@Pajeet Patel This idiot is a wellknown troll. This idiot is bullshitting everywhere(Wamamustat,DataRanker,etc.) He is not an Indian Just search the meaning of *Pajeet*
And I saw, and behold a white horse: and he that sat on him had a bow; and a *crown* (corona) was given unto him: and he went forth conquering, and to conquer.
Oops, you're right. It's a typo, and was supposed to say "TAKEAWAY #4: Every continent except *ANTARCTICA* has been hit." I'll fix it in the description.
Your corrections are absolutely a positive, you're teaching us how to read data correctly while you learn, this I call a dynamic, excellent course in statistics, thank you for your time and generousity.
@@qy3469 that I was wrong, but I know that I am not wrong. Tell me then, what do you know about the CCP? And how they handled and are handling this crisis now?
@@thathandsomedevil0828 Schools are closed, factories are closed, cities are blocked, and hospitals are built. Basically everything can be done. Recently, no new cases or suspected cases have been found in most areas of China. And I am Chinese.
@@qy3469 Oh good to know, on top of all that, I have seen footage of crematoriums stacked full of corpses, heard audio confirmation from crematorium workers who haven't slept for more than 4 hours since January because they are cremating bodies for as much as 100 corpses every single day, I have seen streets where corpses are packed up waiting for pickup, i.e. a 10 second clip panning shot where you can count 18 bodies, just lying there. The sulphur dioxide levels around wuhan are the highest in the entire country of China which is produced as a result of burning organic matter, I will let you put the 2 + 2 together on that one, never mind the fact that 2 weeks ago they ordered in mobile incinerators to that same city, I wonder why they are there.. I have seen people in hospital vans stacked with even more bodies, seen footage of some poor chap losing his father to sickness caused by the virus in real time and seen entire families being barricaded in their homes; never mind the people being dragged out of their homes if in suspicion of being infected with the wuhan virus. I have seen accounts of people sent to those miracle 6 day "hospitals" where in actuality these places are nothing more than open space prisons where people are sent to die. There are no isolation wards for patients, there are bars on the windows and once admitted you can never leave. All this, on top of the fact that I have seen footage of officials running through the streets and buildings spraying God knows what at the ground, at the air and on people in office spaces. I have seen all this and I don't even live in China. So unless you know something that I don't, I will have a lot of trouble trying to not call you out as a CCP plant scouring social media to save china's face. I hope that bump to your social credit score is worth it. Now convince me now why the same government would restrict the movement of 760 million people to combat a virus that ignorant people still say to me is just the flu? A flu that even Chinese Conglomerate Tencent leaked out the stats that 24,458 people had died due to this virus as of February 1st? The very same government that restricts the movement of its own people but decries every other government for restricting the movement of Chinese citizens on flights to every other country that has now flared up as virus epicenters? The very same gangsta government that suppressed every report of this virus when first notified back in early December? Mate, you are going to have to try really bloody hard to convince me that this is just the flu.
I have played plague inc and at this point I would be losing comparing real life to the game. Virus has been detected and I have a low death rate. Countries are already trying to make cures and I have only infected not even 100,000 confirmed cases. However I have yet to be able to infect around the world as quickly as this virus has moved. Yeah I am an amateur playing a free version on brutal mode so give me a break.
thus explaining the seemingly unprecedented panic people fear loss of money more than loss of health even if loss of life is small, loss of productivity is high if many are temporarily sick
Thanks for all the effort you put into this, it is appreciated - especially the updated version. One (small) point, though - although the majority of your viewers probably are young, not ALL of us are! I am 66, and find this very rapid display of data and words quite overwhelming at times - I don't have time to digest what the graphics are telling us, in fact often I don't have time to even read the things! I'm still some way off being senile, and I'm certainly not an old fogey (I worked in IT all my life and was one of the earliest adopters of PCs, internet, social media, etc), but I've had to run this update three times, stopping frequently to give myself time to read and digest. And I'm pretty sure I'm not the only one who's had this problem. I understand that the younger generations like their stuff presented like this, but I can't help thinking that even they don't have the time to read and digest everything properly when it's presented this rapidly. With something as critical as this, it's more important that the facts are presented clearly and accurately than they just look good - or don't take up too much of our precious time! I find it rather depressing (and worrying) that you feel that you have to apologise for "walls of data" (actually just a few pages of large type!). Are humans morphing into goldfish?! And then there's the music... It's very well chosen and edited and I understand (only too well - I have young kids of my own from a second (late) marriage) that kids these days 'need' music with everything, but the music you choose inevitably affects the way viewers understand, and react to, the data you are presenting. The overwhelming impression is one of things accelerating and rapidly reaching a dangerous crescendo - which is not really what the data is showing. There is a real danger that the casual viewer will come away far more influenced by the drama of the music than by the actual facts she/he has been presented with (especially when those facts are flashing up so rapidly!). If anyone doubts this, just try watching the video with the music off - it's an entirely different experience. Sorry to moan, after all the work you've put into this.
Here in Switzerland store shelves have been pretty much emptied, just because 2 (I think) people got infected. The panic is unnecessary and people panicking only makes it harder for researchers to stop it
Try Harder maybe we should stop wasting our time replying to one who’s actually uneducated “It’s difficult to win an argument with an intelligent man...but it’s impossible to win an argument with an idiot”...he’s the idiot
I highly commend you on a very good video, as it reasons with excellent judgement the coronavirus - not being complacent or panicking and blowing it out of proportion as I have seen far too many people do. Thank you for an informative video with helpful graphs!
