Global Yield Curves Are Un-Inverting, Here's What You Need to Know

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 26 ก.ย. 2024
  • It's not just USTs. Rates are falling all over the world faster in shorter maturities than long. That means a global wave of un-inversions and bull steepening right as more and more central banks plan to accelerate their own rate cutting. All of it for the same reason. Globally synchronized.
    **CHECK OUT EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY's FALL SALE**
    www.eurodollar...
    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
    NBB Is a recession imminent? The signal of the yield curve
    www.nbb.be/doc...
    Bloomberg Riksbank Cuts Rate Again and Opens Door to Half-Point Move
    www.bloomberg....

ความคิดเห็น • 254

  • @rioriggs3568
    @rioriggs3568 วันที่ผ่านมา +43

    Concerning the yield curve
    August 2007 : Un-yielded curve at +0.25%
    October 2007 : Un-yielded curve at +0.50% Markets topped
    December 2007 : Un-yielded curve at +1.00% Start of the recession
    September 2024 :Un-yielded curve at +0.25%
    Markets could top in the next weeks... Bad unemployment data could be the game changer

    • @desmomotodesmomoto2033
      @desmomotodesmomoto2033 22 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Super good observation. What is a chance that government lie about job data to save the day?

    • @teaser6089
      @teaser6089 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      There already is bad unemployment data!
      The amount of new jobs are extremely low and a lot of people are getting fired, especially in the tech sector. And guess what the tech jobs(and other jobs with higher than average wages) disproportionally effect the economy, because people with these jobs simply have enough income to have demands for products beside the minimal products to survive.

    • @petermoyse
      @petermoyse 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +3

      Unemployment numbers are likely to be ok when they are released later today. Futures are already rallying, which suggests that employment data has been leaked to those who matter. I'm not saying the job mkt is ok. Not by any means. We all know, the numbers are highly manipulated.

    • @KryptAKOO
      @KryptAKOO 12 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      they not gonna let a market top happen until the election. they don't want any added negative news. the new administration can take the blame, whoever that will be.

    • @datruth4766
      @datruth4766 11 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      ​​@@petermoyse unemployment figures are always okay... till the revisions.
      Seems the market has recently been factoring in revisions; the jig is up!

  • @SaintMoretz
    @SaintMoretz 13 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +68

    Given the re-inverting yield curve and increased market volatility, I'm reevaluating my portfolios, and the outlook is concerning. what strategy should I use to reallocate funds within my $400K portfolio?

    • @SlowrideHome91
      @SlowrideHome91 13 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +6

      The inversion implies anticipated lower future growth, potentially resulting in decreased lending and investment. Hence, finding the appropriate asset allocation and collaborating with an advisor experienced in bear markets is imperative.

    • @ScarlyJo
      @ScarlyJo 13 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +5

      Accurate asset allocation is crucial, and some individuals use hedging strategies or allocate part of their portfolio to defensive assets for market downturns. Expert guidance is vital for achieving this. This approach has helped me stay financially secure for over five years, yielding nearly $1 million in returns on investments.

    • @PapiChulo-t1s
      @PapiChulo-t1s 13 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +4

      Pls how can I reach this expert, I need someone to help me manage my portfolio

    • @ScarlyJo
      @ScarlyJo 13 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Yeah, she is Jennifer Leigh Hickman , look her up. Anyone is free to contact her.

    • @ScarlyJo
      @ScarlyJo 13 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +3

      *Jennifer Leigh Hickman* is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..

  • @randyosborne3971
    @randyosborne3971 วันที่ผ่านมา +20

    Congress is for sale. On the take. BOTH PARTIES. And Congress mandates the Federal Reserve. What could go wrong?

    • @SmockedBebe
      @SmockedBebe วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Welcome to a train that left 50 years ago

    • @datruth4766
      @datruth4766 11 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      ​@@SmockedBebefull to the brim with gravy!

  • @richardracine9055
    @richardracine9055 วันที่ผ่านมา +18

    Thanks Jeff.

  • @ddprepper5227
    @ddprepper5227 วันที่ผ่านมา +11

    Excellent report 👍👍👍👍👍👍

  • @momo777777777777777
    @momo777777777777777 วันที่ผ่านมา +15

    Hey Jeff. Are you sure all of this weakness is Globally synchronized ? The U.S economy looks more robust than other countries . Perhaps the fed cut rates in order to give other Central banks more room to cut their rates without causing devaluing their currency to the dollar.

    • @toinengwyn3935
      @toinengwyn3935 วันที่ผ่านมา +11

      Powell expressed concerns over the job market when he signaled the start of rate cuts. If he wasn't worried, he would have cut by 25 bps rather than by 50 bps. U.S. unemployment bottomed last year and has been rising ever since.

