(EViews 10) Auto regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and ECM Model Estimation

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 8 พ.ย. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 81

  • @Sarah17_
    @Sarah17_ 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    since my data mostly not significant and need to re-run many times, i had a mental breakdown, worried how to run my data for the past few days before i found your video. thank you sir. may God bless you!

  • @Laitnhoney
    @Laitnhoney 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank a Million Sir. This video has helped clear all confusions am having with ARDL model.

  • @MAHADIHASAN-tp6sp
    @MAHADIHASAN-tp6sp 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    thank you sir, this is by far the most informative video regarding ardl model ive found on youtube.

    • @aec7787
      @aec7787  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thank you Best of Luck

  • @HasanAlBanna-n4l
    @HasanAlBanna-n4l ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you so much sir. Very clear explanation.

  • @HuzMusFinanceData
    @HuzMusFinanceData 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Very informative and helpful video...
    Thank you Sir... ❤

    • @aec7787
      @aec7787  3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Most welcome

  • @drashtichoudhart1129
    @drashtichoudhart1129 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    thank you, this vedio really healped a lot

  • @HuyBui-zq2xh
    @HuyBui-zq2xh ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you, sir for a very careful explanation. I have a question: at 21:43, for the level equation, why do we use "Case 3: Unrestricted Intercept, no trend"? Is it default to use Case 3?

  • @entrepreneuriatrecherchesetcon
    @entrepreneuriatrecherchesetcon 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Nice presentation

  • @wondimumekonnen1769
    @wondimumekonnen1769 ปีที่แล้ว

    great

  • @saumyamishra3176
    @saumyamishra3176 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank sir for this tutorial. I have one query while finding the lag length criteria do we have to right all the variables in the endogenous variable box or just the dependent variable of our model..?

  • @berhanugebre732
    @berhanugebre732 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    thank you, it is a useful video for me. if you can post a related video.

  • @dhakaramkadel3671
    @dhakaramkadel3671 ปีที่แล้ว

    The short-run data is not described. In which table is it? And what is the short-run effect of the independent to dependent variable?

  • @hendelebiary1163
    @hendelebiary1163 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you so much sir for the constructive and helpful video. I just have one question, why in the conditional (unrestricted) ECM for bound testing and in the restricted ECM for the short run the E-views removes the last lag for each variable compared to the lag structure specified by the ARDL model? Thanks in advance for your help.

  • @ashveenaashveena570
    @ashveenaashveena570 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    in ARDL model, after checking unit root test, do I have to use the differenced data or level one?

  • @harryshenry6258
    @harryshenry6258 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you so much for the explainations and interpretations i would give a five star this video
    But my question is on the ECM regression table on the coefficient column
    What if you get the error correction term of -7.782080 and multiplied by 100?

    • @aec7787
      @aec7787  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Hi Harrys, sorry to reply late . First, check your data and run ECM again. The coefficient of ECT is negative and statistically significant which is good but you have a high negative coefficient please check your data and the software steps.

  • @ramsharma8843
    @ramsharma8843 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great video great mentor
    Please could anyone share references for steps of estimating ARDL model🙏

    • @aec7787
      @aec7787  2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Hello Ram,See related videos on my channel step by step

  • @zoyashah7826
    @zoyashah7826 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Sir please clarify I have presented my research paper in a virtual conference..can I publish the same paper in a journal??

    • @aec7787
      @aec7787  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Hi Zoya...If the conference publishes your paper you can't republish it in another journal.
      Good Luck

  • @MaZZaNARMY
    @MaZZaNARMY 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Sir, in my eviews at the coefficients diagnostics part, i don't have the option to do Long run form and bounds Test, how do i get this option in my eviews?

    • @zoyashah7826
      @zoyashah7826 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Which version of eviews u r using??

    • @MaZZaNARMY
      @MaZZaNARMY 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@zoyashah7826 eviews 10 , also my estimation setting when doing the ARDL shows PMG/ARDL instead of just ARDL like in this video

    • @zoyashah7826
      @zoyashah7826 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      What is PMG??

    • @zoyashah7826
      @zoyashah7826 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Do you have cointegration and long run form option instead of long run and bound form??

    • @MaZZaNARMY
      @MaZZaNARMY 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@zoyashah7826 no i dont have that option at all

  • @AyeshaSaqib-t8c
    @AyeshaSaqib-t8c ปีที่แล้ว

    If the value of ecm is not negative but statiscally significant and smaller than 1 what does that mean?

    • @majeedhussain914
      @majeedhussain914 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

      it means that there is no adjustment towards the long run.

