Sponsored by Ground News: Compare news coverage from diverse sources around the world on a transparent platform driven by data. Try Ground News today and get 50% off your subscription for a limited time: ground.news/perun Well, be honest. Did anyone have this on their predictions list back in early 2022? This is still an evolving story but one that I don't think should either be exaggerated in the short term or underestimated in the longer run. In the short term, I think the focus should remain on the DPRK's role as a munitions provider. Those 6-9 million rounds may not be great, but I think the evidence suggests they're already making a difference - and that perhaps provides greater context to while the destruction of facilities where these rounds might be inspected and restored if needed might be considered a Ukrainian priority. If the Ukrainian 2023 offensive was partly enabled by ROK ammunition supplies to the USA enabling US shipments, I think there's a case to be made that Russia's recent pushes have been underwritten by the DPRK. One small correction reading the data - at one point I refer to Russian AFV losses in September and October being 60% higher than the 2023 average, I meant to say 'more than 60%' as the actual figures are north of 70% I believe. Finally - since there was no channel update this week, Patreon and Perun gaming releases have been pushed to Tuesday due to some complications this week, but they are on their way.
I didn't expect Russia to produce more 152mm shells than the entire NATO does 155mm. But what blew me completely away is Russia being able to BUY more than the west. Because being able to acquire military goods quickly is actually a function of a nation's soft power. Very surprising
Please don’t praise Norway so much they are when it comes to donations to Ukraine the black sheep of Northern Europe countries, they are the country in the world with the greatest ability to support Ukraine and they are down the list 17-18 where the USA and Germany is at, compared to GDP nominal per capita the same way NATO budget are calculated, Denmark nr. 1 has donated 500-600% per capita GDP nominal, the new danish package number 22 is 350 million dollars or about double of the Norwegian package also air defense on the requests of Ukraine it should be Norway that donated more than Denmark they are much richer than Denmark, Sweden which is even less rich then Denmark sometimes take loans to help Ukraine and is one of the top donors to. Norway has 1,8 trillion dollars in their surplus money fund and 90-100k dollars per capita nominal GDP which is usually number two in the world, it’s nice they donate but wait with the praise until they are double of Denmark, + 11 billion dollars next package from Norway and not those Norwegian currency it’s worth very little real dollars or euros
Why are nobody talking about this might just be the usual Russian scare tactics like nuclear weapons us to deter countries from helping Ukraine, if it is like so often it will probably backfire and even if the troops are never sent to the front line it will be treated as an escalation and more help will be the result 🤷♂️
@@ronniedale6040 It was classified as a great power not a superpower. Russia had huge influence and argubly still has on central asian countries and still pulling strings in european and american politics
That one guy who made a bet back in 2022 on the million-to-one odds of Russia becoming a tributary state of North Korea is probably on the edge of his seat right now
North Korea an Article 4 defense agreement with Russia that is similar to Article 5 in NATO. And there are already NATO soldiers in Ukraine. Bodies have been identified.
I think you got both of those names wrong. Don't the Fins call themselves _Yukko_ or something, and I know the Koreans call themselves something, too. _Hap?_ Just like Japan is _Nihhon,_ and the Japanese language _Nihhon-go,_ because they are the _Nihhon-gowa_ people/Tribe.
The thing is…..I not sure it’s even that. It’s sitting on a HUUUUGE pile of built-up munitions. I suspect that their actual production rate of ammo is generally low, due to a lack of energy and metal resources. Then again, it’s been decades since the 1950s, and they’ve had periods of time where they could have built many rounds. But unlike the Arsenal of Democracy, they don’t have the innate ability to build much of this on their own.
@@jimtalbott9535north korea has a pretty high production of artillery shells. They primarily make the 'casing' part (not a native English speaker so forgive errors). It's the hard part, something they've been making non-stop for more than half a century. So they have the capacity to rapidly finish huge amounts of munitions very quickly.
@ Yeah, I was looking this up. They have plenty of resources to make basic steel types, and some of the minerals needed to make hardened steel, which is needed to make 152mm shells. It SEEMS like their defects are coming from the finishing process.
@@jimtalbott9535 What @setlerking wrote. NK has a perversely outsized domestic military production capacity compared its economy and... rationality. It may be outdated, but they have been preparing for a resumption of the war for 50 years, so not only do they have huge stockpiles, they have the ability to resume production at high rates. So "Arsenal of Autocracies" was a glib joke, but it has a truth.
On the other hand, them not knowing how to share their sensitive Intel in the interwebz (like TikTok army and Russians do) might be a huge plus. Budanov will have to look closer to figure out what's going on instead of just browsing telegram and having his job done by Russians themselves.
Just for a bit of context. North Koreans work outside of North Korea in commercial capacity too, and most of them are required to pay "taxes" to their government in arrangements that is indeed what perun was suggesting in the video. A very sad and true situation.
I'm guessing that the government actually gets the paycheck and the worker gets a per diem. Probably around $1 per month or so. Happy travels and all that is included
@@peacepeople9895 This might not be true but from what I have heard some do not even get money. But they get paid in stuff, sort of like rations they can pick from an available list. Even though they have a choice in what they get, it apparently is still very little.
@@peacepeople9895 i believe Jake Broe shared in one of his vids recently that the average wage for the army guys there is $1-3 a month so i assume the ones that get sent abroad for regular labor get something similar.
That's because next week's episode is a no-brainer. "How a Trump presidency changes the situation in Ukraine." Assuming they aren't still counting votes, and assuming that former President Trump does win.
@@planofman8599 It takes about ten minutes to sum up the differences: Harris will be the same, but a lot tougher than Biden. Trump will zip open his trousers, tell everybody that he has the greatest and will solve this in five minutes, while Russians inserted into Trump's entourage will frantically remind him there were cameras in that Moscow hotel he stayed in and he should really keep listening to what Putin says like Trump listened about Syria and Afghanistan, and what he actually does while his running mate is having intercourse with the white house furniture, is a cointoss because nobody knows what Trump will do, not even Trump. A more politely-worded version of this was recently released by Anders Puck Nielsen.
[Edit: @FarmerDrew used tolerance correctly with regards to manufacturing, high tolerance apparently means wider tolerances, not tighter] in shell manufacturing... They don't seem to care how well the shells fit in the barrels or how much powder the cases have😂
@@rettro6578 2 years into a war between a "superpower" with 145m people and a country many people in the world couldn't point to on a map with 45m people. Even if they win, Russia already lost
@@rettro6578 No matter what happens in the future, Russia has already lost. She has lost her military 'prestige', she has lost hundreds of thousands of Russian soldiers, she has lost her links with Europe and the West, she has lost her balance of power with China. Nothing that Russia might gain in Ukraine can remotely compensate for the humiliation that Russia has suffered in Ukraine. The need for N. Korean soldiers as cannon fodder is proof positive of Russian weakness.
Russia: western escalation is inacceptable! Also Russia: btw we just involved another nuclear power who in a state of cold war on its own southern border in this war i hope you guys don't mind Just... I mean come on surely nato will lift weapons restrictions? Any day now? FFS what clown show is this!
@@hungrymusicwolf A Cold War is defined by the opponents not being at war with each other. The koreas only have a ceasefire. A very long-term ceasefire but even that is still a state of actual, hot war.
@@FlibbleBeck I live in America at the moment and most people I've spoken to couldn't give a shit about what happens outside the US. People here vote based on personal interest and nothing else, and will openly say that and see no problem with it. Maybe this is just what people are like but I feel like ignorance is much more prevalent here.
This hesitance from NATO is so frustrating. That peace proposal from this JD Vance senator is exactly what Russia wants. It will achieve practically nothing and will just postpone the problem that need to be resolved in this war while validating success for this type of politics and Putin proclaiming himself a victor. Saying that "we will not impose future restrictions" after Korean troops in Russia, it's like what the hell it implies? That USA originally planned to restrict Ukraine even more? Its just ridiculous.
Let's just be thankful that finally we are seeing some DIVERSITY & INCLUSIVITY in this war ! Finally, we are seeing some people of colour taking part in the war. ENOUGH of the privileged white straight men who have been dominating this war. Hopefully, we will also see more women and the LGBT community joining this war soon.
odds are, the white house doesn't want to make any kind of reaction this close to a super close election. I imagine after the election, they might look into their tool kit for possible answers.
I don't think any peace is exactly what Russia wants. Russia _has_ to keep fighting and stay on a war footing at this point. They also can't afford to slow down and wait 5 or so years to rebuild for another attempt. Their economy is so dependent on war and wartime spending that it can't function without it now. Well, not without a horrific recession that would probably see putin removed from power. Remember, after WW2, the US had a recession that was only curbed by rebuilding half of the world. Russia doesn't have any options like that for massive projects or spending. Especially with all but a handful of nations not wanting anything to do with them, and those that do knowing they need to be wary because at any moment Russia could go back to war and back on all of the deals and agreements. The only "Theory for victory" for Russia puts them in control of Ukraine and using that to have a secure and defensable position so that they can strike out at various NATO states. So, a state of perpetual war. The hope is currently to divide NATO and weaken it so that few members would join in on, say, a war over the Baltics. So, Russia only has two outs at this point: Capitulating Ukraine (either by NATO giving up or by breaking Ukraine's military, or both) or a collapse on the home front (civil war, coup, revolution, economic/institution/demographic collapse, or some combination thereof). This is incredibly important to remember because, allegedly, Trump is going to try to broker a peace once his term begins. If this didn't necessarily fail, there could be trouble. But, luckily, we are saved from his... special diplomatic operation by circumstance.
