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- 17 537
Jay
United States
เข้าร่วมเมื่อ 19 พ.ค. 2023
I have random thoughts about stocks and economic stuff. I don't know what I'm doing. Go to wallstreetbets for better insight than I can give. Everything is just my opinion.
Has BITCOIN TOPPED?! Why I think we may be at the peak #btc #bitcoin
I'm just here to tell you how I feel about the stocks I own and stocks I'm researching.
มุมมอง: 48
วีดีโอ
Could this DESTROY PYPL? The PayPal Honey Scandal
มุมมอง 31112 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา
Everything I say is all alleged by that video I referenced and my opinions. Pliss dun hurt me. Kthxbye.
How many BLACK SWAN events have DESTROY your PORTFOLIO before you change?!
มุมมอง 41014 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา
I'm just here to tell you how I feel about the stocks I own and stocks I'm researching.
Stock market PLUMMETS after FOMC Meeting | Why did they change their predictions?!!
มุมมอง 275วันที่ผ่านมา
I'm just here to tell you how I feel about the stocks I own and stocks I'm researching.
COOKED JOBS DATA?! | What are the REAL employment numbers?!
มุมมอง 102วันที่ผ่านมา
I'm just here to tell you how I feel about the stocks I own and stocks I'm researching.
ONE MONTH LEFT! Potential CONSEQUENCES of the TIKTOK BAN | How it might affect your investments
มุมมอง 70วันที่ผ่านมา
Thoughts and predictions on what might happen after the TikTok ban Yes, I basically said, "Anything might happen. Stocks up, down, left, right, center. Anything can happen. Good luck"
Updated Thoughts on $SMCI Supermicro | Should you BUY THE DIP?!
มุมมอง 652วันที่ผ่านมา
I'm just here to tell you how I feel about the stocks I own and stocks I'm researching.
INFLATION DEATH SPIRAL?! What we overlooked on how assets might cause inflation
มุมมอง 13714 วันที่ผ่านมา
Just shooting the breeze on inflation and a possible cause that might be overlooked I'm just here to tell you how I feel about the stocks I own and stocks I'm researching.
Should you SELL NOW?!?! | Is it wise to front run the new years selloff?
มุมมอง 96414 วันที่ผ่านมา
I'm just here to tell you how I feel about the stocks I own and stocks I'm researching.
An In-Depth Analysis and DD on Gamestop Corporation ahead of earnings ($GME)
มุมมอง 5014 วันที่ผ่านมา
...stonks
Why I'm obsessed with BLACK SWAN EVENTS and Why you should be too | Prepare for the unknown unknowns
มุมมอง 38121 วันที่ผ่านมา
This is my life I'm just here to tell you how I feel about the stocks I own and stocks I'm researching.
SECRET message behind ROARING KITTY'S NEW MEME!!!
มุมมอง 87721 วันที่ผ่านมา
GAMESTOP ROCKETSHIP! We will get out apricots!! Disclaimer, this is a joke but I actually do hold $GME.. LOL I'm just here to tell you how I feel about the stocks I own and stocks I'm researching.
$SPIR news and update | CEO LEAVING?!?... AND SELLING?!?! WUTTT?!?! and a .45 PEG?!
มุมมอง 12421 วันที่ผ่านมา
$SPIR news and update | CEO LEAVING?!?... AND SELLING?!?! WUTTT?!?! and a .45 PEG?!
Why I'm not selling $SPIR, even after a $140% increase
มุมมอง 12728 วันที่ผ่านมา
Why I'm not selling $SPIR, even after a $140% increase
DANGERS of WRITING OPTIONS | Risks of selling Covered Calls & Cash Secured Puts
มุมมอง 635หลายเดือนก่อน
DANGERS of WRITING OPTIONS | Risks of selling Covered Calls & Cash Secured Puts
$SMCI - BUY THE DIP?!?... or naw? + random thoughts on the state of semiconductors (NVDA, TSMC)
มุมมอง 184หลายเดือนก่อน
$SMCI - BUY THE DIP?!?... or naw? random thoughts on the state of semiconductors (NVDA, TSMC)
Are we screwed? Global Financial Crisis? pls no...
