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Probability Course
เข้าร่วมเมื่อ 2 ก.ย. 2013
Lectures on probability: Topics such as counting, conditional probability, Bayes’ rule, and random variables are discussed. The lectures are mostly based on the open access textbook available for free at probabilitycourse.com
Practical Uncertainty: Useful Ideas in Decision-Making, Risk, Randomness, & AI
A Book on Decision-Making, Risk, Randomness & AI:
www.amazon.com/dp/B0CH2BHRVH/
www.amazon.com/dp/B0CH2BHRVH/
มุมมอง: 938
วีดีโอ
Machine Learning Intro 7
มุมมอง 3K4 ปีที่แล้ว
The 7th video in the series "Brief non-technical Intro to Machine Learning": Decision Trees, Support Vector Machines (SVM), Neural Networks, Reinforcement Learning. If you like to learn more please subscribe to this channel, or visit the website www.probabilitycourse.com
Machine Learning Intro 6
มุมมอง 1.7K4 ปีที่แล้ว
The sixth video in the series "Brief non-technical Intro to Machine Learning": Bias-Variance Trade-Off, Learning Curves, and Fitting Graphs. If you like to learn more please subscribe to this channel, or visit the website www.probabilitycourse.com
Machine Learning Intro 5
มุมมอง 1.5K4 ปีที่แล้ว
The fifth video in the series "Brief non-technical Intro to Machine Learning": Overfitting, underfitting, VC dimension. If you like to learn more please subscribe to this channel, or visit the website www.probabilitycourse.com
Machine Learning Intro 4
มุมมอง 1.6K4 ปีที่แล้ว
The forth video in the series "Brief non-technical Intro to Machine Learning": Generalization Error, Train vs Test Sets, Cross Validation. If you like to learn more please subscribe to this channel, or visit the website www.probabilitycourse.com
Machine Learning Intro 3
มุมมอง 1.6K4 ปีที่แล้ว
The third video in the series "Brief non-technical Intro to Machine Learning": Linear regression, RSS, Gradient Descent If you like to learn more please subscribe to this channel, or visit the website www.probabilitycourse.com
Machine Learning Intro 2
มุมมอง 2.2K4 ปีที่แล้ว
The second video in the series "Brief non-technical Intro to Machine Learning": Classification vs regression, AI, supervised vs unsupervised learning, clustering, ML for finance. If you like to learn more please subscribe to this channel, or visit the website www.probabilitycourse.com
Probabilistic Decision-Making Using Change-of-Probability Measures
มุมมอง 1.5K4 ปีที่แล้ว
A Framework for Probabilistic Decision-Making Using Change-of-Probability Measures Published in IEEE ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9184049 Probabilistic decision-making is a fundamental problem considered in many disciplines from engineering to social sciences. In this article, we address decision-making in contexts where the law of large numbers (LLN) does not apply. Non-LLN regimes include alm...
Machine Learning Intro 1
มุมมอง 8K4 ปีที่แล้ว
The first video in the series "Brief non-technical Intro to Machine Learning". ML basic framework; Supervised learning; example application. If you would like to learn more, please subscribe to this channel, and visit the website www.probabilitycourse.com.
Lecture 29: Stocks or Real Estate?
มุมมอง 1.9K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Employing the example of investment, this video continues the discussion of approaching low-stake decisions using the maximum expected value principle. The principle of diversification is introduced in connection to the Law of Large Numbers. The choice between investing in stocks and real estate is considered. Section 8: Low Harm Decisions (3/3) This is the 29th of a total of 40 short videos, w...
Lecture 28: Should I buy Extra Warranty?
มุมมอง 1.6K8 ปีที่แล้ว
This video describes warranties and the logic behind them. The sale of warranties is ultimately profitable for the company, which calls into question the benefit that a warranty has for a customer. The distinction between low- and high-stake decisions is emphasized and the importance of warranties to each type is investigated. Section 8: Low Harm Decisions (2/3) This is the 28th of a total of 4...
Lecture 40: Exposing Ourselves to Positive High-Impact Events
มุมมอง 1.2K8 ปีที่แล้ว
When harm is limited but the potential gains are substantial in the long run, you should take the risk. This video describes how to maximize your exposure to positive, high-impact opportunities and achieve success. Section 11: Positive High-Impact Events (2/2) This is the final video of a series of 40 short videos, which are divided into 11 sections. A course to learn the basic concepts and too...
Lecture 39: Increasing Our Chances of Success
มุมมอง 1.5K8 ปีที่แล้ว
This video discusses how to increase our chances of being exposed to positive, high-impact events. Rather than look at extraordinarily lucky, successful people as a model, it is important to taken into account risk while striving for success. Section 11: Positive High-Impact Events (1/2) This is the 39th of a total of 40 short videos, which are divided into 11 sections. A course to learn the ba...
Lecture 38: Unknown and Hidden Risks
มุมมอง 1.1K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Bias against unknown risk can be useful or even life-saving. This video talks about hidden risks in life and the importance of addressing new situations with care and caution. Section 10: High-Impact Decisions and Events (4/4) This is the 38th of a total of 40 short videos, which are divided into 11 sections. A course to learn the basic concepts and tools to help us make better decisions under ...