    • @stevebarcia5945
      @stevebarcia5945 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      The rate of change in unemployment is a bad sign. US economy was robust all the way through mid 08

    • @5dc61
      @5dc61 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      Exactly, you think we are doing bad. Research Germany

    • @jayj504
      @jayj504 วันที่ผ่านมา

      The federal government of the United States is playing catch up yes we are the healthiest cow on the way to the chopping block

    • @teaser6089
      @teaser6089 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      The US economy looks rebust because the data is actively manipulated by the encumbent government.
      And the dollar is losing value compared to the Euro...
      2 years ago 1 euro was worth 0,97 dollar, now 1 euro is worth 1,11 dollar.

  • @togoni
    @togoni วันที่ผ่านมา +38

    Jeff will get recession once in his lifetime 😁😁😄🤦🏻‍♂️🤦🏻‍♂️

    • @keyisersoze
      @keyisersoze วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      Most people are in a financial recession already because they don't have enough to pay all the bills.

    • @tibsyy895
      @tibsyy895 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Broken clock. There will be a recession maybe in 9-12 months from now! When yield curve completely uninverts. But CBs gonna react very quickly. Forget market crash like the 2008 one. There will be printing like crazy and asset price inflation, debasement.

    • @cryptoholica72
      @cryptoholica72 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      May e they shouldn't wait in line to spend money on gadgets they don't need.

    • @toinengwyn3935
      @toinengwyn3935 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@tibsyy895 The yield curve had been fully inverted for several years until recently. Cheap credit does not mean easy credit. Guess what rates were when the brunt of the GFC hit the market and economy. Are you suggesting that this time is different and that we can print our way to prosperity?

    • @GF-hg7op
      @GF-hg7op 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@tibsyy895 you're sooo wrong it's not even funny anymore 🤣🤣

  • @Mrgood189
    @Mrgood189 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    Ueda looks like he eats people

  • @hobbeeforturitpublishingll3970
    @hobbeeforturitpublishingll3970 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +10

    Global recession

    • @John-wf5if
      @John-wf5if 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Markets are shooting up! No big recession can be tolerated.

    • @bolti1976
      @bolti1976 17 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@John-wf5if Making it worse. Far worse.

    • @arandmorgan
      @arandmorgan 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Exactly ​@@bolti1976

    • @EKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEK
      @EKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEK 7 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      It’s not a recession. This is bigger than the Great Depression.

    • @John-wf5if
      @John-wf5if 7 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@EKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEK Lol, no it's not. Lay off the doomer bias. All will be fine.

  • @Michael-qy1jz
    @Michael-qy1jz วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    Never believe the Official Narratives/LIES, on any subject!!!!

  • @markrossi6773
    @markrossi6773 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    The problem with all of the charts and predictions is that we cannot define what a recession even is. The idea that the government can determine how well ordinary people are faring financially is a mockery.

    • @arandmorgan
      @arandmorgan 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      True. Deconstructive and abstract, but true. The problem is the People involved in the markets have little association with those outside of it. They deal with numerical classification. Where an experience is harrowing and is a common experience amongst many people, they see a percentage alteration. The human brain, depending on the brain, finds it difficult to uphold all broad aspects of thought. This is why economists are mathematically very smart, but fail, often, to read the room.

    • @tachikaze222
      @tachikaze222 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      a recession is when your neighbor can't get a job. a depression is when you can't get a job.
      Google FRED PAYEMS

    • @markrossi6773
      @markrossi6773 8 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@arandmorgan well said!

  • @teaser6089
    @teaser6089 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +14

    This is yet another good reason why we need to focus on de-globalisation when we get out of this recession!
    Bring back factories in Europe and the US!!!

    • @teaser6089
      @teaser6089 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      Why is this a good plan some might ask?
      Although it is true that it leads to higher prices(in the short term) it also ends up increasing GDP in your own nation, instead of in another. And instead of service money as GDP, production money is the real valuable part of the output of a nation!
      But also from a climate and efficiency perspective it is crazy that we produce products now where we ship intermediates multiple times across the planet before raw goods get turned into a full product.
      Take bicycles for an example(I am Dutch). A lot of bicycles produced in my country first start as raw product outside of Europe, this gets shipped either to my nation first or to China direct. Then the intermediate is send to Europe, some work gets done on it, then that intermediate is send back to China to get assembled into a bike to then be send back to Europe to then be shipped across the world.
      And this is not the exception, it's the rule and often with more complex products it's even worse. With sometimes products making multiple trips back and forth before being finished.
      This leads to high CO2 costs and a lot of unececary logistical movements! It highly inflates the demand for logistics and all that back and forth shipping looks good for export numbers, but it is all fake inflated numbers

    • @kokomo9764
      @kokomo9764 19 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      What recession? The US is not in a recession, and there are zero indicators that say we are heading towards one.
      Do you have any idea what a recession even is?

    • @Denni55
      @Denni55 17 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@kokomo9764 I wonder what else is different in your imaginary world

    • @joekraska
      @joekraska 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@kokomo9764 Current employment trends are certainly looking to be flashing an early warning indicator. And rising unemployment definitely is one of those indicators. US consumer spending has been weakening lately, especially in durable goods: another early indicator. While GDP growth has technically been positive in 2024, for the data where we have it so far, it's been less than inflation, so has been weak and contracting in real dollar terms.

