ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 4 เม.ย. 2024
- Chuck Pfarrer, a former squadron leader of SEAL Team 6, explains why Russia, despite having substantially more troops than Ukraine, is failing to make significant territorial gains. Pfarrer points out the multitude of striking indications that Russia has neither the strategic nor tactical ability to execute complex missions. The failure of Moscow to pull off battlefield victories will only worsen when Russia sends newly drafted "people," who could not be considered "soldiers," says Pfarrer, as they so desperately lack sufficient training, to the front.
Pfarrer, a special correspondent for the Kyiv Post, who has advised the "full alphabet soup" of US national security agencies and is a leading figure in the analysis of the war in Ukraine, lays out the case as to why Russia's losses so far have been disastrous and explains the many signs pointing towards an abysmal summer ahead for Russia. Russians soon to be mobilized should not delude themselves with fantasies of victory: Like nearly all of the Russian soldiers who participated in the initial full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the newbie Russian troops will be headed straight to the meat-grinder.
Chuck Pfarrer is a former squadron leader of the US Navy SEAL Team Six. He has served public and private sector clients as a military and counter-terrorism contractor and non-proliferation expert. Pfarrer has written extensively on counter-WMD proliferation and gray zone operations. He has written an op-ed for the New York Times and the Knight-Ridder Syndicate and has appeared as a writer and counterterrorism expert on CNN, ABC, MSNBC, Fox, CSPAN, NPR, Voice of America, Al Jazeera, Al Hurra, IPR, and America tonight.
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This is good commentary.
It's sobering and sad, honestly, to realize there's another 100,000 youngish adults alive right now who'll be dead by the fall. For what? Smeagol's dream of empires?
tyrants and dictators cling to power with all they have. russian tyrants and dictators who lose power get assassinated, so putin is fighting for the only life he values - his own. How many ppl die in the process is of no interest to him
You have just insulted Sméagol!! He was out for himself and didn’t send 400,000 poor souls to their deaths, unlike Putin.
@@diegoflores9237don’t need propaganda on these numbers, you can see the Russian dead littering on the battlefields. They don’t retrieve their soldiers.
Smeagol was a better planner than putin
@@yenlinhtran69Also smeagol was a victim of sauron..
He only wanted the ring, not harming anyone..
Shhh! When the enemy is doing stupid things, don't tell them about it!!!
On the contrary. They just double down on their incompetency.
In my opinion, Putin is surrendered with advisors who keep giving him the good news... "We are making progress... we destroyed a Patriot system... we conquered Advivka..." etc... They might not dare speak the truth.
I have read that Putin watches local news on TV every day... scary if true..
I think its a Quote from Sun Tzu? Never interupt your enemy while he is making a mistake.
Yea this information openess will Give Russia the edge & destroy Ukraine’s advantages .
@@muratigentijan8911 Actually, it was Napoleon, a more accomplished military tactical and strategic leader than Sun Tzu.
They even take the Russians out at night as they use night vision equipment to spot them!
Thank you for this great interview. Americans, please support Ukraine and democracy!
Slava Ukraini!
Most Republicans want to support Ukraine (yeah, we are tired of war but this one was forced on us). All Biden has to do is TAKE CONTROL OF THE BORDER and Ukraine will be served. It is all on Biden.
Good appraisal. Sensible. Now we hope for arms suppliers to sort their politics out!
Today every infantry soldier on the battlefield fears one thing more than anything else, and that is the small drones, they are terrifying because once they spot you, there's no escape, and they have revolutionised warfare on the front lines..
The US lost 50K in Vietnam and the outrage was part of the reason we withdrew. Russia has lost 10 times as many, and there is hardly any outrage in Russia. Is there a fundamental difference in how their society values life?
1) the losses are not widely advertised, 2) russians are generally apathetic.
Information in ruzzia is tightly controlled by Herr putler. It is now a KGB police state, but the average ruzzian is clueless.
russia is hiding the real numbers and giving one tenth the deaths to keep the people from revolting....
