Huge respect to the Austrian military for being factual and non biased with their public briefings regardless the side they support. Not a single nation had the honesty or the guts to do so.
Just because it agrees with a narrow and highly biased view that you also happen to agree with doesn't make it "factual" and "non biased". Anyone with a modicum of military-technical knowledge will be suspect of some of the conclusions in these videos.
@@ArchOfficial As much as I'd like Ukraine to maintain its full sovereignty I'd also like honesty. If the west stoop down to the level of self aggrandizing propaganda it's doing the same as the Russians. If you cant swallow bitter truth sometimes you need to grow up cause in life you'll need to face them a lot.
Disregard the Colonel in the Austrian military who advised the Austrian ministry of foreign affairs and defence, @ArchOfficial a random guy in the youtube comments knows better.
@@crusadertank970 In this case, yeah, I do. His logic is not sound in this video. I don't know why being employed in peacetime as an advisor is proof of the contrary. I suspect I am correct when the only counter-argument is status and past achievements.
Russia lost 86% of the manpower they started this adventure with. No army in the world would do anything but admit defeat exept some Austrian colonel. And not, this Austrian colonel is not someone who forgot on which side he is supposed to be, but someone who lost large parts of his army and was crazy enough to keep fighting.
The thing that in the west we seem to never mention is the fact that Western Planners for Ukraine wanted her and her soldiers to achieve a massive breakthrough without even Air Parity, something that no NATO general would ever attempt
And the whole planning of the "Nuland offensive"(because apparently she was a major part of the planning) was based upon the idea that Russian troops would rout the moment they were attacked. Nothing could be further from the truth. Instead, we had events like the single Russian soldier staying behind in an outpost in the perimeter zone and directed artillery onto Ukraine troops, and defeating at least 2 assaults against him by calling in artillery dangerously close and then mopping up the remnants by himself. And then others followed his example and pulled similar stunts. And while in practical terms these kind of events only mattered very marginally, it showed that there was never even the slightest chance of the Russian troops in the region routing. And now Russia has shifted to "a strategic posture of active defense", and that was enough to capture Marinka in 2 months, after 9 years of fighting over the place, they've operationally encircled Vesele, they're encircling Avdiivka(the most heavily defended location on Earth(unconfirmed reports that Ukraine was forced to retreat from Berestove yesterday, making the situation even worse)) and probably aiming to do the same with Novomykhailivka, as they now control the entire south outskirts of the town. All Ukraine troops east of Oskil river is becoming more and more logistically strained ever since Russia destroyed the bridges over the river in September. Nearly all the most powerful fortifications west of Bakhmut has been taken by Russia in the last 3 weeks. Krynky is an epic level meatgrinding deathtrap. Russia is destroying an average of 15-20 boats per week, each with 2-15 soldiers in them, and at minimum a battalion worth of troops every two weeks at the beachhead. And the Ukrainians can't even dig in there, because the groundwater level is so shallow because of the river. And all those fortifications, and yet losses are completely onesided in favor of Russia. Most Ukraine soldiers never see a Russian before dying. "without even Air Parity" The thing you need to understand, is that Russia is only using about 15-20% of its airforce against Ukraine. They're stockpiling and keeping in reserve all their best and most modern equipment in case Nato gets suicidal. That's why you don't see more Kinzhal strikes for example, as because it was a very new weaponsystem, Russia had very few in storage, so they're dedicating most of their production to the reserves.
@@DIREWOLFx75 Yes Russia has adapted and is performing better than they were at the start but the claim that Russia is saving force in case NATO gets "Suicidal" is completely bogus, had they tried what they did in Ukraine against any other Nation on their western Border like say Finland (before her entry into NATO) they'd have been trounced, to believe they are in a position to even remotely threaten NATO as a whole is pure unadulterated fantasy. Moreover while Ukraine is currently not in a position to mount any large scale offensives due to the depth of the fortifications on the Russian side and the above mentioned lack of Air Power to cover their advances Russia has not been able to break through Ukrainian lines either despite the multiple changes in the top brass and shift in strategy as they went along, the truth is far simpler the sanctions did hurt Russia and replacing the western supplied components in their, a problem they seem to have mostly solved now by either producing them in house or importing them from Asian allies. However sooner or later the Russian people will tire of this war, much sooner then the Ukrainian people since it should be clear to any analyst or policy maker that even if the Ukrainian Military completely collapsed and Russian forces were able to take over the country it'd be non stop insurgency, worse than Afghanistan and the attrition would topple the government, if the the war itself does not do that before. And there are precedents for both cases.
This fact of this lack of air forces in the ukranian offensive makes me view this whole war and this leg of the Ukraine war suspiciously-this war is not as it seems and there is an ulterior motives and agenda at play
@@Mithradates_of_Los_Angeles "this war is not as it seems and there is an ulterior motives and agenda at play" If you bothered to listen, the people who started the war have already admitted that they did. Go read Rand corporation publication "Extending Russia", available online since 2019. It discusses how to best destroy Russia, among other things, by forcing a war with Ukraine. Rand is owned by the Kagan family, of which Victoria Nuland is part. You know, the *itch who in 2014 decided who would take over in Ukraine after the coup. BEFORE the coup had happened. The coup, that USA comitted together with the Svoboda nazi party.
H. L. Mencken (1880 - 1956): “Nobody ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public.” ...or the self-serving stupidity of Washington's NAZI collaborators, something for which Austrians have history. Vladimir Zelenskiy, “I hope that the Congress will approve this financial assistance for our crimes… country”. The notion the most corrupt nation on Earth could successfully defend itself is laughable. Ukrainian defence is based in Switzerland and designed to protect oligarch bank accounts filled with 'aid money'. Like all other US-NAYOYO collaborators, constant whining for support is just a way to ‘skim’ more money before defeat ends the good times. As the whining gets louder, the war's end gets closer. This explains Zelenskiy's begging for more money and weapons to sell on the black market. Describing AFU-Washington fantasies as strategy, and a plan, is laughable. NAYOYO "training" failed to properly understand this war, its weapons and conditions. For example, ISR capabilities have made tactical and operational secrecy completely impossible. AFU units were attacked and destroyed in their assembly areas before they got anywhere near the front lines. No one has been able to assemble massed armour and engage in mobile combat as a result. Tanks, and all other armour, have been revealed as completely useless. They hardly have the ability to approach front lines, let alone make an offensive/defensive impact on the battlefield. The same can be said of artillery. How many drone strikes on AFU artillery have we seen? How many reports of artillery fire strikes on AFU artillery have we seen? DUMB SHELL artillery accuracy is roughly +/- 50 metres judging from the plowed ground around trenches and tree lines. DUMB SHELL artillery isn't capable of destroying trench lines and bunkers. They aren't capable of destroying armour advancing in narrow single file constrained by mine fields. Drones can easily do all of this for less than the tank fuel costs for an hour's operation. I love how this guy blames a lack of aircraft for AFU failures. It couldn't be that Ukraine could NEVER defend itself, especially against the world's foremost anti-aircraft defence forces. Demanding AFU employ massive bombardment (Operation Cobra) to break through defences is stupid as they don't have, and will never have this capability. Under estimating Russian army capabilities is covered by the quote below. Winston Churchill (1944): ”I have left the obvious, essential fact to this point, namely, that it is the Russian Armies who have done the main work in tearing the guts out of the [Nazi] army." I loe how this guy expects AFU to attack on one line after broadcasting their plans. He doesn't realize Russian forces would have quickly concentrated against one axis. Russian forces would have attacked on other areas without effective defences. This idiot actually thinks the only path to victory is to reinvent "gunpowder". These fools are still searching for "wonderwaffe". That didn't work for Hitler, and it won't work for Washington's Nazis. "The war is at a stalemate": Ukraine sends pregnant women, teenagers and 60+ men to face Russia's coming war ending devastation.
As Joe public we don't have the facts. We have educated guesses. Neither the Russians or Ukrainians are going to give you the whole truth. Western sources, although tending to be more honest - when not passing speculation off as truth - also keep a tight lid on what they release - it's the nature of war.
Dima on Military Summary channel provides multiple updates each day and he's reliable. He waits until there is solid information such as geolocations before updating the maps.
It's not hard to come by at all; you can literally sit on your ass and yell at your fucking phone until a video like this (of which there are many) starts playing
@@Darko-Hristoff-Mladenski Can you point to a specific falsehood in this video? As someone who watches a lot of both pro-Ukraine and pro-Russia sources this feels like a genuine assessment agreeable to both sides.
@@WasLostButNowAmFound I know that. But, meant they are not going to share classified intel, that is on par with NATO intel. EU and NATO do share intel as well, but Russia does not with Austria.
Still associated altough probably not covered by art 5. Austria doesnt "need" art 5 because they are surrounded by nato countries@@WasLostButNowAmFound
Did only Ukrainians believe their propaganda. I remember the Western public in the fall of 2022 after the Ukrainian counter-offensive and the optimism before the start of the summer counter-offensive in 2023. All that optimism, all that arrogance, they are gone. Let's blame the Ukrainians for believing that they could win a war against Russia and ignore the Western public, which has the memory of a squirrel.
@@russellk.bonney8534 You are believing too much in the news. Every single nation/politician involved has been acting in self interest. There is no free lunch.
@@TTok33 к сожалению эта агония может длится годами. Украинцы всегда отели мира. Зеленский хочет воевать до последнего Украинца сперва ради интересов США, а теперь ради власти. Вы правы все равно украинские нацисты проиграют. русские ни когда не забудут подлость европейцев помогающим нацистам.
Objective and factual. Calling out propaganda from both sides, while still explaining it and its effect instead of just ignoring the side you don't like as simple "propaganda". And actually telling the truth about both efficiency and production of Russian weapon is rare from a western source. Few people support Russia, but underestimating them will only result in even more young people dying (Ukranians and Russians).
If he really was objective, he wouldn't be calling the war a stalemate, he'd admit Ukraine is losing badly. Talking about a new Ukrainian offensive next year is pure delusion.
@@delta0307 Purpose of these briefs are not be a gore fest. They present what is happening and a macro view. TH-cam also regulates just how brutal you can discuss. They also won't divulge classified or proper intel that can aid Russia. I believe these are a good recount of what is happening. I am interested in what information you are referring to though.
@@delta0307 , For Ukros it is really 10-12 worse (statistically) now than it was at the beginning of SMO almost 2 years ago (5-6 times worse comparing to Rus, that time)...
Did he? Maybe at the beginning. Stalemate is a big lie. Or it is one of the new spins. Stalemate in a few squaremile aerea.And Oh Ukraine won 1k and lost 4 guys per 100 meter. Ukraine is done. And US sources kind of admit it.
Thank you for a great observation and analysis of the Ukrainian offensive. I lost interest in following biased news about the Russian/Ukrainian military conflict a while ago, but your video is s different. It is an honest and reliable peace of information done in a highly professional way.
Many thanks to you and your team, Colonel, for taking the time to produce this English language segment. Invaluable information and analysis. I'm a US citizen following publicly available sources, and your content is unmatched. All the best for Christmas and the New Year
I usually troll pro-Nato vids as they are incredibly ill informed and biased. But this was brilliant. Credit to the Austrian military for speaking as soldiers not state mouthpieces.