Your videos are fantastic for informing people of what we know. Kudos for the effort there! :) It helped me understand a lot about it. Unfortunately, the problem is not the statistics, it's how the statistics are achieved. I think there is also the issue between reported cases and cases that are not reported due to whatever reason (politics, medical facilities, denial, etc). South Korea has such a high report rate because they have been very active in finding and reporting cases, whereas in some other countries they are simply not doing the same amount of work to find people with the virus (Japan and America for example). So with South Korea actually taking a strong and transparent stand to the virus, they 'look' bad but will probably have it under control MUCH faster. Whereas other countries that aren't look 'under control' but will probably have a much worse time of it.
Not specially. Possibly by hard line measures (with help of some data tampering) Chinese gov managed to contain the situation or at least look so. Just the spread of disease everywhere outside remain exponential, with doubling every 6 days and no mechanism to stop it any time soon.
It's actually kind of strange, considering that black death in XIII century also stopped at Polish borders. Nonetheless, we may have cases already but they're still unconfirmed. Hard to imagine virus avoiding Poland when so many Poles came back from skiing in Italy.
@@maczetamaczeta189 I think it's very likely that the virus is in my city, there are 5 cases and those are people who came from a trip from Thailand, what else could it have been
@@chuli5335 A regular flu maybe. It's typical to bring it back from trips to far away countries. Thailand has like 40 cases so odds still are against covid. One way or another, test doesn't take long so we will know for sure shortly.
ABACABA PLEASE MAKE MORE VIDS, ESPECIALLY KEPP UPDATING THIS ONE AS YOU ALREADY HAVE. it nice to see all.the numbers and comparisons in one easy to read/view place. Keep improving and updating!
Have you ever had the flu? If yes then the coronavirus is like it but waaay less severe, a little longer lasting in most cases, but the symptoms don’t seem too scary.
@@Vearru Whilst you may be right. This truly is scary to some people, if you get infected and give COVID-19 to someone else, they may die. To complicate things further, perfectly healthy people are dying, which may be due to undiagnosed diseases, in any case, someone you love might die from the virus. This is why COVID-19 is being taken very seriously.
I appreciate your updating this. Moreover, I applaud the willingness to recognize inadvertent errors and also improvements that could be made. Please keep up the great videos!
I would love to see these videos continue! Especially the updated graphing. Great work! One critcism... I can't read that fast so kept pausing to read text in entirety. Ty!
Great work - found it very informative and love the data visualizations, guess there's a lot to learn in how to best represent the data without introducing misleading focus. Please keep posting.
When considering the S curve we also shouldn't forget the Spanish Flu's 3 slowdowns, since there's always a possibility the coronavirus could do the same, especially with cases rising like they are in Italy and Iran.
Best content I've seen on youtube in a long time. Looks like you put a lot of work into your videos. I extremely appreciate this as you make it easy for people like me to view this type of data.
Maybe a couple suggestions * On the "from day 1" comparison graphs (or a final summary chart), use a logarithmic scale, so the outbreaks can be compared a bit better over time (and not simply dwarfed away). Even project a 5% to 30% world population infection rate into the future (over 1 or 2 years) - which would compare it with the 1918 influenza outbreak. I think this would show best and worse case scenarios we can imagine (until a vaccine reduces/stops its progression in 1 to 2 years and likely brings it below 5%). * Add lines for (1) number of cases requiring medical treatment. For some, it'd be nearly 100% of known cases (at the point in time), but for COVID-19, it would be more like 5% to 15% or 20% of total number of known cases. And maybe even making the distinction between some medical treatment -around 15%- or (2) requiring hospitalization and aggressive support, which seems to be about 5%. As the virus continues to spread, the overhead on health care infrastructure will become more relevant. And the lack of support could mean an increase in the mortality rate. * Another data point would be the number/percentage of health care workers that have fallen sick. Again, focusing on the stress to the health care systems.
For your first point, it is a nice idea, but ultimately creates more misinformation than not. Trained doctors and scientists with decades of experience are barely able to project epidemic spread past a few months, and they still get it wrong. Let alone a projection of 1-2 years. It's simply impossible. Your second point is very important. Some diseases may spread rapidly, but ultimately tax the system little to none at all (ex. the cold). Others may not spread too much, but completely overburden the healthcare system (ex. AIDS). Unfortunately, it's extremely hard to gauge societal impact for a novel virus within months of discovery. Your third point is also important, but beyond the scope of this one virus. Healthcare workers get sick. A lot. But it is hard to attribute it to any one reason. Over half of Chinese healthcare workers are smokers, for example. Doctors in the US have extremely high alcoholism rates. Korean healthcare workers have ~70 hour workweeks. It is a huge issue in the medical field, and constantly debated among its professionals, but there is no solution.
6:40 Thank you for correcting this minor change, even though my original comment only has 90-ish likes. Update: Imagine arguing about Hong Kong's political status on a coronavirus video. Yikes.
Great series of videos I recommend if possible redo it every 15-20d, I used it to explain to friends that said corona virus was being overblown. Fastest spread + highest death rate since Spanish flu, until this changes your video is #1 in explaining this - great job!
Yeah, but we don't know how long people remain infectious and whether it stays with you for life. There's people who asymptomatically carry transmissible ebola and have to live in isolation for the rest of their lives to prevent continuous outbreaks.
You can recover from it but you can get infected again, just like SARS. Corona vírus is more of a threat than what it looks. Plus we do not really know what methods is China using. For all I know they could be killing people with the virus and not report it for example.
