Lok Sabha 2024 Analysis: BJP Already Below 272 after 2 Phase Polling; Hard to Cover Loss | Third Eye
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 เม.ย. 2024
- Join this channel to get access to the perks:
/ @thepublicindia
---------
Lok Sabha 2024 Analysis: BJP Already Below 272 after 2 Phase Polling; Hard to Cover Loss | Third Eye
-------
Please visit our Web Portal for Articles, write-ups and more... on various serious issues.
English- thepublicindia.com Hindi- thepublichindi.com
Find us on Social Media
TH-cam- / thepublicindia
Facebook- ThePublicIndiaOfficial
Twitter- ThePublicIndia
---------
To conserve unbiased journalism in India, please support The Public India.
To donate us directly through Credit/Debit Card, Wallets & UPI please click on this link-
rzp.io/l/YpFFfUtb (For one-time payment)
To donate through NEFT/RTGS-
Bank Account Name- "The Public"
Account Number- 2313392315
Bank Name- Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited
Branch- Gomti Nagar, Lucknow
IFSC- KKBK0005196
------
#LokSabha2024 #NarendraModi #BJP
तिसरे फेज में मोदी जी चाहे 10 या 15 दिन मिले कोई फरक नही पडेगा.ईस चुनाव मे बीजेपी सत्ता से बाहर हो जायेगी 100%.
Jago subah ho gai
@@user-pl3vq6mc6d Abhi raat hai chup chap soja tu ..
2029
@@Msr.shaikh482 your language shows where are you coming from, relax!!
100% RIGHT
BJP will get only 220 hardly overall.... 👎👎
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 ok
280-290 BJP will win in this competition
😂😂@@RAISANJEEVbanaras
@@RAISANJEEVbanarasonly 150
260
138 से 157 तक बीजेपी जा सकती है
दो फेज मे बीजेपी + 32 से 36 सीट पीछे चल रही।
मतलब 2 फेज में ही 303 से 270 पे आ चुके हैं। यही न
@@shakilmohammad9731 लग तो यही रहा।
राहुल गांधी: भावी प्रधानमंत्री❤
2029
@@AnimaBaruah-gf6it 2024
Priyanka gandhi banegi
😂😂
इस चुनाव आयोग को यूँ ही चुना हुआ आयोग नहीं कहा जा रहा है। 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂.......
ये वही करेगा जो मोदी सरकार के लिए लाभप्रद होगा।
31 ही सीटे तो ज्यादा थी बहुमत से बीजेपी की, उसमे भी जेडीयू कमजोर हो रही है।
My revised latest calculation thrice mixing with the current ground situation- I found in the latest 3 three Mathematical inferences --
1. Absolute Free fair polls - NDA - 190 to 225
Average - 235
2. INDIA Alliance - main constituent- Congress - 100 to 109
Avg- 106
Whole INDIA alliance - 288- 306
3.Avg including Congress - 282
4. If polls percent 9℅ to 12.32 ℅ swings in different area of India - India alliance would get 328 seats.
5.NOTE = if only 3.4 to 6% votes swings against NDA on day of ol polling - Entire NDA with BJP stuck at - 232 max .seats.
OTH - 14 to 29.
6.Non -attach - 03
7. Hung Parliament may be more probable.
@@manojtiwary6891a
BJP. 260
😊😊@@manojtiwary6891
Sare gyani hai jaise ander se sari report inke pass aa rahi hai 😂😂
अब सिर्फ बेईमानी अौर खसोट बची है !
विपक्ष गठबंधन अजेय बनते जा रही है !
Docoiti chalegaa next phase me.
राजस्थान में 22 से 23सीटें मिलेगी। यूपी में 58 और महाराष्ट्र, बंगाल, उड़ीसा, आंध्र तेलंगाना में बीजेपी चौकाने वाले परिणाम देगी बीजेपी। रायबरेली और अमेठी में सूरत इंदौर वाली स्थिति हो सकती है।उत्तर भारत का नुकसान दक्षिण से पूरा होगा। रंगा बिल्ला चुनाव नहीं हार सकते। विपक्ष हार रहा है मैं इसीलिए वोट डालने नहीं गया।
सर आपके सारे आंकड़े फेल है NDA 500 पार हो रही है मुझे कल्लू टेंट वाले ने बताया 🤣🤣😂😂
Haa 240 Honolulu se ayega.