@@Isometrix116 You are lost, mate. Russia has been patient for decades, consented to the Minsk accord, and tabled a peace deal which was Zenlensky was told to refuse by Boris Johnson.
@justinmccarthy-z5c More than anything, I'm just annoyed you said I was lost, but then gave the most braindead reasoning. Okay, first off, let's just take the assumption that Russia has been patient for decades. So? Why do you think this necessarily applies now? They've altered their entire society, economy, and geopolitical position. That's about as significant a change as you can manage. If you've altered those things, your conditions have changed and we cannot use what they were capable of prior to estimate what they are capable of now. We have to account for that change. Hence, what I said. I was so confused about the Minsk thing. Turns out, this is just one of those things that Putin said that is not supported by facts or reality. Regardless, it apparently happened near the start of the war. Once again, much has changed since then. Also, why would anyone think Boris Johnson had sufficient power to even force that? The UK isn't exactly a military, economic, or political powerhouse. So, TL;DR: Seemingly, you fail to realize that situations change over time and what is and isn't possible does as well. Alternatively, you don't realize how much Russia has been forced to change in the two and a half years since the start of the war.
>"BEST POWERPOINT" >doesn't even use papyrus font, impact font, or tacky MS powerpoint stock art. i dunno man, the powerpoints i made in 8th grade were pretty strong.
Omnissiah bless your 40k references, they bring lovely little respites of humour amongst the dense information. I only found your channel fairly recently but it's incredible 👏
seriously playing WH40k gladius and had this in the background and was like wait did i just hear that right? like "i swear he ALSO just said dakka..." lol
I have some pretty specific feelings about the Mechanicus... borderline heretics. One even claimed the Omnissiah wasn't the Emperor... and I call heresy on that. Another one told me he was tired of "flapping this flesh mouth" to which I took direct offense.
The only thing I can guess is they set aside a couple of the sketchiest looking rounds for last and if they have to retreat, they pop those off back to back until one destroys the barrel.
Man, I really love living in a country that doesn’t have a tragically comical, bloated, constantly lying self-serving autocrat as its head of state. I really hope that continues.
"Speak softly and carry a big stick". This war shows very clearly: carrying a big stick works. Giving up your big stick for a bunch of sweet promises, does not. Never let go of your big stick, because all thats left to you then, is hope people remember their sweet promices, and soft speech.
If you're referring to Ukraine giving up their nukes in The Budapest Memorandum, I wonder if that actually would have made a difference in the long term. Yes they had physical control the weapons but I don't think they had operational control or the pal links, I'm not sure how many if any operational delivery systems they had and so on. The 1990s were a hard time for everyone post Soviet and as that old, possibly apocryphal, Napoleon quote goes "you can do everything with bayonets except sit on them." in other words, you can't eat your nukes and post Soviet Ukraine needed money, supplies, trade deals, political favors and so on. maybe it's easy to say in hindsight would you can see but at the time would they really have been better served by keeping those weapons when there was no obvious threat and losing out on everything else they needed and maybe causing massive crises within the country? It also may not have even just been that simple as declining or taking the deal, but if they kept the weapons there would have been increasing pressure from both Russia and the United States to do something about it and they may have turned themselves into a pariah state from both East and West. There's also a practical question as to if the Ukrainians had some nuclear weapons today - and what would their program look like would it be strategic, merely tactical, intermediate and so on - how would their relations with Russia have developed and wouldn't have even prevented things like the donbass.
Big sticks cost a lot to maintain. It would have bankrupted Ukraine, even assuming everything else they'd have needed to actually use them fell into place.
@@FNLNFNLN Not if you turn those big sticks into landmines. All they would have had to do is to take the Fissile material from the "sticks" they had and turn them into different "sticks", land mobile, and not necessarily rockets. Frodo and Sam WALKED the ring into the heart of Mordor. May have been slow, but they got the job done.
@@Operator8282 A d1r7y 80m8 doesn't have nearly the deterrent value as the real thing. The cores on those things deteriorate over time, and, if you recall, the russian cores are extra questionable, which is why the US is refurbishing cores from the cold one, while Russia is still manufacturing new ones. It's the sticks themselves that are expensive to maintain, not the things you swing them with. Ukraine would have struggled to find the specialists to perform such maintenance, much less the money to pay for everything.
They didn't. Someone says, "The Great Leader asks for this unit to go to War. All volunteers, one step forward." That's why they are wearing Russian uniforms, carrying Russian ID, and using Russian weapons.
Just elated that I found this channel shortly after the invasion. Learning an incredible new perspective and understanding over the last two and three quarters years. Thank you Perun.
That cliffhanger 'see you then!' at the end is dreadful but accurate! But we should also remember that nation states should be to some degree predictable and steadfast. It just shouldn't be normal that a couple of dozens of thousand votes in some states should be able to so radically change a nation's stance on something as simple as "should we support a country that is being brutally invaded". Adjust direction? Sure. But It is shocking how much of an unreliable and unpredictable partner the USA has become.
@@nono-jj9rrThe history is complicated. CONEX boxes were invented by the US in the 1940s, used for the Korean War, and more famously used in big numbers for the Vietnam War. Containerization as a concept goes back a few centuries. Important international standards for containers were published in the late 1960s and early 1970s, which is where the ISO containers we know today come from.
Except the next 3 months of "walking to our cars after the race" will likely be Interesting Times if a certain candidate loses. I was going to add "and throws a tantrum" but we know they will do that regardless.
@@aoitamashiiA person with a Hajime PFP talking about the dangers of uncritical thinking in a democratic system makes me want to watch non-binary Mark Zuckerberg get abused again. :>
I keep thinking the same thing. The get sent to Kursk from the workers Utopia and find out that they actually get a full meal and the clothing keeps you warm and the equipment actually operates. Sure the Russians look down on you as a 2nd class people, but your belly is full and you have functional stuff. As an added bonus, other than when the bombs take out the electricity, it's always on. The list can go on and on...but you get the picture. Can they actually go back to the DPRK and not talk about it? I believe your one way trip is correct, less mouths for the Kim's to feed and the capitalist pigs are at fault.
Dude, I'm hard pressed to even believe they'll be willing to go back having seen even the TINIEST fraction of what the modern world has on offer. Russia may be a shit place, but it's far less shit than NK is... by a margin I can't even stress the size of. Viewing the two places from space really drives home the point. NK is just a black fucking hole while the rest of us are lit like the sun.
Nah, he'll definitely want them back to train other troops since their troops got zero military combat experience in decades, these guys will be crucial to train other NK troops. South Korea has become a monsterous military over the recent years so he prob worried
Trump is already throwing shade on the outcome, so his internal poling is probably not optimistic. Still, fingers and toes crossed that the US doesn't do a Germany 1933...
"... and a no doubt a non-zero amount of very manual non-compliant welding and occasional bit percussive maintenance. Whatever it takes to rouse the machine spirts to action." I love all the quotable bits he adds in.
Man, most TH-cam channels I can comfortably watch on 2x speed. This one, I legit occasionally have to watch on x0.75 to be able to process all the information properly without constant rewinding. One of a kind.
As someone from Eastern Europe, I thank you for the ending - no additional Channel updates or soft talk. Just the fact that our fate will now be decided by a voter from Pensylvania or one of the other swing states, who either uninformed or uncaring, are willing to throw us under the bus because of memes...
Just the fact that it comes down to that shows American significance is over. USA can neither be considered a reliable nor stable country and ally when the question of whether or not it should betray all its alliances and appease its main adversary is a 50/50 question. It lasted for about 80 years, which is quite pathetic by historical standards, but its probably the first time we’ve seen an Empire collapse purely under its own stupidity rather than outside factors out of its control.
@OdyTypeR probably fairly little considering that the NK's army is more or less a slave army of conscripts... but I can live with my nation burning a little more money than the Koreans considering we don't have to spend 50% of our GDP to do it... unlike the north korean
People in Europe are probably still baffled by the absurdity of it all. And it is truly absurd. Although less so than the fact that no European nation see the need to at least shoot down missiles and drones raining down on Kyiv. The level of political paralysis in Europe atm is surreal
Respond how? Perun already explained why sanctions would have no impact, and the number of NK soldiers is inconsequential. On the plus side, were the trend to continue, SK would benefit in knowing that NK is out of artillery ammo.
In hindsight it seems obvious since NK probably treats its munitions as well as its people if not better but if you told me this earlier It would've taken some convincing and a good amount of time to digest.
I think for Europe the biggest takeaway should be to become independent of US chips - or negotiate contracts so that the US won't have a veto on where to use the chips.