Quantum Tlisen you can get infected multiple times by any virus, just like SARS, flu, swine flu, corona virus, etc. I don’t get that point as it happens with every virus. To claim that China may be killing people is a bold claim. We do know how China is testing them, they are doing cat scans of the chest to detect the corona virus, they gathered 6 days of testing before releasing numbers and that is why we had a 14,000 spike of cases in one day.
Quantum Tlisen www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-13/china-coronavirus-cases-jump-after-counting-method-revision? here is my source cause I know you will ask
Thanks for your hard work in visualization and breaking it down in ways that put it in context. I really appreciate the detail and qualifications even as text at the end. Let me know how to contribute to your work. Patreon etc. Keep up the good work. "If you would like to see more of these, consider contributing. Details in the video description."
Something interesting that I read was in the initial outbreak, the area in which this started has a population of nearly 12 million people, yet there was only 3 hospitals involved and a little over 100 ICU beds. The death toll in this area was about 10x higher than the rest of China and heavily skewed the death rate because of how many people got sick so quickly and overwhelmed the hospitals. Going forward, the government has made changes and the population has been educated, which has drastically reduced the death rate. But that initial batch of people before measures were taken threw everything off. The rate keeps dropping.
Jesus Rodarte I think it was false information from cnn obtaining it from a bad source. But it is somewhat true since the corona beer company has been losing money ever since the coronavirus outbreak which just means sum people in US are stupid enough to think that they correlate.
Regarding your assumption that it takes 7 days for death to come: so it takes a few days for a sick person to become registered as sick with coronavirus. Mid february I did some analysis of available data (mostly from china), in particular how fast is the number of deaths rising compared to how fast is number of cases rising. And it appears that the closest match between deaths and new cases was at 0 days shift - most people added as sick with coronavirus were either already dead or died within a day.
The ratio at which new cases are registered is not constant, it changes over time. For instance it is +10% one day, +15 % the next day, +20% the next day, etc. Similarly, the ratio at which new deaths are registered changes over time. It naturally follows that the delay can be established by comparing these ratios - 20% new registered cases should correspond to 20% new additional deaths some time later, assuming the lethality does not change significantly. Even to my own surprise, the best match between evolutions of these two ratio series was at 0 days delay at the time when I did the analysis. That means people were registered as diseased with coronavirus approximately the same day they died. Which makes sense when considering that when people became registered, they likely received much better care than they had up to that time, greatly increasing their survival chances.
I am so amazed at the quality of this video. This is how statistics should be done, with proper analysis and explanations for data changes. Accounting for errors, and making prudent assumptions. Rather than giving just a simple graph. Really good job.
Thanks for the update and including responses as well. Very cool. I'm sure lots of other people would like to see another update in a week or two again. Awesome job!
Love the videos! Question: Are some areas experiencing higher (or lower) recovery rates? I'm wondering if we can consider geographical variables that improve chances of recovery
now over 500k people are infected , 24k are dead and nearly all countries are infected with 3 coutries with over 80k cases. There should be an update video
3 weeks later: Now 2.3 million people are infected , 158k dead and 210 regions are now infected . There are 6 countries with over 100k cases now and one country with 700k
The sinks at my school are always either broken, turn on for too short of time before having to be pushed again, too hot in temperature you'll burn yourself, or too cold to kill off anything. The temperature is the worst because no way could you wash your hands in it for 20 seconds. That leads most people to never wash their hands at all! Disgusting!
Great work Huang. It's also good to put a face to the genius!... I almost thought it was some major corporation with millions of dollars in resources that created this presentation... Your work is awesome!
Comments: Justattion to death is 28 days. That's why your death rate jumps all the way to 55% then down to 3% after it goes exponential. So, you should be looking 28 days back, not 7. You can see the Feb 13 bump in diagnosis followed by a Feb 22 bump in deaths. That gives you the leading edge at 9 days, but deaths continue at a high rate through March 3rd (today) even though diagnosis level out on Feb 19th. So, the further back toward 28 days the better but you really need to do a statistical blend of two weeks of diagnosis 9 days out to a statistical blend of the last week of diagnosis. The jump on 2/13 was caused by China going door to door looking for the sick that were not coming forward. This was caused by The Trump Admin pressuring China and accusing China of hiding cases. As with many of the Trump Admin accusations they make, Trump did this to distract from what his admin was doing. We know now that Trump was and continues hiding US cases. Thought both videos were great!
Hey Carey, the text cards are a bit too fast for me (no native speaker). I had to rewind and stop numerous times to catch up. I ended up watching at 0.75 speed.
People are dumb and cruel. You did a great job the first time and a great job the second time. You are statistically reassuring and giving confidence to people and that is what all governments should be doing right now. So, I say good job and thank you for posting this! I have been sharing it a lot!
![เปิด อาณาจักร หมื่นล้าน "สาระตั้ม" l [Nickynachat]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/3XE0nPF4YkQ/mqdefault.jpg)
![เจ็บที่ยังฮัก - ม่อน วรวิทย์ [ Official Mv ] จอนนี่มิวสิค](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/KALIGSRSjFs/mqdefault.jpg)
So, is it all good?
Cary: *n o*
_music stops_
Pajeet Patel shut your mouth mate
@Pajeet Patel th-cam.com/video/I4JS60-Rc-c/w-d-xo.html
@Pajeet Patel infect india pls
@Pajeet Patel This idiot is a wellknown troll.
This idiot is bullshitting everywhere(Wamamustat,DataRanker,etc.)
He is not an Indian
Just search the meaning of *Pajeet*
I fear no man, but that...
*NO*
It scares me...
furret walk meme :3 me too man like im alone in my room and its freakin 9 pm atm
*No.*
Jon Murtha that sht scared out of me
And I saw, and behold a white horse: and he that sat on him had a bow; and a
*crown* (corona) was given unto him: and he went forth conquering, and to conquer.
