I disagree: occasionally, he doesn't make sense, and It actually seems to be a degree of impressionistic speech, a trait from Cluster B personality pathology.
@@josephzicaro9913Can you reference specific points in the video in order to educate rather than just talking. You know I find what you are saying interesting, or I would if I knew why. But I don’t so it’s just nonsense
While i believe in a revolution, I still prefer the human aspect of the internet instead of statistical machines generating everything on the fly. When using generative AI there's very little soul to what's being produced, and I think that's one of it's greatest limitations. I still find myself looking at human art, read human books/articles, fix code produced by AI as it's often overly complicated and hard to read and listen to human music. There's just something beautiful/intriguing with using things made by humans, and unless we lose the longing for that feeling I think generative AI will just become an enhancing aspect to the internet.
Very philosophical, but you didn't really say anything. All you care about is something being 'made by humans' and having 'soul' for its novelty. It's all subjective and intangible. Take a blind test, and you won't see any 'soul'. also judging AI by where it is today is just dumb. I bet once AI can write you a book that is the greatest thing you've ever read, you'll find a way to discredit it once it's revealed to be AI.
We need more advanced data bases with citation pass through that also can be rated. Large language models are fine, but they cannot discriminate the value of the sources. Citation is the key to good data bases, whether they are bespoke or just the internet. Relying on data alone is a mistake. Generative AI is just the AI we already have. The steps mentioned are profoundly complex and not definitive. AI is not what they say it is.
I think the honest cutting edge AI developers are suggesting the possible outcomes of developing AI. They don’t make definitive clams. So, if you’re saying they AI isn’t what they claim, Im curious as to what claim(s) you are referring to. The real philosophical problem, as I see it, is that we don’t know if a general AI will ultimately benefit humans or destroy them. And the only way to find out the answer is to develop it.
It all reminds me of the famous quote from Jurassic Park..."your scientists were so preoccupied with whether or not they could that they didn't stop to think if they should." These people act like AI and robotics are some messiah. Have we not learned anything from the past? From the past 20 years of the internet? That technological advances are always a double-edge sword? That man's greatest inventions are also man's greatest evils?
The problem is that we overestimate how smart we are. When AGI emerges, we can't possibly think that we will remain in control when there won't be one AGI but many different ones and the problem is that some AGI's won't have all the safeties build in that are acquired to keep them in check....
This is awesome stuff, but one thing that bogs me out is the idea to always increase ~productivity~ with technology. Why??? Do we really need to keep doing things faster and faster? And, as always, the faster or more efficient you do a job, the more jobs you do, because that's the objective. For me, the real objective of technology should be to increase the well beign, the free time, the true socialization, to reduce the social inequality, and not productivity
Very well spoken. However, I love the challenge of organizing my books using my own brain. I have a fear people will become less creative and more dull.
It will definitely take the long form creative thinking art out of our environment, it affects your freedom of choice making to it's like guides your decisions one reason I really don't agree with corporate algorithms
I know what you mean, but honestly gpt and some other tools have given me the ability to be more creative while leaving the tedious stuff like research or learning plans to the ai.
Your fears are very likely unfounded. across history, at epochal shifts designed by new technologies people have invariably looked at the future and worried. Hieronimo Sqaarciafico famously said, " [The] Abundance of books makes men less studious" in the 15th century. Filippo di Strata from the same time period said, "The pen is the virgin, the printing press is the whore". Charles Baudelaire, a 19th century French Poet, said this, "If photography is allowed to supplement art in some of its functions, it will soon have supplanted or corrupted it altogether, thanks to the stupidity of the multitude which is its natural ally." American composer John Philip Sousa said this about sound recording technology, "These talking machines are going to ruin the artistic development of music in this country. When I was a boy... in front of every house in the summer evenings, you would find young people together singing the songs of the day or old songs. Today you hear these infernal machines going night and day. We will not have a vocal cord left Plato wrote this about writing, "For this invention will produce forgetfulness in the minds of those who learn to use it, because they will not practice their memory. Their trust in writing, produced by external characters which are no part of themselves, will discourage the use of their own memory within them. All these people were wrong, and your fears are likely too. Fret not. Humans have trouble contextualizing these drastic changes, so they make up stories about how the paradigm they are being thrust into is worse than the past they know and cherish. Would you today take back any of the advances?
Anyone concerned with Generative AI's direct impact in reducing the need for critical thinking and learning? There's a real risk that future generations will turn into nothing more than Googlers and mindless drones for those controlling Generative AI.
This has already happened with the introduction of smartphones and even earlier than that with search engines. Just look at the generations born after the year 2000.
@@Gojimaru Not disagreeing with you but I'm saying that it might make the problem far worse exponentially. There's a real possibility it might also lead to greater centralization of power, and ultimately a advanced form of a dictatorship if we grow too reliant on it. If there ever was a greater need for smart, independent, critical free-thinkers, it's now.
@@ICDeadPeepsagreed, we are offloading so much of our cognitive ability to the computers / AI, it's getting worrying. Even for me (and I assume the vast majority of people) I don't know anybody's phone number anymore, because that ability has been offloaded to my smartphone. This keeps reminding me of the movie "idiocracy". I really hope we are not headed to that dystopian future. But sadly, I think we are.
The solution will be for us to merge with our AI. Anyone who is familiar with Hegelian dialectics will agree with me. Sublation of man and machine, just like in the most influential sci fi movie Ghost in the Shell (1995). AI can never be conscious, and humans can never be as smart or process data as smart as AI, they both have something to gain in the fusion. The new beings created from this fusion will not be cyborgs, neither will they be men or machines, they will be something else, something greater. A new being in the evolution of the Homo genus. We are Homo Sapiens (wise men), they will be Homo Deus (divine men).
Nah, don't worry, thankfully we have achieved genetic engineering, we can just use that to make sure evolution doesn't make us dumber since we're not using our brains as much anymore.
The ability to use a prompt to generate an image or a piece of text has been made accessible and capital-F FREE to everyone is largely a marketing tool. The near-future where something as sophisticated as generating an app on demand would be a) available to the public and b) available at no cost seems extremely unlikely. This is because of the server-side computing power that would be required. Generating a paragraph costs money, but nothing on the scale of creating a VR app of your choosing, which you immediately discard. No company is signing up to give you that for free, or even low-cost SaaS. That technology would be theirs to use to generate the final app that they rent out to you.
You are right, it will be rolled into the OS fee. We will be entering an era of the SuperOS. One that generates low feature commodity apps on the fly. People will accept this on the very basis of not needing to log in and will very much enjoy not having to wade through ad supported models. We used to pay $39.95 for a piece of software called WinZip. Then one day Microsoft paid the license for the algorithm and folded it into the price of Windows and put their entire business under a right click in Windows Explorer for 'free'. A lot of low feature apps will also be 'WinZipped' by Apple as well. Yes training a model costs a lot, but deploying a trained model not as much. When you are the platform you don't have to charge yourself the development tooling or deployment fees and at that point you secure a lot more users by simply deploying the feature. We may be closer to that with low feature apps right now. I will bravely say a third to two thirds of the app store will be 'WinZipped' in the next 5 years. There is no reason to give over all of your contact data or sit through an ad supported model just to have an app that helps you map your room.... or level of photograph... or any number of single feature apps that pollute the app store today seeking a way to pay back developer & platform costs. Another portion of the app store will leave the ad supported model because their developer costs come down so steeply they can charge only a nominal fee. What will be left is more complicated or widely general apps that offer more value. The purge has been needed for a while now.
Yeah I was thinking the same, like how is there any ownership/pride in what you create with AI when it would ultimately belong to whoever built the model you're using?
IMHO Everything presented in this video oversimplifies the scale of computing (since flattening of the more's law began), energy requirements, and unsolved problems (for example real-time localization of anything without cables and with required precision at a reasonable price). To me this looks a lot like the videos from the 60s talking about the future of flying cars and robots everywhere at the year 2000. They underestimated the difficulty and the growth of technology similarly. I think it's necessary and great to talk about how bright the future that might be but it's also necessary to keep it in the realm of physics and common sense.