มุมมอง 2Kหลายเดือนก่อน
Are we screwed? Global Financial Crisis? pls no...
Earnings Predictions based ONLY on (crappy) TA - BTDR, ZENV, XPEV, POWL, TJX, JACK, PDD, UGI, ADXN
มุมมอง 51หลายเดือนก่อน
Earnings Predictions based ONLY on (crappy) TA - BTDR, ZENV, XPEV, POWL, TJX, JACK, PDD, UGI, ADXN
$SPIR - From weakness to strength - my thoughts on the $241 million deal
มุมมอง 54หลายเดือนก่อน
$SPIR - From weakness to strength - my thoughts on the $241 million deal
$SPIR BREAKING NEWS: Spire Global $241 MILLION cash injection, ELIMINATES DEBT
มุมมอง 76หลายเดือนก่อน
$SPIR BREAKING NEWS: Spire Global $241 MILLION cash injection, ELIMINATES DEBT
SPIRE GLOBAL - CASH FLOW POSITIVE?!?! ($SPIR)
มุมมอง 72หลายเดือนก่อน
SPIRE GLOBAL - CASH FLOW POSITIVE?!?! ($SPIR)
$SPIR new NASA CONTRACT + small tidbit on $sofi
มุมมอง 642 หลายเดือนก่อน
$SPIR new NASA CONTRACT small tidbit on $sofi
Nassim Taleb's warning on market fragility, possible recession, & meaning of Roaring Kitty's meme
มุมมอง 2092 หลายเดือนก่อน
Nassim Taleb's warning on market fragility, possible recession, & meaning of Roaring Kitty's meme
Starbucks drops on bad sales data (I told you!) $sbux
มุมมอง 702 หลายเดือนก่อน
Starbucks drops on bad sales data (I told you!) $sbux
SOFI closing over $10 is CRAZY BULLISH #sofi
มุมมอง 902 หลายเดือนก่อน
SOFI closing over $10 is CRAZY BULLISH #sofi
BTC pumping has very little to do with the dollar. That is just a pretty speech that people give. It is mostly the ultimate gambling tool. Additionally, it is largely a replacement for gold. That is a more apt marketing description. MSTR, MARA, RIOT, (etc..) max buying at 100k level being a local top is certainly plausible. Lot's of variables that could drive prices higher over next couple years (or lower) but long term it likely flips gold. being pro btc is also not anti cash. It is more a hedge against gov't overreach, inflation (though I dont really agree on this), and poor decision making by future administration which financially strangles the nation.
Yeah, this is all very true. I guess regarding the btc is not anti-cash, i think i agree. If i followed my logic, all assets are "anti-cash" but this creates a "crypto is nothing but a store of value" argument right? If cash is always just a medium for making trading easier, who cares about inflation? Hold some type of asset and only trade into currency for the split second you need a universal standard of conversion. It doesnt matter if it inflates or deflates if youre only holding it for a day or two, right? Bur my only peoblem is if thats the case, whats preventing people from just manufacturing more btc-lite coins that act exactly like btc? It doesnt take space, it isnt hard to manufacture (aside from energy costs), it relies only on trust... hmm 🤔
Solid opinion
Are u japanese? U look like suzuka
I just googled who that is. The female jpop singer? LOOL hey, I'll take that as a compliment. 🤣
"Allegedly", u sure? it can literally just be proven/verified by anyone (unless they did a sneaky and updated the extension so it no longer does it)
I just dont want to be sued LOOL
Go covered calls if it's a good stock and a bearish move is coming
what's the paypal ceo's name?
The CEO of PayPal should be Alex Chriss :)
So...have a Backup source of funds to capitalize on massive losses ......or learn to hedge !