  • @zoyashah7826
    @zoyashah7826 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Sir please tell me that for estimating long run coefficients we see the levels equation..but for estimating short run coefficients and to put it in a table for research paper,which equation to consider??

    • @aec7787
      @aec7787  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      which version of E Views you use?version 10 you can find it directly from the outcome ECT the adjustment towards the long run .This is depend on the EViews version you use.

    • @zoyashah7826
      @zoyashah7826 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Sir I am using Eviews version 10..but the problem is I have the option long run and bound test and not cointegration and long run option..

    • @zoyashah7826
      @zoyashah7826 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      And sir I have the option of estimating ECT but the problem here is of interpreting the results of short run as the results of all the variables with lag 3 is shown there.So how do we interpret that??

    • @NoorulHijab
      @NoorulHijab 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@zoyashah7826 dear I am using Eviews 9 .. after bound test when you go to coefficient diagnostic test.. different options will appear in which one will be cointegration and long run form

    • @zoyashah7826
      @zoyashah7826 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@NoorulHijab but I am not getting the option called cointegration and long run form..Instead of that I have the option as bounds test and long run form

  • @drakulax52
    @drakulax52 ปีที่แล้ว

    If data has a negative value I can to do log, what to do? variables are in percentage

    • @majeedhussain914
      @majeedhussain914 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

      you can't convert data to the log.

  • @omorfaruq5140
    @omorfaruq5140 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Dear Sir, I want to estimate envirnmental kuznet curve, but when try to estimate ARDL then it show singular matrix, I add gdp per capita and square of gdp, how I can i solve the ARDL? please

    • @guiltypleasure8379
      @guiltypleasure8379 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      hey, sorry for intruding. but have you found the solution for this problem? i face the similar problem and idk what should i do. thanks in advance.

  • @johnabdulaijinapor1586
    @johnabdulaijinapor1586 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    How can one download the data for this video

  • @usmansaleem1253
    @usmansaleem1253 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Sir I have serial correlation in my ARDL results please guide

    • @zoyashah7826
      @zoyashah7826 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      You can drop that variable

    • @zoyashah7826
      @zoyashah7826 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@aec7787 thank u sir..I am from India.one thing I would like to mention that sometimes increasing the size of the sample doesn't remove the correlation problem as in my case..so I had to drop one of the variable .

    • @aec7787
      @aec7787  3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@zoyashah7826 Read another comment I mentioned how to remove the Autocorrelation problem from the model. Take the first difference for all variables and rerun the model again the serial correlation will remove. Do not forget to share and subscribes to my channel for more videos. Good luck

    • @zoyashah7826
      @zoyashah7826 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@aec7787 sir please guide me how to present short run coefficients on a single table under the ARDL model as the lag value is 3.

  • @zoyashah7826
    @zoyashah7826 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Sir in eviews 10 how to find cointegration??

    • @aec7787
      @aec7787  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Zoa...sorry I did not get you, what do you mean that you can not find cointegration in EViews 10.If I understand your question you can run the variables at levels and run cointegration. or if you get the outcome of ECM and you did not find cointegration,, subscribe to mt channel and see more videos on cointegration.

    • @zoyashah7826
      @zoyashah7826 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@aec7787 sir I mean to say that in eviews version 10 there is no such option as"cointegration" to find the short run dynamics.To find the long run,there is an option of bound and long run in eviews 10 but not cointegration

  • @usmansaleem1253
    @usmansaleem1253 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Sir please do same in Urdu version for Asian students

    • @aec7787
      @aec7787  3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Thank you Usman for watching the video. Sorry, I do not speak Urdu.

    • @hafizm.sohail2012
      @hafizm.sohail2012 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Watch Muhammad Saeed Meo videos (Urdu version)

    • @usmansaleem1253
      @usmansaleem1253 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@hafizm.sohail2012 link please

    • @aec7787
      @aec7787  3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Hi Usman, If you still have the problem of serial or Autocorrelation convert all the variables into the first difference then you will solve the problem. Do not forget to pass this video to your colleagues and friends and postgraduate students and even your professors and researchers for benefit of my channel and do not forget to share, subscribes, and comments for more videos. Best of luck

    • @usmansaleem1253
      @usmansaleem1253 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@aec7787 thanks sir

  • @wulan4607
    @wulan4607 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hey sir I'm having a hard time when I try apply ARDL models .I did stability test but for QUSUM its shows the models is stable (the blue line didn't cross the red line ) but the QUSUM SQUARE, the blue line cross the red line lil bit . What do u think I should do or u can suggest ? 🥲