@@sergbo5680 As a Finn I am ashamed of jumpy Finnish politicians and general public for throwing to the trash bin decades of work for keeping Finland out of military alliances and great power disputes. Respect for Austria and it's people from Finland!
Would Ukraine and the EU been better off just following the Minks II agreements? Just seems like things are 100x worse, and we will never be as strong as this Spring.
Maybe but it depends on how this war turns out. I doubt very much if someone invaded America and took two states we would settle that without a conflict. It’s def worse for both the Russians and Ukrainian for this war to continue. But the from my POV the west is coming out way ahead on this one.
Exactly. They will just continue to loss more and more territory the longer this goes on. It would be wise to negotiate before Ukraine loses total access to the sea.
@@robertmaybeth3434 I suppose it is a symbolic representation of all the "Western military experts" (propaganda puppets). Like the "Ghost of Kyiv" was meant to be a symbol for "all the brave Ukraine's military aviators".
Thanks for the unbiased, frank assessment. The obvious conclusion is the Western Alliance has given too little and too late - yet still had high expectations.
Do you think the west really wanted Ukraine to win ? I have doubts. Nobody wants a WW3, it's just damage control. Russia would go all in if Ukraine was to reach Crimea or Donetsk. So far it's territorial war not total war.
in democracy you give on sentiment while politicians steal half of it and then result comes and sentiment changes as democratic majority doesn't like being on loosing side after already faking being decent with pretext to show real colours... and so many other shows to watch on global netflix possible, with one new started not long ago
Colonel Reisner says it all. While firmly in the West as part of EU, Austria is NOT part of NATO. So our favorite Austrian gives as neutral and objective analysis of the Ukrainian war.
Neutral is a bit of a stretch, a bit like how Finland and Sweden were "neutral" but de facto Article 5 treaty states. Carrying out training with the others, purchasing and using the same equipment and standards etc to allow compatibility.
I said for years that Ukraine's leaders needed to take a page from Austria's playbook. I've been to Ukraine many times over the years, including to Donetsk/Luhansk/Crimea before 2014. I hate to say it, but the last Ukrainian president that understood the importance of being somewhat neutral was Yanukovych.
@@MuantanamoMobile There are very few truly neutral countries in the world, literally only a few. Anything can be written on official pieces of paper, this is normal, no one looks at these pieces of paper in geopolitics, everyone looks, roughly speaking, whether there are integrated structures of any de facto military alliances in this or that “neutral” country
I wish he was truly neutral, in the beginning he was. Increasingly he is presenting a heavily pro-Ukraine bias which is bordering on cope in this video.
@@stevebuckley7788 NATO and the US have played their hand while Putin was correct that Ukraine has no reliable friends. I would LOVE to see Putin suffer defeat, but Russia can apply much more pressure knowing that Ukraine's allies are more unreliable as the conflict continues.
Russians where fully prepared to step back ALOT, they did so at first sign of danger before, I think even they where surprised how poorly this went for Ukrainians. While ATACMS would help, it wouldnt help that much, russian air defence is fairly competent as shown by disasters performance of Ukr airforce, though doubt they could be blamed, they are outmatched in air and anti air significantly. I think US is wary of supplying ukranians with more advanced gear since they tend to loose them or have it captured, there is also issue of triggering a full out war, most of regular people in the West think russians are stretched for manpower from shovel meat assaults by simply downloading telegram and seeing some trench assault teams russians employ...... Reality of it is, most russians are completely unimpacted from the war, in putin speech he didnt even call for mobilization. Doesnt take a genius to see thats russians are getting better but ukr restricted by arms deliveries are stagnant, how long you think our support will last.
the russian were not surprise, this was the plan all along. NATO was stupid to force the Ukrainian to attack, the Ukrainian knew it would not work but had to since NATO is paying for it.
US has not much more to give militarily, none of the weapon systems will change the course of the war...Giving Ukraine money is really just to pay salaries and pensions to keep up the appearances of functioning government. Kiev has a 40 billion budget hole in 2024, by their own admission it cost them 200 million/day (during the "offensive" phase). Lets say it is 100 million/day while they are defending, that is ~ 36 billion/year extra. A significant portion is lost to corruption. The manpower source is getting worse by quality and quantity by the day, the morale of the populace is sagging. The inflation will go up this year (devaluation of hryvna), tariffs on everything will go up by 30-40% as IMF dictating and the military losses will climb...
@@robertdlucas7418 Most of what we send is stripped of anything significant that we don't want to risk having analyzed or reverse engineered. Even these outdated F16s that are maybe going to be sent, will have upgrades removed from them before being handed over, if ever, and we certainly aren't sending them anything more advanced than that. The F16 isn't even the only air asset we could realistically send or train them on, but its the only one we're willing to risk. You won't see an F22 or any of the F35 variants in Ukraine. You won't see any of our stealth tech for that matter enter Ukraine, especially not our bombers. Basically none of our 'first strike-shock and awe' weaponry will be found inside of Ukraine. Even the Russians are largely doing the same thing in a lot of regards to keeping their cutting edge weaponry out of the fight, and held in reserve in the event of an escalation with NATO. To give another example, the special armor used by our Abrams tanks is a state secret and none of those tanks sent there will have that, and none of the newer variants will be sent for sure. Even the HIMAR systems are deprived of the targeting equipment and software needed for their maximum effectiveness. In short, there is a lot more we could send, but the whole point of keeping these systems back, is to make sure the day they are used, they meet the enemy before countermeasures are developed against them. The first strikes start a timer of greater diminishing returns of impact as time goes on, which we've seen with the HIMAR systems becoming generally less effective as time has gone on with Russian anti air adaptations removing them from play anywhere the anti-air umbrella is dense or deep.
Вы всё верно говорите. Россия мобилизовала всего 300000 человек. Остальное контрактники и добровольцы. Вчера выступал Путин, и он объявил что всего взаимодействует в зоне СВО 617000 человек. Сейчас идёт до набор добровольцев и контрактников, и силой ни кто не гонит. Месяц назад просто вызывали с военкомата для уточнений данных, так как я в запасе, и просто спросили есть ли желание подписать контракт. Я сказал нет. Только если совсем всё плох будет, тогда пойду. И просто сказали хорошо, свободен.
The people with a shred of humanity left can. Im appalled by how many people cheer the deaths of russian soldiers, saying "they could just have stayed home". There are two kinds of soldiers in any conflict imo: The unfortunate and the stupid. The former are conscripted against their will and forced to enact the tragedy that is a pointless invasion with an equally pointless defense (in human, not political terms). The latter convinces him/herself that "yes, i'm fighting nazis in Ukraine to save the local population" or "yes, im fighting the fascist invaders to prevent a genocide and safeguard international law and western values".
@@Amradar123 Putin didn't want this war, Zelensky did despite promising an end to the war as part of his election campaign. But Zelensky obeys the US and their UK servants, hence the escalation of the war and Russia's entry.
@@tripleg8381He means 2 years before it was built... Crimea was fine, no land bridge or Kerch bridge this why Ukraine is full of shit for attacking it.
@@henryrollins9177 I'd add Weeb Union (ok, kind of absurd name, but he's pretty solid as far as reporting goes) Defence Politics Asia (tbh I don't follow it closely, can't follow several different channels every day)
@dervorkoster3728……They are though. I only get lies and propaganda from The New York Times, Washington Post, WallStreet Journal, and Newsweek……our mainstream media is garbage lol.
@@maksimluzin1121You mean like the Russian MOD which claims to have killed the entire Ukrainian army at this point? Or how they claim to have shot down more planes than Ukraine has?
@@АлександрВоронков-х9г I don't care what your most common name is today, Ivan is the embodiement of the russian soldier and his spirit. I just said that western powers understimated the will and the strenght of the russian soldier as they did for the afghan warriors. It's a compliment and if you don't see that you are an idiot.
@user-jv4ec5pm9n What did they brought to you?. All I see as an outsider is a country misguided Nationalism hijacked by corrupt politicians to deflect thier failure, and blame minorities. Minorities whom lives on fertile n advance industrial lands..
@@user-jv4ec5pm9n с востока? Точно? А я в Киеве родился. Сейчас живу в Москве. А брат мой двоюродный в Киеве от ТЦК прячется. Ваш салорейх уже достал всех. И не надо мне писать всякую маргинальную чушь про Россию-агрессора.
Unfortunately, 6-8 times a year is much for him here. You have to search for interviews of Reisner on other channels. The presentation will be a little different, not that informative as this one.
You cannot offer detailed briefings and deliver a running commentary. They are mutually incompatible. The press, the media and social media are only good at shallow commentary.
This was a most well-informed and well-presented analysis of the current military situation. Colonel Reisner's presentation is a model for others to follow. I realise that a huge amount of work goes into these presentations and the enormous reception they receive is a credit to the historic Theresian Military Academy.
Ukrainian leadership seems to be trapped in a catch-22/vicious spiral situation: 1. they require western support for Ukraine to survive 2. To stimulate the continuity of support they need to consistently achieve battlefield successes 3. They require even higher levels of support to be able to do so 4. To get that support, Ukraine needs to keep achieving significant military offensive successes. 5 For that they need even more support etc. Militarily, Ukraine isn't ready yet for signicant offensive actions, but politically (domestically and diplomatically) they critically cannot afford not to keep attacking. It seems an easy way out that the West should just provide whatever (quantities) Ukraine needs to survive without expecting significant offensive actions in the short term. But that would clash with harsh political realities that exist and others that may come up/return in the West. So, how is the situation on the Russian side? What levels of support are they short of and what does that support inflow depend on?
@@moukka1760 so let's go along with your argument does that include the USA the biggest warmongering nation on planet earth bar none along with there vassal state's Nato. Its quite obvious that people think and believe what the MSM tell them that President Putin woke up one morning and thought I think I'll invade Ukraine today. I will say one thing there's never been a minutes peace in the world since Biden entered the Whitehouse along with the clowns in his administration. Do some research and always follow the money the money never lies.
Yes you can. Ukraine chose to be invaded by acting in the best interests of the United States and not in the best interests of Ukraine. America is laughing at Ukraine - They have the arms profits and no body bags. Russia is stronger. Ukraine is destroyed. It is dangerous to be an enemy of the USA but fatal to be its friend. th-cam.com/video/wnS_e0n476Y/w-d-xo.html@@moukka1760
Colonel, I would love for you to do a video series on the Napoleonic wars from the Austrian perspective, when you have the time. You've got all the skills to analyse the military history. While you may be neutral today, your country have a long military tradition that is worthy of highlighting, to which many people today have no clue about and could do with learning.
@@franciscofernandezriestra9645 Precise numbers doesn't mean they're correct. The Ukrainian military and the Russian military are both dishonest about their losses and only they know how much they are losing.
Gobrachev's dismantling of the USSR ended up costing millions of lives. Territory Russia gained over centuries and which costed countless livess were given up in the blink of an eye. Russia is still paying the price of his decision today. Incompetent leaders are the biggest danger to any country.