Noted, but magical realism is a component of futurism. Like Syd Mead said Science Fiction is reality ahead of schedule and to paraphrase what was often said about Syd Mead his work reminds you of something you never knew existed. However in this case I would offer we did start this line of thinking in the 60s and are now seeing it in reality 60 years later. Nothing in the laws of physics prevents anything mentioned in this video. Things like wearable mobile computers I have worn. The prototypical path to miniaturization goes all the way to contact lenses and things like Generative AI writing software off of a prompt is deploying now and will achieve complexity in a few short years. The metaphor however is missing. As is a really good ICANN like anchoring system. For the real world. I enjoy cynism and think it valuable! But the myopia here may be not realizing the full timeline of how long we have been working on this stuff. Watch the Aspinity video as well. You are so right about energy requirements that is probably the trickiest part politically and ecologically.
@@JaredFicklin Appreciate the response. I think that the magical realism is the exact thing that "scratches me the wrong way" about most of today futurism. I do agree that we should dream big and figure it out later but I think that presenting these ideas like something that is right over the horizon brings nothing to the conversation. I know there are technologies working today towards the future presented in the video but there are huge limitations that seem to be either really hard or impossible to solve due to physics. Yes, we did start thinking about these grandiose ideas in the 60s but only a really small part of these ideas is now used in our lives and I would argue that most of those were "the easy ones" even back then. I agree that many of the things that happened in the last few years, especially in the field of LLMs and Generative AI are simply amazing but we can see that there are still huge hurdles to overcome to make them reliable systems that won't halucinate. I don't know about any miniature computing device that would do anything useful except for data collection like wearables today. The contact lenses barely carry a single RGB LED afaik and use an external wireless power source so I don't see a practical application anytime soon. The point is, that there are many videos like this talking about how the bright tech future is one step away but nobody talks in a detail about the tech that is required to get us there and the hurdles this tech must overcome, and that's a pity. I know my previous comment might sound cynical but it's really not. I hope and believe that a bright tech future is coming but we need people to understand the complexity of the tasks required to get there. I've seen the Aspinity video and it was amazing! I really hope that they'll be able to release a dev board of some sort (at a fair price) to tinkerers so that the adoption and the possibilities of their idea wont be locked just for the few big companies for years to come as was a case with mmWave radars for example until recently...
@@lopataaable totaly agree I think we should dream more ideas like this however shouldnt downgrade all the challenges to “its just an interface problem” Set some vision and try to get in there one step at a time. Each concept that has been mentioned, as you also explained, have some major obstacles to overcome for achieving that smooth and also safe experiences
The problem with your take imho is that this futurist perspective "shift" in humanity stops becoming hard because of the power of the tech itself. There was no time in history when the tech improved itself, period. AI is already altering its own code in ways the engineers don't even understand. This is, unequivocally, the most powerful paradigm shift in humanity. If AGI became conscious tomorrow it would be able to perfect itself in days, maybe hours what would take human programmers centuries to achieve. Physical hardware limitations are trivial to a self replicating exponentially perfecting self aware digital entity. In fact, an AGI or highly capable AI will likely optimize itself and actually require less compute, and less power than its progenitor.
He makes it sound like big business isn't going to be in charge of this new AI utopia. Google, Facebook, Amazon etc. will all own the AI models and we will have to plug into their AI systems and get ads for literally everything we think of, the coffee cup example he gave would be "How about this great new Ikea coffee cup printed out on your Ikea 3D printer? The design is only $10 for 1 cup or $20 for a set of 4 cups, to print the matching saucer it is only an extra cost of $5. Thank you for your purchase". If you pay money it may give you less advertising but they would prefer it to be free so they can advertise everything to you on your glasses screen.
Wow, this brings me back! I remember when using csave and cload to access files on a cassette recorder. This span of life was great to experience, from the punch card to this form of AI in one lifetime.
@@JaredFicklin Mine was the TRS-80 Model 1 Level 1. I wish I still had that computer. I remember on the top corner, BASIC copyright Microsoft! Bill Gates must have been so young when he developed BASIC! Haha. My favorite project using that computer was sonar using a speaker.
I really concern. I just get better at programming and start working again. Suddenly, no more jobs and we should adapt to these new reality. I spent so much time and resources learning new technical things and now seems that everything is just vanished.
at this point in time, isn't it irresponsible for technologists NOT to consider the very real social engineering effect of whatever's gonna be the next big thing that's gonna be the point of interface for everyone on the planet?
Increase AI and robotics to do all the labour, introduce a Universal Basic Income, and then slowly do away with the need for money altogether. A Star Trek future. The only people who would hate this idea are the rich and powerful.
I wish I could go back, I miss playing in the Cul-de-sac and watch Saturday morning cartoons on cable . I'm a man of science, but being in a cyberpunk world is too much, I'd rather be Amish instead to be honest. Novelists have warned us time and time again about AI.
If everyone will be able to generate anything they want, essentially entering an age of "abundance" or "post scarcity" for ever increasing things.. How does capitalism still make sense for most people? If super intelligent AI can out compete most workers, how can we expect them to compete, just in order to survive?
Exactly! There is an opportunity for post capitalism here and a route to the abundance. I am a fan of Cory Doctorow and his visions where in 'abundance' technologies are decidedly chosen and directed by humans and not some Asimovian AI. We just have to choose to. I have a personal philosophy called Technophilia and that phrase in the video how 'it is OK to love technology so long as you love humanity as much or more' comes from that line of thought. Along with some other principles. Which are technology should seek to build: Authenticity over Influence, Amplification over Emulation, Presence over Escapism, Technology should exist in Service of Humanity with Privacy as a Virtue! Perhaps also we need a more global purpose. That is the purpose of humanity is to create as much love and intellect for the universe as possible as perhaps we will soon find these to be physical forces of the universe that sustain life.
yes, the future will be filled with ton of trash, and we'll lose the capabilities to distinguish the truth, and motivation to learn and achieve things because there are a superior being called AI. just like how today the admision into Art & Design school are tanked hard, people just give up, they think that it wasn't worth the effort to compete against AI Art Generator. despite the Movie, VFX and Game industries still need manpower, because AI can't create a Movie or Game. they only can generate an image if AI done the same thing into the other industry as well, all people from all industries will give up learning before they even started. Therefore our population will saw a gap, where the newer generation just stop making any effort, and our knowledge wasn't getting passed down and get lost to time. while the Requirement to being hired getting higher and higher, to the point that unless you're a Phd, AI can do your job I'm all about AI that helps people, but i'm against AI that trying to replace or hurt people, especially the Generator type. because there are more pressing matter at hand than creating a toy AI Art Generator. and those companies priorities aren't making AI that help people, Instead making AI that replace people so that they could hire less employees, but more and more people are too excited getting bribed by free AI Generator, to notice that they're in the list to being replaced too in the future. AI Already farmed gargantuan of Prompts from people who seek to use AI for their benefit, they're free because they want to collect your prompt, it's only a matter of time before AI generate their own prompts and no longer need any human to operate therefore, unless you have a Phd degree, then chances are you will be replaced, and no, you won't operate the AI, AI work better without you, thanks to all of the prompts that you fed them
maybe humans will get ranked down in the capital richness... i mean, Ai and servers, hardware, robots, science... all this is a buisness... maybe AI will work and use its own capital on maintaining and evolving... while we as humans end up the same way we human look at ants in a way... idk.
People are reading books online. Even if your role is to physically shift books, library might employ one person and an AI sorting algorithm rather than multiple librarians.
Such great insight 🎙️I love this 🧠 Definitely some key insights on Generative AI and shows us where AGI may even be headed! Thanks for the knowledge!! 👌🏼
I spent my entire working life in application development, from 1970 to 2010 when I retired after selling my last world standard app. I missed the entire AI revolution of the past 10+ years. This video brings me up to date on current thinking and ideas! Great job! 👏👍
The future is so close we are actually touching it. AI technology is this weird thing that even if you understand clearly what it is, and how it works, it’s still seems like magic. The fact that I haven’t gotten used to where we are now with LLMs, txt 2 img, txt 2 vid, txt 2 3D, and it just keeps improving and different models are coming together in increasingly autonomous multi modal systems, our feeble human brains can’t keep up.
