Why PLTR Looks Like it Has Gone Too Far, Too Fast
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 7 ก.พ. 2025
- Palantir's (PLTR) big rally puts the stock at risk if the company cannot continue its massive growth, according to Joseph Bonner from Argus Research. How will the company show that there is a consistent market that justifies the stock's over 200% rally in 2024, and can it grow its commercial segment to protect against a downturn in government spending? Joseph explains why these issues led him to downgrade the stock.
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#economy #finance #investing #stockmarket #trading #palantir #pltr #ai #artificialintelligence #technology #software #rally #earnings #government #spending #money
I don't think analysts know what to make of Palantir. They don't even seem to have a good handle on exactly what the company does.
Very Very depressing listening to this person offering absolutely no value to the valuation conversation.
Totally agree. Geez
This analyst is clueless about Palantir. There is no stopping Palantir. I easily see $70.00 by the end of the year. Palantir has absolutely no competition. They will continue to secure lucrative contracts with western governments and companies. Palantir is just getting warmed up. I buy PLTR monthly and will be holding long and strong.
this implies a growth of > 40% how are you sure about that?
@@JohnTPapadopoulos, their track record, recent earnings, last guidance, securing lucrative contracts with large firms, recent partnerships, the fact that they have no competition.
@@MB-zn9ns touché
@@MB-zn9nsthat does not guarantee 40% growth!
Probably the same analysts that downgraded NVDA when it was at 50.
There are many reasons why PLTR's future will bear fruit. First, they are the ones who are helping the GOV understand the need for investment in the industrial complex. With Mike Gallagher (ex US rep who sat on defense committees) and their history with GOV contracts, they are the player in GOV. They have rightly convinced that software IS the driver of future warfare, in conjunction with hardware. TITAN and MAVEN are proof, and still early stages of this move. Next, PLTR understood the value of engineers sitting with military personnel in the field in terms of developing apps. So, they took the same model into commercial with the bootcamps, and figuring out the cost model later. By going into the customer's environment, it affords better deployment of solutions. Next, Karp said on the conference call that PLTR is learning from both fronts, and applying their learnings across GOV and commercial. Next, PLTR uses their own software within PLTR's business. This helps the developers understand what works, and how, and why. Self-feedback loop. Next, the LLMs are commodities, so AIP just takes advantage of this by offering the use of these various LLMs (or company-specific LLMs). Next, Karp said in the conference call that they want to ensure that the software is best in class and they do this by not (yet) overextending into 10,000 customers. They are focused on 'winning' with the customers they have, and then the scale will take care of itself down the road. Folks that use AIP and Foundry with the ontology, will eventually move to other customers and demand AIP be examined at a new company. And that will help PLTR's products will eventually find their way into Europe. Last, their products are capable of working in ANY industry, healthcare, energy, logistics,...etc. I don't see any reason why any medium to large sized company would not investigate PLTR right now. Karp and PLTR said you are either an AI 'have' OR an AE 'have not'. And I believe they are right. Think about every company having many disparate databases, with no real way of connecting them, including company processes, and Foundry with ontology and then AIP with the LLM of your choice, and then, deploying 'agents' that actually perform tasks... PLTR is sooooo well positioned, that the financial analysts get hung up on the typical 'valuation' models, but are missing the entire point. It has been technology that has been the thing for GDP over the last 30 years, and AI is just the next revolution. We are in the second inning of a nine inning game.
@@kellyco3 you must be a big shot, not sure if the audiences can cope with your understanding level. If you are an investor then definitely you are investing to the right businesses
1. I am not selling one share. 2. If PLTR pulls back 30%, I will back up the truck. So thank you to this analyst, I hope a lot of selling comes in.
He fully failed to recognize what PLTR is doing and how big is the market. Definitely another sub standard analyst who has little to no knowledge on the business.
PLTR turning into a meme stock. No one knows how high the retail investors will take it up
Everyone I hear say oh I bought this at 7 and it’s an amazing stock . Would you pay 59 a share for this stock? With a 200 PE? It’s really risky honestly. I’d take profits asap. One bad vibe and investors will sell out
Did this analyst even speak to anyone at Palantir? Speak to vendors, customers? Certainly doesn’t sound like it. Hit or miss business? Wow.
Dan Ives actually talks to the customers
This guy is like most of the analysts out there, they don't know much about Palantir, which they should. Palantir is not the normal company, companies like this don't come around much. Times are different now, can't just look at the numbers, have to look beyond that. Yeah, they are overpriced now, but they are growing and no other company can do what they can do, not yet. I think there is a huge market out there. Karp want's to take all. Good luck to all. 😎✌
@@DiFinni 100%. No competition, unlimited TAM, unlimited pricing power. If they can save an organization $50 million - then can charge $40 million for the software. Every industry has use cases for it. It's just the beginning. Hence the 292 PE ratio... You get what you pay for.
The only three words that he said that I agree with is when he said "I don't know".
Check Pe and rsi, it’s gonna drop 20%. That doesn’t change the fact it’s a great business
This analyst is simply trying to discourage retail investors from investing so far cats can get shares cheap!
During a high growth phase with AI around the globe, way way too soon for this downgrade.
Power of 20 years was ignored.
Bill Dermott is a baller
I wonder if he was recommending Now at 400
This company will melt faces🙈
Ok so the thing is, most of this stock is owned by individuals not people that actually know comps to a stock. The PE to this stock and valuation is screaming it’s way over bought. It’s a great company but definitely way over bought. It will need to slow down or it will crash hard.
Yea I see a 20-30% correction n I’m back in
Bro you weren’t recommending it at 30 so now you’re calling it over valued just because it tripled but nothing on the company Itself
argus moved it from a guy to hold yesterday and then from hold to buy today LOL
Don’t like it sell it
You’ll said the same thing about nvidia
Why would a company that’s makes a gaming gpu be so important
THIS IS TSLA and NVDA ALL OVER AGAIN
If MSFT or other big name are the real competitors, PLTR would be died long time ago. So the fact PLTR can survive and grow til today, says everything.
No details on its government contracts, and whether they are durable or not . How can you analyze that without those facts?
The run up is just the last few months on the charts.
Definitely overvalued at over 200 times earnings! Too many things can happen during the years it would take to reach this valuation! And there will be corrections in the market that will bring this stock down to a reasonable valuation!
This guy is clueless on PLTR. Government contracts are hit or miss? Ever heard of Lockheed Martin or Northrop Grumman? The key here is if you don’t innovate you will not win the next contract period. PLTR has been winning gov contracts for 20 years and they are constantly innovating
Do you believe Karp or this analyst? I personally think Karp has more clue about his business. 😂
I'll take "why analysts miss all of the greatest long-term investment opportunities of their lifetime" - for $500, Alex !
Yah where was this guy at 5$??
RSI is way over bought
It will cool off and catch up. The R is for “relative” - we were up 22% after the earnings call, so of course the RSI will be running hot
Yes it will pull back 25%, but it is a great company
All you need is a massive investor in PLTR to pull out and the house of cards will fall. So volatile. Not worth going in now.