Thank you for this honest and objective presentation. War is not a game. War costs real life and the blood of many young people. To respect their life, those who are not fighting the war must tell the real thing to the world.
A solid analysis, but nothing on the main issue 'What's next ?',or was it just a clickbait? Talking about stalemate while ruskies assaulting along the entire front is not a realistic perspective. Unfortunatelly russians outnumber ukranians in every aspect so you don't have to be a general to see the outcome. They should've seek for peace negotiations last year, and I'm afraid that now it's too late.
@@pax6833 russia is grinding on more than 80 points through the entire front as we speak,whether we like it or not they have fresh rotation of soldiers while ukraine doesn't and exactly that will decide the war ,it's a simple math.If they only dug in and waited for russians to come they would have a chance to fight for years,with this offensive fiasco I don't see any positive outcome for ukraine.
it’s not that it’s “unbiased” since he depends of his own sources of informations, and if they are biased, he have to deal with. But he’s honest and factual as much as he can. But sorry, sources are biased for some.
As a Russian I'm sensing a slight pro-Russian bias. It's the little things: 1. Keeping the dramatic music in vids showing destruction of Ukrainian / Western assets. That has no place in this type analysis. Should have been silent or added pink noise to fill the silence or something very low key and neutral. 2. After Colonel showed that pretty terrifying first pic of multiple Western tanks and IFWs and mine clearing vehicles all bunched up and burned / abandoned, he later went on showing a video he credited to Zaluzhny, pretty obviously showing that same scene. That's double-dipping for effect, not to mention based on the watermarks the video was from a Russian aerial asset - even if it was technically Ukrainians who the esteemed Colonel got it from second-hand. I don't believe he's sloppy or dense. That leaves, biased.
There is no room for a neutral attitude while a war is raging. As it is a concern of our own security, it is vital to convince the public that there is no alternative to supporting Ukraine. And it is necessary to give moral support. Call it "propaganda" for 1000 times, no matter. Propaganda in war is necessary, it is good, it is helpful. Also for us. Just as well for us. Ukraine protects us.
Thank you for trying to not be biased. Noticing the long wait for news, until the last minute, to state that the "offensive was not successful" (aka a failure) took a toll from your facial expression, I'm afraid to say that. The most important sentence you, dr., have said was "never underestimate your enemy", and alas NATO countries and its allies have a tendency to look from above to less developed countries as they're inferior.
Looking at the failures from the russian side in the beginning of the war i think it was the russians that understimated Ukraine,but learned their lessons,and now its the same with Ukraine and NATO.
@@mastermariner490 It is a bold statement to consider that the Russian intelligence were unaware of the Ukrainian capabilities, being one of the most populated countries in Europe, being the second largest country in Europe and having the same History and doctrine of Russian armed forces. I am not the specialist here, the colonel doctor is (and he has extremely well-prepared in terms of data and expression), however I've been informing myself from multiple sources, and it's more likely that the "so-called" failure of the Russian forces to conquer Ukraine "in one week" it's more a delusion of the West on thinking they aimed to do it than a proper failure itself. Of course, as any real combat, errors are made, but it's obvious the historical ability of the Russian forces to assess, to reevaluate, and to act. On the other hand, it's NATO now who has to do its retrospective and take corrective actions. Ukraine, alone, is valiant but lacks the resources and the logistics to support the conflict. And remember: the current territory held by the Russians now is about the size of the UK. And they didn't mobilized themselves for total war.
Thanks a million for this absolutely objective and netural briefing. Huge respect for Austrian military to maintain that being aligned to West. This is the first time I have come to know and listen to this channel and surely will watch everytime something new is available. However, please maintain similar quality and neutrality of reporting. Hope war ends and not more people died.
I like how you guys say ‘objective and neutral’ and you’re all clearly just Russian shills and totally biased in favor of Russia. And ALL the top comments approving of this analysis are clearly Russians or Russian supporters. Just say they’re assessing the war in a way specifically that makes Russia looks better. Nobody’s gonna bite you if you just say what you actually mean.
hard to know exactly whats going on and that is clearly the nature of war. transparent battlefield is a new term that will become commonly heard I suspect. This sounds as close as possible to a honest summary of the situation , given a clear way with great examples, thank you Colonel.
I think the strategic plan of russians in the summer of 2023 is very similar to the strategic plan of the Red Army in the summer of 1943. The ukrainians don't have enough military material for the offensive. This offensive was bad planned, the ukrainians understimated the russians for their victories in the spring and summer of 2022.
Ukrainian military leadership knew how strong russian defensive line was, even every soldier knew it. Ukrainian army had to attack with what they had, which was not enough for any significant success. Russian forces had entire year to build their defense. It was the densest defensive line in military history, while Ukrainian military hardware was delivered too little too late to break though it. Russian army had all the newest latest military tech, while Ukrainian army was supplied with older versions of NATO miltech. The numbers was on the Russian side and they were on defense. Yeah, you are so "right" about bad planning... NATO could've just delivered everything earlier in order not to give russians time to build up the defense. After all, NATO was just giving away its old stocks, that were rusting and rotting in warehouses for years, so it was easy to do it fast, but NATO waited for more than a year.
@@Sergii-k8g I knew all yours arguments. More, I complaint in many comments about the paucity and slow rate of military material deliveries. I knew all, but the ukrainian leadership, military and political, failed in the tactical and strategical planning. The NATO absolutely failed too. Too much complacency after the victories in spring and summer of 2022 and nothing about to look at the facts.
I am so grateful to Col. Reisner, like so many others are in the comments for the honest assessment of the War. Your integrity is an honor too all those that have served in the Austrian army over the last century in Valiant defense of the west and its culture, customs and traditions. Deo Vindice
Its not honest when the offensive final results were known months ago. They waited for public attention to shift so that the obvious lies told by leaders were forgotten.
western offensive plan was developed by people with iq 50 and was aimed to be implemented by people with iq 50 . a few old leopards? can make difference? bradly? can make difference? bradly can transport soldjers far away from war line. but not close. people with iq 50 love this plan as well as analysys. so called.
The comment saying Ukr were not trained enough is main reason offensive failed is ignorant at best, arrogant most likely. It assumes a similar army of say Brits or Americans would have fares better. Nothing is further from the truth. British or US armies would have been totally stunned by casualties Ukr took and would have backed out. The losses there would have been totally unacceptable for Western capitals. Its another underestimation of Russian armed forces.
The odds were tough from the start, that's for sure, but the lack of enough foreign aid and the air superiority of Russia really kneecapped the whole thing and cost precious lives to Ukraine.
The West failed to give support before it was predictably needed. Always reacting to Putin's aggression gives him the initiative. How different would things be if tanks/F16s/ATACMS were sent before the offensive not as it faultered. Same choices 6-12months earlier would've made such a difference.
00:03 🌐 Overview of Ukrainian Summer Offensive Overview of the Ukrainian summer offensive and its current status after 195 days. 01:11 🕵♂ Ukrainian Counter-Offensive Expectations Initial expectations of a decisive Ukrainian counter-offensive with attacks from the south. Assessments of potential Ukrainian strategies, including deception and amphibious landings. Overview of the main attack axes and the use of modern Western equipment. 02:34 🚧 Challenges in Breaching Operations Explanation of a complex breaching operation using a manual from the US Army. Key terms: suppress, obscure, secure, and reduce in the context of breaching. Analysis of the Ukrainian breaching operation and the challenges faced. 05:46 🛡 Assets and Capabilities: Russians vs. Ukrainians Comparison of assets and capabilities on both the Russian and Ukrainian sides. Highlighting Russian strengths, including artillery, rocket artillery, air support, and drones. Identifying Ukrainian shortcomings, especially the lack of air components and special weapon systems. 07:31 ⚔ Tactical Results of the Offensive Tactical successes of occupying certain strong points but failure to breach defense lines. Limited breach distances along the main attack axes. Discussion on the wear and tear of offensive brigades and their distribution along the front line. 08:53 🌐 Analyzing Russian Defense Lines Examination of the complex system of Russian defense lines. Breakthrough in the combat outpost line but failure to breach further. Assessment of the defensive success and Ukrainian offensive limitations. 11:04 🔄 Change in Tactics: Terrain and Slow Progress Change in Ukrainian tactics, shifting from direct attacks to following tree lines. Explanation of the flat Ukrainian terrain and its impact on the new approach. Success in a slow-motion breaching operation with high losses. 11:59 🌍 Strategic Outcome and Limited Success Overview of the limited success along the main attack axes. Discussion on Ukrainian and Russian successes and the consequences for offensive brigades. Analysis of the strategic impact on both Ukrainian and Russian forces. 14:27 💣 Russian Adaptations: Air Defense and Weapons Recognition of Russian success in air defense against various systems. Russian adaptation using modified bombs and intelligence bombs. Increase in production rate of cruise missiles and ballistic rockets. 17:21 🚀 American Support: Army Tactical Missile System Delivery of the Army Tactical Missile System by the US to Ukraine. Impact of the missile system on Ukrainian capabilities. Specific use against Russian helicopters and its effectiveness. 18:18 🛑 Stalemate and Observability Acknowledgment of a stalemate in the conflict by General Solushi. Discussion on the transparent battlefield and observability using drones. Use of first-person view drones and their significance in the conflict. 21:23 🌐 Frontline Assessment: Northeast to Black Sea Detailed assessment of different sectors along the 1,200 km frontline. Increased Russian attacks in the northeast, loss of terrain in Bakut, and the situation in other sectors. Success in the Black Sea, forcing Russian naval forces to move east. 24:23 ❄ Winter Challenges and Infrastructure Anticipation of increased Russian attacks on critical infrastructure in the coming winter. Reflection on past winter devastation and challenges in repairing critical infrastructure. Consideration of the strategic impact of winter conditions on the conflict. 24:49 🚀 Intensified Russian Attacks: Shahed Drones and Missiles Discussion on the renewed use of Shahed drones by the Russians. Analysis of the challenges faced by Ukrainian air defense against the fast-paced drones. Overview of the high intensity of Russian missile and rocket attacks in Ukraine, targeting various locations. 25:58 🌐 Center of Gravity: Western Resistance and Assistance Focus on the center of gravity for Ukrainians being the resistance in the West. Notable drop in assistance delivered to the West in recent months. Emphasis on the significance of American support and the need for heavy weapons for offensive capabilities. 26:40 🛑 President Zelensky's Statement on Offensive Quoting Ukrainian President Zelensky's statement: "We are not retreating." Acknowledgment of the absence of a deep and successful offensive. Implication of the challenges Ukraine faces in mobilizing soldiers and resources for future offensives.
Thank you for this important update. Although one has to wonder how accurate some of the statistics are, given the fog of war and deliberate attempt to obfuscate, on both sides.
lol what? What a weird summary, where's the king and the opposing team? If it's just the king the Ukrainian have, surely they've lost 10 times already. Yet still they stand?