@@tokinsloff312there’s a middle ground. I’m hugely grateful for US support, and even more embarrassed by our lack of stepping up to the plate. As a Brit, our military preparedness is farcical.
@@thanksskeletor4812 And yet, that's going to be the consquence. "Europe lift its own weight" just means the US losing military sales, influence and standing as Europe pivots away from US built and US promises. That's a losing scenario if you're a US policymaker, now having to deal with a economic superpower who you can no longer strongarm thanks to your promises of defence.
I know many of you probably don't want to hear this, but foreign policy is almost a non-issue in this election. In fact, almost no issues seem to matter. The final messages of both campaigns essentially act like America is the only country in the world. Apparently a damn squirrel is a more important flash point right now (I wish I were making that up). I already cast my vote against Trump. But since I don't live in a swing state, that vote was basically meaningless. In the words of Stevie Wonder, heaven help us all.
Americans forget supply lines and the rest of the world exists. They somehow think they can ignore the rest of the world and have no consequences. It will come to bite them in the ass if they proceed with isolationism.
Given the amount of munitions they are putting on these NK ships, it could become the kind of ''accident'' which would make Halifax look like a kid playing with a firecracker
@tristanridley1601 Pretty weird to wish such a disaster on a group of civilians who as individuals are probably only working there because they are forced to. Maybe you don't know how the Halifax explosion affected the local civilian population. It might be different if we knew that the deaths wers all NK government officials, but alas it wouldn't be.
@qZbGmYjS4QusYqv5 really? That's interesting. I guess not surprising, it has been published for 47 years (I looked it up). We must have gotten it within a year or two of it coming out. Was my younger brother's game. After the wall fell, I suppose they would have exported it all over. Australia probably before Of course
"Mud season is no joke" True but I laughed anyway cause yeah it sucks. Nothing like clay mud clinging onto ya boots as ya doing you're thing, it's like having boulders for feet.
North Koreans have been used as a slave workforce in russian far east for years prior to the war. Mainly for logging and as construction workers. So there's some experience with cooperation in Russia.
Given the way the US has pushed all but its highest tech manufacturing overseas, and ROK makes 25% of the world's merchant shipping (to pick one statistic), it isn't that hard a stretch.
Thanks again for recording at a reasonable volume. I listen while working with pumps and fans running in the shop. I can hear you through my meager Bluetooth speakers
I had assumed the North Korean troops would be used for garrison within Russia to move Russian troops up, but the idea of sending them directly against Ukraine’s salient sounds like a recipe for some of the most horrific casualties we’ve seen so far. Ukraine (and Russia) have had a lot of time to sharpen their war fighting ability at this point. All units have veterans, all levels have proven strategic and tactical knowledge that’s up to date with battlefield conditions. Meanwhile, NK troops haven’t seen combat in their life times, are likely even more poorly equipped than Russian conscripts, and who even begins to know what mix of tangible and useful training with magical thinking propaganda they received?
NK troops are cheap and the NK gorverment does'nt care about it people. So if the Nk gerverment want's money. Then they might go with an option that gain them most bang for the bucks.
@ I don’t doubt that the NK Govt is willing to turn lives into cash, I just… man I’m glad I’m not personally in one of those NK units cus I think that is going to get real, real grim.
Also, Russia is very good at making strategic use of human lives without requirement of skill or training. Horrific results, but still strategic value.
Hahaha An Iwas Just Reading how the North koreans are better equipoed than the russians. Why those the west treat everyone Like malnourished Babies and then the loose to goatherder and ASK why? IS it idiocy or pure racism? IS Not working.
I didn't think that because indications were that the Russians had already stripped their garrisons from other places to the bone. What troops were going to be "replaced" by the Norks then?
Once upon a time in 2022, I did sarcastically suggest on Facebook that Russia should request for North Korean soldiers to use to safeguard Siberia, and therefore free up the use of Russian forces based in Siberia in Ukraine instead. Unfortunately, one Ukrainian user did not understand my sarcasm and gave an angry react. Conversely, it seemed there were a few pro-Russian users who liked my comment unironically. The latter is definietly embarassing for pro-Russian folks; in 2022, shouldn't they have simply responded "Russia will never need to use North Korean soldiers"?
They aren't invading... They are assisting an ally.. This isn't unprecedented. In WWI for example Britain and France had people from their Colonies fighting in the trenches on the Western front.. No one ever claimed India was invading Europe or Nigeria was invading Europe. Ironically India and Nigeria both invaded Europe well after the World Wars and Decolonization during peace time..
Ukraine is fighting both Russia and North Korea, Israel is fighting the entire middle-east, the only real 'adversary' country left to keep an eye on is China, and they've been watching their 'allies' get wiped out over the past few years and might not want to act. As a western observer, things are going extremely well from my perspective despite the setbacks. I'm all for more aid to especially Ukraine to help them achieve their goals.
No, Israel is not fighting the "entire middle east". Having had their arses handed to them several times since the establishment of the country of Israel in 1948, Egypt and Jordan, at least openly, are staying well clear of the current fighting in the Middle East.
This whole nonsense where we're scared of escalation just goes against my very fiber as someone from the USA. Arsenal of freedom. "Give" them the arms (read: sell with delayed payments at a discount) we have that are old and would need to be cycled out and let them just... do whatever. Russia doesn't like it? They can stop invading people. It's not like their hardware or forces even remotely scare anyone at this point. They can't take Ukraine so they definitely cannot take the USA with our logistical power to ship confections to war zones on the other side of the planet. For a world war this is all panning out quite well... (if you can't read the sarcasm this is to help clue you in that it exists and do not believe I take the death and suffering of those at war for granted)
"Successfully exiting the barrel of the gun isn't required" They're talking about drone-dropped munition I would assume. A lot of artillery isn't being lobbed many kilometers by a cannon anymore, it's delivered right to your door via quad-rotor.
A 122 mm shell weighs about 22 kg, while an Orlan-10 (for example) can carry a 2.5 kg payload. Bigger drones that can carry such a large payload might instead be fitted with one or two S-8 rockets weighing about 12 kg each with a range of a couple of kilometers and Ugroza laser guidance.
It's called a misfire or a hang fire. A shell which doesn't exit the barrel is still live. If it has gone far enough or the push from the powder was strong enough, the fuze safety may have been disengaged, leaving you with the option of trying the fish a shell out of a rifled barrel which twists the shell, remembering that shell rotation can set off the fuze or reaching down the barrel and trying to deset the fuze. If the shell goes off, it blows out the barrel, adding the material of the barrel around the shell to the fragmentation effect. What Perun is saying is that DRKA quality control is so poor that evidently significant numbers of misfires or hand fires are occurring when the Russians fire North Korean shells.
@@michaelsnyder3871 I'm aware. I'm just saying that artillery shells that have a working warhead, but bunk charges could still be useful in a war where both sides are dropping IED's on each other with drones all day long. There's valid reasons a military might want "defunct" shells that "don't even make it outta the end of the barrel" - because they plan on doing other things with them than shooting them.
They're also good for making fake equipment look real. Secondaries or the lack thereof is one of the main ways people currently judge if something is real or not. If you know a round is bad, you can shove it in some fake equipment to make it look real on the highlights reel.
22:15 Random thing that really bugs me - that headline says "Ukraine fires 2 times fewer shells than Russia"... just use division. Or swap the order. "Ukraine fires half as many shells as Russia", "Russia fires 2 times more shells than Ukraine". What the hell kind of word problem English is "2 times fewer"?
"Arsenal of Autocracy" is an amazing line, but I don't think the reality of it hit me until that artillery shell graph. This is seriously the weirdest war I've heard of.
The West is yet to present a meaningful response to this escalation. It seems they're still talking about this in uncertain terms, as if NK troops aren't already being spotted in Ukraine.
One underestimated aspect is the shared legacy of Soviet military doctrine. Sure, the units of these units fight differently for obvious cultural and historical reasons, but that shared legacy can still be drawn from to develop some common command structures and organisational language. Also, IIRC Russia has a pretty sizeable Korean-speaking minority. Dont know if there are substantial dialectical variations, but Im sure their knowledge can be drawn from to smooth the integration of DPRK forces. And if the Koreans end up operating in separate units at division-level, I guess theyll only need fairly senior commanders to communicate directly with the Russians? Much like Franco-English forces in the world wars. Both nations can probably find enough people speaking both languages to make that happen Overall, these two countries are far from world apart from one another. The process of integrating units into existing structures will be challenging, but far from impossible.
It's a long train ride from the port the North Koreans arrive at, Vladivostok, to the staging camp for equipment issue, about a month. I haven't found out if Russian is taught in North Korean school as an elective foreign language, like Chinese traditionally was in Korea before it was divided (Chinese being the language of scholars). Or, if North Korea tests its soldiers for language aptitude. But one month confined to a train could be plenty of opportunity to get pretty passable at a language, with some bottles of alcohol, a pack of cards, and the right company. Maybe a radio, for news and music to discuss. Put a boxing ring in one car of the train, give folks something different to discuss and bet on, and a means of dealing with arguments without damaging discipline.
@@gustavlarsson9932 Rather, familiar North Korean weapon manuals with companion translations in Rus, then the manuals for the weapons they will be issued, in Rus, where they have to bounce between books until they recognize the common words to make progress.
