The Day the Earth stood Still. I'm not holding my breath. The odds would be astronomical. Best of luck to you.
@@johnkintree763 internet surveys make more sense to me but what do I know. It would be ignored by governments which are all committed to fossil fuel lobbies, no?
"The American way of life is not negotiable." - President George H W Bush at the 1992 Rio climate conference. That promise has been kept. The promise about addressing climate change was an optional extra which was not kept.
@@Enzo012 Not having an economic collapse is not an option. You can not grow an economy and expect it not to impact the environment. We are in ecological overshoot.
@@coweatsman It's an option if you're being reasonably sensible. Nuclear power is the way to go even if it's not ideal due to the nuclear waste issue. But it'll have to do until we find a better alternative. Wind and solar only works if it's backed up with something else currently that's gas.
Thank you Paul for this information. I remember seeing another publication where it was 360 ppm in 1962 when i climbed aboard the earth. That would mean an average of 1ppm per year since i was along for the ride. According to Keeling though it was about 325 then and now its going up by several ppm per year. Today, in the world's richest country, we have an official policy of "drill baby drill" and tearing down windmills. We had the option of going another direction but that's in the can now. So what happens without carbon capture? How was the climate 1.5M years ago? What happens when we get to 1K ppm? These are things we need to tell the president and the people that vote and decide how to power their lives. If they knew for sure that every time they turned the key to start a V8 that they were killing their kids, would they still do it?
Thank you Paul for keeping us updated. In summary: we are doomed. At this rate of acceleration I don't expect us to be able to upscale the CO2 removal to efficient levels before a global system crash. Well... 🥂cheers ... 😟... I rather go now to organize some neighborhood resiliency ...
Vulnerable regions should expect a steep rise in heat related deaths in 2025. In 2024 India reported over 40,000 heatstroke cases in 17 states, including some 700 deaths (likely under reported). Hardly surprising because, during March-June, 37 Indian cities had temperatures exceeding 45 °C. There are no indicators that the planet will be cooler in 2025, with self-reinforcing feedbacks (& more aircon being turned on) likely nullifying the effects of the (expected weak) La Niña.
Sure - CO2 emissions cumulate in the atmosphere & stay there for thousands of years. Other more potent greenhouse gases like Methsne degrade more quickly, over decades? However water vapor (enhanced by continual warming), being itself a strong greenhouse gas, is perhaps already fuelling its own adverse self reinforcing feedback, mainly at night when the albedo effect of clouds is negligible.
* so humans relentless methodical removal of earths forest cap of our planet over the last 500 years, oak for ships pine for timber framing, birch for plywood, spruce for construction slashing timber for modern agriculture 🤔 😏 wasn't sustainable
@пчелинаяпчёлка I'm sure theres interference to commerce and manufacturing in Europe nations billionaires raped Europe and moved globally with little or no common sense in the senseless destruction of our planet deforestation desertification strip mining rapping the ocean dumping more plastic than fish by weight It's more than inconvenient for the greedy
with actual figures rising faster than projections this will have an increased knock on effect with sea ice melt and AMOC slowing time lines and estimates by the order of 25% acceleration, as it also exceeds all modelling. On a day when USA pulls out of Paris agreement we should all make what savings we can in preparation of what's to come , ie extra insulation, lagging pipes etc.
using an Aranet4, I measured the CO2 level on the island of Mauritius at 392 ppm in Aug 2023. In February 2024 I measured 459 ppm in the Philippines. In Palm Desert in California on xmas day 2024 was 498 ppm. Alarming increase of CO2 over the last 1.5 years. It totally explain the hot weather in 2024 and the LA fires.
Emissions keep growing. No wonder atmospheric levels are rising thus faster and faster too. When my bathwater is already overflowing, if i keep opening the faucet more and more, there be even more of a leak...
Does anyone know what the CO2 equivalent is when you add in Nitrous Oxide, Methane and Water Vapor and whatever other gasses go into making up that value?
We had 2 blankets on our bed now we have 3, if the extra CO2 blanket was liquified with the same density as water it would form a layer over 1mm thick over the entire surface of the planet, wtf chance have we of dealing with all that?