Bin gespannt auf Ihre Lageeischnätzung. Ich wurde in Kyjiw geboren und finde es immer sehr interessant, wie tief solche Institutionen die Situation aus der Ferne analysieren können.Andererseits suche ich auch immer nach den kleinen Fehlern, sei es in der Einschätzung oder in der Faktologie, welche manchmal buchstäblich für 99% der Ukrainer augenfällig sind Es zeigt die Grenze einer (Fern)analyse (bitte nicht als Wertung verstehen!). Andererseits ist der Abweichungsmaß darauf basierender Schlussfolgerungen immer interessant zu beobachten DANKE FÜR IHRE ARBEIT!
Как объяснишь это? th-cam.com/video/cq223PiDMyY/w-d-xo.htmlsi=CRCmGhosll_k0EFM И кстати Бандера запрещён во всех странах, но почему то в данной ситуации закрывают глаза.
You mentioned trying to "force the Russian's to the negotiation table", the Russians were at the negotiation table one month in, and they offered a deal that is far better than Ukraine will ever get now. They offered all territories back with two major conditions, semi-autonomous status for Donestk and Lunansk who voted for it in 2014, and not to join NATO which would encroach on Russia's redline... (think of it like Russia stationing armies in Canada). Ukraine scoffed at those terms and now all 4 Oblasts are part of Russia. They will never give them back and there's really nothing anyone can do about it.
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 the deal offered by Russia was to allow Russia to buy time to invade Ukraine again once the Russian army was ready. Ukrainians are not stupid and they refused the deal. Video on yt
They refused the deal and Russia now owns 120 thousand square kilometers of Ukrainian territories, which, according to the experience of the counteroffensive, Ukrainians will never be able to return. If Russia moves to Odessa, it will be a global laughing stock, and Ukraine will cease to be a state (when the sea is taken away from it and all airspace is controlled), and the Russian army with nuclear weapons will stand at the borders of NATO - that's a victory! @@kadovax6567
I dont think it's ever a good idea to give in to the demands of dictators with imperialistic intentions. Imagine the English would have given in to Hitler's demands. Truth is these attacks need to be fought back. Besides the fact that for the Ukranians, living in a russian-controlled state would be horrendous, as it has been under the Soviet rule (see Holodomor etc.) - they are fighting for the very freedom that you, @likemostthings take for granted.
They are better today, than if they accepted Russia. Russia wanted to take over Kyiv. And destroy Ukraine as a nation. After the war started they wanted 40% of all Ukrainian land. If they accept the terms now, Russia will ask again. Then again. And Ukraine doesn't exist anymore.
@@genericscout5408 no, according to head of Zelensky's party and head of negotiation team Arahamia - during negotiations in 2022 Russia mainly wanted Ukraine to agree to never join NATO. And some minor things like stop glorifying nazis, stop oppressing Russian language and stuff like this. Arahamia also added that Boris Johnson ordered them to "just fight" btw If Ukraine negotiated back then - they wouldn't have lost 4 regions, hundreds of thousands dead, 10 million people in immigration, their country wouldn't be in ruins and they could be on their way to EU (cos Russia was ok with Ukraine joining EU, which also a defensive alliance btw, so no "then again and again" would have happened) Stop pretending like Ukraine is fighting for it's existence, they were fine without Crimea and Donbass, their politicians just didn't wanted to end their careers by accepting Russian terms. And now Ukraine is destroyed, while western support is dwindling. I guess Zelensky haven't got the memo from Afghanistan and loyal to US afghans falling from last leaving American plane
@@yellowtunes2756Enough of you lies. They wanted Donbas and they already stole Crimea. This pattern shows that they would likely ask for more and more and more as time passes. Negotiating means giving Russia a pause and their regroup, fortify and come back with mass production of latest weapons to fight again.
@@abhilashpradhan7671 both Donbas and Crimea wanted to leave Ukraine since 2014. If Ukraine followed Minsk agreements - they would have kept the Donbas. If they haven't stated a pro nazi coup - they would have kept Crimea. And if Ukraine negotiated in 2022 - they would have kept multiple other regions Obviously, the more they pissed off Russia - the more they lost, that's a pattern. And we also know that before 2014 everything was fine when they had nice relationship. So . Ukraine tried everything other than talking in good faith
@@yellowtunes2756 And we already know the fake agreements you're talking about. Russia literally was the first to violate the Budapest treaty. And don't even talk about Nazi mate. We know Soviet Union was the biggest supporter of Nazis supplying then with oil, food, metals everything and even jointing invaded Poland with the Nazis. The we're against Nazis only after Hitler backstabbed them. Moscow regime = Nazi 2.0 History is the proof!
Brilliant analysis. Thank you. Finally a proper military expert providing accurate information based on evidence. Please continue. Your work is greatly appreciated.
this is not rly news for anyone following telegram channels, what is missing is strategic level of war, this is tactics at most. Calling war a stalemate while UA has lack of arty shells and lack of men is a misinformation. Also talking about territory gains in what is a war of attrition is also misleading.
Huge respect to the Austrian military for being factual and non biased with their public briefings regardless the side they support. Not a single nation had the honesty or the guts to do so.
Just because it agrees with a narrow and highly biased view that you also happen to agree with doesn't make it "factual" and "non biased". Anyone with a modicum of military-technical knowledge will be suspect of some of the conclusions in these videos.
@@ArchOfficial As much as I'd like Ukraine to maintain its full sovereignty I'd also like honesty. If the west stoop down to the level of self aggrandizing propaganda it's doing the same as the Russians. If you cant swallow bitter truth sometimes you need to grow up cause in life you'll need to face them a lot.
Disregard the Colonel in the Austrian military who advised the Austrian ministry of foreign affairs and defence, @ArchOfficial a random guy in the youtube comments knows better.
@@crusadertank970 In this case, yeah, I do. His logic is not sound in this video. I don't know why being employed in peacetime as an advisor is proof of the contrary.
I suspect I am correct when the only counter-argument is status and past achievements.
Russia lost 86% of the manpower they started this adventure with. No army in the world would do anything but admit defeat exept some Austrian colonel.
And not, this Austrian colonel is not someone who forgot on which side he is supposed to be, but someone who lost large parts of his army and was crazy enough to keep fighting.
The thing that in the west we seem to never mention is the fact that Western Planners for Ukraine wanted her and her soldiers to achieve a massive breakthrough without even Air Parity, something that no NATO general would ever attempt
And the whole planning of the "Nuland offensive"(because apparently she was a major part of the planning) was based upon the idea that Russian troops would rout the moment they were attacked. Nothing could be further from the truth.
Instead, we had events like the single Russian soldier staying behind in an outpost in the perimeter zone and directed artillery onto Ukraine troops, and defeating at least 2 assaults against him by calling in artillery dangerously close and then mopping up the remnants by himself.
And then others followed his example and pulled similar stunts.
And while in practical terms these kind of events only mattered very marginally, it showed that there was never even the slightest chance of the Russian troops in the region routing.
And now Russia has shifted to "a strategic posture of active defense", and that was enough to capture Marinka in 2 months, after 9 years of fighting over the place, they've operationally encircled Vesele, they're encircling Avdiivka(the most heavily defended location on Earth(unconfirmed reports that Ukraine was forced to retreat from Berestove yesterday, making the situation even worse)) and probably aiming to do the same with Novomykhailivka, as they now control the entire south outskirts of the town.
All Ukraine troops east of Oskil river is becoming more and more logistically strained ever since Russia destroyed the bridges over the river in September.
Nearly all the most powerful fortifications west of Bakhmut has been taken by Russia in the last 3 weeks.
Krynky is an epic level meatgrinding deathtrap. Russia is destroying an average of 15-20 boats per week, each with 2-15 soldiers in them, and at minimum a battalion worth of troops every two weeks at the beachhead. And the Ukrainians can't even dig in there, because the groundwater level is so shallow because of the river.
And all those fortifications, and yet losses are completely onesided in favor of Russia. Most Ukraine soldiers never see a Russian before dying.
"without even Air Parity"
The thing you need to understand, is that Russia is only using about 15-20% of its airforce against Ukraine. They're stockpiling and keeping in reserve all their best and most modern equipment in case Nato gets suicidal. That's why you don't see more Kinzhal strikes for example, as because it was a very new weaponsystem, Russia had very few in storage, so they're dedicating most of their production to the reserves.
@@DIREWOLFx75 Another fool who believes in a secret, modern, competent army that Putin keeps in his basement and simply does not want to use it.
@@DIREWOLFx75 Yes Russia has adapted and is performing better than they were at the start but the claim that Russia is saving force in case NATO gets "Suicidal" is completely bogus, had they tried what they did in Ukraine against any other Nation on their western Border like say Finland (before her entry into NATO) they'd have been trounced, to believe they are in a position to even remotely threaten NATO as a whole is pure unadulterated fantasy.
Moreover while Ukraine is currently not in a position to mount any large scale offensives due to the depth of the fortifications on the Russian side and the above mentioned lack of Air Power to cover their advances Russia has not been able to break through Ukrainian lines either despite the multiple changes in the top brass and shift in strategy as they went along, the truth is far simpler the sanctions did hurt Russia and replacing the western supplied components in their, a problem they seem to have mostly solved now by either producing them in house or importing them from Asian allies.
However sooner or later the Russian people will tire of this war, much sooner then the Ukrainian people since it should be clear to any analyst or policy maker that even if the Ukrainian Military completely collapsed and Russian forces were able to take over the country it'd be non stop insurgency, worse than Afghanistan and the attrition would topple the government, if the the war itself does not do that before. And there are precedents for both cases.
This fact of this lack of air forces in the ukranian offensive makes me view this whole war and this leg of the Ukraine war suspiciously-this war is not as it seems and there is an ulterior motives and agenda at play
@@Mithradates_of_Los_Angeles "this war is not as it seems and there is an ulterior motives and agenda at play"
If you bothered to listen, the people who started the war have already admitted that they did.
Go read Rand corporation publication "Extending Russia", available online since 2019.
It discusses how to best destroy Russia, among other things, by forcing a war with Ukraine.
Rand is owned by the Kagan family, of which Victoria Nuland is part.
You know, the *itch who in 2014 decided who would take over in Ukraine after the coup.
BEFORE the coup had happened.
The coup, that USA comitted together with the Svoboda nazi party.
Thank you Colonel Reisner for briefing in English and Österreichischen Bundesheeres for publishing this video.
The West is even loosing the lying game.
H. L. Mencken (1880 - 1956): “Nobody ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public.” ...or the self-serving stupidity of Washington's NAZI collaborators, something for which Austrians have history.
Vladimir Zelenskiy, “I hope that the Congress will approve this financial assistance for our crimes… country”.
The notion the most corrupt nation on Earth could successfully defend itself is laughable. Ukrainian defence is based in Switzerland and designed to protect oligarch bank accounts filled with 'aid money'. Like all other US-NAYOYO collaborators, constant whining for support is just a way to ‘skim’ more money before defeat ends the good times. As the whining gets louder, the war's end gets closer. This explains Zelenskiy's begging for more money and weapons to sell on the black market.
