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Extinction rates (1500-2009) peaked around 1900 at 50 per decade. Extinction rates have declined dramatically to around 4 to per decade in the 2000s. So the extinction rate is very low: 908 known lost species for 2.1 million known species in 500 years (IUCN Red List), so from observations there are an average of slightly less than 2 species lost every year. Out of a known species total of over 2 million. That gives an annual percentage loss of less than 0.0001%. That's background extinction. At that frequency it will take over 930,000 years to reach 80% extinction of species experienced at the K-T boundary that saw the extinction of the dinosaurs. Of course, extinction is a natural part of the evolution of life on this planet with the average lifespan of a species thought to be about 1 million years (cf 930,000). It is estimated that 99.9% of all plant and animal species that have existed have gone extinct. It should also be noted that no taxonomic families have become extinct in the last 500 years. In fact marine diversity at the taxonomic level of families is the highest it has ever been in the Earth's long history (see Sepkoski Curve). In a review of 16,009 species, most populations (85%) did not show significant trends in abundance, and those that did were balanced between winners (8%) and losers (7%) (Dornelas et al, 2019). There have been only 9 species of continental birds and mammals confirmed extinct since 1500 (Loehle, 2011). No global marine animals have become extinct in the past 50 years (McCauley et, 2015 using IUCN data). Take bird species: 11,195 have been counted (not estimated). All of these have been assessed by the IUCN. They catalogued 4 bird species became extinct over the course of 28 years between 1988 and 2016. That's 1.4 per decade or an annual extinction rate of 0.001%. Also the proportion of species assessed as threatened by the IUCN has declined over from 65% in 2000 (11,000 out of 17,000) to 28% in 2024 (46,000 out of 166,000). This changing outcome of their species assessments is only accelerating as time passes. Using IUCN data on assessed species- Amphibian species extinct 0.009% per decade. Mammals 0.029% per decade. Reptiles 0.006% per decade. Fish 0.006% per decade. Insects 0.009% per decade.

Harry/Reeps is such an inspiring person

He’s so eloquent with his voice. Music and words alike.

Diehold Foundation, series 4, Doug Vogt. Watch them all. When one man can elicit amendments to the US Statute 4488 on the existential threat to mankind within a couple of weeks of his communicating them to the authorities, you may surmise that they knew he knew that they knew he knew more than they did. 😊

That which is meant for ye, will no gang by ye. The elites maybe think they have a 'seat on the ark'...

baymax

The Goat

It’s all pointless. Life isn’t worth saving. That is the logical attitude. And activism and blaming whites for everything don’t and won’t work, especially in the future.

We are greedy, fearful, tribal, sensitive animals. Restraint is hard to teach and embrace -- especially when we are hungry or cold. Fortunately, we have distracted ourselves from endless population growth.

"The Human Condition" by Stuart Landsee

Simon, can you please publish your 10 slide PowerPoint 10 minute video on your channel? Or please write an article with those 10 slides as pictures so I can share it. It’s really difficult to talk to people about this without something short to show them

Simon, you don't need to reinvent the wheel. Take the electricity from the Molten Salt Reactors and use it to electrify the railroads. Intercity freight could then be switched from truck to rail. Trucks could now run on batteries for the short hauls needed. No need for ammonia or the building of a new transport network.

terrific guest. thanks

Our civilization is out of time to do something reasonable that really works to avoid an exponential global decline ( collapse) . Considering the current population is since decades in overshooting compare or in relationship with the real earth biosphere carry capacity damaged going downward .- . So the way out , seemly for sure , will happen . By the nature rule of laws .- Very simple .- 💀💀🤷🏿‍♂️

Silly for him to suggest that hoarding our fracking oil would ensure our dominance for a century. The U.S. produces 13 million barrels of oil per day (most from shale deposits) but we consume over 20 million barrels a day. We are still a net-importer of oil despite the fracking revolution. The reason why we export some of it is that our refineries are set up for heavy crude and shale oil is light. So we ship out some of the light oil we can't use and import heavy oil to use in our refineries. In short we don't have an excess of oil to even hoard!

doesn't all this mean that oil will become incredibly expensive?