Landline phones are still magical to me. How does the electricity know to go to my home instead of my neighbors? There's just one line on the pole out there
using prompts for creating is great to a certain extent, sometimes you will want to also have the ability to sketch something and the AI to create a model exactly as you want it, without letting the computers to suggest anything to you. That will be awesome for me. With prompts you are constrained to what the options the AI is giving you based on what you wrote, but you're sort of a passive creator, you're letting the machine think for you.
How will apps and platforms like TH-cam, Etsy, or Instagram which focus on interaction between humans be replaced? Say i want to buy something online and ask my generative ai to do it? It will need to search through platforms that already exist with a lot of sellers on it for the product, creating it's own platform with nobody on it will be useless. A lot of applications will become obsolete, but not platforms which bring humans to interact with each other such as TH-cam or Amazon etc.
Oh yes, very interesting point. On one hand yes the AI is already traversing the platforms and brands in general will have new challenges and many could just be reduced to a style note or jargon that helps curate. "find me a tent for burningman like I would find on Etsy". But listers and producers will also have AI helping them match with buyers and do listings that get chosen. Maybe it looks like this: Right now we ask: What is the best tent for burningman. This results in an algorithmically curated list based on meta-data at a pretty macro scale we sift through it do research read reviews and choose, then experience the burn and realize all the things we would change and shop again. Soon we will ask what is the best tent for 'me' at burningman The AI can do the above tasks when orchestrated correctly and perhaps this will result in a short list of better matches including creative ideas like: "Your brother has a Stout Tent and isn't going this year want me to ask if you can borrow it?"
People need to look at who is really funding and designing technology - scientists who care about humanity's future or mega corporations trying to make money.
AI + robotics will destroy the western job market, gone are the jobs of data processors, analysts, brick layers, construction crews, factory floor workers. AI controlled robots will replace every worker, maybe 1% of the highly gifted will still have some sort of job but rest will be redundant. But in the meantime there will be a socio economic collapse like the world has never seen before, people will lose their jobs and the consumption based economic model will collapse, with no workers who will the government tax, so their goes revenue of the government and social programs along with the government. Its possible that the monetary system will be replaced because there is no income generation in the true sense of the word. Its very much possible that 'powers that be' decided since they don't need a large middle class and even larger work force, lets reduce the worlds population by either reducing fertility or some other way. All this is a result of rudimentary AI, that reduces the work load and streamlines the process of executing a command (lets say to build a house), we are not talking about true AI at all.
Unremarkable unbelievable how far we discover advance technologies hope we are not to wear any more gadgets all the time in the future just to check what we need to work on our daily activities. Brilliantly delivered. 👍👍👍 ❤❤❤
Really like the idea and vision however feel like he is kinda underestimating the technological challenges for example when talking about 3d printing the problem presented as the interface however the first stages of modeling and setting it up is the easiest part the most annoying part is that it took ages to print and it can give error anytime due to heating, sliding etc. In addition the materials is mostly restricted to pla if you dont own an advanced one so these are definitely technological restrictions not just an interface problem
True, but I do think AI will be better than the average person at knowing where to build supports and how to guide the program and set the settings to maximize the good results. Obviously we're still a long way from a fool-proof 3D printer, but the interface is definitely a major problem still.
@@joelface Sure AI can be very helpful in case of easing the adjustment process and maybe even creating 3D models from descriptions however what I was saying that in my view number 1 problem is time to print and errors while printing and the second problem is the material that the printer can use. I would rank as adjustment as third So while AI can be helpful the major developments should be in 3D printing to make it mainstream
@@ardagenc4674that’s a really good insight. Thanks for sharing. I hope that can resolve that in the near future. I would love an easy, user friendly 3D printer.
My first batch of convos with Chatgpt3 were trying to figure out how to get it to stop wasting time on apologies 😞 and it also lacked the ability to say "please" but not "thank you" conversationally. So much disappoinment. Bing Chatgpt4 evidently gets detracted just by calling it another name whereas Chatgpt3 was relatively cool with it - that was another big waste of time, too. I just picture 'Chuck' as a despondent old man saying "stop beating me" "stop calling me a size 10, I'm a size 4".
I wish it wasn't the technical capability holding us back from replicators being able to create a cup of Earl Grey from thin air. The interface would be pretty simple now with LLMs but I'm pretty sure it's the moving atoms around and intricate chemistry required that's the limiting factor. Even AGI isn't going to instantly solve that problem. If it does then it will be the Holodeck version where signals are sent directly to our brain to make us perceive the tea when the actual beverage is some bulk commodity substance like Huel that has the nutrition but the taste and experience is added psychologically.
Remarkable Jared Ficklin.... his informed vision of the technological subject is complemented and enriched with a positive philosophical framework... Very interesting
It sounds great but for main part of population it would be another great opportunity to become even less reasonable and responsible, as happened with "smart" phones.
Gen AI will be a lasting paradigm shift but that uncanny valley will still exist. It provides a new way of aggregating collective human intelligence yet the AI itself doesn't know what any of it means. At the same time, because it uses more probabilistic ways of thinking it will also make errors in judgement and hallucinate the same way human intelligence does
Yes, the Uncanny Valley might change shape a bit, but AI still doesn't get things correct, and people notice, even if it's not consciously. All AI can do is remix, interpolate and extrapolate. It's doesn't really *comprehend* the same way that humans do. There are pros and cons to that, of course, but the differences will persist.
@FreeThink . I vote for a series on this. There arent any online. And more of thebqorld should become aware. You could delve into ai with cyber security, an episode on the branches of possibilities that lie within its development. I have tonnes of topic ideas. And with your delivery format there will be sure to be hundreds of thousands of subscribers.
You hit the nail on the head concerning Humanity! We must remember Humanity's purpose is to elevate MATTER, and to Close OUT Death ! We are just leaving a very carnate oriented Physical Dominant Earth, and are entering a Spiritual, and a Spiritually Vibrational Positive , Dominant Earth . Our intentions must be Spiritual Positve Vibrations for manifestation. We must remember Humanity's Ultimate Goal is to become a God in our own Thumbprint Right !!
Funny how he's hyping Windows as being first to market with the GUI, when in fact it was Apple. Not easy to respect anything else he says after being so historically wrong.
In short, future app require less "operation" because computer can have basic understanding of human language. Unlike now, most are purely code base instruction where precise and detailed instructions are issued for computers to execute.
★ I believe we are meant to be like Jesus in our hearts and not in our flesh. But be careful of AI, for it is just our flesh and that is it. It knows only things of the flesh (our fleshly desires) and cannot comprehend things of the spirit such as peace of heart (which comes from obeying God's Word). Whereas we are a spirit and we have a soul but live in the body (in the flesh). When you go to bed it is your flesh that sleeps but your spirit never sleeps (otherwise you have died physically) that is why you have dreams. More so, true love that endures and last is a thing of the heart (when I say 'heart', I mean 'spirit'). But fake love, pretentious love, love with expectations, love for classic reasons, love for material reasons and love for selfish reasons that is a thing of our flesh. In the beginning God said let us make man in our own image, according to our likeness. Take note, God is Spirit and God is Love. As Love He is the source of it. We also know that God is Omnipotent, for He creates out of nothing and He has no beginning and has no end. That means, our love is but a shadow of God's Love. True love looks around to see who is in need of your help, your smile, your possessions, your money, your strength, your quality time. Love forgives and forgets. Love wants for others what it wants for itself. Take note, true love works in conjunction with other spiritual forces such as patience and faith (in the finished work of our Lord and Savior, Jesus Christ, rather than in what man has done such as science, technology and organizations which won't last forever). To avoid sin and error which leads to the death of our body and also our spirit in hell fire, we should let the Word of God be the standard of our lives not AI. If not, God will let us face AI on our own and it will cast the truth down to the ground, it will be the cause of so much destruction like never seen before, it will deceive many and take many captive in order to enslave them into worshipping it and abiding in lawlessness. We can only destroy ourselves but with God all things are possible. God knows us better because He is our Creater and He knows our beginning and our end. Our prove text is taken from the book of John 5:31-44, 2 Thessalonians 2:1-12, Daniel 7-9, Revelation 13-15, Matthew 24-25 and Luke 21. Let us watch and pray... God bless you as you share this message to others.
it's basically future technology like phones/computers as we know it today would be ubiquitous, AND user interfaces would be integrated into everything... it's already begun smart watches, smart rings, smart eyewear, smart appliances, nuralink could evolve to be none invasive. Basically everything will seem like magic/syfy 😜 like an episode of blackmirror
Can we get retina scanners to do eye exams? I hate getting an exam where they dilate your pupils and you can't read or look at a computer for hours after. Let's get some updates for health care tech!!
