Adam please have luke on again and PLEASE ask him about the debt ceiling default coming up and the effects on us now that this banking crisis has happened. Looks like it has more chances because of Congress division
I am blown away Adam by your guests. Luke’s understanding and the way he expresses his analysis is simply phenomenal. Your discussions are first class. Thanks guys. One thing I notice here in New Zealand is many wealthy older Americans travelling through the country with plenty of money to spend especially with the exchange rate being so great for you guys. I firmly believe tourists spending here like drunken sailors after being pent up up for a few years will just keep us by a hair out of a recession for a little while.
@@seroweassociatesllc just to clarify, why does govt. spending bode I'll for tourism, per se? I'm in Australia, and though I don't like our new improved $T national govt. debt, I can't link it's impact to tourism in my head. Cheers !
@@tjunglec what I meant is the govt has spent too much money on all kinds of irrelevant shit. Tourism is dead in NZ compared to pre 2020. So having a few rich Americans running around d is not going to save NZ from a depression.
With arden and the maoris running ur boutique irrelevant country even a few epsteins and bankman freid n dell types buying up estates in south nz; u have no chance - but be happy as smokers are now criminals, next is beer drinkers and buying ammo will be vetoed. u r toast over there.
That overhearing a conference room conversation as someone left and the door swing open, giving you temporary understanding of what's going on was a great analogy by Luke @ 45, awesome guests as usual.
Yea, these people don't really know anything and can't predict anything. If they could they wouldn't be doing TH-cam interviews; they would be on their super yachts or flying around in their jets.
He's really knowledgable. I really learned a lot from him and Simon hunt. Both really understood the macroeconomic and geopolitical aspect of the economy that is the underlying driving the econ now, deeper than the fed interest hikes
I've been living within my means for years now. It's not fun, but I sleep better than when I was deep in debt. I empathize with anyone under financial water right now!
I retired with NO DEBT, that is the secret sauce for financial freedom for most folks. Per annum, I generate $24k in savings and $10k in dividends. Plus $100k in gold and silver Never retire with huge debt….and live below your means, gives you stability, security and the cash flow to invest in down markets. Good luck!
Luke Gromen said earlier this year that the Fed would pivot in August, and something to the effect that Congress should force the Fed to pivot. I've completely tuned him out since his nonsensical statements.
I just listen to a fantastic video of Rick Rieder, BlackRock CIO of Global Fixed Income, on Bloomberg Markets and Finance. Rick Rieder is contradicting Luke Gromen. In a tug of war between Rick Rieder and Luke Gromen, I am all in on Rick Rieder
This is awful. When you put this in the context of Ron Paul's article this week on the Mother of ALL Collapses causing societal chaos and violence, we need to pray, network and periodically DRINK HEAVILY.
Demand will continue to exceed supply, probably until the economic system collapses. Who cares about the stock market. Shooting the economy in the foot, in some vain attempt to save it from itself compounds already insurmountable problems and might make it impossible to make necessary changes.
Thank you Luke for your breathtaking views and in-depth knowledge of Debt and Fed , Treasury and how it all meshes up into a big mess and Reset coming.
Fantastic interview. Adam, you and Luke are the best. Your guests on this show are truly phenomenal. I am concerned that you are pushing yourself too much and hope that you can swing a little rest to give your voice a chance to recuperate. Just a thought …maybe Stephanie can step in for you a little so that you can take a much needed break around the holiday season if she would would be willing 🤔
Classic rock and a hard place, damned if you do damned if you don’t, painted into a corner. Some might say up the creek without a paddle. Time to learn to swim
Question: "The US is insolvent at 5% (Fed Fund Rate)..." with Gold at $1800 - YES. What if Gold is revalued? would that change the outcome of what Powell is doing? It would seem like a lot of Central Bankers are preparing for that to happen. What does that mean for the US? not internationally but domestically? It's possible that the US still retains some global currency dominance (because we have the financial system setup) however I'm more concerned about domestically what does that mean for me? And my family? for other middle class people? If we really hold 8000 tons of gold would it be that bad for us?
Federal taxes such as capital gains, dividend, corporate, estate and inheritance are essential for restraining concentrations of wealth. THAT IS THE SOLUTION.
