Crash! Crash! Recession! Inflation! It’s getting depressing. I have about $100k in emergency fund and I have been seeing good news about the stock market and would like to gain from that since I can’t let my savings be corroded by inflation. What stocks should I into as a newbie to safely grow my money.
I recommend reallocating from real estate into stocks. Even though a recession can be challenging, it often presents valuable buying opportunities if approached cautiously. Additionally, it can lead to market volatility, which offers attractive short-term trading possibilities.
You're absolutely right! By diversifying my portfolio across various markets with the help of an investment coach, I've managed to generate over $830k in net profit from high dividend yield stocks, ETFs, and bonds.
This is precisely why I like having a portfolio coach guide my day-to-day market decisions: with their extensive knowledge of going long and short at the same time, using risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying it off as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, their skillset makes it nearly impossible for them to underperform. I've been utilizing a portfolio coach for more than two years, and I've made over $800,000.
Rebecca Nassar Dunne is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..
I foresee a recession lasting 2-3 years, and if inflation continues to surge, the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates soon. Inflation is causing various issues worldwide, such as food shortages, scarcities of diesel and heating fuel, and significant spikes in housing prices, leading to a potential financial market crash. This global downturn could have long-lasting repercussions. Given the current inflation rate of approximately 9%, my main worry is how to optimize my savings and retirement fund, which has remained stagnant at around $300,000, yielding almost no gains for quite some time.
Numerous opportunities exist to achieve substantial profits at present, but executing high-volume and nearly flawless trades requires the expertise of real-time professionals with an ISDA Agreement. This agreement allows investors to participate in sophisticated trades, exclusive to seasoned individuals, and unavailable to amateurs. Attempting to be a high-stakes trader without an ISDA is akin to trying to win the Indy 500 riding a llama.
I'm sure the idea of an invstment-Adviser might sound controversial to a few, but a new study by Motley-fool found out that demand for Financial-Advisers sky-rocketed by over 42% since the pandemic and based on firsthand encounter I can say for certain their skillsets are topnotch. I've accrued north of 580k within 16-months from an initially stagnant Portf0lio worth 85k.
Inflation is over 10% here in the UK, but as we know it's definitely way more than the Government would like to admit. My plan is to earn more passive income and ride this out, can your Investment-adviser assist?
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Annette Christine Conte ” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
I like to keep a small "in case the market crashes" fund to try and take advantage of the low prices. When the market goes south, I use that money spread out over the following months buying my targeted stocks on low days. on top of my usual DCA, They keep dropping and I keep buying. I'm still in on Renewable Energy, EV, Tech, Health.coins too gotta be greedy when others are fearful. At this point I'm grateful for my FA. Already with a 7 figure portfolio but I have no doubt investing more.
At present, the most prudent consideration for everyone should be diversifying their income sources, ones not reliant on government support, particularly given the ongoing global economic challenges. This remains an opportune moment to explore investments in assets like gold, silver, digital currencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP, thanks to Flora Legziel for her guidance in these fields her proficiency is outstanding
It's unexpected to come across her name here. She understands every beginner’s intention and fix you to a trading course that matches your capacity, she knows her stuff! Her advice has been invaluable to my trading journey. Definitely worth giving a shot!
It is really refreshing to see a comment about Flora. I have worked with her also for months now, reached out after reading more about her on the internet. she simplifies matters, whether it's a market surge or drop; her approach consistently keeps you ahead of the trend, She's a guru i'll say
Investing has proven to be an incredibly beneficial decision. My cryptocurrency profits continue to play a substantial role in growing my overall wealth, reducing my reliance on my salary
Thanks to her insightful and forward-thinking market research, she is a trusted resource for traders trying to stay ahead in the hectic world of finance....
Unemployment is going up, NAHB just had its worst June housing numbers since June 2012, delinqiuncies are up substantialy, and the yield curve is basically as bad as 1929. Things are not good. The stock market is the last thing to break. Tryimg to look at the stock market to decide how things are looking will leave a ton of people holding bags.
Goverment/ Powell want unemployment that's what will cause interest rates to go down. Eliminates debts set some cash aside and look for opertunity. People that live beyond their means qnd those unfortunate to make enough to cover their needs will always be the ones to suffer. Be the change you want! Cut your expenses, get a second job side hustle if your needs are greater than your income. No one is going to do it for you. Don't feel sorry for yourself do something to improve your situation or suffer the consequences.
Nobody can predict these things so accurately. History shows that predicting short term moves in the market is guessing. Better results come from longer term predictions.
It will take at least six months of bread and soup lines for the FED to cut rates. Unfortunately, it is the only way to fight inflation in this day and age.
I’m starting to wonder if it even matters anymore. The market as in TECH which is holding it all up seems to be pricing in stimulus as far as the eye can see. The dollar will be the sacrificial lamb and everything priced in it will thus go up in price. Is that all that matters now? The constant debasement through deficits all over? Do earnings even matter much anymore? In terms of the Fed and other central banks, the ECB and here in Canada the BoC literally just gave the answer, they will sacrifice the currency for the debt markets. Period. This is their actual second mandate, unemployment (to a certain degree) and backstopping the debt market. In the history of fiat, this is what always happens. They’ve already done it for a decade with QE, the inflation just stayed within asset prices. Consumer staples inflation was there too, just not to the extend the cheques to homes during the cerveza sickness gave us, but it was there. Long story short, they will backstop markets and cut rates in record speed to support the debt markets and by virtue the equity markets at the expense of the currency and they will continue to drive inflation. They will abandon their alleged inflation mandate.