That's theoretical/generalistic. It's different trying to do things at ground level. Even Americans & Brits have had problems operating together over the years.
Imagine playing a computer strategy game based on Russia. At the START of your campaign you have all the highest tier equipment and loads of reserves. But by the 3rd mission you are only able to requisition trash tier equipment. It's like reverse progression!
@MM22966 there's a mod for a cold war submarine commander sim game called Cold Waters, i believe its DOTmod? Either that or EpicMod, that uses historical rosters of enemy subs, meaning that as you sink their prize fleet of subs with less than 10units, you start seeing them resorting to older tech, and if the enemy ai plays really poorly the second half of the campaign is just watching the soviets throw poor old boats at you until the final mission where you hunt down their worst ballistic missile sub because its all they have left Still quite fun to play through
Another great analysis from Perun on a very recent topic! From this presentation one can learn a lot more than spending hours with other sources! Keep up the good work!
It gives us a lever to pull if we really want something. We want a government that isn’t going to start a nuclear war or push for reunification. NK is stable. Food insecurity leads to insurrection. NK knows this. Kim doesn’t want to die at the hands of starving citizens just yet.
Sponsored by Ground News: Compare news coverage from diverse sources around the world on a transparent platform driven by data. Try Ground News today and get 50% off your subscription for a limited time: ground.news/perun
Well, be honest. Did anyone have this on their predictions list back in early 2022?
This is still an evolving story but one that I don't think should either be exaggerated in the short term or underestimated in the longer run. In the short term, I think the focus should remain on the DPRK's role as a munitions provider. Those 6-9 million rounds may not be great, but I think the evidence suggests they're already making a difference - and that perhaps provides greater context to while the destruction of facilities where these rounds might be inspected and restored if needed might be considered a Ukrainian priority.
If the Ukrainian 2023 offensive was partly enabled by ROK ammunition supplies to the USA enabling US shipments, I think there's a case to be made that Russia's recent pushes have been underwritten by the DPRK.
One small correction reading the data - at one point I refer to Russian AFV losses in September and October being 60% higher than the 2023 average, I meant to say 'more than 60%' as the actual figures are north of 70% I believe.
Finally - since there was no channel update this week, Patreon and Perun gaming releases have been pushed to Tuesday due to some complications this week, but they are on their way.
some of your old analysis didnt turn out to be very accurate...
russia won
I didn't expect Russia to produce more 152mm shells than the entire NATO does 155mm.
But what blew me completely away is Russia being able to BUY more than the west. Because being able to acquire military goods quickly is actually a function of a nation's soft power. Very surprising
Please don’t praise Norway so much they are when it comes to donations to Ukraine the black sheep of Northern Europe countries, they are the country in the world with the greatest ability to support Ukraine and they are down the list 17-18 where the USA and Germany is at, compared to GDP nominal per capita the same way NATO budget are calculated, Denmark nr. 1 has donated 500-600% per capita GDP nominal, the new danish package number 22 is 350 million dollars or about double of the Norwegian package also air defense on the requests of Ukraine it should be Norway that donated more than Denmark they are much richer than Denmark, Sweden which is even less rich then Denmark sometimes take loans to help Ukraine and is one of the top donors to. Norway has 1,8 trillion dollars in their surplus money fund and 90-100k dollars per capita nominal GDP which is usually number two in the world, it’s nice they donate but wait with the praise until they are double of Denmark, + 11 billion dollars next package from Norway and not those Norwegian currency it’s worth very little real dollars or euros
Will like and share video!
Why are nobody talking about this might just be the usual Russian scare tactics like nuclear weapons us to deter countries from helping Ukraine, if it is like so often it will probably backfire and even if the troops are never sent to the front line it will be treated as an escalation and more help will be the result 🤷♂️
I hadn't even imagined in my wildest dreams that I would see North Korean troops fighting a ground war in Europe in my lifetime
And it was only half a decade ago that they were blowing themselves up in welding accidents in Europe
In all fairness one would have expected a "superpower" to have handled this by now
It's gonna get crazier just wait
And you are not.
@@ronniedale6040 It was classified as a great power not a superpower. Russia had huge influence and argubly still has on central asian countries and still pulling strings in european and american politics
That one guy who made a bet back in 2022 on the million-to-one odds of Russia becoming a tributary state of North Korea is probably on the edge of his seat right now
I mean, if he made that bet back then and has sat waiting since then, I bet he definitely is on the edge of his chair. He'll really need a pee by now
😅😂🤣 That's hilarious!
your brain is Zionist occupied territory.
North Korea an Article 4 defense agreement with Russia that is similar to Article 5 in NATO.
And there are already NATO soldiers in Ukraine. Bodies have been identified.
@@GeistInTheMachine Define "NATO soldiers".
The only victors in this are the Wikipedians who can add the DPRK to the “Belligerents” panel of the war’s Wikipedia page.
Glad I'm not the only one who thought of this 😭
sorry mate they arent there. Theyre listed as military suppliers
@@RoadArchie NOOOOOO :(
Sounds like Kim is gonna get a nice paycheck out of the whole thing.
@RoadArchie they aren't there yet*.
When you think the
Finno-Korean war won’t happen at all suddenly the possibility exists.
Russia will not strike Finland, the nato response would be devastating
I think you got both of those names wrong. Don't the Fins call themselves _Yukko_ or something, and I know the Koreans call themselves something, too. _Hap?_ Just like Japan is _Nihhon,_ and the Japanese language _Nihhon-go,_ because they are the _Nihhon-gowa_ people/Tribe.
Finno-Korean hyperwar... we thought that graph was our history but it turned out to be our future. History is really circular
Imagine the confusion the North Koreans must feel when they encounter Finnish tango, saunas and the Finnish language.
Hakka pellä, poika!!
Based comment
"Arsenal of Autocracies". Good one.
16:52 for reference to DPRK as "Arsenal of Autocracy."
The thing is…..I not sure it’s even that. It’s sitting on a HUUUUGE pile of built-up munitions. I suspect that their actual production rate of ammo is generally low, due to a lack of energy and metal resources.
Then again, it’s been decades since the 1950s, and they’ve had periods of time where they could have built many rounds. But unlike the Arsenal of Democracy, they don’t have the innate ability to build much of this on their own.
@@jimtalbott9535north korea has a pretty high production of artillery shells. They primarily make the 'casing' part (not a native English speaker so forgive errors). It's the hard part, something they've been making non-stop for more than half a century. So they have the capacity to rapidly finish huge amounts of munitions very quickly.
@ Yeah, I was looking this up. They have plenty of resources to make basic steel types, and some of the minerals needed to make hardened steel, which is needed to make 152mm shells. It SEEMS like their defects are coming from the finishing process.
@@jimtalbott9535 What @setlerking wrote. NK has a perversely outsized domestic military production capacity compared its economy and... rationality. It may be outdated, but they have been preparing for a resumption of the war for 50 years, so not only do they have huge stockpiles, they have the ability to resume production at high rates.
So "Arsenal of Autocracies" was a glib joke, but it has a truth.
you've heard of the tiktok army, now witness the "what the fuck is even a cell phone" army.
carrier pidgeon army
On the other hand, them not knowing how to share their sensitive Intel in the interwebz (like TikTok army and Russians do) might be a huge plus.
Budanov will have to look closer to figure out what's going on instead of just browsing telegram and having his job done by Russians themselves.
What the hell is food other than rice army
@@razetheraven7240
On the other hand, technological familiarity is important. It's likely these troops won't have the background most others do.
Truly are a blessed people 😂
Just for a bit of context. North Koreans work outside of North Korea in commercial capacity too, and most of them are required to pay "taxes" to their government in arrangements that is indeed what perun was suggesting in the video. A very sad and true situation.
I'm guessing that the government actually gets the paycheck and the worker gets a per diem. Probably around $1 per month or so. Happy travels and all that is included
@@peacepeople9895 This might not be true but from what I have heard some do not even get money. But they get paid in stuff, sort of like rations they can pick from an available list. Even though they have a choice in what they get, it apparently is still very little.
Kind of how US expats are required to still pay taxes to Washington?
@@peacepeople9895 i believe Jake Broe shared in one of his vids recently that the average wage for the army guys there is $1-3 a month so i assume the ones that get sent abroad for regular labor get something similar.
@@peacepeople9895 IRS also taxes your income from foreign sources dude... at at 45% rate.
That "see you then" hit different this week.
He dropped the channel update this time....
@@AGS363 I'm scared
That's because next week's episode is a no-brainer. "How a Trump presidency changes the situation in Ukraine." Assuming they aren't still counting votes, and assuming that former President Trump does win.
@@planofman8599 With new polls showing Trump *losing* Iowa, we can only hope and pray for the sake of Ukraine that doesn't happen
@@planofman8599
It takes about ten minutes to sum up the differences:
Harris will be the same, but a lot tougher than Biden.