Really good interview Adam, I really like this guest he is really smart and has the ability to give such broadscoped insights. By the way, why don't you start selling a t-shirt with your picture on it with that characteristic background and text saying "I see your nodding your head as I'm saying this." I'd be a customer..
Mr. Gromen is a great guest and he paints a grim picture. However, for all of the talk of a fed pivot, I truly cannot understand how a pivot can do anything but make things ultimately worse.
@Wealthion955 At the risk of embarrassing myself, I have to admit I don't have a cell plan that has texting abilities nor do I otherwise know how to direct message you. Nevertheless, thanks for reaching out to me.
So does Congress think, because we're using fiat currency that the public won't suffer? MMT is adamant that the US doesn't have a problem with debt, due to our currency being a sovereign currency; but now we're seeing inflation in our dollar, thus the public and corporations endur hardship, correct? Former President Reagan and Roosevelt knew the wealthy should fund wars, so they raised taxes upon them; yet for decades now, we've borrowed from China, and banks to finance our wars, while giving the wealthy a free ride! The wealthy need to band together to stop these destructive, shamelessly bloated wars!
Higher interest rates are bringing speculative companies down out of the clouds. Tesla market cap dropped from a trillion to under 500 billion. Still worth 10 times more than Ford. So will it drop another 80 percent? As Warren Buffett said the auto industry is a low margin business. There is no pot of high profits there at least not historically. Tesla shareholders are getting angry. Very astute analysis in the discussion. Great guest. I was intuitively thinking this but you guys put the back of envelope scenario down well
At 9:08, as the guest is discussing a sovereign debt crisis, what appears to be a piece of duct tape fell from his window. Is this a sign? Does this mean that the entire edifice of U.S. Empire and Capitalism is being held together by duct tape?
It’s a fascinating debate between at what point does the us fiscal deficit finally matter in terms of the supply/demand curve. As in we keep issuing debt and it gets exacerbated in recessions but people keep buying it up because a)deflation (as happens in recessions) is good for bonds and b) all the money that’s sitting in other assets finds itself into bonds and you get divergence in performance (corporate debt spreads blow out as an example). It still hasn’t mattered so far. You got a taste of it mattering in UK with truss as she announced more unfunded deficits but they don’t have reserve currency nor was it smart thing to do when you have outright inflation still spreading.
What is the largest sector of the economy? Hint, it consumes, or constitutes, 37% of gross domestic product. It's not academic, basic materials, consumer cyclical, consumer noncyclical, energy, financial, health, industrial, real estate, technonlgy or utilities. Two of the sectors may produce profits but no goods. However, the largest sector does not produce profits or goods,The largesst sector produces no goods or profits and it is dwarfs any other sector. The largest sector is government, and it is a consumer of goods and services. Hence, it is an instrument of inflation. Therefore, the most effective method to reduce inflation is to decrease government; fat chance. As a government agency, with no limits to its function, the Fed is part of the problem.; factually, it is the problem.
I don’t think we can blame the Fed wholly for this mess. Big government and big government spending on both sides of the aisle, billions going to Ukraine and never ending government deficits for years and years have dug this hole deeper and deeper.
It appears the Fed doesn’t have the stomach for a house cleaning. Instead it’s gonna be shamed into a pivot by those already drunk on easy money. What will be the precipitating event that will make not just the Fed but the whole US economy to smell the coffee?
TLT is (by far) my largest position in portfolio right now with a TIPS ETF my 2nd largest position, but Luke's analysis about how much US Treasury issuance needed to happen in 2023 combined with Fed QT has me a bit nervous even as recession is now starting! Can 2023 be a repeat of 2022 with everything falling together in massively painful way?!? Yikes is all I can say
FOR PART2 OF THIS INTERVIEW WITH LUKE go to: th-cam.com/video/_0c5Ml3rH7k/w-d-xo.html
Looks like Luke Gromen has pivoted before the FED…
Adam please have luke on again and PLEASE ask him about the debt ceiling default coming up and the effects on us now that this banking crisis has happened. Looks like it has more chances because of Congress division
Another great interview Adam. You pump out 4-5 high quality videos a week.
Don’t burn yourself out, we need you in top form.
Almost every Wealthion video is a home-run.