WE are in one we just arent in a straight in your face crisis at the moment . we been a recession for over a year i think what are you asking is a upcoming crisis / liquidity event
I disagree with doom and gloom for several reasons. 1- we are in a controlled financial world. 2- the goal is maintain the balance in the world. 3- I can be wrong.
@@Gorka73 we have powers at be in goverment that holds the strings he cant known exactly when because this wont happen naturally the crash will be forced just like it was forced in for years now. but..... what we do know and is not a prediction 10s of millions of Americans , as well as possibly people in canada, Europe and aus have not only delt with high inflation but have seen there net worth in homes drop 5, 10 15 percent since 2022 . we know there has been a few historic bank collapses in the last 18 months. We also know the m2 money supply contracted the deepest in 100 years in 2022. We know that in 2020 we had a crash in the stock market in 48hrs worse then 1929 and then fixed it all like all is good.
t's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment/question! Henrik suggested staying long the market because he thinks it will rip to 6100 level then in a falling IR environment get long bonds or TLT.
The issue for the US is the enourous amount of debt that both governments, institutions and individuals have assumed can be deferred indefinitely. As some as cracks appear the panick spreads and all sides start to call in their debts to protect their percieved risks. It is contagion that causes financial collapse, not the actual assets themselves.
Bad year for me, META down 40k, ALLP down 35k, Draft Kings down 6k, NIO down 15K, ABML down 8k, and my wife doesn’t know. I'm just hanging on to Jim Cramer's words about opportunities in volatile times so perhaps, I either wait for a recovery or pick profitable investments to substitute for my loss.
You know, back in 2008 I had ALL my ducks in a perfect row, and ready to take the next big step. I thought I would be OK. What I personally couldn't handle is how horrible OTHER people were during that time. And when important people died, I became the target when I was vulnerable and reaching out to others. I warn some people to be careful of wicked recession-angry people. Boy, do I regret that bad timing, as it would have been a great time to have bought, although WLA is ta bit tough anytime.
It's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment Michael and for taking the time to view our content! You nailed it when mentioning oil and the low oil price is the only saving us right now. I think its a reflection of a weakening economy and actions by the Biden gov to keep the oil price suppressed.
@@BloorStreetCapital if oil prices is the reason, when Trump approves onshore drilling, wouldn't inflation will go down for sure? I think this guy over reaching. I think the September cut is fine.
Henrik is David Hunter's copycat, he doesn't add any value on Twitter, because he has nothing to say, all his tweets are retweets, don't waste your time here
What leads markets is liquidity. What leads economy is financial assets and not the other way around because financial assets are much bigger than the economy. To have a 1929 depression style event you need mass debt destruction and no Central Bank in the world will allow that, not because they care about the economy but because they do not want a financial system implosion. If we have a recession Central Banks will restore back QE in full bore and financial assets will go higher but we could have and air pocket with strong market correction before trending up again.
This certainly has been true since the GFC. But one of the critical factors that allowed this policy was low inflation. What happens now if you restart QE and inflation shoots up? The damage from this to the real economy may finally outweigh any the benefit of higher asset prices impacting real economy. Hence, you have a limiting factor that makes new rounds of QE pretty uncertain.
@@dmitridemin4832 yes but: 1) financial assets appreciation comes before and a lot faster than main street inflation. 2) The 2% target inflation will be transformed into 3% target as acceptable. 3) In fact with all the easing the Fed has done/is doing injecting liquidity has already accepted that new 3% target rate of inflation. 4) Consumer is full of debt paying high interest on their cards and that restricts spending and that is disinflationary 5) Of course rent and services inflation are more structural now but they will find a way to show them like they are not so much. Finally: at the end you are correct but in the meantime the rich get richer (asset inflation) and the middle class/poor get with less consumption capacity. Debt is the mother of all problems and it is inflationary when you increases it over time or deflationary if you cut it back. Now the system is so leveraged that politicians/ Central Banks will not allow to change the course because Banks and financial system will implode. How this will end? I would dare to say that they will stay the course until they can. If main street inflation returns then they will find out something. Today i prefer to ride the stock wave than trying to know if main street inflation comes back but observing potential changes on inflation that can push markets to correct. We are living complicated and distorted times and for now having real assets is the best we can do to survive inflation. Watch what markets do, not what politicians say. Can all the thing end in tears? Yes but that day is not here yet.
@@dmitridemin4832 The Fed will tolerate higher inflation. Even 2% is arbitrary and above the Fed's mandate, but inflation helps with the debt. 4-5% will come to be acceptable.
It’s possible, but not desirable even for them. It helps with real debt but hurts with current debt interest payments and issuing new debt at higher rates - requires exponentially more debt to keep this going. It’s the end game and we might just see this, but I suspect they would rather prolong it than kill it quickly if they could
Digital silver in a digital age, litecoin is a digital precious metal, not a security. Litecoin is the oldest coin on the market after bitcoin, since its inception in 2011. Scarcity of litecoin is the key feature of its technology. Everyone tends to flock to digital silver and digital gold, litecoin and bitcoin, when things aren't going well. Litecoin is a decentralized digital commodity, just like bitcoin, but not even close so heavily concentrated in a few hands like bitcoin is. Both have Proof-of-Work consensus, and both have limited supply of coins. Only that litecoin is lighter, swifter, and hugely undervalued against bitcoin. Litecoin (LTC) being a digital commodity provides a decent inflation hedge as well because there will be mined only a limited number of 84 million litecoins in total.
It's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment and for taking the time to view our content! I am also a sceptic on btc but given the move and how long its been going on I am now a believer. Having said that, I still wont play it.
It's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment and for taking the time to view our content! Yes it is insane!!! We talk about trillions now like they were $20 bills.