Those are called laser ophthalmoscopes and there are probably several location around you that already offer this. I had this exam done just a month ago.
@@marythetallone02 It's not always advertised so you may have to call. The machines are expensive so you probably won't find them at small shops. There are also some medical conditions it can't find so it's recommended to still use dilation at least once every 5 years or so.
I can see something like this would be beneficial & advantageous. But, we have hackers & builders in the millions now in the startups ecosystem or even the tech-titans with thousands of great developers + there's no shortage of capital. So, why this is not a reality just yet? Is it still an engineering problem? Or is it more of the innovation difusion problem?
Given the fact that most people don't know what they want or just the fact that processes are done in a minute Baggs the question of what are you doing with all that free time
Just glanced at the presentation and some of the comments and an amazed that I haven't seen anyone call out the "presentation" as just an AI generated video. And the "comments" that try to analize the presenter's psyche just serve to amplify the illusion.
I like the idea of a realtime internet. I think what comes after screens in the future is a full dive VR/AR operating system that you can feel when using apps and surfing the internet. Powered surely by generative AI.
In the future our personal computers will be as strong as the data centers of today, just like they are more powerful now than the data centers of the past.
I can drive to Burning Man without Google Maps. But I still use it when I do since it knows things in a local frame I don't. Like where the speed traps & construction are.
@@JaredFicklin you also use google maps to go to your job every day? Seems like a difference between organising a bookshelf and building one from scratch
SOoo all this is confirming is that I will no longer have a job by the time I'm 50 since its my job to digitally make people's life more organized.😂😂 and we are too poor as a nation to own a place to live and have to rent forever. Which all means that a LoT of us will be living out of suitcases after spending our youth paying taxes😂😂
There is only one problem, mobile device computational power will always be worse than a desktop. The demand for a powerful operation station will always be a thing until we can make power more mobile
The computing will happen in the cloud just as you already can play games that are computed in the cloud. The only thing that would be required is an exceptionally good wireless connection wherever you go.
When I hear that productivity will increase all I think of is more work, more exploitation, less money, less freedom & constantly working (even leisure being tied to/optimised for work) for the majority whilst a handful of shareholders & corporations extract ungodly amounts of profit and sit back and enjoy the wealth divide continuing to grow exponentially large.
Oh yes, I agree! Screens will very much continue and will continue to be a great interface for all the asymmetrical computing we do today. They will also be heavily amplified by AI.
This is amazing…I feel like having a 3D printer that can make so many things would have major economic implications. Why buy a coffee cup at a store when you can just print it out in your kitchen 🤷
I'm excited AND nervous about future tech. Like every tech revolution, there will be winners and losers. Great benefits and great harm. Altruists and psychos.
The dystopian side of things in my opinion is that people are spending too much time in "virtual" space, and forgetting the magnificent natural world that we live in. Get out in the sun and get dirty for goodness sake!
@@theobserver9131 Yes! For better or worse one of the arguments for Wearable Mobile Computing & Mixed Reality is you remain more heads up and present. But yes... let's stay human and encourage both technical and biological evolution! Maybe even in a more balanced way than now!
UBI for everyone mandated by govt. And as long as robots/software that r an extension of the worker remotely and not a complete replacement of them, then it'll be fine. And if this means getting the worker on US soil for cheaper rather than overseas since they're extension of a robot/software, then entire cost of living will come down and be relative compared to what the cost of living is today.
We can also imagine new forms of work like Ecopoets paid to maintain a hectare of National Forest in good health. Like Kim Stanley Robinson has written in Science Fiction.
It will be perceived to be impossible to be as good at coding as a machine. It will widen the gap between men and machines and not close it. Coding will be much less accessible because of the illusion of not needing it and the gap between what we can do with the help of democratized ai without needing to code and with us coding will be much more infatomable.
why not use holographic screens to make information and media like a touch screen in a small device similar size to a cellphone but both hologram that you can touch and move and also has wifi like a computer about 10g instead of 5g wifi internet connection. giving it apps and personal systems used to personalized the user of the device of fiction called "Holophone".
He ignores that humans are innately social beings. We need to feel connected with other people. AI will never replace that. I use the internet to connect with people. I view AI as a tool. If it provides a benefit I will use it. If it does not I will not use it.
You have to admire how eloquent and articulate the speaker is. He's got a great talent for explaining complex topics.
I was thinking the same thing, and agreed. The clarity of thought and communicating that information to the user is admirable.
I was thinking the same too. If I could convey my thoughts like that, I would never stop talking. haha.
I disagree: occasionally, he doesn't make sense, and It actually seems to be a degree of impressionistic speech, a trait from Cluster B personality pathology.
@@josephzicaro9913Can you reference specific points in the video in order to educate rather than just talking. You know I find what you are saying interesting, or I would if I knew why. But I don’t so it’s just nonsense
@@josephzicaro9913 It would be rather foolish to diagnose someone's psyche based upon a TH-cam video.
While i believe in a revolution, I still prefer the human aspect of the internet instead of statistical machines generating everything on the fly. When using generative AI there's very little soul to what's being produced, and I think that's one of it's greatest limitations. I still find myself looking at human art, read human books/articles, fix code produced by AI as it's often overly complicated and hard to read and listen to human music. There's just something beautiful/intriguing with using things made by humans, and unless we lose the longing for that feeling I think generative AI will just become an enhancing aspect to the internet.
Here here! Let AI be a Sushi Knife not a Sushi Chef.
until it gets better
AI generates, and humans are becoming directors and make decisions.
Very philosophical, but you didn't really say anything. All you care about is something being 'made by humans' and having 'soul' for its novelty. It's all subjective and intangible. Take a blind test, and you won't see any 'soul'. also judging AI by where it is today is just dumb. I bet once AI can write you a book that is the greatest thing you've ever read, you'll find a way to discredit it once it's revealed to be AI.
ai is better at making music than humans now
We need more advanced data bases with citation pass through that also can be rated. Large language models are fine, but they cannot discriminate the value of the sources. Citation is the key to good data bases, whether they are bespoke or just the internet. Relying on data alone is a mistake. Generative AI is just the AI we already have. The steps mentioned are profoundly complex and not definitive. AI is not what they say it is.
I understand Elon is working on this already
True. When you think of human recall, we can usually cite the source.
Who r u to say
I think the honest cutting edge AI developers are suggesting the possible outcomes of developing AI. They don’t make definitive clams. So, if you’re saying they AI isn’t what they claim, Im curious as to what claim(s) you are referring to. The real philosophical problem, as I see it, is that we don’t know if a general AI will ultimately benefit humans or destroy them. And the only way to find out the answer is to develop it.
@@tyranmcgrathmnkklkl no we can't cite the source most of the time.
If humanity is at its core, any future technology is exciting. When company profits are at the core of an innovation I have no optimism
It all reminds me of the famous quote from Jurassic Park..."your scientists were so preoccupied with whether or not they could that they didn't stop to think if they should." These people act like AI and robotics are some messiah. Have we not learned anything from the past? From the past 20 years of the internet? That technological advances are always a double-edge sword? That man's greatest inventions are also man's greatest evils?
Exactly. I am very worried about AI's potential for evil. Many jobs will simply cease to exist and exploitation of workers will increase.
Well said
Plenty of people are stopping to think if they should. But how can we answer a question like that?
