How did you arrive at 1 in 10313? I did ((((47 choose 5) -3)*4)+ 6)/(52 choose 10). 6 being for the case where you draw 2 royal flushes (wouldnt make that much of a difference anyway). This gives an answer of 1 in 2500 roughly. For an 8 card draw the 10000 range is correct i think.
It was over a month ago, but I think what I did was using the nCr function I took 47 and 5 to get 1.533939e6 and added 4 for the possible 10 card hands containing a royal flush. Then using nCr again with 52 and 10 to get 1.582002422e10 for all possible 10 card hands. I then divided to get that 1 in 10313 number. The reason I did it this way was because I couldn’t find much on the internet on calculating poker hands outside of the traditional formats so I took the formula on the ‘Poker probability’ Wikipedia page where they calculate the odds of drawing a five card royal flush as nCr 52 and 5 = 2598960, and then divided by 4 for one in 649740 odds. So I took that and tried to make it work with 10 card draw. It was a lot of fun to try to figure all that out when I was putting this video together, as I hadn’t used a scientific calculator since college. I thought I had figured it out at the time, but I trust your judgment, as I’m not an expert. I didn’t think about it too much at the time when I was just putting together the clips for fun, if I knew crazy amounts of people would watch and I’d be unknowingly misinforming them I would’ve stayed in my lane and not added any math context to the video, so I do genuinely apologize for that.
@ Ah no worries! I was just wondering where the figure came from and the effort of doing all of that to add a statistic for a few seconds in the video is extremely commendable. Thank you for replying as well!
A more in-depth explanation (I misread vedantl155's comment and I've already finished writing my explanation by the time I came back to read it again...) : First, to get the number of possible hands containing a royal flush, we multiply (47 choose 5) by 4. This is because each of the 4 possible royal flushes (one of each suit), you have (47 choose 5) ways to choose the remaining 5 cards (out of the remaining 52-5=47 cards in the deck). Second, note that this multiplication results in multiple countings of the same hand, since a hand containing two royal flushes in possible. To better understand the reason double counting is possible, consider the following ways of choosing the same hand: 1. Choosing the royal flush to be of diamonds and the remaining 5 chosen cards will happen to be a royal flush of clubs. 2. Choosing the royal flush to be of clubs and the remaining 5 chosen cards will happen to be a royal flush of diamonds. These two hands are the same, even though we chose them in two different ways. In order to cancel those double countings, we need to subtract the number of hands counted twice from the total number of hands containing a royal flush we calculated in the first step. Since there are 4 ways of making a royal flush (one for each suit), then there are (4 choose 2)=6 possible hands containing two royal flushes (meaning there are 6 duplications in our counting). Therefore, we need to subtract 6 from the number of hands containing a royal flush calculated in the first step. Third, we want to calculate the number of possible hands, since the probability of drawing a royal flush is ratio between the number of hands containing a royal flush and the total number of possible hands. Since there are 52 cards in the deck, then there are (52 choose 10) possible hands of 10 cards. In conclusion, the total number of possible hands of 10 cards containing a royal flush is: (4*(47 choose 5)-6) / (52 choose 10), which is approximately 1 in 2578.
This is the best editing for Balatro I think I have ever seen. Your attention to layout and clarity of the hands/calculations while not distracting from or interrupting the video is A M A Z I N G!
Honestly really glad you made these because I personally was interested how NL plays balatro. Unfortunately librarian focuses more on banter bits than gameplay ones
The video you are all commenting on is an example of a highlight video with different content priority, like the original commenter wants. You could just watch the original videos for the banter too.
I didn't expect to keep liking the game more and more for this long. The discovery period is always rewarding but the way the game is built you keep unlocking new combos and concepts with the jokers. Awesome.
i really like the selection here! you did a great job taking some of the most notable gameplay moments from hundreds of videos and making them digestible and entertaining. also i love how he says perkeo
How tf have I not heard of this man while I'm watching tons and playing Balatro for the entire year? Thank the algo for sending this lmao I have sumn to binge watch for the holidays
0:50 there's a lot to be said about the way we perceive the same odds of occurring, i think here its a case of lucky cards being quicker and more frequent triggered than wheels, so hits stand out more and misses get blended into the background. also, when you're opening a wheel that is the only thing on screen you are looking at for those seconds
I’ve had random NL vids pop up in my feed for about a year but haven’t watched any until this one. Pretty damn funny dude, and the editing was super well done. Def gonna be checking out more lol.