@@BloorStreetCapital Insane is right. thank you also Jimmy. People need to remember that THE FEDERAL RESERVE is a private company... not a government one. 20 trillion missing and nobody allowed to AUDIT them. WTF do they serve us or do we serve them while they rob us and devalue our money. I hope people wake up and revolt. it may be the only solution. Also people should NOT trust BITCOIN.. as bitcoin is government money created by the NSA in 1996. MONERO is the real DIGITAL KING that offers what bitcoin doesnt .. PRIVACY like cash but no inflation. We have the solution for global money but people need to stop being brainwashed by BTC and its trash influencers.. like Sailor.. Jeff Booth.. Greg Foss...Max Keiser who use to be a CIA asset and still might be...
Listen to him. He is right. Prepare especially spiritually. Be able to let go of the things in this world for the name of Jesus. If you lack faith or wisdom, ask God for it and He will show you.
He talks to fast, with his accent, it's hard to listen, but Never mind, I managed to sit still and do it. But could we "drill baby drill" and pay down our debt?
t's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment and for taking the time to view our content! Yes in a fast growing economy with higher taxes and lower spending for sure but it will never happen because it would be political suicide.
Jimmy Connor has already mentioned higher taxes and lower government spending. But there is a third way to decrease debt. Both economic growth and inflation increase tax revenue. If your salary goes up by x%, your income tax will also go up by x%. And VAT revenue also increases with inflation. If a government manages to keep interest rates on debt below economic growth + inflation, the debt "melts away". A combination of the three might do the trick. Mind you, a recession + deflation would decrease tax revenues and make it harder to pay back the debts...
@@janentomenkafka Well, I'm not a fan of inflation or higher taxes! What about selling our asset - oil - to other countries? Plus economic growth, that often comes about because of not-so-high taxes. Incentive for wealth and business to stay in America.
@@MissBabalu102 Do you think I am a fan of inflation ? I am merely stating that inflation helps to reduce the government debt. Just like taxes and cutting expenses do. Biden has been selling a lot of oil from the reserves at high prices and is now replenishing the oil reserves at lower price. Apart from that the US is a net exporter of oil. But that money goes to the oil companies ;-)
What he doesn’t seem to understand is that the US Govt can’t afford a recession. It’s an existential threat until there is a significant amount of deleveraging
What bothers me is that Trump will get the blame. Not fair, although He seemed to like super low interest rates, I think that was much of the inflation in housing, at least.
@@DJRS2178 currently, tax receipts (revenue) stands at $4.4T and spending is $7.7T Of this $7.7T in spending, Social Security and Medicare are $3.2T, defense is $900B and interest is $1T, leaving us with $5.1T that cannot be cut Expenditures During the Dotcom bubble of 2000, expenditures increased by 13% During 2008, expenditures increased by 9% This leaves us an average increase of 11% and would take our total expenditures up to $8.6T Revenue (tax receipts) During the Dotcom bubble, revenue fell by 24% During 2008, revenue fell by 32% This leaves us an average decrease of 28% and would take our total revenue down to $3.2T Deficit Currently, we are running a $1.7T pro-cyclical deficit, (during “good times”) Using the numbers outlined above, our deficit would blow out to $5.4T. Each and every year. That is a 215% increase in the deficit So yea, I do.
We need a crash go reset asset prices and wash out bad companies its like a prary fire. The stock market always goes up into a recession. People invest more into job cuts for increased profits anticipated... without thinking maybe the companies are cutting because they see decreasing pricing power. Look at factory orders...
something tells me there going to hold this off until 2029... i get it everyone has been saying not yet a few more years but at this point why not 2029? 100th anniversary of the great depression and i dont know do your research it seems to me like things will be worse then a few years then over the next coming months so unfortunately it could be a real possibility that after the covid crash of march 2020 we have a 9 year wait
Nope. With the MAGS Euphoria has not been reached. MAGS are in the thrill stage while the majority of small caps are in a depression. That's quite the divergence. Therefore, there is no guarantee that the MAGS even go euphoric. If they do then the blow off top likely happens in July. if not then the top is likely in this week. Expect a correction into the fall, a bounce into Feb 2025 followed by a 50% crash over the course of a year and then massive QE.
These guys talk themselves up and get rich. 🤑 It's all nonsense, of course. But they need to keep you on the investment wagon. Dumb money falls for these stories every time.
People’s low faith in humanity bores me. These doomers are only analyzing fed policies, not demographics or advances in technology that will increase productivity (such as robots, etc) and his thesis is that “humans won’t spend when the government gives them cheap money.” Tell me you’ve never met the average human without telling me you’ve never met the average human.
It’s called cycles, dude lmao. We haven’t had them in ages because everything is propped up by unaffordable debt. The majority of this debt isn’t going to be repaid. However, more debt/credit = more liquidity = more speculation whether good capital investment like innovation or piss poor like buybacks. The economy isn’t in good shape though, I just don’t think markets care or if anything they thrive on it because more crises that need central planning backstopping = more liquidity. In other words, think of the broad market as not just value added but more just a debasement of purchasing power … inflation.
I am an old boomer. I lived through several recessions and market "crashes". When I bought my first house, the mortgage interest rate was 13%. Going through an economic crisis meant tightening the belt for a few years, and then life went back to normal. And yes, people tend to postpone buying a new car or installing a new kitchen when they are worried about the economy. There may be a lot of Americans who would pay back some credit card debt if you gave them cheap money. You know, just in case things get worse before they get better.
Each time you add a facet, a step in prediction it starts to compound so sure everything he said collectively. On the flip side he never mentioned a ton of other stuff like how CBDC roll out will affect those sitting cash positions
We are in a recession right now, the data is fugged and delayed a month. Other countries already know like Canada... 1 rate drop has happened and the real estate market is still going down. Why? Because rate drops happen when thr lagging data says the economy is getting too weak.
