_I think the most dangerous aspect of the election will be the apathetic non-voter. The less people vote, the more likely we will have more extreme points of view getting through._
the lowest turnout in the last 100 years was half way through the last Labour government, when everyone thought it was a foregone conclusion that Labour would win again ... they did, still with a large majority, but less so - and at the next election the turnout went up ...
That’s why I like Australia’s compulsory voting (technically compulsory showing up at a voting office and ticking your name off a list). It also means that it doesn’t profit the government to make it harder for certain people to vote because, hey, they have to vote anyway so all you’ll be doing is annoying the voters.
Probably right but it’s difficult to want to pick which guy in the firing squad is going to drive the bullet into you. So most just close their eyes and expect the worse regardless of what colour tie the morons are wearing. I guess decades of relentless incompetence in the HoP does that to a population.
The Tories cannot call a snap election - there are too many Tory MPs who are standing down at the next GE, and the party is struggling to vet all the prospective candidates they need to replace them.
Its so weird to me people dont realise they didn't vote for Boris..... They voted for the conservatives. And if they did and didnt look at there local mp and what they stood for they only have themselves to blame. Ignorance isnt an excuse
They didn’t even vote for the conservatives, they voted for their local mp. Unless they were in Scotland and also got a list vote in the holyrood elections
Just goes to show you how busted our system is. Who is in the cabinet is so immensely important, and yet us voters can barely affect it, and it can just completely change without any input from us.
The average Tory MP, if such a thing exists, is actually quite a good constituency MP, just like the average MP of any party. There are some high-profile disaster cases but those are in the minority. So people need to look at their voting record and see if this is agreeable, in addition to whether they like their local work.
It's actually depressing that there's even a slight chance the Tories can win. After all they have done they're now pretending to be the party of 'average people' GIVE ME A BREAK. Love TLDR and love the board of leaders that they bring out each week, looking forward to the next podcast!
@@AyyMao660it is never the labour leader's fault that the Tories win, they funnel millions into the media and their trolls spread misinformation everywhere online, lies and money seem effective on Tory voters and those who usually but not always vote Tory.
@@jakel8627what are the betting odds of a Lim - Tory win? I think there will be a Welsh conservative rise in the next election as well which is terrifying
This question gets asked each year and never goes ahead, totally ignoring that we've had so many unelected leaders since BoJo and the party itself stands in power based on lies they themselves don't want to act on any more because they're realised just how fucked it's made the country i.e Brexit. Just a shame that Labours offering is a skimp limp tory-lite noodle.
It's much better to have a system where party's are encouraged to get rid of terrible PM's early in order to try and turn their fortunes round before elections than to have one where they're going to hold on to their bad leader all the way because removing them triggers an election and likely loss
Labour were accused of being Tory Lite once before - and we got a landslide Labour government Who's policies the Torries have been undoing ever since - so not really Tory-lite at all : Longest period of sustained low inflation since the 60s. Low mortgage rates. Introduced the National Minimum Wage and raised it to £5.52. Over 14,000 more police in England and Wales. Cut overall crime by 32 per cent. Record levels of literacy and numeracy in schools. Young people achieving some of the best ever results at 14, 16, and 18. Funding for every pupil in England has doubled. Employment is at its highest level ever. Written off up to 100 per cent of debt owed by poorest countries. 85,000 more nurses. 32,000 more doctors. Brought back matrons to hospital wards. Devolved power to the Scottish Parliament. Devolved power to the Welsh Assembly. Dads now get paternity leave of 2 weeks for the first time. NHS Direct offering free convenient patient advice. Gift aid was worth £828 million to charities last year. Restored city-wide government to London. Record number of students in higher education. Child benefit up 26 per cent since 1997. Delivered 2,200 Sure Start Children’s Centres. Introduced the Equality and Human Rights Commission. £200 winter fuel payment to pensioners & up to £300 for over-80s. On course to exceed our Kyoto target for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Restored devolved government to Northern Ireland. Over 36,000 more teachers in England and 274,000 more support staff and teaching assistants. All full time workers now have a right to 24 days paid holiday. A million pensioners lifted out of poverty. 600,000 children lifted out of relative poverty. Introduced child tax credit giving more money to parents. Scrapped Section 28 and introduced Civil Partnerships. Brought over 1 million social homes up to standard. Inpatient waiting lists down by over half a million since 1997. Banned fox hunting. Cleanest rivers, beaches, drinking water and air since before the industrial revolution. Free TV licences for over-75s. Banned fur farming and the testing of cosmetics on animals. Free breast cancer screening for all women aged between 50-70. Free off peak local bus travel for over-60s. New Deal - helped over 1.8 million people into work. Over 3 million child trust funds have been started. Free eye test for over 60s. More than doubled the number of apprenticeships. Free entry to national museums and galleries. Overseas aid budget more than doubled. Heart disease deaths down by 150,000 and cancer deaths down by 50,000. Cut long-term youth unemployment by 75 per cent. Free nursery places for every three and four-year-olds. Free fruit for most four to six-year-olds at school.
@@davidioanhedges This is labours biggest weakness and its always their biggest weakness. Their membership base is full to the brim of crazy left wing people who say nothings ever good enough, ideological pure enough etc. The labour potential voter base is way out of step with its membership
@alastairwallace6153 Just look at the policies, oil and gas licenses, inheretence tax scrappage on the table, private school incentives... It's a last stop shopping trip
He'd be much better off going for a Spring election. In 2019 the turn out amongst the elderly was lower than normal because they're less likely to go out in the winter weather. And basically all his policies are aimed at appeasing that demographic so he needs all the help he can get
An election before Spring 2024 would probably be optimal for Sunak, the immigrant boats will be at a minimum during the bad weather of winter and he can claim its due to his policies
@@Lando-kx6soHowever it seems to be the basket the tories are putting all their eggs in, and with their client media and the depressingly easily led British public it would probably be more effective than anything else right now.
Not a Brit here so no dog in the fight but just looking on as an outsider, it seems that if they do pull the trigger, it may be more of a ploy to limit the damage than to actually win it. Sort of like letting Labour have a win instead of a rout.