@crawlingrainbow so true, I'm happy someone is actually talking this on the comment section, good job
Mistake: 'Every continent but Australia has been infected' There are stars on Australia.
I’m pretty sure Australia was one of the first.
Edit: I just checked and since last week there have been at least 8
antartica???
This they meant Antarctica.
all cases in Australia were imported, there are no communal cases here yet, watch ScoMo's speech from yesterday
Oops, you're right. It's a typo, and was supposed to say "TAKEAWAY #4: Every continent except *ANTARCTICA* has been hit." I'll fix it in the description.
Your corrections are absolutely a positive, you're teaching us how to read data correctly while you learn, this I call a dynamic, excellent course in statistics, thank you for your time and generousity.
If the numbers from the CCP is accurate. I don't believe that they are.
@@thathandsomedevil0828 After the epidemic, if the facts prove that the CCP provided the real numbers, what would you say?
@@qy3469 that I was wrong, but I know that I am not wrong. Tell me then, what do you know about the CCP? And how they handled and are handling this crisis now?
@@thathandsomedevil0828
Schools are closed, factories are closed, cities are blocked, and hospitals are built. Basically everything can be done. Recently, no new cases or suspected cases have been found in most areas of China. And I am Chinese.
@@qy3469 Oh good to know, on top of all that, I have seen footage of crematoriums stacked full of corpses, heard audio confirmation from crematorium workers who haven't slept for more than 4 hours since January because they are cremating bodies for as much as 100 corpses every single day, I have seen streets where corpses are packed up waiting for pickup, i.e. a 10 second clip panning shot where you can count 18 bodies, just lying there. The sulphur dioxide levels around wuhan are the highest in the entire country of China which is produced as a result of burning organic matter, I will let you put the 2 + 2 together on that one, never mind the fact that 2 weeks ago they ordered in mobile incinerators to that same city, I wonder why they are there..
I have seen people in hospital vans stacked with even more bodies, seen footage of some poor chap losing his father to sickness caused by the virus in real time and seen entire families being barricaded in their homes; never mind the people being dragged out of their homes if in suspicion of being infected with the wuhan virus. I have seen accounts of people sent to those miracle 6 day "hospitals" where in actuality these places are nothing more than open space prisons where people are sent to die. There are no isolation wards for patients, there are bars on the windows and once admitted you can never leave. All this, on top of the fact that I have seen footage of officials running through the streets and buildings spraying God knows what at the ground, at the air and on people in office spaces. I have seen all this and I don't even live in China. So unless you know something that I don't, I will have a lot of trouble trying to not call you out as a CCP plant scouring social media to save china's face. I hope that bump to your social credit score is worth it.
Now convince me now why the same government would restrict the movement of 760 million people to combat a virus that ignorant people still say to me is just the flu? A flu that even Chinese Conglomerate Tencent leaked out the stats that 24,458 people had died due to this virus as of February 1st? The very same government that restricts the movement of its own people but decries every other government for restricting the movement of Chinese citizens on flights to every other country that has now flared up as virus epicenters? The very same gangsta government that suppressed every report of this virus when first notified back in early December? Mate, you are going to have to try really bloody hard to convince me that this is just the flu.
“So, is it good news?”
*_No_*
**Music changes**
Even though I read this, I was still surprised at the sudden seriousness in the music
I almost had a stroke
Enemy music plays but you haven’t seen the enemy yet
Btw it takes an avg of 20 days to go fatal so this still need to be updated.
thank god I wasn't drinking, I laughed so damned hard
I thought it was kind of cheap for people to be making Plague Inc. jokes, but with that day-by-day map chart, I really can't blame anyone anymore.
This is on medium dificult my dude
@@dinamosflams tem que jogar no brutal, no easy é fácil po
@@dinamosflams mas o vírus foi identificado muito cedo
If the virus reaches Greenland, we're all doomed
I have played plague inc and at this point I would be losing comparing real life to the game. Virus has been detected and I have a low death rate. Countries are already trying to make cures and I have only infected not even 100,000 confirmed cases. However I have yet to be able to infect around the world as quickly as this virus has moved. Yeah I am an amateur playing a free version on brutal mode so give me a break.
Is it safe to assume that your first video went... viral?
@Bruh M I hope whatever has you in a bad mood burns in hell.
@@brettkane9175
That's great, I wish every single bad thing burned in hell.
@Bruh M No problemo.
Coronavirus video comparison... but it compares the coronavirus *video* to these diseases
th-cam.com/video/OJofIQq3q2M/w-d-xo.html
2:22 that "no" literally scared me wtf
Yea with the sound
“No”
*suddenly stops breathing*
Same I thought it was gonna say “YES” and then get all cheery
Every continent except Australia has been hit"
Antarctica: *oh ok then*
he meant Antarctica it says in the description.
Yea Australia was one of the first to get
Flame its continent
Australia was one.of the first places to get the coronavirus
Antarctica has been a part of China since ancient times!
5:28 If Plague Inc has taught me anything,
It's that the best solution is to move every healthy person to Greenland.
DragoFlamez YT or Madagascar haha
LMAO
This man is a Genius
Lol
A lots of people will move to Greenland, that will actually make Greenland fall very fast.
Plague Inc. killed Greenland.
When you click on “world” in plague inc and view the infection/cure/death graph.
Literally
@@flightdeckpilot678 O O F
Lol I literally just played plague inc.
When you start playing plague inc on the government computer
There are hundreds of cases in the UK
@Pajeet Patel Dude, you have some serious problems in your head I you wish evil to others.