Paul - I hope you revisit this paper in January 2026 & vindicate your pessimism (which I share) for CO2 emissions reducing. And yes the neverending wildfire CO2 emissions must continue adding a significant amount to total cumulation. Older emissions of methane are constantly oxidising down to a smaller portion of CO2 which is added to total cumulation, plus ongoing permafrost melt adds ever more CO2 (as well as methane), even if human generated CO2 emissions slow down.
CO2 is bad, but permafrost and warming deep ocean mud releases methane with 38% (?) more GWP and resists assimilation back into storage (plants don't consume it). Thoughts?
I would be more concerned with solar management and carbon removal system than which doesn’t put oxygen ( o2 ) back into the atmosphere , o2 is needed to make o3 which is necessary for the ozone layer, hydrogen also takes o2 out of the atmosphere. Plant more trees 🌳
@riok6234 a few maybe, but that is a first graders/ out of date understanding. My second graders understanding (as described to me by people actually doing experiments on co2 and plant growth) 1. Many plants won't have the same nutrient content 2. They will take more water (which we won't have ) 3. The many species and varieties that aren't adapted / adapting insanely quickly will die out 4. We will have to scramble to find which ones work..... and the scramble to rezone, change land-use. Many countries are densely populated- imagine " oh your suburb just became prime wheat growing area so you have to move out. " 5. Speaking of infrastructure and farming, constantly shifting weather/ ecological niches will make growing conditions very hard. The changes will be fast in plant terms and the insects they evolved with them . Yearly cycles will get out of wack - bugs appear early and decimate crops because it's predators reproduction hasn't moved 50 km south with the plants.....pollinators won't hatch when plants are blooming. so many food webs will break.
@@melusine826 I appreciate your perspective and respectfully see things differently. Similar to you and those who watch videos like this, I'm concerned about the health of the planet and the health of the people on it. We clearly get our information from different sources and subsequently have a difference of opinion on this subject. Are you by chance familiar with wastewater engineering where dilution is the solution? I recommend teaching yourself and then your students about it sometime. All the best to you and your students!
THE CLIMATE-CHANGER GOD-ROCK KNOWS THAT THE ATMOSPHERE SHIFTED BIG TIME NORTH AND SOUTH POLES ARE WARM AT THE SAME TIME= THE ATMOSPHERE HAS SHIFTED THE CLIMATE-CHANGER GOD-ROCK KNOWS THAT
Paul, we should also give CO2 (e) alongside the bare CO2 number. How these institutions make predictions... first decide what final number you want to see, then fill in the gap with manupulations created to prove your prediction was right. It's a no brainer. Banks do it all the time as do corporations when it suits their purposes.
Co2 collision with Co2 or another greenhouse gas to convert them into elementary particles to be converted into useful forms of carbon. May that help? New for of energy can come from it maybe
@@TheDoomWizardelectric universe. I agree with you, I'm dumb, wasting my time with people, who already know everything, except why standard cosmology is in shambles, but, it's got a lot of people who have spent billions and have staked their egos on the wrong model. Paradigm shifts are like that.
Can you link the correct models then? Everything I've seen confirms radiative forcing is not a primary (or secondary) driving the immediate scale of changes. Eg the upper troposphere isn't warming, only the lower layers. Which is in line with a planetary heat trigger, not a solar one.
@@melusine826 look harder. Sorry but the work has been done, and every month more is released. Our conceptual models limit our thinking. Different concept, different thinking.
Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Levels Continue to Spike Upwards Breaking All Records by a Country Mile
Not only are atmospheric levels of CO2 rising, but the rise is accelerating and blowing away all previous records. NOT GOOD...
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Scripps Institute of Oceanography: The Keeling Curve
keelingcurve.ucsd.edu/
The Keeling Curve: Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keeling_Curve
Scripps Institute web site:
scripps.ucsd.edu/
Keeling Curve blog on new record rate of CO2 rise: 3.58 ppm for calendar year 2024 versus 2023
keelingcurve.ucsd.edu/2025/01/17/new-record-for-annual-increase-in-keeling-curve-readings/
Keeling Curve blog on new record rate of CO2 rise: 4.7 ppm for March 2024 versus March 2023
Largest Year-Over-Year Gain in Keeling Curve Set in March
keelingcurve.ucsd.edu/2024/05/08/largest-year-over-year-gain-in-keeling-curve-set-in-march/
U.K. Meteorological Office: Mauna Loa carbon dioxide forecast for 2025
www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/long-range/forecasts/co2-forecast-for-2025
U.K. Meteorological Office: Mauna Loa carbon dioxide forecast for 2025
www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/long-range/forecasts/co2-forecast-for-2024
Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
Thank you again, Paul, for a very relevant, be it also disturbing video.