Around 25:00 in. 2005 was a "localised peak" ? What does that mean? What locale? As reported by Matthew Simmons, and Colin Campbell, according to the U.S. Department of Energy, there was a GLOBAL peak in Conventional Crude Oil production around 2005 at around 74 mb/day. Am I right or wrong ?

Extinction rates (1500-2009) peaked around 1900 at 50 per decade. Extinction rates have declined dramatically to around 4 to per decade in the 2000s. So the extinction rate is very low: 908 known lost species for 2.1 million known species in 500 years (IUCN Red List), so from observations there are an average of slightly less than 2 species lost every year. Out of a known species total of over 2 million. That gives an annual percentage loss of less than 0.0001%. That's background extinction. At that frequency it will take over 930,000 years to reach 80% extinction of species experienced at the K-T boundary that saw the extinction of the dinosaurs. Of course, extinction is a natural part of the evolution of life on this planet with the average lifespan of a species thought to be about 1 million years (cf 930,000). It is estimated that 99.9% of all plant and animal species that have existed have gone extinct. It should also be noted that no taxonomic families have become extinct in the last 500 years. In fact marine diversity at the taxonomic level of families is the highest it has ever been in the Earth's long history (see Sepkoski Curve). In a review of 16,009 species, most populations (85%) did not show significant trends in abundance, and those that did were balanced between winners (8%) and losers (7%) (Dornelas et al, 2019). There have been only 9 species of continental birds and mammals confirmed extinct since 1500 (Loehle, 2011). No global marine animals have become extinct in the past 50 years (McCauley et, 2015 using IUCN data).

i can not talk to Americans any more, either they supports elon or trump, which is rare luckily. or the are not taking any action either by ignorance or fear. the biggest problem now is not the one that take action because they are the few at the moment. the big one is the masses that does not change anything and make everything worse.

51:25 This is the reason why voting can't fix it!

2:11:33, "...every interaction is based on love, trust, respect, and honor..." Very domesticated... Sounds like he's done too much MDMA, but doesn't look like he's that good a dancer, lol

Endless commercials.... Yeah that'll help with the transition... Bye!

What about Chinese and rest of the world shale and fracking ?

So much here to digest as always simon makes us 5hink thank you both

Trump will fix that idiots

I have tended to think in terms of which problem is the biggest and most impactful, hence buying an electric car a ddcade ago, to do what i could do to stave off what i saw was the biggest i.e. climate change. Joseph Tainter sums up the complexity problem rather well, so i recommend your listeners to his work, if they haven't already got there.

28:10 that chart is a graph of oil decline if no investments made. It's A way of making the United States and other countries continue to invest money in oil development. Certainly oil is declining, but that graph shows a scenario where investment is cut off

This has all been obvious to me for decades. I began to really notice the sweeping changes underway in the late 70s yet the vast majority of people have yet to realize that anything major is happening

Dr Bill Rees needs to be interviewed by Joe Rogan or Diary of a CEO.

Would geological hydrogen be a possibility to provide supplies for some of the processes described by Dr Michaux? There may be large reserves of this “white” hydrogen.

There's still plenty of coal around. Methanol is a better fuel choice compared to ammonia for shipping. Solar PV and thermal is very much untapped for now. The cold of the ocean and winter is totally untapped as well. Cellulosic ethanol is getting bigger. For cars there's methanol/ethanol/DME/DEE/hydrogen/e-fuel, in addition to EV - so, we're good. Iron powder fuel is interesting.

Brilliant presentation, thanks guys.

I want her to explain why P*Hub sucks so bad now. I click on the big ass category and none of the chicks have big asses 🙄. And who's in charge of the camera work? The angles are either so zoomed in I can see the skin cells dividing or zoomed out but at an angle where all I can see is the guy's hairy ass. As far as I can tell, the people that make p* are borderline mentally disabled their I.Q.'s are so low.

It's the "wokists" eh Simon? Good luck with problem-solving your way out of extinction, bozo.