@@Tvn1787 ikr
@Pajeet Patel lol wtf india doesnt even have diamond. also diamond is fucking rare
@Pajeet Patel and they dotn steal. UK ruled india long time ago
“Every continent but Australia has been hit”
Star: am i a joke to you?
star?? can you explain please
Drakathzx111 3:05
StarXD
Pajeet Patel jeez calm he just wants to make people smile with jokes
Pajeet Patel Who pissed in your Cheerios?
coronavirus 2020: more deadly to stocks than to people
very true
don't worry SaNTa SaTaN will turn things around
just in the st nick of time
thus explaining the seemingly unprecedented panic
people fear loss of money more than loss of health
even if loss of life is small, loss of productivity is high if many are temporarily sick
greenland got hit with the virus
@@khoshy1094 hey Northside EWE got hit or blindsided with more propaganda
th-cam.com/video/p_AyuhbnPOI/w-d-xo.html
Thanks for all the effort you put into this, it is appreciated - especially the updated version.
One (small) point, though - although the majority of your viewers probably are young, not ALL of us are! I am 66, and find this very rapid display of data and words quite overwhelming at times - I don't have time to digest what the graphics are telling us, in fact often I don't have time to even read the things! I'm still some way off being senile, and I'm certainly not an old fogey (I worked in IT all my life and was one of the earliest adopters of PCs, internet, social media, etc), but I've had to run this update three times, stopping frequently to give myself time to read and digest. And I'm pretty sure I'm not the only one who's had this problem.
I understand that the younger generations like their stuff presented like this, but I can't help thinking that even they don't have the time to read and digest everything properly when it's presented this rapidly. With something as critical as this, it's more important that the facts are presented clearly and accurately than they just look good - or don't take up too much of our precious time! I find it rather depressing (and worrying) that you feel that you have to apologise for "walls of data" (actually just a few pages of large type!). Are humans morphing into goldfish?!
And then there's the music... It's very well chosen and edited and I understand (only too well - I have young kids of my own from a second (late) marriage) that kids these days 'need' music with everything, but the music you choose inevitably affects the way viewers understand, and react to, the data you are presenting. The overwhelming impression is one of things accelerating and rapidly reaching a dangerous crescendo - which is not really what the data is showing. There is a real danger that the casual viewer will come away far more influenced by the drama of the music than by the actual facts she/he has been presented with (especially when those facts are flashing up so rapidly!). If anyone doubts this, just try watching the video with the music off - it's an entirely different experience.
Sorry to moan, after all the work you've put into this.
Damn your 6x my age.
@Paul Haynes, just change the video playback speed or use the pause button.
Me: I am overwhelmed by how much u wrote lmfao
OK, I'll write it more briefly - not everyone is 12, with the attention span of a goldfish.
lol liar
Here in Switzerland store shelves have been pretty much emptied, just because 2 (I think) people got infected. The panic is unnecessary and people panicking only makes it harder for researchers to stop it
Same in Austria
@Pajeet Patel eh wtf man
@@incend9591
He is a troll
Ignore him.
He is not even a Indian.
Just search the meaning of 'pajeet' on google
Try Harder maybe we should stop wasting our time replying to one who’s actually uneducated
“It’s difficult to win an argument with an intelligent man...but it’s impossible to win an argument with an idiot”...he’s the idiot
Pajeet Patel Stop
0:39 The song's beat went with the dots!!
It's almost as if Cary intentionally used a song that's 60 bpm
username username HMMMMMM
Lol
I highly commend you on a very good video, as it reasons with excellent judgement the coronavirus - not being complacent or panicking and blowing it out of proportion as I have seen far too many people do. Thank you for an informative video with helpful graphs!
th-cam.com/video/OJofIQq3q2M/w-d-xo.html
Your videos are fantastic for informing people of what we know. Kudos for the effort there! :) It helped me understand a lot about it. Unfortunately, the problem is not the statistics, it's how the statistics are achieved.
I think there is also the issue between reported cases and cases that are not reported due to whatever reason (politics, medical facilities, denial, etc). South Korea has such a high report rate because they have been very active in finding and reporting cases, whereas in some other countries they are simply not doing the same amount of work to find people with the virus (Japan and America for example). So with South Korea actually taking a strong and transparent stand to the virus, they 'look' bad but will probably have it under control MUCH faster. Whereas other countries that aren't look 'under control' but will probably have a much worse time of it.
The music really sounds like it came from plague inc
th-cam.com/video/OJofIQq3q2M/w-d-xo.html
this randomly showed up on my recommendations and I just realized it was during biology class and the teacher was actually talking about it
Pajeet Patel don’t wish for suffering and death okay, kid? Those are BAD manners lol
Donald many internet users are like that too lol
@Pajeet Patel Not Greenland though
*mad **plague.inc** player noises*
google is lisening to YOU
@@sunmutsis5102 That's good so I can command it.
Thank you so much for showing the recoveries, that really shows how we are making the situation better
Not specially. Possibly by hard line measures (with help of some data tampering) Chinese gov managed to contain the situation or at least look so. Just the spread of disease everywhere outside remain exponential, with doubling every 6 days and no mechanism to stop it any time soon.
How so? If anything the death rate was just updated from 2% to 3.4% its getting worse with more data not better.
Every country, even Greenland: *Gets infected*
Poland: Cant touch this
there are some cases nearby to me, but it's still unconfirmed
It's actually kind of strange, considering that black death in XIII century also stopped at Polish borders. Nonetheless, we may have cases already but they're still unconfirmed. Hard to imagine virus avoiding Poland when so many Poles came back from skiing in Italy.
