*Slovenia* made it! Again, Raiven qualified what a positive suprise! Thanks God for Serbia and Portugal! Ballads and slower song can qualify with 100% Televoting! ❤❤❤❤
This turned out better than I expected. I did write earlier in my predictions that we're not getting both Cyprus and Poland and that Australia could be the wildcard if people don't get Slovenia.
So I feel like this semi final really cements a few things: 1: The running order really doesn’t matter that much in the semi finals - maybe in terms of the amount of points people receive, but not when it comes to qualification. It really is down to execution and things such as slot 1, 2, and 3 all not being able to qualify is just a Eurovision myth (if you can call it that) 2: I also think Poland’s diaspora has been tested for real this time. It does have its limits and while Luna very well could have been 1 point from qualifying, it’s now been proven that Poland’s diaspora isn’t a free ticket to the final. 3: This has always been the case, but the odds aren’t always correct. I feel like you can easily make a strategy out of picking one or two non qualifiers in the odds, and put them through in your prediction. Especially in these all televote semi finals. On a personal note: I was just about to put Australia through in my final prediction, but went with Raiven instead since she’s my winner - yes my bias kicked in, but I predicted all the qualifiers correctly and I now know that I should follow my heart and not my head. Keep up the good work Alesia - your content is the best in the community❤ Also candles lit and magic sparkles for Bambie’s result in the final ✨🕯️✨🕯️✨
1. The running order matters a lot. I might be wrong but I think this is the first time EVER more acts qualified from the first than the second half. If the halfs were switched, we would easily have all 7 songs in the second half qualify. 3. The odds seem to be very correct. The odds doesn’t say what is definitely gonna happen, only how likely different events are. Based on the percentages the odds gave the different acts in this semi, we would only expect them to get around 8/10.
Good Luck to Bambie and the Irish Team on Saturday if you think about it 1974 ABBA won with Waterloo the UK taught they were taking the piss and gave them no points. Because the Conductor was Dressed as Napoleon and the rest is History.
Slovenia made me SOBBBB Literally had me go into cardiac arrest but I am so glad they made it in! It makes me think though that Slovenia and Serbia were definitely borderlines since the borderline qualifiers were also called first last year. It also makes me think that Ireland possibly got into the top three (which I will be GLAD if it happens! CROWN THE WITCHHH xx)
I often come back to see the part where you find out Slovenia made it! I’m from Portugal, and was watching it live with a crowd, who was still celebrating Portugal going through… but when Petra called out Slovenia’s name, i roared like a bear and jumped out of my seat! Having said that, i still think Raven deserved better staging! ❤
Dat lightnin' qualification reveal tho.... "Martin? 👍 1⚡️2⚡️3⚡️4⚡️...⚡️9⚡️10" Tune in Thursday for Semi-2" No time to even gasp for M&M "Air" Sweden says "no time for drama". Except for time for self-deprecating jokes. "Sorry for sending Loreen to win last year." And...opening the back screen to show the green room....so much more epic than I'd expected!!!
I am happy that I was right about my qualify list! With Slovenia and Serbia in it and Portugal!! I do feel a bit sad for Azerbaijan since I did like it but something had to go... I skipped Bambi for a drink 😂
yes we absolutely dont like it and its fumny because I am used to rock and metal and all kinds of music but this song is just not to listen to. For me in the end its about the song risky or not risky, I am only voting for what I can listen to. I dont like how it goes from one to completely different in the song. I might prefered it if it was just metal 😂 .@@AlesiaMichelle
I’m not sure why people keep talking about the diaspora effect. Yeah, they are influential, but they can’t help you if your performance is horrible. We’ve seen that plenty of times in the past. It happened a few times with Poland too.
Yeah this was what I was noting in my predictions video. Folks pretend it was the diaspora that helped Blanka and they forget she really delivered it well (and that semi was not super competitive). This was a competitive semi
The public picked right. All the good songs qualified, and the best performed okay songs (Luxembourg and Cyprus) qualified. If the same happens in SF2 we might get a really strong final. Not having juries sorta eliminates shock NQs, which I prefer. I don’t like having good songs be left behind.
@@TMPOUZI australia was boring and azarbaijan, that was one of my faves, had terrible staging. ethnic ballad with dark, futuristic aesthetic? who thought ithat was a good idea? finland would qualify regardless. people want fun in the final
@@TMPOUZIFinland was better performed. Australia was messy live amd I struggle to recall what Azerbaijan’s song is. Plus Finland is the only bombastic song of its semi, while the other two had direct competition.