    • @airman122469
      @airman122469 13 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@kokomo9764Real GDP has been basically stagnant, and as others stated, employment data is looking bad. Amount of jobs being created is vastly lower than it was projected to be, and companies across all sectors have been going into hiring freezes. Recession is coming. When? Not totally sure. But it’s on its way.

  • @FranciszekPawal
    @FranciszekPawal 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +5

    The distress for banks is a farce, what we have experienced past 2 years is a result of a system that has worked incredibly well. Fed just had to tighten credit to cool economy.

    • @Muller_Andr
      @Muller_Andr 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Yeah, the fed always ‘bailing’ out banks easing said financial tensions after the domino effect from Signature and Silicon Valley bank. The rich get richer while the middle class clamors and struggles, the poor...well.

    • @AadhilaEesha
      @AadhilaEesha 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Yeah, the fed always ‘bailing’ out banks easing said financial tensions after the domino effect from Signature and Silicon Valley bank.

    • @FranciszekPawal
      @FranciszekPawal 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Yeah that sufficed, but what really helped the economy was rising immigration that helped even out the mismatch between open job & ppl looking for work.

    • @AnkurYo
      @AnkurYo 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      I agree. Rising productivity is manna for central banks, allowing faster growth without inflation cos each hour of work yields more goods and services at same cost.

    • @Muller_Andr
      @Muller_Andr 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      I’m indifferent. All I really do care about is what assets and securities will continue the AI rally? I have a 100k portfolio, and I have a friend who has grown theirs to over 30% with the recent rallies. He is up 6% this month alone!

  • @JeffreyBellagamba
    @JeffreyBellagamba วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Super Jeff, explained very well and understood.

  • @5dc61
    @5dc61 วันที่ผ่านมา +10

    $100 bucks says his office smells like feet

    • @Gdfsandoz
      @Gdfsandoz วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      $100 bucks if you dont have a beer gut

    • @5dc61
      @5dc61 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@Gdfsandozwell played sir. But I’ll actually be 6 years sober this January.

    • @jeremiah4267
      @jeremiah4267 19 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      ​@@5dc61 huge! congrats and keep that going.

  • @lorenzorocco82
    @lorenzorocco82 วันที่ผ่านมา +26

    *Financial planning is like navigation. If you know where you are and where you want to go, navigation isn't such a great problem. It's when you don't know the two points that it's difficult*

    • @ruadasflores7559
      @ruadasflores7559 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      Hello, I am very interested. As you know, there are tons of investments out there and without solid knowledge, I can't decide what is best. Can you explain further how you invest and earn?

    • @tulapradhan6882
      @tulapradhan6882 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      Same, I operate a wide- range of Investments with help from My Financial Adviser. My advice is to get a professional who will help you, plan and enhance your management skills. For the record, working with Ricky Wen, has been an amazing experience.

    • @josemanuelmacias7968
      @josemanuelmacias7968 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      Hello how do you make such monthly?? sometimes I feel so down🤦🏽of myself because of low finance but I still believe in God

    • @mikeyreacts5839
      @mikeyreacts5839 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      I'm favoured, $90K every week! I can now give back to the locals in my community and also support God's work and the church. God bless America,, all thanks to Mr Ricky Wen

    • @lucassilvaoliveira6064
      @lucassilvaoliveira6064 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      Good day all👍🏻from Australia 🇦🇺 I have read a lot of posts that people are very happy with the financial guidance he is giving them! What way can I get to him exactly ?

  • @Carlos-im3hn
    @Carlos-im3hn วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    They are coordinated to "protect" their fiat currencies...so they will all go down together.
    Germany, Canada, etc.
    Get your Gold and Silver sooner than later.

    • @islandaerial3414
      @islandaerial3414 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I'm up here in Canazuela. I own more Gold than the Service Corp masquerading as the gov't

  • @teaser6089
    @teaser6089 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

    And I agree with the Japanese central bank, even the US needs to hike interest rates. Yes it means it will cause a recession earlier.
    But the economy needs to cool down and the sooner it does this the less painful it will be!
    People pretend recessions are a bad thing, it is not. Recession are there to kill companies that aren't healthy, it leads to evolutionary processes for companies. It forces companies to innovate and distinguish themselves from others and the strong survive.

    • @Dylan6611
      @Dylan6611 19 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      Disagree wholeheartedly.
      Jobs hiring data and unemployment data are terrible and trending in the wrong direction. Increasing interest rates might pound the US economy into a harsher recession and it just isn't necessary.
      We don't want a doom spiral of gloomy hiring which causes layoffs which causes consumers to spend less, which causes valuations/company projections to go lower, which causes even less growth/hiring and the cycle continues on from there.
      Where I agree with you that a recession is necessary (NOT AT ALL A GOOD THING) we don't want to pound ourselves into an even bigger economic apocalypse.