Yep that is definitely a strategy. But if you are an mp who is likely to loose your seat the extra time on the gravy train with wages and expenses benefits you personally more than the party.
I think they are, I've noticed councils are sending letters and emails recently asking you to update who lives at your household and who is registered to vote, this tells me that a general election will happen within the next few months
And your the problem in the world and reason why Labour get in and ruin country like every time they run country they ruin it . And conservatives are not monsters just disagreeing with you does not make them monster . It make you disgusting because you dehumanise people who disagree with you .
I'm pretty confident that no matter when the election happens, the tories are not staying in without a collation deal (and even that's unlikely). I'm actually hoping for a Labour & Lib Dem government where the Lib Dems have near parity in the house to Labour - I wouldn't say I trust either but it would be the best of several bad options (my ideal scenario is literally impossible under current law, so I only have the bad options to choose from)
I mean, more working class people voted for tory than labour in 2019, the poorest parts of Britain voted tory. The idea that somehow only the poor and downtrodden join labour is just pure fantasy. Labour's voter base is mainly In the wealthiest parts of the country and Uni towns. You do realise, most people, rich and poor prefer lower taxes and free markets. Radicals like Corbyn and farage fail to get anywhere electorally. Boring centrist like Starmer seem to perform much better
Pedro Sanchez made a brilliant move of calling an early election since he was behind, what went from Trudeau and Theresa May was that they were ahead and got cocky. The issue for Sunak is while Sanchez was behind by single digits, he is down by around 20.
4:47 Despite the fact that it was their idea, and they pushed Sadiq Khan to do it, with threats that they would remove further funding if he didn't comply.
How very generous to imply the party was united and competent under Johnson, the internal split within the party has defined the last decade. 'On the side of the average citizen?' Well they haven't run out of optimism then but the wealthiest PM in history leading the party of tax cuts for the highest earners still believing in 'trickle down' policies that have never worked has got his work cut out for himself with that one.
@@normandunford5747That’s smart mate. Let’s vote for people who are going to cut taxes and increase spending, because that totally works. Let’s also vote for the SAME PEOPLE WHO LITERALLY PUSHED FOR BREXIT WHICH HAS FAILED THE COUNTRY.
I think we're looking at an election some time in Spring. But Sunak is keeping his finger hovering over the button mostly to keep his party in line. They know the party has to appear United if there's an election so he adopted an election footing. He also might push the button if it looks like his leadership seriously going to be challenged. In the very unlikely event he's deposed I suspect the new leader will call an election almost immediately.
Considering that there is a non trivial chance that Rishi himself might not be able to win back his vote, I'm not sure if those calculations add up for the Torries at all!
noting that the tories just went with their second choice pick when liz resigned i doubt it. which i fucking hate btw we don't deserve the third choice after boris we deserve a leader who's the peoples first choice.
As of 29 Sept., my prediction is "no". Anything that can add instability and confusion to the world will be the way anyone in Sunak's position will go with.
That doesn't sound like much. Just remember the construction of the pre grouping railways turned entire towns from small farming and fishing villages to industrial powerhouses.
He wouldn’t because with his record in democratic process he’d lose. I’m still amazed how he can talk about democracy when no one voted for him and hunt along with all these terrible policies and he is the biggest reason for inflation
Sunak has been the Prime Minister for year. If he had the political skill to turn things around, we would have seen some of it by now. Instead of addressing the problems that voters care about, he was rambling about boats and trying to hold the party together. Nobody in their right mind would actually believe that the tories care about the enviroment. Moreover, a party that claims to be competent in terms of economics wouldn't raise trade barriers to their biggest trading partner and spooking investors by a horrendous "mini" budget. I'm not a Brit but a close observer of British politics. Sunak is desperate and trying to limit the damage at the next election. They're gonna lose. The question is how bad it's gonna be.
Bit of an odd decision by tldr here. Ulez is a public health measure that affected clean air. It is not a environmental net zero initiative. They are not the same. Also didn't point out that the tories bounced Khan into expanding it by being awkward with funding.
Sunak needs to announce the UK India trade deal to benefit himself and his wife's family. After that he probably doesn't care anymore and will have the election whenever
will Sunak call an election sooner than he needs, bringing an end to his easy time making money for his family, wife and friends. At the cost to the poorest, our countries health and standing....nah.
Got to love the unhinged, unsubstantiated conspiracy theories being bandied about by the left and right in this decade. Of course simply being a rich PM is enough evidence for conspiracy theories to spread like wild fire. What a time to be alive
Can we stop calling Uxbridge a “shock victory”? They had a fucking huge majority that was very very close to being overturned, narrowly holding onto that isn’t shocking
Initially they didn't but he called a snap election in 2019 and beat Jeremy Corbin. I am not sure if this is one of those England voted him in Wales and Scotland didn't. So UK didn't vote him in but if we don't go that Meta. He lead the Tories to one of the largest majorities they ever had. Personally I have always hated the guy
Waiting till next year is only good for the torys if sunak has any ideas that would actually make anything better for ordinary people, and the will to implement them. He hasn’t shown any signs of having either of those things yet. Without that they’re just going to keep sliding further down into the hole they’ve dug for themselves
I think it is a bit of a strange claim to think that people voted conservative because of net zero commitments. Study after study shows that once net zero is explained topeople they dont want it
go look at every single politicians for the past 30 years tony blair to brown from camreon to may from may to johnson etc they have all been billionaire. what is your point. oh your point is just to lambast the tories
Yeah it was abused by Corbyns labour and they refused an election despite the government being totally unable to do anything. It was repealed after that disaster because the alternative would be a limp government having no choice but to remain in power, being held over a barrel by the minority parties
Increase oil and gas production for more tax and energy security. Spend the extra money on NHS and green tech. Do you understand the logic and do you agree? Yes vote Tory, no vote Labour or some other party.
Boris is the embodiment of populism. Telling people what they want to hear, with enthusiasm, and promising to deliver on things he won't be able to do.
You do realize that Labour is also flipping policy in order to gain votes? Both major parties are really just empty suits trying to figure out the way the wind is blowing.
I would agree. The 2019 election was a battle between the two great populist leaders of our time. Corbyn a populist for the left and Boris a populist for the right-wing liberals
@@lewis123417 But the only real populist is Corbyn, because he actually DELIVERS to the people. He didn't take corporate donations and not endorsed by any billionaires.