There is an achievement for beating all gold stakes, called completionist+, but the game was broken at launch and would give it after your first gold stake win
0:34 I swear Gros Michel is a 99/100 chance to destroy itself after a round. In the 8 or so times I've taken it, it has survived past the first round ONCE.
man i really have to study this game more, i didn't know the order of jokers and cards was so crazy important 😭 ive got 10 hours and never won yet hopefully i win soon 😗 also your editing is cleaaaaan. i love editing in my free time and your style is genuinely one i would aspire to have 😌
Ive never played this, so can someone explain why he doesn't put the mime all the way on the right? Seems like it logically would be the best place to put it
No problem, the mime is a bit of special card in that it's positioning in the joker order doesn't matter because it gets activated when card 'held in hand' abilities get activated. Since Steel cards get activated in hand, before the other jokers do, the mime can be in any place unlike the XMult Throwback joker which does do its best at the right end so that the 'flat mult' from the Bootstraps Joker gets multiplied. I hope this was the information you were looking for!
Idk why there is librarian hate, this channel does a great job editing but if you’re looking for gameplay, why are you looking at librarians channel? It is clear he focuses more on the banter and if that’s not for you that all good brother. I prefer the banter and anecdotes, which is why I stopped watching NL’s main channel when the Isaac drip dried out and was replaced with vods. But when I found librarian and it was just pure banter I was immediately hooked. This guy still edits some banter yet still provides an entertaining experience while focusing on gameplay. Yet sometimes librarian still focuses on gameplay, like with rumbleverse. I kind of rambled on but TLDR: we are all here for NL, why do we have to tear each other apart for enjoying the many different aspects his content? As he would probably say “we’re all on the same rock floating in an empty void. Might as well get along with one another”
Balatro nerds, is there some weird thing going on with the wheel of fortune chances? I know, I know anecdotal evidence and whatnot but in my 35+ hours playing balatro and wining with all but 1 decks on easiest difficulty I have only seen it trigger 5 times. I started writing down when it did after doing runs with red and blue decks and it not triggering 10 times in a row in a pogged tarot run.
I might be wrong, but I believe what's happening is not that each Wheel of Fortune is a 1/4 chance, but that all Wheel of Fortune results are predetermined by the seed for each card. So, while it truly is 1/4 across a large enough sample size - it is possible to get really unlucky seeds where the ten cards you get are 10 Nopes in a row, or you can find seeds for routing where you can plan around getting 4 Polychromes in a row from specific Wheel of Fortune cards. I hope this is the knowledge you were looking for!
Only needing 2 cards to make a straight wouldn’t be that great, unless you also have the joker which makes every card score. Only scoring with 2 cards would be pretty low scoring.
told me its 0.00039 which is like 1 in 2500 and then i did probability myself independently and also got 0.000387 so i think its this, but also 2500 is not that often, and the 10 hand greatly increases his chances but still, he somehow just got it like that right as he increased it
I just do not understand Balatro It looks so boring and I love rouguelike games. Luck be a landlord looked better, Peglin is a much more interesting game. I just dont get it
How did you arrive at 1 in 10313? I did ((((47 choose 5) -3)*4)+ 6)/(52 choose 10). 6 being for the case where you draw 2 royal flushes (wouldnt make that much of a difference anyway). This gives an answer of 1 in 2500 roughly. For an 8 card draw the 10000 range is correct i think.
It was over a month ago, but I think what I did was using the nCr function I took 47 and 5 to get 1.533939e6 and added 4 for the possible 10 card hands containing a royal flush. Then using nCr again with 52 and 10 to get 1.582002422e10 for all possible 10 card hands. I then divided to get that 1 in 10313 number. The reason I did it this way was because I couldn’t find much on the internet on calculating poker hands outside of the traditional formats so I took the formula on the ‘Poker probability’ Wikipedia page where they calculate the odds of drawing a five card royal flush as nCr 52 and 5 = 2598960, and then divided by 4 for one in 649740 odds. So I took that and tried to make it work with 10 card draw.