Yes, I follow the NOAA Mauna Loa data closely.
And I would like to draw your attention to a closely related and potentially alarming issue;
In the Keeling curve, of course, you see the annual 'summer dip' in CO2, because of the growing season in the northern hemisphere.
Well, I may be a bit premature, but my impression (from measuring annual (monthly) maximums to minimums) is that these summer dips have become, and are becoming, shallower in recent years.
Is this possibly a sign that the ecosystems of the earth are becoming increasingly damaged and decreasingly capable of absorbing CO2?
We should be using the term "denialist", as it is not just an activity or opinion, but an ideology.
Paul, you might do a survey on the state of feasibility and risks of geoengineering.
We are doomed. But it's good to know why. 😮
The sooner humanity goes extinct is the sooner the earth’s biosphere, troposphere and stratospheric ozone can recover. Hopefully, within 5-10 million years after we’re gone there’ll be no relevant trace of our civilization and impact.
But for a beautiful moment we created magnificent returns for the investor.
We had a good run. Well... some of us.
Yes, they need to keep reporting. This is not humanity's first close brush with extinction. When the on-going civilization collapse reaches a low enough level there will be a narrow period where major societal changes and adaptations can take place, which might allow for a small margin of humanity to squeak through in a near-extinction rather than an full extinction. They, and any potential future survivors, will need this information. A full extinction we don't have to worry about because it will take care of itself and us.
@@kimwelch4652 What is civilisation? It is an energy dissipation interval like a bushfire. When energy runs downhill to entropy a bushfire dies out, because energy isn't actually used but utilised for work on its way down the energy slope. Civilisation only occurs when pre-existing energy and resource are met. That is the kindling. After a period of exponential "growth" (read - increasing energy flow downhill) fuel available decreases along with that civilisation/bushfire.
Your reply reads like an Ernst Becker terror management theory (fear of death) in regard to our own mortality, personal, civilisational and species, using one of Elizabeth Kubler-Ross's 5 stages of grief (at losing our way of life) called bargaining. The 5 stages are denial, anger, sadness, bargaining and acceptance. The level of hope and cope is strong in your reply.
In truth humanity's rubber band has stretched beyond breaking point. It will snap back and that will be as awful as it is as natural as night follows day. Our relationship with the biosphere from we emerged and imagined ourselves to be above and separate from is akin to that of a organism host and a cancer from which it grew from to destroy, destroying itself in the process.
Thanks for your work, Paul. Even though it's not pretty, being more in touch with reality helps keep me more sane. And damn--faster than expected...
When do expect rising up to 500 concentrations of CO2? When do humans have problems with breathing?
@@piotrwojdelko1150I made my own crude calculation recently, based on realistic (or even rather optimistic) expectations with regard to global CO2 emissions:
I assumed that CO2 emissions would keep rising up to 2030 and then gradually decline to reach net zero in 2050. That may be too optimistic.
But even then, the atmosphere reaches 500 ppm in 2050.
Bear in mind, that this is only CO2, not including methane or any other GHG, for which a considerable 'CO2 equivalent' must also be calculated.
And it also does not take into account any feedback-loops, such as thawing permafrost, an ice-free Arctic ocean, or the feared clouds-feedbackloop.
Breathing, btw, will be no problem: 1000 ppm, or even 2000 ppm poses no serious problem for breathing or health.
The only good thing about this is knowing that the majority of the people who deny climate change are going to live to see it destroy habitat for most or all life on earth (including humans). I expect that they’ll still be denying it even when they are starving to death in the dark, but knowing that they will suffer even more because of their denial is cathartic.
@@langdons2848 - fewer people in the US are worried about CC than in 1990. That’s pure denial in action: the more evident the change the more extreme will become the emotional rejection.
@NapoleonGelignite sad reality.