  • @Olivia-z5c
    @Olivia-z5c 19 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +9

    Treasury yields and other safe cash-like investments are raising high returns, yet most investors believe this is a good time to buy stocks than gold despite crash. I'd love to spread across $400k into profit yielding dividend equities and end the year well, but unsure of which to get acquire.

    • @Richie-3wr
      @Richie-3wr 19 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +4

      all the best, buying on sale is actually one of the best ways to invest in stocks, and advisors are ideally suited for such task

    • @berniceburgos-
      @berniceburgos- 19 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +3

      It's unfortunate most people don't have such information. I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $30k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work. Doesn't matter if the economy is misbehaving; great wealth managers will always make returns.

    • @BridgetMiller-
      @BridgetMiller- 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

      How can I participate in this? I aspire to establish a secure financial future and am eager to participate. Who is the driving force behind your success?

    • @berniceburgos-
      @berniceburgos- 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

      Jessica Lee Horst is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..

    • @Mathew-zs3nz
      @Mathew-zs3nz 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

      I appreciate this share. I set up a call with her and I am keen on getting to talk to her particularly. Lady looks really great though even with the exams and other stuff.

  • @ingbor4768
    @ingbor4768 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +6

    Jeff continues his broken record
    The FED fought the inflation and won. As predicted by the inverted yield curve
    The long term rates never rose like the short term because all the market believed that the FED would act and defeat the inflation: only Jeff can not undesatand because he is paid to spread propaganda not make money in the markets

    • @DreamsOfBullRuns
      @DreamsOfBullRuns 14 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

      Yip. Doomers leading sheep to poor house. Been seeing clowns like this for 2+ years. SPX opens ath today but world is ending. 😂 clown show

  • @MenniMennola
    @MenniMennola 19 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    Very good channel. Bit by bit I understand the financial market a little more. I gave no sych background at all... It makes very much sense. Thnx!

  • @carpro6519
    @carpro6519 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    'Schatz' spoken like a german but the special character 'ä' is only used in the plural 'Schätze' (means treasure by the way) and a substantive always starts with a capital letter. 🙂

  • @John-wf5if
    @John-wf5if 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    AND YET...markets go up and up and up!

  • @patrickl6978
    @patrickl6978 22 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +5

    Correct me if I'm wrong but once the Fed starts cutting rates the short end follows suit while the long end remains largely unchanged then 'that's' the yield curve uninverting. How's that a predictor of recession any more than the actual Fed rate cuts themselves? Like saying Fed rate cuts always predict recession...well of course they do but neither the cuts nor the curve uninverting is a Predictor but instead nothing more than a Response to weakening economy.

    • @VotdTrades
      @VotdTrades 15 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      The Fed follows the bond market not the bond market following the Fed

  • @balzinderchhabra8804
    @balzinderchhabra8804 19 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    Might want to take a look at the futures today eh bud.

  • @jasonweishaupt1828
    @jasonweishaupt1828 12 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    But it’s different this time, right? 😂

  • @johnsmithee6660
    @johnsmithee6660 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    Let's see what happens after the election.

  • @frankdattilo1836
    @frankdattilo1836 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Greenspan looks like a Toucan 😊

  • @sudhirpatel1851
    @sudhirpatel1851 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Market went up

    • @John-wf5if
      @John-wf5if 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      As always. Doomers sell doom, whilst markets head higher and higher in perpetuity!

  • @SpectreTheHorseman
    @SpectreTheHorseman 13 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    All doom all the time. Be sure to admit you were wrong when "No recession until Q4 2025"

    • @arandmorgan
      @arandmorgan 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      What will you be doing when you are wrong?

  • @GillerHeston
    @GillerHeston 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +6

    Some economists have projected that both the U.S. and parts of Europe could slip into a recession for a portion of 2024. A global recession, defined as a contraction in annual global per capita income, is more rare because China and emerging markets often grow faster than more developed economies. Essentially the world economy is considered to be in recession if economic growth falls behind population growth.

    • @rogerwheelers4322
      @rogerwheelers4322 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +6

      In light of the ongoing global economic crisis, it is crucial for everyone to prioritize investing in diverse sources of income that are not reliant on the government. This includes exploring opportunities in stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the challenging economic situation, it remains a favorable time to consider these investments. Nevertheless, seeking guidance from an investment planner might be necessary if you desire a more assertive return.

    • @joshbarney114
      @joshbarney114 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +6

      Investing in gold is a reliable choice, and I plan to keep buying more to make up for my losses. While silver is also a good investment, my collectibles are not as similar. It's important to have clear investment goals and educate yourself on the type of investment that interests you. I work with a financial consultant regulated by the SEC, and started small, but eventually accumulated over $800,000.

    • @FabioOdelega876
      @FabioOdelega876 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +5

      Can you provide instructions on how to contact your advisor? I'm experiencing erosion of my funds due to inflation and looking for a more profitable investment strategy to make better use of them.