It was a lot of fun to try to figure all that out when I was putting this video together, as I hadn’t used a scientific calculator since college. I thought I had figured it out at the time, but I trust your judgment, as I’m not an expert. I didn’t think about it too much at the time when I was just putting together the clips for fun, if I knew crazy amounts of people would watch and I’d be unknowingly misinforming them I would’ve stayed in my lane and not added any math context to the video, so I do genuinely apologize for that.
@ Ah no worries! I was just wondering where the figure came from and the effort of doing all of that to add a statistic for a few seconds in the video is extremely commendable. Thank you for replying as well!
A more in-depth explanation (I misread vedantl155's comment and I've already finished writing my explanation by the time I came back to read it again...) :
First, to get the number of possible hands containing a royal flush, we multiply (47 choose 5) by 4. This is because each of the 4 possible royal flushes (one of each suit), you have (47 choose 5) ways to choose the remaining 5 cards (out of the remaining 52-5=47 cards in the deck).
Second, note that this multiplication results in multiple countings of the same hand, since a hand containing two royal flushes in possible.
To better understand the reason double counting is possible, consider the following ways of choosing the same hand:
1. Choosing the royal flush to be of diamonds and the remaining 5 chosen cards will happen to be a royal flush of clubs.
2. Choosing the royal flush to be of clubs and the remaining 5 chosen cards will happen to be a royal flush of diamonds.
These two hands are the same, even though we chose them in two different ways.
In order to cancel those double countings, we need to subtract the number of hands counted twice from the total number of hands containing a royal flush we calculated in the first step.
Since there are 4 ways of making a royal flush (one for each suit), then there are (4 choose 2)=6 possible hands containing two royal flushes (meaning there are 6 duplications in our counting).
Therefore, we need to subtract 6 from the number of hands containing a royal flush calculated in the first step.
Third, we want to calculate the number of possible hands, since the probability of drawing a royal flush is ratio between the number of hands containing a royal flush and the total number of possible hands.
Since there are 52 cards in the deck, then there are (52 choose 10) possible hands of 10 cards.
In conclusion, the total number of possible hands of 10 cards containing a royal flush is:
(4*(47 choose 5)-6) / (52 choose 10), which is approximately 1 in 2578.
9:10 he reads like he’s discovering each individual word on that card for the first time in his life. we love our kindergarten streamer
Every word in the description is substantial
Dogs when they leave the vet for the first time 11:49
+2
+2
+2
One of the funniest comment I've ever read on YT
+2
“They’ve disabled my banana” will live rent free in my head for a whiiiiile 😂
can't have shit
@@laughingstock7638 me when I'm impotent.
This is the best editing for Balatro I think I have ever seen. Your attention to layout and clarity of the hands/calculations while not distracting from or interrupting the video is A M A Z I N G!
the calculator graphic for the hand of a lifetime was a nice touch!
I lost it seeing his "Jokeboat Ideas" folder on the desktop
Even funnier that the folder appears to be empty
i thought this was just going to be a collection of clips but the editing here is insane! awesome job
I felt any and all loyalty to librarian leave my body the second I saw on screen context clues
Why pit two bad bitches against each other
he doesnt take any interest in the games the dude hes obsessed with vocally champions, and yet is still type a. clown boy.
@@coynelaundryhuh?
Type A chatter
Bro just watch nls early balatro vids or play the game if you want context, librarians vids focus on banter and jokes not gameplay
incredibly impressed that i got got with the ending fakeout , well done lol ^u^
I thought this had a ton more views; the edits are on point, and the explanations and stuff adds a lot and is very useful. Good job!!!
That Aces hand at 7:10 is just incredible to see score
And he could have done even better if he used The Serpent correctly
@@gamingtime9716ikr, he got the greatest “debuff” boss for what he was doing and didn’t notice
He also had a five flush with the mult card
@@thedigidome regular five flush is worth much less than a lvl 17 four of a kind
@elboof8484 ah yeah I forgot about that
The details in the upper right corner and video dates/titles in the "Hand" section are good touches
1:25 what the "Money For Nothing" cover band says to me when i ask them if they're playing any other songs
Honestly really glad you made these because I personally was interested how NL plays balatro. Unfortunately librarian focuses more on banter bits than gameplay ones
You know you could actually watch the videos...
