This is so wholesome having your wife part of this 😁 She's a fast learner for sure, even with the hiccups involved ( I also had a double shiny before, insane odds 😳 ) Such an entertaining video guys 👏 Your energy reminds me of my wife & I every day lol
Wtf, 2 days ago I also got simultaneous shiny mareeps when going for the whole line. Also, the shiny odds are a bit diffent. Ill be on the generous side with starting assumptions (to make the chance as small as realistically possible): - 1 full sandwich worth of hunting - Spawn rate is conisdered roughly equal to 2 sets of on-screen pokemon per minute - There's an average of 12 pokemon per on-screen set. According to Serebii, shiny odds under the conditions in the video are 1/1024.38, which is probably not exact but a closer approximation so i'll use that. The number you found, 1/1048567, is the approximate odds of the very first 2 sandwich-boosted mareeps both being shiny. Using a binomial distribution, the probability of a single on-screen set of 12 pokemon containing two *or more* shinies is about 1/16003. Using the first 2 assumptions, one would encounter 60 sets of pokemon throughout the hunt. Using a binomial distribution again, the odds of **at least** one on-screen set of pokemon having **at least** two shinies over the course of the hunt is about 1/267.2 *In other words, under generous assumptions, there's about a 1/267.2 chance that you get two shinies on screen at the same time in a single sandwich (with an isolated hunt, encounter & sparkle power 3, no shiny charm, and no outbreak).* But hey, for your second sandwich ever, thats still very lucky. People distort how lucky they get when they flaunt the odds of an isolated occurence without accounting for how many trials there were. The best way to measure luck is to consider the likelihood of the *entire course of events* to turn out in a way that *at least* as lucky as what had happened, *for the very first time* the course of events occurs.
what a wild ride of a video!! Congrats to both of you for finding all the shinys. I know the struggle of that smoliv hunt, its so dang small and I'm sure the camera teachings was a headache for both of you too haha
The other day my gf and I tried to get a shiny snom for her first shiny but instead she got a shiny cetodle which is a beautiful shiny but not as beautiful as her
With the Mareep, i had that happen with Cacnea! Was trying since i was on a friends game, she messed something up and had to leave so i just kept Cacnea hunting, so i found one before she came back on! And then another one spawned in the background. I somehow didnt think of taking a screenshot sadly, but thats probably the luckiest ive been so far
dude, my psyduck shiny luck has been insane. i got one full-odds before i got the shiny charm, and i have gotten THREE while hunting other mons that weren't even water types 😭 i killed the last one i found out of rage lol
I found 3 shiny psyducks, 1 shiny murkrow, 1 shiny mankey. I wasnt even shiny hunting. I found 1 of the shiny psyducks in the first hour of playing, the second is i believe near Ionos gym. And the last one..was lucky. I was about to fly to a different area but i then checked around just in case. And what do i see.. a shiny psyduck. Mankey and murkrow just found them randomly but idk where. BTW. All of the shinies i found were full odds (No sandwiches, shiny charm or any of the techniques. ) Im insanely lucky but insanely unlucky at the same time.
This is so wholesome having your wife part of this 😁
She's a fast learner for sure, even with the hiccups involved ( I also had a double shiny before, insane odds 😳 )
Such an entertaining video guys 👏
Your energy reminds me of my wife & I every day lol
Thank you Shiny J! She had a lot of fun with this video and enjoyed seeing what the process is like, glad you enjoyed it! 😄
Wtf, 2 days ago I also got simultaneous shiny mareeps when going for the whole line.
Also, the shiny odds are a bit diffent. Ill be on the generous side with starting assumptions (to make the chance as small as realistically possible):
- 1 full sandwich worth of hunting
- Spawn rate is conisdered roughly equal to 2 sets of on-screen pokemon per minute
- There's an average of 12 pokemon per on-screen set.
According to Serebii, shiny odds under the conditions in the video are 1/1024.38, which is probably not exact but a closer approximation so i'll use that.
The number you found, 1/1048567, is the approximate odds of the very first 2 sandwich-boosted mareeps both being shiny.
Using a binomial distribution, the probability of a single on-screen set of 12 pokemon containing two *or more* shinies is about 1/16003.
Using the first 2 assumptions, one would encounter 60 sets of pokemon throughout the hunt.