Starmer is the classic "on the fence" politician, he's pro/against Brexit, pro/against HS2 to Manchester, pro/against ULEZ and here we are, paying £400 pcm for electricity and let's not talk about mortgages
2:40 You slightly misrepresent the repeal of the FTPA here, before the FTPA it was entirely up to when the PM when an election could be called (ie. they could have terms as long as they liked), now the act that repealed FTPA also includes a provision that automatically dissolves parliament after 5 years, forcing the PM to call an election. So most of the provisions of FTPA are still there, it's just that the power of calling the election moved back to the PM.
I like to think of it this way. They stopped people seeing loved ones who were dying alone and literally went to parties. They literally partied while denying people access to relatives who were dying alone. If I was writing a film and wanted to make a government appear cruel selfish and uncaring, I couldn't come up with a better example. Yet some are still going to vote for them. At this stage I think those voters can be classed with suffering from Stockholm syndrome.
You're right someguy . They all got charmed by Boris Johnson, more the fool them. Tories are a bunch of narcissists that's why there is zero empathy, sad but true
As an American while I do criticize our government and electoral system, the British system makes no sense to me. Like you guys never have elections in the UK lmao
We have elections every 5 years, the last one was the end of 2019, so the next one will be end of 2024/start of 2025. However, the government can call early elections if they want to, so we end up with elections more often than the United States a lot of the time. Currently, it's been under 4 years since the last one (so more recent than yours), and the elections before that were 2 years apart each. It just seems like we never have elections because 1) our elections don't get much coverage in the US and 2) the last few years have felt very long.
As a non-Brit, a quick question - if there's no law saying they need to have a general election at any specific time, why would the current in-power party EVER hold an election unless they're sure they're about to lose a majority due to party members retiring or similar reasons?
The limit is 5 years so an election can be called at anytime within the 5 years. It used to be enforced that the election had to fall on a certain date but an election could be held with the consent of parliament but the system was abused by Corbyn and the labour party forcing a limp government to stay in power while refusing to go to the public for an election so the Blair reforms were undone and its back in the hands of the PM
I may be wrong but I believe that there was a law passed that made it a legal requirement to hold a general election with five years of the last. I really hope so, at least there would be some hope of getting rid of this toxic filth.
Hello non brit, there is a law saying they HAVE to have a general election, the video is wrong if it stated this. "The maximum term of a Parliament is five years from the day on which it first met. The current Parliament first met on Tuesday 17 December 2019 and will automatically dissolve on Tuesday 17 December 2024, unless it has been dissolved sooner by the King. Polling Day would be expected to take place 25 days later, not counting weekends or any bank holidays that fall within this period."
Law requires that the King dissolve parliament every 5 years (i.e. call an election). That the government can call one as they please is just a side effect of the King being the one to dissolve parliament, because he basically can't refuse advice from the prime minister.
NO, the voting population did NOT vote Alexander Boris Johnson as the MP. We DO NOT have a presidential system. The Tory party had the majority of the seats and he was the leader, that is NOT voting him as a person as the PM.
@@lewis123417 The Con's membership are a VERY small part of the electorate, and even then it was ONLY the voters in his constituency that voted for him.
It must be even harder for a privileged elite like Sunak who has had everything in life he ever wanted but can’t buy his way out of this, the billionaire ex-banker he is
I will NEVER forgive the electorate if conservative wins the next election. I moved to the UK in 2020, and in university right now. And will doing my masters in a couple of years, if they win I don't see myself staying and would probably go back to America or somewhere else, where things look better.
@@Sasha-zv2wxah yes and labour and the greens will finally bring about the socialist Utopia we all deserve. But first we just need to ban our opposition and supress those who disagree
Unfortunately there has been a political attitude fostered in Britain that compromise is wrong, co-operation is abhorrent, and everything always has to be someone else's fault. Starmer, despite the hope he offers gets labled as a Tory in a red suit and rejected. Sunak, seen as a defacto oligarch and rejected as well, not that I disagree because it's the truth. and there are so many cases I see of "True Red" voters if you like, supporting Labour policy while reading radical right wing papers. Nobody it seems has the will or desire to make things better because they're too consumed arguing over primary colours and blind party alignment. It's disgusting.
I don't understand why this hasn't happened... why is there no mechanism to remove a party if they get a low enough approval rating and are deeply unpopular?
There is, its called a no confidence vote. We can't simply remove democratically elected governments because of a couple of polls. If a group of MPs want to launch a credible no confidence challenge in Parliament then they can but if the government still has authority and confidence to pass bills in the house they have every right to remain.
Because the only mechanisms to do so involve either the King entering politics, which would result in there no longer being a King, or the MPs passing a no confidence motion, which requires a majority, and because being the government also requires a majority, a number of the MPs in the government party would have to vote against their own party. The only other option would be referenda, but it'd probably take some kind of no confidence motion to start a referendum, and at that point the MPs could just vote the government out anyway. There's no easy way to figure out what the people want except through elections.
technically the tories didn't stand against ulz, they forced Khan to do it more quickly. (Khan was fine with this) They only pretended to be against it for the election.
If Sunak wants to rewrite the Tory agenda, perhaps he might remember that he has no mandate from anybody for anything. That might tempt him to go early in order to obtain such a mandate. One can't help think, however, that turkeys never really vote for Christmas. As things stand, the Tories are going to lose and lose badly. Much easier to dither and hope, in Micawberish fashion, something will turn up.
There's still stupid idiots out there replying to my comments saying "tHerEs nO oNE elSE tO Go fOr!" and "boRRiS diD noThiNG wrONg!" Yes there's people out there with literally no brain cells at all. Besides, its obvious kier starmer won't be a good PM, judging he wants more strict lockdowns and he loves zionists, which is some of the reasons why I am not voting him. I am voting nobody in the next election.
Say what you will about Corbyn, but you knew where he stood. Also, Starmer is playing the equivalent of a prevent defense in American Football which, in the words of John Madden, only prevents you from winning.
