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Engaging Central Europe
เข้าร่วมเมื่อ 8 มิ.ย. 2023
Discussion: Russia 2030 Futures: The View from Central and Eastern Europe
10.09.2024
Speakers:
Adam Balcer
Research Director, College of Eastern Europe
Pavel Havlíček
Research Fellow, Association for International Affairs
Kadri Liik
Senior Policy Fellow, European Council on Foreign Relations
Eleonora Tafuro Ambrosetti
Senior Research Fellow, Italian Institute for International Political Studies
Moderator:
Nicolas Bouchet
Visiting Fellow, Transatlantic Trusts, German Marshall Fund of the United States
Russia 2030 Futures, a project implemented by the Association of International Affairs (AMO) in Czechia and the College of Eastern Europe (KEW) in Poland, with the support of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, explored a selection of potential scenarios using the methods of strategic foresight and scenario-building. The scenarios that may unfold in and around Russia until the end of 2030 range from stalemate to potential re-engagement with Russia to growing confrontation. This discussion builds on the project’s final report that highlights the implications of five scenarios for the EU and identifies courses of action to respond to them, drawing on the extensive knowledge and experience of experts from Central and Eastern Europe.
Speakers:
Adam Balcer
Research Director, College of Eastern Europe
Pavel Havlíček
Research Fellow, Association for International Affairs
Kadri Liik
Senior Policy Fellow, European Council on Foreign Relations
Eleonora Tafuro Ambrosetti
Senior Research Fellow, Italian Institute for International Political Studies
Moderator:
Nicolas Bouchet
Visiting Fellow, Transatlantic Trusts, German Marshall Fund of the United States
Russia 2030 Futures, a project implemented by the Association of International Affairs (AMO) in Czechia and the College of Eastern Europe (KEW) in Poland, with the support of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, explored a selection of potential scenarios using the methods of strategic foresight and scenario-building. The scenarios that may unfold in and around Russia until the end of 2030 range from stalemate to potential re-engagement with Russia to growing confrontation. This discussion builds on the project’s final report that highlights the implications of five scenarios for the EU and identifies courses of action to respond to them, drawing on the extensive knowledge and experience of experts from Central and Eastern Europe.
มุมมอง: 613
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Pavel, maybe next time try appearing without use of lsd, sniffing glue, or whatever you do to get visions of all those: Never gonna happen scenarios. Aside from your use of questionable substances, you have a psychological syndrome called: disappearing Putin, often seen in the US among neocons. They often like yourself belive that if they vocalize their fantasies about President Putin not being around, that will happen in the real world, and when it doesn't happen, they go into delusions even deeper. Be careful you may end up looking like Vicky Null, and that would be just awful.
How can someone talk about future of Russia without mentioning Bricks? All your prefictions are about , how Russia will suffer ..
The big picture is that Western Europe is on the perfect path to a totally trashed economy, apart from being taken advantage of by the USA as its lap dog and marionettes. In the next 30 years, Russia, India, and China will show the better way we can all co-exit.
Nicolas, your audio was very difficult to listen to. The others were much better. There was an echo and low volume in your audio, Nicolas.
Why nobody considers the most realistic scenario - Russia wins and gets 4 oblast, Ukraine becomes a rump state, Putin arranges operation "The successor" and retires, while EU has economic decline ??
Russia also experiences economic decline. War is costly, and they are selling their future down the river to win this conflict.
@@PancakeProduct, where from comes information about decline? Economy is growing!
The war and sanctions boosts economy. U simply do not understand that all the postperestroyka years Russia only exported raw material and imported everything else. It was very unhealthy. @PancakeProduct
@@leonidsoms1674 , did sanctions boosted export of raw materials? You just repeated misleading official information about Russia! How could country to "boost" production of something it never produced? Maybe it was just prohibited to KNOW about what is real Russia?