😂😂😂😂😂😂
Abdul punturewale ka bhi yahi kahana hai
इलेक्शन कमिशन ने बीजेपी के हिसाब से टाइम टेबल बनाया है
Young generation ka vote divided ho chuka hain, urban vote bhi half ho gya hain. Sirf rural area main bjp ko full vote jayega. Wohi se khela ho sakta hain.
पिछले बार भी ऐसी बकवास सुना था। माफ करदो भाई।
Maaf nahi karunga.
Sunaate rahunga.
सही कहा,,,,
Bhai Maja ata h sunkar, aisa lg reha h bjp under 100 h. Aur jaise hi result ata h cha-cha ko Gali Dene ka man krta h..pal bhar ki khusi
Ananad Ji Very simple explanation. The India Group has made up @ 140 by now based on majority of reports and analysis. What they need is 130 more to form government . Now lets say it would come by congress 80 NCP 5 Shiv Sena 15 JMM 6 RJD 25 TMC 35 Samajwadi 35 Other Partners 10. This would in totality make 176 further. The game of BJP is already over
This is close to reality
Where is DMK and Left?
They are already considered in first two phase of 140 predicted@@prasadrao4906
bjp ko aram se 285 seat mil jayegi. likh ke lena
Samajwadi aur TMC ko bas 3 aur 15 milne vale ha😂
Sir bahot hi badiya analysis hai
Wonderful analysis Anand Vardhan ji ...
Sir apne dimag lagaya very good
Vote for India
श्रीमान यूपी में शिक्षामित्र और अनुदेशक अध्यापक के साथ बुरा बदलाव करने वाली बीजेपी कभी नहीं जीतेगी
Panoti Jana chahiye
Great analysis
Very good subject
Nice briefing
Congress jindabad Rahul Gandhi jindabad prinka Gandhi jindabad 🇮🇳 🙏 😀 👌 🔥 💯 ❤❤❤❤❤
Very good information Sir
Namaste sir ❤
Evm k aage sab analysis fail😂😂😂
Best analysis
Very good heading
Voting percentage mai jo 5 din baad election commission ne badha hua percentage dikhaya hai ismey opposition ka game ho gaya hai ye discussion useless hai.
Election commission wale ghapla kar raha hai or kisi ko patah v nai chal raha hai. 10 din baad aankda diya hai kitna voting hua or 5 percent badha kar diya hai. Pura ghapla ho raha hai. Election commission walo pe kon action lega. Supreme court wale v chor diya hai yeh bol kar ki ghapla nai hona chahiye. Hadh hai yar
Good disscusing. Vedio like
We support Shyam Rangeela against Modi.
Hats off to EC......
Time table is made by PMO only, EC is just a face.. clerical work😮😮
*Good episode*
Yes sir 😊😊😊
Sir Your analysis is correct but the big question is no EVM the magic box .
आपकी कोई बात सही नहीं होती, फिर भी सुनते हैं कि शायद इस बार सही हो जाये।
5 saal Pahle bhi aapki baato pe bharosa kiya tha....Congress performed worst
Ha ha sahi pakde hai, yeh sirf chunav ke samay ugte hai, Thandi Hawa khake vishesh tippani dete hue. Result ke bad evm ka rona rote hue
Daro mat
Very good observation… Yeh Banda har baar apni hakta raheta hai… jab result Sata hai tab kahi groom ho jata hai… App Kanta ko bewkoof mat samajiye…
@@jwalinpatel347 Up election me same....abhi MP Rajasthan Har Jagah inka same rehta hai...partial view rahta hai...I hate BJP....but inka ek tarfa video rahta hai....