Thats true to an extend but his issue was an incompetent and embarrasing shadow cabinet with the likes of emily thornburry and Dianne abott. Also the whole idea of "were going to negotiate a deal with the EU and then put that deal to a referendum which would ask our deal or remain and we would campaign for remain, essentially saying they will negotiate a deal which they would then campaign against their own deal in another second referendum" totally ludacrous policy and you can see why Boris won with the simple promise of "get brexit done"
@@lewis123417 I didn't mean he was competent. Also, from what I know about him, he's a genuinely nice guy, and over here in America he would better serve as "the conscience of the House" like Philip Hart did in the US Senate.
By the end of the year means give or take 9 weeks (45 business days) to arrange the poll, assuming the last two weeks are off limit due to holidays. Is that really credible?
Let's get one thing straight....the British population DID NOT vote for Boris....the conservative party did. The same way the British public DID NOT vote for Brexit, the merely took part in a poll which is not a vote and doesn't have to be upheld, but Camerons ego caused him to tell everyone that he would uphold the outcome because he believed the poll would be in favour of staying.
Since there is no fixed time for an election and the PM can call an election any time at his discretion, when he does call an election is it still called a snap election?
God… imagine missing Boris. As much of an absolute tosswollop he was, at least he was making some effort to protect the environment. Sunak will even sell that if it gets him 5 votes….
_I think the most dangerous aspect of the election will be the apathetic non-voter. The less people vote, the more likely we will have more extreme points of view getting through._
Lots of people may gravitate towards voting for Starmer, who is part of the trilateral commission. Nasty agenda, look it up.
the lowest turnout in the last 100 years was half way through the last Labour government, when everyone thought it was a foregone conclusion that Labour would win again ... they did, still with a large majority, but less so - and at the next election the turnout went up ...
That’s why I like Australia’s compulsory voting (technically compulsory showing up at a voting office and ticking your name off a list). It also means that it doesn’t profit the government to make it harder for certain people to vote because, hey, they have to vote anyway so all you’ll be doing is annoying the voters.
Probably right but it’s difficult to want to pick which guy in the firing squad is going to drive the bullet into you. So most just close their eyes and expect the worse regardless of what colour tie the morons are wearing. I guess decades of relentless incompetence in the HoP does that to a population.
The Tories cannot call a snap election - there are too many Tory MPs who are standing down at the next GE, and the party is struggling to vet all the prospective candidates they need to replace them.
Its so weird to me people dont realise they didn't vote for Boris..... They voted for the conservatives. And if they did and didnt look at there local mp and what they stood for they only have themselves to blame. Ignorance isnt an excuse
I mean... thats pretty much always the case regardless of primeminister
I would argue you also vote on the manifesto and the promises therein. You can make your own judgement whether Sunak is following Boris’s vision.
They didn’t even vote for the conservatives, they voted for their local mp.
Unless they were in Scotland and also got a list vote in the holyrood elections
Just goes to show you how busted our system is. Who is in the cabinet is so immensely important, and yet us voters can barely affect it, and it can just completely change without any input from us.
The average Tory MP, if such a thing exists, is actually quite a good constituency MP, just like the average MP of any party. There are some high-profile disaster cases but those are in the minority. So people need to look at their voting record and see if this is agreeable, in addition to whether they like their local work.
This side of Christmas would be a hell of a present 😂
Before the new year power cuts.
Why would they, I wouldn't !
He won't call an election.
It's actually depressing that there's even a slight chance the Tories can win. After all they have done they're now pretending to be the party of 'average people' GIVE ME A BREAK. Love TLDR and love the board of leaders that they bring out each week, looking forward to the next podcast!
Keir Starmers fault
@@AyyMao660it is never the labour leader's fault that the Tories win, they funnel millions into the media and their trolls spread misinformation everywhere online, lies and money seem effective on Tory voters and those who usually but not always vote Tory.
9% chance of a conservative majority according to the betting markets. 100% / 11 = 9.1%
its ridiculous how they pretend to be anti migration and then hand out record massive 1.2 million visas, including dependants on the student visa.
@@jakel8627what are the betting odds of a Lim - Tory win?
I think there will be a Welsh conservative rise in the next election as well which is terrifying
This question gets asked each year and never goes ahead, totally ignoring that we've had so many unelected leaders since BoJo and the party itself stands in power based on lies they themselves don't want to act on any more because they're realised just how fucked it's made the country i.e Brexit. Just a shame that Labours offering is a skimp limp tory-lite noodle.
But you vote for the party not the PM. They could switch the PM 10 times, if they wanted
It's much better to have a system where party's are encouraged to get rid of terrible PM's early in order to try and turn their fortunes round before elections than to have one where they're going to hold on to their bad leader all the way because removing them triggers an election and likely loss
Labour were accused of being Tory Lite once before - and we got a landslide Labour government
Who's policies the Torries have been undoing ever since - so not really Tory-lite at all :
Longest period of sustained low inflation since the 60s.
Low mortgage rates.
Introduced the National Minimum Wage and raised it to £5.52.
Over 14,000 more police in England and Wales.
Cut overall crime by 32 per cent.
Record levels of literacy and numeracy in schools.
Young people achieving some of the best ever results at 14, 16, and 18.
Funding for every pupil in England has doubled.
Employment is at its highest level ever.
Written off up to 100 per cent of debt owed by poorest countries.
85,000 more nurses.
32,000 more doctors.
Brought back matrons to hospital wards.
Devolved power to the Scottish Parliament.
Devolved power to the Welsh Assembly.
Dads now get paternity leave of 2 weeks for the first time.
NHS Direct offering free convenient patient advice.
Gift aid was worth £828 million to charities last year.
Restored city-wide government to London.
Record number of students in higher education.
Child benefit up 26 per cent since 1997.
Delivered 2,200 Sure Start Children’s Centres.
Introduced the Equality and Human Rights Commission.
£200 winter fuel payment to pensioners & up to £300 for over-80s.
On course to exceed our Kyoto target for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
Restored devolved government to Northern Ireland.
Over 36,000 more teachers in England and 274,000 more support staff and teaching assistants.
All full time workers now have a right to 24 days paid holiday.
A million pensioners lifted out of poverty.
600,000 children lifted out of relative poverty.
Introduced child tax credit giving more money to parents.