Jobs are limited among the greater population. But military conscription has always been considered a source of income by most.
well, I wonder what the outrage during Vietnam would have been if a jail term or getting sent to the front was the consequence.
A whole country CAN be designated as a Hero Nation. Thank you, Ukrainians🇺🇦.
😅😅😅😅😅😅😅 you know Ukraine is about to collapse..😅😅
@@todd1770 I know you are scared as ....
@NexPutax 🤣🤣🤣you got me .I'm am scared of my rugby league team West tiger's is playing tonight at 730 against the dolphins. How did you know??
@NexPutax oh scared of Ukraine winning yes im terrified .😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅as long as Ukraine keeps giving up land it means Ukraine is winning got it 👍
@@todd1770 Russia holds less land the the start of the war.. Ukraine pushed Russia all the way to their border in Belgorod. Ukraine raiders enter Russia at will and Russia's border is defenceless anywhere but the frontline. But you knew this already.
"When the Americans get their act together!" Ukraine is fighting for its' life right now. If the US Congress would have passed the aid bill in January those weapons would be showing up on the front now. The Ukrainians have done a fantastic job with what they have. Imagine if they were fully armed and equipped.
Agreed. The US is too busy to consider aiding Ukraine because Trump is more important to them, despite the fact he is a criminal going after the most important seat in the world. If Trump were to keel over in his bean soup tomorrow, those weapons would be on Ukraine's doorstep the next day.
Marjorie Taylor Green got Michael Johnson by the balls. He's the key holder to release the funds for Ukriane. As soon as he stop kissing, Donald's ring and get off his knees, the Ukrainians will get their ammo.
They would be showing up on the Black Market - more likely.
We are fighting for our life now more than Ukraine. An outright invasion that the Biden voters think is just fine.
Agreed - but it was set up by Biden in October, and Johnson refused it then. It was needed then. This is solely Johnson's fault.
GREAT INSIGHT!!
Thank you (:
💙💛💪💙💛💪🌻🌻
CHUCK sound's very switched on! He should be the US SPEAKER, SUPPORT UKRAINE 👍
Russia is shedding all the fighting aged men, young and old, who might otherwise have revolted against Putin one day; pretty devious and smart from Putins standpoint.
Up to a point.
But Ruzzian women haven't only a reputation as prostitutes wanting to live in the West, they have a reputation for self centredness to a ruthless degree (which does not mean all are so inclined). When the domestic Ruzzian Herr's turn nasty towards their esteemed Tzar, the influence of the loss of their nearest and dearest in horrible fruitless circumstances will be foremost in their minds.
And that includes the many lovely ones whose families and futures have been trashed by the Gremlin and his gang. Spite and retribution is a harsh neighbour.
If you look through Russia's military history, the ease with which there leaders squander the greatest resource is astounding.
And if true are the Russian people aware of this ?
My guess is no.....
Awareness has become more widespread over the past 2 years, but the average Russian knows they dare not complain or protest, otherwise serious penalties await.......
I don't comment more than a half dozen times a year so this is one of those. Most succinct clear knowledgeable explanation I've heard to date. BRAVO ZULU
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
The younger Russians have to break the cycle of apathy and hopelessness, and take their future back from dictators! Do they want Putins young grandchildren taking over after him?
Slava Ukraini! ❤️💙💛
yep, if Putin's grandchildren are as skilled at leading Russia as Putin is, the voters would certainly choose Putin's grandchildren.
Zelensky's grandkids on the other hand, won't be very welcome in Ukraine once the surrender terms are signed.
I think the Russians dont see it like we do, they seem to be on Putins side mostly
Maybe u should worry about ur own country😂😂😂😂😂
@RyanBrown-nx8dw My country is fine and will be run by the will of the people democratically! Russia is run by a dictator and is at least 50 years behind the rest of the world. Those citizens need help!
Slava Ukraini! ❤️💙💛
@RyanBrown-nx8dw nah, it's ruzzia which is the basket case
There are towns in eastern Russia without any men of fighting age left only women children and the elderly.
you confused "eastern Russia" with "western Ukraine". Try again.