'Denial' seems more complex than catharsis alone, an idea put forward about reactions to theatrical drama by the ancient Greeks. Some current behaviours by many deniers would seem embarrasing to those with an empirical approach to reality. AI states: Limited Scientific Evidence for Catharsis: The concept of catharsis, particularly in the sense of purging emotions through aggressive actions or venting, has limited empirical support. While some studies suggest it might provide temporary relief, it doesn't necessarily lead to long-term emotional well-being and can sometimes even increase aggression. Empirical measured facts are very unpopular at present it seems with some. Humans seem more persuaded by the irrational quite often. AI : Physical Manifestations of Embarrassment: Embarrassment is often accompanied by noticeable physical reactions like blushing, sweating, increased heart rate, and a feeling of warmth in the face and neck. These are physiological responses triggered by the autonomic nervous system. Some members of the aristocracy state they no longer sweat due to psychological combat trauma. There is some evidence for this apparently, although interview testament needs medical analysis?
@@astoni314 that made no sense. Looks like it's all AI slop. If you're actually a real person then - WTF?
Good grief. Read up on the IPCC shenanigans a few years back. Might as well be Fauci crunching the numbers and scaring people. If you want to be a mental case, this is your place for endless predictions of gloom. Wise up
With Trump stoking intense competition, you might want to check these numbers in 6 months. They will be way higher. Everyone and his dog will be trying to sell something...on the cheap. Plus he has ushered in fully sanctioned gambling with these meme coins, so I may be underestimating the chaos ahead.
No they won't they went up under Trump and Biden and will keep going up china keeps polluting they won't stop because they don't care and they know it's all fake
As I’m writing this it’s -17F in northern Iowa and 37F in Kangerluussuaq Greenland. Yep, it’s late January and it’s 54 degrees warmer and above freezing in Kangerluussuaq. We’ve messed up the jet stream among other things.
You know it's bad when Paul's getting drunk
Drill baby drill got to him
All hope is not lost: Cooling the Planet in 20 Years | A Conversation w/ Rob de Laet, Entrepreneur and Climate Strategist (On YT).
These personal vlogs have a strange vibe about them. Almost like the doctors tapes in the walking dead when the virus is spreading. They get darker as time goes on. Hope he keeps going and presenting us with this important info on humanity’s collapse
4.7 rise from March 2023 to March 2024. A new record! Undeniable surge indeed. MET Office prediction off by 25%. Looks like the MET just cut-off part of the first leg of the 3-leg Bar Stool. Pass the Magic Goblet Paul and Stiff upper lip old chap. Much oblidged! Cheers and Thank You!😢
Thanks again for the insight, Paul. Give that beautiful dog a kiss for me!
❤ good information.. I appreciate it!!!!
The term "spike" implies that the measure falls back.
It does on a seasonal basis ..... BUT ....
NOT on an annual basis.
Next year it will rise by another 2.5 ppm to 4 ppm.
25 years ago, CO2 was rising about 0.5 ppm/year.
Lately, it has been rising 2.5 ppm.
And now, this last year -- 3.5 ppm.
The rise in CO2 is accelerating.
At the new rate of 4 ppm/yr, we will seen
525 ppm CO2 by 2050.
BUT - since the rate is accelerating, we will see 525 ppm
years before 2050.
Thanks for the relentless coverage of climate news Paul
The sad part is we haven't even begun to reduce our CO2 output yet. The amount keeps increasing at a higher and higher rate every year. We ideally need to stop emitting CO2 entirely right now but we're not even close to moving in the right direction.
thats what baffles me; we arnt even getting the low hanging fruit.
people can commute as far as they want, in whatever vehicle they want, people can have as many children was they want, as big of a lawn that they want, use as much power and water as they can afford or be subsidized to afford.
Stop the wars and better management of our forests 🌳 greenhouses jack up the co2 to 800 to1,200 ppm for better plant growth. Co2 is plant food. Trees take in co2 and give us oxygen ( o2 ). o2 is needed to make o3 which is necessary for the ozone layer. The percentage of co2 in the atmosphere is 0.04 +-. Plant more trees . Michigan is experiencing below zero weather this year .
CO2 rise is accelerating and the acceleration is accelerating.
Suburbs need to be essentially banned and multi family buildings need to be able to accomodate larger families and be more flexible - that would fix a lot of the commuting issues. Furthermore, mixed use zoning needs to be implemented everywhere.
Deliveries need to be more expensive, people's compulsive shopping for new single or zero use plastic toys and clothes need to be reigned in somehow, hybrid and online work needs to be protected as an option.