@@DJRS2178 what recession? Look at the markets SPY, QQQ, Bitcoin other stuff… what recession? I don’t know I don’t feel anything similar as it was during 2008 GFR at that time everything was completely down there was fear and uncertainty about financial situation… now there is no where even close to recession… and it’s not going to happen anytime soon because US treasuries are spending $ in order Biden can look like a successful president, and even if Trump will prevail he will definitely will prevent US from going in to recession by printing even more $$$… that’s why I say there will be no more recession.. this dude is Dane he is thinking like Scandinavians…US politics don’t care they will print $ they will spend $
Lol a recession in what? The real economy or the fantasy land that is markets? The economy is in a recession whether the US or abroad. Do you see the majority of people’s standard of living increasing in affordability or decreasing? Majority speaking, it’s decreasing. The only people seeing an increase or a maintained levels are asset holders. If anything, the forces centrally planning/rigging the economy and thus the economy has failed most of humanity. As for markets, I don’t think they genuinely give a fuck about the underlying economy, this is just a slow grind higher as more liquidity is put into the system through deficit spending, slowing of reverse repo, etc. The markets are maintained to keep the wealth effect going because it’s the only thing keeping things from completely collapsing.
fear? 2019 : bullmarketbear will you ever need to wear a mask in walmart? 2020 : i have to wear a mask to enter walmart for the 1st time since the doors opened in 1962 2009-2020 The u.s has the longest expansion starting and ending the decade without recession 2020 : First pandemic of its kinda to hit america in 101 years 2020: covid recession following no recession for a record 10 years we have the shortest recession in history in 2020 lasting under 60 days 2022 : war russia 2022: m2 money supply contracts rapidly first time in 100 years 2023: historic bank collapses 2023: war israel 2022: oldest president in history takes office often falling in public 2024: the 45th president is the 1st in 250 years to be convicted of crimes misc: we have a proven bubble of its size for the 1st time all at once in stocks,bonds, real estate in march 2020 we were suppose to have a depression if money was not printed and central bankers did not act like they did the markets were rocked more severe in a short period then in the 1929 crash the 1st 48 hrs of the covid crash only to magically get fixed and here we are 4 years later AFTER all that i said you can, KINDLY TAKE A HIKE NOW ... like seriously
They have been talking about a recession for years now and the stocks market still keeps going up and up, AI technology changed the game and saved this economy.
AI technology will change the world, that's for sure. But not today or next month. Besides, when AI applications are implemented on a big scale, it will indeed increase productivity. It will also cause unemployment and social turmoil. At least during the transition period. Just my two cent ;-)
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Crash! Crash! Recession! Inflation! It’s getting depressing. I have about $100k in emergency fund and I have been seeing good news about the stock market and would like to gain from that since I can’t let my savings be corroded by inflation. What stocks should I into as a newbie to safely grow my money.
I recommend reallocating from real estate into stocks. Even though a recession can be challenging, it often presents valuable buying opportunities if approached cautiously. Additionally, it can lead to market volatility, which offers attractive short-term trading possibilities.
You're absolutely right! By diversifying my portfolio across various markets with the help of an investment coach, I've managed to generate over $830k in net profit from high dividend yield stocks, ETFs, and bonds.
This is precisely why I like having a portfolio coach guide my day-to-day market decisions: with their extensive knowledge of going long and short at the same time, using risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying it off as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, their skillset makes it nearly impossible for them to underperform. I've been utilizing a portfolio coach for more than two years, and I've made over $800,000.
my partner’s been considering going the same route, could you share more info please on the advisor that guides you.
Rebecca Nassar Dunne is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..
I foresee a recession lasting 2-3 years, and if inflation continues to surge, the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates soon. Inflation is causing various issues worldwide, such as food shortages, scarcities of diesel and heating fuel, and significant spikes in housing prices, leading to a potential financial market crash. This global downturn could have long-lasting repercussions. Given the current inflation rate of approximately 9%, my main worry is how to optimize my savings and retirement fund, which has remained stagnant at around $300,000, yielding almost no gains for quite some time.
Numerous opportunities exist to achieve substantial profits at present, but executing high-volume and nearly flawless trades requires the expertise of real-time professionals with an ISDA Agreement. This agreement allows investors to participate in sophisticated trades, exclusive to seasoned individuals, and unavailable to amateurs. Attempting to be a high-stakes trader without an ISDA is akin to trying to win the Indy 500 riding a llama.
I'm sure the idea of an invstment-Adviser might sound controversial to a few, but a new study by Motley-fool found out that demand for Financial-Advisers sky-rocketed by over 42% since the pandemic and based on firsthand encounter I can say for certain their skillsets are topnotch. I've accrued north of 580k within 16-months from an initially stagnant Portf0lio worth 85k.
Inflation is over 10% here in the UK, but as we know it's definitely way more than the Government would like to admit. My plan is to earn more passive income and ride this out, can your Investment-adviser assist?
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Annette Christine Conte ” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
I like to keep a small "in case the market crashes" fund to try and take advantage of the low prices. When the market goes south, I use that money spread out over the following months buying my targeted stocks on low days. on top of my usual DCA, They keep dropping and I keep buying. I'm still in on Renewable Energy, EV, Tech, Health.coins too gotta be greedy when others are fearful. At this point I'm grateful for my FA. Already with a 7 figure portfolio but I have no doubt investing more.
Same. I teetle on the premise that the market can and will crash at some point, as well as the notion that many individuals miss out on gains.
Kirby please can i get your consultants info? or should i drop mine?