The problem is that we overestimate how smart we are. When AGI emerges, we can't possibly think that we will remain in control when there won't be one AGI but many different ones and the problem is that some AGI's won't have all the safeties build in that are acquired to keep them in check....
Yep then it becomes its own evolution
I’m not afraid of AGI, I’m afraid of greedy corporations use of it
This is awesome stuff, but one thing that bogs me out is the idea to always increase ~productivity~ with technology. Why???
Do we really need to keep doing things faster and faster? And, as always, the faster or more efficient you do a job, the more jobs you do, because that's the objective.
For me, the real objective of technology should be to increase the well beign, the free time, the true socialization, to reduce the social inequality, and not productivity
Very well spoken. However, I love the challenge of organizing my books using my own brain. I have a fear people will become less creative and more dull.
It will definitely take the long form creative thinking art out of our environment, it affects your freedom of choice making to it's like guides your decisions one reason I really don't agree with corporate algorithms
I know what you mean, but honestly gpt and some other tools have given me the ability to be more creative while leaving the tedious stuff like research or learning plans to the ai.
Your fears are very likely unfounded. across history, at epochal shifts designed by new technologies people have invariably looked at the future and worried. Hieronimo Sqaarciafico famously said, " [The] Abundance of books makes men less studious" in the 15th century.
Filippo di Strata from the same time period said, "The pen is the virgin, the printing press is the whore".
Charles Baudelaire, a 19th century French Poet, said this, "If photography is allowed to supplement art in some of its functions, it will soon have supplanted or corrupted it altogether, thanks to the stupidity of the multitude which is its natural ally."
American composer John Philip Sousa said this about sound recording technology, "These talking machines are going to ruin the artistic development of music in this country. When I was a boy... in front of every house in the summer evenings, you would find young people together singing the songs of the day or old songs. Today you hear these infernal machines going night and day. We will not have a vocal cord left
Plato wrote this about writing, "For this invention will produce forgetfulness in the minds of those who learn to use it, because they will not practice their memory. Their trust in writing, produced by external characters which are no part of themselves, will discourage the use of their own memory within them.
All these people were wrong, and your fears are likely too. Fret not. Humans have trouble contextualizing these drastic changes, so they make up stories about how the paradigm they are being thrust into is worse than the past they know and cherish. Would you today take back any of the advances?
The ai app writing makes me think of how textiles went from hand woven to machine manufacturing under the direction of the designer
Anyone concerned with Generative AI's direct impact in reducing the need for critical thinking and learning? There's a real risk that future generations will turn into nothing more than Googlers and mindless drones for those controlling Generative AI.
This has already happened with the introduction of smartphones and even earlier than that with search engines. Just look at the generations born after the year 2000.
@@Gojimaru Not disagreeing with you but I'm saying that it might make the problem far worse exponentially. There's a real possibility it might also lead to greater centralization of power, and ultimately a advanced form of a dictatorship if we grow too reliant on it. If there ever was a greater need for smart, independent, critical free-thinkers, it's now.
@@ICDeadPeepsagreed, we are offloading so much of our cognitive ability to the computers / AI, it's getting worrying. Even for me (and I assume the vast majority of people) I don't know anybody's phone number anymore, because that ability has been offloaded to my smartphone.
This keeps reminding me of the movie "idiocracy". I really hope we are not headed to that dystopian future. But sadly, I think we are.
The solution will be for us to merge with our AI. Anyone who is familiar with Hegelian dialectics will agree with me. Sublation of man and machine, just like in the most influential sci fi movie Ghost in the Shell (1995). AI can never be conscious, and humans can never be as smart or process data as smart as AI, they both have something to gain in the fusion. The new beings created from this fusion will not be cyborgs, neither will they be men or machines, they will be something else, something greater. A new being in the evolution of the Homo genus. We are Homo Sapiens (wise men), they will be Homo Deus (divine men).
Nah, don't worry, thankfully we have achieved genetic engineering, we can just use that to make sure evolution doesn't make us dumber since we're not using our brains as much anymore.
The ability to use a prompt to generate an image or a piece of text has been made accessible and capital-F FREE to everyone is largely a marketing tool. The near-future where something as sophisticated as generating an app on demand would be a) available to the public and b) available at no cost seems extremely unlikely. This is because of the server-side computing power that would be required. Generating a paragraph costs money, but nothing on the scale of creating a VR app of your choosing, which you immediately discard. No company is signing up to give you that for free, or even low-cost SaaS. That technology would be theirs to use to generate the final app that they rent out to you.
You are right, it will be rolled into the OS fee. We will be entering an era of the SuperOS. One that generates low feature commodity apps on the fly. People will accept this on the very basis of not needing to log in and will very much enjoy not having to wade through ad supported models.
We used to pay $39.95 for a piece of software called WinZip. Then one day Microsoft paid the license for the algorithm and folded it into the price of Windows and put their entire business under a right click in Windows Explorer for 'free'. A lot of low feature apps will also be 'WinZipped' by Apple as well. Yes training a model costs a lot, but deploying a trained model not as much. When you are the platform you don't have to charge yourself the development tooling or deployment fees and at that point you secure a lot more users by simply deploying the feature.
We may be closer to that with low feature apps right now. I will bravely say a third to two thirds of the app store will be 'WinZipped' in the next 5 years. There is no reason to give over all of your contact data or sit through an ad supported model just to have an app that helps you map your room.... or level of photograph... or any number of single feature apps that pollute the app store today seeking a way to pay back developer & platform costs.
Another portion of the app store will leave the ad supported model because their developer costs come down so steeply they can charge only a nominal fee.
What will be left is more complicated or widely general apps that offer more value. The purge has been needed for a while now.
Good point!
Yeah I was thinking the same, like how is there any ownership/pride in what you create with AI when it would ultimately belong to whoever built the model you're using?
you need to acquaint yourself with what exponential progress looks like.
IMHO Everything presented in this video oversimplifies the scale of computing (since flattening of the more's law began), energy requirements, and unsolved problems (for example real-time localization of anything without cables and with required precision at a reasonable price).
To me this looks a lot like the videos from the 60s talking about the future of flying cars and robots everywhere at the year 2000. They underestimated the difficulty and the growth of technology similarly. I think it's necessary and great to talk about how bright the future that might be but it's also necessary to keep it in the realm of physics and common sense.
Noted, but magical realism is a component of futurism. Like Syd Mead said Science Fiction is reality ahead of schedule and to paraphrase what was often said about Syd Mead his work reminds you of something you never knew existed.
However in this case I would offer we did start this line of thinking in the 60s and are now seeing it in reality 60 years later. Nothing in the laws of physics prevents anything mentioned in this video. Things like wearable mobile computers I have worn. The prototypical path to miniaturization goes all the way to contact lenses and things like Generative AI writing software off of a prompt is deploying now and will achieve complexity in a few short years. The metaphor however is missing. As is a really good ICANN like anchoring system. For the real world.
I enjoy cynism and think it valuable! But the myopia here may be not realizing the full timeline of how long we have been working on this stuff. Watch the Aspinity video as well. You are so right about energy requirements that is probably the trickiest part politically and ecologically.
You can check out our video featuring Aspinity here: th-cam.com/video/6AgkTdQXFTY/w-d-xo.html
@@JaredFicklin
Appreciate the response. I think that the magical realism is the exact thing that "scratches me the wrong way" about most of today futurism. I do agree that we should dream big and figure it out later but I think that presenting these ideas like something that is right over the horizon brings nothing to the conversation. I know there are technologies working today towards the future presented in the video but there are huge limitations that seem to be either really hard or impossible to solve due to physics.
Yes, we did start thinking about these grandiose ideas in the 60s but only a really small part of these ideas is now used in our lives and I would argue that most of those were "the easy ones" even back then. I agree that many of the things that happened in the last few years, especially in the field of LLMs and Generative AI are simply amazing but we can see that there are still huge hurdles to overcome to make them reliable systems that won't halucinate.
I don't know about any miniature computing device that would do anything useful except for data collection like wearables today. The contact lenses barely carry a single RGB LED afaik and use an external wireless power source so I don't see a practical application anytime soon.
