@@jmurda8533 he limped AQs.. then goes 12k when his oponnets have 50k.. you know what that does? that makes people play like nits to punish this kind of behaviour..
Garrett is the most overrated player in the history of the game mate... play ABC poker against massive whales... he ain't coming back because even these dudes are actually quite good players. Nowhere near Triton/online level but very competent
The fact Mariano didn't rabbit hunt the river shows his mindframe when playing. I think its a good thing to not be results oriented and have a gameplan..cause most of us lowstake players would be begging to see that river card😄
I really don't know why they declined Airball's request for the clock. He had already given him 4.5 minutes, that's more than reasonable to call the clock.
That "... I need water" comment triggered me. Sad i know, but dam we know ur rich but u cant afford some bloody manners. Im sure thats y so many arent fond of this individual
Mathematically, this should be a fold. The equity calculator they use on the show factors in all the cards of all players at the table. Mariano’s true equity is no greater than 32% before eliminating all the non-diamond hands in Nik’s range. So, realistically, Mariano’s equity is closer to 28% which is 8% shy of what he needs for a call based on the pot odds. Good fold.
i really don't think mariano had a decision to make there as much as he had to think about the chips for the rest of the night, rent money, etc. that dude can play, he knows where he is at. ace king or queen, which you have good equity against, or air, he's fairly face up at this point. airball is a very good player and good for this game. i don't get the hate for him. he's annoying, especially when pros are at the table, but he also brings it every night and he knows where he is at and the good outweighs the bad.
The odds were calculated incorrectly though. It’s a lot closer to to a fold, he would need more bluffs to make it a call. Not seeing many bluffs taking this line when he has the 10d in his hand. 32% equity.
It's out of subject but can anyone explain to me what is the goal of a straddle? If the game is 300BB and players straddle almost all the time why they don't just play a level higher with 100BB?
graphics are way off here and im surprised tuchman didn't notice it , he doesn't have 40% equity , they added in a gutshot for some reason , he has 14 outs so he has 30% equity
5:43 am i wrong w 40% odds its a +EV call? maybe im calculating this wrong but if he calls its a 60% chance to win &116,800 and a 40% chance to lose $68,000 which comes out to an EV of $6k to call? obviously he doesn’t know he has a 40% chance so it’s kinda a tossup irl
im new to poker and im curious what the explanation is for why QJhh has worse equity preflop then JTdd and 43hh. Like yes, it's clearly worse than AQss in the sense that AQ wins if the q pairs. But it beats JT in any straight with a T, it beats JT if J pairs, and it beats 4/3 if the heart flush comes.
Because the aq had qj wrapped up and the j10 took away more outs so it has the worst equity because of all 4 went to the flop, it would be highly unlikely they would 1) hit a pair or a straight or a flush given the cards everyone else is holding.
Ace of hearts on the board is the inflection point. You just don't want to see ace x of diamonds. You're doing fine against a range that doesn't include Ax of diamonds. If you put AdXd into his range you're prooobably not good. That's how I'd see it in game... I'd hope lol
Obvious nik knew Mariano was draw heavy with the flop call and was content to not let it go any further than the turn. The fact is his turn bet shows he doesn't want to get drawn out on. If you know any of your draws are good then it's really just a question of equity. Nik was trying to shut down all draws from the word go.
That 40 percent is taking into account the cards that have been removed. In Mariano's mind, he is getting more like 28 -29 percent. It's just barely a fold based on thenpot odds with mariano thinking he has 14 outs, but when you consider the small possibility that you might have the best hand, I don't hate the call.
Equity on screen is wrong. Regardless, he’s not getting right price against Nik’s range, probably roughly 25-28%? My guess without plugging it in. Call is losing money. This is why you don’t call with hands like this preflop with this SPR.
I've seen people go all in like LikDickBall and get destroyed with a slow played set, AK, Ax diamonds. He might be winning money but the other players have a higher respect for their money as they earned their money through jobs or like Mariano grinding to build it. DickBall likely inherited, playing with family wealth or won a lottery.
Airball is probably the best player at that table and has probably won his money playing poker. You can look up the cumulative results of these games and hes up a ton. I'd much rather play with a guy like airball who has a little personality and can juice the action up a bit than most of these other guys even if Nik can be a bit of a dick at times.
