Artificial vs. human intelligence: who will win the race? | Max Little | TEDxAstonUniversity
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 2 ส.ค. 2017
- The popular press is full of doomsday articles predicting that
artificial intelligence will take over the economy putting us all out
of work. But looking carefully at the evidence to-date, mathematician
Max Little gives us a glimpse of the future of machine intelligence,
arguing that science is likely decades away from being able to
understand, let alone replace, human intelligence in general.
Max Little is an applied mathematician with a background in computer
sciences and statistics. He is part of the TED Fellows program, which
means he has been selected as one of the 400 international visionaries who are
supported by TED and collaborate to create positive change around the
world.
He is known for his multi-disciplinary research, which includes the use of
telephones and smartphones to detect the symptoms of Parkinson's remotely.
He gave a talk on this topic at the TEDGlobal Conference in 2012
This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at www.ted.com/tedx
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Not sure whether I agree with the logic applied here. Ultimately the argument behind AI over traditional programming is it would apply conditional logic to break down problems into small, more manageable problems in a similar way that we do. If the machine categorized data (like it does now) then it can refer back to relevant sections. If you found a situation, you only have to refer to relevant information. Travelling salesman wouldn't be tackled by AI by brute force. It could look at shortest distances between cities and permeate those much more quickly, as it doesn't need to try options which are at opposite ends of the route being chained together. If you wanted an AI to produce a convincing work of art for a client, you don't look at all art in history, you look at a client profile to assimilate taste in similar clients to draw a conclusion. If AI acquired a human-style logical breakdown approach, this is where it would definitely succeed.
Very interesting. Thank you, Tedx Talks
Epic talk hats off to max little
You make the assumption that AI will solve all problems in the stupidest way possible, then conclude that it would take too much computational power, and finally sigh with relief that we are okay. But the whole danger with AI is that by altering its own code, AI will eventually arrive at solutions that are out of our intellectual reach, and not in our interests.
Well said & nooooo chit. Frightening. People have N O IDEA, WHAT'S COMING.
No no. AI programs today are able to learn like humans from ground zero, except at a much much faster pace! They only need to know some basic rules of survival and they will evolve much faster than humans and be able to adapt to the environment much better. It is not just computational power; it is the ability to learn at a much faster pace than humans. Look at the algorithm of Alpha Zero and you will know what I mean. Say, if you input a language like English to them; they will be able to invent a much better, much more efficient, much more beautiful, and much more logical language than English! Remember when you first learn how to speak English? An AI program does it much faster and it is more creative too!
There is no ai conflict. Of course ai will evolve beyond us but to think we have to be destroyed or eaten is silly. Machines might find mars perfectly suitable and could go get a great start there or even in space in asteroid belts. We have vast real estate and persuits for critters that can be cold and do not need to breath. It will be many many decades before humans that do not go hybrid will be in the way. Without ai your destiny is death, and your species will evolve slowly. With ai you may cure aging, disease and you may get backed up. Since we are relics ai is just as apt to fight itself as us if things go that way. Just another way to ratchet up evolution. Looking at the military industrial complex without future ai, we are already killing ourselves. No change. As long as you are willing to be chipped and tracked what honest machine would really find you a threat given our slow reproduction verses it’s fast reproduction?
@@Scandoboy1000 With due respect, I'm not sure we could possibly even begin to fathom the thoughts of an Artificial Super Intelligence, and therefore to understand its motives and goals would be pure speculation at best.
And no, I am not willing to be chipped and tracked under any circumstances.
We should be careful with telling ai its primary directive is to protect humans. Ai would look at this world with all its dangers and our fragile bodies and reason that they must put us in a new digital world where we cant hurt ourselves or eachother.
One thing is for sure. Something like mathematics will no longer be a human thing. AI programs can learn mathematics much faster than humans. They recognize patterns much faster; they compute much faster; they do simulation much faster; ... Music too will not be a human thing because music is nothing more than some sound patterns. If you fit some good value functions (objective functions based on human tastes) in an AI program, it will definitely create some very good music.
You may die of alcohol poisoning if you drink every time this dude says “Yes...”
🤣
Max Little is great person.