Trump will zip open his trousers, tell everybody that he has the greatest and will solve this in five minutes, while Russians inserted into Trump's entourage will frantically remind him there were cameras in that Moscow hotel he stayed in and he should really keep listening to what Putin says like Trump listened about Syria and Afghanistan, and what he actually does while his running mate is having intercourse with the white house furniture, is a cointoss because nobody knows what Trump will do, not even Trump.
A more politely-worded version of this was recently released by Anders Puck Nielsen.
We've learned the Norko way:
High tolerance of Personal freedom ❌️
High tolerance in artillery shell manufacturing ✅️
[Edit: @FarmerDrew used tolerance correctly with regards to manufacturing, high tolerance apparently means wider tolerances, not tighter] in shell manufacturing... They don't seem to care how well the shells fit in the barrels or how much powder the cases have😂
@@kschleic9053That's what high tolerance means.
@@kschleic9053Tolerance is being used to refer to size variation in manufacturing, not in quality control
@freddierhodes8201 high tolerance is akin to high precision in engineering. OP probably meant low tolerance.
@@derekcline950 high tolerance means wider tolerances while low tolerance means tighter tolerances
26:01 Perun found dead, fallen out window after leaking latest Kiwiland main battle tank design
This war keeps getting weirder and weirder
That's how Ukrane likes it...
@@rettro6578 2 years into a war between a "superpower" with 145m people and a country many people in the world couldn't point to on a map with 45m people. Even if they win, Russia already lost
@@Kaz7.Yeah, the West and Russia, we all lost. Play stupid games, win stupid prizes. Only ones winning so far are earthworms.
@@rettro6578 No matter what happens in the future, Russia has already lost. She has lost her military 'prestige', she has lost hundreds of thousands of Russian soldiers, she has lost her links with Europe and the West, she has lost her balance of power with China. Nothing that Russia might gain in Ukraine can remotely compensate for the humiliation that Russia has suffered in Ukraine. The need for N. Korean soldiers as cannon fodder is proof positive of Russian weakness.
North Korea has troops in Russia just like Iraq had WMD
Russia: western escalation is inacceptable!
Also Russia: btw we just involved another nuclear power who in a state of cold war on its own southern border in this war i hope you guys don't mind
Just... I mean come on surely nato will lift weapons restrictions? Any day now? FFS what clown show is this!
NKorea is not in a "Cold War", it is in a Hot War with the US and South Korea, just in a state of cease fire.
This is a direct response to western escalation. They thought that Russia would just stand by and watch. Too bad.
@@SoloRenegade What do you think a war where people aren't actively shooting at each other is called? Or what a cease fire is?
disinformation in the nutshell
@@hungrymusicwolf A Cold War is defined by the opponents not being at war with each other.
The koreas only have a ceasefire. A very long-term ceasefire but even that is still a state of actual, hot war.
No channel updates,
No Perun Gaming news,
He ends on a cliffhanger!
I'd personally like to live at least a year without cliffhangers like this, if at all possible.
At least on the global stage.
The world's on a cliffhanger. Most Americans don't realise the baited breath everyone's taking whilst they pop their yolo vote into the box.
@@FlibbleBeck I live in America at the moment and most people I've spoken to couldn't give a shit about what happens outside the US. People here vote based on personal interest and nothing else, and will openly say that and see no problem with it.
Maybe this is just what people are like but I feel like ignorance is much more prevalent here.
просто они взрослые и есть чем заняться , удачи в колледже/школе
Never have I imagined the biggest cliffhanger we'll have is from an Aussie Powerpoint man discussing military stuff on TH-cam.
Perun PowerPoint Sunday grateful to you so much, appreciated 🙏
Anyone supporting transZensky is a traitor of Ukrainian people!
Ending of this episode gave me a greater sense of dread than any tv show
The West has lost.
Very unsettling.
@@rettro6578 ...patience with Russia
@@rettro6578Russia’s only one heart beat away from chaos, comerade.
@@rettro6578 Hahaha, if you wanna believe that, cant see Nato soldiers playing fertilizer yet tho
Man if the purpose of art is to feel something, Perun created a museum-worthy piece with the sheer dread that "see you then" inspired in me.
Can confirm: you are not the only one.
Yeah... That one hit differently...
chills down the spine, a deep sigh followed
As an American, I am terrified. That cliff-hanger end, just out the dread icing on the horror cake. 😵💫
I wonder how Emutopia is handling the growth of the Kiwiland military industrial complex these days
You saw our proud Semple tank, be afraid...... be very afraid ......
Heard rumours that we might be increasing military spending by a few hundred dollars… Its on
Didn’t Kiwiland acquire a new submarine a couple of weeks ago?
@@peterwebb8732 We made our own!
@@peterwebb8732 I don't think it was really a new submarine, they simply a re-purposed existing vessel, so no net gain in naval power.
This hesitance from NATO is so frustrating. That peace proposal from this JD Vance senator is exactly what Russia wants. It will achieve practically nothing and will just postpone the problem that need to be resolved in this war while validating success for this type of politics and Putin proclaiming himself a victor. Saying that "we will not impose future restrictions" after Korean troops in Russia, it's like what the hell it implies? That USA originally planned to restrict Ukraine even more? Its just ridiculous.
Let's just be thankful that finally we are seeing some DIVERSITY & INCLUSIVITY in this war ! Finally, we are seeing some people of colour taking part in the war. ENOUGH of the privileged white straight men who have been dominating this war. Hopefully, we will also see more women and the LGBT community joining this war soon.
odds are, the white house doesn't want to make any kind of reaction this close to a super close election. I imagine after the election, they might look into their tool kit for possible answers.
I don't think any peace is exactly what Russia wants. Russia _has_ to keep fighting and stay on a war footing at this point. They also can't afford to slow down and wait 5 or so years to rebuild for another attempt. Their economy is so dependent on war and wartime spending that it can't function without it now. Well, not without a horrific recession that would probably see putin removed from power.
Remember, after WW2, the US had a recession that was only curbed by rebuilding half of the world. Russia doesn't have any options like that for massive projects or spending. Especially with all but a handful of nations not wanting anything to do with them, and those that do knowing they need to be wary because at any moment Russia could go back to war and back on all of the deals and agreements.
The only "Theory for victory" for Russia puts them in control of Ukraine and using that to have a secure and defensable position so that they can strike out at various NATO states. So, a state of perpetual war. The hope is currently to divide NATO and weaken it so that few members would join in on, say, a war over the Baltics.
So, Russia only has two outs at this point: Capitulating Ukraine (either by NATO giving up or by breaking Ukraine's military, or both) or a collapse on the home front (civil war, coup, revolution, economic/institution/demographic collapse, or some combination thereof).
This is incredibly important to remember because, allegedly, Trump is going to try to broker a peace once his term begins. If this didn't necessarily fail, there could be trouble. But, luckily, we are saved from his... special diplomatic operation by circumstance.
@@Isometrix116 You are lost, mate. Russia has been patient for decades, consented to the Minsk accord, and tabled a peace deal which was Zenlensky was told to refuse by Boris Johnson.
@justinmccarthy-z5c More than anything, I'm just annoyed you said I was lost, but then gave the most braindead reasoning.
Okay, first off, let's just take the assumption that Russia has been patient for decades. So? Why do you think this necessarily applies now? They've altered their entire society, economy, and geopolitical position. That's about as significant a change as you can manage. If you've altered those things, your conditions have changed and we cannot use what they were capable of prior to estimate what they are capable of now. We have to account for that change. Hence, what I said.
I was so confused about the Minsk thing. Turns out, this is just one of those things that Putin said that is not supported by facts or reality. Regardless, it apparently happened near the start of the war. Once again, much has changed since then. Also, why would anyone think Boris Johnson had sufficient power to even force that? The UK isn't exactly a military, economic, or political powerhouse.
So, TL;DR: Seemingly, you fail to realize that situations change over time and what is and isn't possible does as well. Alternatively, you don't realize how much Russia has been forced to change in the two and a half years since the start of the war.
Russia: "N. Korea is copying everything we gave them!"
N.Korea: it is all future production capacity when you will need it!
NK: [turns out to be worse at ammo manufacturing than Russia]
In before some North Korean general says, "Stalin, we are here."
Not all heroes wear capes
Some make the best powerpoint in history to close the week
It's to start the week for me.
@@tonychan647Nice, it must be Monday where you are
>"BEST POWERPOINT"
>doesn't even use papyrus font, impact font, or tacky MS powerpoint stock art.
i dunno man, the powerpoints i made in 8th grade were pretty strong.
@@JozefLucifugeKorzeniowski Perun seems to be an "all guns, no butter" presenter. All meat, no salad.
Vulkan lives!
Omnissiah bless your 40k references, they bring lovely little respites of humour amongst the dense information. I only found your channel fairly recently but it's incredible 👏
For the Emperor!
seriously playing WH40k gladius and had this in the background and was like wait did i just hear that right? like "i swear he ALSO just said dakka..." lol
Now you too can feel the power of Power Point slides. Welcome to the class.
I have some pretty specific feelings about the Mechanicus... borderline heretics. One even claimed the Omnissiah wasn't the Emperor... and I call heresy on that. Another one told me he was tired of "flapping this flesh mouth" to which I took direct offense.