Ukraine/Croatia/Ireland feels like an absolutely correct Top 3 for what we witnessed. And within 23 hours, they are the 3 most watched performances on YouTubE. Ireland and Croatia both have 2.1M views and Ukraine has 1.7M. 4th is Finland back at 1.0M
Hard disagree, Alesia, about Jerry's voice. I love her huskiness and power, and I think it contrasts perfectly well with the softness of Alyona's. It also makes the last low note that much more profound. It shouldn't feel like a lullaby, because it's a song about female empowerment, and it needs a powerful voice to convey that.
Now that I finished the stream replay, I’m just so happy that the whole theory that more songs NEED to come from the second half has been disproven. Practically the entirety of the first half qualified as-is, minus Poland. Voters are a lot more conscious than we give them credit for. Also I find it so funny that people were worried about Bambie’s divisiveness after the staging was revealed. I wasn’t sure of Doomsday Blue either but the staging made all the difference. People need to remember that Hatari was able to come 10th despite being the only politically outspoken artists in their year and their song having a lot more screamo and BDSM. I don’t fear for Bambie at all; this will probably be a very smooth sail to the top 6. This song is far more accessible than Hatrid Mun Sigra so I don’t doubt it’s scoring higher than 10th place.
Woah no one said they "NEED" to come form the second half. We said the pattern proves (it did) that being in the second half was more advantageous in the semis. But, yes I'm glad we had this anomaly now because the first half was certainly where the heavy hitters were.
I have been to Jerry Heils concert and I have to say she can easily say with a brighter/warmer tone, but she does sing with this "operatic/darker" tone on purpose in this song.
Omg i saw the live chat during Croatia's performance. Lol, so much jealousy. 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 i was on the floor laughing how pathetic some comments were. I want Croatia to win even more now and will vote multiple times just to get the votes up for it 😂
Let’s be real there’s only 4 entries that can cause an impact in the final.. Croatia, Ukraine, Ireland and Finland. The rest are filler songs that will likely do poorly 🫖☕️
Finland? XD have you forgotten Switserland, France, Israel, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium and so on. I strongly disagree on ireland and Finland. If you look at the odds. Switserland is tbe one that is on second place
Not filler. Just because something won’t win doesn’t mean it wouldn’t serve a role in a show. We need songs like Portugal to cleanse palates between the very bombastic songs you’ve mentioned.
@@andrijacerinikolic7063 It’s not filler if people are laughing at it. Filler usually has no identity. Like it or not, Finland has its distinct identity and people have chosen to put it through.
France will not be happy with Portugal doing a ballad in all white in the final…. Same with Croatia and Netherlands having Finland and probably Estonia leaching points from them…..
Im polish and delighted we didnt qualify. Maybe TVP will learn the lesson, or maybe not because they getting paid no matter what happens. Dont know if this was beneficial or detrimental to Lunas career 🤔 cause she wasnt known at all but now she is known but in a negative light. What can i say, pick talent next time. Maybe apologize to Justyna and invite her next year, if not, then do national selection and let us choose cause you dont have a clue TVP
Juries would’ve tanked Ireland and Finland but still they would’ve qualified. Cyprus would’ve been lost and probably Moldova in. The staging look good and vocally she sounded amazing. The issue: it was a song for juries, not televoting. Australia was messy vocally. Especially towards the end it was really bad. Not as bad as Olly’s vocal performance. It was so bad, so so bad.
Im disappointed that Australia didn't make it, especially this year. They sent a song highlighting aboriginal culture, and people always scream about having more songs from the country of origin. Luxembourg didn't deserve to go through. The vocals were a bit dull for me.
Australia vocals were harsh on a semi with many competent singers. To me it was difficult to concentrate on the song when the main singers gets off key soo often.
the difference between bambie and songs like telemoveis is that doomsday blue has no clear intention or message. There is a difference between playing for shock value and actual valuable art.
How can Portugal, a song with no melody at all and Serbia, a corny and boring song pass instead of Azerbaitzan with a soulful presentation, excellent vocal techniques and melodies???? Can anyone justify this???? Is it coalitions and neighboring countries????
*Slovenia* made it!
Again, Raiven qualified what a positive suprise!
