2019 Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: Early Round Draft Strategy
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 24 ก.ย. 2024
- In today's video I go over one of the most important topics of the offseason. Early round draft strategy. The early rounds are by far the most important, so I like making this video to go over the mindset you need to have when selecting players early. As always be sure to let me know what you think in the comment section below!
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Solid advice here. Don’t reach. You have to zig when they zag. If a bunch of RBs are taken through the round you almost have to snag a WR because the value rises
Exactly. Last year I drafted 10th in a 12 team league and all the stud running backs were gone so I took DeAndre Hopkins and then got CMC early in the 2nd round.
And have no legit rb?...seems to me the less players in a position the more valuable they should be...
He makes sense I get it......
Chris Koshinski Nah, if all of the high value RBs are taken, you don’t want to waste a high value pick on a lower value player. In fact, this is why a lot of people like the sixth or seventh pick because they always get a top tier WR and a decent running back. Sure, they miss out on zeke, Saquan, Gurley, Kamara, CMC and potentially Gordon or others; but, they have first pick when it comes to Odell, DHop, Thielen, Julio, Adams, Thomas and other star receivers. The first picks get a top running back and a decent WR, whereas the bottom picks get a top wide receiver and a good running back. There is absolutely no problem with Dalvin Cook, Joe Mixon, Nick Chubb, Aaron Jones, or James Conner, but I’d rather have an all star receiver and pick one of the later backs than grab a later back early and have a smaller picking of good WRs
@@TheJuxify plus the chance of that rb coming back to you.....I get it. I'm in 12 man non ppr. 6 points for throwing td (standard everything else)..... With a bunch of sharks. So the 6 thru 9ish spots are allways Quite tuff.. so I'm just doing extra homework this year
TH-cam got big balls for putting double ads on us
zedceed 😂😂
BAHAHA that comment will help me start my day in the right direction
I think that's the channel owners decision
I drafted Bell and Fournette last season. Fun times indeed. ☹️
bi0lizard1 brutal.. I picked dalvin cook 2nd pick so I know the feel
Black Beard same
I had Bell and McKinnon in the 3rd. Brutal draft but managed to almost make it into the playoffs.
Dont feel bad. I drafted Ajayi, Freeman, and Fitzgerald lmao. Was a rough season. Albeit Fitzgerald was a late round pick but still he was a bum lol.
airsoftBlaine yeah, I also drafted kupp, Aj green, and someone else(can’t remeber
not sure why i was recommended this vid from 4 years ago, but, clearly the youtube algorithm is on your side nick. been a joy to watch your channel grow
Targeted Zeke, Thielen, Evans in 1 draft. Targeted CMC, Davante, Odell in another. Targeted Marlon Mack, Dalvin Cook, DHOP in a 3rd draft. Targeted Josh Jacobs in all 3 drafts.
Hey @FantasyFootballAdvice I think it would be super beneficial for us and a big hit for your channel if you streamed or even recorded you doing a mock draft and giving commentary/analysis through your picks. Just a thought! 👍🏼
GAMExDOG he does them closer to end of training camp
@@AsimpleTale sounds good! Thanks for letting me know!
I drafted D johnson and bell in first two rounds last year and still won my league because i murdered my middle rounds getting cohen and michel along with calvin ridley, kittle, and Edelman
Well the best thing to do with the data you showed for the bust rates is reverse them. If there's an 80% success rate for a position in a given round, go through that round and self-determine who the 20% could be. It won't be perfect, but I go through this in my own time. I never really knew the actual percentages on it until now, however. So this is quite helpful! In the later rounds you're essentially looking for 1 receiver and 1 RB in each round to actually pan out. The others won't be starters. Good stuff and you earned yourself a like for that data :)
Exactly what I’ve been saying for years. Last year I got Mahomes in the 8th round and won the 12 team league
QB wisdom. Ended up getting the eventual No.1 QB in fantasy out of the FA heap after the draft one year.
In my money league finals I got beat by 1 player. Travis kelce. Probably the most valuable player in smaller leagues
@Kyle Abbott I expect a little regression but definitely still a hot offense to target.
Henry won me a big payday last season I lost Hunt and there was Henry still on the wire. With that being said I've done a thousand mocks this year and have yet to draft Henry. I need to be convinced to spend a 3rd rounder on Henry instead of AJ ,Thielen or Mahomes
Alley Oop ! I did the same exact thing! Lol
I passed on Barkley and drafted Fournette, because at the time Barkley had a bad hamstring and I thought he would be the one with injury problems throughout the year🙄
Thank God for Conner
Bought the package for 20 dollars got two drafts tomorrow and I can honestly say the amount of effort you put into this for 20 bucks is completely worth it thanks bro
These are factz . Don’t go with the wave create the wave ✊🏽💪🏾 fire advice
I’m from the future and your first 5 rounds were nuts
Gave it a like - 9.1k and counting. Great job.