Grad opinion sir
Congress party g ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤ Jai Ho ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
Sir mere analysis ke hisab se Aaj ke din NDA 260 pe he or mene UP ka as it is 2019 rakha he or har state me minimum hi nukasan rakha he. Opposition thodi or mehnat karega to satta me aa sakta hai, UP me 10 or sabhi State me trend ke hisab se 10 or kam ho sakti he NDA 240 par easily aa sakta he.
Telangana, Odisha or Andhra Pradesh game change rahega.
Bhai aaj chunav aayog ki report me voting 66/%se upar aai he jo pehle 60/% thi waise hi ye 272 seat ki 372 ho jayengi
Rahul🐛ghandhi. Next. Pm.
2029
Veri.Good. Sir.Ji
Good Analysis।
Finally , We are close to save democracy…
Try for 2029. Daro mat
@@AnimaBaruah-gf6ittu taiyar rahe 🙏
Bihat me Sabse bura hal hai
NDA ka eska mukhya karan india ka majbut hona nhi hai
Balki NDA ka Ghatak dalo me aapasi talmel ka nhi hona hai
LJP ka vote BJP me transfer ho rha h Lekin JDU ka vote puri tarah nhi ja rha hai Wahi LJP aor JDU ka vote ek dusre me nhi transfer nhi ho rha hai BJP ka vot LJP me transfer ho rha hai lekin JDU me puri tarah nhi ho rha hai har ka mukhya karan yhi hai
Election commision ne phase 1 or phase 2 ka final data aaj nikal diya - Final counting main EVM se 6% vote pratishat bada di or Modi jeet raha hain isiliye itna zada gap hain polling main or 4 June tak chalna hain khela , BJP kuch bhi karegi or jeeta degi Raja Babu ko. Shayad EVM se pata chala ho INDIA jeet raha hain, 6 % vote add ho gaye , ab to kuch bhi vishwas nahi reh gaya is election commission pe ☹☹☹☹☹☹
बाक़ी सब ठीक है , सबसे important EVM है
Anand Vardhan ji namashkar Allah apko salamat rakhein sehat dein lambi zindagi dein aur khub tarakki dein Aminn
Good
BJP hardly 210 seats
170
आनंद सर कही ई वी एम का खेल हो गया तो ???
Supra saaf honey jaa raha hai
Seedhe bat sambidhan bachayen
Jai Ho ❤❤❤❤❤❤ India ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤S..k❤❤❤❤❤❤355❤❤❤❤❤S..T❤❤❤❤❤❤i love you ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
पुराने ज़माने के चाचा होश में आओ आप पहले .. मोदी के पास EVM है
पुरा सिस्टम उसके कंट्रोल में है .. जितनी चाहे उतनी सीटें ला सकता है वो 😡
वर्धन जी एक करना आपको नही पता है ? वो चचा को टाइम देने से अलग है किंतु अत्यंत गोपनीय है । जो मैकेनिकल है ।
Bhawarpur ilaka के एक चाहा becha के anusaar 600 पार जा रहा है.... 😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😂😂😂😂
Bjp mukt Bharat 2024 supda saaf ho raha hai Rahul Gandhi zindabad gathbandhan zindabad
EVM ko bhool gaye 19 lakh gayab hue the!
Modi ji ko pura mauka dia ja raha hai apne qile bachane ka but qile ki buniyad to already hil chuki hai..........
In Assam BJP had 9 seats, Congress had 3 seats, 1 AIDUF, and another is Naba Sarania, an individual. So though I want the defeat of the Ruling party, seeing that your numbers are wrong I cannot agree with you. So I doubt calculation in other states as well.
जब तक evm और अंधभक्त है तब तक यकीन नही होता की bjp चली जायेगी भारत से
Chinta mat keejiye lahar nahi he
Very good choice of subject
1)Population
2)Different dynamics
बहुत ही अच्छा विश्लेषण
In west bengal BJP will gets maximum 5 to 7 sit।
Really? How
Om namah Saha
30 cross kar rahi ha bhai jara bengal ma jake dekh😂
Mujhe Lagtahe ki aakhri tak bjp hi sarkar banayega?kiu ki ECke sath saath nyayadhish bhi bjp ko faida dilayga?