@@maczetamaczeta189 I think it's very likely that the virus is in my city, there are 5 cases and those are people who came from a trip from Thailand, what else could it have been
@@chuli5335 A regular flu maybe. It's typical to bring it back from trips to far away countries. Thailand has like 40 cases so odds still are against covid. One way or another, test doesn't take long so we will know for sure shortly.
I think it's because Poland is one of the only European countries that enforces its borders
ABACABA
PLEASE MAKE MORE VIDS, ESPECIALLY KEPP UPDATING THIS ONE AS YOU ALREADY HAVE. it nice to see all.the numbers and comparisons in one easy to read/view place. Keep improving and updating!
Loved the video. And it's incredibly satisfying that the graph matches the music tempo! :D
I'm gonna say this:
If I get infected by the coronavirus, I hope I die early because I ain't gonna suffer a virus, survive it, and then go to school.
th-cam.com/video/OJofIQq3q2M/w-d-xo.html
Artificial Idiot I see nothing to indicate that you are an ARTIFICIAL idiot.
Have you ever had the flu? If yes then the coronavirus is like it but waaay less severe, a little longer lasting in most cases, but the symptoms don’t seem too scary.
@@Vearru Whilst you may be right. This truly is scary to some people, if you get infected and give COVID-19 to someone else, they may die. To complicate things further, perfectly healthy people are dying, which may be due to undiagnosed diseases, in any case, someone you love might die from the virus. This is why COVID-19 is being taken very seriously.
The first case of coronavirus in New Zealand happened today.
*Sweats nervously*
Really? Be safe out there new Zealand peoples
Pajeet Patel
Why?
Actually it happened a while ago, also i live right below auckland so thats bad
Pajeet Patel why?
@Pajeet Patel th-cam.com/video/I4JS60-Rc-c/w-d-xo.html
"Happy music playing"
So, is it all good news?
"Music stops"
*NO.*
I appreciate your updating this. Moreover, I applaud the willingness to recognize inadvertent errors and also improvements that could be made. Please keep up the great videos!
I would love to see these videos continue! Especially the updated graphing. Great work! One critcism... I can't read that fast so kept pausing to read text in entirety. Ty!
Everyone: But its gonna get better righ-
Cary: *no*
keep updating please and dont forget to insert the dates under the days so we can have reference.
LOL i read "edit from future Cary" in your voice
anyways great informative video
@Pajeet Patel why do you want that to happen? That's evil
@@raprista4440 He's just attention seeking, I know that we all want to slap him but animal cruelty is illegal.
I love how it says "get well soon" in Chinese at 6:54
Great work - found it very informative and love the data visualizations, guess there's a lot to learn in how to best represent the data without introducing misleading focus. Please keep posting.
Ignore a troll named *Pajeet Patel*
Yes he is here on the comment
It looks like a zombie spreading... somethong comment
Yes he shall go to insane asylum or jail
look at his video tho its insanely funny i cant even breathe (heres the link if you cant find it : th-cam.com/video/uDzyv4YOfrI/w-d-xo.html)
Fiqri F sorry autocorrect insane Isilam I can't spell it
Mim Gaming asylum*
When considering the S curve we also shouldn't forget the Spanish Flu's 3 slowdowns, since there's always a possibility the coronavirus could do the same, especially with cases rising like they are in Italy and Iran.
4:39 Now you can tell where Hubei is.
I would love to see this updated regularly; like every 3 days.
Best content I've seen on youtube in a long time. Looks like you put a lot of work into your videos. I extremely appreciate this as you make it easy for people like me to view this type of data.
Maybe a couple suggestions
* On the "from day 1" comparison graphs (or a final summary chart), use a logarithmic scale, so the outbreaks can be compared a bit better over time (and not simply dwarfed away). Even project a 5% to 30% world population infection rate into the future (over 1 or 2 years) - which would compare it with the 1918 influenza outbreak. I think this would show best and worse case scenarios we can imagine (until a vaccine reduces/stops its progression in 1 to 2 years and likely brings it below 5%).
* Add lines for (1) number of cases requiring medical treatment. For some, it'd be nearly 100% of known cases (at the point in time), but for COVID-19, it would be more like 5% to 15% or 20% of total number of known cases. And maybe even making the distinction between some medical treatment -around 15%- or (2) requiring hospitalization and aggressive support, which seems to be about 5%. As the virus continues to spread, the overhead on health care infrastructure will become more relevant. And the lack of support could mean an increase in the mortality rate.
* Another data point would be the number/percentage of health care workers that have fallen sick. Again, focusing on the stress to the health care systems.
For your first point, it is a nice idea, but ultimately creates more misinformation than not. Trained doctors and scientists with decades of experience are barely able to project epidemic spread past a few months, and they still get it wrong. Let alone a projection of 1-2 years. It's simply impossible.
Your second point is very important. Some diseases may spread rapidly, but ultimately tax the system little to none at all (ex. the cold). Others may not spread too much, but completely overburden the healthcare system (ex. AIDS). Unfortunately, it's extremely hard to gauge societal impact for a novel virus within months of discovery.
Your third point is also important, but beyond the scope of this one virus. Healthcare workers get sick. A lot. But it is hard to attribute it to any one reason. Over half of Chinese healthcare workers are smokers, for example. Doctors in the US have extremely high alcoholism rates. Korean healthcare workers have ~70 hour workweeks. It is a huge issue in the medical field, and constantly debated among its professionals, but there is no solution.
6:40 Thank you for correcting this minor change, even though my original comment only has 90-ish likes.
Update: Imagine arguing about Hong Kong's political status on a coronavirus video. Yikes.