    • @joshbarney114
      @joshbarney114 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +6

      ‘’Marisa Michelle Litwinsky’’ is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

    • @FabioOdelega876
      @FabioOdelega876 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +5

      Thank you for this tip. it was easy to find your coach. and I conducted thorough research on her credentials before scheduling a call with her. Based on her résumé, she appears to possess a high level of proficiency, and I am grateful for the opportunity to speak with her.

  • @derbacksteinbacker4942
    @derbacksteinbacker4942 19 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    I can’t wait to shell out my cash pile when market goes on discount!

    • @dave_sic1365
      @dave_sic1365 17 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      When your cash still has its value

  • @kalicambria
    @kalicambria วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    And stocks continue to the moon, while bond yields jump 25 basis points in 2 weeks

  • @tatianastarcic
    @tatianastarcic 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +5

    Given the uncertain economic conditions and heightened global tensions, I'm considering investing over $800k in stocks. However, I'm uncertain about how to minimise potential risks.

    • @Vincent-j8u
      @Vincent-j8u 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

      Consider hiring financial advisors or tax experts. They can provide specialised knowledge and help you navigate complex financial decisions.

    • @nicolasbenson009
      @nicolasbenson009 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

      If you lack market knowledge, your best bet is to seek advice or support from a consultant or investing coach. Contacting a consultant may sound simple, but it's how I've managed to stay afloat in the market and increase my portfolio to roughly 65% since January. It is, in my opinion, the best way to get started in the industry right now.

    • @sharonwinson-m8g
      @sharonwinson-m8g 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

      That's quite impressive! Can you share more information about your financial advisor?

    • @nicolasbenson009
      @nicolasbenson009 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

      Sophia Maurine Lanting is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.

    • @TinaJames222
      @TinaJames222 15 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      Thank you so much! This is exactly what I needed right now. I wrote her an email and am waiting for her reply. Hopefully, she responds soon. I plan to start the year on a strong financial note.

  • @IbrahimKone-ix4qi
    @IbrahimKone-ix4qi วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    !!I recently sold some of my long-term position and currently sitting on about 250k, do you think Nvidia is a good buy right now or I have I missed out on a crucial buy period, any good stock recommendation on great performing stocks or Crypto will be appreciated

    • @DerickSams
      @DerickSams วันที่ผ่านมา

      As a beginner investor, it’s essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable.
      Kristine Lynn Weber is my trade analyst, she has guided me to identify key market trends, pinpointed strategic entry points, and provided risk assessments, ensuring my trades decisions align with market dynamics for optimal returns.

    • @JoseLopez-lf9rw
      @JoseLopez-lf9rw วันที่ผ่านมา

      I managed to grow a nest egg of around 120k to over a Million. I'm especially grateful to Adviser Kristine Lynn Weber, for her expertise and exposure to different areas of the market.

    • @DerickSams
      @DerickSams วันที่ผ่านมา

      I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of
      information can be a big hurdle. I've been
      making more than $100k passively by just
      investing through an advisor, and I don't have
      to do much work. Inflation or no inflation, my
      finances remain secure. So I really don't blame
      people who panic.

    • @JoseLopez-lf9rw
      @JoseLopez-lf9rw วันที่ผ่านมา

      Without a doubt! Kristine Lynn Weber is a trader who goes above and beyond. she has an exceptional skill for analyzing market movements and spotting profitable opportunities. Her strategies are meticulously crafted based on thorough research and years of practical experience.

    • @IbrahimKone-ix4qi
      @IbrahimKone-ix4qi วันที่ผ่านมา

      nice! once you hit a big milestone, the next comes easier. How can i reach her if you don't mind me asking?

  • @5dc61
    @5dc61 วันที่ผ่านมา +21

    You look like Jesus hit rockbottom

  • @JohnBond777
    @JohnBond777 10 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Looks like for the END of September the US Treasury Bonds have rates going up (slowly). You predicted this in an episode released in late August, if memory serves

  • @chukgek-ew7il
    @chukgek-ew7il 4 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    A big pain point in the eurodollar market right now is that it is not clear if the currency tokens are getting prices right, at least on oil.
    price = information.
    After the russia sanctions, a subset of trade data got hidden so the current prices are probably way off.

  • @busterboyd4125
    @busterboyd4125 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Most new jobs are government jobs. A net negative to GDP. So fed jobs numbers are meaningless. Manufacturing is dropping fast and service sector will follow. Un-inversion is less reliable because it can take more than 12 months for recession to materialize. The fed rate drop of 50 basis points or more is the better indicator of coming recession. I think China's last move will be a catalyst to GFC 2.0. Next 3 months will be interesting as the recession heats up during an election year.

  • @whaleinvesting3612
    @whaleinvesting3612 13 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you again for a comprehensive and informative video.
    Sidenote: I am so incredibly curious what Jeff Snider would look like with short hair. Rate cuts -> hair cuts? 😂

  • @airman122469
    @airman122469 14 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    My financial advisor keeps saying everything is fine, and I keep saying “it can’t be, that’s not possible”
    Luckily I’m young enough that I can just ride this crap out.