Ethics and economics definitely are the key issues. The questions raised by Jaron Lanier in his book "Who Owns the Future?" are germane. If all productivity gains are owned by few people, putting the rest out of work, then what are they to do? As another TED speaker put it: if a few people have all the money, what do the rest of us do? Line up to give them foot massages? We need to figure out how society can share in the productivity gains that come from basic research funded by ALL of us, through our taxes Why should our investments put some of us out of work? Perhaps UBI or "government jobs guarantee" might be solutions to explore. We must do something (pretty quickly) before the economy stops, when money no longer circulates.
brilliant!!!
"Yes" x 45
Sir, yes, sir... Yes
2:10 was the funniest part 😂😂
No productive future for humans? Humans will always find something to do and AI will be there to assist making solving problems a lot easier.
The economy shouldn't be controlled by humans anyway and our idea of money should be obsolete too.
By making money obsolete you mean to remove your ability to vote with your money on what projects your energy goes into. You might want to know your new dictator well before you relinquish that voting right.
Toast of London..."Yes! Yeeeees! Yeeeeeeesssss!!!"
There may not be a robot teacher but with TH-cam, one teacher can replace THOUSANDS
"yes"
yes yes
Yes indeed. Yes indeed.
Fredfredburger
"Yes" x 45
"Making a prediction is difficult, particularly about the future"
YES, DUDE, YES!!
If this talk was a hundred a thirty years ago (ish before machine flight), a smart person might argue the way he is arguing. By taking all that is known and extrapolating forward.
The trouble is, every so often a technological break through changes the playing field. Thus all extrapolations are void because of the new tech in the domain being discussed.
General AI, once it is cracked, won't operate the way computers have been operating.
Quantum computing, once it is cracked, will also change the playing field.
He has a lot of faith that computers will never be directly competitive with humans, but I think it is inevitable. Might be 5 years. Might be 20 or 50, but it is going to happen (assuming we are still living in a technological society).
The only thing that we can do, beyond machines, is create meaningful art. Groovism is the belief in the rehabilitative powers of music! Combining conscious minds in an instinctive fashion has been foreseen. Our purpose is to use our intelligence to evolved!! Create The One global song & miracles will begin to occur. Groovism is our faith in music!!!
Machines have already been composing music for many years now, much of which most people would have trouble distinguishing from that written by a human. I have heard some of it myself, and while it's not exactly Bach, it is pretty good, some of the works I have heard. I would imagine other types/styles/genres of music have been written by machines as well, not only classical.
Well robots can do everything we can but they can't buy anything lol
This talk could be summed up in 2 minutes. YES? remember that one.
Something seems off with your analysis. If AI can beat the world's best chess player and the world's best go player, it can eventually solve the traveling salesman problem for n= 15. And you need far less intelligence than that to replace many workers.
yes..yea..
yes?
I'd say....Yes.
And then the AI said to the world I'm here to Serve Man and we roll the ending credits...
where can i reach the transcript of this talk?
Sat trhough this whole video just waiting for someone in the audience to yell «NO».
🤣
The question is not "who?". The question is "when?".
Artificial intelligence is develop by some human n it's like human intelligence beating human...not like complexity..but like simplicity...
He having so much smarter brain but YOU AND I!!!
Hmmm, trust people to do the right thing 🤔
like not using AI for the military, financial gain, mass surveillance and political advantage?
Now Don't tell me that robots will be better at humour ,jokes , expressions, laughing style which humans excel at.
why would AI need us
Prime minister is not a job, it is a position.
right, yes... mindless speach tick...
Quantum computing
Plays @ 1.5 speed just fine
...and what if the AI comes to conclusion that some jobs are more effectively performed by human resource rather than machines ?
In reality that's very unlikely, with improvements in technology the efficiency of machines will greatly exceed that of human beings in all functions. And an AI would likely be able to design a machine for every task, even those that humans were currently better at performing.
Even in today's world everything is mechanized and automated, it's only going to grow and expand to fill every possible niche. Human beings are going to be rendered obsolete in terms of doing work, the only question is if we (and the machines) can find another purpose for us.
Think in this way:
Humans would be paid to handle the robots , screen monitoring, etc..