Families having kids is a difficult issue - we do need a new generation of people, but it would be better if every consecutive generation was a little smaller than the previous one, to avoid economic and societal hardships that will come with rapidly aging populations, and ideally that reduction needs to be more or less equally distributed - because right now it's not. We have countries with two types of crisis - rapid decline and rapid growth, pretty much no one is having the needed 1.7-2.0 kids we need for a smooth ride.
@@bobleclair5665 - planting trees is next to useless. To reduce the CO2 levels using biomass would require all the farmland in the world to be planted with elephant grass, for that to be turned into biochar, and it would take more than a thousand years.
Great update. Thanks, Paul.
Okay I’ve looked at most of the comments and I don’t notice anybody mentioning the atmosphere temperature rise and fall laid over the co2 rise and fall over the last 10 million years in graphs and following where the temperature is heading to catch up with the co2. I see temperature rise is going to get worse as in exponential increases. Am I the only person to see this or am I crazy?
Methane
You’re not the only one. Hanson has mentioned the delay involved with temperatures catching up to co2 levels. I wish I could understand more about it though.
Just realistic. Temp goes up and down with CO2 CO2 is up and the temp WILL go up and with it our ability to support our civilization. This is obvious but no body including Paul, who is the best, wants to say it! So hang on it won't be pretty.
No, you're not crazy. And Paul has touched on this before: Recent research, including Witkowski et al. (2024) and Judd et al. (2023), suggests that Earth's climate sensitivity to CO₂ is higher than previously estimated, with Earth System Sensitivity (ESS) around 8-14°C per CO₂ doubling. Current CO₂ levels (~423 ppm, ~1.51× preindustrial levels) imply 4.5-9°C of eventual warming above the preindustrial baseline.
Of course nobody is going to really care because we're all morons and deserve evrything that is coming for us.
You're a gem Mr. Beckwith Cheers and Godspeed from occupied U.S.. Keep up the good work.
Fastest change in the planets history..we are done.
Last days of Pompeii
We just left the Paris Climate Accord again. Mr. Beckwith, plz make a video explaining what this means.
It means the ipcc and wg3 are cheating by lying to the public. And have been since exxon Mobil started denial tactics
it means we're fucked
i hope , like last time, nothing, as it takes 4 years to get out.
It means nothing as the Paris Accord achieved nothing. It was always insufficient, but even that was too much effort.
None of the 'democracies' on the planet are actually adhering to the Paris Agreement. Instead they try fascism as a solution. (Watch EU falling one by one!)
Capitalism-Democracy works as long they find 'slaves' in the world to exploit. ('Globalization')
"We" - as citizens ignored that for centuries.
lol, "fire water" my uncle likes to call it "holy water". Thanks for the videos Paul. We don't deserve you.
Holy water made by boiling the hell out of it
It will take firewater and walks with puppies both, to cope, sad state of affairs.
Imagine I'm in! 🙃
With dtS in office we don't have a chance now to curb anything.
We didn't anyway. Perhaps technology will prosper under trump Elon etc and new ideas and opportunities will occur
He said it himself today. "We will use all the oil and gas we have"
I'm sure the models didn't account for that.
Gee, what are you talking about? Under DJT, ignorance, bullying, graft, chaos, and violence are all skyrocketing!
We just left the Paris Climate Accord again so yeah we're toast
If you think harris was going to do more than a token gesture I have a great deal on a bridge for you...
Thanks Paul for the information. I trust this style of journalism more than any other
Faster than expected, worse than expected... and now the forecasts from "respected scientists" are diverging farther and farther from observations with thinner and thinner excuses. I get pretty tired of establishment science ignoring the facts in favor of lying to us.
Now that Dennis the Menace (Trump) is in office, the climate change will really speed up.
It's really not much difference. He pulled out of Paris Climate Accord, but that was to limit warming to 1.5 if possible, 2.0 absolute limit. So basically he's the only one who did it formally while the rest of us did it anyway.
Wither the CO2 test on Mona Loa is "Accurate" doesn't really matter. However, it needs to be "Precise". Because, with precision, it would still show CO2 levels are rising.