@@calerothenis she's Dianne Sarah Olson by name. please do your own research for one who is suitable with your goals.
@@KirbyIneson i just googled the lady you mentioned and she has a really impressive bio, i'm looking to make consultations myself.
Henrik is the best. He will be proven right again. Superior analysis.
again?
I'm new. Please let me know when was the last time he right? Thanks.
I'm new. Please let me know when was the last time he right? Thanks.
@@emmcee31 Watch some of the videos that he's in. Right on since 2023
At present, the most prudent consideration for everyone should be diversifying their income sources, ones not reliant on government support, particularly given the ongoing global economic challenges. This remains an opportune moment to explore investments in assets like gold, silver, digital currencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP, thanks to Flora Legziel for her guidance in these fields her proficiency is outstanding
It's unexpected to come across her name here. She understands every beginner’s intention and fix you to a trading course that matches your capacity, she knows her stuff! Her advice has been invaluable to my trading journey. Definitely worth giving a shot!
It is really refreshing to see a comment about Flora. I have worked with her also for months now, reached out after reading more about her on the internet. she simplifies matters, whether it's a market surge or drop; her approach consistently keeps you ahead of the trend, She's a guru i'll say
Investing has proven to be an incredibly beneficial decision. My cryptocurrency profits continue to play a substantial role in growing my overall wealth, reducing my reliance on my salary
Thanks for sharing, I just did a web check with her full names mentioned
Thanks to her insightful and forward-thinking market research, she is a trusted resource for traders trying to stay ahead in the hectic world of finance....
Henrik Zeberg is a great guy. Thanks a lot for bringing him on this show.
Unemployment is going up, NAHB just had its worst June housing numbers since June 2012, delinqiuncies are up substantialy, and the yield curve is basically as bad as 1929. Things are not good.
The stock market is the last thing to break. Tryimg to look at the stock market to decide how things are looking will leave a ton of people holding bags.
Goverment/ Powell want unemployment that's what will cause interest rates to go down.
Eliminates debts set some cash aside and look for opertunity. People that live beyond their means qnd those unfortunate to make enough to cover their needs will always be the ones to suffer. Be the change you want! Cut your expenses, get a second job side hustle if your needs are greater than your income. No one is going to do it for you. Don't feel sorry for yourself do something to improve your situation or suffer the consequences.
Nobody can predict these things so accurately.
History shows that predicting short term moves in the market is guessing. Better results come from longer term predictions.
It will take at least six months of bread and soup lines for the FED to cut rates. Unfortunately, it is the only way to fight inflation in this day and age.
I disagree. The Fed wants to cut rates to keep the government's debt servicing costs down. They'll start cutting rates at the first sign of trouble.
This century still 76 years to go. Do not despair !
I’m starting to wonder if it even matters anymore. The market as in TECH which is holding it all up seems to be pricing in stimulus as far as the eye can see. The dollar will be the sacrificial lamb and everything priced in it will thus go up in price. Is that all that matters now? The constant debasement through deficits all over? Do earnings even matter much anymore?
In terms of the Fed and other central banks, the ECB and here in Canada the BoC literally just gave the answer, they will sacrifice the currency for the debt markets. Period. This is their actual second mandate, unemployment (to a certain degree) and backstopping the debt market. In the history of fiat, this is what always happens. They’ve already done it for a decade with QE, the inflation just stayed within asset prices. Consumer staples inflation was there too, just not to the extend the cheques to homes during the cerveza sickness gave us, but it was there. Long story short, they will backstop markets and cut rates in record speed to support the debt markets and by virtue the equity markets at the expense of the currency and they will continue to drive inflation. They will abandon their alleged inflation mandate.
Whats your opinion on the DOW Jones Industrials?
How do we prepare for the upcoming recession? Thanks.
WE are in one we just arent in a straight in your face crisis at the moment . we been a recession for over a year i think what are you asking is a upcoming crisis / liquidity event
Market up ,dollar being devalued. Equals gains less significant. Always been this way.
I disagree with doom and gloom for several reasons.
1- we are in a controlled financial world.
2- the goal is maintain the balance in the world.
3- I can be wrong.
I like the third caveat haha
@@farnio that was balancing act. Atleast I am correct 1/3 😜
He's been spot on for the last 2 years
Oct 26, 2023. Something happend. Else we would be in recession already. This guy was lucky. If s&p hits 6000 inflation will actually move up.
no he hasnt. he has been predicting 1929 crash end of 2022 as well. listen to his old videos
@@Gorka73 we have powers at be in goverment that holds the strings he cant known exactly when because this wont happen naturally the crash will be forced just like it was forced in for years now. but..... what we do know and is not a prediction 10s of millions of Americans , as well as possibly people in canada, Europe and aus have not only delt with high inflation but have seen there net worth in homes drop 5, 10 15 percent since 2022 . we know there has been a few historic bank collapses in the last 18 months. We also know the m2 money supply contracted the deepest in 100 years in 2022. We know that in 2020 we had a crash in the stock market in 48hrs worse then 1929 and then fixed it all like all is good.
A lot of statements, but he didn't talk about why his models are telling him that.
well until money supply shrinks drastically neither that or the price of gold are not going to ne polar opposites
Did he say (at 25:45) the market will bottom in 2016 ? Is this an old video?
Bottom TO 2016.
t's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment/question! He said will bottom to 2016 level. It was recorded 24 hours ago.
Thank you for contents ❤
Opinion on buying TLT now???
BUY BUY BUY
t's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment/question! Henrik suggested staying long the market because he thinks it will rip to 6100 level then in a falling IR environment get long bonds or TLT.