  • @jexterjackson3087
    @jexterjackson3087 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Help YOUR Economy Survive - 🧑‍🌾 FARM ENERGY 👩‍🌾
    Generate Energy. Store it in Batteries.
    Create Ur OWN Crypto Under That Stored Energy Value.
    Trade Ur OWN Crypto w/ other smart ppl, FTW....

  • @MacroMonetary
    @MacroMonetary 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    The economy is not just fine but who cares, if they can just manipulate the stock markets. FX markets included.

  • @bostonfrank6739
    @bostonfrank6739 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    you say the yield curve uninverted in 12/2000. That was no help in predicting the stock market, because stocks started going down in 1/2000

  • @Brandon96712
    @Brandon96712 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +4

    As a beginner, educate yourself: Learn the basics of investing and the stock market. There are many resources available online , including books, articles, and online courses. It’s a good idea to diversify your portfolio across different stocks and sectors to minimize risk. I’ve heard of people accruing over $550k during recessions and inflation, it’s important to do your own research.

    • @SteveKalfman-yv7co
      @SteveKalfman-yv7co 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      The professionals presently control the market since they not only have the essential business strategy but also have access to inside information that the general public is not aware of.

    • @SallyW414
      @SallyW414 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Right, I've been in constant touch with a financial-analyst since covid . You know these days it's really easy to buy into trending stocks, but the task is determining when to buy or sell . My advisor decides entry and exit commands on my portfolio, I've accrued over $1m from an initially stagnant reserve of $450K.

  • @MjJones2020
    @MjJones2020 17 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Jeff, long time follower and fan....
    I'm curious your response to the likes of Luke Gromen, who say with Debt/GDP at such high levels, this time is "different", as the rates being lowered is a function of Debt Obligations more-so than economic troubles. They just cannot afford higher rates, and actually want inflation as to lower Debt/GDP by way of Financial Repression etc.
    And that Recession cannot be allowed, as it'd lead to lower tax receipts which leads to higher deficits which leads to more QE etc etc etc.
    Curious what you think of all this. Thanks.

  • @briangman3
    @briangman3 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Bond Inversion returning to normal, uninversion breaks English so bad I am undrunk. Good video nice analysis

  • @PelikanVPustatine
    @PelikanVPustatine 14 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    maybe this time we will get not "cuts" but "sets" to 0.- straight away. and that's why this time it's different

  • @SUNSETRETREATSXM
    @SUNSETRETREATSXM 8 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Bad times ahead. I just cannot take the officials, bankers and politicians serious anymore. The just lie and lie and talk to much.

  • @eggplantking7554
    @eggplantking7554 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Japan is worried about whats going on in the USA. AKA if we raise rates while US lowers theirs, our buddies will lose their ass on the YEN carry trade.

  • @EulogioUcat
    @EulogioUcat วันที่ผ่านมา

    Great analysis, thank you! Could you help me with something unrelated: My OKX wallet holds some USDT, and I have the seed phrase. (behave today finger ski upon boy assault summer exhaust beauty stereo over). How can I transfer them to Binance?

  • @MinishMan
    @MinishMan 17 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    I wonder if because higher rates (and the inverted curve they create if central banks push them too high) make banking a more profitable activity, lending and credit creation actually isn't reduced by anywhere near as much as central banks expect it to be. So the economy actually does fairly well even though now rates are way higher than previously, because banks are very willing to lend, are out in the market actively seeking new debtors, and extremely happy to lock people into repayment contracts at rates well above what they expect future rates to be (what the inverted curve tells them).
    So every time, economists see this and think "this time it's different". They see inflation coming down (think it's because they raised rates when in reality it's just the market and the process of time bringing it down) and see the economy doing well (because banks are very happy to create credit at these rates and debtors are assuming inflation and wage growth will enable them to service the higher yield debt) and think the soft landing is bang on track.
    Then of course the curve uninverts, deflation rips through the economy and they have to admit, once again, that they have no idea what they're doing

  • @SilverDadKnows
    @SilverDadKnows วันที่ผ่านมา

    As global yield curves uninvert, economic instability becomes more apparent, driving investors toward safe havens. Gold and silver are soaring in value, offering protection and wealth in uncertain times.

  • @sallystevenson6712
    @sallystevenson6712 วันที่ผ่านมา

    And The Bank of England . as usual while the whole world cuts rates, held ours and choked that little bit of extra money out of The British working class.

  • @humbecarito
    @humbecarito วันที่ผ่านมา

    The Japanese discussion was very enlightening.

  • @justinspencer-young3935
    @justinspencer-young3935 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Thanks Jeff. Fantastic as usual. I'm in your camp, but then I hear Luke Groman make the case for "this time it's different." He makes a strong case but I don't know enough to point out why he is mistaken. Can you help? This week Luke was on Palisade Gold Radio saying "No recession."