Pajeet Patel abut it needs to be accurate buddy...wrong information doesn’t do any good
Pajeet Patel Then *don’t* care
@Pajeet Patel Hong Kong is not fuxking China
@Pajeet Patel hong kong is not china its a part of it that was given to china by the british
Pajeet Patel it is like saying taiwan as china ok? It's complicated but Hong Kong people hate to be said as Chinese.
The thumbnail: *STONKS*
When you're a virus and people believe vaccines are poisonous.
I love how every data point comes in right with the beat
Great series of videos I recommend if possible redo it every 15-20d, I used it to explain to friends that said corona virus was being overblown. Fastest spread + highest death rate since Spanish flu, until this changes your video is #1 in explaining this - great job!
Astronauts on the ISS be like Jim from the Office looking through blinds.
"so it is good news?"
*"NO"*
Me: *Spits out tea*
Me : *scrsms*
Me scared to death
it's great that people generally recover from it
Yeah, but we don't know how long people remain infectious and whether it stays with you for life. There's people who asymptomatically carry transmissible ebola and have to live in isolation for the rest of their lives to prevent continuous outbreaks.
@@AtlasReburdened Where is your source on that, I can't find anything remotely close to what you're claiming about ebola.
You can recover from it but you can get infected again, just like SARS. Corona vírus is more of a threat than what it looks. Plus we do not really know what methods is China using. For all I know they could be killing people with the virus and not report it for example.
Quantum Tlisen you can get infected multiple times by any virus, just like SARS, flu, swine flu, corona virus, etc. I don’t get that point as it happens with every virus. To claim that China may be killing people is a bold claim. We do know how China is testing them, they are doing cat scans of the chest to detect the corona virus, they gathered 6 days of testing before releasing numbers and that is why we had a 14,000 spike of cases in one day.
Quantum Tlisen www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-13/china-coronavirus-cases-jump-after-counting-method-revision? here is my source cause I know you will ask
I always wait for your comparison graph like the one you put here in the end!
Let us know, I love how clear is that graphic!
Simple yet beautiful piano music
Good luck on finding reasonable stats on italy, we saw that star-filled boot country
“That doesn’t mean coronavirus has finished spreading though”
No, it has only started
cary youre growing a beard
Noooo you weren’t supposed to notice that! Ok I’ll shave
4:58
Cary: Every continent except australia has been hit
Also cary: shows a bunch of cases in australia
This was really interesting. It was really cool! Thanks for this, I always like knowing about this and knowing random garbage!
I’m from Italy
Bye
@Zichen Luo At the moment I'm still alive. Zombies haven't eaten my brain yet.
@Zichen Luo Well that aged like milk. Meet you in Tainan, Guangdong instead? Maybe we can start SARS again and you CAN go to heaven?
I love these videos even tho it's showing a depressing truth.
“Every continent but Australia has been hit”
Antartica: am I a joke to you?!
that’s probably what he meant since australia was hit
we were hit right when it fucking started back in late January
th-cam.com/video/OJofIQq3q2M/w-d-xo.html
Thanks for your hard work in visualization and breaking it down in ways that put it in context.
I really appreciate the detail and qualifications even as text at the end.
Let me know how to contribute to your work. Patreon etc.
Keep up the good work.
"If you would like to see more of these, consider contributing. Details in the video description."
Something interesting that I read was in the initial outbreak, the area in which this started has a population of nearly 12 million people, yet there was only 3 hospitals involved and a little over 100 ICU beds. The death toll in this area was about 10x higher than the rest of China and heavily skewed the death rate because of how many people got sick so quickly and overwhelmed the hospitals. Going forward, the government has made changes and the population has been educated, which has drastically reduced the death rate. But that initial batch of people before measures were taken threw everything off. The rate keeps dropping.
That one time now North Korea's isolation pays off 😂
vincentanno1997 lmao
Today in Mexico was confirmed the first case in the capital "CDMX"
Nope
[Insert username here] yes actually, Mexico has its first case
Not sure if its a joke but the united states doesnt want Corona beer beacuse they think it has coronavirus
Jesus Rodarte I think it was false information from cnn obtaining it from a bad source. But it is somewhat true since the corona beer company has been losing money ever since the coronavirus outbreak which just means sum people in US are stupid enough to think that they correlate.
I am Mexican 🙄
4:21 how many ants are in the kitchen
These vids are also very educational for when you are learning / working with data and visualisation tools ... Thanks :)
The music at the start is perfectly timed with the graph
*Kid who bought Plague Inc Real Life DLC: Ayo rich kid check.*
th-cam.com/video/OJofIQq3q2M/w-d-xo.html
Regarding your assumption that it takes 7 days for death to come: so it takes a few days for a sick person to become registered as sick with coronavirus. Mid february I did some analysis of available data (mostly from china), in particular how fast is the number of deaths rising compared to how fast is number of cases rising. And it appears that the closest match between deaths and new cases was at 0 days shift - most people added as sick with coronavirus were either already dead or died within a day.
Or people are dying while other people are contracting it??? I dont get what youre talking about
The ratio at which new cases are registered is not constant, it changes over time. For instance it is +10% one day, +15 % the next day, +20% the next day, etc. Similarly, the ratio at which new deaths are registered changes over time. It naturally follows that the delay can be established by comparing these ratios - 20% new registered cases should correspond to 20% new additional deaths some time later, assuming the lethality does not change significantly.
Even to my own surprise, the best match between evolutions of these two ratio series was at 0 days delay at the time when I did the analysis. That means people were registered as diseased with coronavirus approximately the same day they died. Which makes sense when considering that when people became registered, they likely received much better care than they had up to that time, greatly increasing their survival chances.