Scrapped Section 28 and introduced Civil Partnerships.
Brought over 1 million social homes up to standard.
Inpatient waiting lists down by over half a million since 1997.
Banned fox hunting.
Cleanest rivers, beaches, drinking water and air since before the industrial revolution.
Free TV licences for over-75s.
Banned fur farming and the testing of cosmetics on animals.
Free breast cancer screening for all women aged between 50-70.
Free off peak local bus travel for over-60s.
New Deal - helped over 1.8 million people into work.
Over 3 million child trust funds have been started.
Free eye test for over 60s.
More than doubled the number of apprenticeships.
Free entry to national museums and galleries.
Overseas aid budget more than doubled.
Heart disease deaths down by 150,000 and cancer deaths down by 50,000.
Cut long-term youth unemployment by 75 per cent.
Free nursery places for every three and four-year-olds.
Free fruit for most four to six-year-olds at school.
@@davidioanhedges This is labours biggest weakness and its always their biggest weakness. Their membership base is full to the brim of crazy left wing people who say nothings ever good enough, ideological pure enough etc. The labour potential voter base is way out of step with its membership
@@davidioanhedgeswell said! People always call labour as tory lite despite a history of being called that and still heavily improving life in the UK.
Short answer, no. My proof? Tories held on to the bitter end throughout the 90s despite everything going against them.
Fortunately Labour did the same in the 1970s and in 2010
@alastairwallace6153 Just look at the policies, oil and gas licenses, inheretence tax scrappage on the table, private school incentives... It's a last stop shopping trip
also, sunak can give millions more to his father in law in another year
He'd be much better off going for a Spring election. In 2019 the turn out amongst the elderly was lower than normal because they're less likely to go out in the winter weather. And basically all his policies are aimed at appeasing that demographic so he needs all the help he can get
Yes but after another tory winter the old people will be dead.
True but he has to balance this with the high chance of further tory scandals in the meantime that may lower public confidence in him
Most of that demographic have postal votes.
An election before Spring 2024 would probably be optimal for Sunak, the immigrant boats will be at a minimum during the bad weather of winter and he can claim its due to his policies
_That was an interview on Novera, wasn't it? Makes sense._
This is a none issue to most people right now
@@Lando-kx6so Its not for the Tories and its an issue they are trying to whip up - besides it was one of the pledges Sunak gave some time ago
@@Lando-kx6soHowever it seems to be the basket the tories are putting all their eggs in, and with their client media and the depressingly easily led British public it would probably be more effective than anything else right now.
@@Lando-kx6so this is absolutley false, most of people in the UK care greatly about immigration.
Not a Brit here so no dog in the fight but just looking on as an outsider, it seems that if they do pull the trigger, it may be more of a ploy to limit the damage than to actually win it. Sort of like letting Labour have a win instead of a rout.
Yep that is definitely a strategy. But if you are an mp who is likely to loose your seat the extra time on the gravy train with wages and expenses benefits you personally more than the party.
True, but individual MPs aren't likely to be the ones deciding things.@@someguy-eh9mg
I think they are, I've noticed councils are sending letters and emails recently asking you to update who lives at your household and who is registered to vote, this tells me that a general election will happen within the next few months
I hope they are accurately counting who are in the medeival death-cult households. They seem to have several votes per person in recent elections
I'll never vote Tory
Me neither. They're monsters.
And your the problem in the world and reason why Labour get in and ruin country like every time they run country they ruin it . And conservatives are not monsters just disagreeing with you does not make them monster . It make you disgusting because you dehumanise people who disagree with you .
And I don’t even like current so called conservatives party as none of them are conservatives
I'm pretty confident that no matter when the election happens, the tories are not staying in without a collation deal (and even that's unlikely).
I'm actually hoping for a Labour & Lib Dem government where the Lib Dems have near parity in the house to Labour - I wouldn't say I trust either but it would be the best of several bad options (my ideal scenario is literally impossible under current law, so I only have the bad options to choose from)
green
Now I'm curious; what's your ideal scenario?
By law do you mean the fptp electoral system or that the party is illegal or something
@@lewisbaitup6352they are probably talking about the currant FPTP system
@@Aerostarm fair
The rich man party trying to appeal to the working class, is truly the "how do you do, fellow kids" of the political world
It's been working since 2010 why wouldn't they continue the gimmick, and don't forget migrants are scary too?
@@MegaKapo12 just cause it works , doesn't mean it isn't stupid.
@@MegaKapo12How about you invite some of these migrants to your house?
I mean, more working class people voted for tory than labour in 2019, the poorest parts of Britain voted tory. The idea that somehow only the poor and downtrodden join labour is just pure fantasy. Labour's voter base is mainly In the wealthiest parts of the country and Uni towns. You do realise, most people, rich and poor prefer lower taxes and free markets. Radicals like Corbyn and farage fail to get anywhere electorally. Boring centrist like Starmer seem to perform much better
You're right, but Labour with their multi-millionaire leader, with a knighthood to boot, aren't exactly 'of the people' either.
Pedro Sanchez made a brilliant move of calling an early election since he was behind, what went from Trudeau and Theresa May was that they were ahead and got cocky. The issue for Sunak is while Sanchez was behind by single digits, he is down by around 20.
Headlines with a question mark are almost always answered with "No".
4:47 Despite the fact that it was their idea, and they pushed Sadiq Khan to do it, with threats that they would remove further funding if he didn't comply.
How very generous to imply the party was united and competent under Johnson, the internal split within the party has defined the last decade. 'On the side of the average citizen?' Well they haven't run out of optimism then but the wealthiest PM in history leading the party of tax cuts for the highest earners still believing in 'trickle down' policies that have never worked has got his work cut out for himself with that one.
Yes but have you considered [culture war bs]. This clearly shows they're on the side of the people
@@BritishRepublicsn seems a bit weak not to dismiss it as nonsense
If Sunak and Tories does have even a bit of shame then they would call a general election like Pedro Sanchez of Spain.
Sanchez called an early election for the same reason Sunak would, because now its a good moment for them.
@@spanishSpaniardExcept PSOE was only behind PP by less than 5%. Conservative is behind Labour by almost 20%.