God save India from bjp
is hisab se toh bjp election kara rahi hai Election commission nahi
Sir, INDIA will win as it is fight between ruling party and people of the country in this LS election.
10 din EVM tapering ke liye chahiye.
Evm hai toh mumkin hai
Jai evm jai bjp
How are you so confident
Jai Ho ❤❤❤❤❤ India ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤ Rahul Gandhi g ❤❤❤❤❤❤❤p..m❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤
Sir, I agree with your analysis of 7 phase election in those states.... one thing that INDIA alliance and common voter has to be careful about BJ party may indulge in more polarization and do nasty tricks to polarise voters......
Aap sir bahut achchha vishleshan karte hai. Mai sahmat hoon. Bjp 225 se 235 tak me simat jayegi. Nda kul milakar 260 tak pahuch sakti hai sarkar bahumat hasil nhi kar payegi.
Abki baar padi-likhi Sarkar
2019 mein bhi bol rhe the kya hua 😂😂😂😂😂
10 days (Rest, end of the day a politicians are human being and logistics issues
i wish ye jitne akde dikha rhe hai sab sach ho jaye... but i still believe andhbhakto ki foj jyada hai abhi bhi.... modi ek bar or pm ban jaega na chahte hue bhi....
जातीय जनगणना तथा 'जितनी आवादी उतनी भागीदारी' मुद्दा हिन्दी पट्टी में जन जन तक पहुँचने का बाद भाजपा को चुनाव जीतना मुश्किल हो जाएगा। क्योंकि, OBC, SC, ST अपनी जातीयों का साथ गद्दारी नहीं कर पाएंगे। चुनाव का विस्तार इतनी दिन भाजपा के लिए बुमेरां न हो जाए।
Iska matlab yeh hua ki log apni jaati dekhkar vote daalte hai. Log BJP par dharm ki raajneeti kaa aarop lagaate hai. Lakin Congress aur baaki paksh jaati ki raajneeti karte hai uske par shaant hai. Kya yeh doglapan hai yaa nahi?
Anand sir namaskar. Panelists ko namaskar.
Even if BJP/NDA wins it is very very important that that Congred/INDIA wins more than 250+ Seats as the need of the hour is a Strong opposition to Save the Democracy
Sir ji, NCP, NDA me 1 hi seat hai. Aap ne NCP ku 3 diye hai.
I assumed predictions for political parties in 2024 and 2014 saw a big difference. Based on two different formulas--
My revised latest calculation thrice mixing with the current ground situation--
1. Absolute Free fair polls - NDA - 196 to 228
Average - 235
2. INDIA Alliance - main constituent- Congress - 100 to 109
Avg- 106
Whole INDIA alliance - 288- 306
3.Avg including Congress - 282
4. If polls percent 9℅ to 12.32 ℅ swings in different area of India - India alliance would get 328 seats.
5.NOTE = if only 3.4 to 6% votes swings against NDA on day of ol polling - Entire NDA with BJP stuck at - 232 max .seats.
OTH - 14 to 29.
6.Non -attach - 03
7. Hung Parliament may be more probable.
In fact 292 , Two seat stolen
After estimates of the likely outcome after 5 state elections declared in Dec last year went wrong, , will estimates now being arrived will be correct? We can only keep fingers crossed
Abhi 190 seat ka election hua hae abhi majority lose kane ka sawaal kahan se aaya
I wish this will happen and bjp will loose the election but I don’t trust the evm
To manage evm ,hence election in seven phase .
To chage programme.
And also see in voting machine that BJP and india alliance candidate in frist and second number in voting machine. THis adjustment is done totransfer vote of India alliance to bjp candidate .
Very good choice of heading
Saheb dollar ka daam bahut zyada. Fayaz. __________
पहला कदम
वोट बीजेपी आउट
वोट परसेंटेज गोचु
I make your whole table research total seat one and second phase is 190 bjp wins 94 in 2019
Now 2024 your analysis 190 seats bjp wins 53 it's simple indicates jhola utane ka time aa gaya hai 😂😂😂
🙏
Abki baar 400 paar😂