  • @nirvaanmeharchand5896
    @nirvaanmeharchand5896 วันที่ผ่านมา

    great commentary (again) Jeff - just need a better mic or some sound dampening in your new office

  • @B-H76
    @B-H76 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Hey, Jeff. I have left this message on the other content creators who talk about the un-inversion. What is the average time in days that the recession starts after the un-inversion?

  • @bostonfrank6739
    @bostonfrank6739 21 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    why do you have blank frames on the wall behind you?

  • @user-x2z6r
    @user-x2z6r 19 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    m.th-cam.com/video/EFAVoFG4jpQ/w-d-xo.html
    Who's right?

  • @Rokisempai
    @Rokisempai วันที่ผ่านมา

    All we have to know is buy the dip. That is all. Peace and love!

  • @Deshen777
    @Deshen777 17 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

    Markets In Us and Europe making new ATH:s today. Yield Curve inversion is not reliable after Covid. The market is just pushing higher driven by enormous technological progression. To be short is like a deathwish to yourself, fighting this progression.

    • @Itsaboutthewaterlife
      @Itsaboutthewaterlife 14 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      He he he. You just made my day. When a comment like yours suddenly appears out of nowhere. Seemingly convinced they are correct and millions of people are wrong, I feel better. Bro: I'm so short this market it would make your head spin.

    • @Deshen777
      @Deshen777 14 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@Itsaboutthewaterlife The market tells you who is wrong and who is right. Millions is just a minority. You have a billion against you.

    • @Deshen777
      @Deshen777 14 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@Itsaboutthewaterlife The market tells you who is wrong and who is right. A few million is just a minority. You have at least a billion against you.

    • @Deshen777
      @Deshen777 14 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@Itsaboutthewaterlife Market telles you who is right and who is wrong. A few millions is a minority, you have at least a billion against you.

    • @Itsaboutthewaterlife
      @Itsaboutthewaterlife 14 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@Deshen777 "World In Shock From New Russian Nuclear Doctrine" Ehhhhh. Tell that to Vladimir Putin.

  • @DSMentzer1
    @DSMentzer1 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Where do you see short term rates going over the next few years?

  • @derekc8974
    @derekc8974 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    I’m glad I found your channel!!!!

    • @islandaerial3414
      @islandaerial3414 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Did you 'find' it or, was it 'suggested'? I'm in the same boat

    • @derekc8974
      @derekc8974 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      It was suggested

    • @islandaerial3414
      @islandaerial3414 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@derekc8974 Hmmm

    • @JSniderDebunkedgoldspansubstak
      @JSniderDebunkedgoldspansubstak 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

      How were you compensated for your comment?

  • @JSniderDebunkedgoldspansubstak
    @JSniderDebunkedgoldspansubstak 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +3

    Jeff "I Paid to Promote Today's Video and Still Nobody Clicked" Snider. Debunked.

  • @Gabber44906
    @Gabber44906 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    WE HAVE TO BE IN RECESSION BY NOW!

  • @scatterbolt2578
    @scatterbolt2578 15 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Did that paint ever dry?

  • @mlmichael261
    @mlmichael261 9 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    DAX ath today....

  • @mmmom6469
    @mmmom6469 22 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Big bull is coming

  • @peninsulasothebysinternati1163
    @peninsulasothebysinternati1163 5 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    thank you Jeff

  • @mohlini1
    @mohlini1 14 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    thanks Jeff

  • @mayerlac
    @mayerlac วันที่ผ่านมา

    excellent. thx

  • @robinwills8284
    @robinwills8284 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    I’m not sure why who was handling your customer accounts and the fact that they canceled most of your customers accounts. It happened to me a long while back, which I went with it because inflation was eating into my income, but then I could tell that they had done it to your other customers. Because I could tell that you and Steve had obviously lost a lot of your customers and needed to recruit more. I just thought I would let you know that it wasn’t an organic thing losing your customers. It was whoever was handling your account your customer accounts probably the person handling the website. I have no idea, but I just thought I’d let you know.

    • @robinwills8284
      @robinwills8284 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      It’s been a while since that went down. It could be a year now for me. I don’t know. Time flies. I get wrapped up in work. I used to use music to gauge time, but I had to run from music because like everything else they just turned it into a weaponized torture device.
      And I love y’all’s work. Y’all definitely did not need all your customers accounts just canceled out of nowhere. It certainly was not your customers leaving y’all.

  • @philschiavone101
    @philschiavone101 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Just bought long term treasury bond funds, smart or dumb?

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Guaranteed loss.

    • @islandaerial3414
      @islandaerial3414 วันที่ผ่านมา

      George Gammon might say good move. See his interview with Daniella on ITM

    • @MS-dx6yz
      @MS-dx6yz 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Good or Bad - there are less risky trades our there.

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi 23 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@islandaerial3414 The guy that scammed families of aspiring actors?

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi 22 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      @@islandaerial3414 Gammon scammed families of aspiring actors.