I, quite selfishly, hope he doesn't call a snap election. This is because I turn 18 in June next year, and am really excited about getting to vote...
Ignore the mainstream parties. It's got to be REFORM UK 🇬🇧.
@@normandunford5747 yeah, no, I ain't voting for farage's band of deluded nutcases. that's probably the only party I definitely won't vote for.
@@normandunford5747bunch of racists.
I'm 21 and have been studying politics academically for 4 years and still haven't voted in a general election! Missed it by a few months!
@@normandunford5747That’s smart mate. Let’s vote for people who are going to cut taxes and increase spending, because that totally works. Let’s also vote for the SAME PEOPLE WHO LITERALLY PUSHED FOR BREXIT WHICH HAS FAILED THE COUNTRY.
I think we're looking at an election some time in Spring. But Sunak is keeping his finger hovering over the button mostly to keep his party in line. They know the party has to appear United if there's an election so he adopted an election footing. He also might push the button if it looks like his leadership seriously going to be challenged. In the very unlikely event he's deposed I suspect the new leader will call an election almost immediately.
Considering that there is a non trivial chance that Rishi himself might not be able to win back his vote, I'm not sure if those calculations add up for the Torries at all!
noting that the tories just went with their second choice pick when liz resigned i doubt it.
which i fucking hate btw we don't deserve the third choice after boris we deserve a leader who's the peoples first choice.
That part of Boris Johnson's speech just goes to show his level of TV viewing is still alongside the average 6 year old watching Sesame Street.
I always say this. Look through the calendar and the Thursdays. Due to weather holidays and events there are very few to hold a GE.
As of 29 Sept., my prediction is "no". Anything that can add instability and confusion to the world will be the way anyone in Sunak's position will go with.
Autumn or Winter. Doesn’t matter, Tories will be out regardless.
"The party of the economy" but going green will cause huge economic growth, not seen in this country since the wide spread adoption of the car.
That doesn't sound like much.
Just remember the construction of the pre grouping railways turned entire towns from small farming and fishing villages to industrial powerhouses.
It’ll cause poverty. Green economics are an absolute fantasy.
Where can I read more about that claim?
they have never been the party of the economy anyway.
@@davidty2006 It would be the largest growth in the economy since the 1960s
The reason no one knows what Starmer stands for, is that he changes his mind like the weather
But he is NOT A TORY ...is he
@ray-wm7yd Well, we hope not, but it is sometimes difficult to tell.
New Labour - so same thing.
@@ray-wm7ydhe pretty much is a Tory
@@ray-wm7yd He's a Tory-lite, every New Labourers are Tory-lite.
3:46
Holy shit. I had never seen this clip until now.
I honestly didn't think it was possible for BoJo to be more cringe, but boy was I wrong.
I suspect Bojo has been coordinating with Truss recently to undermine him and will continue to do so until he runs for MP again
They want to hang on as long as they can 😁
The first question is whether there'll be an election again in Britain.
He wouldn’t because with his record in democratic process he’d lose. I’m still amazed how he can talk about democracy when no one voted for him and hunt along with all these terrible policies and he is the biggest reason for inflation
Loved it man, one of your best.
Sunak has been the Prime Minister for year. If he had the political skill to turn things around, we would have seen some of it by now. Instead of addressing the problems that voters care about, he was rambling about boats and trying to hold the party together. Nobody in their right mind would actually believe that the tories care about the enviroment. Moreover, a party that claims to be competent in terms of economics wouldn't raise trade barriers to their biggest trading partner and spooking investors by a horrendous "mini" budget.
I'm not a Brit but a close observer of British politics. Sunak is desperate and trying to limit the damage at the next election. They're gonna lose. The question is how bad it's gonna be.
Bit of an odd decision by tldr here. Ulez is a public health measure that affected clean air. It is not a environmental net zero initiative. They are not the same. Also didn't point out that the tories bounced Khan into expanding it by being awkward with funding.
They've said all that before on their podcast. Just didn't put it in the video
Sounds good but no sunak will hold on to power. As long as he can,
Only things that matter to him is money and power ,
Sunak needs to announce the UK India trade deal to benefit himself and his wife's family. After that he probably doesn't care anymore and will have the election whenever
will Sunak call an election sooner than he needs, bringing an end to his easy time making money for his family, wife and friends. At the cost to the poorest, our countries health and standing....nah.
Got to love the unhinged, unsubstantiated conspiracy theories being bandied about by the left and right in this decade. Of course simply being a rich PM is enough evidence for conspiracy theories to spread like wild fire. What a time to be alive
Can we stop calling Uxbridge a “shock victory”? They had a fucking huge majority that was very very close to being overturned, narrowly holding onto that isn’t shocking
The UK did NOT elect Boris as PM.
They did! 2019 the election that kept Boris in power after his party picked him to be the PM
Initially they didn't but he called a snap election in 2019 and beat Jeremy Corbin.
I am not sure if this is one of those England voted him in Wales and Scotland didn't. So UK didn't vote him in but if we don't go that Meta. He lead the Tories to one of the largest majorities they ever had. Personally I have always hated the guy
@@SVoided If you believe that, was his name on your ballot paper ? A simple Yes or No !
Waiting till next year is only good for the torys if sunak has any ideas that would actually make anything better for ordinary people, and the will to implement them. He hasn’t shown any signs of having either of those things yet. Without that they’re just going to keep sliding further down into the hole they’ve dug for themselves
I think it is a bit of a strange claim to think that people voted conservative because of net zero commitments. Study after study shows that once net zero is explained topeople they dont want it
How can a billionaire know what It’s like to be poor?
Exactly, he will never know....because he was never poor
@@Soravielhe wasn't born billionaire tho 😅
@@karankapoor2701he wasn't born poor either, as he said himself he doesn't have working class friends and he was proud of that fact.
go look at every single politicians for the past 30 years tony blair to brown from camreon to may from may to johnson etc they have all been billionaire. what is your point. oh your point is just to lambast the tories
They already know he's strings are pulled by the WIF...
I did not know that the fixed term parliament act had been repealed. Thanks for the info
Yeah it was abused by Corbyns labour and they refused an election despite the government being totally unable to do anything. It was repealed after that disaster because the alternative would be a limp government having no choice but to remain in power, being held over a barrel by the minority parties
Absolutely not. They will hang on to power until the last possible second.