The issue for the US is the enourous amount of debt that both governments, institutions and individuals have assumed can be deferred indefinitely. As some as cracks appear the panick spreads and all sides start to call in their debts to protect their percieved risks. It is contagion that causes financial collapse, not the actual assets themselves.
One big move will be there in market..
Jobs that dont pay a living wage shouldnt count as jobs when yhey do employment numbers. Or it should be a subset thats seperated from the rest.
How do we make money in the dump?
Go short. If you have the guts you can win big.
My main concern is how to survive all of these financial and political crisis, especially in light of the US political power struggle.
Bad year for me, META down 40k, ALLP down 35k, Draft Kings down 6k, NIO down 15K, ABML down 8k, and my wife doesn’t know. I'm just hanging on to Jim Cramer's words about opportunities in volatile times so perhaps, I either wait for a recovery or pick profitable investments to substitute for my loss.
@@Peterl4290 do the opposite of what Jim Cramer tells you.
You know, back in 2008 I had ALL my ducks in a perfect row, and ready to take the next big step. I thought I would be OK. What I personally couldn't handle is how horrible OTHER people were during that time. And when important people died, I became the target when I was vulnerable and reaching out to others. I warn some people to be careful of wicked recession-angry people.
Boy, do I regret that bad timing, as it would have been a great time to have bought, although WLA is ta bit tough anytime.
just get a job
Answer: avoid Cramer, he's nuts!@Peterl4290
Inflation dropped mainly do to oil dropping its already rebounded back so we will see next Inflation hotter.
It's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment Michael and for taking the time to view our content! You nailed it when mentioning oil and the low oil price is the only saving us right now. I think its a reflection of a weakening economy and actions by the Biden gov to keep the oil price suppressed.
@@BloorStreetCapital if oil prices is the reason, when Trump approves onshore drilling, wouldn't inflation will go down for sure? I think this guy over reaching. I think the September cut is fine.
The stock market goes up because of inflows from the bond market, no?
Is he talking about the US FED?
Yes
JC is no AT
Henrik is David Hunter's copycat, he doesn't add any value on Twitter, because he has nothing to say, all his tweets are retweets, don't waste your time here
Sorry but I've been hearing this forever now
What leads markets is liquidity.
What leads economy is financial assets and not the other way around because financial assets are much bigger than the economy.
To have a 1929 depression style event you need mass debt destruction and no Central Bank in the world will allow that, not because they care about the economy but because they do not want a financial system implosion.
If we have a recession Central Banks will restore back QE in full bore and financial assets will go higher but we could have and air pocket with strong market correction before trending up again.
Yeah they will restore QE when the S@P has crashed 50%.
This certainly has been true since the GFC. But one of the critical factors that allowed this policy was low inflation. What happens now if you restart QE and inflation shoots up? The damage from this to the real economy may finally outweigh any the benefit of higher asset prices impacting real economy. Hence, you have a limiting factor that makes new rounds of QE pretty uncertain.
@@dmitridemin4832 yes but: 1) financial assets appreciation comes before and a lot faster than main street inflation. 2) The 2% target inflation will be transformed into 3% target as acceptable. 3) In fact with all the easing the Fed has done/is doing injecting liquidity has already accepted that new 3% target rate of inflation. 4) Consumer is full of debt paying high interest on their cards and that restricts spending and that is disinflationary 5) Of course rent and services inflation are more structural now but they will find a way to show them like they are not so much.
Finally: at the end you are correct but in the meantime the rich get richer (asset inflation) and the middle class/poor get with less consumption capacity. Debt is the mother of all problems and it is inflationary when you increases it over time or deflationary if you cut it back.
Now the system is so leveraged that politicians/ Central Banks will not allow to change the course because Banks and financial system will implode.
How this will end?
I would dare to say that they will stay the course until they can.
If main street inflation returns then they will find out something.
Today i prefer to ride the stock wave than trying to know if main street inflation comes back but observing potential changes on inflation that can push markets to correct. We are living complicated and distorted times and for now having real assets is the best we can do to survive inflation.
Watch what markets do, not what politicians say.
Can all the thing end in tears? Yes but that day is not here yet.
@@dmitridemin4832 The Fed will tolerate higher inflation. Even 2% is arbitrary and above the Fed's mandate, but inflation helps with the debt. 4-5% will come to be acceptable.
It’s possible, but not desirable even for them. It helps with real debt but hurts with current debt interest payments and issuing new debt at higher rates - requires exponentially more debt to keep this going. It’s the end game and we might just see this, but I suspect they would rather prolong it than kill it quickly if they could
If bitcoin corrects at $115K I think it’ll be a mid cycle correction. With another push to end of 2025 with close to $300K. I could be very wrong.
First negative print is coming
Digital silver in a digital age, litecoin is a digital precious metal, not a security. Litecoin is the oldest coin on the market after bitcoin, since its inception in 2011. Scarcity of litecoin is the key feature of its technology. Everyone tends to flock to digital silver and digital gold, litecoin and bitcoin, when things aren't going well. Litecoin is a decentralized digital commodity, just like bitcoin, but not even close so heavily concentrated in a few hands like bitcoin is. Both have Proof-of-Work consensus, and both have limited supply of coins. Only that litecoin is lighter, swifter, and hugely undervalued against bitcoin. Litecoin (LTC) being a digital commodity provides a decent inflation hedge as well because there will be mined only a limited number of 84 million litecoins in total.
Any time I hear bitcoin going to 100k+ or millions just makes me realize these sure thing bets are not sure things.
It's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment and for taking the time to view our content! I am also a sceptic on btc but given the move and how long its been going on I am now a believer. Having said that, I still wont play it.