Goes to a content creator highlight video to analyze gameplay
"Why is there no gameplay?"
Me when i watch funny NL compilation and only find funny compilation instead of gameplay
The video you are all commenting on is an example of a highlight video with different content priority, like the original commenter wants. You could just watch the original videos for the banter too.
NL has a TH-cam channel my guy
I didn't expect to keep liking the game more and more for this long. The discovery period is always rewarding but the way the game is built you keep unlocking new combos and concepts with the jokers. Awesome.
13:20 Eve talking to the Serpent
+2, short and sweet
“it got +20 mult did you see that”
as he’s playing on slow ass base speed lmao
(my brain is cooked from 1000 hours on max speed)
Me in English Class in 1998 when I find out we aren't doing a worksheet in the last ten minutes of class 8:17
+2
i really like the selection here! you did a great job taking some of the most notable gameplay moments from hundreds of videos and making them digestible and entertaining. also i love how he says perkeo
If NL's space joker is 1/2, hes stealing them from me because mine is 1/10
11:09 is a good bit, who else references avogadro's number
I miss the chili oil bit
i love this, thank you for when librarian makes a reference, you put it on the screen, i love itttt!
How tf have I not heard of this man while I'm watching tons and playing Balatro for the entire year? Thank the algo for sending this lmao I have sumn to binge watch for the holidays
I discovered balatro and NL via his videos, became hooked on both! I’d love a compilation on his losses too because some of them cracked me up 😂
7:20 bro activated the particle accelerator
Balatro was top tier content, thanks for the edit brother
insane amount of effort for this video and it 100% enhances the watch, thank you
edit: watched till the end, you got me!
Holy fuck, this is so well edited. Are you the Luke 50 Yen that was promised in the ancient dreams?
0:15 The probability is off because they forgot to consider all four suits. It should actually be about a quarter of what they said, 1 in 2,578.25
thanks for putting this together!
0:50 there's a lot to be said about the way we perceive the same odds of occurring, i think here its a case of lucky cards being quicker and more frequent triggered than wheels, so hits stand out more and misses get blended into the background. also, when you're opening a wheel that is the only thing on screen you are looking at for those seconds
That's a great point!
Nope!
I’ve had random NL vids pop up in my feed for about a year but haven’t watched any until this one. Pretty damn funny dude, and the editing was super well done. Def gonna be checking out more lol.
i like the jebait at the end
Jebaited me
loved the calculator edit, very nice
17:24 Based Jorge Ben Jor enjoyer
banger edit 🎉🙏
merry christmas!
The Egg is indeed cracked.
Nice subtle edits 👍
2:48 NO MULTS BROTHER!!!!!
great video, thank you!
that fakeout at the end got me and i watched this video on my phone lmao
you got me GOOD with that ending fakeout
I have never seen NL more enthusiastic about a game than in the Hand of a Lifetime clip holy shit
This was amazing thank you
Pog memories
my gullible ass trying to click on one of the cat vids in the fakeout ending
Great edit!
Oh man, I miss the momma Liz’s chili oil bit so bad
"maybe I lost my mind"
this video only made me realize i really dont understand balatro even less than i thought i already did
the ending got me haha
There is an achievement for beating all gold stakes, called completionist+, but the game was broken at launch and would give it after your first gold stake win
i am a simple man. i see egg with the funny cards and i click.
I miss Mama Liz’s Chili Oil so much bros…
WITH context! How lucky am I, what fine dining!
0:34 I swear Gros Michel is a 99/100 chance to destroy itself after a round. In the 8 or so times I've taken it, it has survived past the first round ONCE.
You got me hard with the end card - I was just about to click on the Jerma comp, and I was trying to figure out why it wouldn't work
man i really have to study this game more, i didn't know the order of jokers and cards was so crazy important 😭 ive got 10 hours and never won yet hopefully i win soon 😗 also your editing is cleaaaaan. i love editing in my free time and your style is genuinely one i would aspire to have 😌
It's a lot to take in at first, but a ton of fun after things start to click. Just make sure your XMult is to the far right and enjoy the ride!