  • @HerrLT
    @HerrLT วันที่ผ่านมา +12

    Geoff pushing out his recession call from summer to fall to winter now 🙃🤡

    • @5dc61
      @5dc61 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      And from 2022 to 2023 to 2024….

  • @michaelagneta8038
    @michaelagneta8038 22 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    50 !

  • @AdHominem-001
    @AdHominem-001 วันที่ผ่านมา

    👀

  • @MarcosAntonio-cp3nb
    @MarcosAntonio-cp3nb วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    Bulll deepener....its the end of thw owrld as we.know it 😮

  • @Emmitt_otter
    @Emmitt_otter วันที่ผ่านมา +2

    I think we will have a recession / depression no matter who gets elected. However i think it will be much worse of a recession / depression if harris gets elected over trump. GOD help us all 🙏

    • @joshh205
      @joshh205 วันที่ผ่านมา

      It won’t happen as soon as most think. The can will get kicked down the road for much much longer. Don’t bet your money on it.

  • @BanwarilalKumawat-ij6tp
    @BanwarilalKumawat-ij6tp วันที่ผ่านมา +11

    Thanks Mate, the sad truth is that no one has a clue, we all react to what happens as it happens and try to analyse it but can’t predict an iota of what is going to unfold in the markets… content creators are like amplifiers, when times are good they affirm it and try to tell you why it’s good and that it’s looking bullish but then all of a sudden the market turns bearish and everyone affirms it again and try to analyse why… it’s so sad that many are so powerless and it's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady during trading...managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 19Bitcoin in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Kerrie Farrell, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape....

    • @abacapital9824
      @abacapital9824 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Investing with an expert is the best strategy for beginners and busy investors, as most failures and losses in investment usually happen when you invest without proper guidance. I'm speaking from experience..

    • @EmanuelAmbriz-ml4nk
      @EmanuelAmbriz-ml4nk วันที่ผ่านมา

      I appreciate the professionalism and dedication of the team behind Kerrie’s trade signal service...

    • @kristinangelova9780
      @kristinangelova9780 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I rather invest my money on crypto. Bitcoin trading is great unlike the stock market and other financial markets, bitcoin has no centralized location , since it operates 24hrs in different parts of the world...

    • @RomanLansang
      @RomanLansang วันที่ผ่านมา

      The fact that i got to learn and earn from her program is everything to me think about it, it's a win win for both ways...

    • @LeightonCorrigan
      @LeightonCorrigan วันที่ผ่านมา

      On the grand scheme of things, once you understand the potential of trad!ng, you can bet on it but I think people need the education to fully understand...

  • @wagashiohagi
    @wagashiohagi วันที่ผ่านมา +5

    "Step right up and get your discounted snake oil here! The same useless junk oil that I was shilling yesterday that no one was naive enough to buy. I'm using a discount tactic to make you think that something that has zero value is more affordable at a lower price. Truth is, I'm desperate to take your money and use it to fund my market losses." -Jeff

    • @islandaerial3414
      @islandaerial3414 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Would make sense seeing as how I'm not subbed yet, he is being pushed...

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi 22 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +4

      He pays to promote his Confidence Trick.

  • @5dc61
    @5dc61 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    The thumbnail is deceiving, you appear to have presentable hair but when the video starts you have the crypt keeper hairdo

  • @briannewman6216
    @briannewman6216 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    Could the yield curve invert again at this stage?

  • @nadruik9890
    @nadruik9890 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    More on point, why are japanese officials always so scary looking. Ueda should defnitely be cast in a horror film.

  • @5dc61
    @5dc61 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

    You should buy one white dress shirt and a bunch of different ties to make it look like you have more than the same 3 t-shirts you use for all your videos

    • @SmockedBebe
      @SmockedBebe วันที่ผ่านมา

      Nor would that hurt him.

  • @5dc61
    @5dc61 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    If you did something about your hair, you would regain my respect. Just saying

    • @SmockedBebe
      @SmockedBebe วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      I would have to agree

    • @JSniderDebunkedgoldspansubstak
      @JSniderDebunkedgoldspansubstak 20 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

      This chump had your respect!?

    • @travismonk2804
      @travismonk2804 16 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +2

      If he faced his critics or admitted his bad arguments he could keep the hair and I'd still respect him more. But he doesn't. So he's a turd.

    • @5dc61
      @5dc61 12 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@JSniderDebunkedgoldspansubstak 😂

  • @robertj.b2494
    @robertj.b2494 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Bitcoin saves all

  • @will.davlin
    @will.davlin วันที่ผ่านมา +3

    wool socks to bed = sleep quality you dont know about🟫 advice 🟣for some reason youll take this personally but dont cope around it🟡🟥

  • @RickyGorski-gn9wd
    @RickyGorski-gn9wd วันที่ผ่านมา

    👍👏💪🙏

  • @johnsmith-yk8by
    @johnsmith-yk8by วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    The all trueness, this guys is straight up macro genius he gives you good ideas fo real it's placed in good and important stuff. good study good stuff. It is why this starts w eurodollar historically