Winning Trends in Best Ball Mania: What the Data Reveals
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 11 ต.ค. 2024
- Michael Leone shares trends and strategies from last years Best Ball Mania finals! In this video, we dive into the latest data to uncover winning patterns and tips to improve your drafting skills. Learn optimal drafting techniques and explore statistical insights that can give you an edge. Like, subscribe, and hit the bell for more fantasy football tips and updates! #FantasyFootball #BestBallMania #WinningStrategies
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A tight 30 on 20+ hours of real analytics ... thank you for your service Leone.
Thanks for the deep research on BBM's winning trends. Keep it up, please!!
love these takes -- Not very many FF youtubers or podsters are talking about how the data is skewed and inflated. Like, how can you even look at historical data in a concrete way when there is what.. only 4 years of BBM?
Exactly. Especially considering most of the “winners” of major events are guys who maxed entry, and threw mad shit at the wall in hopes it worked. Notice the same ppl haven’t won BBM, so clearly an individual strategy doesn’t work yearly. I personally believe it comes down to mostly luck. You’re talking about building a team good enough to make it through 14 weeks, but then it comes down to a 1 week shootout til week 17 ends. Correlation in week 17 only is hilarious considering only 1% of entrants make week 17.
Just funny to me…
@@BlueLineKing7 yup I don't get the week 17 stuff. it is my first year getting in though. refining my draft now but too broke to throw more money at it lol or at least not enough to max out entries. I love team stacking but the week 17 correlation seems pretty forced by a lot of these best ball guys. Sure it could matter but you could still get your ass beat by a team that is just deep and stacked. Those hypothetical endings to those week 17 matchups may not even play out like they think either.
@@senorstronk week 17 stack strat is a strategy developed for people who can max entry vs a large field mostly made up of non-max entry participants. It’s legit simply “I’ll max out 150 entries playing for 1st place vs the majority of others entering 1-20x max just taking their favorite guys”.
It was very useful, Thank you, Mike & everyone @ ETR.
Thanks Mike, great stuff as usual. Agree that doing this analysis is primarily descriptive helping us understand underlying structural tactics generically but not predictive since every year is different. Btw, just like for RB being higher EV with only 3 RB's drafted (they probably drafted early and avoided the poor early QB, TE), I think the 3 QB EV may have also (agree that drafters that know to stack are probably more knowledgeable) be due to drafting late QB's and avoiding early QB's/TE's that did not perform.
This is great analysis, as usual, thanks. Suggestion about a topic for another video that I think would be really helpful - what are the attributes of late pick players who significantly exceed their ADP, by position? For example, are late pick RB's who start season as the clear RB2 w/ passing upside when the RB1 is a mid ADP pick, or higher ADP pick but beyond XX years of age, the most likely to exceed their ADP? is a rookie, or second year TE1 who has not gotten much playing time yet, in a passing offense with lower rated WR1's and 2's the most likely to exceed their ADP? would be an interesting analysis as usually winning these things come down to finding the low rated picks who significantly exceed their ADP.
thank you for taking the time to do such a breakdown for us. pretty awesome man! I do pretty well with stacking, but having a hard time correlating week 17 games. i just cant remember the damn schedule!!! did a lot of drugs in my years LoL memory is extremely short term. in anyones opinion are you screwed if you dont have week 17 correlation??? this video makes it sound like you should still be pretty good. seriously would love the feedback. thanks again ETR!
You're not screwed but suboptimal IF you make it to the finals. You can still win without it.
@@michaelleone2350 thank you for taking the time to respond, i appreciate it. also love the info you provide for us. i gotta try harder on correlation. thank you man! your breakdowns on everything is really intense. love listening to it.
"Descriptive, not predictive" finally someone articulated stuff I've been thinking.
Go stuff mike! Keep it coming.
Great stuff, thanks Leone
Great stuff man!! 🔥🔥🔥
Great stuff man, thank you
excellent video
Great content
LFG!! 🔥🔥
Does anyone know a way to intuitively display ongoing slow drafts on DraftKings? I'm in about 23 slows rn and would ideally not like to draft off the phone app (would like to see big board etc on the PC website) but the phone client seems way better than having to click through each contest to see which one I'm up in?
Any ideas? Ty in advance if any1 responds
You have to get lucky in bb. Sure there are strategies that can give you a better chance at getting lucky. I had some really good teams last year, but didn’t advance because I was unlucky enough not to have amari cooper. You have to have that one player that goes off to advance.
Yup, it's like a game of roulette
I advanced like 40+% of my teams but got unlucky week 15 and not one of my 25 or so playoff teams (which I thought were super teams) made it to week 16. I couldn't believe it
What does draft capital bucket represent? I dont quite get what he means by it
🐐
King
Not a bully TE guy. But I love.getting Bowers as my second TE behind Kittle and Kelce. Packing hags