Dollar is making higher highs and higher lows its in an uptrend
WOW.. every 100 days the debt grows 1 trillion dollars.. wtf lol
It's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment and for taking the time to view our content! Yes it is insane!!! We talk about trillions now like they were $20 bills.
@@BloorStreetCapital Insane is right. thank you also Jimmy. People need to remember that THE FEDERAL RESERVE is a private company... not a government one. 20 trillion missing and nobody allowed to AUDIT them. WTF do they serve us or do we serve them while they rob us and devalue our money. I hope people wake up and revolt. it may be the only solution. Also people should NOT trust BITCOIN.. as bitcoin is government money created by the NSA in 1996. MONERO is the real DIGITAL KING that offers what bitcoin doesnt .. PRIVACY like cash but no inflation. We have the solution for global money but people need to stop being brainwashed by BTC and its trash influencers.. like Sailor.. Jeff Booth.. Greg Foss...Max Keiser who use to be a CIA asset and still might be...
Listen to him. He is right. Prepare especially spiritually. Be able to let go of the things in this world for the name of Jesus. If you lack faith or wisdom, ask God for it and He will show you.
Amen. and remember that we aren't to live for this world anyway
Jesus is LORD. ❤
Amen
Bull forever stock never drop
great insight from henrik
I feel we are already in a Silent Depression. It is masked by social benefits and food banks.
Synopsis: the market has cycles. We are still ramping up to the high and then it will decline again. 😁
It's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment and great point! Everything runs in cycles.
I dont trust fast rattling financial 'experts'
Relax for 4 months, the crash will happen on October 18th.
could you be more specific? what time on October 18th?
No, it will be on the 19th.
@@denniscampbell7238 ok thanks. I wasn't sure if it was the 17th, 18th or 19th
David Hunter is the Meltup GOAT. Henrik doesn’t have the conviction. Shaky hands.
All of you David Hunter boasters are about to be steam rolled.
@@karlkessler6017I disagree. No one had his calls when Mike Wilson was calling for 3000-3500 S&P.
Guys who shorted and wonder what happened 😂
He talks to fast, with his accent, it's hard to listen, but Never mind, I managed to sit still and do it. But could we "drill baby drill" and pay down our debt?
t's Jimmy Connor, thanks for the comment and for taking the time to view our content! Yes in a fast growing economy with higher taxes and lower spending for sure but it will never happen because it would be political suicide.
@@BloorStreetCapital We can't sell our oil to other countries? That's a lot of money to pay down the debt.
Jimmy Connor has already mentioned higher taxes and lower government spending. But there is a third way to decrease debt. Both economic growth and inflation increase tax revenue. If your salary goes up by x%, your income tax will also go up by x%. And VAT revenue also increases with inflation. If a government manages to keep interest rates on debt below economic growth + inflation, the debt "melts away". A combination of the three might do the trick.
Mind you, a recession + deflation would decrease tax revenues and make it harder to pay back the debts...
@@janentomenkafka Well, I'm not a fan of inflation or higher taxes! What about selling our asset - oil - to other countries? Plus economic growth, that often comes about because of not-so-high taxes. Incentive for wealth and business to stay in America.
@@MissBabalu102 Do you think I am a fan of inflation ? I am merely stating that inflation helps to reduce the government debt. Just like taxes and cutting expenses do. Biden has been selling a lot of oil from the reserves at high prices and is now replenishing the oil reserves at lower price. Apart from that the US is a net exporter of oil. But that money goes to the oil companies ;-)
Is Henrik another Harry Dent. The market is moving up on the AI frenzy and not when the FED will cut. Period.
AI is a bubble. Very little ROI on the 200 billion that is being spent.
Nice jooke😂😂😂
What he doesn’t seem to understand is that the US Govt can’t afford a recession. It’s an existential threat until there is a significant amount of deleveraging
Hahaha bit you understand
What bothers me is that Trump will get the blame. Not fair, although He seemed to like super low interest rates, I think that was much of the inflation in housing, at least.
@@DJRS2178 currently, tax receipts (revenue) stands at $4.4T and spending is $7.7T
Of this $7.7T in spending, Social Security and Medicare are $3.2T, defense is $900B and interest is $1T, leaving us with $5.1T that cannot be cut
Expenditures
During the Dotcom bubble of 2000, expenditures increased by 13%
During 2008, expenditures increased by 9%
This leaves us an average increase of 11% and would take our total expenditures up to $8.6T
Revenue (tax receipts)
During the Dotcom bubble, revenue fell by 24%
During 2008, revenue fell by 32%
This leaves us an average decrease of 28% and would take our total revenue down to $3.2T
Deficit
Currently, we are running a $1.7T pro-cyclical deficit, (during “good times”)
Using the numbers outlined above, our deficit would blow out to $5.4T.
Each and every year.
That is a 215% increase in the deficit
So yea, I do.
We need a crash go reset asset prices and wash out bad companies its like a prary fire. The stock market always goes up into a recession. People invest more into job cuts for increased profits anticipated... without thinking maybe the companies are cutting because they see decreasing pricing power.
Look at factory orders...
something tells me there going to hold this off until 2029... i get it everyone has been saying not yet a few more years but at this point why not 2029? 100th anniversary of the great depression and i dont know do your research it seems to me like things will be worse then a few years then over the next coming months so unfortunately it could be a real possibility that after the covid crash of march 2020 we have a 9 year wait
Worst DEPRESSION IN A 100 YEARS
Euphoria has been reached. Nvidia is the biggest company in the world now. How can you say it hasn’t. Move the crash timeline up to this summer.