Using a binomial distribution again, the odds of **at least** one on-screen set of pokemon having **at least** two shinies over the course of the hunt is about 1/267.2
*In other words, under generous assumptions, there's about a 1/267.2 chance that you get two shinies on screen at the same time in a single sandwich (with an isolated hunt, encounter & sparkle power 3, no shiny charm, and no outbreak).*
But hey, for your second sandwich ever, thats still very lucky.
People distort how lucky they get when they flaunt the odds of an isolated occurence without accounting for how many trials there were.
The best way to measure luck is to consider the likelihood of the *entire course of events* to turn out in a way that *at least* as lucky as what had happened, *for the very first time* the course of events occurs.
Goat goat goat goat goat
Thats so nice that you included your wife in the vid, she learnt how to shiny hunt well pretty quickly!
She definitely picked it up quick and had fun with it! 😊
Nice video Kanin!I sure know you and Jacque worked hard on this one!
We certainly did Vanilla, thanks dude!
The pain! Shiny charm ✨️ and all, the duck hates me! congrats on your shiny team. ✨️
Hopefully soon you can get your duck 😭
what a wild ride of a video!! Congrats to both of you for finding all the shinys. I know the struggle of that smoliv hunt, its so dang small and I'm sure the camera teachings was a headache for both of you too haha
Thanks Casey! The smoliv struggle was real lol so many circles but she did get used to it towards the end 😅
Wholesome amazing content :D
Can't wait for you two to hunt on stream together
Hopefully soon Pascal!
The other day my gf and I tried to get a shiny snom for her first shiny but instead she got a shiny cetodle which is a beautiful shiny but not as beautiful as her
Shiny cetoddle is sooo good! Congrats on the shiny!
You said this is going to be a good video and just looking at the start I think you’ve kept your word!
Edit: You definitely did
I'm glad you enjoyed the video! We had alot of fun with this one 😄
SHINY EEVEE Enzo would be proud
We need more videos like this
Hopefully I can get her back on again Remosync 😅
this was such wholesome content, I love it
Thanks Bry! 😁
With the Mareep, i had that happen with Cacnea! Was trying since i was on a friends game, she messed something up and had to leave so i just kept Cacnea hunting, so i found one before she came back on! And then another one spawned in the background. I somehow didnt think of taking a screenshot sadly, but thats probably the luckiest ive been so far
Holy smokes that's insane! Huge congrats Poison Ivy!
First one here! Nice video, Kanin! Couple shiny hunting is an amazing video idea!
Thanks Gingerhead trainer! We had so much fun making this video, glad you enjoyed it 😄
Amazing vid : D, keep it up
Thanks icyfox! Already started the next video 💪
dude, my psyduck shiny luck has been insane. i got one full-odds before i got the shiny charm, and i have gotten THREE while hunting other mons that weren't even water types 😭 i killed the last one i found out of rage lol
Holy smokes!!! That's some insane luck! Don't let my wife see this 😂
Congrats on the shinies!
Shiny Merrill happened to me when I was hunting the blue duck
It's THE CURSE OF THE MARILL!
I found 3 shiny psyducks, 1 shiny murkrow, 1 shiny mankey. I wasnt even shiny hunting. I found 1 of the shiny psyducks in the first hour of playing, the second is i believe near Ionos gym. And the last one..was lucky. I was about to fly to a different area but i then checked around just in case. And what do i see.. a shiny psyduck. Mankey and murkrow just found them randomly but idk where. BTW. All of the shinies i found were full odds (No sandwiches, shiny charm or any of the techniques. ) Im insanely lucky but insanely unlucky at the same time.
I have been waiting for the mareep footage lol 😂
IT WAS THE MOST INSANE THING IVE EVER SEEN!! 🤣
@@KaninGames same
The double shiny mareep happend to me but with gyrados
No way!! That's so sick!
1048576 months is a long w
wow so ive had a 1/1 million happen to me twice
That's insane!
@@KaninGames yea its insane it happened with iron thorns and iron bundle
Someone plz lmk if you get the clan of the ducks reference tysm
This video was awesome
I appreciate you Hawkbird!
Great video😁
Thank you Ceri!
The goat.
🙏
Please tell me this is not how your dynamic is irl and you’re playing this up for the internet
You got a sub with your wife’s this is the shiny luck you get if you sub lol
Lol well, Welcome to the Kanon community Venom! 😄
🐸
🦆
How dare you disrespect Mario
(Ehem uh that was a joke no hate)
Ay no disrespect to Mario at all!!