@@3BetLight currently i would also say airball was the best at this table, meriano a second but with larger potential in the next 2 years. still airball isnt an airball, plays mostly pretty snug and builds his image as a loose cannon. classic hustling, his game is solid but rather on the tighter side. mariano is not totally there but he is going the garrett route, hyper agression and controlling the game.
Yeah let's just make up a bunch of crap about someone. FYI nik has been playing poker since birth, as his parents were both avid poker players. He is no bum!
@@roadracerdave7645 It increases it because it takes out more brick cards than it takes out his out. He would of have 14 outs from 44 cards not knowing dead cards, but he have 12 outs from 30 cards when all dead card are accounted for.
Was Mariano talking about nik furball in the beginning lol. You know Ryan had to approach nik with the proposition "hustler needs a villain and since it's impossible to make you likeable, will you be our villain?"
I have seen him do his little table talk and then give someone at the table next to him his awkward little wink so many times. It’s always when he just knows he has the best hand in spots like this. People playing him will eventually see that if they haven’t already. Every time I see him wink at someone not talking to him and not in the hand it just makes me cringe.
People got technical in the comments and that’s all correct but the announcer was right, if you went with “fuck it” and got out flopped, it really doesn’t get much better than this.
The way airball places that’s the way a poker player has to be.. Mariano is a loser to call with JT and I would have shoved on flop. Mariano is a playing stakes he is not supposed to be.. he lose 4 big pots then you can see him playing 1/2.
Nik actually grew on me. I used to not stand him, thought he was a douche and still do, but he’s actually really funny and has massive balls even IF the genesis of his bankroll was his family’s or whatever, it takes massive heart and courage and skill to climb the ranks and make it this far and last. He portrays the image of a loose maniac but he’s in control for the most part. We need filter-less players like Nic to infuse poker with some very needed life and vitality since 90% of the high stakes pool are smug snobby mostly left leaning quiet douches, like actual ones.
@@johndildo8786 What side of the ideological spectrum that Nik leans in, I haven’t a clue, but most of the high stakes guys, especially the solver Euro Fedor types, look, sound, and act more liberal/left leaning in my eyes. Same goes for the bulk of the American high stakes pool. I just wanted to comment on my perception change of Nik’s personality. Still a douche, but a fun one with balls and a plan. Who knows, it might be an act like Tony G where outside of poker, he’s a gentleman but at the table his image of an insufferable maniac makes him successful.
Announcer stated it perfectly at @4:10 Mariano acting brave preflop when he called Nik’s 3 bet, just to get the flop he wanted, gain equity on the turn, and then fold? That’s some fake bravado
no its not, he going willingly into battle, then decide. its rather smart to be able to retreat from that battle when you think its better todo so. otherwise youre just an easy to exploit fish. airball then just needs to wait for hands like this and bomb every street for max value.
You do realise that Mariano was gonna go for a donk call suckout, if he had called all-in prior to river, right? He was very smart to be able to not let his ego take over and fold when his assessment told him that he is behind. Professionals always say, put your chips in when you're ahead, if you want to win in the long term.
@@xipleadthe5th Yeh, that was poker. He had a decent hand to see the flop with. It wasn't like he called with 2,7 lol. The flop could've literally given him a straight flush with his suited connectors. But once the board has already run out with only 1 card to go before you go all-in. That too, if you already think you're behind, is trying to chase from behind and long term it will definitely become a losing habit, even if once or twice such gamble works out in your favour.
I’ve seen Airball do a lot of disrespectful things at the poker table in these clips, but butchering purple rain might be the worst of all of them
so y do they let the arse play just ban the gobshite.What he did to jungleman was terrible,\i cant afford them stakes but boy I would smack him
Yes that’s why I would rob Nik air ball in person if I ever saw him
Prince is rolling in his grave.
Worst is when he start stroking his stack in front of national tv
😂
“I need water”…. Dude, how about saying please Nik.
Still better than Wesley rattling his empty cup at the waitress and yelling ICE! The money just amplifies...
Y’all just find anything to hate on nik for lmaoooo getting under the players skin so bad it’s affected the masses
Damn, dude can't even ask for water!!
I THOUGHT THE SAME THING..