Thanks God for Serbia and Portugal! Ballads and slower song can qualify with 100% Televoting! ❤❤❤❤
I WAs very happy with Slovenia too
Yes they just need to be tasteful and well staged! Better than unconditional ballad qualification tbh
Ireland finally goes to the final of Eurovision so happy
This turned out better than I expected. I did write earlier in my predictions that we're not getting both Cyprus and Poland and that Australia could be the wildcard if people don't get Slovenia.
Televote had TASTE and praying Semi 2 follows route
Yeah sure good taste Finland over Azerbaitzan or Australia
I need Latvia in the final
@@TMPOUZIyes
Sad we lost Australia but happy that Cyprus and Slovenia made it!
love that alesia brought the whole family with her
Why did they leave Ireland that late I nearly went into cardiac arrest😭🇮🇪
lol it was the third best of the night. To me it was a clear qualifier
This happens to our country almost every year lol
I nearly went into cardiac arrest when watching to Ireland's presentation. I hope they don't do that black magic in real life
@@TMPOUZI They are a white witch, no dark magic
@@aoifed8913 it didn't seem like it
Serbia did it with death spot 🇷🇸🇷🇸🇷🇸
Serbia is now the magical country at Eurovision.
So I feel like this semi final really cements a few things:
1: The running order really doesn’t matter that much in the semi finals - maybe in terms of the amount of points people receive, but not when it comes to qualification. It really is down to execution and things such as slot 1, 2, and 3 all not being able to qualify is just a Eurovision myth (if you can call it that)
2: I also think Poland’s diaspora has been tested for real this time. It does have its limits and while Luna very well could have been 1 point from qualifying, it’s now been proven that Poland’s diaspora isn’t a free ticket to the final.
3: This has always been the case, but the odds aren’t always correct. I feel like you can easily make a strategy out of picking one or two non qualifiers in the odds, and put them through in your prediction. Especially in these all televote semi finals.
On a personal note: I was just about to put Australia through in my final prediction, but went with Raiven instead since she’s my winner - yes my bias kicked in, but I predicted all the qualifiers correctly and I now know that I should follow my heart and not my head.
Keep up the good work Alesia - your content is the best in the community❤
Also candles lit and magic sparkles for Bambie’s result in the final ✨🕯️✨🕯️✨
1. The running order matters a lot. I might be wrong but I think this is the first time EVER more acts qualified from the first than the second half. If the halfs were switched, we would easily have all 7 songs in the second half qualify.
3. The odds seem to be very correct. The odds doesn’t say what is definitely gonna happen, only how likely different events are. Based on the percentages the odds gave the different acts in this semi, we would only expect them to get around 8/10.
My thought was “Poland qualified with less” but I guess the “less” needs to be compensated with meme-worthiness to make it viable
I have to disagree with your wording. The running order does matter but not 'a lot'. And secondly the odds are not 'very correct', they're indicative.
Good Luck to Bambie and the Irish Team on Saturday if you think about it 1974 ABBA won with Waterloo the UK taught they were taking the piss and gave them no points. Because the Conductor
was Dressed as Napoleon and the rest is History.
Slovenia made me SOBBBB Literally had me go into cardiac arrest but I am so glad they made it in! It makes me think though that Slovenia and Serbia were definitely borderlines since the borderline qualifiers were also called first last year. It also makes me think that Ireland possibly got into the top three (which I will be GLAD if it happens! CROWN THE WITCHHH xx)
after tonight i definitely can see both Malta & Czechia qualifying
Malta maybe. These results don't fall in line with Czechia tho.
What a great interview!😄♥️ Good luck from Norway 🇧🇻
I often come back to see the part where you find out Slovenia made it! I’m from Portugal, and was watching it live with a crowd, who was still celebrating Portugal going through… but when Petra called out Slovenia’s name, i roared like a bear and jumped out of my seat! Having said that, i still think Raven deserved better staging! ❤
Australia’s performance was a mess, and it’s a shame cause I know that they can perform better.
Loving and living for Alessia’s reaction at the results and when you girl grabbed the glass of wine to get ready was a MOMENT!!!😂💯✨💁🏻♂️
Dat lightnin' qualification reveal tho....
"Martin? 👍
1⚡️2⚡️3⚡️4⚡️...⚡️9⚡️10"
Tune in Thursday for Semi-2"
No time to even gasp for M&M "Air"
Sweden says "no time for drama".
Except for time for self-deprecating jokes. "Sorry for sending Loreen to win last year."
