Historical Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional VaR (CVaR) in Excel

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 28 พ.ย. 2024

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  • @josevalencia9233
    @josevalencia9233 4 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    I have been watching a bunch of videos of TH-cam about this topic but none of them are as accurate as yours. Thank you for sharing it.

    • @FabianMoa
      @FabianMoa  4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Wow, thank you!

  • @jbz2513
    @jbz2513 ปีที่แล้ว

    Very easy to understand explanation! Thank you for this. Question: How to now calculate 10-day, 30-day Var? Do we simply multiply the Var(p) * STDEV.S()8SQRT(10) for example to get a 10-day var?

  • @LEO-n6p8q
    @LEO-n6p8q ปีที่แล้ว

    Clear, concise and understandable. But if you have a portfolio with both shares and bonds how you calculate VAR?

  • @giovannicolella4908
    @giovannicolella4908 3 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I really appreciate your video! Great work!

  • @aboyinfinland9230
    @aboyinfinland9230 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Sir, where can I kindly buy more content related to practical excel implementation (or VBA) and relating to risk ? 🙂This stuff is simply impressive, thank you so much!

    • @FabianMoa
      @FabianMoa  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Hi, thanks for the feedback. I don't have much videos on risk modelling at the moment. Will post videos on my youtube whenever I have time after the CFA exam season is over

  • @NerreraFightStories
    @NerreraFightStories 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thanks for this video

  • @simfinso858
    @simfinso858 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    As You told we can take " Average " Function straightaway in Covar calculations.

  • @vynguyen7578
    @vynguyen7578 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Really thanks for the video

  • @weijie9851
    @weijie9851 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Hi Fabian, why didn't you use the average of the first 63 ranks instead using the first 62 ranks to find the CVaR?

  • @КарлИванов-з7у
    @КарлИванов-з7у ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Really appreciate it

  • @imirosmanov2745
    @imirosmanov2745 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Dear Mr. Fabian,
    Could you please explain how to calculate VaR for operational risk based on loss data base.

  • @christianniamke8642
    @christianniamke8642 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    thank you for that descriptive video... i understand well how it works now. but i had a problem when i tried to exercise with the same data. i downloaded the data well, but when i convert..., it doesn't work well. i still have text data while i should have had number in my sheet. then i don't know how to have number. i tried everything uselessly.

  • @djitymik
    @djitymik 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    This video is too good! Thanks a lot! 😉

  • @jeenet2042
    @jeenet2042 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    What if the VAR(95) is positive and CVAR(95) is negative? How to interpret the values?

  • @lmagz84
    @lmagz84 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Can we measure it using eviews

  • @khalidbinasad996
    @khalidbinasad996 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Very good and useful video

    • @FabianMoa
      @FabianMoa  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks a lot!

  • @reubenbenjamin5086
    @reubenbenjamin5086 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hi your video was easy to understand and concise. May I ask why did we calculate the returns using log

    • @FabianMoa
      @FabianMoa  3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      It is to compute continuous return (which I use for smaller intervals). You can use discrete returns if you want.

  • @harley801
    @harley801 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks for the video. I had a question: why do you use formula "=LN(F3/F2)" for calculating returns? If for example we apply this formula to values 100 -> 50 we will receive value -0,693147181. But this is definitely should be 50% loss not 69%.
    Shouldn't we use formula: "=F3/F2-1" for calculating returns?

    • @mathiswellmann6858
      @mathiswellmann6858 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      The natural logarithm is used to create the returns due to the cumulative properties of logarithms, which make it easier to compute continuously compounding returns, which also makes it easier to compare returns over different time horizons. In your example you would do 100*e^-0.69=50.15 which is correct. Also computing annualized returns or daily returns is much easier. E.g.: 1.01^365=37.78, and backwards you do 37.78^(1/365), which is going from daily to yearly returns and back. Hope this helps, even though it's a bit late :D

  • @nudratfatima1217
    @nudratfatima1217 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    hello i need help in calculation of ΔCoVaR method?

  • @beansm152
    @beansm152 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    is this a non-parametric approach?

    • @pipevc1
      @pipevc1 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Yes, this is just for class, in reality we model and fit distribution functions in order to capture the real volatility and weight on tails of distributions, not just rankings

  • @Im-Assmaa
    @Im-Assmaa 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hi , thank you so much , this was helpful, can you post a video on how to calculate VaR and CoVaR using quantile regression proposed by Brunnermeier and Adrian (2011). Im kind of stuck PLEAASE

    • @rivashaputri
      @rivashaputri ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Hi, have you found the tutorials? I really need the tutorial for calculating VaR and CoVar using quantile regression for my thesis, please let me know if you could help :(

    • @Im-Assmaa
      @Im-Assmaa ปีที่แล้ว

      @@rivashaputri Hi, give me your email; I'll send you the method i used.

    • @rivashaputri
      @rivashaputri ปีที่แล้ว

      ​@@Im-Assmaa ​ Hi, thank you for replying. I can't give the email here because youtube keep deleting my comment if i write my email. Can i have your instagram? i'll give the email on the dm. Thank you in advance, i really need this and it means a lot to me.

    • @rivashaputri
      @rivashaputri ปีที่แล้ว

      Mine is the same as my youtube username: rivashaputri. Thank you it really means a lot.

    • @rivashaputri
      @rivashaputri ปีที่แล้ว

      ​@@Im-Assmaa Hi again, i'm still waiting for your dm. Thank you so much.

  • @veronicataylor5977
    @veronicataylor5977 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks for the video. I had a question, how do we calculate HS Var when there is a rolling window of say 250 days?

    • @FabianMoa
      @FabianMoa  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      You need to calculate the daily returns, then use the function =PERCENTILE.EXC(, 0.05) for 5% HS VaR

    • @veronicataylor5977
      @veronicataylor5977 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thank you very much!

    • @veronicataylor5977
      @veronicataylor5977 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      For GARCH model, if we are given the parameters as w=0.41221, alpha=0.13434 and beta=0.85988; do we need to change the base for w to calculate daily volatility?

  • @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz
    @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Sir how to calculate Change in CoVaR?

    • @FabianMoa
      @FabianMoa  4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Change in CVaR as a result of?

    • @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz
      @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@FabianMoa change in CoVar for financial institution contribution to the financial system

    • @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz
      @MuhammadWaqas-xh6bz 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      symbolically,
      CoVaRsysji
      t;˛ CoVaRsys t;˛jRitDVaR it;˛ minus CoVaRsys t;˛jRitDmediani