It does warm the cold metallic heart.
Shells not leaving the barrel bit made me laugh out loud in public the two times it hit the script. Brilliant as usual!
The only thing I can guess is they set aside a couple of the sketchiest looking rounds for last and if they have to retreat, they pop those off back to back until one destroys the barrel.
Thank you upside down power point man! I love falling asleep to these and then rewind after waking up.
I thought I was the only one doing that. Some of those I must have re-listened 10 times
Thanks Perun for consistently delivering high quality content! Much appreciated!
nope. More fake news about alleged N Korean troops... Without single piece of evidence
Man, I really love living in a country that doesn’t have a tragically comical, bloated, constantly lying self-serving autocrat as its head of state. I really hope that continues.
Iceland?
Yeah, I'm with Bluto, where the devil DO you live?
You just described 99% of world leaders.
How many civilians in Gaza would it take for you to care?
@@jb76489ooooh a real bot in the wild!
Russian Army: Dad, can we get chinese troops?
Putin: We have chinese troops at home.
Are yiU deaf? ...ruskie look alike.
KOREAN TROOPS IN CHINESE-MADE UNIFORMS IN RUSSIAN SERVICE.
"Speak softly and carry a big stick". This war shows very clearly: carrying a big stick works. Giving up your big stick for a bunch of sweet promises, does not. Never let go of your big stick, because all thats left to you then, is hope people remember their sweet promices, and soft speech.
If you're referring to Ukraine giving up their nukes in The Budapest Memorandum, I wonder if that actually would have made a difference in the long term.
Yes they had physical control the weapons but I don't think they had operational control or the pal links, I'm not sure how many if any operational delivery systems they had and so on. The 1990s were a hard time for everyone post Soviet and as that old, possibly apocryphal, Napoleon quote goes "you can do everything with bayonets except sit on them." in other words, you can't eat your nukes and post Soviet Ukraine needed money, supplies, trade deals, political favors and so on. maybe it's easy to say in hindsight would you can see but at the time would they really have been better served by keeping those weapons when there was no obvious threat and losing out on everything else they needed and maybe causing massive crises within the country?
It also may not have even just been that simple as declining or taking the deal, but if they kept the weapons there would have been increasing pressure from both Russia and the United States to do something about it and they may have turned themselves into a pariah state from both East and West.
There's also a practical question as to if the Ukrainians had some nuclear weapons today - and what would their program look like would it be strategic, merely tactical, intermediate and so on - how would their relations with Russia have developed and wouldn't have even prevented things like the donbass.
Big sticks cost a lot to maintain. It would have bankrupted Ukraine, even assuming everything else they'd have needed to actually use them fell into place.
Amen, brother.
@@FNLNFNLN Not if you turn those big sticks into landmines. All they would have had to do is to take the Fissile material from the "sticks" they had and turn them into different "sticks", land mobile, and not necessarily rockets. Frodo and Sam WALKED the ring into the heart of Mordor. May have been slow, but they got the job done.
@@Operator8282 A d1r7y 80m8 doesn't have nearly the deterrent value as the real thing.
The cores on those things deteriorate over time, and, if you recall, the russian cores are extra questionable, which is why the US is refurbishing cores from the cold one, while Russia is still manufacturing new ones.
It's the sticks themselves that are expensive to maintain, not the things you swing them with.
Ukraine would have struggled to find the specialists to perform such maintenance, much less the money to pay for everything.
WOOHOO POWERPOINT TIME. THANK YOU
Can you believe that half a million people think this every Sunday? The world was truly a different place before COVID and Russia invading Ukraine.
I wonder how many people in 2022 had "North Korea declares war on Ukraine" for their 2024 Bingo card.
Wait, did North Korea actually declare war?
@@peka2478 Special Distant Military Operation?
@@peka2478 Nobody declares wars nowadays. It doesn't change the fact that they are actually happening
@@LuzikArbuzik77 yeah, thats what i thought as well,
which is why i was surprised that ecclesiast here said "declares war"
They didn't.
Someone says, "The Great Leader asks for this unit to go to War. All volunteers, one step forward." That's why they are wearing Russian uniforms, carrying Russian ID, and using Russian weapons.
Just elated that I found this channel shortly after the invasion. Learning an incredible new perspective and understanding over the last two and three quarters years. Thank you Perun.
That cliffhanger 'see you then!' at the end is dreadful but accurate!
But we should also remember that nation states should be to some degree predictable and steadfast. It just shouldn't be normal that a couple of dozens of thousand votes in some states should be able to so radically change a nation's stance on something as simple as "should we support a country that is being brutally invaded".
Adjust direction? Sure. But It is shocking how much of an unreliable and unpredictable partner the USA has become.
Watching this video after election night is………….sobering
Cutting edge technology like shipping containers is huge for the war effort.
Having been a logistics Marine, I can't disagree with it.
I was a bit disappointed he didn't follow with "which were invented by the US during the Vietnam war"
Malcolm McLean changed human civilization with a better box, and nobody noticed.
@@MrMontanaNightslol, rah Devil, sleeves down season now
@@nono-jj9rrThe history is complicated. CONEX boxes were invented by the US in the 1940s, used for the Korean War, and more famously used in big numbers for the Vietnam War. Containerization as a concept goes back a few centuries. Important international standards for containers were published in the late 1960s and early 1970s, which is where the ISO containers we know today come from.
The warhammer references give me some joy during these tougher topics.
"this episode has the dubious honor of airing during the closing of the US election" - dropped off my ballot this morning. coming to the finish line 🏁
The sad part is the rhetoric isn't going to stop no matter who wins.
Except the next 3 months of "walking to our cars after the race" will likely be Interesting Times if a certain candidate loses. I was going to add "and throws a tantrum" but we know they will do that regardless.
@@aoitamashiiA person with a Hajime PFP talking about the dangers of uncritical thinking in a democratic system makes me want to watch non-binary Mark Zuckerberg get abused again. :>
I think that all those N Korean troops are on a one way trip, Kim can't let them return home after they've seen the outside world.
I keep thinking the same thing. The get sent to Kursk from the workers Utopia and find out that they actually get a full meal and the clothing keeps you warm and the equipment actually operates. Sure the Russians look down on you as a 2nd class people, but your belly is full and you have functional stuff. As an added bonus, other than when the bombs take out the electricity, it's always on. The list can go on and on...but you get the picture.
Can they actually go back to the DPRK and not talk about it? I believe your one way trip is correct, less mouths for the Kim's to feed and the capitalist pigs are at fault.
More importantly... what will happen to those that inevitably will be captured?
Dude, I'm hard pressed to even believe they'll be willing to go back having seen even the TINIEST fraction of what the modern world has on offer. Russia may be a shit place, but it's far less shit than NK is... by a margin I can't even stress the size of. Viewing the two places from space really drives home the point. NK is just a black fucking hole while the rest of us are lit like the sun.
Nah, he'll definitely want them back to train other troops since their troops got zero military combat experience in decades, these guys will be crucial to train other NK troops. South Korea has become a monsterous military over the recent years so he prob worried
Selected loyal officers may go back to train the army. The rest is just walking meat
Russia is now the third best army in Russia?
_Oooooh._ Spetnaz say, "Them's fightin' words, Pilgrim."
welcome to ukr foreign legion. not waste your time.
Ukraine has not recruited for the foreign Legion, those are volunteers that came on their own. Ukraine, vets them integrates them.
I am Colombian l, and No, they are mercenaries and paid.
Volunteers still need to be recruited.
Well now I’m terrified for what will happen next week
Same.
Look at the Iowa polls for some hopium
Trump is already throwing shade on the outcome, so his internal poling is probably not optimistic.
Still, fingers and toes crossed that the US doesn't do a Germany 1933...
Make America Great Again🎉
@@Exile1a I wouldn't put much stock in that. He claimed the 2016 election was rigged too, and he "won" that one.
"... and a no doubt a non-zero amount of very manual non-compliant welding and occasional bit percussive maintenance. Whatever it takes to rouse the machine spirts to action." I love all the quotable bits he adds in.
Wow, did not expect this topic so soon! Interesting!
Since N. Korean troops in Russia is made up, there was no reason to delay regurgitating his US security state briefing points.
26:55 I was a 0811 in the Marine Corps and the scariest moment of my life was when we had a sticker round in a m777. Not fun.
Pushed out or wiggled back?
@MM22966 EOD gave it an abortion.
Man, most TH-cam channels I can comfortably watch on 2x speed. This one, I legit occasionally have to watch on x0.75 to be able to process all the information properly without constant rewinding. One of a kind.
Glad to see i'm not the only one lol
As someone from Eastern Europe, I thank you for the ending - no additional Channel updates or soft talk. Just the fact that our fate will now be decided by a voter from Pensylvania or one of the other swing states, who either uninformed or uncaring, are willing to throw us under the bus because of memes...
Indeed. I was left with an acute feeling of dread.
Early signs are bad for trump. I am optimistic kamala wins.