Euphoria isn't here yet, it's an emotion not a number. Henrik said thr top could be this summer
Nope. With the MAGS Euphoria has not been reached. MAGS are in the thrill stage while the majority of small caps are in a depression. That's quite the divergence. Therefore, there is no guarantee that the MAGS even go euphoric. If they do then the blow off top likely happens in July. if not then the top is likely in this week. Expect a correction into the fall, a bounce into Feb 2025 followed by a 50% crash over the course of a year and then massive QE.
Stuart Varney had Dennis Gartmann saying this morning NVIDIA has a market cap of the CAC and DAX combinend .
These guys talk themselves up and get rich. 🤑 It's all nonsense, of course. But they need to keep you on the investment wagon. Dumb money falls for these stories every time.
People’s low faith in humanity bores me. These doomers are only analyzing fed policies, not demographics or advances in technology that will increase productivity (such as robots, etc) and his thesis is that “humans won’t spend when the government gives them cheap money.” Tell me you’ve never met the average human without telling me you’ve never met the average human.
It’s called cycles, dude lmao. We haven’t had them in ages because everything is propped up by unaffordable debt. The majority of this debt isn’t going to be repaid. However, more debt/credit = more liquidity = more speculation whether good capital investment like innovation or piss poor like buybacks.
The economy isn’t in good shape though, I just don’t think markets care or if anything they thrive on it because more crises that need central planning backstopping = more liquidity. In other words, think of the broad market as not just value added but more just a debasement of purchasing power … inflation.
I am an old boomer. I lived through several recessions and market "crashes". When I bought my first house, the mortgage interest rate was 13%. Going through an economic crisis meant tightening the belt for a few years, and then life went back to normal.
And yes, people tend to postpone buying a new car or installing a new kitchen when they are worried about the economy. There may be a lot of Americans who would pay back some credit card debt if you gave them cheap money. You know, just in case things get worse before they get better.
Food water shelter. Get it. Put it back. Seek Jesus
A last pump is still possible😉
Here come the crazies again. Hurry everybody in your bunker. Hope everyone got their clicks.
Cream taken by administration, future so bright am burnt
Also, recession has started. No chance in hell there is still that much upside left, in the markets.
Of course there is. Watch and learn.
The chance that this guy is totally wrong is probably close to statistical certainty.
He's been pretty accurate.
Each time you add a facet, a step in prediction it starts to compound so sure everything he said collectively. On the flip side he never mentioned a ton of other stuff like how CBDC roll out will affect those sitting cash positions
Again this dude about recession which is not going to happen… they just spread FUD inn order to get more clicks
We are in a recession right now, the data is fugged and delayed a month. Other countries already know like Canada... 1 rate drop has happened and the real estate market is still going down. Why? Because rate drops happen when thr lagging data says the economy is getting too weak.
@@DJRS2178 what recession? Look at the markets SPY, QQQ, Bitcoin other stuff… what recession? I don’t know I don’t feel anything similar as it was during 2008 GFR at that time everything was completely down there was fear and uncertainty about financial situation… now there is no where even close to recession… and it’s not going to happen anytime soon because US treasuries are spending $ in order Biden can look like a successful president, and even if Trump will prevail he will definitely will prevent US from going in to recession by printing even more $$$… that’s why I say there will be no more recession.. this dude is Dane he is thinking like Scandinavians…US politics don’t care they will print $ they will spend $
Lol a recession in what? The real economy or the fantasy land that is markets? The economy is in a recession whether the US or abroad. Do you see the majority of people’s standard of living increasing in affordability or decreasing? Majority speaking, it’s decreasing. The only people seeing an increase or a maintained levels are asset holders. If anything, the forces centrally planning/rigging the economy and thus the economy has failed most of humanity.
As for markets, I don’t think they genuinely give a fuck about the underlying economy, this is just a slow grind higher as more liquidity is put into the system through deficit spending, slowing of reverse repo, etc. The markets are maintained to keep the wealth effect going because it’s the only thing keeping things from completely collapsing.
It’s a recession now num nuts.
yeah he spreads fud to get subs, paid subcriptions, bears all have nvidia, they are not shorting, stop paying bears
This guy is a joke. Making money off fear SMH
fear?
2019 : bullmarketbear will you ever need to wear a mask in walmart?
2020 : i have to wear a mask to enter walmart for the 1st time since the doors opened in 1962
2009-2020 The u.s has the longest expansion starting and ending the decade without recession
2020 : First pandemic of its kinda to hit america in 101 years
2020: covid recession following no recession for a record 10 years we have the shortest recession in history in 2020 lasting under 60 days
2022 : war russia
2022: m2 money supply contracts rapidly first time in 100 years
2023: historic bank collapses
2023: war israel
2022: oldest president in history takes office often falling in public
2024: the 45th president is the 1st in 250 years to be convicted of crimes
misc: we have a proven bubble of its size for the 1st time all at once in stocks,bonds, real estate
in march 2020 we were suppose to have a depression if money was not printed and central bankers did not act like they did
the markets were rocked more severe in a short period then in the 1929 crash the 1st 48 hrs of the covid crash only to magically get fixed and here we are 4 years later
AFTER all that i said you can, KINDLY TAKE A HIKE NOW ... like seriously
They have been talking about a recession for years now and the stocks market still keeps going up and up, AI technology changed the game and saved this economy.
Lol saved what exactly? The consumer is dead brother. Get real
@@gustavis85 wah wah wahhhh spx to 8000
AI technology will change the world, that's for sure. But not today or next month.
Besides, when AI applications are implemented on a big scale, it will indeed increase productivity. It will also cause unemployment and social turmoil. At least during the transition period. Just my two cent ;-)
We'll get a correction of course.. but unless there's a black swan event, we're not going to have a recession that comes close to 2008-09
I bet on the black swan.
Henrik is a fraud . Copying everything from David Hunter ..😂😂