I’ve listened to the video with Felix Zulauf 6 times. One of the best gems of Wealthion this year. 💎💎💎
I am blown away Adam by your guests. Luke’s understanding and the way he expresses his analysis is simply phenomenal. Your discussions are first class. Thanks guys. One thing I notice here in New Zealand is many wealthy older Americans travelling through the country with plenty of money to spend especially with the exchange rate being so great for you guys. I firmly believe tourists spending here like drunken sailors after being pent up up for a few years will just keep us by a hair out of a recession for a little while.
Wishful thinking. What with our govt spending over the last 3 yrs we are also heading for a whole lot of hurt. Particularly in the tourism side. IMHO
@@seroweassociatesllc just to clarify, why does govt. spending bode I'll for tourism, per se? I'm in Australia, and though I don't like our new improved $T national govt. debt, I can't link it's impact to tourism in my head. Cheers !
@@tjunglec what I meant is the govt has spent too much money on all kinds of irrelevant shit.
Tourism is dead in NZ compared to pre 2020. So having a few rich Americans running around d is not going to save NZ from a depression.
With arden and the maoris running ur boutique irrelevant country even a few epsteins and bankman freid n dell types buying up estates in south nz; u have no chance - but be happy as smokers are now criminals, next is beer drinkers and buying ammo will be vetoed. u r toast over there.
@@seroweassociatesllc
You mean U.S man-made COVID-19 killed tourism worldwide??
Any time I see a new Luke interview posted, I immediately drop whatever I’m doing to listen.
Me too! 👍
Holding the baby🤔
Luke is always a great guest. Thanks Adam.
Huge fan of Luke. This was a great discussion, thanks for having Luke on!
Adam is a phenomenal interviewer! Great show with Luke!
Luke Gromen, one of my top five must watch.
"How do you wanna light the fuse?" 🔥🔥🔥🔥💣 Luke is awesome! Great show, Adam!
Really enjoy interviews with Luke
Insolvent at 5 is my all time favorite statement .. thank you Luke 👍🏻
Luke is excellent. Thank you Adam!
That overhearing a conference room conversation as someone left and the door swing open, giving you temporary understanding of what's going on was a great analogy by Luke @ 45, awesome guests as usual.
Fan from Australia here; You guys just keep getting better and better. Luke is one of my faves.
Great Interview Adam! Luke is amazing, let's follow up with him in the end of Q1!
Adam, thanks for the mini breakdowns after your questions are answered! Some of this stuff is 🤯 great channel and great content! 👍🏽
Thanks for bring Mr. Luke Groman on. Great analysis
Luke is the best! Thanks 👍👍
Luke said the FED would "pivot by September" last time he was on the show. -He cannot be taken seriously whatsoever.
Yea, these people don't really know anything and can't predict anything. If they could they wouldn't be doing TH-cam interviews; they would be on their super yachts or flying around in their jets.
@38 minutes now.
So many nuggets.
Thank you Luke.
Adam, hope you feeling ok. Thanks for the hard work and great interview Luke.
This channel I always hit the thumbs up at the beginning because I know it will be good.
Wow Wealthion! The PERFECT GUEST for the day after FOMC day. Get well soon, Adam! ✌️
He's really knowledgable. I really learned a lot from him and Simon hunt. Both really understood the macroeconomic and geopolitical aspect of the economy that is the underlying driving the econ now, deeper than the fed interest hikes
Lukes wood stove. He's a prepper👍🏻
Yes! I was excited to see that!
First thing I thought as well. At least he will stay warm and be able to cook.
Interviews with Luke are always amazing such a smart guy
The most underrated YT channel 🤌🏼 Adam producing high quality content even when he’s sick. G.O.A.T 🫡
this is some Deep analysis , thanks to you both and feel better soon adam
Always excellent guests and dialogue.
Luke has a Climate Controlled BUNKER!!! Bravo
Fantastic interview. Thanks Gents.
Great stuff Luke. We all needed to hear it.
I've been living within my means for years now. It's not fun, but I sleep better than when I was deep in debt. I empathize with anyone under financial water right now!
I retired with NO DEBT, that is the secret sauce for financial freedom for most folks. Per annum, I generate $24k in savings and $10k in dividends.
Plus $100k in gold and silver
Never retire with huge debt….and live below your means, gives you stability, security and the cash flow to invest in down markets.