Describing AFU-Washington fantasies as strategy, and a plan, is laughable. NAYOYO "training" failed to properly understand this war, its weapons and conditions. For example, ISR capabilities have made tactical and operational secrecy completely impossible. AFU units were attacked and destroyed in their assembly areas before they got anywhere near the front lines. No one has been able to assemble massed armour and engage in mobile combat as a result.
Tanks, and all other armour, have been revealed as completely useless. They hardly have the ability to approach front lines, let alone make an offensive/defensive impact on the battlefield.
The same can be said of artillery.
How many drone strikes on AFU artillery have we seen?
How many reports of artillery fire strikes on AFU artillery have we seen?
DUMB SHELL artillery accuracy is roughly +/- 50 metres judging from the plowed ground around trenches and tree lines. DUMB SHELL artillery isn't capable of destroying trench lines and bunkers. They aren't capable of destroying armour advancing in narrow single file constrained by mine fields. Drones can easily do all of this for less than the tank fuel costs for an hour's operation.
I love how this guy blames a lack of aircraft for AFU failures. It couldn't be that Ukraine could NEVER defend itself, especially against the world's foremost anti-aircraft defence forces. Demanding AFU employ massive bombardment (Operation Cobra) to break through defences is stupid as they don't have, and will never have this capability. Under estimating Russian army capabilities is covered by the quote below.
Winston Churchill (1944): ”I have left the obvious, essential fact to this point, namely, that it is the Russian Armies who have done the main work in tearing the guts out of the [Nazi] army."
I loe how this guy expects AFU to attack on one line after broadcasting their plans. He doesn't realize Russian forces would have quickly concentrated against one axis. Russian forces would have attacked on other areas without effective defences.
This idiot actually thinks the only path to victory is to reinvent "gunpowder". These fools are still searching for "wonderwaffe". That didn't work for Hitler, and it won't work for Washington's Nazis.
"The war is at a stalemate": Ukraine sends pregnant women, teenagers and 60+ men to face Russia's coming war ending devastation.
In a time where factual, unbiased information is hard to come by, this is pure gold. I wish today's Journalists would take a queue from this.
nah, we can't have that. Got to go with the agenda
As Joe public we don't have the facts.
We have educated guesses.
Neither the Russians or Ukrainians are going to give you the whole truth.
Western sources, although tending to be more honest - when not passing speculation off as truth - also keep a tight lid on what they release - it's the nature of war.
Dima on Military Summary channel provides multiple updates each day and he's reliable. He waits until there is solid information such as geolocations before updating the maps.
It's not hard to come by at all; you can literally sit on your ass and yell at your fucking phone until a video like this (of which there are many) starts playing
@@Darko-Hristoff-Mladenski Can you point to a specific falsehood in this video? As someone who watches a lot of both pro-Ukraine and pro-Russia sources this feels like a genuine assessment agreeable to both sides.
Thank you for a very factual assessment of the Ukrainian war.
Congratulations on your promotion Colonel.
They're lying to you when they pretend that they didn't know what would happen
@@Jamesthechef0311 Of course they are not going to discuss NATO classified.
@@jujujohnson01 Austria is not even in NATO.😂
@@WasLostButNowAmFound I know that. But, meant they are not going to share classified intel, that is on par with NATO intel. EU and NATO do share intel as well, but Russia does not with Austria.
Still associated altough probably not covered by art 5. Austria doesnt "need" art 5 because they are surrounded by nato countries@@WasLostButNowAmFound
The problem is that everyone underestimate Russia. Ukraine believed there own propaganda.
Ukraine believed in the western might.' Might'? They forgot 'might not'!😂😂😂😂😂
Did only Ukrainians believe their propaganda. I remember the Western public in the fall of 2022 after the Ukrainian counter-offensive and the optimism before the start of the summer counter-offensive in 2023. All that optimism, all that arrogance, they are gone. Let's blame the Ukrainians for believing that they could win a war against Russia and ignore the Western public, which has the memory of a squirrel.
@@russellk.bonney8534 You are believing too much in the news. Every single nation/politician involved has been acting in self interest. There is no free lunch.
Now poland wants to believe the propaganda. That US bribe money is rotting their minds.
Russian believe in their propaganda much more
there is a big difference between a perceived stalemate and a grinding attritional war along 1200 km
Agreed 👍💯
There is no stalemate. Russia has won. Period.
it's not a stalemate, it's the agony
@@TTok33 к сожалению эта агония может длится годами. Украинцы всегда отели мира. Зеленский хочет воевать до последнего Украинца сперва ради интересов США, а теперь ради власти. Вы правы все равно украинские нацисты проиграют. русские ни когда не забудут подлость европейцев помогающим нацистам.
@@АндрейМихайлов-и1ч2э Спасибо, очень приятно слышать, что здравомыслие преобладает. Разгромить нацистов.
The first time I've seen unbiased analysis thanks Commander for honesty details without lying to us.
"Thanks for not lying to us". All you have to know about cesspit of a western society
Objective and factual.
Calling out propaganda from both sides, while still explaining it and its effect instead of just ignoring the side you don't like as simple "propaganda".
And actually telling the truth about both efficiency and production of Russian weapon is rare from a western source.
Few people support Russia, but underestimating them will only result in even more young people dying (Ukranians and Russians).
-he is propaganda.
What are you sniffing? 85% of the world support Russia. Get real stop swallowing western propaganda.
Yeah…no, still heavily biased and still propaganda
If he really was objective, he wouldn't be calling the war a stalemate, he'd admit Ukraine is losing badly. Talking about a new Ukrainian offensive next year is pure delusion.
globally around 80% of world population supports russia, only white westerner are against it.
As an old retired navy guy, I miss these debriefs. Thank you for #1 Being unbiased. #2 Doing it in English. #3 Very thorough.
he's actually biased, he has withheld a lot of info to not brutality tell the audience and show how it is 10x worse than how he presented it
@@delta0307 Purpose of these briefs are not be a gore fest. They present what is happening and a macro view. TH-cam also regulates just how brutal you can discuss. They also won't divulge classified or proper intel that can aid Russia.
I believe these are a good recount of what is happening. I am interested in what information you are referring to though.
@@delta0307 , For Ukros it is really 10-12 worse (statistically) now than it was at the beginning of SMO almost 2 years ago (5-6 times worse comparing to Rus, that time)...
@@maksimluzin1121 sure Ivan, oh sorry, Maksim, unbiased russian will be telling about statistics, lol
@@0xua_hodsure Cletus, unbiased and informed merican will be telling us how things are going in a place he can’t find on a map 😂
This guy totally called it this time last year. Saw some ill informed characters trying to say he was wrong on twitter. Looking forward to this.
Did he? Maybe at the beginning. Stalemate is a big lie. Or it is one of the new spins. Stalemate in a few squaremile aerea.And Oh Ukraine won 1k and lost 4 guys per 100 meter. Ukraine is done. And US sources kind of admit it.
Bad prophets cause the damage they claim to foresee.
"Twitter". Enough said.
Totally called it? Do you have a link to where he called "it" - I assume you mean the Ukrainian counter offensive.
@@evaleysti would LOVE to see you try to explain how you think this is true, it's maybe the dumbest "deep" thing I've read all week lmao
Thank you for a great observation and analysis of the Ukrainian offensive. I lost interest in following biased news about the Russian/Ukrainian military conflict a while ago, but your video is s different. It is an honest and reliable peace of information done in a highly professional way.
Many thanks to you and your team, Colonel, for taking the time to produce this English language segment. Invaluable information and analysis. I'm a US citizen following publicly available sources, and your content is unmatched. All the best for Christmas and the New Year
Iììhh
I usually troll pro-Nato vids as they are incredibly ill informed and biased. But this was brilliant. Credit to the Austrian military for speaking as soldiers not state mouthpieces.
@@phouyphonchanh8372 ?
@@r200ti Austria is not NATO member. It is a neutral country.
@@sergbo5680 As a Finn I am ashamed of jumpy Finnish politicians and general public for throwing to the trash bin decades of work for keeping Finland out of military alliances and great power disputes.
Respect for Austria and it's people from Finland!
Would Ukraine and the EU been better off just following the Minks II agreements? Just seems like things are 100x worse, and we will never be as strong as this Spring.
The USA and UK won’t allow them to settle things with Russia. The EU no longer has a voice of its own
@@c4me540 Neither does the UK. And the EU is not a military alliance. This is war. It is not EU territory, so to say.
@@ronaldderooij1774 It's called a proxy war for that reason.
Maybe but it depends on how this war turns out. I doubt very much if someone invaded America and took two states we would settle that without a conflict.
It’s def worse for both the Russians and Ukrainian for this war to continue. But the from my POV the west is coming out way ahead on this one.
Exactly. They will just continue to loss more and more territory the longer this goes on. It would be wise to negotiate before Ukraine loses total access to the sea.
Colonel Reisner was pretty on point earlier this year and it went exactly how he said
_And Russian General January and February will teach Col Woke a lesson._
@@ifv2089 LOL who is Col Woke?
@@robertmaybeth3434 I suppose it is a symbolic representation of all the "Western military experts" (propaganda puppets). Like the "Ghost of Kyiv" was meant to be a symbol for "all the brave Ukraine's military aviators".
@@ifv2089 How's the lesson going?
@@alohaal7125 what do you think 🤔
Thanks for the unbiased, frank assessment. The obvious conclusion is the Western Alliance has given too little and too late - yet still had high expectations.
Do you think the west really wanted Ukraine to win ? I have doubts. Nobody wants a WW3, it's just damage control. Russia would go all in if Ukraine was to reach Crimea or Donetsk. So far it's territorial war not total war.
That is the norm.
in democracy you give on sentiment while politicians steal half of it and then result comes and sentiment changes as democratic majority doesn't like being on loosing side after already faking being decent with pretext to show real colours...
and so many other shows to watch on global netflix possible, with one new started not long ago
Colonel Reisner says it all. While firmly in the West as part of EU, Austria is NOT part of NATO. So our favorite Austrian gives as neutral and objective analysis of the Ukrainian war.
Neutral is a bit of a stretch, a bit like how Finland and Sweden were "neutral" but de facto Article 5 treaty states. Carrying out training with the others, purchasing and using the same equipment and standards etc to allow compatibility.
I said for years that Ukraine's leaders needed to take a page from Austria's playbook. I've been to Ukraine many times over the years, including to Donetsk/Luhansk/Crimea before 2014. I hate to say it, but the last Ukrainian president that understood the importance of being somewhat neutral was Yanukovych.
@@MuantanamoMobile There are very few truly neutral countries in the world, literally only a few. Anything can be written on official pieces of paper, this is normal, no one looks at these pieces of paper in geopolitics, everyone looks, roughly speaking, whether there are integrated structures of any de facto military alliances in this or that “neutral” country
I wish he was truly neutral, in the beginning he was.
Increasingly he is presenting a heavily pro-Ukraine bias which is bordering on cope in this video.
@@stevebuckley7788 NATO and the US have played their hand while Putin was correct that Ukraine has no reliable friends. I would LOVE to see Putin suffer defeat, but Russia can apply much more pressure knowing that Ukraine's allies are more unreliable as the conflict continues.