4:00 It looks like a growing zombie horde
If you played plague inc, You litterally accurate
6:02 is the most reassuring thing I've seen in a while.
Love the epidemic-comparison graph. Fabulous visualizations. Good choice on the music change. Great job!
“Every continent except australia has been hit”
*Looks at stars in Australia*
its a country not a continent
Welp, back to Plague Inc.
hope you make a new chart soon. its growing realy fast in the EU now
I am so amazed at the quality of this video. This is how statistics should be done, with proper analysis and explanations for data changes. Accounting for errors, and making prudent assumptions. Rather than giving just a simple graph. Really good job.
Thanks for the update and including responses as well. Very cool. I'm sure lots of other people would like to see another update in a week or two again. Awesome job!
Everyone that thought 2020 was going to be a great year:
Coronavirus:👊🤜
Almost WWIII, Austria on fire, and a swarm of locusts 3x the size of New York. The entire year has been 👊🤜 to those who said it would be a great year.
Abram Carroll
Thanks for educating me
Love the videos! Question: Are some areas experiencing higher (or lower) recovery rates? I'm wondering if we can consider geographical variables that improve chances of recovery
Another amazing well presented video.
+pajeet patel what? are you going to infect them?
@@maaaaaap anfect*
Aha! Just found this update. Thanks so much for the work you put into this. (And as a musician, I LOVE the theme music/animation at the end! 😍)
The fact that everything is in sync with the music makes the video 5x better
in case anyone doesn't know, the chinese words at 6:54 mean "Get well soon!"
it could also mean "hurry up and get up" lol
@@pixel0048 kuai dian hao qi lai
yeah basically haha
@Pajeet Patel something is wrong with you
@Pajeet Patel did Brazil bully you online my fecal friend? Learn to forgive, the toilet witch does not like grudge holders
@Pajeet PatelIdiot
You are bullshitting in each & every yt video
You are trolling India
now over 500k people are infected , 24k are dead and nearly all countries are infected with 3 coutries with over 80k cases. There should be an update video
3 weeks later:
Now 2.3 million people are infected , 158k dead and 210 regions are now infected . There are 6 countries with over 100k cases now and one country with 700k
Middle Europeans: *_*chuckles*_*_ I'm in danger_
th-cam.com/video/OJofIQq3q2M/w-d-xo.html
Thanks for doing this. Many people might complain about details but don't do anything themselves. Keep up the good work.
The sinks at my school are always either broken, turn on for too short of time before having to be pushed again, too hot in temperature you'll burn yourself, or too cold to kill off anything. The temperature is the worst because no way could you wash your hands in it for 20 seconds. That leads most people to never wash their hands at all! Disgusting!
1:10
im actually chill with this
Coronavirus reaching my country
no one cares
Can I know your other alts?
@@hamizannaruto my alts are all empty, there isnt really a point
@@vedacia2438 lol
@@hamizannaruto my main's called sabbiscious i actually post on there
Coronavirus: becomes a pandemic
WHO: *I'm gonna pretend I didn't see that*
@Pajeet Patel india will fall tho
Part 3?
must have taken a LOONNG time animating all the stars and graphs and calculating them all
Great work Huang. It's also good to put a face to the genius!... I almost thought it was some major corporation with millions of dollars in resources that created this presentation... Your work is awesome!
Comments: Justattion to death is 28 days. That's why your death rate jumps all the way to 55% then down to 3% after it goes exponential. So, you should be looking 28 days back, not 7. You can see the Feb 13 bump in diagnosis followed by a Feb 22 bump in deaths. That gives you the leading edge at 9 days, but deaths continue at a high rate through March 3rd (today) even though diagnosis level out on Feb 19th. So, the further back toward 28 days the better but you really need to do a statistical blend of two weeks of diagnosis 9 days out to a statistical blend of the last week of diagnosis.
The jump on 2/13 was caused by China going door to door looking for the sick that were not coming forward. This was caused by The Trump Admin pressuring China and accusing China of hiding cases. As with many of the Trump Admin accusations they make, Trump did this to distract from what his admin was doing. We know now that Trump was and continues hiding US cases.
Thought both videos were great!
2:17 absolute horror moment
Your video feels like some sort of action movie. I wish we got a happy ending next time.
Pajeet Patel bruh, just chill and tell me who hurt you there
@@ender4344 Let us report his comment, I guess.
It's always easy to critique someone's work when they push it out there. Your work is awesome. It's highly informative. Keep it up!
Thanks so much, Cary. You're a dynamo at this; IMPRESSIVE. I prefer to NOT die of fear, or Dark Shadows!
Hey Carey, the text cards are a bit too fast for me (no native speaker). I had to rewind and stop numerous times to catch up. I ended up watching at 0.75 speed.
@Pajeet Patel Great comment, thanks for sharing.
I care
@Pajeet Patel This is precisely what the comment section is for. If you have nothing to say, then don't say anything.
@Pajeet Patel Stop invading the comments or I will call in military
Pajeet Patel you are wishing pain upon countries in other replies!
You are a freak!
*Coronavirus reaches Cambodia*
*OH NO*
No one:
Viruses: I am speed
@Pajeet Patel go to hell
Pajeet Patel yes
meme hi Haha yes
Mate, this is brilliant, hope you’ll keep producing and ignore the whingers.
People are dumb and cruel. You did a great job the first time and a great job the second time. You are statistically reassuring and giving confidence to people and that is what all governments should be doing right now. So, I say good job and thank you for posting this! I have been sharing it a lot!