And...opening the back screen to show the green room....so much more epic than I'd expected!!!
Shout out to mom ❤
I am happy that I was right about my qualify list! With Slovenia and Serbia in it and Portugal!! I do feel a bit sad for Azerbaijan since I did like it but something had to go...
I skipped Bambi for a drink 😂
not skipping bambie!
yes we absolutely dont like it and its fumny because I am used to rock and metal and all kinds of music but this song is just not to listen to. For me in the end its about the song risky or not risky, I am only voting for what I can listen to. I dont like how it goes from one to completely different in the song. I might prefered it if it was just metal 😂 .@@AlesiaMichelle
2:28:58 I am cryinggggggg hahahaha thank youuuuu, I was so happy they made it through!!!!
You have been cited here in Portugal by one of the biggest portuguese newspapers, due to your statements about the portuguese song... 😊😊
I’m not sure why people keep talking about the diaspora effect. Yeah, they are influential, but they can’t help you if your performance is horrible. We’ve seen that plenty of times in the past. It happened a few times with Poland too.
Yeah this was what I was noting in my predictions video. Folks pretend it was the diaspora that helped Blanka and they forget she really delivered it well (and that semi was not super competitive). This was a competitive semi
The public picked right. All the good songs qualified, and the best performed okay songs (Luxembourg and Cyprus) qualified. If the same happens in SF2 we might get a really strong final. Not having juries sorta eliminates shock NQs, which I prefer. I don’t like having good songs be left behind.
Yep
Televote has taste! We don't need juries!
Yeah but juries would hopefully prevent silly songs like Finland pass over Azerbaitzan or Australia
We definitely need jury.
@@TMPOUZI australia was boring and azarbaijan, that was one of my faves, had terrible staging. ethnic ballad with dark, futuristic aesthetic? who thought ithat was a good idea? finland would qualify regardless. people want fun in the final
@@TMPOUZIFinland was better performed. Australia was messy live amd I struggle to recall what Azerbaijan’s song is. Plus Finland is the only bombastic song of its semi, while the other two had direct competition.
I would not trust a lot on only televote, we need juries to make sure songs likes Slovenia, Serbia and Portugal have better chances to go through
What happened to Australia budget!?
So happy for Portugal & Slovenia!
Serbia was a bit disappointing. Azerbaijan deserved to be in the GF.
Croatia & Ukraine & Ireland are fantastic!
I’m also in Gothenburg Sweden ❤❤❤❤I can’t believe I’m in the same city as you 😮
Serbiaaa 💜💜💜🇷🇸🇷🇸🇷🇸
Ukraine/Croatia/Ireland feels like an absolutely correct Top 3 for what we witnessed.
And within 23 hours, they are the 3 most watched performances on YouTubE. Ireland and Croatia both have 2.1M views and Ukraine has 1.7M. 4th is Finland back at 1.0M
I still cant believe that we didnt lose any favorites on the 1st semi!!!!
Hard disagree, Alesia, about Jerry's voice. I love her huskiness and power, and I think it contrasts perfectly well with the softness of Alyona's. It also makes the last low note that much more profound. It shouldn't feel like a lullaby, because it's a song about female empowerment, and it needs a powerful voice to convey that.
I didn’t say it happen ALL the time and I love Jerry’s voice. But SOMETIMES, it needs more breath support to sound more precise on the note.
Now that I finished the stream replay, I’m just so happy that the whole theory that more songs NEED to come from the second half has been disproven. Practically the entirety of the first half qualified as-is, minus Poland. Voters are a lot more conscious than we give them credit for.
Also I find it so funny that people were worried about Bambie’s divisiveness after the staging was revealed. I wasn’t sure of Doomsday Blue either but the staging made all the difference. People need to remember that Hatari was able to come 10th despite being the only politically outspoken artists in their year and their song having a lot more screamo and BDSM. I don’t fear for Bambie at all; this will probably be a very smooth sail to the top 6. This song is far more accessible than Hatrid Mun Sigra so I don’t doubt it’s scoring higher than 10th place.
Woah no one said they "NEED" to come form the second half. We said the pattern proves (it did) that being in the second half was more advantageous in the semis. But, yes I'm glad we had this anomaly now because the first half was certainly where the heavy hitters were.