@@hammertyme8392 he has the manners of a goat…
0:32 “Barely legal, 1800.” Love this dealer 🤣
He don’t give a fuck 😂😂
why its barely legal
@@chamweixiong8432 barely minimum raise
that is why he is the goat
Has nothing to do with minimum raise amount…. It’s a joke, he’s referring to age of consent, 18.
Nik is not sweating because of Mario he’s sweating because he’s 60 lbs overweight
60 more like 100
It's definitely more than 60 _for sure_
@@RS-do6tv I was just being nice LOL
@@whitestguyuknow you’re correct
60???
i’m glad we have a new villian in poker. he’s like the annoying entitled rich kid from school hahaha
naa annoying his opponents is part of his game. thats good old school poker.he aint that bad, there certainly a lot worse people.
@@woswasdenni1914not in poker there aint. No one shall miss him if he’s never seen again.
Cartman of poker.
I want Garrett back to teach Nik how to really play big stack
He played the hand perfectly
@@jmurda8533 he limped AQs.. then goes 12k when his oponnets have 50k.. you know what that does? that makes people play like nits to punish this kind of behaviour..
Garrett is the most overrated player in the history of the game mate... play ABC poker against massive whales... he ain't coming back because even these dudes are actually quite good players. Nowhere near Triton/online level but very competent
@@AnaInTh3Sky 😂😂😂😂
Never happening. Garrett is done playing here.
Did anyone notice nik violating the chocolate chips waiting on Mariano to make a decision?? 🤦♂️ 😆
That was code for Mariano to fold 😂
Was wondering who else caught that. Lol
The fact Mariano didn't rabbit hunt the river shows his mindframe when playing. I think its a good thing to not be results oriented and have a gameplan..cause most of us lowstake players would be begging to see that river card😄
Also, I think the only reason Mariano folded is because he thinks there is a chance Nik has pocket aces, and that takes away half his outs.
@@davidnoriega88he still would be 25%
He knew he was behind. Good fold
@@hammertyme8392 not really.... He already invested 25k. Plus had a 40% chance to 2.5x his money.....had he known his outs i guarantee he calls that.
@@Dynamic0NE 40% was a mistake from the video. He has 30.5% 14 outs from the turn to the river, is 30.5%... not 40%
So nobody's gonna mention Nik's hand up and down hand movements with those all in chips?
huge stack
It means he is depressed from playing poker. He wants to jerk up his Airballs to gain some excitement at the table.
That was code for Mariano to fold😂
Ha good catch. For anyone wondering, 5:04. NSFW!
That was some SUS shit
Amazing chip shuffling at 5:02.
😂
🤣🤣🤣
I really don't know why they declined Airball's request for the clock. He had already given him 4.5 minutes, that's more than reasonable to call the clock.
They didn't, I folded shortly after the countdown began
I think he was talking to another player at the table, not the dealer
@@MarianoPoker Ahh ok, thanks for clarifying that.
@@MarianoPokerare you playing Triton series marinara 😅😍
I WANNA KNOW THE RIVER AAAAARRRRGGHHH
What difference does the river make if you don't put your money in?
King of clubs
That "... I need water" comment triggered me. Sad i know, but dam we know ur rich but u cant afford some bloody manners.
Im sure thats y so many arent fond of this individual
I’ve seen some great folds from him, but I’ve never seen anything from him that would earn him any respect as a person.
Damn, Nik can't even ask for water!!
@@hammertyme8392 not hard to say please mate, is it
@@richiem7716 for some it is..
Mathematically, this should be a fold. The equity calculator they use on the show factors in all the cards of all players at the table. Mariano’s true equity is no greater than 32% before eliminating all the non-diamond hands in Nik’s range. So, realistically, Mariano’s equity is closer to 28% which is 8% shy of what he needs for a call based on the pot odds. Good fold.
Exactly. Amen. Poor commentating
no, a good fold was pre-flop
@@clownworld8403 true, but an eventual fold is better than a call
O’Donnell’s know their stuff!
Bad fold. Why is he even calling pre or post flop if he isn't getting it all in with that turn card?
Do you have a calendar of professional events that you will be in?