Lecture 37: Efficiency and Its Flaws
มุมมอง 1.1K8 ปีที่แล้ว
This video discusses efficiency and the negative events that can result from focusing too heavily on it. Using an example of arriving late to an airport to save time, too great a focus on efficiency can lead to a series of issues. The concept of margins is discussed as a method to combat the negative aspects of efficiency. The planning fallacy is also discussed. Further reading: “Antifragile”, ...
Lecture 35: Potential Harm and Why the Rich Get Richer
มุมมอง 1.3K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Lecture 35: Potential Harm and Why the Rich Get Richer
Lecture 34: Comparison Decisions, Halo Effects, and Quantifying
มุมมอง 1.1K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Lecture 34: Comparison Decisions, Halo Effects, and Quantifying
Lecture 31: How to Quantify and Prioritize?
มุมมอง 1.1K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Lecture 31: How to Quantify and Prioritize?
Lecture 27: Risk Aversion and the Expected Values
มุมมอง 7K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Lecture 27: Risk Aversion and the Expected Values
Lecture 26: Potential Harm and Decision Structures
มุมมอง 9898 ปีที่แล้ว
Lecture 26: Potential Harm and Decision Structures
Lecture 25: Different Types of Decisions and Events
มุมมอง 2.1K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Lecture 25: Different Types of Decisions and Events
Lecture 24: Simplification and Decision Capacity
มุมมอง 1K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Lecture 24: Simplification and Decision Capacity
Lecture 23: Uncertainty, Confidence, and Rational Decisions
มุมมอง 1.6K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Lecture 23: Uncertainty, Confidence, and Rational Decisions
Lecture 21: Random Variables, Expectation, and the Law of Large Numbers
มุมมอง 2.4K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Lecture 21: Random Variables, Expectation, and the Law of Large Numbers
Lecture 20: How Should We Invest in the Stock Market?
มุมมอง 1.2K8 ปีที่แล้ว
Lecture 20: How Should We Invest in the Stock Market?
i think if you just put (BG, GG) and ignore the order (i assume you care about the order as you also include GB), the probability of C will be 1/2, thus the probability will also be 1/2
These videos really helped me
Thank you a lot
sup from 2024 December. ur explanations r so fully and useful!
Perfect
One thing that confused me for a minute was why 5 choose 3 instead of 5 choose 2 and then I realized that it is because they are equal and will always be equal no matter what numbers are chosen because all you're doing is swapping r! for (n-r)! and the denominator will always be the same two numbers whether it is 3!*2! or 2!*3! doesn't matter as it is the same answer. This works for any choices you would make. I had to stop and figure that out before I could move on. Everyone else is probably like yeah of course, but that lightbulb finally just went on for me.
Incredible video man,i have an college exa tommorow and you re clutch
thank u sir
3:42 how did it become that value?
Thanks sir for such a great lecture. I am following your book for teaching probability in our college
No one can teach RV like you. Thanks a lot. Means a lot. So so so grateful
Young Maria Martinez Paul Jones Christopher
Thank You so much
such a shame you slowed down on posting content
bruhh you saved my life
Please upload lectures on stochastic processes
Thanks a lot for these videos.
Thank you very much.a best all in one expalnation
thank you, ive been suffering. u've helped a lot 😇
Get oiled up immabe there in 5 mins
Get oiled up immabe there in 5 mins
Beautiful
5:30
Great videos! Thank you!
11:20
10:39
0:42
where can I find good notes for this unit ?
Audio quality is like i'm listening the videos of ww2 time 😂😂
Genuinely amazed at the courses you have made available for free. I had SUCH an amazing time learning probability from you. Lucid and easier, as well as time saver.
thanks
To this day, These videos are so much helpful to learn probability and what not. Tysm. Thank you very much
Why haven't u been popping up on my feed till the day of my exam 😭
Literally watching this the night before my Engr 120 Engr Prob exam! lol
Well done, thanks, was searching to find something on this topic, bingo, gotcha! Will use you with fellow learners to come, keep up your good work.
The true definition of "old but gold". Thank you sir🙌🏼
I hope he also has viedos about continuos variables ..
All perfect videos right to the point ! Perfect materials to recap very basic probabiliy theory!
Watching after 10 years
Very well explained. My doubts have been cleared now. Regards
Awesome video!
woah . incredible
great video makes tons of sense thank you
At 18:42 the pdf curve drawn, shouldn't it have the mean at 0 and variance 1 since Φ(2.5) is about Standard normal variable.
Thanks a lot !❤
Just went through this 3h long, 40 ep playlist in one go and looking forward to enjoy the 5 chapters on probablities after a brief pause. I spend a very large amount (over 70% of my awake time) of my time on youtube, trying to expand my knowlege on sciences in general, with a playback speed usually between 3x and 6x. So I watch *a lot* of videos. Hopefully this context will put the appropriate amount of weight into what I'm about to say : The quality and utility of what I just watched is, for what I can recall of the last 8 years, unmatched. Sir, I say to you from France, thank you for your service.
sir you are a life saver, everything explained very neatly and simply
very well explained
How can I form the table from the diagram
Thanks!
😭🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