And who in Moscow or St Petersburg cares or even knows? There’s nothing these people can do about it.
@@duncansmith7562 you are confused
@@johnbecker5213He's a troll. He wouldn't recognize truth from fantasy.
@@duncansmith7562 you are a russpublican troll, do you get paid in potatoes or tickets to the Crocus auditorium? We in the West are not that stupid unless they watch fuxsnooze.
Thank you for an educated informed analysis. 🇨🇦
on the contrary, the ignorance of what a war of attrition is all about was staggering.
@@duncansmith7562Please give your in brief analysis then. Easy to criticise without any informed counter opinion.
@@rickarnold6704 don't cry its ok
@@duncansmith7562He was a decorated military leader and respected strategist.
I guess you went to the Internet Miltary Academy? 😂
@@RyanBrown-nx8dwYou seem to be the delicate person who was bothered by a legit question. Aw, trolling is tough ...
The Russian army is almost inoperable it seems - chaos. But the missiles and drones people are still OK, I'd say.
according to these clowns, Russia has been losing for 2 years now.
they know Russia has won.
@duncansmith7562 yes, negotiations are needed by both sides, but they are too blinded by their own self-righteous ideology to solve this with peace talks.
Inoperable? Yet Russia keeps advancing.....
@coblogan75 Negotiate with a despot who opens up negotiations with lies? The European leaders current and former no what it is and Ukraine absolutely know what they are dealing with.
@@duncansmith7562How are you more qualified and informed? You just insult and criticise with no informed counter opinion? I think it's you his the bozo
ruzzia can't conduct attacks at night, they lack that capability.
Their not very good during the day either. Mabe they'll do better on holidays when thier sht faced drunk?
They can't see in the dark!
Never underestimate your enemy, it always leads to doom.
Putin empire doesn't discriminate where & when to attack Ukraine... obviously Ukraine should take their gloves off to defend their country & their people.
they did, Crocus attack.
@@duncansmith7562 d
Dork!
Ukraine is winning even without help from the US and little from the EU, as mentioned here Russia is quite incompetent so there is nothing to fear.
@@duncansmith7562 Roughly zero % of western observers will accept your BS claim. Although, a few Russians will pretend that it's true, just like they pretend that Russia had an 'election'.
They have got the gloves off but are still being slaughtered
Very interesting and informing.Thanks!
Great video . Very informative.
The best honest discussion I've heard. Thanks guys.
Please help Ukraine
Well said chuck.
Great Video Kyiv Post thanks for sharing
Creating soldiers vs. mobilizing civilians.
They can do the latter in tens of thousands-but for how long?
I thought that was a good point. These aren't soldiers being drafted, they're untrained civilians being sent to the front against hardened and seasoned Ukrainian troops.
@@erikswanson5753 both sides have seasoned fighters and civilians with hardly any training unfortunately only Russia can sustain the number game
There is no night with modern night vision equipment.
On defense that makes sense. But on the offense, the Russians will not equip each soldier with night vision goggles. So the average soldier will be severely hampered in movement and detecting mines, etc. Can such troops function? If they were properly trained, they can get by, but not if they are not trained properly.
The only praise I can give the russian military is that they have not fallen apart or turned against putin. Yet. In the face or horrible leadership and appalling losses, that is quite a feat. As far as the US being responsible for the lack of ammo, put the blame where it belongs, on republicans
I’ll spare you my current thoughts of the US (and Germany) Chuck,but I always enjoy hearing from you. Meanwhile, never thought I’d be praising France! 🇬🇧👍🇺🇦
Russia will not be able to sustain those losses in the long term.
And Ukraine will , your dreaming mate..listen to the experts and analysts who are not in the pay of Western Governments. Ukraine could have lost over 500,000 young men and women, Russia probably over 200,000
@@nevillespence6101 Does the FSB script your propaganda for you, or do you just make it up on the fly? In either case, nobody believes you. Russia has lied so much about everything that it has no credibility. We just assume that any information coming from Russia is a lie. Россия никогда не завоюет Україну. Мы вас похороним. Слава Україні! 🇺🇦
@@nevillespence6101and you got these numbers from where? Do you have any evidence? I saw videos of entire fields of dead Russian soldiers but not of dead Ukrainians so give me some evidence. I think you are in the Russian media bobble
Well we'll find out, because this isn't ending anytime soon......