Buy ALL the dips!! :D
Dude ....why are you sweating so hard !!!!
🤣🤣🤣 j pow did me dirty! Lol jk, i just washed my hair
What did you just say. Can you reply it. What did you do. Please put more structure into your reactions friend
I thought i was the only one who would buy pokemon cards for the gambling aspect
the degen in me was alive and well from the very beginning xD
What do you for a living?
lol I'm a software engineer. I need to fund all my losses from stonks and yolos. Whoops
The data is given in a way to keep people calm. Or gaslighting us saying everything is fine
*insert dog on computer in room on fire meme* this is fine
LISAAN AL-GHAIB
I have 1004 shares at 41.13 im hanging in their for years to come this is cheap brother.Good luck to everyone
Good luck, Make money! 💰
Whats your onlyfans
Business is real but delisting risk is also real.
The delisting risk is definitely there, but they have until february. Hopefully they dont eff it up haha
@ think they already fked up otherwise why would EY stated they can’t rely on SMCI’s integrity & ethic? Now it’s just depends on if the new audit firm can cover their track or if the SEC just penalized with a fee instead of delisting.
@@lllcool2002 oh yeah, they for sure already effd up. But they got a 2nd chance to fix it. I just think that it is in mgmt's best interest to fix it. Remove all the problems and get in compliance asap. When mgmt's interests align with shareholders, hopefully they can deliver
@@DefNotFinancialAdvice only time will tell, by the way, rumor saying dilution coming.
@lllcool2002 oof i just sold some CSPs haha i wish i saw this earlier
dude recording youtube video in office
I came to work an hour early LOOL thats why my eye bags are so bad
I'm not selling my ranch to buy SMCI all in but I'm buying in chunks at a time. When the dust settles, I'll already be in while everyone else drives the price up with FOMO. When that time comes... I'll be selling covered call options... 😎
Sounds like a cool plan to me! 😎
They are not cooking the books man . Minor accounting violations ( reporting date wrong ect )
Haha, yeah. I guess what I meant was even if they were cooking the books, their customers are legit, their product is legit, their business is legit. So thats why I my opinion is that there is an asymmetric upside
damn really tryna be your homie and talk about these things
Hey! If you have anything you wanna discuss, I created an email recently for it. Ill try to respond in a reasonable amount of time. Sometimes it might take longer because I might do some research or take some time to ponder :)
You should be in crypto also
Haha, ive tried. I cant bring myself to fully be confident in crypto. I understand the uses and the reasoning behind it. It just feels weird when the only fundamentals are basically just sentiment and TA.
Sup, your closet’s neat
Just a bunch of free tshirts from career fairs 😆
Any info on what’s going on with SPIRE GLOBAL? You think the company will bankrupt?
I really dont think so. They just got a cash injection and should have about 100 mill in the bank and they recently signed a few contracts. The recent exec shift is something to take note of. The ceo stepping down to be head director and the cfo announcing his departure after the books are in order arent something we should just ignore. But i do believe the company should be in good financial standing. Im assuming in q3 they made 10 mill in FCF and were able to pay off 10mill of debt. I talked about this in my previous spire video. I calculated a really small peg ratio (less than .5) which should indicate it being undervalued. But the books still arent out so take everything with handfuls of salt.
Dont buy shit unless you understand your expenses, have a secure income, and have six months of currency saved up. Also fuck depriciating assets, and fuck using homes as assets, we are buying bond and cd ladders now. If you buy a stock you should expect to be buried with it. Understand that the whole point of buying stock is to own the company, not have money.
Harsh but pretty good advice xD
Warren Buffet sold his bank stocks. I take that as a warning.