I binge-watched these videos in the hours leading up to my draft. Had the first overall pick, so hopefully that along with your guys' tips will lead me to my first title.
This is common sense for anyone that is competitive in fantasy football... I'm surprised how many are calling this strategy secret lol great for noobs though.
James dreyer post a link to your channel
I'm in a $500 league and people blow it all the time
@@toxicrace06 I should start one huh
@@favor4afavor823 wish I was in your league
In my latest mock draft I nabbed Pat Mahomes at pick #50/#51 (10 man draft) and I feel like that's incredible value. I usually always wait on QB's but if any of my real drafts play out like that mock did I'd be more than happy to take Mahomes at the top of the 6th round!
I've been doing fantasy for a long time and I have to say you are one of the best I've heard... do you run a podcast?
I’ve been top 3 in my leagues every year 4 years running. I’m a skeptic of a lot of youtube fantasy football videos, but this is one of thee best videos I’ve seen.
I won a championship last year while drafting Bell first and Freeman second so that was pretty crazy
Joe Laird lies
William Fuller I cant add a pic but I’ll explain how😂 Drafted Davante Adams, Mixon, Thielen next, then got Mahomes I’m the 10th round and picked up both Sony and James Connor off the waivers. Also drafted Chris Carson late
Every year my strategy is to go rb, rb, wr, QB....until last year I took zeke first, and when round two came around I saw michael Thomas available I couldn't pass him so i changed my strategy and took best available each round, totally worked for me had best record all season and ended up finishing 3rd, this video has great advice
Love this video because its good to hear different strategies based on situation instead of knowledge. Nice Work Nick!
I had the first pick in a snake draft and took Henry in the third, because I knew I wasn't getting another pick til the end of the 4th, and I got the most shit for that pick of anyone for any pick in the whole draft. Gordon, Mixon, and Cook were the next backs taken, and I liked Henry's situation a *whole* lot more than theirs. Amari Cooper was the next pick after I took Henry, and ODB was taken in that round, but I got Stefon Diggs and Brandin Cooks in rounds 5 and 6, so I still got good value at WR. People live and die by ADP but sometimes you have to use your brain and draft for what you want according to what's there.
Giving away all the secrets, not recommending you to anyone 😂😂
Watch out for runs and be flexible not dead set on drafting certain positions (rb/wr). Also pick qb up pretty late
Raider Junkie yes that is true but the point differential for QBs is less than RBs.
@Raider Junkie Ill wait and take brees,rivers,wilson,goff..... and take higher celing rbs/wrs.
Lol
@Raider Junkie It cripples your team when they get hurt. Happened to me with Rodgers a few years ago, but an elite qb (if you can 4th - 5th round) will put your team over the top, if you can nail 5 of your other picks and manage your roster through the season (you need a top 7 rb or top 10 wr though).
Rate the team! 12 team half ppr BEST BALL!
Qb: trey lance, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Daniel Jones
Rb: Jonathan Taylor, Sanders, Gordon, Pollard, Penny
Wr: Robinson, Evans, Robby Anderson, Sutton, Golladay, Beasley, Davis, and Trequan smith
Te: Kelce and Jarwin
People gave me shit for taking Derek Henry in the 4th round, thank you for solidifying my choice for me
Y'all already drafted? That's so early and wild haha
@@smileyheadshot ya but we for college starting so we had to do it before people left
@@edward_kenway532gaming3 true, yeah I drafted early last year and picked McKinnon in the 3rd round... He tore his ACL the next week before the season started. Good luck though man
I had a rough start last year with Bell, Gronk, Josh Gordon as 3 of my top 4 picks. Thankfully I hit on some sleepers late with Lockett, Godwin, Aaron Jones thanks to FFA.
Fire Dolphin josh gorden lets me know you know nothing
@@nappynatiboy513 4th RD pick in a 14 team league and I didn't have a WR yet. He was by far the most talented one left.
Dude I am definitely getting the draft package this year
I got it last year and will be getting again this year, best value in the entire industry by a mile.
@@MyanRiller How did you do in your league? I'm just starting my first league with some 3 year fatasy guys and i'm looking for an edge, is it that helpful? I don't mind paying if it's helpful.