"I remember my first time on a semi-watched TH-cam clip channel."
i really don't think mariano had a decision to make there as much as he had to think about the chips for the rest of the night, rent money, etc. that dude can play, he knows where he is at. ace king or queen, which you have good equity against, or air, he's fairly face up at this point. airball is a very good player and good for this game. i don't get the hate for him. he's annoying, especially when pros are at the table, but he also brings it every night and he knows where he is at and the good outweighs the bad.
The odds were calculated incorrectly though. It’s a lot closer to to a fold, he would need more bluffs to make it a call. Not seeing many bluffs taking this line when he has the 10d in his hand. 32% equity.
So anyone gonna talk about Mariano saying "I'm calling" when Lynne still had cards? Pretty dirty angleshoot with 4 people in the hand.
Lynne is brutal. Like a human rain delay every decision is a clock.
Then she is all talking strategy after getting punked by the back-raise because she can't just take a flop with QJ.
5:06 ayo airball a little bit exicted for an all-in, call
It's out of subject but can anyone explain to me what is the goal of a straddle? If the game is 300BB and players straddle almost all the time why they don't just play a level higher with 100BB?
graphics are way off here and im surprised tuchman didn't notice it , he doesn't have 40% equity , they added in a gutshot for some reason , he has 14 outs so he has 30% equity
Would have loved a call and a diamond bink.
5:43 am i wrong w 40% odds its a +EV call? maybe im calculating this wrong but if he calls its a 60% chance to win &116,800 and a 40% chance to lose $68,000
which comes out to an EV of $6k to call?
obviously he doesn’t know he has a 40% chance so it’s kinda a tossup irl
He doesn’t have 40% equity. He has 32% equity. It’s incorrect.
@@3handedpoker It is actually 37.50%
Very important they included that Chesthair part at the beginning lol
im new to poker and im curious what the explanation is for why QJhh has worse equity preflop then JTdd and 43hh. Like yes, it's clearly worse than AQss in the sense that AQ wins if the q pairs. But it beats JT in any straight with a T, it beats JT if J pairs, and it beats 4/3 if the heart flush comes.
it is dominated and one of the jacks are dead and many of the hearts are also dead and likewise the Broadway cards are gone. Utterly fucked
Because the aq had qj wrapped up and the j10 took away more outs so it has the worst equity because of all 4 went to the flop, it would be highly unlikely they would 1) hit a pair or a straight or a flush given the cards everyone else is holding.
how u got 40% equity with 14 outs?
IF I WAS TO GUESS, I’M VERY CONFIDENT AIRBALLS’ WIFE CHEATS ON HIM EVERY OPPORTUNITY LOL
Well when you pay for wives what does it really matter
Who cares.. nick should technically have a competent wife who makes couple of 100k a year.. nick is an investment banker in LA
The way Nic was stroking that stack of chips was a bit uncomfortable 🍆
Ace of hearts on the board is the inflection point. You just don't want to see ace x of diamonds. You're doing fine against a range that doesn't include Ax of diamonds. If you put AdXd into his range you're prooobably not good. That's how I'd see it in game... I'd hope lol
Easy on the blow airball. Total snow rocket into the napkin at 40 seconds 😂😂
Mariano just got some of his own.
good fold. dunno why the graphics say it was 60/40%.. that was preflop. on the turn mariano had 32% equity and was getting less than 2:1
Airball shafting his stack like a proper creep!🤦🏼♂️
Muy bueno Mazza, q opinas de consumir además multi vitaminicos?
a 5 minute tank? seriously mariano
Air ball is such a goose
How is that 40% on the turn? Please explain…
It’s taking the folded hands/cards of the other players into account.
Obvious nik knew Mariano was draw heavy with the flop call and was content to not let it go any further than the turn.
The fact is his turn bet shows he doesn't want to get drawn out on. If you know any of your draws are good then it's really just a question of equity.
Nik was trying to shut down all draws from the word go.
flop is AT8 rainbow.
Draw heavy indeed.
I watched an eight minute video just to see a fold
The sweating meatball 😅
They didn't notice my first wink, let's give them a second one
Marino mad he called a clock 😂
Mariano you let me down homie
What’s nik doin at 5:05 lol
He even did a little wink ha wtf
😂😂
This is one of the times I really want to see the river.
lmao the way mariano looks at him🤣🤣
This video should be named "watch Mariano tank fold to a sweaty Airball"
That 40 percent is taking into account the cards that have been removed. In Mariano's mind, he is getting more like 28 -29 percent. It's just barely a fold based on thenpot odds with mariano thinking he has 14 outs, but when you consider the small possibility that you might have the best hand, I don't hate the call.