If yorur numbers are correct, then why hasn't Russia taken all of Ukraine? They had the initiative on day 1. Something is terribly wrong if your larger and outnumber your oppent and defeat them by 2.5 times. What is it?
Hi Jason, great content. Your mike sounds hollow but chuck is fine. I do enjoy such concise analysis. Thanks.
🥝🇳🇿
Good work thank you , enjoy you guest as always he thinks in ways that are understandable . Much easier to work with good briefs .
What's interesting is that it appears Russia can sustain these kind of losses and maintain around 80% public support... keeping grocery stores and shopping malls stocked and operating normally... with only somewhat higher than what prices were before... I am hoping the strikes on oil facilities will eventually catch up with them
ruZZia isn't in as good a shape as they pretend. If you've ever traveled to remote ruZZian towns, I bet they haven't noticed any change since they always live in poverty. The only thing they likely notice is that there are fewer men around. And alcohol sales are weak.
I lived there for several years. Don't be fooled by their Moscow grocery stores. They're not representative.
Only in the larger cities near Moscow are there adequate supplies for the citizens. Different story in the outer regions that most of the soldiers call home 😕
You are describing situation pre-elections. Now when Kremlin doesn't need to pamper public opinion and federal reserves are seeing the bottom, he will neither be able to subsidise as much. Plus the fuel shortages will show in prices of everything, including the agricultural output. And with a massive inflation import will be limited. Somnot only less able to import food, but less of it produced domestically, too.
@@D.von.N all good points. Also, the west has been tightening sanctions and even China and India are taking pause. ruZZia has a LOT of natural resources. It's the only reason their country has survived this long. They're hiding inflation, but it's reported that they have to pay people much more to produce weapons and ammo 'cause there's a real shortage of men already. Wait til they mobilize another 300,000. And predictably lose most of them forever.
Basically, it's a house of cards.
Apparent public support. Actually is a forced "support" as Russian people are afraid od speaking against the war criminal Putin or they may end in prison. Those who dared to speak against the dictator have ended badly. Remember Nakny or some other important Russian who mysteriously have fallen from buildings or have been poisoned.
Great points
💙💛💙💛💙💛💙💛💙
Europe needs to get their head out of their ass and get supplies to Ukraine. We been supporting Europe for 70 years now, it's time to grow up.
Appreciate that this relationship is one the USA encouraged! The USA wants control over and wants to supply what ALL militaries need. By stepping back and allowing Europe to take up that ground, the USA is going to lose that military position -- bottom line, Europe will no longer need what the USA produces and sells. Careful what you wish for!
Europe is the U.S. number one trading partner. We do not “support Europe”. Americans have always been a little slow geopolitically. Sadly, the education system in the U.S. is so bad that we have set ourselves up to be manipulated by demagogues and dictators. Currently, one prez nominee is taking talking points from the kremlin. America is behind in science and math. Many Americans are illiterate and know nothing about geography, this much is painfully obvious, especially republicans, who are being tricked by russian propaganda. They are foolish.
the only time NATO Article 5 was used to help a nation, was to help America after 9/11. So, you ask for help from Europe but resent helping Europe? Time to grow up! Regarding Ukraine, USA's obligation is much greater - USA induced Ukraine to give up its numerous nukes in exchange for security guarantees. Time to honour these guarantees, don't you think? Thirdly, Ukraine is fighting to maintain freedom and democracy of the West and the current rules best world order. USA is *the single greatest beneficiary* of the current world order. Ukraine falls, this order - the basis for your prosperity - falls, too. Your children would live in the USA worse than North Korea. Don't sell out your long term prosperity and freedom for being a short term miser
you mean you put your policeman hat on and invited yourselves, filled bases with your military and now are crying about it? come on.
what would a ball of mud know about it?