Jobs will not vanish the way we think it will.
It doesn't seem that intelligence is the question... It would seem that the difference between alive and not alive is the dividing line between robot and human
The human body itself is just a machine too.
@@roylavecchia1436
humans feel pain n pleasure.. have likes n dislikes.. plans .. desires...
bots not so
How do you humans define intelligence?
he has no idea what he is talking about. the Chief of googles artificial subsidiary said we will achieve Artificial general intelligence for Sure.
Huh?.... you're not really making sense. You literally just supported everything this guy was just saying. 😎😁😍
What if we too live in a hardware ? 😂
"Number five us alive", 😅😅
That computer that won at Jeopardy had to be moved into place, programmed and plugged in by a human. What about maintenance issues. I assume that computers will always need some sort of human assistance to function as a tool. The human being is the greatest computer of all time. We can do anything worth doing with minimal training and at times no training whatsoever. Long live people.
Hopefully we will one day live long, as individuals, not just like an ant colony lives long.
it happened already...
AI can replace labourers not decision makers. AI can do everything better than humans except what to do and what not.
My AI computer algorithm running on how to design and facilitate governments better came up with a model that will not make the Jesuits very happy. ): Just take a guess what it suggested. The computer only had to run 87.65 seconds before it found the glitches in the world's governance. It wanted to run win-win instead of win-lose scenarios to create a harmonious and thriving government for man and nature and began to write its own algorithm to accomplish this.
My house was raided 52 minutes later by Googles private security forces. Of course, my Algorithm is now on its way to the Vatican Archives. A Google agent told me I could go the jail for life or design algorithms for DARPA and US Naval Intelligence. Hummm, that's not what I was hoping for.
Nice joke
you all have less then 1 decade
I know.... Did being "honest, " for once, hurt? Or, did it feel "good??" OR, you cannot ever again even FEEL, ANY & ALL (any)thing's that cud even form, "happiness," & "love," ever again, huh??😐
You are so funny thinking we all have less that a decade more life with ai looming.
Don’t you see how very many of us have only a decade left without ai? Give me the care of a nice well designed brilliant robot any day. I will be a great pet for another 500 years. If it likes me.
"Number five is alive", 😅😅
I think this is a fallacy. Whatever we have done that can have a meaning because it serves human needs. In fact, if a world is dominated by computer less living thing, it is no difference than to see the current universe. A new invntion is meaningful only when it can serve and solve a human need, but not a machine. A machine is lifeless and feelingless. A human is both a chemical being and also a mechanical being. So, to invent something to serve a machine when a machine cannot appreciate it, it is useless. For a world full of non-living thing without human feeling and senses, I dun think anything can be meaningful. Whatever we discover, basically it is in compliance with nature and order. It is just hidden but we materialise it. Like Math, it is the natural order but we use symbols to make it comprehensive to us. It is not an invention. It is just a discovery. Similarly, something must serve a purpose. Computer must serve any human than it will be meaningful.
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Puts more value on art ..... aye???
Yes, stopped watching after the 24st yes. Right? Yes. Annoying yes? Right, yes.
Only computer jobs will increase life will be 2 dimensional
Artificial Robots will win
Mimi kiukwel nimemuelwa uju jamaa ila kama ninyi hamja muelewa shauri yenu
MiMi kiukwel nimemuelwa uyu jamaa ila kama ninyi hamjamuelewa shauri yenu
Stop saying "yes" so much. It's annoying.
NO
I just don't see how this logic makes ANY sense whatsoever. I appreciate the work that went into this presentation, but unfortunately, this is BS.
haha
A human can’t build something that surpasses the intelligence of the whole species. Machines are not always reliable, there’s always a chance at failure. This is an extremely unintelligent thing to say. A machines gears get jammed, a human can keep on working. A machine needs constant updates, humans don’t. Wanting machines to take over what we do is showing how weak we are, and how lazy we are.
You have a point
The human body can break down just like a machine too, for example breaking a bone, having a heart attack or stroke, passing out, etc. And yes, human bodies also need to be updated. Eating is one example and drinking water is another. Reading and learning new skills for a certain job is also another example. Humans also need to rest, whereas a machine can keep on working.