Why does he have to have AQ, good read but why? Why can't it be 72
Equity on screen is wrong. Regardless, he’s not getting right price against Nik’s range, probably roughly 25-28%? My guess without plugging it in. Call is losing money.
This is why you don’t call with hands like this preflop with this SPR.
Either way it wasn't wrong if he called it easy fold but if he hit the reward is great
5:14 I like how Nik is rubbing the Chips.
Almost wanted m to call just to see that big ♦️ on the riv.
I've seen people go all in like LikDickBall and get destroyed with a slow played set, AK, Ax diamonds. He might be winning money but the other players have a higher respect for their money as they earned their money through jobs or like Mariano grinding to build it. DickBall likely inherited, playing with family wealth or won a lottery.
Airball is probably the best player at that table and has probably won his money playing poker. You can look up the cumulative results of these games and hes up a ton. I'd much rather play with a guy like airball who has a little personality and can juice the action up a bit than most of these other guys even if Nik can be a bit of a dick at times.
@@3BetLight currently i would also say airball was the best at this table, meriano a second but with larger potential in the next 2 years.
still airball isnt an airball, plays mostly pretty snug and builds his image as a loose cannon. classic hustling, his game is solid but rather on the tighter side.
mariano is not totally there but he is going the garrett route, hyper agression and controlling the game.
Yeah let's just make up a bunch of crap about someone. FYI nik has been playing poker since birth, as his parents were both avid poker players. He is no bum!
2x10 3xj 9 diamonds 14 outs 28% not 40 right?
Dead cards
Deadcards should lower the %, not increase it, right?
@@roadracerdave7645 It increases it because it takes out more brick cards than it takes out his out. He would of have 14 outs from 44 cards not knowing dead cards, but he have 12 outs from 30 cards when all dead card are accounted for.
Can we got Tom Dwan in this game to take all of airball's chips
Bro why is this man stroking his chips like that
Why is no one noticing these odds are wrong? Like how could he ever have 40% on the turn here? 32%, gd fold, gg.
Dead cards are accounted for in that odds. When you account for dead cards, Mariano has 12 outs from 30 remaining cards which is 40% chance.
Yeah but for a viewer learning odds it’s beneficial to see hand vs hand odds imo. But yeah fair point.
I don’t think I’ve ever heard Mariano swear out of anger 🤔
Lol Lynne the rich fish there was definitely thinking about calling the 4bet with QJ or jamming
She’s not rich
Lynne isn’t ready to be squeezing that hand. Then posturing like she’s ever continuing vs the 12k reraise
Hairball Nik looks like a biracial Uncle Fester
Nik is the probably the only I don't like on here and that's saying a lot since both Hellmouth and Matacow played on here before...
Lynne is such a bad player and so transparent
Having said that, Mariano didn’t need to tank that long
Actually, I really don't like Nik Hairballs attitude. Hope he gets felted forever 🙏
He lost 800K to Big Balls Ben quad 3
Was Mariano talking about nik furball in the beginning lol. You know Ryan had to approach nik with the proposition "hustler needs a villain and since it's impossible to make you likeable, will you be our villain?"
I love Mariano he is playing outstanding. nik is also with aggression.
no one even asked for the rabbit now im not gonna be able to sleep
From his table talk I would fold
If you see Nik outside the tables is so different...he's a smart man...he make the part...he try to put psicological pressure to opponents...
Is it me or are they both hammered
I wanted to see that river so bad..
I don’t think he should’ve called, because no value money behind if he hits on the river.
Mariano dont got enuff money to gamble for a hit there
Airball should not be mentioning Durrrr in the conversation, they are not in the same league!
Anyone else here feels like this is literally 90% of the spots that I'm in when I play online or live. and also 90% of the time I don't hit it.
I call flop with a set here, villain checks turn. I call flop with draw, villain somehow finds the 1.5x pot over bet.
Airball looks like “Gru” from despicable me.