It sound logical that El Nino would cause a faster than average rise in CO2
Paul, I haven't watched this video yet, but I'm sure it's going to be highly educational, and informative for me, because you are working hard to provide great information the whole world needs to know now! Thank you for working towards saving the world and it's really awesome
What would it take to hold a global referendum, with people voting by phone, on ending fossil fuel subsidies, and approving a global carbon tax?
The largest military force on Earth.
The military might be used to suppress global referendums, and to prevent approved principles and policies from being observed.
If there was a way to vote by phone, about 90% of humanity might be able to participate immediately.
@@johnkintree763 Howdy John. I used to think the same way back when there was only 6 billion humans on Earth. I thought that if we could get all humans to realize that we were all on the same lifeboat and understand that infinite growth on a finite planet was impossible then possibly the vast majority of the population would want to live in a minimalist way to help save the other 10 million different species that we share the planet with. I think now, the only way this could happen is with alien intervention. Kind of like that movie, The Day the Earth stood Still. I'm not holding my breath. The odds would be astronomical. Best of luck to you.
@@johnkintree763 internet surveys make more sense to me but what do I know. It would be ignored by governments which are all committed to fossil fuel lobbies, no?
Thanks for another useful video Paul.
At this rate we will hit 430 next year. We are screwed.
Seems like we probably reached some sort of tipping point that would be the most likely explanation
Not to hard to realize there's no way we'll survive this, so why care?
Well , my friend ..... with "Trump's Golden Age of American" starting we can only imagine what comes next ......
Golden idols
It’s all about the economy! Always has been, always will be!
Stupid plan. No economics when we are extinct.
"The American way of life is not negotiable." - President George H W Bush at the 1992 Rio climate conference. That promise has been kept. The promise about addressing climate change was an optional extra which was not kept.
The economy is kind of important though? We don't want a total economic collapse.
@@Enzo012 Not having an economic collapse is not an option. You can not grow an economy and expect it not to impact the environment. We are in ecological overshoot.
@@coweatsman It's an option if you're being reasonably sensible. Nuclear power is the way to go even if it's not ideal due to the nuclear waste issue. But it'll have to do until we find a better alternative. Wind and solar only works if it's backed up with something else currently that's gas.
Thank you Paul for this information. I remember seeing another publication where it was 360 ppm in 1962 when i climbed aboard the earth. That would mean an average of 1ppm per year since i was along for the ride. According to Keeling though it was about 325 then and now its going up by several ppm per year. Today, in the world's richest country, we have an official policy of "drill baby drill" and tearing down windmills. We had the option of going another direction but that's in the can now. So what happens without carbon capture? How was the climate 1.5M years ago? What happens when we get to 1K ppm? These are things we need to tell the president and the people that vote and decide how to power their lives. If they knew for sure that every time they turned the key to start a V8 that they were killing their kids, would they still do it?
ONWARD !......toward our goal of 1000ppm CO2.....cannot stop us now
...a truly Green Planet feeding on carbon. The way it has ALWAYS been in the History of Life 😊
Fire makes things brown :)@@sonnyeastham
Love the magic goblet prop.
some of us know whats coming, but most don't.does'nt matter
Many thanks Paul great information here on this video.. Yeah pass the goblet over here Paul..We need it over here in the US!
Why aren’t they checking the co2 level in war zones , sun cycles or shipping canals
Paul, Thanks for staring into the abyss for us. It's nice to have a guide along the way, as we descend into Thermageddon...
Thank you Paul for keeping us updated. In summary: we are doomed. At this rate of acceleration I don't expect us to be able to upscale the CO2 removal to efficient levels before a global system crash. Well... 🥂cheers ... 😟... I rather go now to organize some neighborhood resiliency ...
And this is after how many COP meetings?
At least the curve is bending, but unfortunately in the wrong direction.
"Net zero" is not working so well...
Rapid acceleration!
This is catastrophic
Dr. Beckwith. Do you agree with the theorie: No arctic ice = no life?
Thanks Paul
Vulnerable regions should expect a steep rise in heat related deaths in 2025. In 2024 India reported over 40,000 heatstroke cases in 17 states, including some 700 deaths (likely under reported). Hardly surprising because, during March-June, 37 Indian cities had temperatures exceeding 45 °C.
There are no indicators that the planet will be cooler in 2025, with self-reinforcing feedbacks (& more aircon being turned on) likely nullifying the effects of the (expected weak) La Niña.