Speaking of Russian leadership, where is my man Gerasimov? 🤣🤣🤣🤣
How does this explain Russia gaining ground in Ukraine? Seems Ukraine needs more citizens to stand up and fight.
Good stuff!
When the EU accepts and defends Ukraine, this conflict is over.
Whilst I understand what Chuck says about the Russian attrition rate , Ukraine also has a high rate of casualties. When or if the supplies do get to Ukraine, will there be enough experienced personnel to fully utilise the advanced capabilities. The West really needs to get it act together. I find it disheartening how politicians act , making false promises, and headline grabbing statements for their own political ends. Russia on the other hand has reliable partners in Iran, North Korea ... this shows me that democracy loses
Nice to see you again, Chuck. I miss you and Rock.
Thanks, Kyiv Post.
It's really nice to hear some truth. Cheers Chuck!!
America has lost itself..
I never thought I would see the day 🏴
Same for me.
Patience America will find it's way again.
@@fibber2u Not with Trump..
@@dimitrianid2417 I know what you feel and I'm not advocating taking the risk; however Trump does not have a single point of personal principle and allways bends with the political wind. Trump follows he can not lead and America will push him in the right direction. Most Republicans will want more aid to Ukraine and that will do it. His power to inspire political fear fades as elections pass. Well that's my British perspective anyway.
Oh yes with trump we will.
Please don’t give Russia any advice on how to run their war better.
There are reports of the Orcs using T55s as front lines tanks. Pathetic.
They are winning
No they are not, and they will not. @@muckle8
Just like the 1930s trucks that were spotted last year!
@MaximilienNoel Oh yes I forgot Russian are retreating westwards and the Ukraine army/ foreign mercs are all committing suicide 🙄
🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦✌🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
Slava Ukraini! Heroiam Slava! 🗺❤🇺🇦
Thank you!
Well they had a choice, shame they choose vodka.
Slava Ukraine
Ukr lost.....
If the general Russian public knew the extent of these losses, there would be a reprise of Feb 1917.
😂 you believe the loss numbers. Have you ever considered you are being lied to?
october
@@josephberrie9550 feb
@@projectedone too many experts have similar projections. Have you ever considered you have been lied to?🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤡
The Cemeteries of Ukronaziland speak for Themselves ! 🤔
Every number these guys said was WRONG
You forgot to say what the RIGHT numbers are. Is that because you don't know?
I love it when you say, "When United States finally get its act together." So sad, but so accurate.
Its the Republican Party. They Control Congress at the moment.
That small Majority is loosing ground daily even before the 2024 Elections.
Be patient.
The Ukrainian fpv drones have been the heros for Ukraine 🇺🇦 russia will not succeed. Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦
Ur N idiot
Ur a rerard
Exactly can't hide from FPV
Yes!
Impressive inside. Thanks
Very good analysis concisely, clearly and credibly expressed. I'll look out for more commentary from this guy.
Good and honest summary
When will this hell end?
When it escalates into a global conflict.
Sadly, this is only beginning. Putin plans to attack the NATO anyway...
When someone gets rid of the dictator.
Intelligent interview. Thank you.
ZERO mention of any responsibility or effort by the Europeans to supply Ukraine. Only the US taxpayer.
finally someone that knows what they are talking about,thank you
No
Scott ritter, genl douglas mc gregor, redacted and the Duran.
Why do you tell the Russians where they are going wrong and how they should be doing it?
Yeah, there's no secrets anymore nowadays!
Obviously we are all worried about Ukraine, and want to find out what's going on, but I wonder just how much the internet is damaging the plans! Everywhere you look people are posting exact maps of who is where, and what they are doing! It beggars belief really!
Excellent news guys keep it up - congratulations to the AFU the best fighting force in the world at the moment and most likely for some time to come
The Ukrainians are now in the outskirts of Vladivostok. The Russians are running out of the sheer terror of the challenger tanks!
Awesome to hear tactical evaluation of Russias military strategy, thanks!
