I come from a poker & software engineering background and started playing DFS a year ago, and started taking it serious and playing lots of volume a few months ago. During this process I often found myself questioning whether rake was actually beatable over the long-run due to how steep it is. Reasons that support how beatable DFS is: - I'll take the over that 90% of people that play don't at all understand that the entire game of DFS is just numbers and math, just like poker. But DFS also has the added benefit of being more accessible for recreational players (due to legalities, and the fact that a lot of people watch sports) than poker. - Literally 99% of DFS content is just people going over picks for the week, with maybe a tiny bit of discussion going over player's projected onwerships. This is successful because it's indicative of what the overall community wants to see and hear, and this fact alone should show you how much of an edge one can have over the field when the players that even CARE ENOUGH to do some type of research (so not even including all of the people that play that don't even do any type of research) just consume this type of content. - The field literally still underplays simple stacking in GPPs. On top of that, the people that do stack, 90+% of them don't actually understand "why" they're stacking WRs with their QB. They're stacking for correlation, and stacking with your QB normally gives you the most correlation over any other potential stack. But 98% of these people don't actually ask themselves the following question, "If it's an advantage for me to increase correlation in my lineups for GPPs, why am I not trying to get more secondary stacks in my lineups to further increase my correlation?". They don't ask themselves that question, because 98% of the people playing aren't constantly thinking about the game of DFS at this level of strategy / theory. Which means if you ARE thinking at this level of strategy / theory, then you can have an edge over 98% of the field. - I've gone into plenty of DFS communities whether it's forums, discords, slacks, etc, and hardly ever do I see high level discussion over game theory. 99% of the talk is just bullshit "what do you think about Claypool this week". And these are the people that go out of their way to find communities to discuss strategy, and yet they still continue to make mistake after mistake after literally playing for months / years. - On top of my other points, a large % of pros have major leaks in their game as well, from jamming 1 lineup into all of their contests failing to take contest size / pay structure into consideration, to also not constantly thinking about whether their strategy gives them the most EV or not. There was plenty of people that played poker with a positive ROI in 2005, and then had a negative ROI in 2010, because they failed to adapt and constantly improve. These same people exist in DFS as well. Your videos constantly hit these points, and it's such a breath of fresh air from all of the other content just going over the same shit week by week, and half of them being touts on top of it.
Tough Love here man, think he make a great therapist, straighten people's ass up right quick.. Legit fundamental straight talk here, people don't know what they don't know, I was one of them too untill Dr Bender sat me on his couch and ripped my ass
if you see a guy that puts up huge numbers every 3-5 games would you slide someone like that in every week expecting one of those weeks to hit big on a low % player and end up winning more than you lost in the other weeks?
I come from a poker & software engineering background and started playing DFS a year ago, and started taking it serious and playing lots of volume a few months ago.
During this process I often found myself questioning whether rake was actually beatable over the long-run due to how steep it is.
Reasons that support how beatable DFS is:
- I'll take the over that 90% of people that play don't at all understand that the entire game of DFS is just numbers and math, just like poker. But DFS also has the added benefit of being more accessible for recreational players (due to legalities, and the fact that a lot of people watch sports) than poker.
- Literally 99% of DFS content is just people going over picks for the week, with maybe a tiny bit of discussion going over player's projected onwerships. This is successful because it's indicative of what the overall community wants to see and hear, and this fact alone should show you how much of an edge one can have over the field when the players that even CARE ENOUGH to do some type of research (so not even including all of the people that play that don't even do any type of research) just consume this type of content.
- The field literally still underplays simple stacking in GPPs. On top of that, the people that do stack, 90+% of them don't actually understand "why" they're stacking WRs with their QB. They're stacking for correlation, and stacking with your QB normally gives you the most correlation over any other potential stack. But 98% of these people don't actually ask themselves the following question, "If it's an advantage for me to increase correlation in my lineups for GPPs, why am I not trying to get more secondary stacks in my lineups to further increase my correlation?". They don't ask themselves that question, because 98% of the people playing aren't constantly thinking about the game of DFS at this level of strategy / theory. Which means if you ARE thinking at this level of strategy / theory, then you can have an edge over 98% of the field.
- I've gone into plenty of DFS communities whether it's forums, discords, slacks, etc, and hardly ever do I see high level discussion over game theory. 99% of the talk is just bullshit "what do you think about Claypool this week".
And these are the people that go out of their way to find communities to discuss strategy, and yet they still continue to make mistake after mistake after literally playing for months / years.
- On top of my other points, a large % of pros have major leaks in their game as well, from jamming 1 lineup into all of their contests failing to take contest size / pay structure into consideration, to also not constantly thinking about whether their strategy gives them the most EV or not. There was plenty of people that played poker with a positive ROI in 2005, and then had a negative ROI in 2010, because they failed to adapt and constantly improve. These same people exist in DFS as well.
Your videos constantly hit these points, and it's such a breath of fresh air from all of the other content just going over the same shit week by week, and half of them being touts on top of it.
Agree with all of this 100%.
Legitimately the best fantasy sports advice (parts 1, 2, 3 and more) I've seen in the past 10 years.
This is great stuff, thanks!
i was looking for blender tutorials... blender 3d, thanks utube for wasting my time
Tough Love here man, think he make a great therapist, straighten people's ass up right quick.. Legit fundamental straight talk here, people don't know what they don't know, I was one of them too untill Dr Bender sat me on his couch and ripped my ass
He's like "Go take a math class!" 🤣😂😂
i've been listening to a few guys on youtube for a lil while no and still no luck
if you see a guy that puts up huge numbers every 3-5 games would you slide someone like that in every week expecting one of those weeks to hit big on a low % player and end up winning more than you lost in the other weeks?
Snotball = Success
is there any free stuff online to help build a winning daily fantast lineup?
Bill Burr of sports betting😅
blender your wild lol
Play whoever the fuck you want
😂😂😂🙏🏾
😂😂😂