Thanks
I waited til the end to draft a QB last year and Rothlisberger was pretty solid most weeks
Drafted Bell and Aj Green, still won the chip
Mahomes was a sleeper goin into last season and i had him on my bench behind Drew. That was a luxury deciding on who i wanted to start and bench when comparing their matchups against teams lol
I had those 2 as well but I learned to roll wit Mahomes after Brees burned me too many weeks. Saints a runnin team now...
diddleysmacktalkin yessir!
I drafted Barkley and McCaffrey last year 😎
Was this a 4 man league?
Damn you nailed Mccaffery, Thomas, Henry but completely missed on Brandon cooks. Overall I'm glad that I found your account because I drafted lamar jackson in the 11th round in both of my leagues and now I'm sitting pretty at the top of both leagues.
My league at work last year went bananas on taking the start QB and their bench QB before round 7. I thought I was cucked so I took a huge gamble at mahomes in round 10. I won my league
David Stutz lol wait why were you worried? Their teams must’ve sucked
I always try and take a volume passer guy late like Ryan..I'm shooting for Stafford this year. My keeper is golladay I got him in the 10th last year
Wait. They went QBx2 by round 7?! It sounds like you would’ve won even if you didn’t have Mahomes 😂
Whoa,let me in on that league
I drafted Fournette last year 1st round, but I also had CMC, Sony Michel, Chubb, Marlon Mack in the backfield to go along with Ertz, Juju, TY and Edelman lol
Bengals first round Left tackle is out for the season. I was thinking about drafting Dalton towards the last 3 rounds, but now I wont. Mixon's value also take a hit
I'm from Cincinnati, this makes me cringe. We were expecting him to really shore up our left tackle position. Ugh
@@anthonypaduano4911 back to Glenn and Bobby Hart
@@anthonypaduano4911 their best guard Clint Boling also is looking doubtful this season. Abandon ship
@@slipamo4309 pardon my French but Oh Fuck!! Lol Mixon will drop to 3rd round probably
@@anthonypaduano4911 their offensive line will be worse than last season. And it was already pretty bad last season lol
I’m here two years later and hearing you talk about cmac and micheal Thomas being almost injury proof hurts the soul
Michael Thomas lacks heart. Doesn't seem like he loves football as much and that's partly why he hasn't been relevant the last two years
I'm not be contrary but Cooks did go out of one game last year due to concussion. On my way to championship I had him and CMC last year. Great video! Tons of positive info
Anthony Paduano must’ve still been a bit shaky from the super bowl
@@TheClassicalKids I'm confused, the super bowl was many weeks after the week he left with concussion. Can you explain?
I've been doing wr heavy something different this year dont care what position I'm in sometimes.. I play different scenarios to see what I like
I tried to explain the run situation to a friend but you nailed it good advice
Thank you. Big help. I took your advice and found value in each round. I had two drafts tonight. Fantasy Pros graded me at A- and A+
Goff gonna be my QB this year if he's there in Round 9/10
He has been in my 16 mocks
Michael McCann Lmao that’s crazy to me but hey I’m good with it.
Hey Nick, YOU WERE RIGHT! Id like to thank you for my fantasy football championship because of your insights on Lamar Jackson, Michael Thomas, Chris Godwin, Miles Sanders, and (sorta) Montgomery - GGs MATE!!
Robert woods... also he's the guy I'm targeting in all leagues
Saint13 Harrop The Ram receiver you want is Cooper Kupp. He’ll lead them in targets/receptions and touchdowns this year. It saddens me but I expect a slight regression from Woods because he won’t be in Kupp’s role this year. Kupp will be.
@@talkingbroccoli my guy you nailed it
Bought the draft package looking forward to seeing it! You guys are awesome
Nick I appreciate these videos man!!
You've helped me dominate my leagues Nick. I won my league the year prior and got 2nd last year. I bombed my second round picks with Ajayi and Fourtnette respectively. Luckily i had saquon and melvin gordon. Unluckily, gordon went down...my league winning pick the year prior was getting Hopkins at the top of the fifth. (because nobody believed in watson) and AB and Hopkins carried me to the chip. This year I want to return to glory. I do have a fifth round WR in mind :) haha he's no Hopkins but I'm projecting him as solid WR2.
in what league can you get both mccafrey and michael thomas???? Mccaffrey is going second overall with the Zeke hold out behind saquan... Michael thomas is also a first rounder and if he falls it would be early second, no chance he falls to the team that picked Mccaffrey second overall.
Dylan Bittlingmaier Auction draft
I doubt he’s suggesting you draft all these guys... obviously it all depends on your draft positioning and who’s available.