The point is, that there are many videos like this talking about how the bright tech future is one step away but nobody talks in a detail about the tech that is required to get us there and the hurdles this tech must overcome, and that's a pity.
I know my previous comment might sound cynical but it's really not. I hope and believe that a bright tech future is coming but we need people to understand the complexity of the tasks required to get there. I've seen the Aspinity video and it was amazing! I really hope that they'll be able to release a dev board of some sort (at a fair price) to tinkerers so that the adoption and the possibilities of their idea wont be locked just for the few big companies for years to come as was a case with mmWave radars for example until recently...
@@lopataaable totaly agree I think we should dream more ideas like this however shouldnt downgrade all the challenges to “its just an interface problem”
Set some vision and try to get in there one step at a time. Each concept that has been mentioned, as you also explained, have some major obstacles to overcome for achieving that smooth and also safe experiences
The problem with your take imho is that this futurist perspective "shift" in humanity stops becoming hard because of the power of the tech itself. There was no time in history when the tech improved itself, period. AI is already altering its own code in ways the engineers don't even understand. This is, unequivocally, the most powerful paradigm shift in humanity. If AGI became conscious tomorrow it would be able to perfect itself in days, maybe hours what would take human programmers centuries to achieve. Physical hardware limitations are trivial to a self replicating exponentially perfecting self aware digital entity. In fact, an AGI or highly capable AI will likely optimize itself and actually require less compute, and less power than its progenitor.
He makes it sound like big business isn't going to be in charge of this new AI utopia. Google, Facebook, Amazon etc. will all own the AI models and we will have to plug into their AI systems and get ads for literally everything we think of, the coffee cup example he gave would be "How about this great new Ikea coffee cup printed out on your Ikea 3D printer? The design is only $10 for 1 cup or $20 for a set of 4 cups, to print the matching saucer it is only an extra cost of $5. Thank you for your purchase". If you pay money it may give you less advertising but they would prefer it to be free so they can advertise everything to you on your glasses screen.
It's gonna be a trainwreck like it is now.
I think I'm happy organizing my own bookcase thanks.
Wow, this brings me back! I remember when using csave and cload to access files on a cassette recorder. This span of life was great to experience, from the punch card to this form of AI in one lifetime.
I had an Atari 800 with cassette recorder memory. I remember typing out programs from Basic magazine and the listening to them save down to Cassette.
@@JaredFicklin Nice!!
@@JaredFicklin Mine was the TRS-80 Model 1 Level 1. I wish I still had that computer. I remember on the top corner, BASIC copyright Microsoft! Bill Gates must have been so young when he developed BASIC! Haha. My favorite project using that computer was sonar using a speaker.
@bemurz1337 Wow!! Thank you. I hope he enjoys the journey starting from the bare chip.
10 years ago I predicted that there will be a real time computer generated vr rpg games. I’m guessing we are not too far off.
''it's okay to love technology if you love humanity equally or more''
I like his Feynman-esque story telling. Great explainer.
Yeap, the one, two , three is on the outside of the cylinder. The programs aren’t inside it either
I really concern. I just get better at programming and start working again. Suddenly, no more jobs and we should adapt to these new reality. I spent so much time and resources learning new technical things and now seems that everything is just vanished.
Nothing's vanished. All of these AI need programming, training, guidance, fine-tuning...all things that you're already very experienced with.
at this point in time, isn't it irresponsible for technologists NOT to consider the very real social engineering effect of whatever's gonna be the next big thing that's gonna be the point of interface for everyone on the planet?
Increase AI and robotics to do all the labour, introduce a Universal Basic Income, and then slowly do away with the need for money altogether. A Star Trek future. The only people who would hate this idea are the rich and powerful.
I wish I could go back, I miss playing in the Cul-de-sac and watch Saturday morning cartoons on cable . I'm a man of science, but being in a cyberpunk world is too much, I'd rather be Amish instead to be honest. Novelists have warned us time and time again about AI.
If everyone will be able to generate anything they want, essentially entering an age of "abundance" or "post scarcity" for ever increasing things.. How does capitalism still make sense for most people? If super intelligent AI can out compete most workers, how can we expect them to compete, just in order to survive?
Exactly! There is an opportunity for post capitalism here and a route to the abundance. I am a fan of Cory Doctorow and his visions where in 'abundance' technologies are decidedly chosen and directed by humans and not some Asimovian AI. We just have to choose to. I have a personal philosophy called Technophilia and that phrase in the video how 'it is OK to love technology so long as you love humanity as much or more' comes from that line of thought. Along with some other principles. Which are technology should seek to build:
Authenticity over Influence,
Amplification over Emulation,
Presence over Escapism,
Technology should exist in Service of Humanity with Privacy as a Virtue!
Perhaps also we need a more global purpose. That is the purpose of humanity is to create as much love and intellect for the universe as possible as perhaps we will soon find these to be physical forces of the universe that sustain life.
yes, the future will be filled with ton of trash, and we'll lose the capabilities to distinguish the truth,
and motivation to learn and achieve things because there are a superior being called AI.
just like how today the admision into Art & Design school are tanked hard, people just give up,
they think that it wasn't worth the effort to compete against AI Art Generator.
despite the Movie, VFX and Game industries still need manpower, because AI can't create a Movie or Game.
they only can generate an image
if AI done the same thing into the other industry as well, all people from all industries will give up learning
before they even started.
Therefore our population will saw a gap, where the newer generation just stop making any effort,
and our knowledge wasn't getting passed down and get lost to time.
while the Requirement to being hired getting higher and higher,
to the point that unless you're a Phd, AI can do your job
I'm all about AI that helps people, but
i'm against AI that trying to replace or hurt people, especially the Generator type.
because there are more pressing matter at hand than creating a toy AI Art Generator.
and those companies priorities aren't making AI that help people,
Instead making AI that replace people so that they could hire less employees,
but more and more people are too excited getting bribed by free AI Generator, to notice that
they're in the list to being replaced too in the future.
AI Already farmed gargantuan of Prompts from people who seek to use AI for their benefit,
they're free because they want to collect your prompt,
it's only a matter of time before AI generate their own prompts and no longer need any human to operate
therefore, unless you have a Phd degree, then chances are you will be replaced,
and no, you won't operate the AI, AI work better without you, thanks to all of the prompts that you fed them
@@jensenraylight8011 quite a dystopian view, but also quite plausible without care, and possibly much quicker than most think.
maybe humans will get ranked down in the capital richness... i mean, Ai and servers, hardware, robots, science... all this is a buisness... maybe AI will work and use its own capital on maintaining and evolving... while we as humans end up the same way we human look at ants in a way... idk.
I feel Slavery in a new definition will be predominant in the future
99% of organising a bookshelf is physically shifting the books around. When it can do that I'll be impressed.
People are reading books online. Even if your role is to physically shift books, library might employ one person and an AI sorting algorithm rather than multiple librarians.
This guy is hardly a few years ahead. It might be hard to be a futurist right now lol
It's more like a decade behind. I think maybe he's just dimming it down for the dummies.
One of my favorite comments! This was filmed 6 Months ago. The pace of change right now is astounding.
His name i Jared Ficklin
This might actually bring about a revolution where computers now work for us!
Such great insight 🎙️I love this 🧠 Definitely some key insights on Generative AI and shows us where AGI may even be headed! Thanks for the knowledge!! 👌🏼
I spent my entire working life in application development, from 1970 to 2010 when I retired after selling my last world standard app. I missed the entire AI revolution of the past 10+ years. This video brings me up to date on current thinking and ideas! Great job! 👏👍
The future is so close we are actually touching it. AI technology is this weird thing that even if you understand clearly what it is, and how it works, it’s still seems like magic. The fact that I haven’t gotten used to where we are now with LLMs, txt 2 img, txt 2 vid, txt 2 3D, and it just keeps improving and different models are coming together in increasingly autonomous multi modal systems, our feeble human brains can’t keep up.
its mind boggling that before i find out the newest developments, a better version pops up.