They won't hold all the way until January 2025
@@catmonarchist8920 Of all the people who have ever hoped You are right, At this moment I hope You are right more than all of them combined.
That PM is weak and will not call an election until the very end, talk about a repeat of the titanic 😂
How does this video completely miss that rishi and his wife stand to benefit in the hundreds of millions from this
Increase oil and gas production for more tax and energy security. Spend the extra money on NHS and green tech. Do you understand the logic and do you agree? Yes vote Tory, no vote Labour or some other party.
Boris is the embodiment of populism. Telling people what they want to hear, with enthusiasm, and promising to deliver on things he won't be able to do.
You do realize that Labour is also flipping policy in order to gain votes?
Both major parties are really just empty suits trying to figure out the way the wind is blowing.
I would agree. The 2019 election was a battle between the two great populist leaders of our time. Corbyn a populist for the left and Boris a populist for the right-wing liberals
@@lewis123417 But the only real populist is Corbyn, because he actually DELIVERS to the people. He didn't take corporate donations and not endorsed by any billionaires.
Winter elections are pretty unpopular. I'd hedge my bet for May next year.
TLDR News sound like they're about to burst into tears.
I highly doubt it, either May, June or November 2024.
Starmer is the classic "on the fence" politician, he's pro/against Brexit, pro/against HS2 to Manchester, pro/against ULEZ and here we are, paying £400 pcm for electricity and let's not talk about mortgages
Wait until the Labour manifesto is published
@@ray-wm7yd pffffff, more of the same as above, where Britain in 'on the front edge' but we never see anything moving forward
Was there a video about International News?
2:40 You slightly misrepresent the repeal of the FTPA here, before the FTPA it was entirely up to when the PM when an election could be called (ie. they could have terms as long as they liked), now the act that repealed FTPA also includes a provision that automatically dissolves parliament after 5 years, forcing the PM to call an election. So most of the provisions of FTPA are still there, it's just that the power of calling the election moved back to the PM.
Surely no one can be any worse than Tories. They don't care about the young or old people of this country. Please vote this narsty party out
I like to think of it this way. They stopped people seeing loved ones who were dying alone and literally went to parties.
They literally partied while denying people access to relatives who were dying alone.
If I was writing a film and wanted to make a government appear cruel selfish and uncaring, I couldn't come up with a better example.
Yet some are still going to vote for them. At this stage I think those voters can be classed with suffering from Stockholm syndrome.
Old people keep voting Tories the same reasons old people love monarchy and traditions. It’s all stupid stuff.
You're right someguy . They all got charmed by Boris Johnson, more the fool them. Tories are a bunch of narcissists that's why there is zero empathy, sad but true
@@TheSuperPsychoKillerjust remember the only real support the Tories have dies off every day
Does not matter he’s not going to win and if labour get in we the people will still be in the crap
As an American while I do criticize our government and electoral system, the British system makes no sense to me. Like you guys never have elections in the UK lmao
There was one in 2015, 2017, 2019 next one is probably next year. It's a confusing mess of a situation.
We have elections every 5 years, the last one was the end of 2019, so the next one will be end of 2024/start of 2025. However, the government can call early elections if they want to, so we end up with elections more often than the United States a lot of the time. Currently, it's been under 4 years since the last one (so more recent than yours), and the elections before that were 2 years apart each. It just seems like we never have elections because 1) our elections don't get much coverage in the US and 2) the last few years have felt very long.
*can you guys do a video on all we know about starmer's policies. and economic policies*
be a very short video....get 'Ang' up there....she goes off like a volcano...
Starmer’s policies are as follows:
**crickets chirping**
The Tories seem to suffer from electile dysfunction. That's why they haven't held one lately.
They have to turn the people against each other more first. Thats why you'll see a lot of stories about people living the dream on benefits.
Whinging about benefits is so 2010
As a non-Brit, a quick question - if there's no law saying they need to have a general election at any specific time, why would the current in-power party EVER hold an election unless they're sure they're about to lose a majority due to party members retiring or similar reasons?
The limit is 5 years so an election can be called at anytime within the 5 years. It used to be enforced that the election had to fall on a certain date but an election could be held with the consent of parliament but the system was abused by Corbyn and the labour party forcing a limp government to stay in power while refusing to go to the public for an election so the Blair reforms were undone and its back in the hands of the PM
I may be wrong but I believe that there was a law passed that made it a legal requirement to hold a general election with five years of the last. I really hope so, at least there would be some hope of getting rid of this toxic filth.
Hello non brit, there is a law saying they HAVE to have a general election, the video is wrong if it stated this.
"The maximum term of a Parliament is five years from the day on which it first met. The current Parliament first met on Tuesday 17 December 2019 and will automatically dissolve on Tuesday 17 December 2024, unless it has been dissolved sooner by the King.
Polling Day would be expected to take place 25 days later, not counting weekends or any bank holidays that fall within this period."
Law requires that the King dissolve parliament every 5 years (i.e. call an election). That the government can call one as they please is just a side effect of the King being the one to dissolve parliament, because he basically can't refuse advice from the prime minister.
they would be forced after 5 years or whatever it is.
NO, the voting population did NOT vote Alexander Boris Johnson as the MP. We DO NOT have a presidential system. The Tory party had the majority of the seats and he was the leader, that is NOT voting him as a person as the PM.
He was the most popular choice amongst the conservative membership, and the voters voted for a conservative party headed by Boris Johnson
@@lewis123417 The Con's membership are a VERY small part of the electorate, and even then it was ONLY the voters in his constituency that voted for him.
In a kingdom of lies, trust is treason. Be self sufficient, right now.
They can posture all they want, the country is fed up with them and they are gone
No cause he’s a coward and knows he will lose 🤬
It must be even harder for a privileged elite like Sunak who has had everything in life he ever wanted but can’t buy his way out of this, the billionaire ex-banker he is
2:46 So, never
Something tells me we're not that lucky
I will NEVER forgive the electorate if conservative wins the next election. I moved to the UK in 2020, and in university right now. And will doing my masters in a couple of years, if they win I don't see myself staying and would probably go back to America or somewhere else, where things look better.