This video makes me realize how incredibly stupid I am at Balatro in my first 5 hours so far. I'm looking at the game the wrong way.
@@Jdkieddj It's a lot to take in at first, but a ton of fun after things start to click, enjoy the ride!
I was your 200th subscriber, good content
Literally might be the worst possible use of Perkeo 😂😂
great editing
ive been sleeping on the anaglyph deck
I saw this in the side bar of a Vaush video and I'm happy We watch the same NL content
My goat has an Acer poggies
15:30 is CRAZY
Four point five o' E to the 17!!!!!
7:10 hehe multiplier go brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
i still to this day have no idea what is going on in balatro
insanity
Librarian 2 dropped
Ive never played this, so can someone explain why he doesn't put the mime all the way on the right? Seems like it logically would be the best place to put it
No problem, the mime is a bit of special card in that it's positioning in the joker order doesn't matter because it gets activated when card 'held in hand' abilities get activated. Since Steel cards get activated in hand, before the other jokers do, the mime can be in any place unlike the XMult Throwback joker which does do its best at the right end so that the 'flat mult' from the Bootstraps Joker gets multiplied. I hope this was the information you were looking for!
@@Tisvly thanks
Idk why there is librarian hate, this channel does a great job editing but if you’re looking for gameplay, why are you looking at librarians channel?
It is clear he focuses more on the banter and if that’s not for you that all good brother. I prefer the banter and anecdotes, which is why I stopped watching NL’s main channel when the Isaac drip dried out and was replaced with vods. But when I found librarian and it was just pure banter I was immediately hooked.
This guy still edits some banter yet still provides an entertaining experience while focusing on gameplay. Yet sometimes librarian still focuses on gameplay, like with rumbleverse.
I kind of rambled on but TLDR: we are all here for NL, why do we have to tear each other apart for enjoying the many different aspects his content? As he would probably say “we’re all on the same rock floating in an empty void. Might as well get along with one another”
FOUR POINT FIVE O E TO THE SEVENTEEN??
13:27 this shit ain't nothin to me man
Balatro nerds, is there some weird thing going on with the wheel of fortune chances? I know, I know anecdotal evidence and whatnot but in my 35+ hours playing balatro and wining with all but 1 decks on easiest difficulty I have only seen it trigger 5 times. I started writing down when it did after doing runs with red and blue decks and it not triggering 10 times in a row in a pogged tarot run.
I might be wrong, but I believe what's happening is not that each Wheel of Fortune is a 1/4 chance, but that all Wheel of Fortune results are predetermined by the seed for each card. So, while it truly is 1/4 across a large enough sample size - it is possible to get really unlucky seeds where the ten cards you get are 10 Nopes in a row, or you can find seeds for routing where you can plan around getting 4 Polychromes in a row from specific Wheel of Fortune cards. I hope this is the knowledge you were looking for!
@Tisvly oh wow that makes sense! thanks!
Only needing 2 cards to make a straight wouldn’t be that great, unless you also have the joker which makes every card score.
Only scoring with 2 cards would be pretty low scoring.
not really, pair or high card builds are really powerful
Oh he on white seem easy
Whoa 4.150e17
Meanwhile my best ever hand is 45,484
Dude, u my second run I made it to endless
Its so funny how bad nl was at balatro. Keeping the boot instead around was a crazy bad move lmao
NL reveals his inner weeb by calling the Lucky Cat "Maneki-neko"
More like it revealed his culture knowledge. Though he is married to a weeb.
Chat GPT told me its actually 1 in 16755 chance
told me its 0.00039 which is like 1 in 2500
and then i did probability myself independently and also got 0.000387
so i think its this, but also 2500 is not that often, and the 10 hand greatly increases his chances but still, he somehow just got it like that right as he increased it
I just do not understand Balatro
It looks so boring and I love rouguelike games. Luck be a landlord looked better, Peglin is a much more interesting game. I just dont get it
Maybe try playing it? Nobody's forcing you, but any game that requires strategy is kinda boring to watch if you don't get it.