Good luck!
Luke Gromen said earlier this year that the Fed would pivot in August, and something to the effect that Congress should force the Fed to pivot. I've completely tuned him out since his nonsensical statements.
I just listen to a fantastic video of Rick Rieder, BlackRock CIO of Global Fixed Income, on Bloomberg Markets and Finance.
Rick Rieder is contradicting Luke Gromen.
In a tug of war between Rick Rieder and Luke Gromen, I am all in on Rick Rieder
Great guest, great job
Love to see that HUGE cookstove behind a super well educated and "paying attention" econ researcher.
Scary times. Great convo Adam.
This is awful. When you put this in the context of Ron Paul's article this week on the Mother of ALL Collapses causing societal chaos and violence, we need to pray, network and periodically DRINK HEAVILY.
Any pivot by the FED will cause more harm in the long run. Ignore the stock market cheerleaders and END inflation.
Demand will continue to exceed supply, probably until the economic system collapses. Who cares about the stock market. Shooting the economy in the foot, in some vain attempt to save it from itself compounds already insurmountable problems and might make it impossible to make necessary changes.
Luke's metaphors are the best
Luke is just so good!
Adam, take care of your voice. Hope you feel better soon.
Thank you!
Andrew Mellon reference:
Outstanding brother.
:)
Thank you Luke for your breathtaking views and in-depth knowledge of Debt and Fed , Treasury and how it all meshes up into a big mess and Reset coming.
He forgot his tea leaves, an essential part of any investor’s toolkit.
Fantastic interview. Adam, you and Luke are the best. Your guests on this show are truly phenomenal. I am concerned that you are pushing yourself too much and hope that you can swing a little rest to give your voice a chance to recuperate. Just a thought …maybe Stephanie can step in for you a little so that you can take a much needed break around the holiday season if she would would be willing 🤔
i like the stove in the background. blue and white collar unite!
Conflating CA state taxes and federal taxes is disingenuous. States don’t print dollars.
Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia 🇦🇺 enjoying this great content 👌 cheers Frank
Excellent interview. We just have to be patient. 3-6 months.
Classic rock and a hard place, damned if you do damned if you don’t, painted into a corner. Some might say up the creek without a paddle. Time to learn to swim
Excellent
Wealthion 🏆
Thank you guys!
Great interview!
Very interesting guest.
Great interview.
Thank you.
"This time it's different"..Never let a good crisis go to waste..Expect the unexpected...🎅
Question: "The US is insolvent at 5% (Fed Fund Rate)..." with Gold at $1800 - YES. What if Gold is revalued? would that change the outcome of what Powell is doing? It would seem like a lot of Central Bankers are preparing for that to happen. What does that mean for the US? not internationally but domestically? It's possible that the US still retains some global currency dominance (because we have the financial system setup) however I'm more concerned about domestically what does that mean for me? And my family? for other middle class people? If we really hold 8000 tons of gold would it be that bad for us?
Thanks for a great interview. You sound like you have the flu though Adam, get well soon!
Nice woodstove Luke.
Thank you
Federal taxes such as capital gains, dividend, corporate, estate and inheritance are essential for restraining concentrations of wealth. THAT IS THE SOLUTION.
It is not government spending, but where it eventually ends up concentrating is the problem.
"That's depressing!" , indeed it is!
Really good interview Adam, I really like this guest he is really smart and has the ability to give such broadscoped insights.
By the way, why don't you start selling a t-shirt with your picture on it with that characteristic background and text saying "I see your nodding your head as I'm saying this." I'd be a customer..
Great stuff again
My Dad talked about the Depression. “ Everyone was broke, so you didn’t really notice”.
I love there is an old wood-burning stove behind Mr. Gromen. Symbolism?
Very worthwhile!
Mr. Gromen is a great guest and he paints a grim picture. However, for all of the talk of a fed pivot, I truly cannot understand how a pivot can do anything but make things ultimately worse.
@Wealthion955 At the risk of embarrassing myself, I have to admit I don't have a cell plan that has texting abilities nor do I otherwise know how to direct message you. Nevertheless, thanks for reaching out to me.
Outstanding
Great Content & Luke 👍
What’s going on with Credit Suisse? After that Deutche Bank? Where would it spread from there?
At 45 min, the Xi greeting by KSA.