Can you make a video about the Rosebank oil field?
Sunak is unelected and disliked by all. We won't survive another winter. GE now!
As the Tories have done absolutely nothing about rip-off energy prices, if this winter is harsh, a lot of their lifelong, fervent boomer voters won’t!
I don't even think the Tories should be in opposition.
I agree with your first four words.
I think if the Tories simply weren't in the house, the UK would be a much better place.
@@Sasha-zv2wxah yes and labour and the greens will finally bring about the socialist Utopia we all deserve. But first we just need to ban our opposition and supress those who disagree
Tories don’t deserve to be in second place in the polls but English people keep voting for them for some dumb reason.
@@Sasha-zv2wx
You need to organise a trip to a library, broadband service is not enough
Spring '24 I reckon
Unfortunately there has been a political attitude fostered in Britain that compromise is wrong, co-operation is abhorrent, and everything always has to be someone else's fault. Starmer, despite the hope he offers gets labled as a Tory in a red suit and rejected. Sunak, seen as a defacto oligarch and rejected as well, not that I disagree because it's the truth. and there are so many cases I see of "True Red" voters if you like, supporting Labour policy while reading radical right wing papers.
Nobody it seems has the will or desire to make things better because they're too consumed arguing over primary colours and blind party alignment. It's disgusting.
I agree, what we need is stability and unity
Doing it this year is safer than waiting until 2024. Tory popularity will diminish over time, so doing it now secures their power.
I don't understand why this hasn't happened... why is there no mechanism to remove a party if they get a low enough approval rating and are deeply unpopular?
There is... regular elections.
There should be special circumstances where if an approval rating drops too lower, an election is automatically triggered. @@Theomardell-v1t
There is, its called a no confidence vote. We can't simply remove democratically elected governments because of a couple of polls. If a group of MPs want to launch a credible no confidence challenge in Parliament then they can but if the government still has authority and confidence to pass bills in the house they have every right to remain.
Because the only mechanisms to do so involve either the King entering politics, which would result in there no longer being a King, or the MPs passing a no confidence motion, which requires a majority, and because being the government also requires a majority, a number of the MPs in the government party would have to vote against their own party. The only other option would be referenda, but it'd probably take some kind of no confidence motion to start a referendum, and at that point the MPs could just vote the government out anyway. There's no easy way to figure out what the people want except through elections.
@@lewis123417 We should be able to do that, if the PM has not the confidence of the people, what mandate do they actually have?
Not even watched the video yet… but I hope so
My thought exactly. :)
3:36 WTF you talking about Boris
I won't be vote in labour I'm voting Reform
I flaming well hope so!
technically the tories didn't stand against ulz, they forced Khan to do it more quickly. (Khan was fine with this)
They only pretended to be against it for the election.
Never seen such incompetence and greed, quicker we have election the better.
If Sunak wants to rewrite the Tory agenda, perhaps he might remember that he has no mandate from anybody for anything. That might tempt him to go early in order to obtain such a mandate. One can't help think, however, that turkeys never really vote for Christmas. As things stand, the Tories are going to lose and lose badly. Much easier to dither and hope, in Micawberish fashion, something will turn up.
If it does happen people please remember this time , never ever again with the Tories .
There's still stupid idiots out there replying to my comments saying "tHerEs nO oNE elSE tO Go fOr!" and "boRRiS diD noThiNG wrONg!"
Yes there's people out there with literally no brain cells at all.
Besides, its obvious kier starmer won't be a good PM, judging he wants more strict lockdowns and he loves zionists, which is some of the reasons why I am not voting him. I am voting nobody in the next election.
The same was said about labour after the 70s and then again after 2008. Theres nothing special or unique about tory incompetence
I hope so!
Say what you will about Corbyn, but you knew where he stood. Also, Starmer is playing the equivalent of a prevent defense in American Football which, in the words of John Madden, only prevents you from winning.
Thats true to an extend but his issue was an incompetent and embarrasing shadow cabinet with the likes of emily thornburry and Dianne abott. Also the whole idea of "were going to negotiate a deal with the EU and then put that deal to a referendum which would ask our deal or remain and we would campaign for remain, essentially saying they will negotiate a deal which they would then campaign against their own deal in another second referendum" totally ludacrous policy and you can see why Boris won with the simple promise of "get brexit done"
@@lewis123417 I didn't mean he was competent. Also, from what I know about him, he's a genuinely nice guy, and over here in America he would better serve as "the conscience of the House" like Philip Hart did in the US Senate.
@@timmylean nothing like an incompetent consciounce
@@timmyleanhe isn’t even a nice guy tho. Starmer has a reputation for being two-faced and throwing his allies under the bus
I hope so, finely kick out the Tories
I would love it if tldr made a video in which they just said "no" and end fill the rest with empty space.
No... He won't. Literally no reason for him to.
They need to get rid of Cruella Braveman
Is 5 years too long
Sunak is extrapolating too much from one data source, that one bye-election in London...
No way - he will stick it out as long as he can
By the end of the year means give or take 9 weeks (45 business days) to arrange the poll, assuming the last two weeks are off limit due to holidays. Is that really credible?
Not watched yet, I say no way. I'll watch and see if it changes my mind
Edit: still no
Let's get one thing straight....the British population DID NOT vote for Boris....the conservative party did. The same way the British public DID NOT vote for Brexit, the merely took part in a poll which is not a vote and doesn't have to be upheld, but Camerons ego caused him to tell everyone that he would uphold the outcome because he believed the poll would be in favour of staying.
Since there is no fixed time for an election and the PM can call an election any time at his discretion, when he does call an election is it still called a snap election?
My vote goes to Reform UK
Good video, but you guys still need to sort your sound out - it sounds like it's being recorded in a basement
Doesn't matter if it's tory or labour they both have the same end goal they just disagree on the speed of which it will be reached.
God… imagine missing Boris.
As much of an absolute tosswollop he was, at least he was making some effort to protect the environment.
Sunak will even sell that if it gets him 5 votes….
There should of been a general election called when liz truss resigned in disgrace last year. I would take one tomorrow.
NO! :(