The great simplification you tube with Nate Hagens...he saying people dont know whats about to happen

I think it is difficult for people to comprehend where this situation is heading. Also I can't tell the future. But to simply, people will need food, water, security, cool enough climate to live, and resources etc. Most of these will be gone. Fairly suddenly. But if you have no food you wont be trying to save our civilisation or solve any other problems. You will just be searching for food for you and your family, and providing security for them. People survived before tech and will after. But at a far smaller population and far simpler life. Big thanks to Simon for your continued problem solving and research. Love the oils aint oils reference. Lol great adds.

People wont be forced to comply for long periods of time no matter what you do. The resistance will eventually overpower the forcers. Energy transitions take a: a long time, b: goes from less to more energy per unit and c: input costs and output benefits. This will happen naturally. IF ( and it's a big IF) oil and gas starts to run out ( or forced by conflicts) the price will go up and alternatives will be able to compete. Any transition will be natural. Population is set to drop naturally in the coming century. What we can and should do is use available recources fr best to worse: nuclear, gas, oil, coal. Use some intermittent ( wind, solar) for taste depending on location. Dont mandate nonsense, dont use ignorant anti Co2 emission targets, protect the soil, clean the air and waters and stop acting as a fascist. You will get people on board. Simple, huh?🙂

We cant give up and we've got to stay hopeful and try to innovate our way out of this. And I appluad Simon for that. Problem is all of the resistance one gets from government, industry and society because they are all still in denial. Meanwhile we should all begin the long learning process of how to do everything as we did before the industrial revolution.

When we look at the current state of the World, and the US driven wars over resources. It's likely the transition is going to be fast and chaotic, society is going to see real pain in less than 5 years as oil availability declines. In the 1979 oil crisis, there were shootouts at the pumps in the US. Even a blind man can see the transition is going to be brutal on the human population, billions will die. Just think of the impact of a slip back to a 1970 level of technology, where the World's population was less than 4 billion. Worse still a total chaotic crash scenario would mean slipping back to a low carbon economy. Something like a 1920's level where the World population was only around 2 billion. Our World Leadership track record has me believing humans will fail to manage this transition badly, but there's no escaping nature and reality. 😄

Can we get the iron powder from scrap? Like, for example, an abandoned factory in detroit? Interesting episode. Made me come up with all these questions for Simon.

Venus project purple transition and miniature thorium reactors . just ridiculous These are all outlandish ideas of people who seem knowing what they talk about But what they are is only people in the BARGAINING stage .

The weeds got pretty tall and deep in this one, hopefully you and the rest of your audience understood the details better than me. Maybe we do have the technology, but do we have the time? And fortitude?

You should plot Joules consumed vs litres(joules) produced. I think the peak would show circa 2008

How did i miss this episode this past week, and how/why am I the only comment (so far)??? You nailed it. So many emotions this past week... Disbelief/denial, alarm, anger...then Despair after seeing the clown car of cabinet nominees. As Twain said, it is easier to fool a man than to convince him he has been fooled, so I am not too hopeful the maga base is ever going to turn on their dear leader. He will scapegoat and gaslight them into submission. A good TH-cam channel for digital protection is all things secured. Guest suggestion is Abrahm Lustgarten. As for a Trumpian silver lining - from a completely selfish perspective - US isolationism might in the long term be beneficial to our literal survival for those of us in the states, provided resource wars don't go nuclear, which is not hard to imagine in the coming years. Check out the graphs from the last couple uploads from peter carter and climate casino. Keep it up.

The "dumbing down" of the human species has been an on-going process in academia for decades. The search for knowledge and wisdom has been discouraged as being inimical to the status quo. In politics, in science, in religion, in economics etc. No challenge to the established oligarchy is then possible. We as a species are gradually becoming a "herd" that is overseen by self-serving overlords.

the purple transition sounds cool! reinventing our civilization along streamlined terms, simplifying our tech to do just what we need without the bells and whistles...sign me up!

Michaux is a beast. Great episode!

Bleak but realistic. We have a century left and I stopped caring about what I leave behind without any desire to make it worse.

There will be no green transition for overpopulation, there will only be a transition out of overpopulation!

Really interesting thanks from an Ecosocialist in New Zealand 🇳🇿