Its not that crazy... I drafted Michael Thomas and Melvin Gordon last year in my auction league... 12 of us each get $200 to spend on 15 players.... I spent close to $100 just on these 2 players then had to figure out how to spend the other $100 on 13 players.... I won the Championship so it worked
I drafted Barkley 7th last year then Michael Thomas Joe Mixon had chubb towards end of draft can't wait to make this $ 2019 yo
Only a league full of idiots lol
i had first overall pick in a competitive 14 team draft and took bell. so basically everyone else got two picks before i got one and i still barely made the playoffs and dominated and won the championship. proudest moment of my life unfortunately
I think Josh Allen is going to be the biggest value this season.
@jjcampbell80 laugh all you want now. He's gonna be a legit fantasy QB.
Hes also got players that are coming up around him like jones and foster
Derrick Carr is gonna go off this year
@@mirez210 i really like Derek Carr hes very underated. Hes no Elite QB, because he never got his shot and with Amari Cooper, there was never a dynamic duo between them, Tom Brady and Edelmann is a perfect example of dynamic duo so the thought of him going off, sounds more like a dream than fantasy. Lets be honest Antonio Brown missed so much practices, and also throwing a fit because he can't wear his helmet. If John Gooden puts up with his bullshit Im gonna be surprised. Is there a chance he might blow up. Yes everyone has a chance, but is it very realistic its a little early to say cause I think there's mixed opinions on it. I just think if with Amari Cooper he cant make it. I dont think he pulls a rabbit out of his hat with Antonio Brown, because we dont even know that Antonio Brown will play.
this aged well lol
@fantasy football advice, based on your success rate by round chart, you have to pick a RB in round one, because the vaule of the RB pick decreases significantly per round based on every other position. And again, based on the graph, you could grab a WR in rounds 2-4 to meet the same value. No matter what.
Thought I watched this 1 already, great great stuff, matches my position by round model...I go TE in 5th & QB in 10th
I followed your strategy and I think my draft turned out well I drafted deandre Hopkins and Michael Thomas as my first two picks and then got Joe mixon but I also got Cam Newton in the 10th round so now my bench is much better than it would’ve been if I would’ve drafted Brady in the 5th, so thank you for this video!
I see y’all blew that 2,000👍🏼 out of the water. Keep it up!
My frist draft 5 year ago I took 6 quarterbacks
That's the complete opposite of me I didnt draft a qb because I wanted to wait for free agency 😂
tyler locket had 5 deep targets and a high completion rate
Wasnt able to land any of the receivers at the end of the video, but landed both McCaffrey and Henry so I’m pretty pleased. I did go with Mahomes and Kelce because Kelce fell much further than he should have IMO (about ten spots below ADP) and Mahomes had added value to me in a Dynasty League compared to guys like Brady, Brees, etc.
I drafted bell, but got Connor from FA and made it to the finals
I've always been a big believer in late QBs. My last 4 seasons have hit on great breakout years in the last 5 rounds. I had Palmer in 2015, Carr in 16, Wentz in 17, and Luck last year. Been a playoff team in my league each year with a championship in 17 despite Wentz's injuries. This year I am leaning towards Winston as my guy, but Prescott is solid too imo. Thoughts?
Prescott should do even better this year since they upgraded at receiver imo. But honestly I really like Goff as a late rounder.. He puts up good numbers because of the fast high flying offense. Another later round QB that I think is gonna have a good season next year is B.Mayfield.
I stream QB's the entire season till playoffs then I attempt to trade for a stud qb but last year I settled for Dak, in a 14 man league
This is good advice for a standard 1QB redraft league. In a dynasty superflex league its worth taking a stud QB who will be starting his team for years in the early rounds in my opinion.
Yea superflex are entirely different
I drafted bell and McKinnon last season
The channel has grown so much since I joined, keep it up guys y'all will be mainstream in a few years guaranteed
In 12 man drafts/mocks I usually end up taking Cam in the late 8th or Goff in the 9th for my QB. I only draft 1 QB and would feel great with either of those guys.
There are two trains of thought with a team in the early rounds; wait on a QB and secure WR/RBs early (which you are saying) but the flip side is grabbing an ace QB early along with 2 RBs and a WR and finding a diamond in the rough WR as your WR2 (because each year there are always half a dozen WR that no one saw finishing in the top 30). It all depends on personal preference, some people hate streaming QBs.
Their is absolutely no value in doing that even in two QB leagues! But hey it's your team, UP TO YOU!
You're much more likely to find a top 10 QB on FA than a stud WR. Many many times more likely
I kinda agree to a point. I always seem to pick up a top 30 wr on waivers but usually not rb. Although Chubb hit me a home run last year off waivers. So it's always different.