Thanks for the comprehensible, clear explanation.
You mean that it has only gone up 110 ppm while I have been running around the planet?
That's good for my garden. Hope it will keep on spiking.
Its 9 am somewhere! I think you need a bigger magic cup!
Great video
Sure - CO2 emissions cumulate in the atmosphere & stay there for thousands of years. Other more potent greenhouse gases like Methsne degrade more quickly, over decades? However water vapor (enhanced by continual warming), being itself a strong greenhouse gas, is perhaps already fuelling its own adverse self reinforcing feedback, mainly at night when the albedo effect of clouds is negligible.
* so humans relentless methodical removal of earths forest cap of our planet over the last 500 years, oak for ships pine for timber framing, birch for plywood, spruce for construction slashing timber for modern agriculture 🤔 😏 wasn't sustainable
Haven't we increased forest cover in Europe? And don't fields have larger albedo effect?
@пчелинаяпчёлка I'm sure theres interference to commerce and manufacturing in Europe nations billionaires raped Europe and moved globally with little or no common sense in the senseless destruction of our planet deforestation desertification strip mining rapping the ocean dumping more plastic than fish by weight
It's more than inconvenient for the greedy
@пчелинаяпчёлка fyi, industrial cannabis 'Hemp' can capture more CO2 in One season than a forest of trees in 20 years, perspective
@@пчелинаяпчёлкаno
Was there ever any doubt
25 parts per million in 10 years ?
It's gonna get way worse.
with actual figures rising faster than projections this will have an increased knock on effect with sea ice melt and AMOC slowing time lines and estimates by the order of 25% acceleration, as it also exceeds all modelling. On a day when USA pulls out of Paris agreement we should all make what savings we can in preparation of what's to come , ie extra insulation, lagging pipes etc.
Man when ever we have the next El Niño it’s gonna break everything.
15 ppm in 7 years
so what is the optimal co2 level? What's the goal
The Keeling curve could also be called a tangent line or an exponential increase.
Thought after watching a bit of Trumps inauguration I tune in to some good news 😢
You should leave x, it's fascist propaganda now.
Such disturbing things will be ours to witness.
using an Aranet4, I measured the CO2 level on the island of Mauritius at 392 ppm in Aug 2023. In February 2024 I measured 459 ppm in the Philippines. In Palm Desert in California on xmas day 2024 was 498 ppm. Alarming increase of CO2 over the last 1.5 years. It totally explain the hot weather in 2024 and the LA fires.
Emissions keep growing.
No wonder atmospheric levels are rising thus faster and faster too.
When my bathwater is already overflowing, if i keep opening the faucet more and more, there be even more of a leak...
I think we need to stick together.
Does anyone know what the CO2 equivalent is when you add in Nitrous Oxide, Methane and Water Vapor and whatever other gasses go into making up that value?
The Donald will just make this worse and shrug
We are so cooked
We're screwed.
I don’t know much about this. I’m wondering if recent volcanic eruptions could be adding to the increase in carbon dioxide in the past year.
How high can the CO2 record go
until our global civilization collapses and we lose the ability to burn global scale amounts of fossil fuels. I reckon about 2040 give or take 5 years
I would think back to the Pennsylvanian era for that answer
We had 2 blankets on our bed now we have 3, if the extra CO2 blanket was liquified
with the same density as water it would form a layer over 1mm thick over the entire surface of the planet,
wtf chance have we of dealing with all that?
Try comparing volcanic activity since the 1700's and CO2 levels globally, you might find that a bit shocking.
Paul - I hope you revisit this paper in January 2026 & vindicate your pessimism (which I share) for CO2 emissions reducing.
And yes the neverending wildfire CO2 emissions must continue adding a significant amount to total cumulation.
Older emissions of methane are constantly oxidising down to a smaller portion of CO2 which is added to total cumulation, plus ongoing permafrost melt adds ever more CO2 (as well as methane), even if human generated CO2 emissions slow down.
Hooray!
Now with all the new AI data centers scheduled to be built, we can expect C02 emissions to skyrocket and water resources to dwindle even more rapidly.
CO2 is bad, but permafrost and warming deep ocean mud releases methane with 38% (?) more GWP and resists assimilation back into storage (plants don't consume it). Thoughts?