It’s so difficult to explain failures and defeats. Bust this guy does a decent job.
It's not that difficult it you aren't brainwash
It is not failure and defeat, actually Russia is winning a proxy war with USA and its vassals
@@magistic345exactly
Not difficult at all
After the battle, all generals are smart, but you are boviously are not!
Russians where fully prepared to step back ALOT, they did so at first sign of danger before, I think even they where surprised how poorly this went for Ukrainians. While ATACMS would help, it wouldnt help that much, russian air defence is fairly competent as shown by disasters performance of Ukr airforce, though doubt they could be blamed, they are outmatched in air and anti air significantly. I think US is wary of supplying ukranians with more advanced gear since they tend to loose them or have it captured, there is also issue of triggering a full out war, most of regular people in the West think russians are stretched for manpower from shovel meat assaults by simply downloading telegram and seeing some trench assault teams russians employ...... Reality of it is, most russians are completely unimpacted from the war, in putin speech he didnt even call for mobilization. Doesnt take a genius to see thats russians are getting better but ukr restricted by arms deliveries are stagnant, how long you think our support will last.
What more advanced gear? The US hasn't got more advance gear.
the russian were not surprise, this was the plan all along. NATO was stupid to force the Ukrainian to attack, the Ukrainian knew it would not work but had to since NATO is paying for it.
US has not much more to give militarily, none of the weapon systems will change the course of the war...Giving Ukraine money is really just to pay salaries and pensions to keep up the appearances of functioning government. Kiev has a 40 billion budget hole in 2024, by their own admission it cost them 200 million/day (during the "offensive" phase). Lets say it is 100 million/day while they are defending, that is ~ 36 billion/year extra. A significant portion is lost to corruption. The manpower source is getting worse by quality and quantity by the day, the morale of the populace is sagging. The inflation will go up this year (devaluation of hryvna), tariffs on everything will go up by 30-40% as IMF dictating and the military losses will climb...
@@robertdlucas7418 Most of what we send is stripped of anything significant that we don't want to risk having analyzed or reverse engineered. Even these outdated F16s that are maybe going to be sent, will have upgrades removed from them before being handed over, if ever, and we certainly aren't sending them anything more advanced than that. The F16 isn't even the only air asset we could realistically send or train them on, but its the only one we're willing to risk. You won't see an F22 or any of the F35 variants in Ukraine. You won't see any of our stealth tech for that matter enter Ukraine, especially not our bombers. Basically none of our 'first strike-shock and awe' weaponry will be found inside of Ukraine.
Even the Russians are largely doing the same thing in a lot of regards to keeping their cutting edge weaponry out of the fight, and held in reserve in the event of an escalation with NATO. To give another example, the special armor used by our Abrams tanks is a state secret and none of those tanks sent there will have that, and none of the newer variants will be sent for sure. Even the HIMAR systems are deprived of the targeting equipment and software needed for their maximum effectiveness.
In short, there is a lot more we could send, but the whole point of keeping these systems back, is to make sure the day they are used, they meet the enemy before countermeasures are developed against them. The first strikes start a timer of greater diminishing returns of impact as time goes on, which we've seen with the HIMAR systems becoming generally less effective as time has gone on with Russian anti air adaptations removing them from play anywhere the anti-air umbrella is dense or deep.
Вы всё верно говорите. Россия мобилизовала всего 300000 человек. Остальное контрактники и добровольцы. Вчера выступал Путин, и он объявил что всего взаимодействует в зоне СВО 617000 человек. Сейчас идёт до набор добровольцев и контрактников, и силой ни кто не гонит. Месяц назад просто вызывали с военкомата для уточнений данных, так как я в запасе, и просто спросили есть ли желание подписать контракт. Я сказал нет. Только если совсем всё плох будет, тогда пойду. И просто сказали хорошо, свободен.
A solid and realistic overview, no empty claims. Thank you
One can only feel sorry for soldiers on both sides.
The people with a shred of humanity left can. Im appalled by how many people cheer the deaths of russian soldiers, saying "they could just have stayed home". There are two kinds of soldiers in any conflict imo: The unfortunate and the stupid. The former are conscripted against their will and forced to enact the tragedy that is a pointless invasion with an equally pointless defense (in human, not political terms). The latter convinces him/herself that "yes, i'm fighting nazis in Ukraine to save the local population" or "yes, im fighting the fascist invaders to prevent a genocide and safeguard international law and western values".
I am blame America and England for this war
@@maskva-u6fI am think not. I am think blame Putin
smooth brain@@maskva-u6f
@@Amradar123 Putin didn't want this war, Zelensky did despite promising an end to the war as part of his election campaign. But Zelensky obeys the US and their UK servants, hence the escalation of the war and Russia's entry.
Failure due to no aviation, Kerch bridge is pointless to go after the Russians survived for 2+ years without it
Facts matter
No. Failure due to following NATO/US rule book.
2+ years without it? It’s been fully repaired several months after it was damaged in autumn 2022. What planet did you fall from, buddy?
@@tripleg8381He means 2 years before it was built... Crimea was fine, no land bridge or Kerch bridge this why Ukraine is full of shit for attacking it.
@@tripleg8381Your ignorance is showing 😂
He summarized what the more amateur but still trust worthy mappers have been saying for months.
Indeed.
Military Summary
History Legends
The New Atlas
Scott Ritter
Col McGregor
@@henryrollins9177Colonel Mac Gregor said the Ukranian will be overrunned in 2 weeks.
@@dv2045 If Putin didnt stopped and offered negotiations...
lol sure buddy@@henryrollins9177
@@henryrollins9177 I'd add
Weeb Union (ok, kind of absurd name, but he's pretty solid as far as reporting goes)
Defence Politics Asia (tbh I don't follow it closely, can't follow several different channels every day)
Without proper air superiority one can not expect much advancement without heavy losses from the attacking part on any side.
This is the best and most realistic assessment that I have seen from any official western source.
Try to learn from Russian sources, they are more creditable (Surprise-surprise!!!)...
@@maksimluzin1121 😂😂
@dervorkoster3728……They are though.
I only get lies and propaganda from The New York Times, Washington Post, WallStreet Journal, and Newsweek……our mainstream media is garbage lol.
what sources? can you tell me the names, please? @@maksimluzin1121
@@maksimluzin1121You mean like the Russian MOD which claims to have killed the entire Ukrainian army at this point? Or how they claim to have shot down more planes than Ukraine has?
The lesson was already known but forgotten, never underestimate what Ivan can endure.
Сегодня у нас самое распространенное имя Александр. А вы все так же высокомерны...
@@АлександрВоронков-х9г I don't care what your most common name is today, Ivan is the embodiement of the russian soldier and his spirit. I just said that western powers understimated the will and the strenght of the russian soldier as they did for the afghan warriors. It's a compliment and if you don't see that you are an idiot.
@user-jv4ec5pm9n
What did they brought to you?.
All I see as an outsider is a country misguided Nationalism hijacked by corrupt politicians to deflect thier failure, and blame minorities.
Minorities whom lives on fertile n advance industrial lands..
@@user-jv4ec5pm9n с востока? Точно? А я в Киеве родился. Сейчас живу в Москве. А брат мой двоюродный в Киеве от ТЦК прячется. Ваш салорейх уже достал всех. И не надо мне писать всякую маргинальную чушь про Россию-агрессора.
Проблема в том , что Иван, по две стороны окоп. Сейчас Иван воюет с Иваном.
A superb account as always - bravo Markus
Can we get more videos like this? I love how clear and concise the presentation is.
Unfortunately, 6-8 times a year is much for him here. You have to search for interviews of Reisner on other channels. The presentation will be a little different, not that informative as this one.
@@cz1589 I see, ty
You cannot offer detailed briefings and deliver a running commentary. They are mutually incompatible. The press, the media and social media are only good at shallow commentary.
This is the BEST analysis of the Ukraine offensive so far. GREAT JOB Colonel.!!!
Where is analysis?
@@tereshchenkotav You are an twit
It's otherwise impossible to hear from a non-NATO military source, an objective assessment
We are grateful for an unbiased report. Really shows Austria in good light. Please post regularly. Most of hope that this war would end soon.
US, UK and EU are wasting too much money. It's time to think about peace.
Bidet and his clown minions would rather waste trillions $$$ than admit defeat.
This was a most well-informed and well-presented analysis of the current military situation. Colonel Reisner's presentation is a model for others to follow. I realise that a huge amount of work goes into these presentations and the enormous reception they receive is a credit to the historic Theresian Military Academy.
The Ukraine offensive has failed .............6 months ago. Good you were finally allowed to state what is already known.
Great and unbiased explanation Colonel Reisner, and thank you for giving the briefing in English.
He called Russia the enemy, so hows that unbiased ?
@@justonlyme6121 Because Russia IS the enemy of Ukraine.
@@justonlyme6121He trained Ukrainian officers... Figures.
@@justonlyme6121 because they are
@@bigsmokeinlittlechina174 to a fool like you maybe, to me, those that control our governments are the enemy
🙂Ukraine summer offensive failed, Ukraine next-year offensive failed....etc
50 Countries VS 1 Country
Thank you, Colonel Reisner for continuing to do these honest analysis videos.
Excellent brief. Thanks Colonel!
Very good analysis.
Thank you Mr colonel.
Why all states TV in West Europe do not show these information?
Ukrainian leadership seems to be trapped in a catch-22/vicious spiral situation: 1. they require western support for Ukraine to survive 2. To stimulate the continuity of support they need to consistently achieve battlefield successes 3. They require even higher levels of support to be able to do so 4. To get that support, Ukraine needs to keep achieving significant military offensive successes. 5 For that they need even more support etc.
Militarily, Ukraine isn't ready yet for signicant offensive actions, but politically (domestically and diplomatically) they critically cannot afford not to keep attacking.
It seems an easy way out that the West should just provide whatever (quantities) Ukraine needs to survive without expecting significant offensive actions in the short term.
But that would clash with harsh political realities that exist and others that may come up/return in the West.
So, how is the situation on the Russian side? What levels of support are they short of and what does that support inflow depend on?
So you depend on another country to fund a war and basically fight it for you. My advice don't fight it in the first place.
@@allansmith3837unfortunately you cant choose whether or not a neighboring country invades you :/
@@moukka1760 so let's go along with your argument does that include the USA the biggest warmongering nation on planet earth bar none along with there vassal state's Nato. Its quite obvious that people think and believe what the MSM tell them that President Putin woke up one morning and thought I think I'll invade Ukraine today. I will say one thing there's never been a minutes peace in the world since Biden entered the Whitehouse along with the clowns in his administration. Do some research and always follow the money the money never lies.
Yes you can. Ukraine chose to be invaded by acting in the best interests of the United States and not in the best interests of Ukraine. America is laughing at Ukraine - They have the arms profits and no body bags. Russia is stronger. Ukraine is destroyed. It is dangerous to be an enemy of the USA but fatal to be its friend. th-cam.com/video/wnS_e0n476Y/w-d-xo.html@@moukka1760
urkainian leadership is about cocaine
Another excellent presentation by Col Reisner. I really missed your videos over the past several months.