Always good to hear from Chuck. The attenuation of the Russian forces is mind boggling. For what exactly.....proving that Putin is nuts? Doesn't seem a fair trade. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦💪🇺🇦💪🇬🇧
For some reason, I’m reminded of an old poster, dated from 1944, that reads, “Am der Ende ist der Sieg.”
Lol, Ukraine still projecting and as delusional as ever.
Kiev in 3 days
Well said. Who was delusional in his war aims? Putin succeeded in strengthening and enlarging NATO, at the same time as murdering his own people in incredible numbers. Who's delusional?
Russia has even started closing down prisons because they're running out of prisoners, let that sink in. In the past their prisons were always used way beyond capacity, and now the former inmates are either fertilizer in Ukraine, or have been pardoned, and murderers and rapists are running around freely in Russia.
Well said about the “Own Goal” it’s vets like this that have knowledge of the batt field and American politicians need to listen to them
What about the looses of Ukraine
Right on.
succinctly put
Chuck speaks a lot of sense but the European countries need to do much more.
He IS TRAINING new recruits.
Thet have learned that lesson.
There's training and then there's training. The Russians ain't trained modern day soldiers.
When will russians get enough ?? 300 000 more people. Where did the previous go ? They have not returned
The problem with Russian casualties is the Ukrainians are roasting so many personnel carriers/trucks and tanks their bodies are just ashes and charcoal. There may have been 10 soldiers or 1 soldier in one of the vehicles but because there's nothing left of the bodies you wouldn't know.
Alexander Mercouris will tell you the truth 😊
Any proof? No didnt think so.
Outstanding presentation thanks thanks 😊
Russia is virtually losing the Crimea, the Donbas, and Putin is brought to DenHaag...
I love these experts... 😂😂😂😂
Slava Ukraine ❤❤❤
Really good and helpful interview !!! Thank you.
This is pathetic!!
Ukraine all the way ✌️....
Slight correction. Russia has over 400,000 casualties (deaths plus serious injuries) not 400,000 dead. Injuries typically amount to about 3x the number of dead. It is still a staggering number.
There are about 50000 Russian KIA.
"Injuries typically amount to about 3x the number of dead."
This is not true for the Russians. They don't evacuate the injured and many die because they are not given the proper care.
Probably more like 2 deads to 1 injured...
@@diegoflores9237 Ukrainian numbers are quite accurate.
@@mitchyoung93 That means 1.5 million wounded...Why have Ukraine not won yet???
my friend the wind
It's odd how pathetic and weak Russia is yet Ukraine hasn't re-taken any territory in months.
How can Ukraina win this war?
Much respect for both gentlemen, but a bit ironic both are American while talking about Ukraine when their country is woefully lacking in its material support for the war effort. US prestige has once again taken a massive hit.
And it's what putin has always wanted!
America is looking EXTREMELY weak in his eyes.
There is no American prestige
They cause disaster wherever they go
War in Ukraine should never have started.
Very appalling !
If Russia is losing the amount of soldiers they have, how many has Ukraine?
Ukraine if you haven't noticed don't throw men into meat waves there casing mass casualties on the Russians from remote positions using drones 2 totally different strategies
For sure. Sure. Let's go Brandon 🤠
Trump and the republicans in the House are the best gift Putin had in years
A gift that keeps one giving. Mike Johnston and Trump are traitors shielded by corrupt justices . There need to be a reform of justial departement if you are poor you are Fu....Ed if you are rich you buy your freedom.
Trumps grift is putin’s gift
not a gift: Putin paid for it. Remember tRump's 'ruSSia, if you are listening, find 30thou email so I can beat Hilary'? I am sure there were other payments, too
That's why people around the world are terrified!
putin interfering with the election, and trump getting in again!
It's what putin wants!
He WANTS trump because he sees that he's an idiot, and has caused so much hate and division in the US, that it's made it weaker.
The MAGA Republicans not sending aid to Ukraine has America looking extremely weak indeed!
Sorry but Trump has let me down. Surely he will not roll over for Putin?
shame on USA
Total self delusion!
Do good story tellers help the enemy?
Putin just cannot get a break.