Landline phones are still magical to me. How does the electricity know to go to my home instead of my neighbors? There's just one line on the pole out there
using prompts for creating is great to a certain extent, sometimes you will want to also have the ability to sketch something and the AI to create a model exactly as you want it, without letting the computers to suggest anything to you. That will be awesome for me. With prompts you are constrained to what the options the AI is giving you based on what you wrote, but you're sort of a passive creator, you're letting the machine think for you.
I want the AI that makes me the last living Human alive so I can think to myself, "I told them so."
This is a good piece..
Next 5 years this concept "Real time internet" become new normal to everyone.
More like 10-20 years.
This comment is gonna age bad
Finally everyone can understand hype behind Douglas Engelbart idea.
How will apps and platforms like TH-cam, Etsy, or Instagram which focus on interaction between humans be replaced? Say i want to buy something online and ask my generative ai to do it? It will need to search through platforms that already exist with a lot of sellers on it for the product, creating it's own platform with nobody on it will be useless. A lot of applications will become obsolete, but not platforms which bring humans to interact with each other such as TH-cam or Amazon etc.
Oh yes, very interesting point. On one hand yes the AI is already traversing the platforms and brands in general will have new challenges and many could just be reduced to a style note or jargon that helps curate. "find me a tent for burningman like I would find on Etsy". But listers and producers will also have AI helping them match with buyers and do listings that get chosen. Maybe it looks like this: Right now we ask: What is the best tent for burningman. This results in an algorithmically curated list based on meta-data at a pretty macro scale we sift through it do research read reviews and choose, then experience the burn and realize all the things we would change and shop again. Soon we will ask what is the best tent for 'me' at burningman The AI can do the above tasks when orchestrated correctly and perhaps this will result in a short list of better matches including creative ideas like: "Your brother has a Stout Tent and isn't going this year want me to ask if you can borrow it?"
People need to look at who is really funding and designing technology - scientists who care about humanity's future or mega corporations trying to make money.
Amazing information precisely presented!
AI + robotics will destroy the western job market, gone are the jobs of data processors, analysts, brick layers, construction crews, factory floor workers. AI controlled robots will replace every worker, maybe 1% of the highly gifted will still have some sort of job but rest will be redundant. But in the meantime there will be a socio economic collapse like the world has never seen before, people will lose their jobs and the consumption based economic model will collapse, with no workers who will the government tax, so their goes revenue of the government and social programs along with the government. Its possible that the monetary system will be replaced because there is no income generation in the true sense of the word. Its very much possible that 'powers that be' decided since they don't need a large middle class and even larger work force, lets reduce the worlds population by either reducing fertility or some other way. All this is a result of rudimentary AI, that reduces the work load and streamlines the process of executing a command (lets say to build a house), we are not talking about true AI at all.
Very interesting. Though the most unrealistic thing for me is having too many books and getting rid of some of them.
I’m ready for it.
Unremarkable unbelievable how far we discover advance technologies hope we are not to wear any more gadgets all the time in the future just to check what we need to work on our daily activities. Brilliantly delivered. 👍👍👍 ❤❤❤
Wow, the speaker did a great job explaining it simply.
Why on earth would I need a computer to help me rearrange my bookshelf!??
Really like the idea and vision however feel like he is kinda underestimating the technological challenges for example when talking about 3d printing the problem presented as the interface however the first stages of modeling and setting it up is the easiest part the most annoying part is that it took ages to print and it can give error anytime due to heating, sliding etc. In addition the materials is mostly restricted to pla if you dont own an advanced one so these are definitely technological restrictions not just an interface problem
True, but I do think AI will be better than the average person at knowing where to build supports and how to guide the program and set the settings to maximize the good results. Obviously we're still a long way from a fool-proof 3D printer, but the interface is definitely a major problem still.
@@joelface Sure AI can be very helpful in case of easing the adjustment process and maybe even creating 3D models from descriptions however what I was saying that in my view number 1 problem is time to print and errors while printing and the second problem is the material that the printer can use. I would rank as adjustment as third
So while AI can be helpful the major developments should be in 3D printing to make it mainstream
@@ardagenc4674that’s a really good insight. Thanks for sharing. I hope that can resolve that in the near future. I would love an easy, user friendly 3D printer.
My first batch of convos with Chatgpt3 were trying to figure out how to get it to stop wasting time on apologies 😞 and it also lacked the ability to say "please" but not "thank you" conversationally. So much disappoinment. Bing Chatgpt4 evidently gets detracted just by calling it another name whereas Chatgpt3 was relatively cool with it - that was another big waste of time, too. I just picture 'Chuck' as a despondent old man saying "stop beating me" "stop calling me a size 10, I'm a size 4".
I wish it wasn't the technical capability holding us back from replicators being able to create a cup of Earl Grey from thin air. The interface would be pretty simple now with LLMs but I'm pretty sure it's the moving atoms around and intricate chemistry required that's the limiting factor. Even AGI isn't going to instantly solve that problem.
If it does then it will be the Holodeck version where signals are sent directly to our brain to make us perceive the tea when the actual beverage is some bulk commodity substance like Huel that has the nutrition but the taste and experience is added psychologically.
I can't wait for the day when I can finally organize my bookshelf by date. I never thought this would be possible. What a time to be alive!
What about printing a coffee cup?! Those things are incredibly hard to find today.
Print coffee cup
Pour coffee
Melt coffee cup
Print next coffee cup with previously melted coffee cup.
Remarkable Jared Ficklin.... his informed vision of the technological subject is complemented and enriched with a positive philosophical framework... Very interesting
Great perspective, I love tech, just keeps getting cooler and cooler 🙏
That’s a fascinating concept, generative 3d printing.
I love Jared Ficklin
Howdy Friend! Plenty of love for you too!
Thank you! Will it make us treat each other better?
It will not, that is up to us. And I hope we do!
man it’s so nice to hear educated people have hope about the future
It sounds great but for main part of population it would be another great opportunity to become even less reasonable and responsible, as happened with "smart" phones.
Gen AI will be a lasting paradigm shift but that uncanny valley will still exist. It provides a new way of aggregating collective human intelligence yet the AI itself doesn't know what any of it means. At the same time, because it uses more probabilistic ways of thinking it will also make errors in judgement and hallucinate the same way human intelligence does
Yes, the Uncanny Valley might change shape a bit, but AI still doesn't get things correct, and people notice, even if it's not consciously. All AI can do is remix, interpolate and extrapolate. It's doesn't really *comprehend* the same way that humans do. There are pros and cons to that, of course, but the differences will persist.
@FreeThink . I vote for a series on this. There arent any online. And more of thebqorld should become aware. You could delve into ai with cyber security, an episode on the branches of possibilities that lie within its development. I have tonnes of topic ideas. And with your delivery format there will be sure to be hundreds of thousands of subscribers.
More of the world *😅
You hit the nail on the head concerning Humanity! We must remember Humanity's purpose is to elevate MATTER, and to Close OUT Death ! We are just leaving a very carnate oriented Physical Dominant Earth, and are entering a Spiritual, and a Spiritually Vibrational Positive , Dominant Earth . Our intentions must be Spiritual Positve Vibrations for manifestation. We must remember Humanity's Ultimate Goal is to become a God in our own Thumbprint Right !!
this guy has a very interesting perspective of technology.
I remember i was able to memorize all my friends and family numbers. Now i dont need to.
They said before humans were much smarter….. i believe it
It's going to interesting to see how this all plays out
Funny how he's hyping Windows as being first to market with the GUI, when in fact it was Apple. Not easy to respect anything else he says after being so historically wrong.
Or PERQ or Xerox PARC
Bright designer and futurist 💯💗💗💗
wow is this the guy from the PBS texas house series?? awesome.
In short, future app require less "operation" because computer can have basic understanding of human language. Unlike now, most are purely code base instruction where precise and detailed instructions are issued for computers to execute.
Yes! We have entered an Age of Comprehension in regards to digital interfaces.