Wow, heard nothing of that in Pravda, USSA.
lol
Thank you Adam ☺️
Please read Mr. X Interviews by Luke
So does Congress think, because we're using fiat currency that the public won't suffer? MMT is adamant that the US doesn't have a problem with debt, due to our currency being a sovereign currency; but now we're seeing inflation in our dollar, thus the public and corporations endur hardship, correct?
Former President Reagan and Roosevelt knew the wealthy should fund wars, so they raised taxes upon them; yet for decades now, we've borrowed from China, and banks to finance our wars, while giving the wealthy a free ride! The wealthy need to band together to stop these destructive, shamelessly bloated wars!
I love these videos
If I’m being honest the 2 part video kills me! 😂😂😂
Higher interest rates are bringing speculative companies down out of the clouds. Tesla market cap dropped from a trillion to under 500 billion. Still worth 10 times more than Ford. So will it drop another 80 percent? As Warren Buffett said the auto industry is a low margin business. There is no pot of high profits there at least not historically. Tesla shareholders are getting angry. Very astute analysis in the discussion. Great guest. I was intuitively thinking this but you guys put the back of envelope scenario down well
Originally the Fed didn’t manipulate the interest rates which should be market determined by region since regional economic activity differs.
9:07 that was weird. What the heck is that thing?
I don't know about being in the 6th inning because many of the parking lot drinkers aren't in their seats yet?
At 9:08, as the guest is discussing a sovereign debt crisis, what appears to be a piece of duct tape fell from his window. Is this a sign? Does this mean that the entire edifice of U.S. Empire and Capitalism is being held together by duct tape?
Yeah, a wood stove!
What does keep on trekking means?
Great interview, thanks
Doesn't this all mean that inflation stays high?
For some reason, I'm not seeing your videos in my Subscriptions feed anymore... 🤨
"You're Killing Me Smalls".
Luke is my favorite common sense guy. He understands how fucked the USA is.
I love the truth!!!
For now it may be hey we're on your team, but as things degrade it will be every man for himself.
It’s a fascinating debate between at what point does the us fiscal deficit finally matter in terms of the supply/demand curve. As in we keep issuing debt and it gets exacerbated in recessions but people keep buying it up because a)deflation (as happens in recessions) is good for bonds and b) all the money that’s sitting in other assets finds itself into bonds and you get divergence in performance (corporate debt spreads blow out as an example). It still hasn’t mattered so far. You got a taste of it mattering in UK with truss as she announced more unfunded deficits but they don’t have reserve currency nor was it smart thing to do when you have outright inflation still spreading.
We need to start a drinking game - a slug every time the word pivot is used. We'd all be too drunk to care.
😂👍
What is the largest sector of the economy? Hint, it consumes, or constitutes, 37% of gross domestic product. It's not academic, basic materials, consumer cyclical, consumer noncyclical, energy, financial, health, industrial, real estate, technonlgy or utilities. Two of the sectors may produce profits but no goods. However, the largest sector does not produce profits or goods,The largesst sector produces no goods or profits and it is dwarfs any other sector. The largest sector is government, and it is a consumer of goods and services. Hence, it is an instrument of inflation. Therefore, the most effective method to reduce inflation is to decrease government; fat chance. As a government agency, with no limits to its function, the Fed is part of the problem.; factually, it is the problem.
Silver and gold coin . 👍
I don’t think we can blame the Fed wholly for this mess. Big government and big government spending on both sides of the aisle, billions going to Ukraine and never ending government deficits for years and years have dug this hole deeper and deeper.
It appears the Fed doesn’t have the stomach for a house cleaning. Instead it’s gonna be shamed into a pivot by those already drunk on easy money. What will be the precipitating event that will make not just the Fed but the whole US economy to smell the coffee?
Would putting governments out of business be such a bad thing?
TLT is (by far) my largest position in portfolio right now with a TIPS ETF my 2nd largest position, but Luke's analysis about how much US Treasury issuance needed to happen in 2023 combined with Fed QT has me a bit nervous even as recession is now starting! Can 2023 be a repeat of 2022 with everything falling together in massively painful way?!? Yikes is all I can say
I’ve been pondering this trade for a while. Like to hear part 2 of the discussion tomorrow.
Scary stuff