Lets go Ramondaaaa :D
The L of the night was Cyprus over Australia
I have lost just Australia(Slovenia was my NQ) 9/10 faab
I got 5/5 non-qualifiers correct! 😊
Really felt Australia unlucky.
Turned out the same old dance girl songs all made it again - - Cyprus, Slovenia, and Luxembourg.
Slovenia is NOT a dance song at all.
Maybe happy dancing and youth is what casual televoters want. Just to have a good vibe while watching
I have been to Jerry Heils concert and I have to say she can easily say with a brighter/warmer tone, but she does sing with this "operatic/darker" tone on purpose in this song.
No one is saying she can't or that her tone is consistently "wrong" or "bad"...
We don't need any juries in the semi-finals
Omg i saw the live chat during Croatia's performance. Lol, so much jealousy. 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 i was on the floor laughing how pathetic some comments were. I want Croatia to win even more now and will vote multiple times just to get the votes up for it 😂
9/10, but from what I want is 8/10.
Wait a minute… YOU MEET AVICII!? 😨🤯
It's one of those things that I completely had no clue I had met him when I did.
Raiven is the 2024 Gustaph when it comes to reaction to results 😭👏
Luna reminds me of Denmark last year
Let’s be real there’s only 4 entries that can cause an impact in the final.. Croatia, Ukraine, Ireland and Finland. The rest are filler songs that will likely do poorly 🫖☕️
Finland? XD have you forgotten Switserland, France, Israel, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Belgium and so on. I strongly disagree on ireland and Finland. If you look at the odds. Switserland is tbe one that is on second place
Not filler. Just because something won’t win doesn’t mean it wouldn’t serve a role in a show. We need songs like Portugal to cleanse palates between the very bombastic songs you’ve mentioned.
Finland is a typical, generic filler song
@@andrijacerinikolic7063 It’s not filler if people are laughing at it. Filler usually has no identity. Like it or not, Finland has its distinct identity and people have chosen to put it through.
France will not be happy with Portugal doing a ballad in all white in the final…. Same with Croatia and Netherlands having Finland and probably Estonia leaching points from them…..
I dont think Estonia will get through
Croatia 43% winning chances this moment, more than Loreen last year!🎉
Im polish and delighted we didnt qualify. Maybe TVP will learn the lesson, or maybe not because they getting paid no matter what happens. Dont know if this was beneficial or detrimental to Lunas career 🤔 cause she wasnt known at all but now she is known but in a negative light. What can i say, pick talent next time. Maybe apologize to Justyna and invite her next year, if not, then do national selection and let us choose cause you dont have a clue TVP
Juries would’ve tanked Ireland and Finland but still they would’ve qualified.
Cyprus would’ve been lost and probably Moldova in. The staging look good and vocally she sounded amazing. The issue: it was a song for juries, not televoting. Australia was messy vocally. Especially towards the end it was really bad. Not as bad as Olly’s vocal performance. It was so bad, so so bad.
No way Ireland is doing that bad in the juries. I mean look at the EXECUTION. The STAGING?!?!! No way they are just gliding by that song
Moldova deserved to qualify tho instead of Finland
Little Yugoslavia and Portugal are all IN y'all :) We should leave the jury out of the competition definitely 🤣
Definitely not, Portugal lose always places because of televote, like Maro for exemple. Portugal need jury votes.
Portugal ❤❤❤
Im disappointed that Australia didn't make it, especially this year. They sent a song highlighting aboriginal culture, and people always scream about having more songs from the country of origin.
Luxembourg didn't deserve to go through. The vocals were a bit dull for me.
Australia vocals were harsh on a semi with many competent singers. To me it was difficult to concentrate on the song when the main singers gets off key soo often.
idk about Croatia tbh, it dropped for me a bit after seeing staging and camera work
the difference between bambie and songs like telemoveis is that doomsday blue has no clear intention or message. There is a difference between playing for shock value and actual valuable art.
It’s a breakup song… it’s clear
How can Portugal, a song with no melody at all and Serbia, a corny and boring song pass instead of Azerbaitzan with a soulful presentation, excellent vocal techniques and melodies???? Can anyone justify this???? Is it coalitions and neighboring countries????
Cause Azerbaijan came out lame and without personality.
Lol.... calling ballads boring.... how original???
Portugal?neighbours??what...you mean the sea and the fish? XD
@@marcosnunes6684 Coalitions for Portugal
@@Rash23215 Yet very true. There are exceptional ballads, but not the ones I'm reffering to