Just the fact that it comes down to that shows American significance is over. USA can neither be considered a reliable nor stable country and ally when the question of whether or not it should betray all its alliances and appease its main adversary is a 50/50 question. It lasted for about 80 years, which is quite pathetic by historical standards, but its probably the first time we’ve seen an Empire collapse purely under its own stupidity rather than outside factors out of its control.
USA is arming Israel. You have been fed lies about the USA.
@@howtoappearincompletely9739because you are brainwashed
For every 10 seconds, a North Korean soldier shout _"We stand together!"_ while walking out of the barracks.
For the Red Guard!
We stand upon the shoulders of potatoes!
For every 10 seconds, the US spends $260,000 on its military.
How much is a NK soldier's life worth, adjusted for PPP, I wonder?
@OdyTypeR probably fairly little considering that the NK's army is more or less a slave army of conscripts... but I can live with my nation burning a little more money than the Koreans considering we don't have to spend 50% of our GDP to do it... unlike the north korean
@@OdyTypeR the video said $2000
Called this back in summer.
Shocked how nobody in the West seems bothered to respond to it though
People in Europe are probably still baffled by the absurdity of it all.
And it is truly absurd. Although less so than the fact that no European nation see the need to at least shoot down missiles and drones raining down on Kyiv.
The level of political paralysis in Europe atm is surreal
Respond how? Perun already explained why sanctions would have no impact, and the number of NK soldiers is inconsequential.
On the plus side, were the trend to continue, SK would benefit in knowing that NK is out of artillery ammo.
@@gustavlarsson9932 Cant forget about how little the us feels like doing in response as well
In hindsight it seems obvious since NK probably treats its munitions as well as its people if not better but if you told me this earlier It would've taken some convincing and a good amount of time to digest.
@@human4116 "how little the us feels like doing in response"
Over $200B in aid is "little" in what world?
I think for Europe the biggest takeaway should be to become independent of US chips - or negotiate contracts so that the US won't have a veto on where to use the chips.
I agree, Europe should start pulling its own weight instead of demanding America do everything for them.
@@GoldenChallanger So you resent Europeans for buying stuff from America? Not sure the military industrial complex is with you on that one.
@@tokinsloff312there’s a middle ground. I’m hugely grateful for US support, and even more embarrassed by our lack of stepping up to the plate. As a Brit, our military preparedness is farcical.
@@tokinsloff312not his point at all.
@@thanksskeletor4812 And yet, that's going to be the consquence. "Europe lift its own weight" just means the US losing military sales, influence and standing as Europe pivots away from US built and US promises. That's a losing scenario if you're a US policymaker, now having to deal with a economic superpower who you can no longer strongarm thanks to your promises of defence.
I know many of you probably don't want to hear this, but foreign policy is almost a non-issue in this election. In fact, almost no issues seem to matter. The final messages of both campaigns essentially act like America is the only country in the world. Apparently a damn squirrel is a more important flash point right now (I wish I were making that up).
I already cast my vote against Trump. But since I don't live in a swing state, that vote was basically meaningless. In the words of Stevie Wonder, heaven help us all.
Americans forget supply lines and the rest of the world exists. They somehow think they can ignore the rest of the world and have no consequences. It will come to bite them in the ass if they proceed with isolationism.
@yorhaunit8s I agree. We fucked around, and I guess now we're about to find out what happens.
It is often said that the truth is the first casualty of war. Perun is the best field medic ever.
Well said
Given the amount of munitions they are putting on these NK ships, it could become the kind of ''accident'' which would make Halifax look like a kid playing with a firecracker
What a tragedy... Surely there's no way such an *accident* could happen with some western submarines nearby...
@tristanridley1601 Pretty weird to wish such a disaster on a group of civilians who as individuals are probably only working there because they are forced to. Maybe you don't know how the Halifax explosion affected the local civilian population. It might be different if we knew that the deaths wers all NK government officials, but alas it wouldn't be.
@@stevewhite3424it's disgusting how so many here wish for MORE death. Their team is losing, to them it's just a game.
@@thanksskeletor4812 And which team do you think is losing?
@@thanksskeletor4812 Comrade, you're a bit behind with your script. Your orc buddies have been using that line since russia invaded in 2014.
Algorithm engagement comment
Algorithm engagement reply
Generic bot comment
increase view count complete
@@EcclesiastesLiker-py5ts @captmuttonchops
I left algorithm engagement likes on your algorithm engagement comments.
Why didn't I think of that brilliant insight?
Needs to be seven words to count (!)
Hungry Hippo reference. A game from my childhood makes it into Perun video (sniff)
Yep, we in the Warsaw Pact countries had Hungry Hippo too
@qZbGmYjS4QusYqv5 really? That's interesting. I guess not surprising, it has been published for 47 years (I looked it up). We must have gotten it within a year or two of it coming out. Was my younger brother's game. After the wall fell, I suppose they would have exported it all over. Australia probably before
Of course
"Mud season is no joke" True but I laughed anyway cause yeah it sucks. Nothing like clay mud clinging onto ya boots as ya doing you're thing, it's like having boulders for feet.
It's already snowing in Eastern Ukraine, the mud is freezing
Your script is impeccable, quality content as always!
North Koreans have been used as a slave workforce in russian far east for years prior to the war. Mainly for logging and as construction workers. So there's some experience with cooperation in Russia.
Who ever thought the ROK would be the “arsenal of democracy?”
Given the way the US has pushed all but its highest tech manufacturing overseas, and ROK makes 25% of the world's merchant shipping (to pick one statistic), it isn't that hard a stretch.
I am always super hyped to see this notification, thank you!
An episode without a channel update feels... different
Yeah, super-serious. Ominous.
As soon as I heard about this on the news, I was eagerly awaiting this episode.
Thanks again for recording at a reasonable volume. I listen while working with pumps and fans running in the shop. I can hear you through my meager Bluetooth speakers
Perun roasting us politics in a 1 hour ppt is something I’d gladly watch.
well. now we know the result. sooo... what will happen to ukraine?
I'm afraid it will be bad things. BAD bad things.
Thank you for clarifying this situation for me Perun
That closing line is chilling
I did not have "Ukraine becomes a proxy war battleground for the Korean War" on my bingo card
When Perun began "I'm more likely to win an Olympic medal in.... " I was hoping "Break dance" would be the next words.....
Finally, the Bob Semple content I've been waiting for!
Welcome back Landschnekts
C'mon; teh Norks aren't really known for their fashion sense to be called that! :)
@@MM22966they dont even have flamboyant codpieces! Step up your game, conscripts!
@@MM22966 Can we discuss geopolitics without being racist
@@eversor10 Can we discuss geopolitics without people being finger-wagging woke?
I had assumed the North Korean troops would be used for garrison within Russia to move Russian troops up, but the idea of sending them directly against Ukraine’s salient sounds like a recipe for some of the most horrific casualties we’ve seen so far.
Ukraine (and Russia) have had a lot of time to sharpen their war fighting ability at this point. All units have veterans, all levels have proven strategic and tactical knowledge that’s up to date with battlefield conditions.
Meanwhile, NK troops haven’t seen combat in their life times, are likely even more poorly equipped than Russian conscripts, and who even begins to know what mix of tangible and useful training with magical thinking propaganda they received?
NK troops are cheap and the NK gorverment does'nt care about it people. So if the Nk gerverment want's money. Then they might go with an option that gain them most bang for the bucks.
@ I don’t doubt that the NK Govt is willing to turn lives into cash, I just… man I’m glad I’m not personally in one of those NK units cus I think that is going to get real, real grim.
Also, Russia is very good at making strategic use of human lives without requirement of skill or training. Horrific results, but still strategic value.
Hahaha An Iwas Just Reading how the North koreans are better equipoed than the russians. Why those the west treat everyone Like malnourished Babies and then the loose to goatherder and ASK why? IS it idiocy or pure racism? IS Not working.
I didn't think that because indications were that the Russians had already stripped their garrisons from other places to the bone. What troops were going to be "replaced" by the Norks then?
Good, now I have something to listen to at work on Monday. Thanks for all the work and effort put in, it's appreciated.
Once upon a time in 2022, I did sarcastically suggest on Facebook that Russia should request for North Korean soldiers to use to safeguard Siberia, and therefore free up the use of Russian forces based in Siberia in Ukraine instead.
Unfortunately, one Ukrainian user did not understand my sarcasm and gave an angry react. Conversely, it seemed there were a few pro-Russian users who liked my comment unironically.
The latter is definietly embarassing for pro-Russian folks; in 2022, shouldn't they have simply responded "Russia will never need to use North Korean soldiers"?
All is fair in love and war
Sarcasm is like food, not everyone gets it.
2022 и 2024 разные года
@@ReimuHakurei-b6i
I know 2022 and 2024 are different years.
I started off my comment writing "Once upon a time in 2022"........
'...percussive maintenance...' 🤣
North Korea invading a European nation was not what I expected this year but I guess we are here.
The West is losing. Accept it.
They aren't invading... They are assisting an ally.. This isn't unprecedented.
In WWI for example Britain and France had people from their Colonies fighting in the trenches on the Western front.. No one ever claimed India was invading Europe or Nigeria was invading Europe.
Ironically India and Nigeria both invaded Europe well after the World Wars and Decolonization during peace time..