The offensive was criminal. Generals know better than to let these disasters occur.
Not a stalemate a defeat
Colonel, I would love for you to do a video series on the Napoleonic wars from the Austrian perspective, when you have the time. You've got all the skills to analyse the military history. While you may be neutral today, your country have a long military tradition that is worthy of highlighting, to which many people today have no clue about and could do with learning.
There are so many historical military content creators already though
Probably don’t fancy that because Napoleon absolutely and resoundingly twatted the Austrians so often!
Reality of Russian losses,
Troops 340,000, tanks 5,900, artillery systems 13,000
Infantry combat vehicles 15,000, airplanes 360, helicopters 370.
@@franciscofernandezriestra9645 Precise numbers doesn't mean they're correct. The Ukrainian military and the Russian military are both dishonest about their losses and only they know how much they are losing.
Самую достойную оценку Австрийским офицерам дал великий полководец А.Суворов.
Thank you for your assessment, Colonel Reisner.
Excellent briefing. Thank you for sharing your insights and providing an English language version.
Gobrachev's dismantling of the USSR ended up costing millions of lives.
Territory Russia gained over centuries and which costed countless livess were given up in the blink of an eye.
Russia is still paying the price of his decision today.
Incompetent leaders are the biggest danger to any country.
Thank you for this honest and objective presentation. War is not a game. War costs real life and the blood of many young people. To respect their life, those who are not fighting the war must tell the real thing to the world.
You, sir, are the greatest of them all. Thank you for your time.
Vielen Dank Hr. Oberst. Frohes Fest und ruhige Feiertage. Gruß aus die Niederlande.
Herr Oberst... Hahaha.. Sind Sie ein Soldat in Das Oesterreichische Armee?
Until Ukraine can prove it can do elastic defence instead of just rigid defence it shouldn’t go on offensive.
They just need to give up otherwise more people will die. But with a clown incharge in Ukraine and US I don't see that happening
Ukraine will hold on into 2025
Love Dr. Reisner. The only neutral disseminater of information that I have been able to find.
Der Meister is back. Thanks!
A solid analysis, but nothing on the main issue 'What's next ?',or was it just a clickbait? Talking about stalemate while ruskies assaulting along the entire front is not a realistic perspective. Unfortunatelly russians outnumber ukranians in every aspect so you don't have to be a general to see the outcome. They should've seek for peace negotiations last year, and I'm afraid that now it's too late.
Not realistic? Russia is completely unable to push anywhere in Ukraine.
Very strange view @@pax6833
@@pax6833 russia is grinding on more than 80 points through the entire front as we speak,whether we like it or not they have fresh rotation of soldiers while ukraine doesn't and exactly that will decide the war ,it's a simple math.If they only dug in and waited for russians to come they would have a chance to fight for years,with this offensive fiasco I don't see any positive outcome for ukraine.
Thoughtful analysis. Thank you.
Very professional, unbiased, and well organized presentation. You have used real data to drive and and share rational inferences. Enjoyed it. Thanks
it’s not that it’s “unbiased” since he depends of his own sources of informations, and if they are biased, he have to deal with. But he’s honest and factual as much as he can. But sorry, sources are biased for some.
it is still biased, but at least it's not absurd.
Thankyou for your time and overview
We need more analysis, Markus Reisner, we need you! Please don't leave us, english channel viewers without new video.
Yes! solid non-biased analysis, not narrative.
As a Russian I'm sensing a slight pro-Russian bias. It's the little things:
1. Keeping the dramatic music in vids showing destruction of Ukrainian / Western assets. That has no place in this type analysis. Should have been silent or added pink noise to fill the silence or something very low key and neutral.
2. After Colonel showed that pretty terrifying first pic of multiple Western tanks and IFWs and mine clearing vehicles all bunched up and burned / abandoned, he later went on showing a video he credited to Zaluzhny, pretty obviously showing that same scene. That's double-dipping for effect, not to mention based on the watermarks the video was from a Russian aerial asset - even if it was technically Ukrainians who the esteemed Colonel got it from second-hand. I don't believe he's sloppy or dense. That leaves, biased.
@@AlexKarasev doh - there is no pro-ukrainian material he can use, they have no successes apart from the faked ones.
There is no room for a neutral attitude while a war is raging. As it is a concern of our own security, it is vital to convince the public that there is no alternative to supporting Ukraine. And it is necessary to give moral support. Call it "propaganda" for 1000 times, no matter. Propaganda in war is necessary, it is good, it is helpful. Also for us. Just as well for us.
Ukraine protects us.
@@AlexKarasev I find this alarming. Thank you for your observation, I often mute the videos and just read.
@@evaleyst So when do you give up? Fight to the last Ukrainian? I hope you are Ukrainian if you say that and not American.
Thank you Colonel Reisner for the very concise and comprehensive briefing, well done sit.
I really like to see your videos, very accurate and professional manners to deliver information.
Thank you for trying to not be biased. Noticing the long wait for news, until the last minute, to state that the "offensive was not successful" (aka a failure) took a toll from your facial expression, I'm afraid to say that.
The most important sentence you, dr., have said was "never underestimate your enemy", and alas NATO countries and its allies have a tendency to look from above to less developed countries as they're inferior.
He is biased. If he wasn't biased he'd tell you Russia is winning. Instead he implies there is a stalemate.
The Woke West thinks they're morally superior...
@@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311 I said "trying"
Looking at the failures from the russian side in the beginning of the war i think it was the russians that understimated Ukraine,but learned their lessons,and now its the same with Ukraine and NATO.
@@mastermariner490 It is a bold statement to consider that the Russian intelligence were unaware of the Ukrainian capabilities, being one of the most populated countries in Europe, being the second largest country in Europe and having the same History and doctrine of Russian armed forces.
I am not the specialist here, the colonel doctor is (and he has extremely well-prepared in terms of data and expression), however I've been informing myself from multiple sources, and it's more likely that the "so-called" failure of the Russian forces to conquer Ukraine "in one week" it's more a delusion of the West on thinking they aimed to do it than a proper failure itself. Of course, as any real combat, errors are made, but it's obvious the historical ability of the Russian forces to assess, to reevaluate, and to act.
On the other hand, it's NATO now who has to do its retrospective and take corrective actions. Ukraine, alone, is valiant but lacks the resources and the logistics to support the conflict.
And remember: the current territory held by the Russians now is about the size of the UK. And they didn't mobilized themselves for total war.
Outstanding brief. Thank you Colonel Reisner.
Outstanding presentation, well done and thank you for the quality of your work.
Thank-you for this excellent recap. Carry The Big Stick!
Thanks a million for this absolutely objective and netural briefing. Huge respect for Austrian military to maintain that being aligned to West. This is the first time I have come to know and listen to this channel and surely will watch everytime something new is available. However, please maintain similar quality and neutrality of reporting. Hope war ends and not more people died.
I like how you guys say ‘objective and neutral’ and you’re all clearly just Russian shills and totally biased in favor of Russia. And ALL the top comments approving of this analysis are clearly Russians or Russian supporters.
Just say they’re assessing the war in a way specifically that makes Russia looks better. Nobody’s gonna bite you if you just say what you actually mean.
@@lylewalker5681you need to take meds you sound mad
hard to know exactly whats going on and that is clearly the nature of war. transparent battlefield is a new term that will become commonly heard I suspect. This sounds as close as possible to a honest summary of the situation , given a clear way with great examples, thank you Colonel.
The offensive didn’t “fail”, it was defeated.
Will you do a video about Avdievka and Ocheretyne situation?
I think the strategic plan of russians in the summer of 2023 is very similar to the strategic plan of the Red Army in the summer of 1943.
The ukrainians don't have enough military material for the offensive. This offensive was bad planned, the ukrainians understimated the russians for their victories in the spring and summer of 2022.
Ukrainian military leadership knew how strong russian defensive line was, even every soldier knew it. Ukrainian army had to attack with what they had, which was not enough for any significant success. Russian forces had entire year to build their defense. It was the densest defensive line in military history, while Ukrainian military hardware was delivered too little too late to break though it. Russian army had all the newest latest military tech, while Ukrainian army was supplied with older versions of NATO miltech. The numbers was on the Russian side and they were on defense.
Yeah, you are so "right" about bad planning... NATO could've just delivered everything earlier in order not to give russians time to build up the defense. After all, NATO was just giving away its old stocks, that were rusting and rotting in warehouses for years, so it was easy to do it fast, but NATO waited for more than a year.
@@Sergii-k8g I knew all yours arguments. More, I complaint in many comments about the paucity and slow rate of military material deliveries. I knew all, but the ukrainian leadership, military and political, failed in the tactical and strategical planning. The NATO absolutely failed too. Too much complacency after the victories in spring and summer of 2022 and nothing about to look at the facts.
History does indeed repeat itself
@@dirckthedork-knight1201 Very similar, I don't said the same. The huge soviet summer offensive in 1943 not happened in 2023.
I am so grateful to Col. Reisner, like so many others are in the comments for the honest assessment of the War. Your integrity is an honor too all those that have served in the Austrian army over the last century in Valiant defense of the west and its culture, customs and traditions. Deo Vindice
Its not honest when the offensive final results were known months ago. They waited for public attention to shift so that the obvious lies told by leaders were forgotten.
western offensive plan was developed by people with iq 50 and was aimed to be implemented by people with iq 50 . a few old leopards? can make difference? bradly? can make difference? bradly can transport soldjers far away from war line. but not close.
people with iq 50 love this plan as well as analysys. so called.
Gute Aufklärungsarbeit des ÖBH, dankeschön.
Outstanding presentation. Thank you.
The Russians defenses is legendary
5 months later, it's even worse.
Make peace, you fools.
A wonderfuly objective analysis! Would love to see more of these, thank you for posting in English!
Thank you for these videos.
So much hype was made about the dragon teeth when the real obstacles were kilometres deep minefields, portable ATGMs, and helicopters.
The comment saying Ukr were not trained enough is main reason offensive failed is ignorant at best, arrogant most likely. It assumes a similar army of say Brits or Americans would have fares better. Nothing is further from the truth. British or US armies would have been totally stunned by casualties Ukr took and would have backed out. The losses there would have been totally unacceptable for Western capitals. Its another underestimation of Russian armed forces.
The odds were tough from the start, that's for sure, but the lack of enough foreign aid and the air superiority of Russia really kneecapped the whole thing and cost precious lives to Ukraine.
th-cam.com/video/cq223PiDMyY/w-d-xo.htmlsi=CRCmGhosll_k0EFM
And somehow nobody thought about that when they sabotaged the peace treaty in Turkey last year.
The West failed to give support before it was predictably needed. Always reacting to Putin's aggression gives him the initiative. How different would things be if tanks/F16s/ATACMS were sent before the offensive not as it faultered. Same choices 6-12months earlier would've made such a difference.
"Lack of enough foreign aid?" Ukraine had plenty.