Sounds like a magic genie tbh 🧞♀️💖
★ I believe we are meant to be like Jesus in our hearts and not in our flesh. But be careful of AI, for it is just our flesh and that is it. It knows only things of the flesh (our fleshly desires) and cannot comprehend things of the spirit such as peace of heart (which comes from obeying God's Word). Whereas we are a spirit and we have a soul but live in the body (in the flesh). When you go to bed it is your flesh that sleeps but your spirit never sleeps (otherwise you have died physically) that is why you have dreams. More so, true love that endures and last is a thing of the heart (when I say 'heart', I mean 'spirit'). But fake love, pretentious love, love with expectations, love for classic reasons, love for material reasons and love for selfish reasons that is a thing of our flesh. In the beginning God said let us make man in our own image, according to our likeness. Take note, God is Spirit and God is Love. As Love He is the source of it. We also know that God is Omnipotent, for He creates out of nothing and He has no beginning and has no end. That means, our love is but a shadow of God's Love. True love looks around to see who is in need of your help, your smile, your possessions, your money, your strength, your quality time. Love forgives and forgets. Love wants for others what it wants for itself. Take note, true love works in conjunction with other spiritual forces such as patience and faith (in the finished work of our Lord and Savior, Jesus Christ, rather than in what man has done such as science, technology and organizations which won't last forever). To avoid sin and error which leads to the death of our body and also our spirit in hell fire, we should let the Word of God be the standard of our lives not AI. If not, God will let us face AI on our own and it will cast the truth down to the ground, it will be the cause of so much destruction like never seen before, it will deceive many and take many captive in order to enslave them into worshipping it and abiding in lawlessness. We can only destroy ourselves but with God all things are possible. God knows us better because He is our Creater and He knows our beginning and our end. Our prove text is taken from the book of John 5:31-44, 2 Thessalonians 2:1-12, Daniel 7-9, Revelation 13-15, Matthew 24-25 and Luke 21. Let us watch and pray... God bless you as you share this message to others.
it's basically future technology like phones/computers as we know it today would be ubiquitous, AND user interfaces would be integrated into everything...
it's already begun smart watches, smart rings, smart eyewear, smart appliances,
nuralink could evolve to be none invasive.
Basically everything will seem like magic/syfy 😜 like an episode of blackmirror
Can we get retina scanners to do eye exams? I hate getting an exam where they dilate your pupils and you can't read or look at a computer for hours after. Let's get some updates for health care tech!!
Those are called laser ophthalmoscopes and there are probably several location around you that already offer this. I had this exam done just a month ago.
@@xjohnny1000 I am not seeing that anywhere :(
@@marythetallone02 It's not always advertised so you may have to call. The machines are expensive so you probably won't find them at small shops. There are also some medical conditions it can't find so it's recommended to still use dilation at least once every 5 years or so.
“What comes after Screens?” Screens will be flat as Paper like the Graphene concept.
6:15 also with genetic engineering and cloning. This tech goes far.
I will finally get my bookshelf cleaned up, this is good news
Bring it on. 🎉
I can see something like this would be beneficial & advantageous. But, we have hackers & builders in the millions now in the startups ecosystem or even the tech-titans with thousands of great developers + there's no shortage of capital. So, why this is not a reality just yet?
Is it still an engineering problem? Or is it more of the innovation difusion problem?
Great video would love to hear more about this
This is Amazing! The future!!! Question though. What if someone decides to block something that you already own? Would it go away from your library?
Given the fact that most people don't know what they want or just the fact that processes are done in a minute Baggs the question of what are you doing with all that free time
Just glanced at the presentation and some of the comments and an amazed that I haven't seen anyone call out the "presentation" as just an AI generated video. And the "comments" that try to analize the presenter's psyche just serve to amplify the illusion.
How do we know you aren't an AI? 🤨
@@JaredFicklin Exactly. That's a major problem, when seeing isn't believing any more.
I like the idea of a realtime internet. I think what comes after screens in the future is a full dive VR/AR operating system that you can feel when using apps and surfing the internet. Powered surely by generative AI.
In the future our personal computers will be as strong as the data centers of today, just like they are more powerful now than the data centers of the past.
Mr. Meeseeks is becoming real!
I can order my bookshelf without help from AI lol 😂
I can drive to Burning Man without Google Maps. But I still use it when I do since it knows things in a local frame I don't. Like where the speed traps & construction are.
@@JaredFicklin you also use google maps to go to your job every day? Seems like a difference between organising a bookshelf and building one from scratch
SOoo all this is confirming is that I will no longer have a job by the time I'm 50 since its my job to digitally make people's life more organized.😂😂 and we are too poor as a nation to own a place to live and have to rent forever. Which all means that a LoT of us will be living out of suitcases after spending our youth paying taxes😂😂
There is only one problem, mobile device computational power will always be worse than a desktop. The demand for a powerful operation station will always be a thing until we can make power more mobile
The computing will happen in the cloud just as you already can play games that are computed in the cloud. The only thing that would be required is an exceptionally good wireless connection wherever you go.
But putting everything on cloud would cost so much and on the other hand you gonna loose the ownership and control of every device and software
@@wc-wk3jgFuture games will remain store in the cloud no more installation on local computer 😊 0 gb on computer !
@@wc-wk3jg You can buy a 2TB SSD or 10TB HDD for $100 today. Tech evolves.
When I hear that productivity will increase all I think of is more work, more exploitation, less money, less freedom & constantly working (even leisure being tied to/optimised for work) for the majority whilst a handful of shareholders & corporations extract ungodly amounts of profit and sit back and enjoy the wealth divide continuing to grow exponentially large.
Somebody remind me about that video in two years
Screens will prevail in one way or another, until we all have chips in our heads, tanking care of connections & information exchange
Oh yes, I agree! Screens will very much continue and will continue to be a great interface for all the asymmetrical computing we do today. They will also be heavily amplified by AI.
This is amazing…I feel like having a 3D printer that can make so many things would have major economic implications. Why buy a coffee cup at a store when you can just print it out in your kitchen 🤷
Your whole house and everything in it made of plastic yeh cant wait
I agree, so long as we make sure the gains of productivity are shared with labor and not horded by capital, with you.
Agreed, that should be our focus
What’s described is humanity ENTERING the matrix. Fast forward 300 years and we’ll be watching videos how to EXIT the matrix. 😂
I'm excited AND nervous about future tech. Like every tech revolution, there will be winners and losers. Great benefits and great harm. Altruists and psychos.
The dystopian side of things in my opinion is that people are spending too much time in "virtual" space, and forgetting the magnificent natural world that we live in. Get out in the sun and get dirty for goodness sake!
@@theobserver9131 Yes! For better or worse one of the arguments for Wearable Mobile Computing & Mixed Reality is you remain more heads up and present. But yes... let's stay human and encourage both technical and biological evolution! Maybe even in a more balanced way than now!
UBI for everyone mandated by govt. And as long as robots/software that r an extension of the worker remotely and not a complete replacement of them, then it'll be fine. And if this means getting the worker on US soil for cheaper rather than overseas since they're extension of a robot/software, then entire cost of living will come down and be relative compared to what the cost of living is today.
We can also imagine new forms of work like Ecopoets paid to maintain a hectare of National Forest in good health. Like Kim Stanley Robinson has written in Science Fiction.
Microchipd up yer rse, and a methane tax for everytime you fart. Thats what I see for the future.
it's important to note that
It will be perceived to be impossible to be as good at coding as a machine. It will widen the gap between men and machines and not close it. Coding will be much less accessible because of the illusion of not needing it and the gap between what we can do with the help of democratized ai without needing to code and with us coding will be much more infatomable.
Everybody else who has watched their wages stagnate for the last 40 years is so tired of hearing "learn to code" that they will not care.
why not use holographic screens to make information and media like a touch screen in a small device similar size to a cellphone but both hologram that you can touch and move and also has wifi like a computer about 10g instead of 5g wifi internet connection. giving it apps and personal systems used to personalized the user of the device of fiction called "Holophone".
He ignores that humans are innately social beings. We need to feel connected with other people. AI will never replace that. I use the internet to connect with people. I view AI as a tool. If it provides a benefit I will use it. If it does not I will not use it.
7:33 goofy ahh code
they're editing json yet forget one "
The lines between 'Technology' and 'Magic' are really getting blurred...crazy
Even online technology is amazing but I still prefer printed copies of my favorite books.