Bank of England Interest Rate Decision June 2024 - My Take

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 4 ส.ค. 2024
  • The Bank of England now has inflation back at its 2% target but its policy remains very restrictive with Bank Rate at 5.25%. The Bank expects little growth in years ahead so will this be a recipe for the first rate cut in this cycle? Hear our summary of what the MPC says and does and what it means for investors and homeowners in the UK.
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    00:00 Introduction to Interest Rate Decisions
    00:45 Surprising Services Inflation
    02:24 UK Inflation Trends and Comparisons
    04:43 Bank of England's Future Projections
    05:32 Monetary Policy Committee Insights
    06:02 Global Economic Conditions
    10:39 UK Economic Performance and Political Implications
    19:19 Viewer Questions and Portfolio Advice
    30:00 The Power of Communication in Monetary Policy
    31:04 Understanding the MAPS Survey
    32:50 Rebalancing Your Portfolio: When and How
    34:45 Market Concentration: A Global Perspective
    39:04 Shorting the FTSE 250: Risks and Considerations
    42:54 The Dynamic Nature of Stock Indices
    46:10 Constructing a Balanced Portfolio
    50:33 The Impact of Populism on Markets
    55:12 Conclusion and Upcoming Events
    📹 Investing With Vanguard playlist • Investing with Vanguard
    📹 Portfolio Building Blocks playlist • Portfolio Building Blocks
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ความคิดเห็น • 35

  • @simonspencer3108
    @simonspencer3108 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    Thanks Ramin! Difficult to talk for an hour when nothing changed… lol

  • @harrispetchcomedy
    @harrispetchcomedy หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Hi Ramin, love your content. With these long videos that are nearly an hour please can you go back to putting the chapters in?
    Made it much better to hear the moments I was most interested in

  • @mahendrajasubhojani6374
    @mahendrajasubhojani6374 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    It is a pleasure to listen to your talk

  • @badkeiser
    @badkeiser หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I’m waiting to get mortgages and I’m kind of broke till I do but I’d still rather see them do their job properly than do things that suit my personal finances.

  • @martinsingfield
    @martinsingfield หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Interestingly, most economists believe that there is a 12 to 18 month delay between changes in interest rates and the effect on the economy. So the BoE should not really be looking at the current rate of inflation, but rather where they think aggregate demand and supply (i.e., the determinants of inflation) will be in mid-to-late 2025.

  • @clickmaker764
    @clickmaker764 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Please add chapters on these longer videos.

  • @brightbluesmurf
    @brightbluesmurf หลายเดือนก่อน

    The UK market is very cheap, l decided to go all in on BT @ 107.50 in my SIPP. Actively managing the SIPP, no funds.

  • @barkingdadprofessionaldogw2371
    @barkingdadprofessionaldogw2371 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Awesome!!! It’s a good job you didn’t disclose Helen’s name 😂

  • @badkeiser
    @badkeiser หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I was thinking that we need another finfluencer on Ramin’s level too and someone from the BoE would be great.

  • @MarkCW
    @MarkCW หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Rent inflation might account for approximately 20-30% of service inflation in the UK and could be as high as 55% for low income families. Rent inflation is currently 7%, so if interest rates were reduced it would help bring down inflation because the rent inflation would go back to it's average of around 3.78%.

    • @steeldoubloon19
      @steeldoubloon19 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

      They use cpi not rpi data

  • @PhillCurtis
    @PhillCurtis หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thanks as always ramin 👍

    • @Pensioncraft
      @Pensioncraft  หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Always welcome @PhillCurtis

  • @1234doawee
    @1234doawee หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    I dont think its likely things will get better, looking at Labour policy all i see is things getting politically and economically more unstable as they dont plan to address the key issues

    • @GavinLawrence747
      @GavinLawrence747 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      No raise in the personal allowance, no cut in corporation tax, no support for SMEs, no talk of opening new trade links, no boost to LISA contributions etc
      All we've had is a nebulous commitment to "growing our economy" and "creating wealth" - both pretty much at odds with the Rayner style of government.
      Not going to be a pleasant 5 years. Hope i'm wrong.

    • @steeldoubloon19
      @steeldoubloon19 23 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@GavinLawrence747I reckon they must be spending more and hovering up money via stealth taxes considering they said no tax rises nor borrowing

  • @tancreddehauteville764
    @tancreddehauteville764 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Good on the Bank! Interest rates fell way too much after the 2008 crisis.

  • @teddyb4957
    @teddyb4957 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Trading 212 is cheaper than HL BUT do they 'make-up' their platform 'loss' by having a less favourable Buy/Sell spread?

    • @GavinLawrence747
      @GavinLawrence747 หลายเดือนก่อน

      AFAIK T212 cfd platform pays for the other platforms.
      Spreads on the equity dealing in the invest and ISA is not where they make money.

    • @teddyb4957
      @teddyb4957 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@GavinLawrence747 Why would you run such a business model where running a platform doesn't make any income?...doesn't make logical or financial sense to me!

    • @davem.4003
      @davem.4003 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@teddyb4957Because it's a loss-leader, just like bargain-basement pricing on a few products in the supermarket - you are attracted by the 10% discount on the product but once in store, you spend 20x that amount on the other things giusto buy and that's where they make their money. With T212, they entice you with zero platform fees and if giusto are successful with investment then you'll try your hand at individual stocks and then maybe foreign-denominated stocks and eventually CFDs. They are also growing their customer base and once you are familiar with the platform, you are more likely to stay than to move to a lower-cost provider (if they eventually start increasing charges). It's about upselling/cross-selling and tie-in.

  • @u10722u
    @u10722u หลายเดือนก่อน

    If the current rates are on average over history do you think the current “sticky” rate will have a negative affect on the stock market ?

  • @aac74
    @aac74 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Not sure looking at interest rates in the past is much of a guide to where we are now. Before total democracy when there was a gold standard, 5% rates worked fine, but now we have total financialisation driven by total democracy creating a massive debt load. The economy only functions on negative real rates so they will have to return very soon and be around for years while we wait for a miracle e.g. new energy source, robots or ai to bailout the economy via massive productivity gains.

  • @alexandre9051
    @alexandre9051 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Hi Ramin...I have a question for you, why VHVG has a slight better performance than VEVE? In general, I realised that vanguard accumulation ETFs perform better than the Distribution version of the same ETFs. I wonder why this happens.

    • @davem.4003
      @davem.4003 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Because an Accumulation fund grows by the increase in value of the stocks it contains, plus the value of reinvested dividends?

    • @alexandre9051
      @alexandre9051 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@davem.4003I'm considering reinvesting the dividends. The ACC ETFs still do a little better than Dist ETFs. I wonder why since it's the same portfolio

  • @lawrencehooper4341
    @lawrencehooper4341 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Really interesting video thanks for the explanations.

    • @Pensioncraft
      @Pensioncraft  หลายเดือนก่อน

      Glad you liked it @lawrencehooper4341

  • @mahendrajasubhojani6374
    @mahendrajasubhojani6374 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Can one who is resident in USA have an account with Trading 212

  • @andymeek
    @andymeek หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thanks Ramin! I hope to catch a live show one day (so I can do a super chat) as I always watch the catch-ups.
    I have no idea if Labour will be good for the economy, but I suspect not given unimpressive the front bench is, but hey there's always hope 😂

  • @badkeiser
    @badkeiser หลายเดือนก่อน

    Andrew Bailey is king!! 😂😂

  • @george6977
    @george6977 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Excessive immigration of barbarians didn’t boost Lebanon’s GDP in the long run. The public realise it; woke politicians and the media choose to ignore it.