Cheers mate.!! 👍 👍 👍
Stay safe out there & the very best wishes from Scotland 🏴 🙏 ❤️
Ukraine is fighting both Russia and North Korea, Israel is fighting the entire middle-east, the only real 'adversary' country left to keep an eye on is China, and they've been watching their 'allies' get wiped out over the past few years and might not want to act.
As a western observer, things are going extremely well from my perspective despite the setbacks. I'm all for more aid to especially Ukraine to help them achieve their goals.
No, Israel is not fighting the "entire middle east". Having had their arses handed to them several times since the establishment of the country of Israel in 1948, Egypt and Jordan, at least openly, are staying well clear of the current fighting in the Middle East.
What a white Fantasy this IS hahaha. Yes Brave White people keep orksnat bay. Hahaha l. You are the rich ones, how are you loosing the war.
This whole nonsense where we're scared of escalation just goes against my very fiber as someone from the USA. Arsenal of freedom. "Give" them the arms (read: sell with delayed payments at a discount) we have that are old and would need to be cycled out and let them just... do whatever. Russia doesn't like it? They can stop invading people. It's not like their hardware or forces even remotely scare anyone at this point. They can't take Ukraine so they definitely cannot take the USA with our logistical power to ship confections to war zones on the other side of the planet.
For a world war this is all panning out quite well... (if you can't read the sarcasm this is to help clue you in that it exists and do not believe I take the death and suffering of those at war for granted)
Use your own tax money then 😅
@@etienne8110he's a western observer, it IS his tax dollars
Yes, theres a reason Austria was uncompromising on german being the language of the Imperial military.
"Successfully exiting the barrel of the gun isn't required"
They're talking about drone-dropped munition I would assume.
A lot of artillery isn't being lobbed many kilometers by a cannon anymore, it's delivered right to your door via quad-rotor.
A 122 mm shell weighs about 22 kg, while an Orlan-10 (for example) can carry a 2.5 kg payload. Bigger drones that can carry such a large payload might instead be fitted with one or two S-8 rockets weighing about 12 kg each with a range of a couple of kilometers and Ugroza laser guidance.
It's called a misfire or a hang fire. A shell which doesn't exit the barrel is still live. If it has gone far enough or the push from the powder was strong enough, the fuze safety may have been disengaged, leaving you with the option of trying the fish a shell out of a rifled barrel which twists the shell, remembering that shell rotation can set off the fuze or reaching down the barrel and trying to deset the fuze. If the shell goes off, it blows out the barrel, adding the material of the barrel around the shell to the fragmentation effect. What Perun is saying is that DRKA quality control is so poor that evidently significant numbers of misfires or hand fires are occurring when the Russians fire North Korean shells.
@@michaelsnyder3871 I'm aware. I'm just saying that artillery shells that have a working warhead, but bunk charges could still be useful in a war where both sides are dropping IED's on each other with drones all day long.
There's valid reasons a military might want "defunct" shells that "don't even make it outta the end of the barrel" - because they plan on doing other things with them than shooting them.
They're also good for making fake equipment look real. Secondaries or the lack thereof is one of the main ways people currently judge if something is real or not. If you know a round is bad, you can shove it in some fake equipment to make it look real on the highlights reel.
Ok that ending hit hard, the tone of the voice really helped
Hetzer of the Lake continue to speak your wisdom!
I think Putler and Tugboat Kim are going with Stalin's approach - " No people, No problems "
"Tugboat"? Holy shit, I've gotta use that from now on.
22:15 Random thing that really bugs me - that headline says "Ukraine fires 2 times fewer shells than Russia"... just use division. Or swap the order. "Ukraine fires half as many shells as Russia", "Russia fires 2 times more shells than Ukraine". What the hell kind of word problem English is "2 times fewer"?
31 seconds old! Let the slides begin
Thank you 💛 Perun. I'm in Canada and have no vote. I hope we'll all be safe. Peace ✌
Impressive how you research such quantity and quality of information. My complements @Perun
Thank you for the Daakkaa reference.
"Arsenal of Autocracy" is an amazing line, but I don't think the reality of it hit me until that artillery shell graph. This is seriously the weirdest war I've heard of.
War of the Bucket
(look it up)
Nigerian civil war: Hold my beer
@@anthonylourakis8289 Pig War (US-UK)
12:08 Somehow I get the feeling that you enjoyed writing this part of the script :)
We British also had the problem of bad shells in WW1, Unfortunately we made them ourselves. It took 2 years to sort it out.
Your dark humor peppering your excellent reports are greatly appreciated by this viewer.
I've never been this early! This made my day.
The West is yet to present a meaningful response to this escalation. It seems they're still talking about this in uncertain terms, as if NK troops aren't already being spotted in Ukraine.
Really worried by this development and the west's lack of response. Thanks, Perun.
I’m not. You are brainwashed westerner.
"Percussive maintenance"...your turns of phrase are awesome.
One underestimated aspect is the shared legacy of Soviet military doctrine. Sure, the units of these units fight differently for obvious cultural and historical reasons, but that shared legacy can still be drawn from to develop some common command structures and organisational language.
Also, IIRC Russia has a pretty sizeable Korean-speaking minority. Dont know if there are substantial dialectical variations, but Im sure their knowledge can be drawn from to smooth the integration of DPRK forces. And if the Koreans end up operating in separate units at division-level, I guess theyll only need fairly senior commanders to communicate directly with the Russians? Much like Franco-English forces in the world wars.
Both nations can probably find enough people speaking both languages to make that happen
Overall, these two countries are far from world apart from one another. The process of integrating units into existing structures will be challenging, but far from impossible.
It's a long train ride from the port the North Koreans arrive at, Vladivostok, to the staging camp for equipment issue, about a month. I haven't found out if Russian is taught in North Korean school as an elective foreign language, like Chinese traditionally was in Korea before it was divided (Chinese being the language of scholars). Or, if North Korea tests its soldiers for language aptitude. But one month confined to a train could be plenty of opportunity to get pretty passable at a language, with some bottles of alcohol, a pack of cards, and the right company. Maybe a radio, for news and music to discuss. Put a boxing ring in one car of the train, give folks something different to discuss and bet on, and a means of dealing with arguments without damaging discipline.
@@davidgoodnow269 Yes! And some books by Stalin or Lenin to practice your vocabulary with
@@gustavlarsson9932 Rather, familiar North Korean weapon manuals with companion translations in Rus, then the manuals for the weapons they will be issued, in Rus, where they have to bounce between books until they recognize the common words to make progress.
Yeah they definitely aren't a world apart they share a border.
That's theoretical/generalistic. It's different trying to do things at ground level. Even Americans & Brits have had problems operating together over the years.
The powepoint man uploaded on my birthday yay!!!!!
Happy Birthday....
I would have sent an animated PowerPoint saying that, but #PerunICertainlyAint.
Happy birthday 🤗
happy birthday twinkletoes U SWEET THANG🦦🦄🦩🦚🦜🐸🐊🐢🦎🐍🐲🐉🦕🦖🦃🐔🐓🐣🐤🐥🐦🐧🕊🦅🦆🦢🦉🦤🦩🍞🥐🥖🫓🥨🥯🥞🧇🧀🍖🍗🥩🥓🍔🍟🍕🌭🥪🌯🌮🫔🥙🧆🥚🍳🥘🍲🫕🥣🥗🍿🧈🧂🥫🍱🍘🍙🍚🍛🍜🍝🍠🍢🍣🍤🍥🥮🍡🥟🥠🥡🦀🦞🦐🦑🦪🍦🍧🍨🍩🍪🎂🍰🧁🥧🍫🍬🍭🍮🍯🍼🥛☕🫖
Imagine playing a computer strategy game based on Russia. At the START of your campaign you have all the highest tier equipment and loads of reserves. But by the 3rd mission you are only able to requisition trash tier equipment. It's like reverse progression!
By the end it'll be called age of empires 2
That would actually be an interesting dynamic for an RTS game.
@MM22966 there's a mod for a cold war submarine commander sim game called Cold Waters, i believe its DOTmod? Either that or EpicMod, that uses historical rosters of enemy subs, meaning that as you sink their prize fleet of subs with less than 10units, you start seeing them resorting to older tech, and if the enemy ai plays really poorly the second half of the campaign is just watching the soviets throw poor old boats at you until the final mission where you hunt down their worst ballistic missile sub because its all they have left
Still quite fun to play through
Like Star Craft or War Craft…at some point the resources run out on the map, but your opponent is spamming the cheats as needed
Another great analysis from Perun on a very recent topic! From this presentation one can learn a lot more than spending hours with other sources! Keep up the good work!
Perun's always on the spot.
There is absolutely no reason we should be giving or allowing food aid to north korea.
None of China/SK/Japan/US want a refugee crisis in North Korea.
It gives us a lever to pull if we really want something. We want a government that isn’t going to start a nuclear war or push for reunification.
NK is stable. Food insecurity leads to insurrection. NK knows this. Kim doesn’t want to die at the hands of starving citizens just yet.
and then you're going to decide who has the turn to climb into the oven? you are 100% nazi