See, i thought that too. But then he bought $pool and $dom and now im confused
Anyone selling stocks are absolute fools
Haha, when everyone thinks that is usually the top of the market 🤣 but I do agree that it feels like I would be too fomo to sell stocks
@ I have been invested since I was I. Highschool. Purchases FB at IPO at 24$. 2 shares all I could afford. Road bitcoin and chainlink from 2019 to today and have around a quarter million with my Roth 401k and Roth. Most stocks are TQQQ UPRO and Tesla. You know how many people told me to sell or exit, those people are literal regards. Just buy and hold long term. I literally went from 11$ a hour to 30$ in my career in NE. And that’s like 40-50$ a hour in Cali conversions. TLDR I have been investing longer than you, have seen the newbies come in and anyone debating at SPY near 600 that they should Consider selling are the same who said sell in 08 and in Covid and in the Covid rebound. Just hold dude. Not rocket science Not all is sweet with me, lost 5k on weed stocks but I’m still holding lol
yeah i agree. been taking risk off for the past week or so. will react to fed meeting and Open AI announcements end (maybe GPT 5 or 4.5?)
bro im all in rn on S&P500, i haven't had a long time in the market but atleast from this year there has been some nice gains and im asking others if i should swap to T-bonds for the time being. I keep hearing the recession is coming and it just never arrives. Really worried about missing out if the market doesn't go into a recession. Not sure.
Thats exactly how I feel. The problem with tbonds, imo, is that if we do see tax cuts and tariffs, thatll just require the government to issue more bonds. More supply, higher yield. On the otherhand, if DOGE does its magic and cuts spending enough, maybe government wont need to buy as many bonds. 🤷
Would the market drop that much? Would the fed save the market like every other time in the past year? I also notice every year since 2020 the market rally all the way until march to summer where it dips>> Maybe the new governmental changes might cause a different result I am also holding and buying more on the dip since it will eventually go up due to the hyperinflation
Dam. I wish i was also transported to a different universe where 2022 didnt happen... haha 😄 jkjk but imo always be wary of the word "always" or "never". Of course if you arent planning to trade in and out: buy, buy the dip, hold are usually the best strategy, esp if youre doing so in a broad market index fund. But if youre trading and trying to capitalize on market volatility, sentiment often comes in ebbs and flows. Periods of greed followed by periods of fear. Fundamentals may be constant, but you can never be sure of market psychology.
search Gresham's law
Oh wow, ive never heard of that before. I guess my opinion on good vs bad money is namely that it doesnt really matter what type of money you have as long as youre only using currency as a form of facilitated bartering/trading. It doesnt matter if youre using the viet dong which is 25000 VND to 1 USD or the usd dollar. Currency is just there so that we have a common denominator to do trade. It is a problem if most of your worth is sitting in an inflating currency however.
search richard cantillon effect
follow peter schiff he is a great economist inflation means inflate inflate credit and currency supply money is gold and silver that is in the constitution currency is the piece of paper
I have watched a few of Schiff's podcasts and his videos. He does make many valid points and he is a very smart and well read person. My opinion is just that theres an underlying stubbornness in his beliefs where he refuses to budge. Some of his arguments for holding gold, namely that it is a non-depreciating asset, make sense. But a lot of the time, it sounds like he's trying to inflate the worth of gold. I really liked an interview/debate on Tom Bilyeu's channel where Schiff debates with Raoul Pal if you're interested in watching it. It's really long thought (3 hours) so grab a bag of popcorn haha
Eventually inflation will turn into a sovereign debt and currency crisis leaving traditional savings instruments useless. That money will eventually chase commodities.
But does that matter if the dollar is still strengthening compared to the rest of the world? Even if we're inflating away, the dollar has been doing amazingly. Which makes me worry about American exports... but thats a different video haha
Sounds like you should Trust your instincts, you’re young enough to develop pattern recognition and refine that intuition over time. Mind as well train it now. Just my shit 2 cents. Appreciate the skepticism in this video, healthy reality check
Haha, thank you for the kind words :)
I think some of the inflation is CAUSED BY deflation. The S&P might go up but falling prices on commercial buildings that insurance companies were invested in is causing bills to increase. The increased cost of "shrink" and theft from stores caused by cultural changes and job loss leads to higher prices. Also bad bank lending practices cause banks to give out risky credit cards and roll over insolvent corpos while depriving legitimate businesses of funds.