Lol us alone has given 3 times of annual military budget of Russia for the whole year. But yeah I agree it is not enough 😂😂😂
very interesting analysis and keeping it honest. thank you for the videos.
00:03 🌐 Overview of Ukrainian Summer Offensive
Overview of the Ukrainian summer offensive and its current status after 195 days.
01:11 🕵♂ Ukrainian Counter-Offensive Expectations
Initial expectations of a decisive Ukrainian counter-offensive with attacks from the south.
Assessments of potential Ukrainian strategies, including deception and amphibious landings.
Overview of the main attack axes and the use of modern Western equipment.
02:34 🚧 Challenges in Breaching Operations
Explanation of a complex breaching operation using a manual from the US Army.
Key terms: suppress, obscure, secure, and reduce in the context of breaching.
Analysis of the Ukrainian breaching operation and the challenges faced.
05:46 🛡 Assets and Capabilities: Russians vs. Ukrainians
Comparison of assets and capabilities on both the Russian and Ukrainian sides.
Highlighting Russian strengths, including artillery, rocket artillery, air support, and drones.
Identifying Ukrainian shortcomings, especially the lack of air components and special weapon systems.
07:31 ⚔ Tactical Results of the Offensive
Tactical successes of occupying certain strong points but failure to breach defense lines.
Limited breach distances along the main attack axes.
Discussion on the wear and tear of offensive brigades and their distribution along the front line.
08:53 🌐 Analyzing Russian Defense Lines
Examination of the complex system of Russian defense lines.
Breakthrough in the combat outpost line but failure to breach further.
Assessment of the defensive success and Ukrainian offensive limitations.
11:04 🔄 Change in Tactics: Terrain and Slow Progress
Change in Ukrainian tactics, shifting from direct attacks to following tree lines.
Explanation of the flat Ukrainian terrain and its impact on the new approach.
Success in a slow-motion breaching operation with high losses.
11:59 🌍 Strategic Outcome and Limited Success
Overview of the limited success along the main attack axes.
Discussion on Ukrainian and Russian successes and the consequences for offensive brigades.
Analysis of the strategic impact on both Ukrainian and Russian forces.
14:27 💣 Russian Adaptations: Air Defense and Weapons
Recognition of Russian success in air defense against various systems.
Russian adaptation using modified bombs and intelligence bombs.
Increase in production rate of cruise missiles and ballistic rockets.
17:21 🚀 American Support: Army Tactical Missile System
Delivery of the Army Tactical Missile System by the US to Ukraine.
Impact of the missile system on Ukrainian capabilities.
Specific use against Russian helicopters and its effectiveness.
18:18 🛑 Stalemate and Observability
Acknowledgment of a stalemate in the conflict by General Solushi.
Discussion on the transparent battlefield and observability using drones.
Use of first-person view drones and their significance in the conflict.
21:23 🌐 Frontline Assessment: Northeast to Black Sea
Detailed assessment of different sectors along the 1,200 km frontline.
Increased Russian attacks in the northeast, loss of terrain in Bakut, and the situation in other sectors.
Success in the Black Sea, forcing Russian naval forces to move east.
24:23 ❄ Winter Challenges and Infrastructure
Anticipation of increased Russian attacks on critical infrastructure in the coming winter.
Reflection on past winter devastation and challenges in repairing critical infrastructure.
Consideration of the strategic impact of winter conditions on the conflict.
24:49 🚀 Intensified Russian Attacks: Shahed Drones and Missiles
Discussion on the renewed use of Shahed drones by the Russians.
Analysis of the challenges faced by Ukrainian air defense against the fast-paced drones.
Overview of the high intensity of Russian missile and rocket attacks in Ukraine, targeting various locations.
25:58 🌐 Center of Gravity: Western Resistance and Assistance
Focus on the center of gravity for Ukrainians being the resistance in the West.
Notable drop in assistance delivered to the West in recent months.
Emphasis on the significance of American support and the need for heavy weapons for offensive capabilities.
26:40 🛑 President Zelensky's Statement on Offensive
Quoting Ukrainian President Zelensky's statement: "We are not retreating."
Acknowledgment of the absence of a deep and successful offensive.
Implication of the challenges Ukraine faces in mobilizing soldiers and resources for future offensives.
Thanks for this summary. Excellent work!
My pleasure
@@NilodeRoock
Thank you for this important update. Although one has to wonder how accurate some of the statistics are, given the fog of war and deliberate attempt to obfuscate, on both sides.
Your the best,absolutely the best.Love the videos, i learn so much
In Chess, if the king is alone against the entire opposite team but can't move they call it a stalemate. In war, we call it a total defeat lol
@@vincentromano187exactly
lol what? What a weird summary, where's the king and the opposing team? If it's just the king the Ukrainian have, surely they've lost 10 times already. Yet still they stand?
You never win the Russia in this war
Bin gespannt auf Ihre Lageeischnätzung. Ich wurde in Kyjiw geboren und finde es immer sehr interessant, wie tief solche Institutionen die Situation aus der Ferne analysieren können.Andererseits suche ich auch immer nach den kleinen Fehlern, sei es in der Einschätzung oder in der Faktologie, welche manchmal buchstäblich für 99% der Ukrainer augenfällig sind Es zeigt die Grenze einer (Fern)analyse (bitte nicht als Wertung verstehen!). Andererseits ist der Abweichungsmaß darauf basierender Schlussfolgerungen immer interessant zu beobachten
DANKE FÜR IHRE ARBEIT!
Как объяснишь это? th-cam.com/video/cq223PiDMyY/w-d-xo.htmlsi=CRCmGhosll_k0EFM И кстати Бандера запрещён во всех странах, но почему то в данной ситуации закрывают глаза.
@@DarmoeD88 А ПОЦЧЕМУ ВІ ІНТЕРЕСУЕТЕСЬ? )
Auf Deutsch heißt es Kiew. Auch wenn euch das aus politischen Gründen nicht gefällt und viele schon Kyiv sagen.
@@KrokLPDanke! Ihre Meinungn ist uns wichtig!
Thank you - I don't have any military training, yet your explanation was easy to follow and it was valuable in helping me understand.
What untold heroism must have been seen during these months. From both sides.
This offensive was based on intelligence report from mainstream media.
It was based on wishful thinking
Ich freue mich wieder extrem über eine Lageeinschätzung von Herrn Reisner
Oberst Reisner
@@lani6647 sry
@@Hundshunt 😂
Fantastic.so great to understand the analysis in English. Thanks.
Failure is finally admitted - months after it was obvious. CYA.
You mentioned trying to "force the Russian's to the negotiation table", the Russians were at the negotiation table one month in, and they offered a deal that is far better than Ukraine will ever get now.
They offered all territories back with two major conditions, semi-autonomous status for Donestk and Lunansk who voted for it in 2014, and not to join NATO which would encroach on Russia's redline... (think of it like Russia stationing armies in Canada). Ukraine scoffed at those terms and now all 4 Oblasts are part of Russia. They will never give them back and there's really nothing anyone can do about it.
Yeah thats not in the USA best interests. We need to spend more money on weapons.
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 the deal offered by Russia was to allow Russia to buy time to invade Ukraine again once the Russian army was ready. Ukrainians are not stupid and they refused the deal. Video on yt
They refused the deal and Russia now owns 120 thousand square kilometers of Ukrainian territories, which, according to the experience of the counteroffensive, Ukrainians will never be able to return. If Russia moves to Odessa, it will be a global laughing stock, and Ukraine will cease to be a state (when the sea is taken away from it and all airspace is controlled), and the Russian army with nuclear weapons will stand at the borders of NATO - that's a victory! @@kadovax6567
I dont think it's ever a good idea to give in to the demands of dictators with imperialistic intentions. Imagine the English would have given in to Hitler's demands. Truth is these attacks need to be fought back. Besides the fact that for the Ukranians, living in a russian-controlled state would be horrendous, as it has been under the Soviet rule (see Holodomor etc.) - they are fighting for the very freedom that you, @likemostthings take for granted.
👍👍👍 .. what appears to be a pretty accurate summation of the situation on the ground.
Thank you ..
Nobody can look at Ukraine today and say they are better off than if they simply accepted Russian oversight rather than NATO oversight.
They are better today, than if they accepted Russia. Russia wanted to take over Kyiv. And destroy Ukraine as a nation. After the war started they wanted 40% of all Ukrainian land. If they accept the terms now, Russia will ask again. Then again. And Ukraine doesn't exist anymore.
@@genericscout5408 no, according to head of Zelensky's party and head of negotiation team Arahamia - during negotiations in 2022 Russia mainly wanted Ukraine to agree to never join NATO. And some minor things like stop glorifying nazis, stop oppressing Russian language and stuff like this. Arahamia also added that Boris Johnson ordered them to "just fight" btw
If Ukraine negotiated back then - they wouldn't have lost 4 regions, hundreds of thousands dead, 10 million people in immigration, their country wouldn't be in ruins and they could be on their way to EU (cos Russia was ok with Ukraine joining EU, which also a defensive alliance btw, so no "then again and again" would have happened)
Stop pretending like Ukraine is fighting for it's existence, they were fine without Crimea and Donbass, their politicians just didn't wanted to end their careers by accepting Russian terms. And now Ukraine is destroyed, while western support is dwindling. I guess Zelensky haven't got the memo from Afghanistan and loyal to US afghans falling from last leaving American plane
@@yellowtunes2756Enough of you lies. They wanted Donbas and they already stole Crimea.
This pattern shows that they would likely ask for more and more and more as time passes.
Negotiating means giving Russia a pause and their regroup, fortify and come back with mass production of latest weapons to fight again.
@@abhilashpradhan7671 both Donbas and Crimea wanted to leave Ukraine since 2014. If Ukraine followed Minsk agreements - they would have kept the Donbas. If they haven't stated a pro nazi coup - they would have kept Crimea. And if Ukraine negotiated in 2022 - they would have kept multiple other regions
Obviously, the more they pissed off Russia - the more they lost, that's a pattern. And we also know that before 2014 everything was fine when they had nice relationship. So . Ukraine tried everything other than talking in good faith
@@yellowtunes2756 And we already know the fake agreements you're talking about.
Russia literally was the first to violate the Budapest treaty.
And don't even talk about Nazi mate. We know Soviet Union was the biggest supporter of Nazis supplying then with oil, food, metals everything and even jointing invaded Poland with the Nazis. The we're against Nazis only after Hitler backstabbed them.
Moscow regime = Nazi 2.0
History is the proof!
It's not, I repeat not a bridgehead. It's a death trap used by the Russian army to grinder down the UAF..
Good grief
No wonder the Germans lost the war
It’s like this
Big dog fights little dog
Sure little dog will get some bites in but big dog always win
Another excelent report, from Spain
Brilliant analysis. Thank you.
Finally a proper military expert providing accurate information based on evidence. Please continue. Your work is greatly appreciated.
this is not rly news for anyone following telegram channels, what is missing is strategic level of war, this is tactics at most. Calling war a stalemate while UA has lack of arty shells and lack of men is a misinformation. Also talking about territory gains in what is a war of attrition is also misleading.