What is the maximum level of carbon dioxide that humans can be exposed to for their entire lives without negative consequences?
I would be more concerned with solar management and carbon removal system than which doesn’t put oxygen ( o2 ) back into the atmosphere , o2 is needed to make o3 which is necessary for the ozone layer, hydrogen also takes o2 out of the atmosphere. Plant more trees 🌳
If we forested the globe, we'd only be undoing the damage of deforestation, there's all the CO2 from burning fossil fuels on top of that.
CO2 ability to absorb heat is not linear. The more you have the less absorbed heat per unit you get.
Look it up.
Which has nothing to do with the discussion.
❤
La nothing would be La Nada in espanol.
Sigh.
And you fail to show the numerous papers showing that CO2 rise FOLLOWS temperature rise. Take off your blinkers
Yeah because all the damn trees are burning up in California
Mostly due to increased volcanism .,
Forest fires
DRILL BABY DRILL- Americans
SOME americans
SHOP TILL YOU DROP - 2 billion humans
Great job making a common chemical compound measured in PPM sound scary!
Bummer to think plants / agriculture crops are going to be easier to grow now.
@riok6234 a few maybe, but that is a first graders/ out of date understanding. My second graders understanding (as described to me by people actually doing experiments on co2 and plant growth)
1. Many plants won't have the same nutrient content
2. They will take more water (which we won't have )
3. The many species and varieties that aren't adapted / adapting insanely quickly will die out
4. We will have to scramble to find which ones work..... and the scramble to rezone, change land-use. Many countries are densely populated- imagine " oh your suburb just became prime wheat growing area so you have to move out. "
5. Speaking of infrastructure and farming, constantly shifting weather/ ecological niches will make growing conditions very hard. The changes will be fast in plant terms and the insects they evolved with them . Yearly cycles will get out of wack - bugs appear early and decimate crops because it's predators reproduction hasn't moved 50 km south with the plants.....pollinators won't hatch when plants are blooming. so many food webs will break.
@@melusine826 I appreciate your perspective and respectfully see things differently. Similar to you and those who watch videos like this, I'm concerned about the health of the planet and the health of the people on it. We clearly get our information from different sources and subsequently have a difference of opinion on this subject.
Are you by chance familiar with wastewater engineering where dilution is the solution? I recommend teaching yourself and then your students about it sometime.
All the best to you and your students!
Free energy anyone?
Good, we need some heat around here. Maybe stop cutting down trees
THE CLIMATE-CHANGER GOD-ROCK KNOWS THAT THE ATMOSPHERE SHIFTED BIG TIME NORTH AND SOUTH POLES ARE WARM AT THE SAME TIME= THE ATMOSPHERE HAS SHIFTED
THE CLIMATE-CHANGER GOD-ROCK KNOWS THAT
3rd
Are you drinking on the job, Paul?😮
Drinking that kool aid
Paul, we should also give CO2 (e) alongside the bare CO2 number. How these institutions make predictions... first decide what final number you want to see, then fill in the gap with manupulations created to prove your prediction was right. It's a no brainer. Banks do it all the time as do corporations when it suits their purposes.
Co2 collision with Co2 or another greenhouse gas to convert them into elementary particles to be converted into useful forms of carbon. May that help? New for of energy can come from it maybe
You might fool the easy led.
It's zee Sun.
Dumb
@@TheDoomWizardelectric universe. I agree with you, I'm dumb, wasting my time with people, who already know everything, except why standard cosmology is in shambles, but, it's got a lot of people who have spent billions and have staked their egos on the wrong model. Paradigm shifts are like that.
Can you link the correct models then? Everything I've seen confirms radiative forcing is not a primary (or secondary) driving the immediate scale of changes. Eg the upper troposphere isn't warming, only the lower layers. Which is in line with a planetary heat trigger, not a solar one.
@@melusine826 look harder. Sorry but the work has been done, and every month more is released. Our conceptual models limit our thinking. Different concept, different thinking.
climate change propaganda lies
You better go plug that volcano! Real science and better models are coming. #MAHA
Make america hopeless again?
Sounds right.
@@benjaminhenderson5025 you get a pardon
@@castello544 make america HURT again - how about them egg prices?!?
which volcano?...oh that one where President Elon Muck has his underground lair....
mmmmuuuuuwwwwhahahahahaha
🤡🤡