@@FantasyFootballAdviceFFA You don't need a stud WR from the mid rounds, If you do find one that's great, but you get your stud (or just good) WR in the first 3 rounds as you've suggested, grab two good RB and an elite QB in the 4th. If you look at the weel to week consistency of the elite QBs having a top 10 week vs. the same consistency with WR getting a top 15 week, the QBs get a top week 75% of the time whereas the 4th round WR have a top week 53% of the time. (looking at Allen, Cooper, Cooks, and Hilton at WR) That consistency is what some people would rather have.
I didn't say either way was better than the other, they both have merit.
I always buy the fantasypros but I'm definitely getting yours too this year. Love the videos keep up the great work 🙌 it's greatly appreciated.
great video man got a new subscriber!
That picture of Joe Mixons arm has me shook every time
When should u take a QB in a double Qb league?
Your first 4 pucks should be 2 bell cow RBs and 2 stud WR's. Take a QB and TE late.
wandering spirit wow earth shattering advice here i don’t think anyone has ever thought of this strategy
I don't know how your boyfriend deals with you. Feel sorry for him.
Michael Thomas was WR with highest reception rate and had 11 catches that were 20 yards or greater.
Answer is Tyler locket right
My answer too
Good point BUT there is def a drop-off from guys like Rogers and luck to Prescott and Stanford.
SOTD: Will Fuller V? Even though he was hurt most of the time idk
I am in a keeper league this year. I am keeping Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill. We have to draft our players the same round as last year. PM 14th and Tyreek 3rd. I have the 8th pick in the first round, good chance I can land Alvin Kamara or Christian McCaffrey. Then 2nd round, draft another WR. Essentially after 3 rounds, I will have Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, Alvin Kamara and another good WR.
Bro love you guys I wish I could give you 2000 likes. Great advice!!!
Desean jackson had the 5 plus deep targets and highest reception rate.
I take Big Ben every time I do a draft goes late and is always a beast
I love to wait on QBs but I hate having 2 similar guys as in you have no idea who will do better so you are forced to guess. That is the only reason I want a guy that I don’t need to think twice about.
“There is absolutely no injury risk to worry about” w/ Derrick Henry 🤣🤣
RIP Henry
Early round is about finding healthy guys that are consistent. Then dominate the waivers to gain the edge.
Tyreek Hill is the deep target guy for sure.
I actually love the QBs at the back end of the draft. I love Trubisky, Jackson, Garoppolo, and Prescott where they are going at. Only QB that I am willing to reach for is Newton or Wentz but there is also still good value there for RB or WR in those early rounds.
How do you feel about Melvin Gordon this year?
CCPlayz2k
Top 10 floor
Top 3 upside
On per game basis he was elite last year. If he can stay healthy and if the Chargers reach full potential, he helps you win your league.
Only problem is he never stays healthy for full season and the Chargers tend to bomb in big games more often than not.
No problems with drafting him. He's my RB 7, so I likely won't be getting him in any leagues though
Last season I went 15 and 2 I had AJ Green an I ended up trading 4 players to get obj an I won the championship with out him I honestly got luck I also lost hunt last season to. But I loved your input thank you! I subscribed instantly!
I've been waiting until at least the ninth round for a QB in mocks and commonly end up with Goff and Winston. I'm more than happy with that given the top half of the draft
Got two keepers both Chiefs 😭😭 RB &TE
I fell asleep last year during the draft and got Leveon Green and Mixon
Seen Brady go undrafted in a 10 team mock.
*saw
Informative video!
In my league, I get 1 pt per 5 completions...how does that change your outlook on the QB position?
Tyler Lockett easy question for a Seahawks fan lol
Charles Pappas thought it was Brandon cooks
There's a balance of this, and not getting too cute. I try and go for RBS I can just leave in. Find WR that everyone under values, and I like having a top heave QB. It's not about an average of points over the entire year. It's about having the potential to kill a guys heart. I like finding offense that throw at the goalline.
Highest reception rate on deep target?
Tyreek hill?
nah Deandre Hopkins
I drafted bell last year. Then got Connor off waivers, on most of my teams..
2 QB league- I I had first overall pick. I went with Mahomes. Oops. Lol
Derek Garcia thats my gameplan
About 3 years too late on my timeline…. Draft MT and CMC… congrats on your championship!
Yeah but you don’t play in my league where everybody takes a damn backup Qb...
Lol so true! 😄
Haha true bruh true
i take back up Qbs as trade bait....i had rivers,rogers,luck,and watson...i lost in our super bowl but my trades through out the season wher epic...hint if some needs a qb cuz of bye or injury the can be desperate....so if i have luck and he is better than your starter anyway thats when i get you for what i need.....i had gordon keeper drafted barkley and traded for mccafery...i was loaded last year