Class 21: Probability of Hypotheses (Bayes)

Lesson 21: Probability of Hypotheses (Bayes)
Hypotheses are only propositions, and all probabilility is that of propositions with respect to information assumed true. That's it, and noting more.
HOMEWORK: In the homework, assume in the same box you observed D = 10 good and 3 bad widgets. What is Pr(A|DX)?
All questions will be answered in the following Monday's lecture.
Written lecture:
www.wmbriggs.c...
wmbriggs.subst...
Jaynes's book (first part): bayes.wustl.ed...
Permanent class page: www.wmbriggs.c...
Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science