Should've shown the river
I have seen him do his little table talk and then give someone at the table next to him his awkward little wink so many times. It’s always when he just knows he has the best hand in spots like this. People playing him will eventually see that if they haven’t already. Every time I see him wink at someone not talking to him and not in the hand it just makes me cringe.
Probably why he gets defensive with people staring him down. He knows deep down he must be a tell box.
Playing that slow would drive me crazy
People got technical in the comments and that’s all correct but the announcer was right, if you went with “fuck it” and got out flopped, it really doesn’t get much better than this.
The way airball places that’s the way a poker player has to be.. Mariano is a loser to call with JT and I would have shoved on flop. Mariano is a playing stakes he is not supposed to be.. he lose 4 big pots then you can see him playing 1/2.
I think I'll just stick to the 1/3 or 2/5's. Lol
9 d + 3 J + 2 T = 14 outs. How is that 40% with just one card to come?
Dang snap.
I’m thankful for the comments so I don’t have to watch the end
Not sure how Mariano has 40% equity when he is 30% here.
Taking into account all the dead cards is not how you do equity.
Nik actually grew on me. I used to not stand him, thought he was a douche and still do, but he’s actually really funny and has massive balls even IF the genesis of his bankroll was his family’s or whatever, it takes massive heart and courage and skill to climb the ranks and make it this far and last. He portrays the image of a loose maniac but he’s in control for the most part. We need filter-less players like Nic to infuse poker with some very needed life and vitality since 90% of the high stakes pool are smug snobby mostly left leaning quiet douches, like actual ones.
Why do you believe that most poker players are left leaning and is nik any different lol
@@johndildo8786 What side of the ideological spectrum that Nik leans in, I haven’t a clue, but most of the high stakes guys, especially the solver Euro Fedor types, look, sound, and act more liberal/left leaning in my eyes. Same goes for the bulk of the American high stakes pool.
I just wanted to comment on my perception change of Nik’s personality. Still a douche, but a fun one with balls and a plan. Who knows, it might be an act like Tony G where outside of poker, he’s a gentleman but at the table his image of an insufferable maniac makes him successful.
@@nsnz33 yea nic portrays a lose crazy player but he knows what’s going on and that’s why he’s able to get a lot of light calls so often
Is Nik playing with his allowance from Mum and Dad?
Announcer stated it perfectly at @4:10 Mariano acting brave preflop when he called Nik’s 3 bet, just to get the flop he wanted, gain equity on the turn, and then fold? That’s some fake bravado
no its not, he going willingly into battle, then decide. its rather smart to be able to retreat from that battle when you think its better todo so.
otherwise youre just an easy to exploit fish. airball then just needs to wait for hands like this and bomb every street for max value.
You do realise that Mariano was gonna go for a donk call suckout, if he had called all-in prior to river, right? He was very smart to be able to not let his ego take over and fold when his assessment told him that he is behind. Professionals always say, put your chips in when you're ahead, if you want to win in the long term.
@@ChannelV88 he let his ego take over when he called pre and said “idgaf”
@@xipleadthe5th Yeh, that was poker. He had a decent hand to see the flop with. It wasn't like he called with 2,7 lol. The flop could've literally given him a straight flush with his suited connectors. But once the board has already run out with only 1 card to go before you go all-in. That too, if you already think you're behind, is trying to chase from behind and long term it will definitely become a losing habit, even if once or twice such gamble works out in your favour.
That's not the flop he wanted. AdKdQd, JJJ, 101010, AJJ or A1010 would have been.
This is why the kids shouldn't play at the big boy table
Nik isn’t doing well with his weight loss
Lynne looks really washed up and in a dark place. I wonder who's staking her..
SHE AN IDIOT WITH FAMILY MONEY...
She’s sitting next to Nic.
it has been her parents since the beginning she has never won a hand
She’s eatable 🤤
She got family money. One would have to be insane to stake her
Wow, I love Mariano
Mariano is kind of annoying
Nik seems like such an unmannered person.. Literally jawning in another players face without covering his mouth.
Packing Mariano tank for too long and then just gold
We all know nik didn't want to that call. Thatvisbwhybhe kept talking, trying to sound all confident..
Hairball is so stupid he doesn't include the amount he put into the pot when he counts the amount he would win.