Oh wow, I never saw it in that angle. Thats quite interesting. It's kinda similar to what i mentioned where there is an explicit money printing and implicit money lockup through asset purchase and investment
What you said is all true, but I don't think it's anything new. IMO everything you stated is already what most people believe.
Oh. Maybe I haven't looked hard enough haha. Most of what I said is mentioned everywhere, but I've never seen anyone talking about how the SOLUTION to inflation (buying assets) might be a potential CAUSE of inflation! So I was wondering if anyone had any takes on this theory.
also, Why you gotta inflate your prices? I remember when blaze was like $8/pizza T__T
@@DefNotFinancialAdvice ah now I see what you meant. Very good point! Then in your opinion what could counter that? Something interesting is like Japans stock market where for 2 decades it was in a bear market. If that happened in the US, what would happen with inflation then? Would it cause deflation?
@@DefNotFinancialAdvice inflation 😂
You're 100% on the right track. This is why I think we're gonna be heading into a Tulip-Mania level crash after this Melt-Up concludes. We've already seen that The Fed can only turn on the money printer for the artificial economy (the IOUs for Tulips) but can't actually do anything to increase money velocity in the real economy (Tulip Growing); as any stimulus you give them does go back into the Economy but is designed to do so in market conditions that turn most of that purchase back into asset purchasing power to the rich, still incentivized to do so. The money dealers have noticed this on the horizon for a while and its been showing up in a reluctance to lend at a very quick clip and at an increasing rate. My belief is that we're about to blow out the engine. The lagging indicators and leading indicators have been ostensibly in diametric opposition from each other. Ever since the first Fed rate cut; that sort of lit the fuse. We're going to see a banking crisis similar to 2008 that threatened to shut down credit flow; at the same time we're going to have more money in assets than ever in history. This is a worst case scenario bank run if it happens. The credit crunch causes everyone to move to assets all at once and the floor falls out from the weight. Not sure if you agree; but that's how I've been seeing it play out and where I see it going. Seem inevitable to me.
Sell now to play it safe
Then if you would like buy at the big dip
Wait you already got to that, I should have commented after the video ended
🤣 great minds think alike
As a user of sofi the platform and its support is dog shit. Not sure why it’s so hyped right now. Like it’s asssss
Haha, I will concede that I have heard stories about their service and the such. Overall, Ive been treated pretty well and I got quick service when I called in for a question. A key note is that as an investment, we're not looking at SoFi as just a bank. But the tech stack that future fintechs and the such will use as their underlying technology. The recent news with Mesh is wonderful news in showing an example or taste of what SoFi can offer to future and fintechs and current legacy banks. Thats one of the reasons why Im so bullish
Was it Kramer lmao
Loool nah, i dont think he ever talks about options. It was some youtuber lol 😂
My God this man is on to something! He might’ve hit the nail right on the head with this one boys strap in 🚀💎🤲🌙
Hahaha love it. Ballpark outta nowhere.
I'm already buying more GameStop Stonx. You can't stop the ascension. The market bubble is abort to burst, time to put the squeeze in the short sellers once again.
Haha, i only sold a few CCs this time around at ridiculous strikes and im holding the rest. The TA on GME has been really bullish so I dont wanna miss out on the fun. I just draw support, resistance, and trend lines but if you want what i think is much more advance TA on GME which i barely understand, theres a channel called "Cantonese Cat" who does ta on gme relativity consistently.
treat the market like a roulette wheel. trying to predict 12 reds in a row is a futile endeavour. you're welcome.
You are 100% correct you and the only answer is the boring obvious one. Risk Management, and waiting until the black swan has happened to risk larger. Crowdstrike as you mentioned became a fairly obvious opportunity after the black swan to add additional risk. Turn you obsession towards risk management and good luck!
Then your going to love my channel